Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Risk Management
Phillipe C. Burke
Exhibit 1
Key Decisions
The appropriate debt structure for a company will vary over time, as
the firm's revenue composition changes, and as interest rates follow
their natural cycle. An active liability manager will address the
following debt structure issues on an ongoing basis:
1. Appropriate percentage of fixed rate debt and floating rate
debt;
2. Preferred debt maturities;
3. Optimal debt instruments; and
4. Desired timing of execution.
Alternative Approaches
Exhibit 2 highlights different approaches to the rate risk
management process. Each of these is addressed in tum.
Exhibit 2
Alternative Approaches
Every Debt Structure (fixed/floating mix, maturities) reflects
management's risk tolerance and judgment of the interest rate
environment. The following are examples of different liahility
management approaches:
Exhibit 3
Matching Average Lives
Yield
•
Yield Curve
10.0%
9.50%
9.0%
8.0%
"•Maturity
3 Year 4 Year 5 Year
ILLUSTRATIONS
With the growth in market hquidity and standardization to date,
it is now possible for a financial manager to amend, shorten, blend,
extend, sell-o£f, in briefremold his or herfirm*sstream ofliability cash
flows as so much clay in his or her hands. From a rate risk management
standpoint, the important benefit is that the manager is now able to
actively reshape the appropriate interest sensitivity of the firm's debt
structure as the firm's asset and earnings mix evolves and as rates
and the yield curve slope change. In this environment, some say, it is
best to speak softly and carry a big swap portfolio. However, the choice
, . . the manager ofhedging instrument (whether swap or option) will be driven in large
part by the firm's rate outlook and desired payoff characteristics.
is now able to ac- Some examples ofthis active habihty management work are examined
tively reshape the in the materials that follow.
appropriate interest
sensitivity of the Target Swaption
firm's debt structure Suppose a firm's targetfixed5-year swap rate is 9 percent, 50bps
as the firm's asset below current rates. Rather than simply waiting for rates to drop,
and earnings mix consider selling off the right to receive a fixed rate of 9 percent fi-om
evolves... you for 5 years in, say, 6 months' time, for a premium receipt of 50bps.
If 5-year swap rates are below 9 percent in 6 months, the swaption
buyer will exercise his or her option locking the firm into its target
rate, resulting in a fixing cost to the firm of 9 percent minus the
already collected premium of 50bps. But what if rates never drop?
Waiting won't be of much help; having sold a Swaption, however, the
premium receipt coxild be used to buy a cap on part of the firm's
London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR) or CP funding cost against
that doomsday scenario of high rates. Meanwhile, the manager can
keep selling Swaptions every 6 months until rates drop below 9
percent, and use ihe premium to lower his or her floating rate cost.
Time Swaption
Assimie that prospectsforsignificantlower U.S. rates are beginning
to dim. Yet it is now clear that the manager still needs one more 4-
to 6-year swap for rate protection or maturity extension to top it off,
despite the higher rates. The manager can payfixedin a 5-year Swap
today at 9.5 percent. With volatility picking up and the implied
forward curve steepening G>oth making options dearer), the manager
could simultaneously sell off the right to cancel out ofthe last year of
that Swap in 4 years, and also sell the right to extend that Swap by
a year in 5 years for a total of 6 years. For his or her indecisiveness,
the option buyer will pay the manager 100bps up front or lower the
Swap coupon. If this strategy sounds like it might have escaped from
a lab in Transylvania, consider what happens when the ashes settle:
The manager is left paying either 9.19 percent for 4 years or 9.28
percent for 6 years—not a bad deal for a company that is indifferent
between a 4, 5, or 6-year Swap today.
years of a 7 year swap, where the biggest gain resides because of the
steepening yield curve).
Suppose a swap had been acquired at 8.5 percent during kinder
days; now, in a 9.5 percent rate environment, the manager looks very
smug indeed The position he or she proudly holds is equivalent to
having bought a cap and sold a floor at 8.5 percent. A buyout (or
cancellation) of the existing swap at current rates of 9.5 percent would
net a gain of 100bps pa (9.5 percent-8.5 percent). Before contemplating
In both instances.. early retirement, the manager should consider selling a 9.5 percent
the firm, is left cap, ignoring floors all together, and keeping your existing swap on
the books. Because the manager would never buy afloorback in this
exposed to rates case, he or she ends up earning a full cap premium. Thus, he or she is
above 9,5 percent,. left with the following outcomes: The strategy out-performs a buyout
if rates rise past 9.5 percent-cap premixmi, (since the manager here
lags the market by lOObps+cap premium while the buyout case lags
the market by 100bps), and underperforms the buyout if rates drop
below9.5percent-cappremium(becauseabuyout converts the manager
to a floating rate-lOObps while this cap alternative keeps him or her
fixed at 8.5 percent less the premium earned). In both instances,
however, thefirmis left exposed to rates above 9.5 percent—a problem
that can be addressed independently.
Reversing a Swap
Let us assume that sometime ago, after examining the firm's
interest rate exposure, a manager entered into a swap to raise his or
her overall hedged ratio, payingfixedat 8 percent for 10 years. A year
later, rates have risen to 10 percent, a large enough move to warrant
a serious review of the firm's portfolio average hfe and to consider
reahzing some imbedded values. The financial manager decides to
take advantage of market volatility and to lock-in a portion of the
gains, shorten maturities somewhat, and raise, at the margin, the mix
of floating rate debt.
In the process, the manager chooses to realize the handsome 2
percent per annum (pa) gain in the existing 8 percent swap with a
remaining 9 year life.
Now rather than cancelling the 8 percent swap (with a 9-year
remaining hfe) and taking the profit upfix)nt,the manager cunningly
decides to lock in the gain by keeping the 8 percent swap outstanding
and receiving a current market rate of 10 percent in a new 9-year
swap, thereby securing the margin in the form of a 2 percent pa 9-year
annuity. As volatility eventually brings market rates back to, say, 8
percent, the 2 percent annuity can be realized by cancelling both
swaps and obtaining the present value of that stream. Thus, he has
achieved the present value receipt of a 2 percent pa annuity, realized
in a 10 percent environment, but discounted at the current 8 percent
market rate, resulting in a much higher PV amount than if the same
annuity had been present valued and delivered in the 10 percent
environment that prevailed when the "buyout" was engineered.
Raising his voice over the murmur of congratulations, he sagely notes
sensitive hedge (e.g.. Cap) by the roughly $1.3MM gain resulting fi:x>m
unwinding (1) and (2). Note also that because (1) and (2) both have
start dates one year hence, this structure will cause no cash outlay on
thefirm'spart during the year it is implementing its hedging program.
Out of the Money Floors
Positioning ahead of a bumpy ride down to lower short-term rates,
some companies are, quite sensibly, contemplating purchases of caps
for rate protection and floors to convert old coUeirs into gleaming new
caps. Another dazzling strategy for participating in a rate drop over
the next few months is the acquisition of an out ofthe moneyfloor.For
instance, in a 9 percent rate environment, the cost of a 5-yearfloorat
6 percent on 3MoLIBOR barely shows up on the radar screen: say, 12
bps or $120,000 on $100MM. If volatility rises to its recent historical
average within, say, 3 months' time and rates are unchanged, the
market will bid the instrument back at a 25 percent gain to the
. . . some companies company. And if interest rates drop by 25bps, in parallel motion, the
are, quite sensibly, return from such a sale rises to 50 percent. Meanwhile, the downside
contemplating pur- can never exceed the 12bp outlay at time zero. Of course, rates
chases of caps for probably won't move in parallel fashion. In the above scenario, the
rate protection and greatest return comes from the heightened value of the far-dated
floors to convert old options imbedded in thefirm's5-year floor, but the manager could just
collars into gleam,- as easily sell off any portion ofthe floor, selectively keeping the rest
ing new caps. for later use.
CONCLUSION
As illustrated in this article, the distinguishing characteristic of
proactive interest rate risk managers is their willingness to actively
manage the unrealized gains and losses that a debt portfolio will
inevitably generate, as interest rates change and as time passes. This
active, hands-on approach to hability management differsfromtrading
a balance sheet; running a speculative futures account would
undoubtedly be more effective for the latter purpose. Instead, as the
examples sought to show, a proactive debt manager will selectively
take advantage of opportunities offered by today's volatile rate
environment within certain constraints of rate exposure, outlook, and
risk tolerance.
NOTES
1. Though simplified for eajse of exposition, all of the caBes are based on actual
problems the author encountered during the last year. Funding considerations are
set aside; the focus is on managing interest rate risk.
2. See "The Historical Cost of Fixed Vs. Floating Rate Debt' by Jack Buchmiller and
Jeff Pearsall, (September 1988) Security Pacific Bank, New York.
3. A good article on these tax issues appeared in the Tax Law Review, Volume 43,
Number 3.