Professional Documents
Culture Documents
United States
Louisiana
1
. . . But Louisiana has performed relatively well since early 2008 . . .
Louisiana
South**
United States
2
. . . And we’ve been positioning our state for greater economic success
3
The big question . . .
How do we position
Louisiana to grow
faster than the South
and the U.S. on a
regular basis?
4
In line with their national counterparts, several of Louisiana’s primary
industry sectors have been losing jobs for many years
U.S. annual employment
Louisiana annual employment
5
Accordingly, some economists expect Louisiana’s traditional industry mix
will lead our state to underperform in job creation over the next 20 years
0
2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
Improve state
Enhance community
economic
competitiveness
competitiveness
Blue Ocean
Cultivate top Develop initiative will
regional Focus on business national- focus these
economic retention and caliber strategies on
development expansion business high-growth
assets recruitment industry
capacity segments
7
The process to generate and prioritize potential growth opportunities
Explore
Time horizon
top growth
options
with
ideas for
Review
capturing
industry
characteristics
+ growth trends
8
By combining employment growth, value of jobs, and LA’s ability to win,
six “Blue Ocean” themes and 12 growth initiatives were selected
SOURCE: US Department of Commerce Regional Multipliers (input-output modeling system); McKinsey analysis 10
These targets could add 225,000-400,000 extra jobs over the next 20 years
SOURCE: US Department of Commerce Regional Multipliers (input-output modeling system); McKinsey analysis 11
A well-developed medical center is one way for Louisiana to take
advantage of healthcare trends and employ significant numbers Direct jobs
Cleveland
Clinic
30k
COBTH1
UCLA Medical 75k
Center
14k UAB Medical
Center
10k
Texas Medical
Center
73k Duke Medical
Center
14k
Suppliers will be
attracted to a close- Business
knit, well-developed support Business support resources could be provided
medical district as operations by the district to its members to assist
costs will be reduced researchers in commercializing their findings,
and a centralized source esp. with finding funding and attracting the right
of demand is present business talent to cultivate the upstarts
13
LA could explore developing a specialty field based on several criteria,
including where other SE states do not have a leading Top 10 hospital
Number of Top 10 hospitals by region Decision criteria
Field NE SE Category Considerations
SOURCE: US Department of Commerce Regional Multipliers (input-output modeling system); McKinsey analysis 15
The blue ocean initiative can help us achieve our target growth rate while
generating huge amounts of new population and tax revenues
Baseline forecast
LA at rate of South
LA at Aspiration rate
LA at rate of South
LA at Aspiration rate
19
APPENDIX
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Appendix: The business case for the Blue Ocean initiatives
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Executive summary
22
A well-developed medical center is one way for Louisiana to take
advantage of healthcare trends and employ significant numbers Direct jobs
Cleveland
Clinic
30k
COBTH1
UCLA Medical 75k
Center
14k UAB Medical
Center
10k
Texas Medical
Center
73k Duke Medical
Center
14k
Suppliers will be
attracted to a close- Business
knit, well-developed support Business support resources could be provided
medical district as operations by the district to its members to assist
costs will be reduced researchers in commercializing their findings,
and a centralized source esp. with finding funding and attracting the right
of demand is present business talent to cultivate the upstarts
24
LA could explore developing a specialty field based on several criteria,
including where other SE states do not have a leading Top 10 hospital
Number of Top 10 hospitals by region Decision criteria
Field NE SE Category Considerations
1 Focus is on nationally-recognized facilities that could scale up quickly, so AAMC facilities used as a proxy
26
SOURCE: American Association of Medical Colleges; US Census Bureau
There are 2 paths to success in developing a specialized hospital
▪
1 Build specialization in existing hospital from “the –
2 Recruit a leading provider to the state and assist
ground up” by recruiting top talent and building with establishing a regional branch
cutting-edge facilities – Existing hospitals could partner with a provider to
– State can support its existing assets through open a branded clinic (e.g., University of
targeted land and financial offers (e.g., assist John Pittsburgh Medical Center’s 40 cancer centers)
Ochsner Heart and Vascular Institute in becoming – This approach will give the system instant
renowned facility) credibility and benefits from established protocols
– This approach will create strong buy-in from state and knowledge
stakeholders but will require a significant
investment in infrastructure (e.g., UMHS’s facility
investments)
“[UMHS is] undergoing one of the largest “This (partnership) approach is […] a hub-
expansions of any hospital system in the and-spoke system that UPMC first perfected
nation with expectations to add 3M sq. ft of in western Pennsylvania, where it now
hospital space largely devoted to a variety of operates more than 40 cancer centers
specialty clinics” (e.g., $120M Brehm Diabetes providing a wide range of oncology services
Center funded in part by $44M private donor and supported by UPMC’s academic and
gift) clinical hub at the Hillman Cancer Center in
--University of Michigan Health System Pittsburgh.”
--University of Pittsburgh Medical Center
Gynecology 4 1
Neurology 3 1
Cancer 3 2
Heart 4 2
Other fields that may have a Top 10 hospital in the region (e.g., heart, cancer) could also
be included given that these fields have direct links to treatment of obesity and diabetes
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Specialty healthcare value proposition
29
Appendix: The business case for the Blue Ocean initiatives
30
Executive summary
Given the expected rise in demand for healthcare services, Louisiana has
opportunities to increase employment by developing a research hub to
address the state’s growing obesity problems with treatment centers spread
throughout the state and by specializing in high value-add services at an
existing hospital to attract out-of-state patients and anchor a flourishing
medical district
▪ Louisiana could build on existing hospital assets to develop a Center of
Excellence in a highly specialized field that will attract patients from across
the region, country, and nearby countries and serve as the anchor for a
medical district that attracts additional research and treatment operations
▪ Louisiana could become the center of research and treatment of
obesity and co-morbidities by leveraging and coordinating existing
assets such as and Louisiana Cancer Research Consortium and
building regional clinics to treat patients
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LA is uniquely suited to address one of the several major trends
that will impact the healthcare space Focus area for LA
▪ The rise in obesity and obesity-related ▪ In 2005, LA was one of 3 states ▪ People may not travel for obesity
co-morbidities (e.g., hyperlipidemia, with > 30% of population obese treatment (but may for treatment of
hypertension, diabetes) comorbidities)
▪ Rise in aging-related illnesses (Alzheimer's, ▪ Across the US and LA, the Boomer ▪ People unlikely to travel for the most
chronic diseases, wellness centers, long- population will continue to dominate common of aging-related diseases (but
term care facilities) the economy, esp. healthcare will for more complicated diseases: e.g.,
Parkinson’s)
▪ Increased focus on research and treatment ▪ Advances in research and ▪ Personalized medicine research requires
within personalized medicine (genetic techniques will drive significant a high-level of specialization and funding
illnesses such as Down syndrome, autism) changes in delivery of healthcare
▪ Increased demand for diagnostic testing ▪ LA is home to one of nation’s fastest ▪ Training of medical technicians not likely to
(e.g., CT scans) CT scanners be large employment opportunity for LA
▪ Increased demand for women’s health ▪ Duke University is only SE hospital ▪ 6 SE hospitals in Top 25, so it will be
centers (e.g., osteoporosis, birthing centers) in Top 10 for gynecology easier for other states to build upon their
existing assets
▪ Increased demand for executive health/ ▪ LA’s tourism assets could provide ▪ Executive health centers unlikely to be a
concierge medicine attractions for out-of-state patients significant center of job growth
& families
▪ Increased role of technology ▪ LA’s Medicaid/Medicare system has ▪ Private sector needs to take an active
(i.e., electronic health records) in operations strong control over its operations role in driving the transition to
of medical facilities and payments technologically-savvy operations
▪ Potential effects of public policy on the ▪ Like all states, federal changes ▪ Shortage of doctors and Medicare/
healthcare industry (e.g., public option likely to extend medical coverage to Medicaid funding challenges will
insurance) most citizens continue to strain LA’s healthcare system
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Obesity is a serious disease, which causes many other diseases and
drives significant costs throughout the health system
Obesity is associated with a high number of co- In Louisiana, obesity is a burden to the healthcare
morbidities, which increase with age system and economic prospects
Obesity with no
co-morbidities
SOURCE: National Payor Health Assessment of large employer, n= 38,000, Sturm, R., “The Effects of Obesity, Smoking, and Drinking on Medical
Problems and Costs,” Health Affairs, Vol. 21, No. 2, March/April 2002, pp. 245-253.; Obesity Council; Emedecinehealth.com; Future 33
Costs of Obesity (2009)
The Southeast, and Louisiana specifically, is at the center of the US
obesity epidemic
Obesity in the US has reached epidemic
proportions … … With no end in sight
1990 Obesity prevalence
Millions of cases
Percent of
population
with obesity1
166.9 168.7
No Data 163.2 165.1
<10% 161.3
159.4
10%–14% 157.5
15%–19% 154.1 15%
20%–24% 150.6
2005 25%–29% 147.3
>=30% 144.0
2005 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 2015
SOURCE: Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System, CDC; Decision Resources; William J. Clinton Foundation 34
Accompanying the high concentration of obesity is a similarly high
concentration of diabetes in LA and the Southeast
Obesity and diabetes are linked
Number of Diabetes Deaths per 100,000 Population, 2006
▪ About 90% of type 2 diabetes is
attributable to excess weight. The
increase in the prevalence of type 2
diabetes is closely linked to the
upsurge in obesity.
▪ One study found a fourfold increased
risk for type 2 diabetes in women
overweight vs. women with normal
BMI
– Morbidly obese women were 93x
more at risk than women with
normal BMI
+16%
2003 04 05 2006
Smoking Diabetes
CAGR CAGR
+4%
-1%
SOURCE: NIH 36
Though not a significant source of job growth, a hub and spoke system
will improve the productivity of LA’s workforce and reduce current
spending on obesity-related healthcare costs
▪ Rationale for initiative
Potential locations for clinics and research hub1
– Businesses and state-funded programs
(e.g., Medicare) pay an enormous sum in
Treatment clinic health care expenses related to obesity
Monroe – Decreasing obesity in LA will indirectly
Research hub
strengthen the economy:
▫ Reduce preventable health care
spending by businesses and
government
▫ Increase the productivity of the
workforce while making the state a
more attractive place to locate a
business
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Overview of blue ocean targets
Why exciting? Why Louisiana?
Next generation digital ▪ High expected employment growth in ▪ Highly competitive and broad digital
media / software US in key areas (e.g., education IT, interactive media tax credit
development healthcare IT, digital gaming, cyber ▪ Creative culture that is attractive to
security, mobile apps) young professionals
▪ High-wage, skilled positions that are ▪ Opportunity to capitalize on
“sticky” significant IT infrastructure
▪ “Buzz” factor that could transform investment
image of Louisiana ▪ Early business development wins in
▪ Potential to attract researchers, the sector (e.g., EA, Pixel Magic)
entrepreneurs, and investors that
keep developing the “next wave”
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Overview of blue ocean targets (continued)
Why exciting? Why Louisiana?
Energy efficiency: ▪ Potential to lead the South into the ▪ Momentum and rising demand exists in
Green living, green “green century” by attracting the state, particularly in hurricane-
building, green manu- manufacturing operations impacted areas
facturing ▪ Large projected investments in ▪ Competitive, flexible labor
energy efficiency globally and ▪ Distinctive natural resources and
domestically transportation assets leading to a
natural competitive advantage
Renewable energy: ▪ Large U.S. and international ▪ Wealth of natural resources for
Power and fuel for the mandates and incentives commercial stage technologies
future anticipated – Mississippi & Red Rivers for
▪ Growing consumer demand to hydropower
pursue green energy – Supply of timberland for wood-based
▪ Long-term potential to reduce biomass & biofuels
electricity costs with renewable ▪ Resources for renewable fuel sources
fuel sources (e.g., algae, switchgrass, sugarcane)
▪ High concentration of energy-intensive
operations that would benefit from lower
cost energy sources
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Overview of blue ocean targets (continued)
Why exciting? Why Louisiana?
Nuclear power: Parts ▪ Large international demand; ▪ Early win in the manufacturing sector
and modular production 50-200 new plants expected (Shaw Modular Solutions) provides
globally as countries shift to energy opportunity to serve global demand
sources with no CO2 emissions ▪ Louisiana FastStart: one of the best
▪ Substantial domestic demand with workforce solutions in the U.S.
5-10 new plants expected, could ▪ Historical fabrication workforce
increase dramatically strengths
▪ Distinctive logistics and transportation
assets
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Overview of blue ocean targets (continued)
Why exciting? Why Louisiana?
Obesity / diabetes ▪ Growing epidemic in U.S. with no ▪ One of the highest rates of obesity
research and treatment end in sight and diabetes mortality rates in the US
▪ Southeast is at the epicenter of the ▪ Costs expected to reach $4.5 billion
problem annually in Louisiana by 2018
▪ Large increases in national funding ▪ Pennington Biomedical Research
and research grants Center is a leader in the study of
obesity and preventative medicine
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Overview of blue ocean targets (continued)
Why exciting? Why Louisiana?
Water management: ▪ Coastal restoration and defense ▪ Will spend roughly $3-4 billion a year
“The Netherlands of the becoming increasingly important to on coastal restoration in next 20 years
U.S.” communities around the world ▪ Initial base of 40 companies
▪ Renewed attention to threat/impact ▪ U.S. dependence on Louisiana’s
of natural disasters energy production may necessitate
▪ Nascent industry domestically with additional long-term commitments
no clear regional leader
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Overview of blue ocean targets (continued)
Why exciting? Why Louisiana?
Ultra-deep water: Under ▪ New wave of exploration to ▪ Established oil and gas infrastructure
the sea capture oil deposits 10,000 feet to capture increased service
beneath the ocean surface operations new deepwater resources
▪ One avenue to decreased ▪ Better proximity to existing and new
dependence on foreign oil deepwater discoveries
▪ New technologies have driven ▪ Developed oil and gas industry in the
increased interest on the part of state with skilled workforce
energy companies in unexplored
areas
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