Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Contents
Overview and Instructions
Imported Financial Statements
Standardized Financial Statements
Accounting Adjustments
Ratio Analysis
Performance Charts
Assumptions
Pro Formas and Valuation
Overview
The purpose of the Business Analysis and Valuation Model (BAV Model) is to aid users
in analyzing and valuing any company with at least two years of historical financial
statement data. This program may be used in conjunction with the Business Analysis
& Valuation Using Financial Statements text, written by Professors Krishna Palepu,
Paul Healy, and Victor Bernard (Cincinnatti, OH: South-Western College Publishing, 2004).
Technical Note
This workbook makes extensive use of macros. For these macros to be operational, your
security level must be set to 'medium', and you must select the 'enable macros' button when
the workbook is first opened. To check/adjust your security level, select Tools| Macro|
Security| Medium (level). If your security level is set to 'high', the workbook will not operate
correctly.
To open multiple copies of the model at the same time, each copy should be opened in a new
instance of Microsoft Excel (i.e. start Excel from the Start menu, then use File|Open… to open
the model). Excel allocates a fixed amount of memory for each launch, and multiple copies
of the model can easily require more memory than allocated by a single Excel instance,
resulting in 'Out of System Resources' errors.
The Business Analysis and Valuation Model was developed by Professor Paul Healy and
Professor Krishna Palepu with the assistance of Research Associate Jonathan Barnett.
Development assistance was provided by Village Software, Inc.
See BAV Navigator menu --> About BAV Model for software version number.
Initial Setup
Step 1:
Sales Sales 828.2 468.7 479.5 559.1 692.6 756.6 651.1 515.5 597.0
Cost of Sales Cost of Sales 558.5 297.9 304.6 356.0 444.1 500.9 429.4 322.9 377.9
Gross Profit 269.7 170.8 174.9 203.1 248.5 255.8 221.6 192.6 219.2
SG&A SG&A 137.8 95.5 91.5 105.7 118.9 118.9 111.2 89.8 104.3
Other Operating Expense Other Operating Expense 23.2 14.4 13.7 13.4 15.3 16.0 17.2 17.6 22.9
Operating Income 108.7 60.9 69.7 84.0 114.3 120.9 93.2 85.2 92.0
Investment Income Investment Income 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Other Income, net of Other Expense 6.7 -16.9 -7.4 -3.8 -39.9 -0.9 -3.4 -4.0 -1.3
Other Income Other Income 6.7 -16.9 -7.4 -3.8 -39.9 -0.9 -3.4 -4.0 -1.3
Other Expense Other Expense 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Net Interest Expense (Income) 98.2 94.5 71.1 65.4 59.0 36.7 35.4 33.1 27.1
Interest Income Interest Income 1.5 1.4 1.1 4.4 2.3 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.0
Interest Expense Interest Expense 99.7 95.9 72.2 69.8 61.3 37.3 35.8 33.1 27.1
Minority Interest Minority Interest 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Pre-Tax Income 17.2 -50.5 -8.8 14.8 15.4 83.3 54.4 48.2 63.6
Tax Expense Tax Expense 6.4 -18.4 -4.3 44.9 9.1 -23.3 16.4 16.0 24.8
Net Income Net Income 10.8 -43.6 -5.7 -30.1 6.3 106.6 42.5 42.8 38.6
Preferred Dividends Preferred Dividends 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Net Income to Common 10.8 -43.6 -5.7 -30.1 6.3 106.6 42.5 42.8 38.6
Page 2 of 26
Imported Income Statement
BLOUNT INTL INC
Change
Classifications Sign? Year Ended December 31, ($MM) 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Page 3 of 26
Imported Income Statement
BLOUNT INTL INC
Change
Classifications Sign? Year Ended December 31, ($MM) 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Page 4 of 26
Imported Balance Sheet
Assets
Cash and Marketable Securities Cash and Marketable Securities 4.8 47.6 26.4 35.2 48.6 12.9 27.6 57.6 58.3
Accounts Receivable Accounts Receivable 149.0 57.3 58.5 64.4 75.0 93.6 82.8 67.8 75.6
Inventory Inventory 150.7 68.1 64.8 67.7 81.1 85.3 77.8 70.3 90.3
Other Current Assets Other Current Assets 30.9 31.1 41.5 29.7 4.6 34.8 28.5 21.9 20.4
Total Current Assets 335.4 204.1 191.2 197.0 209.3 226.6 216.7 217.6 244.6
Long-Term Tangible Assets Long-Term Tangible Assets 177.4 96.2 90.7 92.0 97.9 101.5 99.7 89.7 119.8
Long-Term Intangible Assets Long-Term Intangible Assets 128.3 76.9 76.9 76.9 76.9 76.9 71.9 49.0 79.9
Other Long-Term Assets Other Long-Term Assets 62.8 67.6 69.2 38.1 40.6 50.2 42.2 55.6 55.4
Total Long-Term Assets 368.5 240.7 236.8 207.0 215.4 228.6 213.8 194.3 255.1
Total Assets Total Assets 703.9 444.8 428.0 404.0 424.7 455.2 430.5 412.0 499.7
Liabilities
Accounts Payable Accounts Payable 44.0 19.7 25.5 29.7 39.3 42.0 35.0 29.8 28.9
Short-Term Debt Short-Term Debt 8.5 8.5 3.4 6.6 3.2 2.4 1.5 1.2 32.0
Other Current Liabilities Other Current Liabilities 91.1 93.2 71.3 73.7 68.8 70.1 62.3 58.0 55.7
Total Current Liabilities 143.6 121.4 100.2 110.0 111.3 114.4 98.8 89.0 116.6
Long-Term Debt Long-Term Debt 824.5 632.5 624.1 603.9 491.0 405.4 349.4 295.8 293.5
Deferred Taxes - Long-term Liability Deferred Taxes 4.7 2.8 0.0 2.8 4.9 4.3 0.8 0.0 2.2
Total Long-Term Liabilities 872.5 673.3 696.7 687.7 569.6 486.0 436.9 377.1 426.6
Total Liabilities 1,016.1 794.7 796.9 797.7 680.9 600.4 535.8 466.1 543.2
Minority Interest Minority Interest 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Shareholders' Equity
Preferred Stock Preferred Stock 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Common Shareholders' Equity Common Shareholders' Equity -312.2 -349.9 -368.9 -393.7 -256.2 -145.2 -105.3 -54.2 -43.5
Total Shareholders' Equity -312.2 -349.9 -368.9 -393.7 -256.2 -145.2 -105.3 -54.2 -43.5
Page 5 of 26
Imported Balance Sheet
Page 6 of 26
Imported Balance Sheet
Page 7 of 26
Imported Statement of Cash Flows
Net Income Net Income 10.8 (43.6) (5.7) (30.1) 6.3 106.6 42.5 42.8 38.6
After-tax net interest expense (income) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Non-operating losses (gains) Non-operating losses (gains) (5.9) 0.5 1.6 0.8 0.4 (0.4) (1.0) 0.7 (1.5)
Long-term operating accruals 25.9 47.4 13.8 67.5 71.5 (12.8) 31.5 20.5 31.3
Long-term operating accruals-other Other (6.8) 47.4 (8.4) 67.5 71.5 (12.8) 31.5 20.5 2.8
Net (investment in) or liquidation of operating long- Net (investment in) or liquidation of
(51.7) 189.1 (32.9) (17.1) (21.5) (19.0) 10.5 52.9 (87.1)
term assets operating long-term assets
After-tax net interest expense (income) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Net debt (repayment) or issuance Net debt (repayment) or issuance 16.6 (198.2) (16.9) (20.3) (124.0) (86.5) (56.9) (53.9) 28.5
Free cash flow available to equity (5.3) 38.7 (21.0) 18.4 (69.7) (40.3) 13.7 30.3 2.6
Dividend (payments) Dividend (payments) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Net stock (repurchase), issuance, or other equity Net stock (repurchase), issuance,
(0.4) 4.1 (0.2) (9.6) 83.1 4.7 0.3 (0.5) (2.4)
changes or other equity changes
Page 8 of 26
Imported Statement of Cash Flows
Page 9 of 26
Imported Statement of Cash Flows
Page 10 of 26
Classification Lookup
Directions:
1. Select the financial statement (Income Statement, Balance Sheet, or Statement of Cash Flows) from the white
drop-down menu below.
2. Select the desired line-item classification heading(s) from the yellow shaded drop-down menu for examples of
financial statement line-items typically classified under that heading.
Income Statement
Page 11 of 26
Classification Lookup
Income Statement
Page 12 of 26
Standardized Financial Statements
Long-Term Tangible Assets 0.0 177.4 96.2 90.7 92.0 97.9 101.5 99.7 89.7 119.8
Long-Term Intangible Assets 0.0 128.3 76.9 76.9 76.9 76.9 76.9 71.9 49.0 79.9
Other Long-Term Assets 0.0 62.8 67.6 69.2 38.1 40.6 50.2 42.2 55.6 55.4
Total Long-Term Assets 0.0 368.5 240.7 236.8 207.0 215.4 228.6 213.8 194.3 255.1
Total Assets 0.0 703.9 444.8 428.0 404.0 424.7 455.2 430.5 412.0 499.7
Liabilities
Accounts Payable 0.0 44.0 19.7 25.5 29.7 39.3 42.0 35.0 29.8 28.9
Short-Term Debt 0.0 8.5 8.5 3.4 6.6 3.2 2.4 1.5 1.2 32.0
Other Current Liabilities 0.0 91.1 93.2 71.3 73.7 68.8 70.1 62.3 58.0 55.7
Total Current Liabilities 0.0 143.6 121.4 100.2 110.0 111.3 114.4 98.8 89.0 116.6
Long-Term Debt 0.0 824.5 632.5 624.1 603.9 491.0 405.4 349.4 295.8 293.5
Deferred Taxes 0.0 4.7 2.8 0.0 2.8 4.9 4.3 0.8 0.0 2.2
Other Long-Term Liabilities
0.0 43.3 38.0 72.6 81.0 73.7 76.4 86.8 81.3 130.9
(non-interest bearing)
Total Long-Term Liabilities 0.0 872.5 673.3 696.7 687.7 569.6 486.0 436.9 377.1 426.6
Total Liabilities 0.0 1,016.1 794.7 796.9 797.7 680.9 600.4 535.8 466.1 543.2
Minority Interest 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Shareholders' Equity
Preferred Stock 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Common Shareholders' Equity 0.0 -312.2 -349.9 -368.9 -393.7 -256.2 -145.2 -105.3 -54.2 -43.5
Total Shareholders' Equity 0.0 -312.2 -349.9 -368.9 -393.7 -256.2 -145.2 -105.3 -54.2 -43.5
Total Liabilities and
0.0 703.9 444.8 428.0 404.0 424.7 455.2 430.5 412.0 499.7
Shareholders' Equity
Sales 828.2 468.7 479.5 559.1 692.6 756.6 651.1 515.5 597.0
Cost of Sales 558.5 297.9 304.6 356.0 444.1 500.9 429.4 322.9 377.9
Page 13 of 26
Standardized Financial Statements
Gross Profit 269.7 170.8 174.9 203.1 248.5 255.8 221.6 192.6 219.2
SG&A 137.8 95.5 91.5 105.7 118.9 118.9 111.2 89.8 104.3
Other Operating Expense 23.2 14.4 13.7 13.4 15.3 16.0 17.2 17.6 22.9
Operating Income 108.7 60.9 69.7 84.0 114.3 120.9 93.2 85.2 92.0
Investment Income 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Other Income, net of Other Expense 6.7 (16.9) (7.4) (3.8) (39.9) (0.9) (3.4) (4.0) (1.3)
Other Income 6.7 (16.9) (7.4) (3.8) (39.9) (0.9) (3.4) (4.0) (1.3)
Other Expense 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Net Interest Expense (Income) 98.2 94.5 71.1 65.4 59.0 36.7 35.4 33.1 27.1
Interest Income 1.5 1.4 1.1 4.4 2.3 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.0
Interest Expense 99.7 95.9 72.2 69.8 61.3 37.3 35.8 33.1 27.1
Minority Interest 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Pre-Tax Income 17.2 (50.5) (8.8) 14.8 15.4 83.3 54.4 48.2 63.6
Tax Expense 6.4 (18.4) (4.3) 44.9 9.1 (23.3) 16.4 16.0 24.8
Unusual Gains, Net of Unusual
0.0 (11.5) (1.2) 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.5 10.7 (0.2)
Losses (after tax)
Net Income 10.8 (43.6) (5.7) (30.1) 6.3 106.6 42.5 42.8 38.6
Preferred Dividends 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Net Income to Common 10.8 (43.6) (5.7) (30.1) 6.3 106.6 42.5 42.8 38.6
Net Income 10.8 (43.6) (5.7) (30.1) 6.3 106.6 42.5 42.8 38.6
After-tax net interest expense
61.7 60.1 36.4 (133.0) 24.1 47.0 24.8 22.1 16.5
(income)
Non-operating losses (gains) (5.9) 0.5 1.6 0.8 0.4 (0.4) (1.0) 0.7 (1.5)
Long-term operating accruals 25.9 47.4 13.8 67.5 71.5 (12.8) 31.5 20.5 31.3
Depreciation and amortization 32.7 0.0 22.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 28.6
Other (6.8) 47.4 (8.4) 67.5 71.5 (12.8) 31.5 20.5 2.8
Operating cash flow before
92.5 64.4 46.1 (94.8) 102.3 140.4 97.8 86.1 84.9
working capital investments
Page 14 of 26
Standardized Financial Statements
Dividend (payments) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Net stock (repurchase), issuance,
(0.4) 4.1 (0.2) (9.6) 83.1 4.7 0.3 (0.5) (2.4)
or other equity changes
Page 15 of 26
BAV Identities
Year Beginning January 1, ($MM) 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
I. Net Working Capital
Accounts Receivable 0.0 149.0 57.3 58.5 64.4 75.0 93.6 82.8 67.8 75.6
+ Inventory 0.0 150.7 68.1 64.8 67.7 81.1 85.3 77.8 70.3 90.3
+ Other Current Assets 0.0 30.9 31.1 41.5 29.7 4.6 34.8 28.5 21.9 20.4
- Accounts Payable 0.0 44.0 19.7 25.5 29.7 39.3 42.0 35.0 29.8 28.9
- Other Current Liabilities 0.0 91.1 93.2 71.3 73.7 68.8 70.1 62.3 58.0 55.7
= Beginning Net Working Capital 0.0 195.5 43.6 68.0 58.4 52.6 101.6 91.7 72.2 101.7
Long-term Tangible Assets 0.0 177.4 96.2 90.7 92.0 97.9 101.5 99.7 89.7 119.8
+ Long-term Intangible Assets 0.0 128.3 76.9 76.9 76.9 76.9 76.9 71.9 49.0 79.9
+ Other Long-Term Assets 0.0 62.8 67.6 69.2 38.1 40.6 50.2 42.2 55.6 55.4
- Minority Interest 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
- Deferred Taxes 0.0 4.7 2.8 0.0 2.8 4.9 4.3 0.8 0.0 2.2
- Other Long-Term Liabilities
(non-interest bearing) 0.0 43.3 38.0 72.6 81.0 73.7 76.4 86.8 81.3 130.9
= Beginning Net Long-Term Assets 0.0 320.5 199.9 164.2 123.2 136.8 148.0 126.2 113.0 122.1
Short-term Debt 0.0 8.5 8.5 3.4 6.6 3.2 2.4 1.5 1.2 32.0
+ Long-term Debt 0.0 824.5 632.5 624.1 603.9 491.0 405.4 349.4 295.8 293.5
- Cash 0.0 4.8 47.6 26.4 35.2 48.6 12.9 27.6 57.6 58.3
= Beginning Net Debt 0.0 828.2 593.4 601.1 575.3 445.6 394.8 323.2 239.4 267.2
+ Beginning Preferred Stock 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
+ Beginning Common Shareholders' Equity 0.0 -312.2 -349.9 -368.9 -393.7 -256.2 -145.2 -105.3 -54.2 -43.5
= Beginning Total Net Capital 0.0 516.0 243.5 232.2 181.6 189.4 249.6 218.0 185.3 223.7
Sales 828.2 468.7 479.5 559.1 692.6 756.6 651.1 515.5 597.0
Net Operating Profit after Tax (NOPAT): 72.5 16.5 30.7 -163.1 30.4 153.6 67.3 64.9 55.1
- Net Interest Expense after Tax 61.7 60.1 36.4 -133.0 24.1 47.0 24.8 22.1 16.5
= Net Income 10.8 -43.6 -5.7 -30.1 6.3 106.6 42.5 42.8 38.6
- Preferred Dividends 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
= Net Income to Common 10.8 -43.6 -5.7 -30.1 6.3 106.6 42.5 42.8 38.6
Page 16 of 26
BAV Identities
Interest Expense 99.7 95.9 72.2 69.8 61.3 37.3 35.8 33.1 27.1
- Interest Income 1.5 1.4 1.1 4.4 2.3 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.0
= Net Interest Expense (Income) 98.2 94.5 71.1 65.4 59.0 36.7 35.4 33.1 27.1
x (1- Tax/Pre-Tax Income) 0.628 0.636 0.511 -2.034 0.409 1.280 0.700 0.667 0.611
= Net Interest Expense after Tax 61.7 60.1 36.4 -133.0 24.1 47.0 24.8 22.1 16.5
Net Income 10.8 -43.6 -5.7 -30.1 6.3 106.6 42.5 42.8 38.6
+ Net Interest Expense after Tax 61.7 60.1 36.4 -133.0 24.1 47.0 24.8 22.1 16.5
= Net Operating Profit after Tax 72.5 16.5 30.7 -163.1 30.4 153.6 67.3 64.9 55.1
- Unusual Gains, Net of Unusual Losses (after tax) 0.0 -11.5 -1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.5 10.7 -0.2
= Net Operating Profit 72.5 28.0 31.9 -163.1 30.4 153.6 62.8 54.2 55.4
excluding Unusual Gains,
Net of Unusual Losses (after tax)
Page 17 of 26
Condensed Financial Statements
Year Beginning January 1, ($MM) 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Beginning Net Debt 0.0 828.2 593.4 601.1 575.3 445.6 394.8 323.2 239.4 267.2
+ Beginning Preferred Stock 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
+ Beginning Shareholders' Equity 0.0 -312.2 -349.9 -368.9 -393.7 -256.2 -145.2 -105.3 -54.2 -43.5
= Total Net Capital 0.0 516.0 243.5 232.2 181.6 189.4 249.6 218.0 185.3 223.7
Income Statement
Sales 828.2 468.7 479.5 559.1 692.6 756.6 651.1 515.5 597.0
Net Operating Profit after Tax 72.5 16.5 30.7 -163.1 30.4 153.6 67.3 64.9 55.1
- Net Interest Expense after Tax 61.7 60.1 36.4 -133.0 24.1 47.0 24.8 22.1 16.5
= Net Income 10.8 -43.6 -5.7 -30.1 6.3 106.6 42.5 42.8 38.6
- Preferred Stock Dividends 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
= Net Income to Common 10.8 -43.6 -5.7 -30.1 6.3 106.6 42.5 42.8 38.6
Operating ROA 3.2% 12.6% -70.2% 16.8% 81.1% 27.0% 29.8% 29.8%
ROE 14.0% 1.6% 8.2% -1.6% -41.6% -29.3% -40.7% -71.3%
BV of Assets Growth Rate -52.8% -4.6% -21.8% 4.3% 31.8% -12.7% -15.0% 20.8%
BV of Equity Growth Rate 12.1% 5.4% 6.7% -34.9% -43.3% -27.5% -48.6% -19.6%
Net Operating Asset Turnover ratio 0.9 2.0 2.4 3.8 4.0 2.6 2.4 3.2
Page 18 of 26
Ratio Analysis
DECOMPOSING PROFITABILITY: DUPONT ALTERNATIVE 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
NOPAT / Sales 8.7% 3.5% 6.4% -29.2% 4.4% 20.3% 10.3% 12.6% 9.2%
x Sales / Net Assets 0.91 1.97 2.41 3.81 3.99 2.61 2.37 3.22
= Operating ROA 3.2% 12.6% -70.2% 16.8% 81.1% 27.0% 29.8% 29.8%
Spread -4.1% 6.5% -48.1% 12.6% 70.6% 20.7% 23.0% 22.9%
x Net Financial Leverage -2.65 -1.70 -1.63 -1.46 -1.74 -2.72 -3.07 -4.42 -6.14
= Financial Leverage Gain 10.8% -11.0% 78.4% -18.4% -122.7% -56.3% -70.5% -101.1%
ROE (Operating ROA + Spread * Net Financial Leverage) 14.0% 1.6% 8.2% -1.6% -41.6% -29.3% -40.7% -71.3%
EVALUATING OPERATING MANAGEMENT 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
EBITDA Margin 17.9% 9.4% 17.6% 14.3% 10.7% 15.9% 13.8% 15.8% 20.0%
NOPAT Margin 8.7% 3.5% 6.4% -29.2% 4.4% 20.3% 10.3% 12.6% 9.2%
Recurring NOPAT Margin 8.2% 8.3% 7.4% -30.6% 6.8% 20.5% 10.0% 11.0% 9.4%
EVALUATING INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Page 19 of 26
Ratio Analysis
EVALUATING FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Short-Term Liquidity:
Current Ratio 2.34 1.68 1.91 1.79 1.88 1.98 2.19 2.44 2.10
Quick Ratio 1.07 0.86 0.85 0.91 1.11 0.93 1.12 1.41 1.15
Cash Ratio 0.03 0.39 0.26 0.32 0.44 0.11 0.28 0.65 0.50
Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.75 0.54 -0.77 0.91 1.01 0.74 0.54 0.87
Payout Ratio:
Dividend Payout Ratio n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
Sustainable Growth Rate: 14.0% 1.6% 8.2% -1.6% -41.6% -29.3% -40.7% -71.3%
Page 20 of 26
Key Assumptions
Note: All yellow-shaded cells require input (including those preset to zero). If the appropriate
value for a blank input cell is zero, enter 0. Inputs are optional for gray-shaded cells.
Year Ended December 31, ($MM) 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Assumptions for years 1-15: Note: Only the most recent historical years reflect accounting adjustments that have been made.
Sales growth rate -43.4% 2.3% 16.6% 23.9% 9.2% -14.0% -20.8% 15.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Net operating profits after tax / sales 8.7% 3.5% 6.4% -29.2% 4.4% 20.3% 10.3% 12.6% 9.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Beginning net operating working capital / sales 41.7% 9.1% 12.2% 8.4% 7.0% 15.6% 17.8% 12.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Beginning net operating long-term assets / sales 68.4% 41.7% 29.4% 17.8% 18.1% 22.7% 24.5% 18.9% 0.0% 0.0%
After tax cost of debt 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cost of common equity 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Page 21 of 26
Performance Charts
70% Sales Growth 50% 10-Year Historic Sales Growth for Comparable U.S. Firms
60% -80%
-210%
50%
-340%
40%
-470%
Annual Sales Growth
2001
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Year Year
25% -85%
20% -245%
15% -405%
10% -565%
Net Operating Profit after Tax (NOPAT) Margin 10-Year Historic NOPAT Margin for Comparable U.S. Firms
5% -725%
0% -885%
-10% -1205%
-15% -1365%
-20% -1525%
-25% -1685%
-30% -1845%
Sales
-35% -2005%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
2000
2001
Year Year
7.0
7.0
6.5
6.5
6.0
5.5 6.0
5.0 5.5
4.5 5.0
4.0 4.5
3.5 4.0
3.0 Historic Net Operating Asset Turnover 3.5 10-Year Historic Net Operating Asset Turnover for Comparable U.S. Firms
2.5
3.0
2.0
2.5
1.5
1.0 2.0
1.5
Sales / Net Operating Assets
0.5
0.0 1.0
2000
2001
0.5
0.0
Year Year
40% 500%
30% 0%
20%
-500%
10%
-1000%
0%
-10% -1500%
-20% -2000%
-30% -2500%
-40%
-3000%
-50%
-3500%
2000
2001
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Operating Return-on-Assets (ROA) 10-Year Historic Operating ROA for Comparable U.S. Firms
Net Operating Profit after
40%
500%
30%
0%
20%
10% -500%
0% -1000%
-10% Year -1500% Year
-20% -2000%
-30%
-2500%
-40%
-50% -3000%
-60% -3500%
2000
2001
-4000%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Shareholders' Equity
Year Year
(1) Herein, comparable firms are defined as all publicly traded U.S. firms between the years 1984 and 2001, whose measure of interest (e.g., sales growth, NOPAT margin, ROE, etc.)
resides within the same quintile as BLOUNT INTL INC (for which the measure was taken in the latest income statement year).
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Pro Formas & Valuation
Year Ended December 31, ($MM) 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Income Statement
Sales 516 597 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Net operating profits after tax 65 55 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
- Net interest expense after tax 22 17 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
= Net income 43 39 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
- Preferred dividends 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
= Net income to common 43 39 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Operating Return on Assets 29.8% 29.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Return on Common Equity -40.7% -71.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Book Value of Assets Growth Rate -12.7% -15.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Book Value of Common Equity Growth Rate -27.5% -48.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Net Operating Asset Turnover 2.4 3.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Discount Factor - Common Equity 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
Book Value of Equity Growth Factor (cumulative) 1.00
Cost of Common Equity 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Year Ended December 31, ($MM) 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Year Ended December 31, ($MM) 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Page 23 of 26
Pro Formas & Valuation
Year Ended December 31, ($MM) 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Return on Common Equity 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
- Cost of Common Equity 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
= Abnormal Returns 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
* Discount Factor - Common Equity 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
* Book Value of Equity Growth Factor 1.00
= Present Value of Abnormal Return on Common Equity
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Valuation Summary
Reminders:
Table 1. Valuation Summary-Equity Valuation
Table 2. Accounting Adjustments and Summary of Effects on BLOUNT INTL INC 's 2008 Financial Statements:
NO ADJUSTMENTS RECORDED
Year Ended December 31, ($MM) 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
After tax cost of debt 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cost of common equity 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Pro Forma ROE -40.7% -71.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Page 25 of 26
Valuation Summary
Table 4. Valuation Summary, all stored scenarios for BLOUNT INTL INC :
Scenario 2
Scenario 3
Scenario 4
Scenario 5
Page 26 of 26