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Statistical significance:
It is a fact that the population average has moved from 50 to 51. while it is
of statistical significance. Whether it is of practical significance is another
question.
“If the controller judges, that this variation has no real importance, then it is
of little practical significance.
This example can be further explained to show how these concepts are used
to test statistical significance.
1. the null hypothesis states that the population parameter of 50 days has
not changed.
2. a second alternative hypothesis holds, that there has been a change in
average days outstanding: the sample statistics of 54 indicates the
population value probability is no longer 50.
3. the alternative hypothesis is the logical opposite of the null
hypothesis.
4. the null hypothesis H0 is : there has been no change from the 50 days
average age of account outstanding.
5. the alternative hypothesis HA may take several forms. The alternate
may take the form of “not the same” or “ greater than” or “less than”
form.
6. the average age of accounts has changed from 50 days.
7. the average age of receiving outstanding accounts has increased
( decreased from 50 days.
• Take no corrective actions if the analysis shows that one can not reject
the null hypothesis.
• Not to reject rather than accept the null hypothesis
• It is also argued that null hypothesis can never be proved and
therefore can not be accepted.
• Statistical testing only gives a chance to
a) reject,
b) fail to reject the hypothesis
• it is also common in research circles that Accept the null hypothesis
rather than fail to reject.
Type I Error
( α ) is committed when a null hypothesis is rejected. The α value is called
the level of significance and is the probability of rejecting the null
hypothesis.
Type II Error
Β is when one fails to reject the false null hypothesis.
If this happens the sample will not generalize the population and finding will
be invalid, then what to do to prove
“the confidence level that we provide an indication that our findings can be
generalized to the population. If we are not certain about that , we need
statistical techniques to establish that findings exists in the population and
how much risk we can take to infer that our findings based on the sample
will be found in the population .