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INTRODUCTION
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major problem facing all western book 'Global Paradox'21), expect that
governments. The masses themselves early in the next century the number
will put employment and economic of states in the United Nations will
well-being before the dubious privi- increase from the present number of
lege of electing powerless represen- 184 to over 1,000. Perhaps the new
tatives. self-consciousness in Lombardy, and
Because of the need to employ with it the rise of the Northern
the masses, the major social problem League in Italian politics, can be
for politicians in the coming decades seen as part of a global trend.
is going to be how to attract global A new paradigm is upon us, in
employers to partner local compan- which the nation state can be seen as
ies, and how to keep them. The need just another form of organisation,
to entice global companies and the which will delegate regulatory power
employment they bring, will not to continent/market-wide bodies
only pit state against state, but also such as North American Free Trade
area against area, town against town Agreement (NAFTA) or the Euro-
and even suburb against suburb. Tax pean Union (EU). Nation states will
holidays and reduced regulation will fragment: rich areas will dump the
be aimed at attracting employers. poor areas.22 Such shakeout trends
This trend will undermine can be interpreted as downsizing, a
national legislation and taxation strategy that is being considered by
policies. Any area with independent most shrewd major corporations
aspirations will use economic these days.23 To protect their wealth,
weapons against its neighbours. rich areas will also undertake a
Staten Island recently voted to split rightsizing strategy, ensuring a high
from New York. Quebec scrapped proportion of (wealth generating)
local taxes on cigarettes, and people knowledge workers to (wealth
from neighbouring Canadian states depleting) service workers.
such as New Brunswick bought their To be successful, a geographical
tobacco across state lines. The result region needs major cultural and
was a collapse of tax revenues from social attractions to entice the global
smokers in these neighbouring corporations, and it also has to be
states, whereas Quebec earned far safe for a company and its employ-
more from increased spending than ees. Closer cooperation between
it lost in tax. To make matters worse, local police forces and company
a recent Toronto produced tele- security agencies can therefore be
vision programme implied that expected, and the edges between the
British Columbia resents what it sees two groupings will become increas-
as its subsidy of the rest of Canada. ingly blurred. Today in the USA
It hinted at independence for there are nearly twice as many
Cascadia (British Columbia with the private security guards as there are
American states of Washington and official police.24 Furthermore, to
Oregon), which has a combined GDP protect supportive companies, states
of US$250bn and an economy may impose draconian penalties on
almost the size of Australia.20 So is the perpetrators of economic crimes
there a future for Canada? Some and those who betray commercial
futurologists, such as Heineken secrecy, along the lines of the Swiss
(reported by John Naisbitt in his system. For example, 20 years ago
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ant as decisions about what specific success. These alchemists will inhabit
business applications are needed. the domain of security. They will be
Detailed prescriptions for IT utilisa- pragmatists who do not promote
tion by consultants and agencies are false theories of scientific truth, but
of little practical value to companies who base their actions on what they
if they do not recognise that policy believe to be 'procedurally success-
outcomes are often determined by ful'.29
unique social and political factors. So the world of security, specific-
Security management must also take ally of IS security, must change. For
a major role when these social and in the past security problems were
political factors are being consid- viewed after the event and managed
ered. 'scientifically', predominantly as
technical tasks, without adequate
DEVELOPING A NEW PARADIGM strategic understanding of the socio-
FOR SECURITY economic context within which the
systems are embedded. Problems
Information systems (IS) now hold a were seen as a consequence of a sys-
central place in management, in tem's function, rather than as an
turn demonstrating the fundamental emergent property of reflexive inter-
role of IS security in the running of action between system and context.
every company. Companies can no Failures are inevitable in that naïve
longer trust to luck by treating stance.
security management as a poor rela- On the other hand, the alchemist
tion. Security, particularly of the recognises the need to treat informa-
telecommunications and informa- tion systems as social systems in
tion systems infrastructure, must be which technology is only one ele-
at the core of every business. How- ment. In its required new form
ever, in its present form, the world security must be seen in holistic
of IS security will not cope with the terms, and the behaviour of systems
increased pressures placed on it. perceived as reflexive and non-
The methods of science so preva- linear. The difference between
lent in business thinking are not success and failure when dealing
going to help the security com- with uncertainty will be the manage-
munity to cope with these pressures. ment of the quality and integrity of a
The idea of 'equilibrium' that under- company's people, procedures and
lies so much of the 'scientism' of systems. More and more that differ-
modern economics and management ence will be the responsibility of
theory has been shown to be a myth. security chiefs and their redesig-
As George Soros so eloquently put nated departments. The sheer com-
it, there is no such thing as a state of plexity and uncertainty of changes
equilibrium, only the question of necessitate corporate strategies,
where we are in the perpetual move- whose effectiveness depends on the
ment between 'near-equilibrium' and vision of the leadership and the
'far from equilibrium'.29 People who integrity or wholeness, the sense of
can succeed in this dynamic environ- identity and trust in the company,
ment are today's alchemists, those and how it deals with change. The
who can turn the base metal of concept of security itself will have to
management chaos into the gold of be redefined to encompass these
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ideas, which will impact on all com- 11 Murray, C. (1994) 'Underclass: the
pany systems. T h e security c o m m u n - crisis deepens', Sunday Times, 22nd
ity must see itself a m o n g the élite of May.
symbolic-analysts. T h e j o b of the 12 Ford, R. (1994) 'Government defends
new-style security manager is to £lm entry fee for immigrants', The
broker the identification and solu- Times, 25th May.
tion of security problems. This com- 13 Syal, R. (1994) 'Mobile millions
munity must develop its own Britain missed', The Times, 29th May.
alchemy, which is not a science, and 14 Narbrough, C. (1993) 'Surprise prose-
which delivers organisational proce- cution meeting over VW', The Times,
dures and technological applications 3rd December.
that can succeed in the midst of 15 Heilbroner, R. (1986) 'The Worldly
social, political and economic u p - Philosophers', 6th edition, Penguin,
heaval. London.
16 Mulgan and Murray (1993) ibid.
17 McRae, H. (1994) 'The World in
REFERENCES 2020', Harper Collins, London.
18 Ebenezer Elliott.
1 Barnet, R. and Cavanagh, J. (1994) 19 Iain Macleod.
'Global Dreams: Imperial Corpora- 20 The Economist (1994) 'Welcome to
tions and the New World Order', Cascadia', 21st May.
Simon & Shuster, London. 21 Naisbitt (1994) ibid.
2 Barker, J. (1993) 'Paradigms', Harper 22 Reich (1991) ibid.
Business, New York. 23 Turner and Hodges (1992) ibid.
3 Wendt, H. (1993) 'Global Embrace', 24 McRae (1994) ibid.
Harper Business, New York. 25 Duce, R. (1994) 'Whistle-blower given
4 Ohmae, K. (1994) 'The Borderless 10 years for murder plot', The Times,
World', Harper Collins, London. 15th March.
5 Reich, R. B. (1991) 'The Work of 26 Barker (1993) ibid.
Nations', Vintage, New York. 27 Handy, С (1994) 'The Empty Rain
6 Naisbitt, J. (1994) 'Global Paradox', coat', Hutchinson, London.
Nicholas Brierly, London. 28 Krol, E. (1994) 'The Whole Internet',
7 Turner, L. and Hodges, M. (1992) 2nd edition, O'Reilly & Assoc, Sebas
'Global Shakeout', Century Business, topol CA.
London. 29 Soros, G. (1994) 'The Alchemy of
8 Mulgan, G. and Murray, R. (1993) Finance', Vintage, New York.
'Reconnecting Taxation', Demos,
London. A talk given to the 1994 Annual Con
9 Drucker, P. (1992) 'Post Capitalist gress of the European Security Forum,
Society', Butterworth, London. Hyatt Regency Hotel, Cologne, 10th
10 Reich (1991) ibid. October, 1994.
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