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40
capacity of the cargo fleet needs 35
million GT
• In practice, ships get bigger and 25
20
more efficient, and only ~2.0% of 15
the fleet is added every year. 10
0
year: the number actually built 1964
1968
1972
1976
1980
1984
1988
1992
1996
2000
2004
fluctuates in a 30-year cycle.
February 10, 2006 Slide 3 of 37
marine
1 – The Main Market Sectors
LNG Carriers Bulkers
Tankers Containerships
• 72% of the world cargo fleet (by # of ships) but 90% (by dwt)
is built in the Far East.
• CGTs are “compensated” GTs – i.e., GTs multiplied by a
factor that reflects relative complexity.
• “All Other” is mostly Europe, Brazil and India.
# of Ships
corresponds to the breadth of 3,000
2,000
the Panama Canal.
• There is a corresponding
1,000
0
break in the structure of the
60+
20
22
24
26
28
30
32
34
36
38
40
42
44
46
48
50
52
54
56
58
shipbuilding industry. Beam (m eters)
42
• The yards that build BIG
ships don’t build SMALL ships
and vice versa.
• There are now over 600 219
352
yards building commercial
vessels, of which over 200
build “Panamax” ships but Big Panamax Small
only 42 build BIG ships.
# of Docks/Ways 9 4 5
• Hull Steel:
– JIT delivery of plates and structural shapes to a storage area
– Blasting and painting with a primer
– Cutting, marking, shaping, labeling
– Manufacture of two-dimensional subassemblies (panels)
• Outfit:
– JIT delivery of pipe and other material to warehouses
– Cutting, marking, shaping, labeling, palletization
– JIT delivery to the appropriate work stations for attachment to
or installation on hull structure
GM11
GM12
GB17
GF11
GEC51(C)
GB21
★
GB19
GB15
GB13
GB11
GE12
Months
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24