Professional Documents
Culture Documents
© Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved 02 July 2008 Slide 2
The Biofuels Value Chain - challenges
Biomass
Biomass Inbound
Inbound Biofuel
Biofuel Distribution
Distribution Customers/
Customers/
Production
Production logistics
logistics Production
Production Important
Important
market
market
players
players
Sustainability
Sustainability Challenges Technological Transport - -Governments/
Challenges Challenges Technological Transport Governments/
Challenges Challenges Challenges authorities
authorities
- -Transport
Transportofof Challenges Challenges
- -f(feedstock),
f(feedstock), feedstock - -Energy
feedstock - - Production - -Technical Energy
Crops/by- Production Technical
Crops/by- standards? challenges Companies
Companies
products - -SCC,
SCC,corrosion
corrosion standards? challenges
products depends
etc depending
etc depending - - Footprint
Footprint dependson on - -”New”
”New”Fuel
Fuel
- -Competition
Competitionwith on source of Producers
Food
with
Production onbiofuel
biofuel - - Tracing
source of Producers
source, biofuel,
biofuel,/ /”fuel
Food Production source,i.e.
i.e.”fuel
”fuel Tracing ”fuel - -Engine
quality” - - Development quality” Engine
- -Land
Landuse.
use. quality” Developmentofof quality” Manufacturers
Manufacturers
Biodiversity
Biodiversity - -Intermediates, new
newand
and - -Material
Intermediates, Material - -Tranport
e.g. improved compatibility, Tranport
- -Traceability
Traceability e.g.pyrolysis
pyrolysisoil
oil improved
production
compatibility,
production SCC,
SCC,corrosion
corrosion - -Maritime
- -Social technologies Maritime
Socialaspects,
aspects, technologies - -Blending,
CSR
CSR
2nd
2nd++gen
++gen Blending,tracing
tracing - -Consumers
Consumers
plants…
plants…
- -GHG
GHG
© Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved 02 July 2008 Slide 3
Market outlook
© Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved 02 July 2008 Slide 4
Key market issues and outlook
Global biofuels industry by 2016
- Global bioethanol share to reach about 5% of world motor gasoline use by
2016
© Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved 02 July 2008 Slide 5
Market outlook – 2006 – 2016
USA, Brazil and EU dominates
2006 ∆ 2016
100
Production volume in billion litrer per year
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
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02 July 2008 Slide 6
© Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved
Source: UNCTAD 2007
Market potential show a differences in import/export potential.
New actors likely to emerge in the global biofuel market
Regional trade potential
Import, domestic consumption Import, domestic consumption
Domestic increase?
Global exporter?
Global export
Market outlook: Increased demand in USA, EU, China and Japan. Increased
production and potentially export from S.C.America, Africa and Asian Pacific
© Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved 02 July 2008 Slide 7
Key legislative environment give indication of
responsible actor(s) in the supply chain
National target for production through blending Responsible:
USA
requirements “blenders”
Responsible: car
Philippines 1-2% coconut oil blend requirement on diesel
manufacturers(?)
© Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved 02 July 2008 Slide 8
Cost Comparison
biofuels versus diesel/gasoline
© Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved 02 July 2008 Slide 9
Investment into renewable energy: biofuel
investment mainly into production capacity
30
Total invesment in
25 renewable energy
Investment in $US Billion
10
VC/PE
5
0
Biofuels
Biomass and
Solar
Wind
renewables
efficiency/other
low carbon
Other
waste
Energy
© Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved 02 July 2008 Slide 10
GHG reduction must be documented
www1.eere.energy.gov/biomass/environmental.html
© Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved 02 July 2008 Slide 11
Map of competence needs and DNV
opportunities related to biofuels
GHG
Fuel Established Energy
Quality Quality Actors
Standards
CSR Government/
authorities
Traceability
Biomass Production Customers
Management systems
© Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved 02 July 2008 Slide 12
© Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved 02 July 2008 Slide 13
Current Bioethanol Market
© Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved 02 July 2008 Slide 14
Current Biodiesel Market
© Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved 02 July 2008 Slide 15