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EVALUATION OF THE ROI AND CSD ROAD MAP


IN LOW PER CAPITA MARKET

A DISSERTATION SUBMITTED IN PARTIAL FULFILLMENT OF


THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THE AWARD OF MBA DEGREE OF
BANGALORE UNIVERSITY.

Submitted By:
Saurabh Nagar
Reg.No-05XQCM6081

UNDER THE GUIDENCE OF:


Prof. Ramgopal Srinivas
SENIOR PROFESSOR, MPBIM, BANGALORE

M.P.BIRLA INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT


ASSOCIATE BHARTIYA VIDYA BHAVAN.
BANGALORE-560001
2005-2007
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DECLARATION

I, Saurabh Nagar, do hereby declare that this project report entitled


“CSD road map in low per capita market and ROI” is an original
research work carried out by me under the guidance of Prof Ramgopal
Srinivas, Senior Professor, M P Birla Institute of Management,
Bangalore (Internal Guide). The contents of this report have not been
published before and they reflect the work done by me during
organizational training component of MBA Program of MP Birla
Institute of Management, Bangalore from 20/03/07 to 07/05/07 with
PepsiCo India Holdings(Pvt.) Ltd.
I also declare that this dissertation has not been submitted to
any University/Institution for the award of any
Degree/Diploma.

Place: Bangalore
Date: 7th May 2007 (Saurabh Nagar)
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GUIDE’S CERTIFICATE

I hereby state that the Dissertation entitled “CSD road map in low per capita
market and ROI” is the project work carried out by Mr. Saurabh Nagar
under my guidance and supervision.

Place: Bangalore Prof. Ramgopal Srinivas


Date: (Professor MPBIM)
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PRINCIPAL’S CERTIFICATE

This is to certify that this report titled “EVALUATION OF THE OI AND


CSD ROAD MAP IN LOW PER CAPITA MARKET” has been prepared
by Saurabh Nagar of M.P.Birla Institute Of Management is partial
fulfillment of the award of the degree, Master of Business Administration at
Bangalore University, under the guidance and supervision of Prof
Ramgopal, MPBIM, Bangalore.

Place: Bangalore Principal


Date: (Dr. N. S. Malavalli)
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ACKNOWLEDGEMENT

This project report is the result of a six-week long study at Pepsi under the
supervision of Mr. Elangovan Sanbandam (SAM) and Mr. Yogesh Rathore
(PAM). I thank them for giving us such an opportunity to work with the
organization and his trust which allowed us the freedom and flexibility to
study every aspect of the distribution network and distributors, with hardly
any restrictions on the access to confidential software and data.

I would like to express my gratitude to Mr. Rakesh Shukla (ADM) who


helped in arranging the project for us and guiding us at every step whenever
we need assistance.

I would like to thank Mr. R P Gupta for his patience and the precious time
he spent with us in the last four weeks of the study, explaining the
fundamentals of the Microsoft Excel and the implementation part of it in the
company.
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I also wish to acknowledge the contribution of the route agents, distributors


and the CE and whose valuable time, opinions and suggestions helped us
immensely.

I must thank Prof. Ramgopal Srinivas for his encouragement before we


started the project and his guidance during the course of the study. Without
his wealth of knowledge, and the reassurance that he would be there for
guidance and support, I would not have been able to gather the courage to
embark on this journey into the unfamiliar world of ROI.

Last but certainly not the least, I wish to acknowledge the efforts and the
help of all the PepsiCo staff at Lucknow to the entire process and without
whose help this project would not have been possible.

(Saurabh Nagar)
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CONTENTS

Executive Summary PAGE NO.


LIST OF ABBREVATIONS

INTRODUCTION 12
The Organization
Marketing Strategies
Promotion
FOBO Distribution
COBO Distribution
Introduction to the Study

AREA OF STUDY AND METHOLODGY 22


Area of Study
Methodology
Field Components
Office Component
Data Sources

DISTRIBUTION NETWORK 27
Introduction
Challenges 2007-2009
OBSERVATIONS AND RECOMMENDATION 47
Sample Distribution

REGION WISE DISTRIBUTION 49

CITY/DHQ/UPC WISE DISTRIBUTION 50


Observations
Recommendation
Impact
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Contemporary GTM

SS model proposed 65
ANNEXURE: 67
• Select Bibliography including websites used.
• Interview Schedule
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
This project is a study of Pepsi’s Distribution programme (PDP) in
UTTAR PRADESH and UTTARANCHAL and the Return on
Investment (ROI) of the existing Distributor of Pepsi.

Other than general overview of the current distribution network, the


project aims to look into the details of how investment is being used by
the distributor and the Company to increase their profit or earnings,
thereby increasing the productivity and efficiency of the distributor.

Based on the findings of a Six-week study, this report identifies certain


loopholes in the distributor’s policy as well as in company policy.

Finally, the report provides possible solution to the above problems in


the form of recommendation as well as certain suggestion for more
optimal use of distributors.
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LIST OF ABBREVATIONS

ADC Account Development Coordinator


BSD Bottled Soft Drink
CE Customer Executive
CEMU Central Market Unit
COBO Company Owned Bottling Plant
COP Central Order Processing
D Distributor
EDS Each Dealer Survey
FMCG Fast Moving Consumer Goods
FOBO Franchise Owned Bottling Plant
GIS Geographical Information System
MDM Market Development Manager
MT Empty (Empty Glass Bottle)
NOMU North Market Unit
PET Polyethylene Terephthalate (recycled plastic)
PJP Pepsi Journey Plan
RDP Rural Development Programme
RSP Rural Sales Promoter
SAP System Applications and Products in data
processing. It is the name for the both online
financial software and for the company that
developed it.
SD Sub Distributor
SKU Stock Keeping Unit
TDM Territory Development Manager
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INTRODUCTION
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The Organization:
PepsiCo's beverage business was founded in 1898 by Caleb Bradham,
a New Bern, North Carolina druggist, who first formulated Pepsi-Cola.
Today, PepsiCo is among the largest consumer products companies in
the world, with revenues of over $28 billion and over 150,000
employees. The PepsiCo principal businesses include Frito-Lay snacks,
Pepsi-Cola beverages; Gatorade sports drinks, Tropicana juices and
Quaker Foods. PepsiCo brands are available in nearly 200 countries
and territories and generate sales at the retail level of about $78
billion. PepsiCo offers product choices to meet a broad variety of
needs and preference - from fun-for-you items to product choices that
contribute to healthier lifestyles. PepsiCo's mission is "To be the
world's premier consumer Products Company focused on convenient
foods and beverages.

PepsiCo India:

Pepsi is one of the most well known brands in the world today
available in over 200 countries. The company has the largest and
fastest growing businesses in India and China, which include more
than a third of the world's population. This reflects that India holds a
central position in Pepsi's corporate strategy. India is a key market for
PepsiCo, and at the same time the company has added value to Indian
agriculture and industry. PepsiCo entered India in 1989 and is
concentrating in three focus areas
. Soft drink concentrate
. Snack foods and vegetable Food processing
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The company entered the Indian market through a joint venture with
Voltas and Punjab Agro Industries. With the introduction of the
liberalisation policies since 1991, Pepsi took complete control of its
operations. One of PepsiCo's key strategies was to develop a
completely local management team. Pepsi has 19 company owned
factories while their Indian bottling partners own 21.

Marketing Strategies
India forms a key market in PepsiCo's global strategy. However,
despite a huge market of a billion people, the soft drink industry, with
a per capita consumption of two bottles, was vastly underdeveloped.

Pepsi's marketing problem went beyond the normal 4Ps of operating


effectively in a market. To enter India, Pepsi faced a 6P marketing
problem, with Politics and Public opinion constituting the 2 additional
Ps. Pepsi played the 6Ps very effectively. It delivered an export/import
surplus to the then foreign exchange starved government by offering
to develop agricultural exports from Punjab. In this way, it was able to
offset the cost of importing concentrate into the country. Parallely,
with its trend-setting advertising, innovative on-ground marketing and
intrusive distribution system, Pepsi, today, has brought to its fold a
staggering 200 million consumers. Brand Pepsi is the largest single
soft drink brand in India. Pepsi is recognized as 'The' iconic youth
brand in this part of the world. After flooding cities and large towns,
Pepsi is now penetrating the rural market.
Pepsi launched in India as Lehar Pepsi - 'The choice of a new
generation'. In the year 1993, Coca-Cola was planning a re-entry into
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India. Having been for years the cola that Indians grew up drinking,
the threat of such familiarity, albeit somewhat dated, had to be
countered. The task was, therefore, to reiterate faith and retain loyal
consumers. To ride on the passion generated by its very
successful launch, Pepsi followed with its first Hinglish 'Yehi hai right
choice baby. Aha!' commercial. The Cola Wars had come to India.

'Aha!' created a new idiom. Pepsi further built empathy and stature by
signing on a host of youth icons of the time. It is, however, Shah Rukh
Khan, arguably one of India's biggest cine stars, who continues to
endorse Pepsi to date and epitomizes the brands connect with
movies, music and Bollywood.

The 50th year of Indian independence was an opportune period for


Pepsi to celebrate the spirit of youth. 'Freedom to be' was Pepsi's
salute.

1998 was the year of the 'Generation Next'. With its finger constantly
on the pulse of the nation, Pepsi revisited its raison deter - the
consumer. The brand was given a new vision - in tune with the
consumer experiences and their attitude to life - 'Yen dil maange
more' was the new brand expression.

The Product Pepsi and its other Brands


The Cola franchise also includes Diet Pepsi, the first diet cola to be
launched in India. Catering to emerging needs of the calorie and figure
conscious, Diet Pepsi is the image variant in the portfolio.
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Cola is not the only product PepsiCo brought to India. The PepsiCo
brand stable includes Mountain Dew, Mirinda, 7UP, Slice, Aquafina and
Tropicana forming a part of the wide spectrum of beverages offered.
Mountain Dew, introduced in 2003 has succeeded in creating an
entirely new category. Pepsi's launch of America's number one selling
bottled water, Aquafina, fuelled the dull and boring Indian packaged
water industry with a distinctive brand position that reflected
consumer lifestyle and status.

Promotion
The bottled soft drink category needs to be driven with
continuous excitement. Early on, Pepsi India identified three
broad platforms: cricket, movies and music to give expression
to its core value of excitement.

While cricket had always been the most popular sport in India,
with new technology coming into cricket from coverage to sports
gear to day/night versions of the game, it was set to acquire the
status of a religion in the sub-continent. Pepsi picked up the
opportunity early on by not only contracting the rights to all
Tests and One Day Internationals (ODIs) played in India,
but also signing up top performers early such as Sachin
Tendulkar and Rahul Dravid and creating some very cutting
edge and memorable advertising campaigns with them.
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Channels of Operations (Distribution Network)

The entire country is divided into four zones in marketing of


bottled soft drinks (BSD). These are namely:

. North Market Unit (NOMU)


. South Market Unit (SOMU)
. Central Market Unit (CEMU)
. Western Market Unit (WEMU)

Pepsi Co. Ltd. operates through two channels in the beverages


sector namely
Franchise Owned Bottling Operations (FOBO)
Company Owned Bottling Operations (COBO)

FOBO Distribution

In case of FOBO distribution the production and distribution process in


handled by the franchisee and the company appoints a franchise
manager to look into the FOBO operations. The FOBO structure is as
follows:
ƒ Pepsi Foods Ltd.
ƒ Syrup Providing '
ƒ Franchise Bottlers
ƒ Franchise's investment in plant, machinery and glass Trucks
for distribution
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ƒ PepsiCo India Marketing Company (Sales and Marketing) The


various regions covered by the FOBO channel in India are as
follows:
o Jammu and Kashmir
o Delhi and National Capital Regions
o Western Uttar Pradesh
o Rajasthan
o Goa
o Madhya Pradesh.
o Orissa.
o Andhra Pradesh.
o North Eastern States.
o Bihar.
o Jharkhand

COBO Distribution

The COBO distribution channel is further classified as


DIRECT through Carrying and Forwarding (C& F) Agents
INDIRECT through Distributors

The regions of India which are served by the COBO


distribution channel are:
¾ Eastern Uttar Pradesh.
¾ Punjab
¾ Haryana
¾ Himachal Pradesh.
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¾ Gujarat.
¾ Maharashtra.
¾ Karnataka.
¾ Kerala.
¾ West Bengal.
¾ Tamil Nadu

UP - COBO

UP - COBO covers six territories of Uttar Pradesh, namely


¾ Kanpur.
¾ Lucknow.
¾ Allahabad.
¾ Gorakhpur.
¾ Uttaranchal.
¾ Bareilly
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Figure 1.1 Map of six districts of UP-COBO

Uttar Pradesh has three production centers or plants in the following


locations:

™ Jainpur located at a distance of about 48 Kms. from Kanpur It


is a three line plant .

™ Sataria located at about 52 Kms. from Allahabad. It has two


lines of production.

™ Bajpur located at a distance of 120 Kms. From Bareilly. The


plant has two lines of production.
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Introduction to the Study

This eight-week study was conducted for UP-COBO and


UTTARANCHAL-COBO to understand the distribution system employed
by the PepsiCo. Especially with regard to all segment setup. Since the entire
area of operation was too large to be studied in such a short span of time, the
study is based on observation in several CITY, DHQ and UPC in Uttar
Pradesh and Uttaranchal.

To maximize the ROI (Return on Investment) for the distributor particularly


in the small slab size and in the process increasing the turnover for the
company. The aim of the study was primarily to evaluate the existing
earning of the distributor and the existing distribution system.

During the course of the study, distributors had to be acquainted with and
their working along with the working of the CE and RSP had to be
observed. Based on these observation and inputs from the distributor, the
study attempts to identify loopholes policy acquired by the distributor and
how to better use the company policy for maximizing the earning of the
distribution Channel.
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AREA OF STUDY
AND
METHOLODGY
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Area of Study

The study was conducted for the distribution network and distributors
ROI in the six territories in Uttar Pradesh and Uttaranchal which come
under UP-COBO namely Lucknow, Gorakhpur, Kanpur, Allahabad,
Varanasi, and Uttaranchal. A detailed study was conducted in
Lucknow, Kanpur, Varanasi, Allahabad, Uttaranchal territories
covering city, DHQ and UPC.
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The market of India is increasingly being recognized as the richest


potential market by MNC’s and other companies looking to expand
their operations. In the UP-COBO area alone there are 71 districts.

Methodology

In order to understand the distribution system used by Pepsi, the initial phase
of the project involved three weeks of field work in city, urban as well as in
rural markets. A PJP was prepared which provided an insight into the
working of urban distribution network through rotes rides in Pepsi trucks
within Lucknow and visits to rural market with an RSP to observe the
process involved in supply.

Following the field visit, the summarizing of all the data collected on
Microsoft Excel was observed. During this phase, some inconsistencies in
the data were found and further visit to the places were undertaken to verify
the data.

During the field work and office work, interviews and informal discussion
with the Staff members (TDM, ADC, SAM, PAM, CE, ME), distributors
were conducted in order to learn more about the distributors and their
network and understand problem from different prospective.

Finally, an attempt was made to combine the learning in both phases by


actually summarizing all the information collected (volumes, manpower,
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vehicle used, area occupied, outlets etc) and then drawing conclusion to
identify the problems and loopholes in the process of distribution. This
detailed study and analysis of data was conducted for certain distributors in
all the six territories.

Field Components
During the first phase of the project which lasted three weeks, a survey is
being done of some distributors which include distributors of all Slab size in
order to gain an understanding of their investment so as to calculate the ROI.

Over a period of 2 days, rout rides with road agents in Pepsi distribution
trucks on the Hazratganj, Lalbagh, and Nishatganj routes provided an insight
into the problems and peculiarities of FMCG distribution as well as the sales
promotion schemes and the tracking of daily sales volumes. During these
routes rides, CE-work formats were filled which gave an overview of the
market situation on various routes.

Following this, a two week stint of observation, data collection and


interviewing in the UP market was undertaken in order to study the
distribution network, the success of company’s policy and the penetration of
Pepsi in the market. This two week phase also provided a comparison of the
marketing strategies and success of coke marketing vis-à-vis Pepsi’s, the
problem associated with distributors.

During this stage of the fieldwork, interviews and the informal chats
provided a lot of information and market survey in few distributors provide a
strong base to draw various conclusions.
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After this fieldwork stage, another week in the field was required to
crosscheck some data which seemed inconsistent with earlier field
observation.

Office Component
Following the three week fieldwork, a short overview and informal training
on the SAP software were undertaken in order to gain familiarity with the
software. Due to time constraints, a more detailed knowledge and working
was not possible. After this introduction to Excel, summarizing of data
collected and volume tracking was done in order to understand the entire
process of how data collected is useful in the calculation of ROI, some
inconsistencies and doubts in the integrity of the data arose which prompted
further field visit.

Data Sources

Primary data was obtained from interviews, surveys, discussions and


informal dialogue with employees, distributor, SD’s and retailers

Secondary data was obtained from company records, database, company


sales volume data, books and internet.
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DISTRIBUTION
NETWORK
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Introduction

India has a rural population of 741,660,293 (72%) (Census 2001) with Uttar
Pradesh having a rural population of 131,540,230 (77%). A location is
defined as rural if at least 75 percent of the population is agrarian. With
such a large number of potential consumers, it is clear why multinational
corporations would like to successfully penetrate the rural Indian market.
The rural market is tempting since it comprises 74 per cent of the country's
population, 41 per cent of its middle class, 58 per cent of its disposable
income and a large consuming class. Today, real growth is taking place in the
rural-urban markets or in the villages with a population of more than
5,000. In such an environment, being first on the shelf and developing a
privileged relationship with the retailer is a source of competitive advantage to
consumer good companies.
Trends indicate that the rural markets are coming up in a big way and growing
twice as fast as the urban. According to a National Council for Applied
Economic Research (NCAER) study, there are as many 'middle income and
above' households in the rural areas as there are in the urban areas. There are
almost twice as many 'lower middle income' households in rural areas as in the
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urban areas. At the highest income level there are 2.3 million urban households
as against 1.6 million households in rural areas. According to Mr. D.
Shivakumar, Business Head (Hair), Personal Products Division, Hindustan
Lever Limited, the money available to spend on FMCG products by urban
India is Rs. 49,500 Crores as against is Rs. 63,500 Crores in rural India.

With the rural market being extremely price sensitive, the soft drink
companies like Coke and Pepsi had to make sure that they strike the right
balance as far as pricing is concerned. They tried to make their products
affordable in terms of unit price. However, considering the price-sensitive
nature of the consumers in these areas, it was only the glass bottles
that allowed the price to be as low as Rs 7.

Apart from pricing, reworking the pack size was also necessary. The
introduction of 200 ml packs at highly affordable prices provided them
with a strong product offering, as international quality products were
made available at affordable prices. In fact, a powerful driver for both
the companies in the rural markets has been the 200 ml packs.

But attractive pricing and convenient packaging is not enough to sell


the brand in these markets. The greatest challenge is to convince the
consumer the need to buy this product. The issue in the rural markets
is not spending power. In fact, most rural consumers have the
spending power, but they have to be given a tangible reason to buy a
soft drink when they have other options to quench their thirst, such as
water, lassi, nimbu-pani or a homemade sherbet.
In case of Pepsi, they began their Rural Development Programme in
2001 with the aim of increasing sales volumes by penetrating the rural
market of India which had been until then a largely untapped market.
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To do so, Pepsi employed Rural Sales Promoters or RSPs to identify


potential distributors, sub distributors and retailers and provide them
with the necessary knowledge and support from the company.

A channel of distribution comprises a set of institutions which perform


all of the activities utilized to move a product and its brand from
production to consumption.

The distribution network in any company involves a host of marketing


intermediaries which perform a variety of functions. Each intermediary
that performs work in bringing the product and its brand closer to the
final buyer constitutes a channel level. There are four channels of
distribution depending on the market conditions, namely:

¾ Zero-Level Channel (Direct Marketing)

¾ One-Level Channel

¾ Two-Level Channel

¾ Three-Level Channel

Retailer

Distributor Retailer
Manufacturer Manufacturer

Distributor

Sub-Distributor Retailer
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Various Channels of Distribution

Distribution of Pepsi in UP-COBO

At PepsiCo, the rural distribution channel is a three level channel


which employs distributors and sub-distributors to reach the retailer
and finally the consumer.

There are two ways of distribution in the company, namely.

DIRECT ROUTE.

INDIRECT ROUTE

The Direct Route has carrying and forward agents who makes the
product available to the retailer which finally reaches the end
customer.

In case of Indirect Route, the plant dispatches the BSDs to the


distributor location directly. The distributor can either cater to his area
or if he wants to diversify his distribution, he supplies the BSDs to Sub-
Distributors.
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Figure 3.2 Channels of Distribution at Pepsi

In case of rural areas, the Distributor prefers to have three to four Sub-
Distributors because it becomes very difficult for him to cater to all the
villages and all the shopkeepers in his locality. With the help of SD's he
can forget about the villages which are very far off and concentrate on
increasing volumes in the nearby areas. The company aims to 'activate'
(sell Pepsi products in) all villages having a population of over 2500 in
UP-COBO through this distribution network.

At Pepsi, the Distributor is actually a dealer who buys empty bottles in


crates in bulk. This depends on the volume of sales in the area. Also, he
should have a minimum stock of five days at his distributor point. The
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same is the case with a Sub-Distributor. He can then refill the empty
bottles as and when required. These refilled bottles he dispatches to
either retailers or to Sub-Distributors.

The Distributor places an order (or an indent) through the Customer Executive
(CE) of Pepsi and the COP Cell (similar to a call center).
Before the indent is actually placed the company has to receive a demand
draft for the amount of bottles to be refilled. The indent is entered into the
SAP software which links the operations of the entire country. The distributor
also has to mention how much of Pepsi he wants and how much of other
flavors he wants. Once the indent is placed the Distributor receives his
product in a day's time directly from the plant. Once the truck carrying the
product reaches the distributor, he should send back the same number of
empty bottles back to the plant.

The company is currently using a hub and spoke model for rural distribution
wherein distributors are created in centrally located large villages or towns.
The spoke is typically closer to the retail outlets and is serviced by a hub
distributor who is supplied directly from the plant or the company's
warehouse. This form of distribution allows for large loads traveling longer
distances and small loads doing a short distance which is cost-effective.

These distributors receive the BSDs directly from the plant and return empty
bottles in return. The distributors then supply the drinks in the surrounding
villages either with their own resources on their 'direct route' or through sub-
distributors who are appointed by the RSP and CE of the area in consultation
with the distributor. The SDs use all possible means of transport that range
from trucks, pickups, auto rickshaws, cycle rickshaws and hand carts to cart
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their products from the spoke to the retailer. At the time of this study, Pepsi
had approximately 510 Ds and 730 SDs in UP-COBO covering
approximately 6250 villages in the six territories and approximately 23,000
retail outlets in UP-COBO.
Pricing

The following table gives the price as well as the different packaging
available in Pepsi and its other brands of carbonated soft drinks.

Brand Packaging Price Price (crate)


Carbonated Drinks 200 ml 128
Glass
300ml Glass 8 172
330ml Can 18 402
500 ml PET 18 402
1 It Glass 108
2 It PET 43 369
Slice 250 ml 8 174
500 18 402
Aquafina 12 124
Soda 500 ml PET 10 216
300 ml 6 102
Table 3.1 Packaging and Pricing of Drinks

The distributor gets a discount of Rs 8 per crate for glass bottles and Rs
10 per crate for PET bottles. An exclusive outlet gets a discount of Rs
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40 per crate. The price of an empty crate is Rs. 240 .One crate contains
24 bottles (9 bottles for cartons of 2 lit PET).

Competitive Scenario of Bottled Soft Drink Industry

Both Coke and Pepsi are trying to gain market share in the Indian beverage
market, which is valued at over $30 billion a year. Each company is coming
up with new products and ideas in order to increase their market share. The
creativity and effectiveness of each company's marketing strategy will
ultimately determine the winner with respect to sales, profits, and customer
loyalty. Not only are these two companies constructing new ways to sell Coke
and Pepsi, but they are also thinking of ways in which to increase market share
in other beverage categories. Although the goals of both companies are
exactly the same, the two companies rely on somewhat different marketing
strategies.

Pepsi has always taken the lead in developing new products, but Coke soon
learned their lesson and started to do the same. Both companies have relied on
finding new markets, especially in the rural areas of India. These companies,
in trying to capture market share have relied on the development of new
products. In some cases the products have been successful. However, at other
times the new products have failed. One solution to increasing market share is
to carefully follow consumer wants in each country. The next step is to take
fast action to develop a product that meets the requirements for that particular
region. Both companies cannot just sell one product; if they do they will not
succeed. They have to always be creating and updating their marketing plans
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and products. The companies must be willing to accommodate their "target


markets". Gaining market share occurs when a company stays one step ahead
of the competition by knowing what the consumer wants.

Below is a comparative scenario in terms of the brands available


in both the companies:

PepsiCo India Coca Cola India


Pepsi Thums-Up, Coca-Cola
Mirinda Orange Fanta
Mirinda Lemon Limca
7 Up, Mountain Dew Sprite
Slice Maaza
Aquafina Kinley
Lehar Soda Kinley Soda

Table 3.2 Competing products of Pepsi and Coke

In case of rural areas of Uttar Pradesh, the local players also pose
a threat to the beverage industry. During the peak months of
April to June, companies like Bowler, Cyber are also a favorite
among the locals. This is mainly because of the fact that the rural
people do not differentiate between the brands but only want a
"black colored" soft drink. However, the threat of local brands to
Pepsi is not major as compared to the threat posed by Coke.
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USE OF ROI
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Introduction

In today’s business marketplace, effective use and flow of information is the


key to success. Business information parameters likes sales, customer
inventory, potential market segmentation and demographic profile from the
defining factors for all the industrial segments like FMCG, Retail, Real
estate, insurance, pharmaceuticals, etc. since most of this data has sales and
other numeric values ,it become important to use Excel for analyzing them
to get the conclusion from it.

This study is being undertaken to help the company to take the decision that
whether they need to consolidate the distributor of specific slab size or they
need to reduced the distributors

The situational analysis has been done and it is been find that UP region
which share the 16 % of total national population is consuming just 5.5 % of
total Pepsi consumption in India and the rural market is not been yet
penetrated enough.

Conventional study does not help in this situation because it says only the
sales part and yet the basic or most important reason for the declined in sales
39

is not been verified. With this study an attempt is made to understand the
functioning of the most important link of the distribution network, the
distributor. ROI calculation helps in strengthening the relationship as well as
the earning of the distributor so as to attract the new players and motivating
the existing ones.
Overview of the Market

Company data updated till August 2006 reveals that the company had a
decreased in sales by almost 50% in last three years and rural markets are
not performing well for the company. Distributors are increased by almost
48% during the last 3 years in UP state and they contribute as high as 20%
of the total COBO distributor and yet account for only 5.5% if total sales of
pepsi in India

Calculation of ROI (UP-COBO)

The company wants to increase its market share as well as to increase the
quality of customer interface, for this it want to find the reason that can
trigger both of the above mention factors. So calculation ROI is been
undertaken.

The first step that the company took was to design a questionnaire form that
will be used to collect the necessary information after that company makes
the segments of the distributor depending upon their Annual Sales Volumes.
The segments are as follows

™ Less than 15k


40

™ Between 15k to 25k


™ Between 25k to 50k
™ More than 50k

Now the company tracked the data through us by the way of certain tracking
formats (excel sheets) we had to fill in. After that this information is being
summarized and some useful inferences are been made. By analyzing the
last 5 years volume sales other important inferences are also made.
41

WHY ROI?
42

SITUATION

Demographic Industry And Data Comparison


43

Low per capita income resulting in Low per capita consumption No. of
distributors as high as 20% of the total COBO distributors

Distribution & Volume Trends

2003 2004 2005 2006 06/03


Distributors 481 603 712 710 48%
Volume 1429 1675 1376 1084 -24%
Avg. Vol. 29709 27778 19326 15268 -49%

• 229 distributors appointed in the last 3 years

• With the volumes declining and increase in no. of distributors the


average volume per distributor has significantly dropped

Comparison with other FMCG companies

• For the same period the no. of distributors for Cadbury in UP got
reduced by 114 from 280 to 166. Revenue for them increased by
15% for the same duration

• No of distributors of Dabur increase during the same period by 10


from 240 to 250. The revenue increase is of 15%.
44

Customer Interface & Emerging alternate business options

2003 2004 2005 2006


Distributors 481 603 712 710
CE + ST 50 50 50 50
Distb./ CE 10 12 14 14

40% increase in the distributor per CE has impacted the quality of


Customer interface

• New business opportunities with better returns coming up in the


last few years putting additional pressure on our industry

• Rapidly changing Channel landscape throwing up decent profile


business opportunities in Urban areas
45

Challenges 2007-2009

™ Healthy Distribution Partner

™ Customer interface to facilitate execution excellence

™ Efficient and Effective Distribution

™ Contemporary GTM

™ Future oriented technology driven challenge


46

IS DISTRIBUTOR HEALTHY?
Volume Size No. of Volume Avg. Vol. % of % of Dist. Avg Avg Avg
Distributors Vol IPC CPC ROI
<15000 493 3517395 7135 33% 69% 34 6 8.4%
15001 to 24999 107 2022831 18905 19% 15% 27 7 10.1%
25000 to 49999 78 2697545 34584 25% 11% 25 8 11.6%
>50000 32 2550248 79695 24% 5% 23 7 14.2%
Total 710 10788019 15194 100% 100%

• Due to high seasonality and decline in volume in last 2 years IPC


has gone up.

• Avg. volume of 69% of the distributors is 7k. Net take home is


insignificant.

• ROI under pressure!!


47

OBSERVATIONS

AND

RECOMMENDATIONS
48

Sample Distribution

17%
31%

26%
26%

<15k
15-25k
25-50k
50k and above

Above Figure shows the percentage breakup of distributor


surveyed.
49

REGION
WISE
DISTRIBUTION

8%

10% 24%

Kanpur
Lucknow
12% Allahabad
Varanasi
Uttranchal
Bareily
8%

38%

Above figure shows the percentage breakup of distributors


territory wise.
50

CITY/DHQ/UPC
WISE
DISTRIBUTION

40%
CITY
51% DHQ
UPC

9%

Above figure shows the percentage breakup of distributor’s


area wise
51

Sample survey of <15k volume distributor

Distribution of Vehicle

Figure shows the average number of vehicle used by the less than 15k
volume distributor

1.4
1.2
1
During the Season 0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
mechanised nonmechanised

0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
During the off-Season 0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
mechanical non-mechanical

0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
During the mini season 0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
mechanical non-mechanical
52

Man power distribution

4
3.5
3
2.5
2
1.5
1
0.5
0
season mini season off season

Above figure shows the average number of manpower used by less than 15k
distributor during the year.

Sample ROI for <15K distributors


CPC 7 6 7 6 6 B
<15K KHALID(L VSI Akhilesh Ali Shivam AVERAGE
Earnings B1230 65038 93814 94822 80920 79165
KO) AGEIMCY( Agency(BL Enterprise Dist.
Net
Volume 18100
6500 1B294
8000 2B714
9959 328B8
1006B 27921
8500 24379
8605
Earnings
Investment
ROI 228421
7.9% 249295
6.5% 316552
8.4% 362684
9.1% 296474
9.4% 290685
8.4%
IPC 35 31 32 36 35 34
Expense 43130 48744 67100 61954 52999 54785
53

69% of the distributors fall under this category contributing 33% of the
Unit volume

OBSERVATIONS
• Investment is high. The pressure is high for new distributors while the
old
distributors look for monthly take home more than ROI.
• Concern area is decline in volume.
• Most of the distributors have alternative business.

RECOMMENDATIONS
• Super stockist model of distribution to be considered.
• Consolidation of near by distributors and reduce the no of distributors.
• Revisit the investment of the distributors and standardize.

IMPACT
• Flavor penetration to ensure share gain and lead to volume growth.
• Distributor net take home / ROI will improve.
• Effective glass management
• Lower load size will improve the working capital and we can look at
54

reducing the glass investment

Sample survey of 15-25k distributors

Distribution of Vehicle

Figure shows the average number of vehicle used by the less than 15-25k
volume distributors.
2

1.5
During the Season
1

0.5

0
mechanised nonmechanised

0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
During the off-Season 0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
mechanical non-mechanical
55

1.4
1.2
1
0.8
During the mini season 0.6
0.4
0.2
0
mechanical non-mechanical

Man power distribution

0
season mini season off season

Above figure shows the average number of manpower used by 15-


25k distributors during the year.

Sample ROI of 15 - 25K distributors


56

15% of the distributors fall under this category contributing 19% of the Unit
volume
DOLLY COLD SAMKAT HANUMAIM RAJ J P TRADERS AVERAGE
DRINK(KNP) MOCHAISI (LKO) EIMTERPRISES (ALL)
ALL)
15K-25K

Volume 16000 15000 15000 17000 23000 17200

Investment 449866 448929 421192 441220 545280 461297

IPC 28 30 28 26 24 27

Expense 111291 108857 107157 128600 158400 122861

CPC 7 7 7 8 7 7

Earnings 153120 148500 149100 168300 227700 169344

Net Earnings 41829 39643 41943 39700 69300 46483

ROI 9.3% 8.8% 10.0% 9.0% 12.7% 10.1%

OBSERVATIONS
• Investment is high and is a concern. The Expense is relatively high and
scope of optimization is low. Over all take home / ROI is also a concern.
• Concern area is also declining volume.
• 70% of the distributors have alternative business.
57

RECOMMENDATION
• Consolidation of near by distributors and reduce the no of
distributors. Primarily city??
• Revisit the investment of the distributors and standardize.

IMPACT
• The average volume of the distributor would increase positively
impacting the ROI/Take home
• Would reduce the average no. of distributors per CE thereby
improving the interface
58

Sample survey of 25-50k volume distributors

Distribution of Vehicle

Figure shows the average number of vehicle used by the 25-50k volume
distributors

2.5

During the Season 1.5

0.5

0
mechanised nonmechanised

1.2

0.8
During the off-Season 0.6

0.4

0.2

0
mechanical non-mechanical

1.8
1.6
1.4
1.2
1
During the mini season 0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
mechanical non-mechanical
59

Man power distribution

9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
season mini season off season

Above figure shows the average number of manpower used by 25-50k


distributors during the year.

Sample ROI of 25 - 50K distributors

25-50K RAMESH ASHU HARI SHYAM ZUM ZUM MEHNDI(LKO) AVERAGE


FOOD MARKETING RASTOGI (LKO)
AGENCY(KIN (KIMP) (KNP)
IP)
Volume 31000 38000 36500 35000 39000 35900

Investment 746792 946841 924964 866070 987212 894376


60

IPC 24.1 24.9 25.3 24.7 25.3 24.9

Expense 209506 278860 253570 245640 366560 270827

CPC 6.8 7.3 6.9 7.0 9.4 7.5

Earnings 298220 380000 352225 355250 487200 374579

Net Earnings 88714 101140 98655 109610 120640 103752

ROI 11.9% 10.7% 10.7% 12.7% 12.2% 11.6%

78 (11%) distributors fall under this category contributing 25% of the


Unit volume

OBSERVATIONS
• Investment is high need to look at rationalization.
• Overall earning is a concern, especially distributors with volume
of 25-40 K.
• Almost 75% of the distributors are dependent on Pepsi as a source
of livelihood.

RECOMMENDATIONS
• Consolidation a must with near by distributors. Recommended
minimum volume size of a city distributor to be 50K
• Extending Cheque facility against a BG??

IMPACT
• Consolidation would increase the volume thereby positively impacting
61

the ROI
• Opportunity more in cities and DHQ's, will have positive
impact on HCV:LCV mix

Sample survey of more than 50k volume distributors

Distribution of Vehicle

Figure shows the average number of vehicle used by the more than 50k
volume distributor

4
During the Season
3

0
mechanised nonmechanised

2.5

2
During the off-Season 1.5

0.5

0
mechanical non-mechanical
62

3
During the mini season
2

0
mechanical non-mechanical

Man power distribution

16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
season mini season off season

Above figure shows the average number of manpower used by less than 15k
distributor during the year.

Sample ROI of 50 - 100K distributors

50-100K Alka sales S.K(KANPUR) KUNDAM AVERAGE


(Kanpur) ENT(LKO)

Volume 52000 57500 58000 55833

Investment 1316860 1240700 1334860 1297473


63

IPC 25.3 21.6 23.0 23.2

Expense 336960 392862 400960 376927

CPC 6.5 6.8 6.9 6.8

Earnings 522600 569250 591600 561150

Net Earnings 185640 176388 190640 184223

ROI 14.1% 14.2% 14.3% 14.2%

32 distributors fall under this category contributing 24% of the Unit volume

OBSERVATIONS
• IPC is relatively moderate can still look at rationalization
• Opportunity to rationalize expenses too by variabalisation.
• 100% of the distributors are dependent on Pepsi as a source of livelihood

RECOMMENDATION
• Variabalisation to significantly impact the IPC / CPC

IMPACT
• Healthy distribution partners to ensure stability and continuity in the
business
• Less churn will give us competitive advantage
64

CONTEMPORARY GTM

OBSERVATIONS
¾ With SKU proliferation opportunity in the smaller distributors/
towns to push the growing SKU's further and improve range
availability in the market
¾ For the smaller distributors minimum load size of 325 cases is high,
therefore the indent frequency is low resulting in indenting the
available SKU's.
¾ Opportunity of making more SKU's available by reducing the load
size.
¾ Need to improve sales, given the momentum behind flavors, they can
play an important role in boosting the volumes.

Options evaluated...

• Tele sell
• Pre sell
• Hybrid sell
65

SS MODEL PROPOSED

Proposed action plan - Super Stockiest Model


- To appoint SS in DHQ's who would be feeding a minimum of 15 - 20
nearby small distributors
- To firm up servicing frequency and minimum drop size (100 cases) to the
distributors
- Will reduce the investment of smaller distributors and improve their
working capital
- Will positively impact the glass turn
- Will improve the lines per strike call
- The order service time will improve significantly
~ Shadow ROI calculation
- Part of the SS commission to be offset by freight savings

To reintroduce Party vehicle of distributors


66

SECONDARY
HYBRID SELL
• Simple but effective concept.
• RA/DSM to sell the fast moving SKU's as per ready stock format and
book orders of the slow moving SKU's in a DSR and deliver it the next day.

To institutionalize this practice across the unit to jump shift the volume
slow moving SKU's and improve the lines per strike call and Strike rate
Improving the quality of interaction of CE's with
Distributors

• With flavors gaining ground, need to impact flavor reach on ground


• Current distributor mentality to focus on fast moving SKUs
• Consequently opportunities to scale up on other skus not tapped
• With avg of 2000 outlets and 14 distributors + 25 SDs per CE, the span
of control and impact is too large for micromanaging the process of range
selling.
• Need to train the distributor frontline (DSM) on range selling - span of
impact would be 80 outlets per DSM
• Need to find solutions for continuously training the DSMs.
• Options of using QSMs for training and driving range selling
• Focus of the CEs to remain on the high profile markets. Other markets to
be handled by QSMs with primary responsibility of coaching DSMs and
ensuring jump shift S&D KPIs.
• Annual outlay of Rs. 30 L for 30 QSMs @ Rs. 8000 per month
67

ANNEXURE:

SELECT BIBLIOGRAPHY
1. Online Research
www.google.com

www.indiainfoline.com

www.businessstansard.com

www.expressindia.com

www.pepsico.com

2. COMPANY REPORTS & RECORDS


Data culled from company reports and records provided by the company

3. Magazines and Journals:

1. Business World
2. Business Today
3. Advertising express
4. Strategic Management.
5. Effective Executive.
6. Marketing White book
7. Marketing Mastermind
8. Journal of Marketing
9. Journal of Finance
68

INTERVIEW SCHEDULE:
The following key issues are focused in the personal interactions with the
distributors:

• Name of the distributor


• Annual actual volume
• Years of experience as distributor
• Infrastructure
• Vehicle
• Number of outlets
• Frequency of service per week
• Godown --owned/rented
• Sales mend--Self/RA
• Salary structure
• Alternate business, if any
• Glass deposit--cases
• Stock holding--cases

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