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ANALYSIS OF OIL SPILL TRENDS

IN THE UNITED STATES AND WORLDWIDE


Dagmar Schmidt Etkin
Environmental Research Consulting
750 Main Street
Winchester, Massachusetts 01890

ABSTRACT: This presentation examines trends in U.S. oil xylene, ethylene, and toluene), or liquefied natural or petroleum
spillage, with respect to historical and current trends in the gas. “Facilities” include oil terminals, storage tanks, refineries,
United States and worldwide, and analyzes potential influences industrial facilities, utilities, and other stationary sources with the
on spill frequencies. Contrary to popular perceptions, the num- exception of pipelines.
bers of oil spills, as well as the amount spilled, have decreased
significantly over the last two decades, particularly in the last few
years despite overall increases in oil transport. Decreases are U.S. oil spill trends
pronounced for vessels. U.S. pipelines now spill considerably
more than tankers. Overall, U.S. oil spillage decreased 228% Vessels. Oil spills from vessels in U.S. waters have followed a
since the 1970s and 154% since the 1980s. This decrease mirrors pattern of increase from 1985 through 1993, followed by a de-
international trends and can likely be attributed to reduced cline from 1993–1995, and gradual increase from 1995–1999.
accident rates, due to preventive measures and increased con- Vessels other than tankers and barges that carry oil as cargo drive
cerns over escalating financial liabilities. much of this trend (Figure 1). Tanker and barge spills decreased
during 1985–1999, with a particularly significant drop since 1990
(Etkin, 2000a). The number of spills from tankers and barges in
Methodology 1999 was only 12% the number in 1990. Much of this decrease
can be attributed the decrease in oil transport by tankers and
Oil spill data used in this study are from the Environmental barges through U.S. waters over the last several years. At the
Research Consulting Spill Databases, which collate data from a same time, freight transport has increased somewhat, increasing
large number of sources and databases, including information the likelihood of spills from freighters. Overall, oil movement to
from the U.S. Coast Guard (USCG), U.S. National Response and from the United States has increased by over 42% since
Center (NRC), U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), 1988.
U.S. Office of Pipeline Safety (OPS), U.S. Minerals Management Spills from tankers and barges comprise only 13% of the total
Service (MMS), various U.S. state databases, Environment Can- annual spill number, but, since the largest vessel spills tend to be
ada, Oil Spill Intelligence Report, International Maritime Organi- from oil cargo vessels, 78% of the volume of oil spilled from
zation, International Tanker Owners Pollution Federation, Tanker vessels comes from tankers and barges (Figure 2). Barge spills
Advisory Center, and other national and regional environmental have exceeded tanker spills in number and amount spilled. Since
agencies. On a continuously updated basis, the data are cross- 1990, the average barge spill has been larger than the average
checked and corrected with current information and new infor- tanker spill, and barges overall have spilled more than tankers
mation on past events. U.S. data are subject to reporting errors, (except for 1997) (Etkin, 2000a).
occasional duplications of records of events, and other anomalies. The frequency distribution of spill size classes shows that spills
Worldwide data largely reflect trends in reporting, both over time under 100 gallons represent 92% of the total spill number, but
and on a regional basis, and should be treated as underestimates, only about 1% of the total spill volume from vessels (Figure 3).
particularly for smaller-sized spill events (under 100,000 gallons The total volume from spills of less than 100,000 gallons has not
or 340 t), for spills from regions where reporting is compromised changed appreciably since 1985, with spills of at least 100,000
for political or logistical reasons, and for spills from nonvessel gallons contributing the most to annual fluctuations of total vessel
sources. spillage (Figure 4). Tanker spills show similar trends to barge
An “oil spill” is defined as discrete event in which oil is dis- spills over the last 15 years (Figure 5), as is the case when the
charged through neglect, by accident, or with intent over a rela- spills in the different size classes are analyzed as a percentage of
tively short time. It does not include an event in which oil leaks the total spill number. Both tankers and barges show no apprecia-
slowly over a long period of time, nor does it include operational ble change in frequency of the largest size classes, an apparent
spillages allowed by international or national regulations (such as decrease in spills of 100–999 gallons (0.34–3.4 t), and an increase
MARPOL discharges from tankers) or that occur over a relatively in the percentage in the 1- to 9-gallon size class.
long period of time (such as >5 ppm oil discharges in refinery The smallest size classes usually are associated with bunker-
effluents) even if those discharges violate pollution regulations. ing, lightering, and loading, or to structural and equipment fail-
“Oil” is defined as a petroleum-derived substance as defined in ures not attributable to accidents. This generally holds true for
MARPOL Annex I, and does not include BTEX (benzene, barges, tankers, and freight vessels (Etkin, 2000a). Freighters

1291
1292 2001 INTERNATIONAL OIL SPILL CONFERENCE

6,000

All Other Vessels


5,000
Total Barge+Tanker

4,000

Number of Spills
3,000

2,000

1,000

0
1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999

Figure 1. Annual number of oil spills (1 gallon and over) from vessels in U.S. waters: Barges and tankers versus other vessels
(1985–1999) (Environmental Research Consulting Database).

1 4 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0

1 2 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0

1 0 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0

8 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0
B a rg e s a n d T a n k e rs
Gallons

A ll O th e r V e s s e ls

6 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0

4 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0

2 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0

0
1 98 5 198 6 19 87 19 88 19 89 1 990 1 991 1 99 2 199 3 1 99 4 199 5 19 96 19 97 19 98 1 999

Figure 2. Annual amount of oil spilled by vessels in U.S. waters in spills of 1 gallon and over (1985–1999) (Environmental
Research Consulting Database).

100 1 0 0 .0

9 8 .9 9 9 .8
90 Cum . % Num ber 9 6 .5

C u m . % A m t. 9 0 .6
80

70 7 6 .7

60
% Total

50

40 4 8 .5
3 3 .5

30

20 2 5 .2
8 .4
10 1 .9
0 .0 0 .1 0 .4
0 .0

0
10000000 1000000 100000 10000 1000 100 10 1
S p ill S iz e ( G a llo n s )

Figure 3. Cumulative percentage of total oil spillage (number of spills and amounts) by size class: U.S. vessel spills (1985–
1999) (Environmental Research Consulting Database).

1 4 , 0 0 0 ,0 0 0

1 2 , 0 0 0 ,0 0 0

1 0 , 0 0 0 ,0 0 0

8 , 0 0 0 ,0 0 0 S p il ls > 1 0 0 , 0 0 0 G a l lo n s
Gallons

S p il ls < 1 0 0 , 0 0 0 G a l lo n s

6 , 0 0 0 ,0 0 0

4 , 0 0 0 ,0 0 0

2 , 0 0 0 ,0 0 0

0
1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999

Figure 4. Total amount of oil spilled from vessels into U.S. waters (1985–1999) spill amounts from spills over and under
100,000 gallons (Environmental Research Consulting Database).
RESPONSE ISSUES 1293

180

160 1000000 gal


100000 gal
140 10000 gal
1000 gal
100 gal
120 10 gal
1 gal

Number of Spills
100

80

60

40

20

0
1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999

Figure 5. Annual Number of Tanker Oil Spills In US Waters By Spill Size Class (1985-1999) (Environmental Research
Consulting Database)

tend to have lower overall spill sizes, since the oil originates from Land-based facility spills. Spills impacting U.S. marine and
fuel tanks and machinery spaces rather than from cargo holds. navigable waterways and originating from fixed facilities (not
Accidents and errors during bunkering, lightering, and loading pipelines) have decreased dramatically since peaking in 1991
caused 57% of tanker spills, 71% of barge spills, and 53% of (Figure 6), following a pattern similar to vessel spills. The total
freighter spills. amount spilled is dominated by a tiny fraction (0.05%) of the spill
The largest vessel spills arise from accidents involving tankers, number that represents spills of 100,000 gallons or more (Figure
and occasionally barges, carrying large amounts of oil cargo. The 7). Water-impacting facility spills follow the same frequency
actual number of tanker accidents (allisions, collisions, and distribution pattern as vessel spills. The smallest spill size classes
groundings) has decreased to about 30 per year since reaching a represent a large fraction of the spill number but only a small
peak of nearly 180 accidents in 1990 (Etkin, 2000a), undoubtedly fraction of the total spill amount. Spills of over 100 gallons, while
contributing to the decrease in tanker spillage. Annually, only representing only 8.46% of the spill number, make up over 98%
0.2% of the more than 41,000 tanker transits result in accidents, of the amount of oil spilled between 1987 and 1999.
and of these accidents less than 2% result in oil spills. The spill Spills from U.S. land-based sources (pipelines, storage facili-
rate for tanker accidents has decreased since 1990, likely due to ties, fixed industrial facilities, air transport facilities, railways,
improved safety regulations and tanker construction. The per- and motor vehicles) not impacting marine and navigable water-
centage of tanker accidents resulting in oil spills of 1 gallon or ways decreased by 56% in the last 6 years (Figures 8–10) to an
more decreased sharply since 1990 (Etkin, 2000a). average of 4,800 spills of one gallon or more annually. These

4 ,5 0 0

4 ,0 0 0

3 ,5 0 0

3 ,0 0 0
Number of Spills

2 ,5 0 0

2 ,0 0 0

1 ,5 0 0

1 ,0 0 0

500

0
1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1997 1999

Figure 6. Annual number of facility spills of 1 gallon and over (excluding pipelines) impacting U.S. waters (1985–1999) (USCG
data with analysis by Environmental Research Consulting).

3 ,0 0 0 , 0 0 0

2 ,5 0 0 , 0 0 0
S p il ls > 1 0 0 ,0 0 0 G a llo n s
S p il ls < 1 0 0 ,0 0 0 G a llo n s

2 ,0 0 0 , 0 0 0
Gallons

1 ,5 0 0 , 0 0 0

1 ,0 0 0 , 0 0 0

5 0 0 ,0 0 0

0
1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1997 1999

Figure 7. Annual amount of oil spilled from facilities (excluding pipelines) into U.S. waters (1985–1999) (USCG data with
analysis by Environmental Research Consulting).
1294 2001 INTERNATIONAL OIL SPILL CONFERENCE

8 ,0 0 0

7 ,5 0 0

7 ,0 0 0

6 ,5 0 0

Number of Spills
6 ,0 0 0

5 ,5 0 0

5 ,0 0 0

4 ,5 0 0

4 ,0 0 0
1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999

Figure 8. Total annual number of U.S. land-based oil spills of 1 gallon or more (1987–1999) (EPA data with analysis by
Environmental Research Consulting).

2 5 , 0 0 0 ,0 0 0

2 0 , 0 0 0 ,0 0 0

1 5 , 0 0 0 ,0 0 0
Gallons

1 0 , 0 0 0 ,0 0 0

5 , 0 0 0 ,0 0 0

0
1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999

Figure 9. Total amount of oil spilled onto land in the United States in spills of 1 gallon or more (1987–1999) (EPA data with
analysis by Environmental Research Consulting).

14,000,000
AIR TRANSPORT
12,000,000 HIGHWAY
RAILWAY
STORAGE TANK
10,000,000
PIPELINE
FIXED FACILITY
8,000,000
Gallons

6,000,000

4,000,000

2,000,000

0
1987 1988
1989 1990
1991 1992
1993 1994
1995 1996
1997 1998
1999

Figure 10. Annual amount of oil spilled onto land in the United States by source type (1987–1999) (EPA data with analysis by
Environmental Research Consulting).

spills contribute over 9 million gallons of oil to U.S. land and water carriers (Figure 12) though the actual pipeline mileage has
groundwater resources each year. Fixed and storage facilities, and not increased appreciably. U.S. pipelines now carry 69.3% of oil
pipelines, make up the bulk of this spillage. Most of this input is transported, compared to 30.3% carried by vessels (tankers and
from a small number of spills of at least 100,000 gallons (Figure barges). The annual number of pipeline spills has decreased by
11). Spills of at least 100 gallons represent 47% of spill number 500% over the last 30 years (Figure 13). Spill amounts are domi-
and 99.6% of total spill volume. Spills of 1,000 gallons and over nated by a small number of large events. Over 74% of pipeline
represent 16% of spill number and 97% of spill volume. spills involve 100 gallons or less, while spills in these smaller
Pipelines. Since 1985, U.S. pipelines have spilled more oil size classes contribute only 0.8% of the total amount spilled. 90%
than tankers and barges combined. Since 1991, pipelines have of spills are under 1,000 gallons. Overall, the amount spilled has
annually spilled 37 times as much as tankers. The change in the decreased (Figure 14).
proportion U.S. pipeline spillage is largely due to the fact that
since 1990, pipelines transport more oil across more miles than
RESPONSE ISSUES 1295

3 0 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0

2 5 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0

2 0 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0
S p ills > 1 0 0 ,0 0 0 G a llo n s
S p ills < 1 0 0 ,0 0 0 G a llo n s

Gallons
1 5 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0

1 0 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0

5 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0

0
1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999

Figure 11. Total annual oil spillage onto land in the United States: Spills over and under 100,000 gallons (EPA data with
analysis by Environmental Research Consulting).
700

600

500
Billion Ton-Miles

400

300

Pipelines
200
W ater carriers
100

0
75

76

77

78

79

80

81

82

83

84

85

86

87

88

89

90

91

92

93

94

95

96

97
19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19
Figure 12. U.S. oil transport by pipelines and water carriers (1975–1999) (Bureau of Transportation Statistics data with
analysis by Environmental Research Consulting).

600

500

400
Number of Spills

300

200

100

0
68

70

72

74

76

78

80

82

84

86

88

90

92

94

96

98
19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

Figure 13. Number of oil transport pipeline spills in United States (1968–1999) (Environmental Research Consulting
Database).

70 ,0 00,00 0

60 ,0 00,00 0

50 ,0 00,00 0

40 ,0 00,00 0
Gallons

30 ,0 00,00 0

20 ,0 00,00 0

10 ,0 00,00 0

0
1968

1969

1970

1971

1972

1973

1974

1975

1976

1977

1978

1979

1980

1981

1982

1983

1984

1985

1986

1987

1988

1989

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

Figure 14. Amount of oil spilled from U.S. oil transport pipelines (1968–1999) (Environmental Research Consulting Database).
1296 2001 INTERNATIONAL OIL SPILL CONFERENCE

Structural failures are the most common cause of U.S. pipeline Worldwide oil spill trends
spills, representing 40% of spills. 75% of structural failure is
attributed to corrosion, 15% to defective pipes, and 10% to de- Reductions in U.S. oil spillage largely mirror international
fective welds. With an aging pipeline infrastructure in the United trends (Figures 21–22). Spill numbers and amounts have de-
States—46% of pipelines are over 30 years old, 16% are over 50 creased since 1990, though very large spills can skew oil
years old, and over 2% are over 70 years old—more spills caused amounts. The decrease is encouraging in light of a 46% increase
by structural failure may be expected in the future. “Outside force in oil movement worldwide since 1988. Data presented (Figure
damage”—ramming by bulldozers or other equipment or natural 23–25) are underestimates for both numbers and amounts, since
damage from floods or earthquakes—cause 27% of spills. data collected on an international basis are subject to serious re-
Offshore spills. While 98% of U.S. pipeline spills occur onto porting errors and omissions, particularly for spills from particu-
land, occasional spills (less than 10 per year) from nearshore and lar regions, for smaller spills, and for spills from non-vessel
offshore pipelines contribute to marine oil input (Figure 15). sources. For example, vessel spills receiving media coverage
Spills from Outer Continental Shelf (OCS) exploration and pro- because of their high-profile location or particular circumstances
duction (E&P) facilities have also decreased significantly since are more likely to be reflected than smaller pipeline spills in re-
U.S. offshore E&P activities began (Figure 16). Nearly 94% are mote areas.
spills of less than 50 barrels (2,100 gallons). On average, 80% of Assuming spills internationally follow similar patterns of spill
OSC spills are from platforms as opposed to OCS pipelines (Fig- size frequency distributions to U.S. spills, spills of at least 10,000
ure 17). Total OCS spillage has averaged 200,000 gallons per gallons represent 90% of the amount spilled, but only 5% of the
year, much of this is due to a small number of very large spills actual numbers of spills. This logic was applied in analyzing the
(Figure 18). data shown in Figure 26. International estimates for the amount
Overall 1990s oil spillage in the United States. Overall U.S. spilled and spill number in marine waters were derived by esti-
spill amounts for 1990–1999 are shown in Figure 19. The total mating the number of spills under 10,000 gallons and the
amount spilled in the 1990s was 134 million gallons, a significant amounts spilled in those size classes based on size class fre-
decrease from the previous two decades where 305 million gal- quency distributions for more well-documented U.S. spill data
lons and 206 million gallons of oil spilled (Figure 20). Most of sets (based on the methodology in Etkin, 1998a, 1999).
the oil spilled in the 1990s came from fixed facilities and land
pipelines. Vessels contributed only 15%. OCS E&P facilities
contributed only 1.4% of the total oil spillage.

8 0 0 ,0 0 0

7 0 0 ,0 0 0

6 0 0 ,0 0 0

5 0 0 ,0 0 0
Gallons

4 0 0 ,0 0 0

3 0 0 ,0 0 0

2 0 0 ,0 0 0

1 0 0 ,0 0 0

0
1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999

Figure 15. Annual amount of oil spilled into U.S. waters by marine pipelines (1986–1999) (Office of Pipeline Safety data with
analysis by Environmental Research Consulting).

300

250

200
Number of Spills

TO TAL
T O T A L < 1 -5 0 b b l)
150
T O T A L (> 5 0 b b l )

100
-0 .7 0
y = 3 2 7 .8 0 x
2
R = 0 .8 2
50

0
71

73

75

77

79

81

83

85

87

89

91

93

95

97

99
19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

Figure 16. Annual number of oil spills from U.S. OCS exploration and production facilities (1971–1999) (MMS data with
analysis by Environmental Research Consulting).
RESPONSE ISSUES 1297

2 50

2 00

P latfo rm
P ipe lin e

Number of Spills
1 50

1 00

50

9
7

9
19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19
Figure 17. Annual number of U.S. OCS platform and pipeline spills (1971–1999) (MMS data with analysis by Environmental
Research Consulting).

1 , 0 0 0 ,0 0 0

8 0 0 ,0 0 0

6 0 0 ,0 0 0
Gallons

4 0 0 ,0 0 0

2 0 0 ,0 0 0

0
1971

1972

1973

1974

1975

1976

1977

1978

1979

1980

1981

1982

1983

1984

1985

1986

1987

1988

1989

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999
Figure 18. Total annual spillage from U.S. OCS facilities (1971–1999) (MMS data with analysis by Environmental Research
Consulting).

OCS E&P Marine Facilities Barges


Marine Pipelines 1.4% 6.2% 5.9% Other Vessels
Tankers
1.0% 4.2%
5.0%

Land Pipelines Storage Tanks


22.4% 10.0%

Air Transport Facilities


0.4%

Unknown Land Fixed Land Facilities


Facilities 30.3%
7.3% Highway
Railroad
2.2% 3.7%

Figure 19. Sources of U.S. oil spillage (amount spilled from 1990–1999) (Environmental Research Consulting Database).

1 4 0 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0

T a n k e rs
1 2 0 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 P ip e lin e s
F a c ilitie s
B a rg e s
1 0 0 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 E&P
N o n -T a n k V e s s e ls
O th e r
8 0 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0
Gallons

6 0 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0

4 0 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0

2 0 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0

0
1960s 1970s 1980s

Figure 20. Estimated annual amount of oil spilled in the United States by source (Environmental Research Consulting
Database).
1298 2001 INTERNATIONAL OIL SPILL CONFERENCE

450

400

350

300

Number of Spills
250

200

150

100

50

0
68

70

72

74

76

78

80

82

84

86

88

90

92

94

96

98
19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19
Figure 21. Annual number of oil spills of 10,000 gallons (34 tons) or more worldwide (1968–1999) (Environmental Research
Consulting Database).

4 5 0 , 0 0 0 ,0 0 0

4 0 0 , 0 0 0 ,0 0 0

3 5 0 , 0 0 0 ,0 0 0

3 0 0 , 0 0 0 ,0 0 0

2 5 0 , 0 0 0 ,0 0 0
Gallons

2 0 0 , 0 0 0 ,0 0 0

1 5 0 , 0 0 0 ,0 0 0

1 0 0 , 0 0 0 ,0 0 0

5 0 , 0 0 0 ,0 0 0

0
68

70

72

74

76

78

80

82

84

86

88

90

92

94

96

98
19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19
Figure 22. Annual amount of oil spilled worldwide (1968–1999) (Environmental Research Consulting Database).

E&P U n k n o w n /O th e r
1 2 .8 % 0 .1 %
F a c ilitie s
7 .9 %

P ip e lin e s
4 .2 %

N o n -T a n k V e s s e ls
0 .2 %

B a rg e s T a n k e rs
0 .6 % 7 4 .2 %

Figure 23. Estimated total amount of oil spilled into marine waters worldwide (1970–1979). Total amount spilled:
1,465,500,000 gallons (4,985,000 tons) (Environmental Research Consulting Database).

Unknown/Other
E&P 0.2%
11.6% Tankers
33.6%

Barges
Facilities
0.8%
34.2%

Pipelines Non-Tank Vessels


1.4%
18.2%

Figure 24. Estimated total amount of oil spilled into marine waters worldwide (1980–1989). Total amount spilled: 844,970,000
gallons (2,874,000 tons) (Environmental Research Consulting Database).
RESPONSE ISSUES 1299

Unknown/Other
E&P 0.5%
21.4%

Facilities
12.4% Tankers
Pipelines 57.2%
6.4%
Barges
Non-Tank Vessels 0.3%
1.7%

Figure 25. Estimated total amount of oil spilled into marine waters worldwide (1990–1999). Total amount spilled: 943,170,000
gallons (3,208,000 tons) (Environmental Research Consulting Database).

1000

900

800

700
1 9 7 0 -1 9 7 9
600 1 9 8 0 -1 9 8 9
Million Gallons

1 9 9 0 -1 9 9 9
500

400

300

200

100

0
T a n k e rs B arg es N o n -T a n k P i p e li n e s F a c i li t i e s E&P
V e s s e ls

Figure 26. Estimated total oil spill amounts by source type (Environmental Research Consulting Database).

Worldwide, tanker spills dominated the oil spill picture until seriously raised the stakes for potential oil spillers. Cleanup costs
the 1990s when large pipeline and facility spills occurred. The have risen dramatically in the last two decades even when cor-
percentage of oil contributed by tanker spills has decreased from rected to current values (Etkin, 1998b, c). Implementation of
74% in the 1970s to 34% in the 1990s. Extremely large spills, pending increases in environmental damage liability nationally or
such as the 1991 Gulf War spills and the 1979 Ixtoc I well blow- as part of international liability and compensation conventions,
out, and large tanker spills in the 1970s, dominate spill amounts. along with increases in oil spill damage liability and penalties
(Etkin, 2000b) for all spill sources, could change the oil spill
picture on a worldwide basis.
Discussion While the statistics show encouraging downward trends, there
is no room for complacency. An ill-timed oil spill that occurs in a
Contrary to popular perceptions after recent catastrophic sensitive location, regardless of spill size, can cause devastating
events, oil spill frequencies and total spillage have decreased damage to natural environments, property, and business, and,
significantly over the 20 years, particularly in the last few years, occasionally, to human lives. Aging pipeline and facility infra-
despite overall increases in oil movement. The decrease in oil structures, as well as aging vessel fleets, may be “ticking time
spills worldwide, but in the United States in particular, may be bombs” especially as they become subjected to increasing oil
attributed to a variety of influences. The impacts and repercus- throughput and transport in future years. Increased international
sions of the 1989 Exxon Valdez spill, largely the impetus for pas- attention to tanker safety has had a positive influence that is
sage of the Oil Pollution of 1990 (OPA 90), were watched sorely needed in other vessel categories and for nonvessel
worldwide. With OPA 90, the United States has the strictest sources, particularly pipelines.
tanker regulations. Improved safety standards, contingency plan-
ning, exercise programs, and other measures have helped reduce
U.S. spillage. International conventions and national legislation Biography
have reduced worldwide oil spillage.
Much of this reduction, however, was realized before the im- Dagmar Schmidt Etkin received A.M. and Ph.D. degrees from
plementation of OPA 90 and other regulations and conventions. Harvard University. Her environmental science experience in-
Another important influence on spillage rates has been realization cludes: 12 years investigating population biology and ecology,
by tankers owners and other potential spillers that spills in the and 11 years specializing in oil/chemical spill database develop-
United States could result in astronomical costs for which the ment, data analysis, risk assessment, and cost analyses, most re-
spiller could have unlimited liability (a result of OPA 90). cently in her own independent consulting firm, Environmental
Cleanup, penalty, and damage costs associated with the Exxon Research Consulting.
Valdez spill and other significant events in its aftermath have
1300 2001 INTERNATIONAL OIL SPILL CONFERENCE

References known Sources. Report to Joint Group of Experts on the


Scientific Aspects of Marine Protection (GESAMP)
1. Etkin, D.S. 1998a. Factors in the Dispersant Use Deci- Working Group 32: Oil Input Into the Marine Environ-
sion-Making Process: Historical Overview and Look ment, November 1998.
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