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DAILY REVIEW & OUTLOOK_ TD031-32_February 14-15, 2011
PSE Index Pts Change % Change Volume (m) Value (phpm) Advancers Decliners Unchanged
3,796.73 47.58 1.27% 904.05 3,742.27 81 40 34
The Valentine day action effected slight shifts in bias in the daily
charts, even as it stays under a year-long downtrend. The thin
volume and value turnover nevertheless keeps the question of
sustainability high on the list of priorities. A suggestion of a possible
“reversal” of the negative trend will occur if and when the index
breaks through the 4,010 barrier today, Tuesday. The slope of the
line drawn from the 4,217.25 peak 21 days ago measures -9.87.
Thus, ceteris paribus, the trend break off point is lower by such
amount at each succeeding day. Over the next ten (10) sessions, the
reversal point falls to 3,911.28. Thus, it would seem like the market
will take some time to return to a bullish proposition.
Having said that, a potential upside break of the STO trigger line,
simultaneous with it emergence from oversold territory for the second
time in the last 5 sessions, plus a similar directional movement in the
MACD vis-a-vis the signal line, posits a near-term upside. The first
target is presented by the 3,830-line and a reaction pullback to no
less than 3,785.
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