Professional Documents
Culture Documents
1&2, 2008
Anoma S. P. Abhayaratne1
Introduction
There is ample theoretical and empirical evidence to justify the
claim that trade liberalisation has a positive impact on growth rates
of income and output (see Sachs and Warner 1995, Dollar 1992,
Edwards 1993 and 1998, among others). Also, in cross-country
investigations (Dollar and Kraay 20022) and in individual country
investigations (Srinivasan 2000), rapid and sustainable economic
growth has been recognised to be the key foundation for poverty
reduction in developing countries.
The poor in developing countries can benefit from direct and
indirect effects of trade liberalisation through the changes in
domestic prices and incomes. However, it is possible that trade
liberalisation affects domestic prices and incomes differently across
income groups and economic sectors, hence producing diverse
outcomes on different households.
Sri Lanka is the first country in the South Asian Region to initiate
liberal trade policies. In 1977, Sri Lanka adopted liberal trade and
exchange rate policies based on market oriented, export-led
development strategies3 in the hope that greater global integration
of the economy would lead to faster poverty reduction through
accelerating economic and productivity growth. As expected, with
the opening up of the economy, economy grew much faster than
the pre-1977 period. This growth was mainly driven by growth of
manufacturing, services and construction sectors. Since 1977, poverty
in Sri Lanka, as measured by head count index, has declined.
However, sectoral level measures show that improvements are not
seen in all sectors and all socio economic groups. Further, income
distribution as measured by the Gini coefficient has worsened in the
growth.
3 These policies included reduction of import tariff, elimination of import
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© Department of Economics & Statistics
University of Peradeniya
Sri Lanka
The Peradeniya Journal of Economics Vol. 2, No. 1&2, 2008
Structural Transformation
During the last 30 years, economic structure of Sri Lanka has
undergone a significant transformation to meet the emerging needs
of a developing economy. The economy experienced a structural
transformation from an agricultural based economy to a modern
manufacturing and services sector based economy. Prior to the
introduction of trade liberalising policies in 1977, the agriculture sector
played a dominant role in the economy contributing to 38 percent of
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© Department of Economics & Statistics
University of Peradeniya
Sri Lanka
The Peradeniya Journal of Economics Vol. 2, No. 1&2, 2008
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© Department of Economics & Statistics
University of Peradeniya
Sri Lanka
The Peradeniya Journal of Economics Vol. 2, No. 1&2, 2008
700000
600000
500000
400000 exports
300000 imports
200000
100000
0
1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005
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© Department of Economics & Statistics
University of Peradeniya
Sri Lanka
The Peradeniya Journal of Economics Vol. 2, No. 1&2, 2008
90
80
70
60 agri
Exports
50
industry
40
30 other
20
10
0
1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005
Year
Income Distribution
Average income per month per spending unit in Sri Lanka has
increased from Rs. 311 in 1973 to Rs 1652 in 1978/79. Since
liberalisation, the average income has shown a rapid increase. It
increased from Rs. 2726 in 1986/89 to Rs. 12804 in 2002. During the
period, incomes of all income groups have increased considerably.
Though all the income groups enjoyed the increase in income,
increases in income has not evenly distributed among all income
groups.
Since independence, income distribution in Sri Lanka, as
measured by the Gini coefficient, moved towards lower inequality.
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© Department of Economics & Statistics
University of Peradeniya
Sri Lanka
The Peradeniya Journal of Economics Vol. 2, No. 1&2, 2008
The data clearly shows that the disparities between the rich
and the poor have remained stagnant throughout the period from
1990/91 to 2003/04. The richest 20 percent has received more than 50
percent of the total household income in all three surveys during the
period while the share of the poorest 40 percent has remained
around 14 percent. However, average income per spending unit
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© Department of Economics & Statistics
University of Peradeniya
Sri Lanka
The Peradeniya Journal of Economics Vol. 2, No. 1&2, 2008
shows that all the income groups have benefited the increase in
income though they were not even across income groups. The
distribution of income suggests that most of the increased income has
accumulated in the hands of upper income deciles.
The Gini coefficient for the sectors shows that the distribution of
income is also uneven among sectors (Table 7). Urban sector
displayed the highest inequality while the lowest inequality can be
seen in the estate sector where socio-economic indicators are more
or less homogenous.
The increases in incomes of all income groups and changes in
income distribution increased after 1977 could be considered as the
results of wide range of economic activities generated by the
liberalised economic policies. However, it would be misleading to
attribute it entirely to trade liberalisation as the country has
undergone dramatic changes in the entire economic system over the
past two decades.
Conclusions
This paper examined whether the trade liberalisation policies
introduced in 1977 has produced desirable outcomes in reducing
poverty in Sri Lanka. Economic growth has increased rapidly just after
the introduction of liberalised policies. However, the economy was
not able to continue these high growth rates for a long period.
However, the economy was able to grow at an average annual rate
of 5 percent during the past decade.
With the introduction of liberalisation policies, the structure of
the economy underwent a significant transformation. The economy
experienced a structural transformation from an agricultural based
economy to a modern manufacturing and services sector based
economy. The manufacturing sector became a growth oriented
sector increasing its share in overall production, total employment
and export earnings of the economy.
The liberalised trade policies resulted large increases in the
volumes of exports and imports. Further, the composition of exports
and imports has changed to meet the needs of the diversified
economy.
In line with the changing structure of the economy, the labour
market also underwent a transformation. Since 1977, the dominant
role played by the agriculture sector in providing employment
declined while that of industrial and service sectors recorded
significant increases.
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© Department of Economics & Statistics
University of Peradeniya
Sri Lanka
The Peradeniya Journal of Economics Vol. 2, No. 1&2, 2008
References
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© Department of Economics & Statistics
University of Peradeniya
Sri Lanka
The Peradeniya Journal of Economics Vol. 2, No. 1&2, 2008
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© Department of Economics & Statistics
University of Peradeniya
Sri Lanka
The Peradeniya Journal of Economics Vol. 2, No. 1&2, 2008
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© Department of Economics & Statistics
University of Peradeniya
Sri Lanka
The Peradeniya Journal of Economics Vol. 2, No. 1&2, 2008
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© Department of Economics & Statistics
University of Peradeniya
Sri Lanka