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Dominion Bond Rating Service

Lifting the
Lid on Ratio Analysis
for U.S. Banks
New York
One Exchange Plaza July 2005
55 Broadway, Suite 1502
New York, New York 10006 U.S.A.
Tel. (212) 806-3277

Chicago
20 North Clark Street, Suite 803
Chicago, IL 60602 U.S.A.
Tel. (312) 332-3429

Toronto
Corporate Office
200 King Street West, Suite 1304
Toronto, ON M5H 3T4 Canada
Tel. (416) 593-5577

Dominion Bond Rating Service


www.dbrs.com
New York Toronto Chicago
© 2005 Dominion Bond Rating Service. All rights reserved.
05july_cover 7/7/05 5:46 PM Page 2

Authors
Alan G. Reid, William Schwartz, Roger Lister, Benjamin Chen, Les Muranyi, Edward Soffer

contact info
Alan G. Reid
Managing Director, U.S. Financial Institutions Group
Tel. 212-806-3232
Fax 212-635-3278
Mobile 201-317-0882
Blackberry 212-300-6182
areid@dbrs.com

Roger Lister
Chief Credit Officer, U.S. Financial Institutions Group
Tel. 212-806-3231
Fax 212-635-3278
Mobile 908-581-4324
Blackberry 212-731-4399
rlister@dbrs.com

William Schwartz
Vice President - Senior Financial Analyst, U.S. Financial Institutions Group
Tel. 212-806-3233
Fax 212-635-3278
Mobile 201-233-2812
wschwartz@dbrs.com

Les Muranyi
Vice President, U.S. Financial Institutions Group
Tel. 212-806-3236
Fax 212-635-3278
Mobile 201-572-9152
lmuranyi@dbrs.com

Dominion Bond Rating Service (DBRS) is a full-service credit rating agency established in 1976. Privately owned and operated without affiliation to any financial institution,
DBRS is respected for its independent, third-party evaluations of corporate and government issues, spanning North America, Europe and Asia. DBRS's extensive coverage
of securitizations and structured finance transactions solidifies our standing as a leading provider of comprehensive, in-depth credit analysis.

All DBRS ratings and research are available in hard-copy format and electronically on Bloomberg and at DBRS.com, our lead delivery tool for organized, web-based,
up-to-the-minute information. We remain committed to continuously refining our expertise in the analysis of credit quality and are dedicated to maintaining objective and
credible opinions with in the global financial marketplace.
Lifting the Lid on Ratio Analysis for U.S. Banks

SUMMARY
Dominion Bond Rating Service (“DBRS”) provides bank • Earnings Power – The ability to generate consistent
ratings as a forward-looking measure of a bank’s ability to profits and grow capital internally.
meet its financial obligations. At DBRS, each rating is the • Asset Quality – The potential for losses that could
product of a detailed qualitative and quantitative analysis. impair earnings and capital.
While the qualitative analysis of the bank’s franchise value • Liquidity – Cash resources available to meet short-term
and competitive strategy plays a key role in the rating obligations.
process, quantitative ratio analysis of a bank’s financial • Capital Adequacy – Ultimate creditor protection against
health is also considered critical by DBRS in determining a future losses.
risk rating.
At DBRS, each of the four financial health elements is
The DBRS ratio analysis focuses on four interrelated measured with a specific set of financial ratios as
aspects of a bank’s financial health: summarized below:

DBRS's KEY RATIOS FOR U.S. BANKS

Earnings Power Asset Quality

IBPT/Risk-Weighted Assets NPAs incl. 90 days past due/IBPT


Net Interest Margin NPAs incl. 90 days past due/TCE
Operating Expenses/Operating Revenues Loan Loss Reserves/Gross NPAs
Loan Loss Provision/IBPT Gross NPAs/(Gross Loans + OREO)
Net Charge-Offs/Average Loans

Funding and Liquidity Capital Adequacy

Wholesale Funding Reliance


(Wholesale Funding/(Wholesale Funding + Core Deposits)) Tang. Comm. Equity/Risk-Weighted Assets

Double Leverage (PCO)


Net Short-Term Liabilities/Total Assets ((Subsidiary Equity Investments + Goodwill)/CE)
Core Deposits/Net Loans

Liquidity Coverage Ratio (PCO)


(Eligible Funding/Short-Term Debt Obligations)

OREO = Other Real Estate Owned; TCE = Tangible Common Equity; CE = Common Equity;
IBPT = Income Before Provisions and Taxes; RWA = Risk-Weighted Assets; NPAs = Non-Performing Assets.

This methodology will discuss the key ratios currently used Throughout this methodology, DBRS has included graphs
by DBRS in the process of rating U.S. banks. By sharing illustrating these ratios for its universe of U.S. bank holding
this information, DBRS hopes investors will gain more companies (BHCs). It must be emphasized that these
clarity about its ratio preferences, the computation of these graphics are solely for illustrative purposes. Future
ratios, and rating methodologies in general. analytical pieces will focus upon the trends in these ratios
over recent years and on the DBRS opinion of where these
trends are likely to go through the medium term.

U.S. Banking DOMINION BOND RATING SERVICE


Information comes from sources believed to be reliable, but we cannot guarantee that it, or opinions in this Methodology, are complete or accurate. This
Methodology is not to be construed as an offering of any securities, and it may not be reproduced without our consent.
Lifting the Lid on Ratio Analysis for U.S. Banks – Page 2

THE STRENGTHS AND LIMITATIONS OF RATIO ANALYSIS


Financial ratios are a valuable analytical tool used to drivers behind the ratios and anticipated future trends be
measure the financial health of a bank. Deterioration in key understood. All DBRS bank ratings are the results of
ratios can send early warning signals to creditors in a timely integrated qualitative analysis of business fundaments and
fashion. In addition, ratio analysis can provide a quick quantitative measures of financial strength.
snapshot of a bank’s financial picture and help identify
business and market issues that need to be monitored when Secondly, the benefit of ratio analysis is tempered by the
performing qualitative analysis. For instance, deteriorating difference in accounting treatments and financial
asset quality may suggest a weak risk management process. disclosures by banks. Many accounting standards are vague
Declining profitability could signal competitive loan or and flexible, which allow leeway for differences. In
deposit pricing, rising cost of funding, or deteriorating addition, the timing of transactions and “window dressing”
operation efficiency. Financial ratios are most helpful when can be used to help improve financial ratios. Inadequate
interpreted in the context of historical trends and disclosure and lack of transparency can further complicate
performance relative to peers. matters. For instance, asset quality measures are often
inconsistently reported in banks’ financial statements.
Ratio analysis at DBRS focuses on time-series data of a Some asset quality problems could be masked by a rapidly
bank. DBRS considers ratios in light of where the bank is growing loan portfolio and the timing of charge-offs.
within the economic cycle and identifies the variance in DBRS attempts to mitigate the impact of such factors by
ratios under different market conditions. Financial using averages and observing trends of ratios through
institutions can be highly dynamic and complex economic cycles. Moreover, DBRS considers the impact of
organizations that evolve in response to internal and differing accounting standards.
external changes. Data at a single point in the credit cycle is
not a valid basis upon which to make a credit judgment or Thirdly, adjustment of off-balance-sheet items in ratio
financial outlook. analysis can be difficult and subjective. Off-balance-sheet
assets and liabilities are common to banks and other
Peer group comparison is another important element in ratio financial institutions and often involve complex strategies
analysis that helps to assess the relative strengths and and computer modeling. Common items included are
weaknesses of a bank. Moreover, many banks have derivatives on interest rates, currency, securities, or
developed a unique combination of businesses, which commodities, loan commitments, letters of credit, unfunded
makes it difficult to find true “peers”. In such cases, DBRS pension liabilities, and recourse obligations on assets sold or
compares financial ratios by “line of business” across securitized. Also, banks may have non-financial
several banks in order to effectively assess the fundamentals contingencies, such as claims and assessments, pending
of a bank’s business. litigations, labor problems, environmental issues, etc. Many
times, it is very difficult to adjust and quantify off-balance
Ratio analysis also has its limitations as an analytical tool exposures especially if disclosures by banks are limited.
and must be used with caution. Firstly, ratios are indicators DBRS identifies the nature and details of off-balance-sheet
only of financial condition and do not explain what items during bank issuer meetings and gives them
underlying qualitative factors produce the numbers. Only appropriate considerations during the rating process.
through further qualitative analysis can the economic

EARNINGS POWER
In its bank rating methodology, DBRS places strong Four ratios are selected to measure earnings power and
emphasis on the earnings of a bank, including both its profitability of a bank:
magnitude and predictability, as earnings constitute the first
source of capital and liquidity that protect creditors from IBPT/Risk-Weighted Assets
default risk. DBRS’s measure of earnings power is IBPT/risk-weighted assets (RWA), as illustrated in Graph 1,
consistent with its forward-looking perspective and risk- is the first ratio DBRS uses to measure the core earnings
adjusted return approach. With strong and stable earnings power of a bank and the strength of its business model. The
based on sound business fundamentals, capital can grow and numerator is income before provision and tax (IBPT) while
be sustained at an adequate level to protect creditors from the denominator represents Bank of International Settlement
default risk. In contrast, with a weak earnings trend, even a (BIS) RWAs.
strong capital base can be eroded and eventually become
inadequate to cushion creditors from credit losses. This ratio is an alternative measure of earnings power, as
Therefore, DBRS views banks with a strong franchise and a compared to the standard return on average assets (ROAA)
diverse source of earnings, while demonstrating a growing ratio. Traditionally, ROAA has been used as a common
earnings trend, positively. DBRS values high earnings measure of a bank’s profitability. However, the numerator
quality and sustainability and effective control of overhead used in the ROAA calculation, net earnings, may be
in bank ratings. distorted by a number of factors including the difference in
loan loss provisioning practice, extraordinary items, and tax
rates across banks. Unlike an actual operating expense
Lifting the Lid on Ratio Analysis for U.S. Banks – Page 3

item, loan loss provision is subject to the discretion of the more accurate measure of economic profitability; one that is
bank’s management. Tax rates on banks could vary more consistent with the risk-adjusted return concept.
significantly and can be impacted by specific tax and
accounting treatments. Such differences make cross-bank Net Interest Margin
comparison of net income difficult. Net interest margin (NIM), as illustrated in Graph 1, is
calculated as net interest income divided by average earning
The IBPT calculation adjusts for these factors to measure assets, including interest-earning securities and loans. Tax-
earnings power more consistently across banks. In addition, exempt interest income is adjusted and net interest income
DBRS considers non-recurring gains or losses in the IBPT is presented on fully taxable equivalent basis. This ratio
calculation to measure core earnings power and make year- takes into account the net impact of the bank’s average
over-year comparisons more meaningful. funding cost and the average yield on its earning assets.
With a superior NIM, the analysis will examine whether the
The denominator in the ROAA formula, average total high margin is the result of low funding costs based on a
assets, does not take the asset risk profile factor into account strong core deposit franchise (a positive rating factor) or
and could unfairly favor those banks taking higher risks to high risk-taking in the asset profile, or both. The same
boost earnings and penalize those banks taking lower risk to analysis is applied for a low margin. Many times, NIM is an
generate consistent earnings. Furthermore, ROAA may be indicator of the strength of the deposit franchise of a bank,
misleading in that it favors those banks that move assets off which can result in a comparative advantage with its cost of
the balance sheet through securitization while still retaining funding, a key profitability driver. A bank with stable and
the economic risk of the assets. By addressing these flaws growing NIM is viewed positively in the rating process.
in the ROAA measure, the IBPT/RWA ratio is designed as a
Graph 1
Earning s Po we r R atio s
fo r B ank H o lding C o mpanie s (% )
4 .5
4 .2 9

4 .0
3 .9 0
N e t In te re s t M a rg i n
3 .5

3 .0

2 .7 3 2 .4 9
2 .5
IB P T/R W A
2 .0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

N o te s : R a tio s c o m p u t e d b y u s in g a m e d ia n a p p ro a c h fo r 3 7 9 b a n k h o ld in g c o m p a n ie s . IB P T = In c o m e B e fo re P ro v is io n a n d T a xe s ; R WA = R is k -We ig h t e d
A s s e t s . S o u rc e : S N L F in a n c ia l; D B R S A n a lys is .

Operating Expenses/Operating Revenues by the core earnings of the bank. This ratio serves as an
This ratio, as illustrated in Graph 2, is an indicator of indicator of the level of credit losses that the firm could
operating efficiency as measured by the percentage of non- withstand in times of financial stress given its earnings
interest expenses over total operating revenues. The power. In other words, the lower the ratio, the better the
calculation of this ratio adjusts for non-recurring profits and coverage for potential future provisioning requirements.
expenses. A lower ratio suggests better cost control and This ratio is also considered a risk-adjusted profitability
possibly lower fixed costs and thus a better chance to measure. When a bank takes additional risk to increase
weather a challenging economic cycle when total revenues earnings, its loan loss provision may also need to increase to
may decline. DBRS looks at the operating cost structure of cover higher credit losses in assets. Higher loan losses
a bank. The higher percentage of fixed costs in operating could offset higher earnings; as a result, its loan loss
expenses, the weaker the financial flexibility of a bank. A provision/IBPT coverage may not improve from such a risk-
more operationally efficient bank is better leveraged to taking strategy.
expand its franchise while maintaining its profit margins.
At the same time, it should be remembered that this ratio However, because of the discretionary nature of the loan
should be used carefully in comparing banks with different loss provision, this ratio may not reflect the earnings power
business mixes and that this ratio is impacted by the of a bank when it keeps its provision artificially low to
revenues side as well as the expenses side. inflate its net earnings. In this case, DBRS examines the
historical trends of provisioning and also the changes over
Loan Loss Provision/IBPT time in reserve adequacy to assess the earnings power of a
Loan loss provision/IBPT, as illustrated in Graph 2, bank relative to its need for provisioning.
measures how well potential loan losses may be absorbed
Lifting the Lid on Ratio Analysis for U.S. Banks – Page 4

Graph 2

Earnings Power Ratios


for Bank Holding Companies (%)
70
60.23
60
59.92
50
O perating Expenses/O perating Revenue
40

30

20
10.42
10
8.48
Loan Loss Provision/IBPT
0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

No tes : Ra tio s co mpute d by us ing a median appro a ch fo r 379 ba nk ho lding c o mpanie s . IBP T = Inc o me B efo re P ro vis io n a nd Taxe s
S o urc e : S NL F ina nc ia l; DBR S Ana lys is .

ASSET QUALITY
Asset quality impacts future profits and losses through NPAs Including 90 Days Past Due/Income Before Loss
provisioning, and charge-offs and credit losses can Provision
eventually impair capital. Therefore, asset quality analysis This ratio, as illustrated in Graph 3, measures the potential
is an integral part of the DBRS quantitative assessment. impact of a bank’s asset quality problems on its core
DBRS evaluates asset quality to understand how asset earnings. Specifically, it intends to estimate how much the
performance could impact future profitability, capital pre-provision, pre-tax income of the bank could be reduced
adequacy, and financial flexibility. DBRS rates favorably if one assumes that all NPAs and loans of 90 days past due
those banks that have very low levels of non-performing have to be fully charged off. This is also a measure of a
assets (NPAs), consistently low levels of net charge-offs, bank’s ability to earn out of its asset problem without
and top reserve adequacy among peers through a full impairment on its capital in an extreme scenario.
economic cycle. In addition, DBRS analyzes loan
concentration risk by industry, individual relationships, NPAs Including 90 Days Past Due/Tangible Common
region, and loan category relative to total loan portfolio, Equity
core earnings, or tangible common equity during asset This ratio, as illustrated in Graph 3, measures the potential
quality assessment. The more granular the loan portfolio is, impact NPAs may have on capital adequacy. The larger this
the lower the likelihood of catastrophic losses on a few ratio is, the greater the impact credit losses from NPAs may
large exposures. have on capital and the less equity cushion creditors may
have to protect them from further losses.
Five ratios are employed by DBRS to measure NPAs and
charge-off levels relative to total loans, core earnings,
capital, and reserves:
Lifting the Lid on Ratio Analysis for U.S. Banks – Page 5

Graph 3

Asset Quality Ratios


for Bank Holding Companies (%)
30

25
24.93 (NPAs Incl. 90 Days Past Due )/IBPT
20 22.00

15

10
6.96 6.15
5
(NPAs Incl. 90 Days Past Due )/TCE
0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
No te s : R a tio s c o m pute d wa s us ing a m e dia n a ppro a c h fo r 379 ba nk ho lding c o m pa nie s . * IB P T = Inc o m e B e fo re P ro vis io n a nd Ta xe s ; NP As = No n-pe rfo rm ing
As s e ts . S o urc e : S NL F ina nc ia l; DB R S Ana lys is .

Loan Loss Reserves/Gross NPAs


Loan loss reserves/gross NPAs is a reserve adequacy ratio the reserve adequacy ratio, the lower the probability that
measuring how well a bank’s profitability and capital are NPAs may hamper future profitability and/or impair core
cushioned from future credit losses. Loan loss reserves are capital base, particularly when asset quality deteriorates in a
provided to cover expected losses in the loan portfolio and market downturn and a significant increase in provision is
loan losses on NPAs will be first absorbed by loan loss required. (See Graph 4.)
reserves before impacting earnings and capital. The higher

Graph 4

Asset Quality Ratios


for Bank Holding Companies (%)

250
239.58
230.82
230

210

190

170 Loan Loss Reserves/Gross NPAs

150
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
No te s : R atio s c o mputed was us ing a me dian appro ac h fo r 379 ba nk ho lding c o mpa nie s . * IB P T = Inc o me B efo re P ro vis io n and Ta xes .
So urc e: SNL Financ ial; DBR S Analys is .

Gross NPAs/(Gross Loans + Other Real Estate Owned) for banks with rapidly growing loan volume or large and
In this ratio calculation, as illustrated in Graph 5, gross swift charge-off. DBRS incorporates loan growth, aging,
NPAs are the sum of non-performing loans, foreclosed real and charge-off practice of a bank into the peer comparison
estate, and other non-accrual and repossessed assets. The of this asset ratio. Whenever possible, DBRS analyzes asset
denominator is total gross loans plus foreclosed real estate. portfolio performance on a static pool basis versus a
This traditional loan quality statistic is an indicator of the dynamic pool basis.
NPAs level in the portfolio and is often used as the standard
proxy for bank credit quality. However, caution should be
used in that the ratio can be misleading with a positive bias
Lifting the Lid on Ratio Analysis for U.S. Banks – Page 6

Net Charge-Off/Average Net Loans OREO) to signal asset quality, as the latter may be distorted
Net charge-off/average net loans ratio is illustrated in Graph by the magnitude and pace of loan charge-off. This ratio
5. This formula refers to total loan and lease charge-offs combined with the previous ratio presents a more complete
less recoveries. Average net loans are loans and leases net picture of asset quality. However, one limitation for this
of unearned income and loan loss reserves. This ratio ratio is that the cost of recovery, including administration
reports the actual loan losses that a bank has incurred and it and legal expenses, is not included in the calculation, which
is used in conjunction with Gross NPAs/(Gross Loans + could be substantial in many cases.

Graph 5

Asset Quality Ratios


for Bank Holding Companies (%)
0.75

0.60
0.55 Gross NPAs/(Gross Loans + O REO ) 0.54
0.45

0.30

0.19 0.18
0.15
Ne t Charge -O ffs/Avg. Ne t Loans
0.00
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

No te s : R a tio s c o m pute d wa s us ing a m e dia n a ppro a c h fo r 379 ba nk ho lding c o m pa nie s . OR EO = Othe r R e a l Es ta te Owne d
S o urc e : S NL F ina nc ia l; DB R S Ana lys is .

FUNDING AND LIQUIDITY


Lack of access to funding sources and weak liquidity liquidity challenges than an institution with high quality
management are typical factors that lead to bank failures. easily quantifiable assets. DBRS carefully evaluates each
Without adequate cash resources to meet short-term institution’s asset profile as part of assessing overall
liquidity requirements, a bank will find it impossible to liquidity.
continue its operation even if its capital or solvency remains
acceptable. Liquidity and other elements of asset liability DBRS also believes that large banks with diverse business
management, including interest rate risk, offer valuable lines and an extensive client network generally have better
insights into the operations of an institution. DBRS liquidity and financial flexibility as they maintain a
believes that those banks with a strong, stable, and well- relatively broad deposit base (in terms of product types,
balanced deposit base along with substantial investments in maturity distribution, geographic dispersion through branch
liquid assets have a greater ability to weather short-term networks, and customer base diversification), more
setbacks. DBRS also incorporates a bank’s liquidity diversified wholesale funding sources, and more third-party
management and contingency planning when performing a supports. On the other hand, the liquidity of smaller banks
liquidity review. or specialized lenders is more likely to be constrained by
their reliance on specific sources of funding, either deposits
DBRS uses three ratios at the bank level and one ratio at the from a narrow region or single wholesale market sources.
parent company level as indicators to identify banks and
BHCs that may have less than adequate liquidity. However, DBRS reviews liquidity at both the subsidiary bank and the
DBRS’s analysis of bank liquidity is not restricted to these parent company levels. From a ratings perspective, DBRS
ratios. Within the review process, DBRS evaluates a bank’s views entities with sound liquidity at both the subsidiary
access to a variety of funding sources, such as the Federal bank level and the parent company positively, while
Reserve discount window and Federal Home Loan Bank considering weak parent holding company and weak bank
(FHLB) lines and lines of credit and back-up facilities, a liquidity a ratings constraint. Between the two extremes,
bank’s correspondent banking relationships, and the ability DBRS is relatively comfortable with those entities that
of a bank to sell or securitize loans and other assets to display sound bank liquidity but have weak parent holding
weather a liquidity stress. It is important to note that the company liquidity. For entities that fit this category, but are
liquidity and quality of an institution’s assets play a major otherwise financially sound, DBRS thinks that weak parent
role in its ability to manage a liquidity crisis. An institution holding company liquidity can be more easily fixed. This
that has lower quality assets that are illiquid and/or whose can be achieved either through upstreamed dividends from
market value is highly volatile will clearly face greater subsidiary banks that increase available liquid assets, or
Lifting the Lid on Ratio Analysis for U.S. Banks – Page 7

through an improvement in the debt profile, for example by high level of reliance on the wholesale funding market
the issuance of long-term funding instruments by the parent raises the risk that a bank faces liquidity pressure. If the
holding company. DBRS considers those entities with markets lose confidence in the bank, the bank is likely to
sound parent holding company liquidity, but weak bank struggle to roll over its wholesale market borrowing. Core
liquidity less favorably in the context of its ratings. This is deposits are more likely to be rolled over or left in the bank
because there is no quick fix for weak bank liquidity. rather than withdrawn – hence the expression “sticky”
Structurally, weak bank liquidity is difficult to change given deposits. The risk of rollover difficulties is likely to be
that it generally reflects a bank’s intrinsic business model. heightened to the extent that that the bank is viewed as
The detailed discussions of bank and BHC liquidity and having limited liquid asset resources to meet its obligations.
related financial ratios can be found in the recent research
commentary “Bank and Bank Holding Company Liquidity – Net Short-Term Liabilities/Total Assets
Assessing How Full the Glass Is” published on April 11, This ratio, as illustrated in Graph 6, is calculated as follows:
2005.
(Short-Term Liabilities – Short-Term Assets)/Total Assets
The following three liquidity ratios are used at the bank
level: Short-term liabilities include all borrowings and time
deposits with a maturity within one year. Short-term assets
Wholesale Funding Reliance comprise all loans and securities with a remaining maturity
This ratio, as illustrated in Graph 6, is calculated as follows: of less than one year, plus fed funds sold and reverse repos.

Wholesale Funding Reliance = Wholesale Funding/(Core The ratio looks at a bank’s reliance on short-term funding
Deposits + Wholesale Funding) that exceeds its holding of short-term assets. It is an
indicator of the risk assumed by the bank in funding assets
Wholesale funding includes federal funds (fed funds) with short-term liabilities. Generally, the higher the ratio,
purchased, repurchase agreements (repos), non-core the more exposed a bank is to short-term funding risk. A
deposits, FHLB loans, subordinated debentures and notes, negative ratio is good.
mandatory convertible notes, and other borrowings.
Banks are highly leveraged financial institutions with net
Core deposits = total domestic deposits – domestic (jumbo earning generally below 3% of total liabilities. Therefore,
CDs + brokered deposits); non-core deposits = total deposits in a stress scenario, assets instead of earning-derived cash
– core deposits flows constitute major payment sources for debt obligations
and a primary source of liquidity. The above ratio intends
This ratio measures the percentage of a bank’s total funding to measure how assets and liabilities are matched or
that comes from wholesale market sources and non-core mismatched within a one-year horizon. How a bank
deposits. While providing banks with greater flexibility in manages its assets and liabilities and aligns assets and
the context of asset and liability management, wholesale liabilities in terms of maturities and currencies is an
funding tends to be more credit and confidence sensitive, important element in DBRS’s liquidity assessment of the
and therefore incorporates a degree of “rollover risk”. A bank.
Graph 6

Funding and Liquidity Ratios


for Bank Holding Companies (%)
35
Whole sale Funding Re liance *
30 28.90 30.61

25

20

15
14.65
10
5.99
5
Ne t Short-Term Liabilitie s/Total Asse ts
0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
No te s : R a tio s c o m pute d wa s us ing a m e dia n a ppro a c h fo r 379 ba nk ho lding c o m pa nie s . * Who le s a le F unding R e lia nc e = Who le s a le F unding/(C o re De po s its +
Who le s a le F unding) S o urc e : S NL F ina nc ia l; DB R S Ana lys is .
Lifting the Lid on Ratio Analysis for U.S. Banks – Page 8

Core Deposits/Net Loans loans. DBRS considers these factors as part of its ratings
This ratio, as illustrated in Graph 7, indicates the extent to review process.
which the typically less liquid portion of a bank’s asset base
is funded with stickier deposits. This ratio measures the The liquidity at the parent company level is measured with
strength of deposits as a funding source and considers both one ratio:
the volume of total deposits of the bank, as well as the
structure and quality of the deposit mix. DBRS believes Liquidity Coverage Ratio (Parent Company Only)
that non-core deposits, including jumbo CDs and brokered Liquidity Coverage Ratio = eligible funding/short-term
deposits, are more credit sensitive and are, therefore, more payment obligations
sensitive to “rollover” risk. As such these deposits are
generally considered a less stable funding source. Liquidity coverage ratio for a parent company only (PCO) is
defined as the degree to which short-term payment
The lower this ratio, the more reliance a bank has on non- obligations can be covered by eligible funding sources. The
core deposits and wholesale market sources to fund the loan optimum position for any parent company is for eligible
portfolio. A low ratio suggests a bank is exposed to funding sources to equal or exceed obligations. In other
potential vulnerability in credit-sensitive funds providers at words, it is optimal for a parent company to have a liquidity
less favorable points in the credit and economic cycles. coverage ratio of over 100%.
However, this ratio does not consider the ability of a bank to
sell loans or to pledge loans to secure borrowings from Where PCO obligations exceed eligible funding sources,
institutional and regulatory entities. With the ongoing DBRS’s analysis will focus upon the size of the excess, as
developments in loan markets and securitization, such sales well as the robustness of the subsidiary bank liquidity
are more readily undertaken. To the extent that a bank has positions. Strong bank liquidity combined with a relatively
readily saleable or pledgeable loans and the capability to small shortfall would somewhat mitigate this position.
accomplish sales, some of this risk is mitigated. Those funding sources DBRS considers to be eligible, and
Nevertheless, banks that are facing a loss of market ineligible, are detailed as follows:
confidence are also likely to find it more difficult to sell

Eligible Funding Sources Mandatory Obligations


• Cash and balances due • Short-term obligations, like CP
• Securities • Interest payment
• Fed funds sold and reverse repos • Short-term non-borrowing liabilities
• Interest income • Term borrowing maturing within one year
• Management fees from subsidiaries • Operating expenses
• Unrestricted non-bank sub. dividends
• Other operating income

Ineligible Funding Sources Contingent Obligations


• Dividends from bank subsidiaries • Ordinary dividends
• Other calls on parent resources, e.g. guarantees on foreign subs.

DBRS believes a PCO should be able to maintain its one-year ordinary dividend payment in short-term payment
ordinary dividend payment, even if dividend upstreaming obligations in the denominator of the liquidity coverage
from the subsidiary banks is interrupted. This is primarily estimation.
because DBRS thinks there is a significant reputation risk
associated with a BHC not fulfilling its ordinary dividend A parent company can improve its liquidity profile if it can
obligation. By not paying an ordinary dividend, a BHC refinance short-term debt with long-term debt. On the other
sends a signal to the market that it is experiencing liquidity hand, the liquidity of the parent company could be
constraints. Non-payment also illustrates the fact that pressured if it pursues large-scale acquisitions, dividend
management has been ineffective in managing liquidity. payments, and stock buybacks. Graph 7 illustrates the PCO
These signals to the market are likely to further pressure a liquidity coverage.
holding company’s liquidity. Therefore, DBRS includes a
Lifting the Lid on Ratio Analysis for U.S. Banks – Page 9

Graph 7

Funding and Liquidity Ratios


for Bank Holding Companies (%) Core Deposits/Ne t Loans
110

100 97.01 93.08


90

80
Liquidity C overage (PC O )** 72.88
70

60
49.44
50

40
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
No te s : R a tio s c o m pute d wa s us ing a m e dia n a ppro a c h fo r 379 ba nk ho lding c o m pa nie s . *C o re De po s its = To ta l Do m e s tic De po s its - (J um bo C Ds + B ro ke re d
De po s its . ** Liquidity C o ve ra ge = Eligible F unding/S ho rt-te rm Obliga tio ns ; P C O = P a re nt C o m pa ny Only. S o urc e : S NL F ina nc ia l; DB R S Ana lys is .

CAPITAL ADEQUACY
Capital adequacy is the ultimate line of protection against well as the term. For this reason, DBRS uses tangible
any expected losses from credit risk, market risk, operation common equity/RWAs ratio as a more comparable measure
risk, or other sources. Also, capital is required to protect of capital adequacy across banks with different capital
depositors, creditors, investors, and counterparties of the structures. The RWAs as the denominator reflects the
respective banks from unexpected losses and general concept of risk-adjusted capital adequacy concept and
uncertainty. DBRS believes, with a forward-looking attempts to normalize institutions of different asset profiles.
perspective, that capital by itself is not an effective predictor A higher ratio indicates stronger capital strength and
of future financial difficulty. DBRS analyzes the cushion to protect creditors from potential losses. (See
composition, level, and creation of capital to help define the Graph 8.)
bank’s ability to take risks. Capital adequacy is judged
against relative profitability, the bank risk profile, and asset Double Leverage (PCO)
quality. DBRS has a greater comfort level with those banks This is a statistic to estimate how much debt a BHC uses to
that have core capital well above regulatory requirements fund its equity investments in its subsidiaries. It is
and possess easy access to global capital markets with calculated with the sum of total equity investments (plus
favorable terms. goodwill and intangibles) in subsidiaries divided by the total
equity capital. This ratio is calculated at the parent
Two key ratios measure capital strength and leverage risk: company only level. Subsidiaries include bank, BHC, and
non-bank subsidiaries. A BHC depends on upstreamed
Tangible Common Equity/RWAs dividends from its subsidiaries as the major payment source
This ratio measures a bank’s core capital position. Tangible for its debt obligations. However, dividend payment to the
common equity = total equity – preferred stock – goodwill parent company may be interrupted by regulatory bodies in
and other intangibles excluding mortgage servicing rights. a financial distress scenario. The assets at the bank levels
RWAs refer to BIS RWAs. DBRS selects this ratio as its would be used to pay depositors and creditors of the bank
key indicator of capital strength, although DBRS also first before any proceeds go to the creditors of the BHC. In
reviews regulatory capital ratios, such as Tier I ratio, total other words, the creditors of the parent company are
capital ratio, and leverage ratio. Unlike regulatory capital structurally subordinated to the depositors and creditors at
ratios, DBRS uses tangible common equity, instead of total the bank level. Due to the BHC’s uncertain access to the
capital or Tier I capital, as the numerator in this calculation, resources of its subsidiary banks, higher double leverage
because the composition of total capital or Tier I capital ratio at the parent company level suggests higher possibility
varies across banks and certain components to total capital that the BHC may suffer an operating loss and face
or Tier I capital, such as hybrid instruments, may not be difficulty in servicing its own debts, which tend to increase
available to absorb credit losses in some cases, depending the cost of raising additional funds from capital markets.
on the debt or equity nature of the capital components as (See Graph 8.)
Lifting the Lid on Ratio Analysis for U.S. Banks – Page 10

Graph 8

Capital Adequacy Ratios


for Bank Holding Companies (%)
10.20 112.00
110.09
10.00 110.00

9.88 Tangible Common Equity/Risk-Weighted Assets 108.00


9.80
106.00
9.60
104.00
9.40
102.00
Double Leverage (PCO )* 9.24
9.20 100.91 100.00
9.00 98.00
8.80 96.00
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

No tes : Ratio s co mputed wa s us ing a media n appro ac h fo r 379 bank ho lding c o m panie s . * Do uble Leverage = (Sum o f To ta l Equity Inve s tme nts +
Go o dwill & Intangible s )/To ta l Equity Capita l; P CO = P are nt Co m pa ny Only. So urc e: S NL F inancial; DBRS Analys is .
05july_cover 7/7/05 5:46 PM Page 1

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