Renewable Energy Grand Plan For

India
A Seminar
Given by
ABHISHEK KUMAR
In partial fulfillment for the award of the degree
Of
BACHELOR OF TECHNOLOGY
IN
ELECTRICAL ENGINEERING
At

JIET GROUP OF INSTITUTIONS

JODHPUR INSTITUTE OF ENGINEERING AND TECHNOLOGY
NH-65, NEW PALI ROAD, MOGRA
JODHPUR
2011
World primary energy WORLD ENERGY SCENARIO
demand grows by 1.6%
per year on average
between 2006 and 2030
– an increase of 45%.
The world’s energy
needs would be well over
50% higher in 2030 than
today. China and India
together account for
45% of the increase in
global primary energy
demand in this scenario.
- World Energy Outlook
( www.iea.org )
ENERGY GRAPH
  Grand Total Installed Capacity in the country is
171926.40 MW (as on 28-02-2011).

 As of 27 march 2011, India has potential to

generate about 89,000 MW of power from different
renewable energy sources. showing a y-o-y growth
rate of 35%

Renewable  Including large hydro capacity, renewable capacity is

Energy in India ~ 57GW.

– An Overview  The nation’s massive energy demand increase.

 The 8% Plus Economic Growth coupled with the

already massive electricity deficit which makes
brownouts of 8 hours a day normal in many places
in the country provides the macro background
underpinning the growth.
 Renewable Energy Scenario-INDIA

Dependencies at diff.
RE places in India
sources in India.
 RENEWABLE ENERGY GRAND PLAN-
INTRODUCTION

 After a decade and half of extensive research Renewable seems

poised for a breakthrough in India.

 It is possible that many of recent positive policy measure have

been born out of compulsion, and not conviction.

 But in second decade of the 21st century the prospects have

developed well in terms of renewable energy development in
India.

 Despite the electricity Act 2003 it provided a solution for change

in approach to renewable at least in two areas i.e. wind and Solar
 Potential of grid- connected Renewable in
India
Source Capacity( MW) Assumed PLF(%) Annual Generation( billion
kWh)

Wind 100000 25 219.0

Small Hydro 15000 45 46.0
Bagasse 5000 60 26.3
Biomass 16881 60 88.72
Large Hydro( existing & 100000 60 525.6
future
Large Hydro in Bhutan 16000 60 84.1
Waste-to-Energy 5000 60 26.28
*Solar CSP based Power 200000 35 613.2
Generation
Solar PV/CPV based 200000 20 350.4
power generation
Geothermal 10000 80 70.1
Total 662881 2049.70
 Major Recent Policy Development

 These policies are related to the Electricity Act-2003

are as follows.

1. Declaration of feed in tariffs.

2. Renewable purchase obligation.
3. Introduction of renewable energy certificate.
4. Generation based incentives for wind power.
5. Incentives for PV manufacturing.
 Towards the Grand Plan

 India needs an aggressive ‘Grand Plan’ to develop renewable as the future

source of energy or to realize the vision of a hundred percent renewable
future.

 Europe already has over GW of installed capacity of renewable electricity

and this is expected to grow to 520 GW, 979 GW, and 2000GW by 2020,
2030, and 2050 respectively.

 Almost half of this will be contributed by photovoltaic followed by wind,

hydro and solar thermal power. This way by 2050, renewable electricity is
expected to provide for 100% of EU’s power demand.

 In US similar projects have been initiated.

 Grand Plan In India

 A similar Grand Plan is possible for india because we also have also
have a large areas of desert in Rajasthan and Gujrat.

 Fifteen to twenty percent of these desert areas, judiciously planned and

developed to generate power from a proper mix of PV and CSP plants,
and connected to a HVDC transmission network, can deliver grid power
to our cities and industrial areas across northern, western and central
India.

 As mentioned earlier the main key role in this grand plan is to be

played by two major energy sources –
 solar
 wind
 Role of solar energy

 solar energy would play the most significant role in a 100% renewable
energy economy. Since India has more than 2 lacks square kilometers
of desert land in the state of Rajasthan and Gujarat, it’s eminently possible
for us to develop large number of projects using CSP technologies with
storage.

 Much of this land is uninhabited and owned by the government which

makes the task even easier.

 Even if 20% of such land in India is developed for solar thermal power
generation, we can generate much more than the 200 GW.

 The land required for each MW of solar energy produced in these regions
would be less than needed for same capacity of coal based power, if we
factor in the land required for coal mining also
 Role of Wind Energy

 Wind power is the other major game changing technology. Most wind
power would be generated in south, west and north- west India.

 The southern and western wind generation can be absorbed in the local
grids.

 Whereas wind generation in Gujarat and Rajasthan along with massive

solar power generated in these states will have to be made dispatch able
to the load centers using storage, forecasting and smart grids.
  The Grand Plan can be implemented in three
phases lasting up to 2050.

 The NAPCC has a target of 15% renewable power

by 2020.

 Computation by WISE shows that additional RE

Implementation capacity(over and above exiting installed
of Grand Plan capacity)of around 90,000 MW will have to be
installed to generate 15% RE power(247 billion
units which is 15% of the projected consumption of
PHASE-I 1643 billion units by 2020).

(2010-20)  This is much more than the planned capacity

under the 11th ,12th and 13th Five –Year Plans and
the National Solar Mission.
  During the decade 2010-20 solar energy would have gone
through a severe learning phase and numerous pilot
projects covering various technologies would have been
established.

 Solar would have achieve grid parity by 2020.Gosiil fuel

prices would have escalated to edge out fossil fuel based
generation from the market.
Implementation
of Grand Plan  Coal availability would become increasingly scarce.

 Wind power would have utilized much of best wind sites

PHASE-II in India
(2020-30)
 So this second phase would be the time to unleash the
power to solar energy across India, by rapid scaling up.

 Wind power will continue to open up green field sites and

go for repowering of old sites with higher capacity
turbines
  This is the phase when renewable will begin to be
recognized as the main source of power generation
in the country.

 The global spike in fossil fuels both in terms of

availability and prices would have happened.

Implementation  Tremendous leapfrogging of Re technology in all

of Grand Plan Ares –efficiency, storage, cost-reduction etc would
have occurred .
PHASE-II
 Renewable power will be installed in ever larges
(2030-50) quantities and the journey to a 100 percent RE
power system by 2050 would have begun.

 Maximum addition of renewable capacity would be

done. The installed capacity of 700 GW producing
over 21`00 billion KWh can be achieved by 2050.
  Rationalizing Fiscal and Financial
Incentives.

 Legal Employment.

 Regulation: Overhauling the Cost –plus

Methodology.

CONCLUSION  Externalities of Conventional Power

Generation.

 Multiple Cost Curves.

 Risk adjusted Pricing.

 Rapid Scaling up is Possible. The Social,

Economic and Environmental Benefits