Professional Documents
Culture Documents
This project report has been undertaken with a view to study the
derivative markets and products and the players in this market.
The fifth chapter covers analysis on NSE and MCX data which gives
the information on the derivative market movement. In NSE I have
taken past 10 years data and on MCX I have taken samples of
commodities contract traded in past years for data analysis.
1
RESARCH METHODOLOGY
market taking into account the trading in past years. Through this
study I came to know the trading done in derivatives and their use
Trading.
derivatives
2
SCOPE OF THE PROJECT
given. It includes the data collected in the recent years and also the
Secondary sources:
It is the data which has already been collected by some one or
an organization for some other purpose or research study .The data
for study has been collected from various sources:
Books
Journals
Magazines
Internet sources
Time:
1 month
3
LIMITAITONS OF STUDY
1. LIMITED TIME:
The time available to conduct the study was only 1 months. It
being a wide topic had a limited time.
2. LIMITED RESOURCES:
Limited resources are available to collect the information about
the commodity trading also in the financial derivatives market.
3. VOLATALITY:
Share market is so much volatile and it is difficult to forecast any
thing about it whether you trade through online or offline.
4
PROFILE OF THE COMPANY
5
financial products, like mutual funds and RBI Bonds. These activities
were carried on by company’s wholly owned subsidiaries.
India Infoline Ltd broking services was launched under the
brand name of 5paisa.com through their subsidiary, India Infoline
Securities Private Limited and www.5paisa.com, the e-broking portal,
was launched for online trading in July 2000. It combined competitive
brokerage rates and research, supported by Internet technology
besides investment advice from an experienced team of research
analysts, we also offer real time stock quotes, market news and price
charts with multiple tools for technical analysis.
Vision
The vision is to be the most respected company in the financial
services space.
6
Call and Internet Securities where it is amongst the most read Indian
brokers.
7
Mumbai (BSE) and the National Stock Exchange (NSE). It offers
broking services in the Cash and Derivatives segments of the NSE as
well as the Cash segment of the BSE. A SEBI authorized Portfolio
Manager; it offers Portfolio Management Services to clients. These
services are offered to clients as different schemes, which are based
on differing investment strategies made to reflect the varied risk-
return preferences of clients.
8
view and compare different product offerings and download
application forms which they can later submit to the product
provider. Mortgages & Loans IILD has also entered the business to
distribution of mortgages and loan products during the year 2005-
2006. The business is still in the investing phase and we plan to roll
the business out across its pan-Indian network to provide it with a
truly national scale in operations.
9
INTRODUCTION TO DERIVATIVE
A farmer who sowed his crop in June faced uncertainty over the
price he would receive for his harvest in September. In years of
scarcity, he would probably obtain attractive prices. However, during
times of oversupply, he would have to dispose off his harvest at a
very low price. Clearly this meant that the farmer and his family
were exposed to a high risk of price uncertainty.
10
In 1848, the Chicago Board Of Trade, or CBOT, was established
to bring farmers and merchants together. A group of traders got
together and created the ‘to-arrive’ contract that permitted farmers
to lock into price upfront and deliver the grain later. These to-arrive
contracts proved useful as a device for hedging and speculation on
price charges. These were eventually standardized, and in 1925 the
first futures clearing house came into existence.
DERIVATIVE DEFINED
A derivative is a product whose value is derived from the value
of one or more underlying variables or assets in a contractual
manner. The underlying asset can be equity, forex, commodity or
any other asset. In our earlier discussion, we saw that wheat farmers
may wish to sell their harvest at a future date to eliminate the risk of
change in price by that date. Such a transaction is an example of a
derivative. The price of this derivative is driven by the spot price of
wheat which is the “underlying” in this case.
11
regulatory authorities for securities and commodity derivative
markets.
TYPES OF DERIVATIVES
12
FORWARD CONTRACTS
13
However forward contracts in certain markets have become
very standardized, as in the case of foreign exchange, thereby
reducing transaction costs and increasing transactions volume. This
process of standardization reaches its limit in the organized
futures market. Forward contracts are often confused with futures
contracts. The confusion is primarily because both serve
essentially th e same economic functions of allocating risk in
the presence of future price uncertainty. However futures are a
significant improvement over the forward contracts as they
eliminate counterparty risk and offer more liquidity.
FUTURE CONTRACT
A futures contract gives the holder the right and the obligation
to buy or sell, which differs from an options contract, which gives the
buyer the right, but not the obligation, and the option writer (seller)
the obligation, but not the right. To exit the commitment, the holder
of a futures position has to sell his long position or buy back his short
position, effectively closing out the futures position and its contract
obligations. Futures contracts are exchange traded derivatives. The
exchange acts as counterparty on all contracts, sets margin
requirements, etc.
14
1. Standardization:
Futures contracts ensure their liquidity by being highly standardized,
usually by specifying:
The underlying. This can be anything from a barrel of sweet
crude oil to a short term interest rate.
The type of settlement, either cash settlement or physical
settlement.
The amount and units of the underlying asset per contract.
This can be the notional amount of bonds, a fixed number of
barrels of oil, units of foreign currency, the notional amount of
the deposit over which the short term interest rate is traded,
etc.
The currency in which the futures contract is quoted.
The grade of the deliverable. In case of bonds, this specifies
which bonds can be delivered. In case of physical commodities,
this specifies not only the quality of the underlying goods but
also the manner and location of delivery. The delivery month.
The last trading date.
Other details such as the tick, the minimum permissible price
fluctuation.
2. Margin:
Although the value of a contract at time of trading should be zero, its
price constantly fluctuates. This renders the owner liable to adverse
changes in value, and creates a credit risk to the exchange, who
always acts as counterparty. To minimize this risk, the exchange
demands that contract owners post a form of collateral, commonly
known as Margin requirements are waived or reduced in some cases
for hedgers who have physical ownership of the covered commodity
or spread traders who have offsetting contracts balancing the
position.
15
Initial Margin: is paid by both buyer and seller. It represents the loss
on that contract, as determined by historical price changes, which is
not likely to be exceeded on a usual day's trading. It may be 5% or
10% of total contract price.
3. Settlement
16
short), or selling a contract to liquidate an earlier purchase
(covering a long).
Cash settlement - a cash payment is made based on the
underlying reference rate, such as a short term interest rate
index such as Euribor, or the closing value of a stock market
index. A futures contract might also opt to settle against an
index based on trade in a related spot market.
Expiry is the time when the final prices of the future are
determined. For many equity index and interest rate futures
contracts, this happens on the Last Thursday of certain trading
month. On this day the t+2 futures contract becomes the t forward
contract.
DISTINCTION BETWEEN FUTURES AND FORWARDS
CONTRACTS
FORWARD
FEATURE FUTURE CONTRACT
CONTRACT
Traded directly
Operational between two
Traded on the exchanges.
Mechanism parties (not traded
on the exchanges).
Contract
Differ from trade to Contracts are standardized
Specification
trade. contracts.
s
Exists. However, assumed
by the clearing corp., which
Counter- becomes the counter party
Exists.
party risk to all the trades or
unconditionally guarantees
their settlement.
17
Low, as contracts
are tailor made
High, as contracts are
Liquidation contracts catering
standardized exchange
Profile to the needs of the
traded contracts.
needs of the
parties.
Efficient, as markets are
Not efficient, as centralized and all buyers
Price
markets are and sellers come to a
discovery
scattered. common platform to
discover the price.
Commodities, futures, Index
Currency market in
Examples Futures and Individual stock
India.
Futures in India.
OPTIONS:
A derivative transaction that gives the option holder the right
but not the obligation to buy or sell the underlying asset at a price,
called the strike price, during a period or on a specific date in
exchange for payment of a premium is known as ‘option’. Underlying
asset refers to any asset that is traded. The price at which the
underlying is traded is called the ‘strike price’.
There are two types of options i.e., CALL OPTION & PUT OPTION.
CALL OPTION:
A contract that gives its owner the right but not the obligation
to buy an underlying asset-stock or any financial asset, at a specified
price on or before a specified date is known as a ‘Call option’. The
owner makes a profit provided he sells at a higher current price and
buys at a lower future price.
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shares of infy at the rate of rs.1700 per share on a particular day in
the month of March. If on expiry to the option the price of the share
in the market in March is being quoted at higher than rs.1700, the
investor would like to exercise the call. By buying shares at rs.1700
and selling them at prevailing higher price, the investor can make a
profit. If on the hand, the price of the share is quoted at rs.1700 or
lower, the investor would not benefit by buying the share. In any
case the writer of the call option is obliged to sell the shares at
rs.1700 per share, if called upon.
PUT OPTION:
A contract that gives its owner the right but not the obligation
to sell an underlying asset-stock or any financial asset, at a specified
price on or before a specified date is known as a ‘Put option’. The
owner makes a profit provided he buys at a lower current price and
sells at a higher future price. Hence, no option will be exercised if the
future price does not increase.
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share. In any case the writer of the put option is obliged to buy the
shares at rs1700 per share, if put option is purchased.
OPTION TERMINOLOGY
Index option
This is an option having the index (both Senex and Nifty) as the
underlying asset
Stock option
Stock option is nothing but the option on individual stocks.
American options
In this the holder of the option can exercise his right at any time in
the expiry date.
European option
These are which can be exercised only on the expiration date.
Premium
This is the money which is paid buy the buyer of an option to the
seller. That means, any buyer of the option s (both call and put) has
to pay some amount of money to the exchange for the purpose of
the security. This can be paid to the seller of the option s by the
exchange.
Strike price
Expiration date
20
It is the date on which the options are exercised. It is also known as
maturity date or exercise date.
There are mainly three terminologies used while comparing the spot
price and exercise price. Spot price is the price which is prevailing in
the market. Following are the some of the situations which gives the
clear picture about the spot and exercise price.
In-the-money
If the price of the stock in the spot market is higher than the exercise
price then the call option is said to be in-the-money. But in the case
of put option, if the spot price is less than the exercise price then it is
In-the-money contract.
At-the-money
If the spot price matches with the exercise price then both options
call as well as put are at-the money contracts.
Off-the-money
In the case of call option, if spot price is less than the exercise price
then it is called as out-of-the-money and in case of put option if spot
price is more than the exercise price then it is called as out-of the
money.
21
Intrinsic value refers to the amount by which it is in money if it is in-
the-money. As a result, the option out of the money has zero intrinsic
value.
22
example of how the investor will hedge his position using the
derivatives market.
The basic logic is “if long in cash underlying – short future and
if short in cash under lying – long future “. Let understand this by a
small example. If you have bought 100 shares of company and wants
hedge against market movements, you should short appropriate
amount of index futures. This will reduce your overall exposure to
events affecting the whole market. In case a war breaks out, the
entire market will fall. So your loss in company A would be offset by
the gains in your short position in index future.
Speculators:
If the hedgers are the people who whish to avoid the price risk
speculators are those who are willing to take such risks. These are
the people who take position in the market and assume risks to
profit from fluctuations in prices. He consumes information make
forecast about the prices and put their money in these forecasts. By
taking position they are betting that a price would go up or they are
betting that it would go down. Depending upon his perception he
may take long or short positions on futures or options or may hold
both long and short positions on futures or options or may hold both
long and short position on the derivative.
23
In the absence of derivatives speculation activity would
become very difficult as it might require huge funds to be invested.
For example, if an investor believes that the price of a particular
stock is likely to raise substantially then he would need a very huge
amount to buy the shares, keep them and sell them when the price
rises. With derivatives, it is much easier to do so because derivatives
are highly levered instruments.
Arbitrageurs:
SWAPS
24
Swaps are transactions which obligates the two parties to the
contract to exchange a series of cash flows at specified intervals
known as payment or settlement dates. They can be regarded as
portfolios of forward's contracts. A contract whereby two parties
agree to exchange (swap) payments, based on some notional
principle amount is called as a ‘SWAP’. In case of swap, only the
payment flows are exchanged and not the principle amount. The two
commonly used swaps are:
CURRENCY SWAPS:
FINANCIAL SWAP:
25
type of asset for another type of asset with a preferred income
stream.
The other kind of derivatives, which are not, much popular are as
follows:
BASKETS:
LEAPS:
WARRANTS:
SWAPTIONS:
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market has receiver swaptions and payer swaptions. A receiver
swaption is an option to receive fixed and pay floating. A payer
swaption is an option to pay fixed and receive floating.
HISTORY OF DERIVATIVES
27
The first organized commodity exchange came into existence
in the early 1700’s in Japan. The first formal commodities exchange,
the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT), was formed in 1848 in the US to
deal with the problem of ‘credit risk’ and to provide centralised
location to negotiate forward contracts. From ‘forward’ trading in
commodities emerged the commodity ‘futures’. The first type of
futures contract was called ‘to arrive at’. Trading in futures began on
the CBOT in the 1860’s. In 1865, CBOT listed the first ‘exchange
traded’ derivatives contract, known as the futures contracts. Futures
trading grew out of the need for hedging the price risk involved in
many commercial operations.
28
coloured flowers, were a symbol of affluence; owing to a high
demand, tulip bulb prices shot up. Dutch growers and dealers traded
in tulip bulb options. There was so much speculation that people
even mortgaged their homes and businesses. These speculators
were wiped out when the tulip craze collapsed in 1637 as there was
no mechanism to guarantee the performance of the option terms.
The market for futures and options grew at a rapid pace in the
eighties and nineties. The collapse of the Bretton Woods regime of
fixed parties and the introduction of floating rates for currencies in
the international financial markets paved the way for development of
a number of financial derivatives which served as effective risk
management tools to cope with market uncertainties.
29
The CBOT and the CME are two largest financial exchanges in
the world on which futures contracts are traded. The CBOT now
offers 48 futures and option contracts (with the annual volume at
more than 211 million in 2001).The CBOE is the largest exchange for
trading stock options. The CBOE trades options on the S&P 100 and
the S&P 500 stock indices. The Philadelphia Stock Exchange is the
premier exchange for trading foreign options.
The most traded stock indices include S&P 500, the Dow Jones
Industrial Average, the Nasdaq 100, and the Nikkei 225. The US
indices and the Nikkei 225 trade almost round the clock. The N225 is
also traded on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange.
30
Chronology of instruments
1991 Liberalisation process initiated
14 December NSE asked SEBI for permission to trade index
1995 futures.
18 November SEBI setup L.C.Gupta Committee to draft a policy
1996 framework for index futures.
11 May 1998 L.C.Gupta Committee submitted report.
7 July 1999 RBI gave permission for OTC forward rate
agreements (FRAs) and interest rate swaps.
24 May 2000 SIMEX chose Nifty for trading futures and options
on an Indian index.
25 May 2000 SEBI gave permission to NSE and BSE to do index
futures trading.
9 June 2000 Trading of BSE Sensex futures commenced at BSE.
12 June 2000 Trading of Nifty futures commenced at NSE.
25 September Nifty futures trading commenced at SGX.
2000
2 June 2001 Individual Stock Options & Derivatives
31
efforts in allowing forward contracts, cross currency options etc.
which have developed into a very large market.
32
exposures to interest rates, commodity prices or exchange rates.
The need for derivatives as hedging tool was felt first in the
commodities market. Agricultural futures and options helped farmers
and processors hedge against commodity price risk. After the fallout
of Bretton wood agreement, the financial markets in the world
started undergoing radical changes. This period is marked by
remarkable innovations in the financial markets such as introduction
of floating rates for the currencies, increased trading in variety of
derivatives instruments, on-line trading in the capital markets, etc.
As the complexity of instruments increased many folds, the
accompanying risk factors grew in gigantic proportions. This
situation led to development derivatives as effective risk
management tools for the market participants.
33
look into the pre-requisites, which are needed for the introduction of
derivatives and how Indian market fares:
PRE-REQUISITES INDIAN SCENARIO
Large market India is one of the largest market-capitalised
Capitalisation countries in Asia with a market capitalisation of
more than Rs.765000 crores.
34
Many people and brokers in India think that the new system of
Futures & Options and banning of Badla is disadvantageous and
introduced early, but I feel that this new system is very useful
especially to retail investors. It increases the no of options investors
for investment. In fact it should have been introduced much before
and NSE had approved it but was not active because of politicization
in SEBI.
The figure shows how advantages of new system (implemented from
June 20001) v/s the old system i.e. before June 2001
New System Vs Existing System for Market Players
Speculators
Arbitrageurs
Hedgers
Advantages:
Losses Protected.
36
FACTORS CONTRIBUTING TO THE GROWTH OF
DERIVATIVES:
A) PRICE VOLATILITY:
37
and rapid industrialisation of many underdeveloped countries
brought a new scale and dimension to the markets. Nations that
were poor suddenly became a major source of supply of goods. The
Mexican crisis in the south east-Asian currency crisis of 1990’s has
also brought the price volatility factor on the surface. The advent of
telecommunication and data processing bought information very
quickly to the markets. Information which would have taken months
to impact the market earlier can now be obtained in matter of
moments.
B) GLOBALISATION OF MARKETS:
38
necessitates use of derivatives to guard against future losses. This
factor alone has contributed to the growth of derivatives to a
significant extent.
C) TECHNOLOGICAL ADVANCES:
39
1973 were used to determine prices of call and put options. In late
1970’s work of Lewis Eddington extended the early work of Johnson
and started the hedging of financial price risks with financial futures.
The work of economic theorists gave rise to new products for risk
management which led to the growth of derivatives in financial
markets.
The above factors in combination of lot many factors led to growth of
derivatives instruments
BENEFITS OF DERIVATIVES
1] RISK MANAGEMENT:
Futures and options contract can be used for altering the risk
of investing in spot market. For instance, consider an investor who
owns an asset. He will always be worried that the price may fall
before he can sell the asset. He can protect himself by selling a
futures contract, or by buying a Put option. If the spot price falls, the
short hedgers will gain in the futures market, as you will see later.
This will help offset their losses in the spot market. Similarly, if the
spot price falls below the exercise price, the put option can always
be exercised.
2] PRICE DISCOVERY:
40
economy. Options markets provide information about the volatility or
risk of the underlying asset.
3] OPERATIONAL ADVANTAGES:
4] MARKET EFFICIENCY:
5] EASE OF SPECULATION:
41
that the associated expected return is commensurate with the risk
that he is taking.
The derivative market performs a number of economic functions.
The prices of derivatives converge with the prices of the
underlying at the expiration of derivative contract. Thus
derivatives help in discovery of future as well as current prices.
An important incidental benefit that flows from derivatives
trading is that it acts as a catalyst for new entrepreneurial
activity.
Derivatives markets help increase savings and investment in
the long run. Transfer of risk enables market participants to
expand their volume of activity.
42
exchange or the OTC market carry more risk factor. They
expose the trading parties to operational risk, counter-party
risk and legal risk.
4) Price instability:
It has been said that derivative instruments help in
balancing price fluctuations, reduce the price spread, integrate
the price structure with respect to time and remove shortages
in the markets. However, the critics have doubt about this.
They argue that derivatives have caused price fluctuations and
increased the price spread thereby resulting in price instability.
5) Displacement effect:
Another doubt over their rapid growth of the derivative
market is that it will affect the business volumes in the primary
market or the new issue market. When majority of the
investors move toward the derivatives market raising fresh
capital in the primary market will be difficult. This will give rise
to the phenomenon called displacement effect.
43
have increased the burden on the government and the
regulatory authorities to exercise control, supervision and
monitoring of the market movements so that frauds, scams
and situations of crisis can be avoided.
44
developments. While both exchange-traded and OTC derivative
contracts offer many benefits, the former have rigid structures
compared to the latter. It has been widely discussed that the highly
leveraged institutions and their OTC derivative positions were the
main cause of turbulence in financial markets in 1998. These
episodes of turbulence revealed the risks posed to market stability
originating in features of OTC derivative instruments and markets.
45
arises when shocks, such as counter-party credit events and sharp
movements in asset prices that underlie derivative contracts, occurs
which significantly alter the perceptions of current and potential
future credit exposures. When asset prices change rapidly, the size
and configuration of counter-party exposures can become
unsustainably large and provoke a rapid unwinding of positions.
46
NIFTY index futures on June 12, in the year 2000. S&P CNX NIFTY is
the benchmark index of the National Stock Exchange. The trading in
index options at the NSE started on June 4, in the year 2001 and
trading in options on individual stocks started on July 2, the same
year. Individual securities future contracts were launched on
November 9, that year. As to the present date, the derivative
contracts at the National Stock Exchange have a maximum of 3 –
month expiration cycle. At any given point of time, three derivative
contracts are available for trading with respect to the expiration
cycle. They are of 1 – month, 2 – month and 3 – month time period
for expiry. A new contract is introduced on the next trading day
which is Friday. The near month contract expires on Thursday.
The market has grown in scope and scale in a way that could
not have been imagined at the time. Average daily trading volumes
have jumped from Rs. 17 crore in 1994-95 when NSE started its Cash
Market segment to Rs.11, 325 crore in 2008-09. Similarly, market
capitalization of listed Indian firms went up from Rs.363, 350 crore at
the end of March 1995 to Rs.2, 896, 194 crore at end March 2009.
Indian equity markets are today among the most deep and vibrant
markets in the world.
47
have included the creation of the first clearing corporation in the
country in the form of the National Securities Clearing Corporation
Limited (NSCCL). NSCCL today provides central counterparty services
and manages settlement risk for multiple products, and is a major
factor in the confidence market participants have in the ability of
Indian markets to handle extreme shocks without causing any
defaults.
NSCCL is also the first clearing corporation in the country to receive.
NSE has many other firsts to its name, including the first
systematic process of member inspections, a sophisticated market
surveillance system, and a country wide high capacity data network
supporting close to 200,000 dealer terminals.
The year 2008-09 was an eventful year for NSE, as it saw the
launch of new and important products for the securities market.
Introduction of Mini Nifty Futures and Options contracts on S&P CNX
Nifty during the year has given retail investors an increased ability to
participate in index futures and options trading. NSE also started
publishing the first volatility index in the country India VIX*. Market
participants now have an important tool to assess volatility and
create trading strategies to exploit volatility movements. In May
2008, NSE developed a new trading application, NOW, or ‘NEAT on
Web’. The NOW platform allows trading members to connect to the
exchange through the internet, and has resulted in a significant
reduction in both the access cost and turnaround time for providing
access. This year also saw a watershed in the Indian currency market
in the form of a currency futures contract. NSE was the first stock
exchange in the country to launch the contract on August 29, 2008
in USDINR pair. The contract was an instant success, and currently
has daily trading volumes in excess of Rs. 2,000 crore and open
interest in excess of Rs. 1,000 crore. Other significant developments
include Long term Options Contracts on S&P CNX Nifty, Short selling
48
and Securities Lending and Borrowing Scheme, Direct Market Access
(DMA), Futures and Options contracts on S&P CNXDefty index and
the NSE E-Bids for Debt Segment. Further NSE also ventured into a
new segment by promoting a Power Exchange (Power Exchange
India Ltd -PXIL) along with NCDEX.
49
(F&O) segment and the Currency Derivatives Segment (trading on
which commenced on August 29, 2008).
Trading Value
(Rs.crore)
Segment/ye 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09
50
ar
Capital Market 1569558 1945287 3551038 275203
Future& 4824250 7356271 13090478 11010482
Option
CDS* 162272
WDM 475523 219106 282317 33592
Total 6869332 9520664 16923833 14260729
*CDS-Currency Derivatives Segment
51
Products available for trading on derivatives segment
Products on derivatives segment Date of Lunch
S&P CNX Nifty Future June12,2000
S&P CNX Nifty Option June 4,2001
Single Stock Option July 2, 2001
Single Stock Future November 9,2001
Interest Rate Future June 24,2003
CNX IT Futures & Option August29,2003
Bank nifty Future & Option June 13,2005
CNX Nifty Junior Future &Option June 01,2007
CNX 100 Future & Option June 01,2007
Nifty Midcap 50 Futures & Option October 05,2007
Mini Nifty Futures & Option on S&P CNX January 01,2008
Nifty
Long term Options on S&P CNX Nifty March 03,2008
S&P CNX Defty Futures &Options December10,2008
52
summarily specifies the derivative products and their date of
introduction on the BSE
CURRENCY DERIVATIVES
53
Traded Currency Derivatives. The Committee submitted its report on
May 29, 2008. This report laid down the framework for the launch of
Exchange Traded Currency Futures in terms of the eligibility norms
for existing and new Exchanges and their Clearing
Corporations/Houses, eligibility criteria for members of such
Exchanges/Clearing Corporations/Houses, product design, risk
management measures, surveillance mechanism and other related
issues.
54
Trading in Currency Futures segment commenced on August 29,
2008. On the very first day of operations a total number of 65,798
contracts valued at Rs.291 crore were traded on the Exchange. Since
then trading activity in this segment has been witnessing a rapid
growth. The total traded volume from August 2008 till March 2009
was Rs.162, 272 crore (US $ 31,849 million). Total numbers of
contracts traded during the August 2008 to March 2009 were
32,672,768. The business growth of Currency Futures Segment is
shown
55
electronic exchanges and 21 regional exchanges for trading
commodity derivatives. As many as eighty (80) commodities have
been allowed for derivatives trading. The value of trading has been
booming and is likely to cross the $ 1 Trillion mark in 2006 and, if all
goes well, seems to be set to touch $5 Trillion in a few years.
56
A derivative is a financial contract whose price depends on, or is
derived from, the price of another asset.
57
The option holder will exercise the option only if it is beneficial
to him; otherwise he will let the option lapse. For example, suppose a
farmer buys a put option to sell 100 Quintals of wheat at a price of
$25 per quintal and pays a ‘premium’ of $0.5 per quintal (or a total
of $50). If the price of wheat declines to say $20 before expiry, the
farmer will exercise his option and sell his wheat at the agreed price
of $25 per quintal. However, if the market price of wheat increases
to say $30 per quintal, it would be advantageous for the farmer to
sell it directly in the open market at the spot price, rather than
exercise his option to sell at $25 per quintal.
58
cotton, derivatives trading started in oilseeds in Bombay (1900), raw
jute and jute goods in Calcutta (1912), wheat in Hapur (1913) and in
Bullion in Bombay (1920). However, many feared that derivatives
fuelled unnecessary speculation in essential commodities, and were
detrimental to the healthy functioning of the markets for the
underlying commodities, and hence to the farmers. With a view to
restricting speculative activity in cotton market, the Government of
Bombay prohibited options business in cotton in 1939. Later in 1943,
forward trading was prohibited in oilseeds and some other
commodities including food-grains, spices, vegetable oils, sugar and
cloth. After Independence, the Parliament passed Forward Contracts
(Regulation) Act, 1952 which regulated forward contracts in
commodities all over India. The Act applies to goods, which are
defined as any movable property other than security, currency and
actionable claims.
59
commodities derivative markets dismantled and went underground
where to some extent they continued as OTC contracts at negligible
volumes. Much later, in 1970s and 1980s the Government relaxed
forward trading rules for some commodities, but the market could
never regain the lost volumes.
60
MCX are Financial Technologies (India) Ltd., State Bank of India,
NABARD, NSE, HDFC Bank, State Bank of Indore, State Bank of
Hyderabad, State Bank of Saurashtra, SBI Life Insurance Co. Ltd.,
Union Bank of India, Bank Of India, Bank Of Baroda, Canara Bank,
Corporation Bank. Headquartered in Mumbai, MCX is led by an
expert management team with deep domain knowledge of the
commodity futures markets. Through the integration of dedicated
resources, robust technology and scalable infrastructure, since
inception MCX has recorded many first to its credit .Inaugurated in
November 2003 by Shri Mukesh Ambani, Chairman & Managing
Director, Reliance industries Ltd, MCX offers futures trading in the
following commodity categories: Agri Commodities, Bullion, Metals-
Ferrous & Non-ferrous, Pulses, Oils & Oilseeds, Energy, Plantations,
Spices and other soft commodities. MCX has built strategic alliances
with some of the largest players in commodities eco-system, namely,
Bombay Bullion Association, Bombay Metal Exchange, Solvent
Extractors' Association of India, Pulses Importers Association,
Shetkari Sanghatana, United Planters Association of India and India
Pepper and Spice Trade Association.
61
National Commodity & Derivatives Exchange Limited
(NCDEX)
62
technology driven de-mutualized on-line commodity exchange with
an independent Board of Directors and professionals not having any
vested interest in commodity markets. It is committed to provide a
world-class commodity exchange platform for market participants to
trade in a wide spectrum of commodity derivatives driven by best
global practices, professionalism and transparency .NCDEX is
regulated by Forward Market Commission in respect of futures
trading in commodities.
1. INDEX FUTURES
63
Year No. of contracts Percentage change
2009-10 178306889 -18%
2008-09 210428103 26%
2007-08 156598579 48%
2006-07 81487424 28%
2005-06 58537886 63%
2004-05 21635449 21%
2003-04 17191668 88%
2002-03 2126763 52%
2001-02 1025588 -
Number of contracts per year
INTERPRETATION:
From the figure shown in the table and graph it is clear that there is
a steady growth in the index futures contracts traded. From the year
2001-02 to 2008-09 it has shown the growth every year but in the
year 2009-10 it decline it may because of recovery of the rescission
period.
64
2006-07 2539574 40%
2005-06 1513755 49%
2004-05 772147 28%
2003-04 554446 92%
2002-03 43952 -
2001-02 21483 -
INTERPRETATION:
From the above data and the figure above its very clear that from
the year 2001-02 to 2007-08 the turnover was increasing. In the year
2008-09 it declined but in the next year it recovered the previous
year’s condition.
2. STOCK FUTURES
65
Number of contracts per year in stock future
INTERPRETATION:
From the figure shown in the table it is very clear that there has
been a huge and dramatic increase in the stock future. Over the
period from 2001-02 to 2009-10 there were no NSE stock future in
the year 2001-02 for the year 2009-10 the total contract traded were
a whopping 145591240. Initially the number of contracts traded goes
by 82% in the year 2002-03, 67%in 2003-04. In the next few year
though the rise was not as pronounced as in the years mentioned
above there is still substantial increase. It is only in the year 2009-10
that the contract traded registered a decline but this could be
attributed to the market condition.
66
2002-03 286533 82%
2001-02 51515 -
2000-01 - -
INTERPRETATION:
There has been a steady increase in the stock future turnover over
the years. But compare to 2007-08 the decrease in the year 2008-09
is very significant. The decrease is whopping 117%. It recovered in
the year 2009-10 with an increase of 33%. Through this we clearly
observe that movement of stock future has always been in tendon
with market condition.
3. INDEX OPTIONS
67
2000-01 - -
INTERPRETATION:
Index option traded in the derivatives market always been positive.
With this chart we can observe that in the year 2008-09 there was a
significant increase in number of contract traded.
68
INTERPRETATION:
From the above data and the bar chart we can observe that in ever
year the turnover was in the increasing way. Comparing with 2008-
09 to 2009-10 we can find 54% growth recorded.
4. STOCK OPTIONS
69
INTERPRETATION:
From the above chart and data we can observe very volatile growth
in stock options. By comparing with yearly growth rate 2009-10
growth rate is comparatively very less.
70
INTERPRETATION:
From the above table and the graph in stock option turnover we can
find that growth in stock option contract traded in the year 2008-09
is 29% but in the turnovers is significantly negative and it was -57%.
Where as the growth in contracts traded was 5% in the year in 2009-
10 but growth in turnover is 55% positive which shows positive
future trend.
5. OVERALL TRADING
2009-10 679293922 3%
2008-09 657390497 35%
2007-08 425013200 49%
2006-07 216883573 27%
2005-06 157619271 51%
2004-05 77017185 26%
2003-04 56886776 71%
2002-03 16768909 75%
2001-02 4196873 98%
2000-01 90580 -
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INTERPRETATION:
From the above table and graph in over all trading the growth is
significantly less in the year 2009-10. But we can observe that the
growth over the past is very significant, because growth is
7498%more comparing with 2001-02 and 2009-10 which shows
robust growth.
6. OVERALL TURNOVER
Percentage
Year Turnover (Rs. cr.)
change
2009-10 17663664.57 38%
2008-09 11010482.20 -19%
2007-08 13090477.75 44%
2006-07 7356242 34%
2005-06 4824174 47%
2004-05 2546982 16%
2003-04 2130610 79%
2002-03 439862 77%
2001-02 101926 98%
2000-01 2365 -
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INTERPRETATION:
From the above table and graph we find that expect in the year
2008-09 overall turnover is positive in all the years. Overall contract
traded was 35% in 2008-09 but negative 19%. The overall contract
traded shown 3%in 2009-10 but overall turnover is positive 35%
which is the positive indicator.
73
INTERPRETATION:
From the above table and graph we can observe that in the NSE
derivatives segment overall daily turnover registered positive growth
except in the year 2008-09. In 2008-09 the average daily turnover
declined by 15% it may be because of unfavourable market condition
or may be recession period. In the next year the turnover has shown
the recovery and the positive growth of 37%.
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BULLION IN MCX
The bullion includes precious metals like gold, silver, platinum etc
GOLD
Traded Percentage
Year Contracts(in change
lots)
2003-04 632843
2004-05 2600407 76%
2005-06 9957351 74%
2006-07 7604891 -31%
2007-08 14024217 46%
2008-09 12144967 -15%
INTERPRETATION:
From the above table and graph Gold contract traded in MCX had
increased by 76% in the year 2004-05 from 2003-04. In the year
2006-07 it had declined by 31% and again in the year 2007-08 it had
increased by 46% and again it had declined in 2008-09. We could
assign the cause for increased contracts in gold in the year 2007-08
to market sentiments.
SILVER
75
Traded Percentage
Year
Contracts(in lots) change
2003-04 1389775
2004-05 5844765 76%
2005-06 9498544 38%
2006-07 9183273 -3%
2007-08 10972676 16%
2008-09 11555501 5%
INTERPRETATION:
From the above data and chart Gold and silver contracts almost
traded parallel. In the year 2006-07 silver contracts had declined by
3% whereas gold by 31% and in 2008-09 it had raised by 5%,
whereas gold declined by 15% with this we can conclude that market
has more positive for silver than gold.
Traded
Year Contracts(in Percentage change
lots)
2003-04 1576
2004-05 194970 99%
2005-06 307495 37%
2006-07 111804 -175%
2007-08 610478 82%
2008-09 355556 -72%
INTERPRETATION:
From the above table and graph Aluminium contracts traded in the
MCX is showing clear volatility. It had experienced 175% decline in
contracts traded in 2006-07. It had increased by 82% in 2007-08 and
again it had declined 72% in 2008-09 which shows that traders have
to be more cautious before investment.
NICKEL
77
Traded Percentage
Year
Contracts(in lots) change
2003-04 740
2004-05 13939 95%
2005-06 30982 55%
2006-07 2169749 99%
2007-08 2022276 -7%
2008-09 9792850 79%
ITERPRETATION:
From the data and chart above the nickel market shown huge
growth.
Except in the year 2007-08 in all the year’s contracts traded in the
market has shown positive signal. Growth in contract traded is very
significant in 2008-09 because it has recovered from 7% decline and
registered 79% growth which shows positive signals steadily.
ENERGY SECTORE
78
NATURAL GAS
Traded Percentage
Year Contracts(in change
lots)
2006 1953756
2007 1732759 -13%
2008 747506 -132%
2009 11124296 93%
INTERPRETATION:
From the above table and graph in energy segment contracts traded
in the year 2008-09 is whopping 11124296 which is 93% higher than
previous year. The negative market sentiments in past 2 years 2007,
2008 contracts trade declined drastically but market potentials are
strong in this segment.
79
CRUDE OIL
INTERPRETATION:
From the above table and graph Crude oil is one of the valuable
commodities traded in the derivatives market. The contract has been
traded showing positive results. It has grown steadily. In the year
2008-09 contracts traded in the MCX increased by 50% from the
year 2007-08. This shows positive signal for future.
PLANTATION SECTORE
80
RUBBER
Traded Percentage
Year
Contracts(in lots) change
2004-05 10574
2005-06 181010 94%
2006-07 53551 -238%
2007-08 56036 4%
2008-09 1368 -3996%
INTERPRETATION:
From the above table and graph we can observe that contracts
traded in the MCX for Rubber is presently in the negative zone. In the
spot market Rubber has good demand in MCX the contacts traded
were very less. In the year 2007-08 it shown positive growth after in
next year we can observe sudden decline in the number of contracts
traded.
81
OIL AND OIL SEEDS
CRUDE PALM
Traded Percentage
Year Contracts(in change
lots)
2003-04 37
2004-05 8682 100%
2005-06 3658 -137%
2006-07 134570 97%
2007-08 263224 49%
INTERPRETATION:
From the above table and graph except in the year 2005-06
contracts traded in crude palm has been growing year after year.
Because increased demand for crude palm and uncertain price in
spot market has contributed to the growth of contracts traded in
crude palm.
82
SOYA BEEN
INTERPRETATION:
From the above table and graph we can observe the volatility in the
contracts traded. From 2003-06 market was in the positive zone. In
2008-09 it fell down to -5842%. In 2008-09 market recovered by
99%.
83
CEREALS
MAIZE
INTERPRETATION:
From the above graph and table the contracts traded on maize
registered huge fall. In the year 2008-09 we can observe the very
slow growth of 55% compare to the past years contracts traded. The
contract traded in 2003-06 in the positive side after that this has not
recovered.
84
WHEAT
INTERPRETATION:
From the above graph and table we can observe huge volatility in
the contracts traded on wheat. In the year 2006-07 we can find huge
decline of -27362% and after next year the contract traded on wheat
registered 100% growth. In the year 2008-09 it followed the history
of declining of -1953%.
85
SPICES
TURMERIC
INTERPRETATION:
From the above table and graph we can observe the increase of
growth rate year by year but the data available up to 2006-07. The
contracts traded in every year registered the positive growth.
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CARDAMOM
INTERPRETATION:
From the above graph and table the contracts traded on cardamom
in the declining way. In the year 2006-07 this took a sudden decline
of
-477% in the contract traded. After that in the year 2008-09 the
growth rate has shown the positive 26%.
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FINDINGS
88
activities in the market. The world over, the volume of
derivative trading has increased in multiples of the value of the
underlying assets while a mere one or two percent of the
transactions are settled by actual delivery. The rest of the
trading is done with speculative and gambling motives.
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RECOMMENDATIONS & SUGGESTIONS
90
CONCLUSION
91
BIBLIOGRAPHY
Books Referred
Websites visited:
www.nse-india.com
www.bseindia.com
www.ncdex.com
www.google.com
www.derivativesindia.com
www.mcxindia.com
www.ncdexindia.com
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