Professional Documents
Culture Documents
9 Or a change in weather
patterns (extreme
events)
Climate Change over RP:
Facts and manifestations
1.5
Anomaly
temperature by 0.0
the last half -1.0
century -1.5
51 56 61 66 71 76 81 86 91 96 01 06
Year
Percent of Time TMAX >= 90th Percentile of Maximum Temperature
There are already trends 30
Period: 1961-2005
of increasing number of 25
hot days and warm
20
P e rc e n t
15
nights, 10
0
1961 1966 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001
30.00
25.00
15.00
5.00
warmer.
Climate Change over RP:
The Concerns
Extreme
weather/climate
events like intense
rains have been
seen to be more
frequent
Damaging Storms &
Typhoons, Intense rainfall
events
ORMOC FLASHFLOOD
November 1991
PANAON ISLAND
FLASHFLOOD
Dec 2003
ST. BERNARD
LANDSLIDE
Feb 2006
Typhoon “Reming”
Nov. 2006
Typhoon Frank
(Fengshen) June 21, 2008. (MV Princess
of the Stars) www.
Typhoon “Frank”
June 2008
Oct. 2009
Sept. 2009
Jan. 2010
Dec. 2009
Extreme Climate variability
(ENSO of 2010)
April 2010
Extreme Climate variability
(ENSO of 2010)
June 2010
May 2010
April 2010 Projected
Rainfall
Impacts of ENSO
Industry
Trends in the Number of TC
TRENDS IN TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE PHILIPPINES
1971-00
250
1951-80
1961-90
200
51-80
Number
150
61-90
71-00
100
50
LUZON
Luzon VISAYAS
Visayas
MINDANAO
Mindanao
Climate Change over RP: JJA 2050
Future Projections
• Based on SRES A1B
scenario, Increase in
annual mean temperature
of 0.9 to 1.1oC by 2020,
and about 1.9 to 2.2 oC by
2050 MAM_2050
• Increase in rainfall of
about 45% in some areas
during wet season
Climate Change over RP: DJF_2020
Future Projections
• Reduction in rainfall of
about 25% during DJF
• Drier season of March‐ DJF_2050
April become drier, wet
season of MAM, and JJA
become wetter
How do we respond?
Adaptation to changes that we can not avoid
- Need tools to know what to adapt to
and how effective coping strategies
might be
• Modernization of Pampanga
and Agno River Basin Flood
Forecasting and Warning
System
• Establishment of
Community-Based Flood
Monitoring and Early
Warning System
Establishment of state‐of‐the art
Doppler Weather Radar Network
• Virac (JICA)
• Aparri (JICA)
• Guian (JICA)
• Tagaytay (OP)
• SBMA (OP)
• Cebu (OP)
• Hinatuan
• Tampakan
• Baguio upgrading (DOST)
• Baler upgrading (DOST)
Public Information & Awareness Campaign
Risk assessment & Multi-hazard Mapping
Ground shaking Ground rupture
Earthquake-induced Liquefaction
Landslide
Community-based Flood Early Warning Drills
Advanced Science (Space Technology Applications)
Upgrading and Establishment of
Ground Meteorological Satellite Facilities
• Meteorological Buoys
• Wind Profilers
Upper‐air Station Network
• Laoag
• Tanay
• Legaspi
• Cebu
• Davao
Upgrading of Meteorological
Communications System
Wx Station
• Cellur-based Central Forecasting Center
forecast
dissemination TEL
• VSAT CO
• Backup SSB Radio Wx Station
Wx Station
Wx Station Wx Station
Wx Station
Cellular‐based PAGASA network
Concluding statement
Recent extreme weather events whether or not are
manifestations that Climate Change is now within
our shores, perhaps are WAKE UP CALLS.