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Spain has been progressing economically since the Spanish Civil War in 1939
when its economy was devastated. Today, tourism, industry and agriculture
play a major role in the country’s economy. Spain has seen the fastest
economic development in Western Europe since the 1960’s.
Tourism has played a major role since the 1960’s and in the last 40 years,
tourism has been the fastest growing economic sector of the country’s GDP,
helping to accelerate growth overall. Millions of visitors flock to Spain and
contribute almost $50 billion USD to Spain’s economy each year.
IN THE MID-1980s, Spain's per capita gross domestic product ranked low
among the industrial countries represented in the Organisation for Economic
Co-operation and Development, though well ahead of such nations as
Greece, Yugoslavia, and Portugal. In the latter half of the decade, however,
the Spanish economy entered a phase of strong expansion and employment.
Despite the excellent economic performance of the late 1980s, the Gonzalez
government was unable to reduce an unemployment rate that was then the
highest among the members of the European Community (EC). The number
of workers employed as a result of the economic boom was equivalent to the
number of new entrants into the labor market, so that the boom only
marginally reduced the number of job seekers. A mitigating circumstance,
however, was that although the official unemployment rate was 20 percent,
perhaps as many as one-third of those registered as unemployed were
working in the "underground economy."
2010 was a difficult year for the Spanish economy, although it is possible to
say that after the "perfect storm" that it experienced at the end of 2008, it
appears that the fall has been stopped and the basis for recovery
established.
At the start of 2010 the government began to realize the time had come to
end with stimulus packages and concentrate on fiscal adjustment. The
rumors about the insolvency of Greece provoked continuous speculative
attacks on the bonds sold against the public deficit by the countries on the
periphery of the Euro.
This shock in the public debt markets, along with the recommendations of
the European Union, led the government to adapt successive packages of
measures to reduce the deficit.
Several taxes were also increased, especially sales tax (IVA) and taxes on
tobacco, while there was a minimal rise in income tax for the highest
earners. These measures have allowed Spain to succeed in its aim of
reducing the public deficit during 2010 (it is currently below the predicted
9.3 percent) and allow the government to fulfill its future objectives.
The unions and the parties from the left have criticized this adjustment,
labeling it as anti-social and pointing out it could lead to a return into
recession. However, despite the government' s austerity policy, it seems the
Spanish economy hit bottom in 2010 and will not continue to fall.
The first two quarters of the year ended with slight growth in GNP and the
last published data, from the third quarter, shows a growth of 0.2 percent in
comparison to 2009.
The rise in unemployment also appears to have halted in 2010. Following the
loss of 1,600,000 jobs between May 2008 and December 2009, the number
of jobs in 2010 has remained just about the 17, 500,000 mark.
Not only have the fall in production and the rise in unemployment been
halted, but previous imbalances have begun to recover. Early estimations
show the external deficit of the balance for current accounts and for capital
began to be reduced in 2010, falling to below 4.5 percent of GNP.
There are still some important imbalances: the black economy has increased
as a result of the crisis and it is estimated that it makes up around 20
percent of GNP. Although these "informal" jobs allow many unemployed
people to make a living, they also mean a major reduction in state earnings.
House prices have also failed to hit bottom and are expected to continue
falling in 2011. Finally there is still a high level of duality in the labor market,
with Spain "boasting" one of the highest levels of temporary employees in
Europe.
In conclusion, 2010 has been a difficult year. The need to redirect resources
from construction and its dependent industries to other sectors has coincided
with the harsh fiscal adjustments of the government, which was provoked by
the public deficit and has caused the elimination of social protection and led
to tax increases.
Despite these problems there are details that indicate that unless there are
new and unexpected negative shocks, such as insolvency of banks, new
financial turbulence or a new setback to the European economy, it is
possible to say that the Spanish economy has been able to heal its wounds
and is putting together the basis to begin a slow, but balanced process of
growth.