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This charting technique has become very popular among traders. One reason is
that the charts reflect only short-term outlooks--sometimes lasting less than eight
to 10 trading sessions. Candlestick charting is a very complex and sometimes
difficult system to understand, but in this four-part series, we take go inside the
more common ways to construct and read candlestick patterns. (For our other
candlestick charting articles, see our Technical Analysis 101 archives.)
Candlestick Components
When first looking at a candlestick chart, the student of the more common bar
charts may be confused; however, just like a bar chart, the daily candlestick line
contains the market's open, high, low and close of a specific day. Now this is
where the system takes on a whole new look: the candlestick has a wide part,
which is called the "real body". This real body represents the range between the
open and close of that day's trading. When the real body is filled in or black, it
means the close was lower than the open. If the real body is empty, it means the
opposite: the close was higher than the open.
Just above and below the real body are the "shadows". Chartists have always
thought of these as the wicks of the candle, and it is the shadows that show the
high and low prices of that day's trading. If the upper shadow on the filled-in body
is short, it indicates that the open that day was closer to the high of the day. And
a short upper shadow on a white or unfilled body dictates that the close was near
the high. The relationship between the day's open, high, low, and close determine
the look of the daily candlestick. Real bodies can be either long or short and either
black or white. Shadows can also be either long or short.
In the two charts below I am showing the exact same daily charts of IBM to
illustrate the difference between the bar chart and the candlestick chart. In both
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charts you can see the overall trend of the stock price; however, you can see how
much easier looking at the change in body color of the candlestick chart is for
interpreting the day-to-day sentiment.
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By representing a bullish period, the 'long white body', or 'long white line'--(in the
EBAY chart below, the white is actually gray because of the white background) is
the exact opposite of the long black line. Prices were all over the map during the
day, but the stock opened near the low of the day and closed near the high.
'Spinning tops' are very small bodies and can be either black or white. This
pattern shows a very tight trading range between the open and the close, and it is
considered somewhat neutral.
'Doji lines' illustrate periods in which the opening and closing prices for the period
are very close or exactly the same. You will also notice that, when you start to
look deep into candlestick patterns, the length of the shadows can vary.
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The Art of Candlestick Charting - Part 2
In Part 1 we look at the history and the basics of the art of Japanese candlestick
charting. Here in Part 2 we look deeper into how to analyze candlestick patterns.
Many of the investors who rushed to the marketplace in the fall and winter of
1999-2000 had, before that time, never bought a single share in a public
company. The volumes at the top were record breaking and the smart money was
starting to leave the stock market. Hundreds of thousands of new investors,
armed with computers and new online trading accounts, were sitting at their
desks buying and selling the dotcom flavor of the moment. Like lemmings, these
new players took greed to a level never seen before, and, before long, they saw
the market crash around their feet.
Lets have a look at what was a favorite of many investors during that time. This
presentation of JDS Uniphase (JDSU) on the chart above is a lesson in how to
recognize long bullish candles, which formed as the company's stock price moved
from the $25 area in late Aug 1999 to an outstanding $140 plus in Mar 2000. Just
look at the number of long green candles that occurred during a seven-month
ride.
Analyzing Patterns
Traders must remember that a pattern may consist of only one candlestick but
could also contain a number or series of candlesticks over a number of trading
days.
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A reversal candle pattern is a number or series of candlesticks that normally show
a trend reversal in a stock or commodity being analyzed; however, determining
trends can be very difficult. Perhaps this is best explained by Gregory L. Morris in
the chapter her wrote for John J. Murphy's classic "Technical Analysis of the
Financial Markets" (1999):
"One serious consideration that must be used to identify patterns as being either
bullish or bearish is the trend of the market preceding the pattern. You cannot
have a bullish reversal pattern in an uptrend. You can have a series of
candlesticks that resemble the bullish pattern, but if the trend is up it is not a
bullish Japanese candle pattern. Likewise, you cannot have a bearish reversal
candle pattern in a downtrend."
The reader who takes Japanese candlestick charting to the next level will read
that there could be as many as 40 or more patterns that will indicate reversals.
One-day reversals form candlesticks such as 'hammers' and 'hanging men'. A
hammer is an umbrella that appears after a price decline, and, according to
candlestick pros, comes from the action of "hammering" out a bottom. If a stock
or commodity opens down and the price drops throughout the session only to
come back near the opening price at close, the pros call this a hammer.
Lets look at two charts, one with a hammer and the other with a hanging man.
The first charts Lucent Technologies and shows a classic hanging man. After three
days of the stock price rising, the hanging man appears, and on the following day,
the stock price drops over 20%. The second chart shows a hammer from a period
in 2001 when Nortel Networks was trading in the $55-$70 range. The hammer
appears after two days of declining prices and effectively stops the slide, marking
the beginning of a nine-day run with the stock price moving up $11.
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Chart Created with Tradestation
For those of you who would like to explore this area of technical analysis more
deeply, I suggest that you look for books written by Steve Nison. He has written a
number of textbooks that even a novice will understand upon the first reading.
With a short list on the bearish side of the market, one would look for the
following patterns: 'falling three methods', 'in-neck', 'on-neck', 'separating lines',
'side-by-side white lines', and 'black crows'. In this article, we focus on 'falling
three methods', 'separating lines' and 'in-neck'.
(Keep in mind there are many more different patterns on the bullish and bearish
sides of the market. If you'd like to look deeper into this complex art, visit
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Stockcharts.com for their look at Japanese candlesticks and have a look in your
local bookstore for the excellent books on the subject written by Steve Nison.)
This pattern is, in the world of Japanese candlestick charting, a very bullish chart.
It shows an upward trend on day one with investors taking a few trading sessions
to relax to prepare for the next rise in price that occurs on the fifth day. Even
though the pattern shows us that the prices are falling for three straight days, a
new low is not seen and the bulls prepare for the next leg up.
The second, third, and fourth days see the issue falling off slightly but not trading
outside the range of the long white day on day one. Finally, the last day in the
pattern is another long white day that closes above the close of the first long
white day.
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trading session to close higher still.
Now, on the bearish side of the equation, let's have a look at what the bears are
looking for, starting with separating lines.
Look close and you can see that a new high is not formed from the high set on the
first day. This is a very bearish signal and short sellers react strongly to this
pattern.
In-Neck (Bearish)
The first day of the in-neck continuation pattern is a long black day and the
second is a white day that shows an opening of trading below the low of the prior
trading session. Then on the close the price is equal to or just above the closing
price of the prior session.
This pattern has the bears looking for the falling trend to continue but it may be
some time before it is confirmed.
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The Art of Candlestick Charting - Part 4
This article focuses on continuation patterns and how they could deny or confirm
trends in today's markets, giving the investor a clearer picture of whether or not
to hold his or her position or execute a buy/sell order.
The Patterns
We continue this look at candle charts with some additional patterns on both the
bullish and bearish sides of the equation. On the bullish side of the market, show
you the 'engulfing pattern', 'harami', and the 'harami cross'. Opposite, on the
bearish side, we will have a closer look at the 'engulfing pattern', 'the evening
star' and both the 'harami' and the 'harami cross'.
You can see the opening was higher than the previous day, and, during the
trading session, the issue sold off with volume much greater than the previous
session.
(Please note that the charts in part 3 were black and white. To avoid confusion,
you should know that candle charts in many of today's software programs are
shown in red [instead of black] and green [instead of white]).
As you can see, this is a chart of an issue in a downtrend that has now lost
momentum. The buyers may be coming back into this issue, creating a trend
reversal and bottoming out of this downtrend.
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Evening Star - Bearish
Evening star (bearish) is a top reversal pattern that is very easy to identify
because the last candle in the pattern opens below the previous days' small real
body, which can be either red or green and closes deep into the real body of the
trading range of the candle two day's prior.
This pattern shows that investors are perhaps losing confidence in the issue and
it's direction. This thought process will be confirmed if the next day is another
down session.
Harami - Bearish
Harami (bearish) is another very recognizable candlestick pattern that shows a
small real body (red) completely inside the previous day's real body.
Technicians will watch very closely now because the harami bearish indicates that
the current uptrend may be coming to an end, especially if the volume is light.
Students of candlestick charts will also recognize the harami pattern as the first
two days of the three inside pattern.
Harami - Bullish
Harami (bullish) is just the mirror reflection of the harami bearish. As you can see
in the chart above, a downtrend is in play and a small real body (green) is shown
inside the large real body (red) of the previous day. This tells the technician that
the trend is coming to a conclusion. The harami implies that the preceding trend
is about to conclude. A candlestick closing higher the next day would confirm the
trend reversal.
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body following up on the next trading session.The doji is within the range of the
real body of the prior session.
Like the harami, the trend starts out in play, but the market then decides to
reverse intra-day with volume being somewhat non-existent and the pattern
closing at the same price as the issue opened. The uptrend has been reversed.
This four-part series barely scratches the surface of Japanese candlestick charts
and the interpretation of the patterns. If you want to gain more in-depth
knowledge be sure to read Steve Nison's excellent books on the subject.
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