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Research Policy 30 (2001) 851–868

Technology exchange and the foreign business sector in Russia夽


David A. Dyker∗
School of European Studies, University of Sussex, Falmer, Brighton BN1 9QN, UK

Accepted 14 July 2000

Abstract
Russia disposes of a number of leading-edge product/process technologies, and of a broad range of technological capabilities,
but lags in some key product/process technologies, and, for historical reasons, over the whole area of organisational technology.
There is, therefore, a strong basis for developing business-sector R&D collaboration between Russia and the advanced
industrial economies, and the argument is strengthened by reference to the experience of the countries of central-east Europe.
But the scope for technology exchange is still far from exhausted in the Russian case. Collaboration is in practice seriously
hampered by the weaknesses of the Russian business environment, the general sense of political instability in the country, and
by fears on the part of the Russian side that their science and technology will be ‘stolen’. Explicitly R&D-oriented policies
can do little to solve such all encompassing problems, but better general policies for the business sector could have some
impact. By the same token EU-Russia dialogue can best facilitate R&D collaboration by concentrating on the improvement
of the overall regulatory and governance environment in Russia. © 2001 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.
Keywords: Russia; R&D; Business; International; Technology transfer

1. Introduction nationals. 1 In principle, the study does not limit it-


self to any particular institutional form. In practice,
The aim of this paper is to study the process of it has to start by looking at foreign direct invest-
development and dissemination of technology in ment, as the dominant, and best documented, form of
Russia through the medium of cooperation between technology-oriented international business collabora-
Russian organisations and foreign firms, and/or the tion. According to commonly accepted definitions,
employment and training by foreign firms of Russian any investment worth more than 10% of the total
equity of the host organisation counts as direct invest-
ment. That means that a wide range of joint ventures
夽 This article is based on a report commissioned by the OECD and between Russian companies and institutes, on the one
presented at the conference ‘The Future of Russian Science and hand, and foreign firms on the other, count as direct
Technology’, Moscow, 15–16 December 1998. It draws primarily investment. It is this very broad grouping that we in-
on sources published in English and Russian. These published vestigate first, before going on to look at other forms
sources have been supplemented by interviews with executives of of technological alliance or contractual relationship.
foreign companies investing in Russia and Russian civil servants
with responsibilities in the area. For reasons of confidentiality,
those latter sources cannot be named. Where such a source has
1 Thus, we do not discuss systematically the role of public sector
been used, it is marked ‘C’ in the text.
∗ Tel.: +44-1273-678952; fax: +44-1273-685865. technical assistance programmes and the like in technological
E-mail address: d.a.dyker@sussex.ac.uk (D.A. Dyker). processes (see Mirskaya, 1997).

0048-7333/01/$ – see front matter © 2001 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.
PII: S 0 0 4 8 - 7 3 3 3 ( 0 0 ) 0 0 1 2 6 - 8
852 D.A. Dyker / Research Policy 30 (2001) 851–868

2. Foreign direct investment in global context transferred efficiently only through a mechanism in-
ternal to the firms itself (Dunning, 1988). Of course,
Foreign direct investment (FDI) is widely perceived such processes of hard technology transfer can occur
as one of the key resource flows in the contemporary within the frontiers of one state, and indeed often do
international economy. It is strongly identified with in the advanced capitalist countries. Given Russia’s
multinational corporations (MNCs), and has not es- special technological strengths in specific areas,
caped the political controversy that has sometimes purely domestic hard technology transfer on a signif-
surrounded the latter. But the balance of opinion has icant scale is therefore not ruled out. Nor is ‘reverse’
changed over the past couple of decades, and while technology transfer, where the hard technology is
specific elements of FDI may still come in for criticism transferred from the host company to the foreign in-
on health, environmental or distributional grounds, vestor. But in the ‘catch-up’ countries in general (i.e.
FDI in the aggregate is generally viewed as a positive NICs and transition countries (TCs)), key elements of
factor of economic development. It is, certainly, easy hard technology will usually come from abroad.
to exaggerate the purely quantitative impact of FDI.
In 1997 total world FDI outflow was US$ 475 billion 2.2. Management, organisational and office
— 8% of total world gross fixed capital formation technology — ‘soft’ technology
(UNCTAD, 1999, p. 9). Thus, the great bulk of fixed
investment is still carried on within the boundaries In seeking to internalise firm-specific or other
of individual states. Of course there are wide varia- advantages, investing companies have to impose
tions between countries, and a number of countries, their own corporate organisational structures on sub-
especially in east Asia, owe much larger proportions sidiaries or partners. Those organisational structures
of their total investment to FDI. Still, FDI remains are, in the modern world, crucially dependent, not
a minor source of investment finance at the global only on patterns of human organisation within the
level. Its key importance, therefore, has to be sought firm, but also on specific forms of electronic net-
in other areas. Those areas have generally been iden- working, etc. It will therefore be impossible for the
tified in terms of technology transfer. Any suggestion firm to impose its organisational structure without
that there is a unique relationship between FDI and in- transferring ‘soft’ technology, in terms of the dispo-
ternational technology transfer should be treated with sition of hierarchies, lines of responsibility, the use
scepticism, and we shall return at a later point to the of intra-firm e-mail systems, etc. While FDI normally
issue of alternative forms of international technology carries hard technology transfer, while indeed hard
transfer. But it is commonly believed that FDI tends to technology is often part of the raison d’être of FDI, it
disseminate technological best practice, and the em- is possible to envisage FDI without hard technology
pirical record at the global level vindicates that belief. transfer, and indeed not difficult to find examples of
What kinds of technology transfer are we talking it. Soft technology transfer, by contrast, is a sine qua
about? Most obviously about the transfer of the fol- non of foreign direct investment. To put the point even
lowing types of technologies. more strongly, even if an investing company did not
want its management technology to be transferred, it
2.1. Process and product technology — ‘hard’ would not be able to stop it.
technology The implication is that, even where there is no
soft technology gap as such, soft technology will be
To the extent that hard technology transfer in the transferred in the course of FDI, simply in order to
contemporary world is crucially dependent on the create an integrated system. In practice, where the
transfer of tacit knowledge, which can only be trans- catch-up countries are concerned, there is generally
ferred within the framework of tightly knit teams a technology gap, so that there will be a genuine
of executives and scientists, it can only be done learning process here. That process will have to be
efficiently within the boundaries of one firm. To use addressed explicitly, hence enormous stress is placed
Dunning’s terminology, particular firms may enjoy on training of local personnel by MNCs in the context
firm-specific technological advantages which can be of FDI.
D.A. Dyker / Research Policy 30 (2001) 851–868 853

2.3. Networking, building of supply chains, etc. (including natural resources). Thus, FDI in the Third
World is predominantly cheap-labour-seeking and/or
The ramifications of a particular element of FDI land/natural-resource-seeking. But just as the bulk
often go far beyond the original investment. Partic- of trade in the modern world is between developed
ularly in sectors with highly complex input–output countries (mostly in the form of intra-industry trade),
linkages like the automotive industry, the normal pat- so the bulk of FDI also flows between the developed
tern is for networking out from the core investment, countries, in which labour is generally equally dear,
to first-tier suppliers, who will usually actively coop- and land and natural resource endowment (North
erate with the core enterprise in areas like design as America and Australia apart) equally meagre. Thus,
well as in the manufacture of components, and then there are clear parallels between intra-industry trade
on to second- and third-tier suppliers, whose role is and intra-industry FDI. In the context of a complex
generally limited to the latter dimension. First-tier and dynamic world, specific firms/institutes or clus-
suppliers may be industrial firms or research insti- ters of firms/institutes in specific countries or regions
tutes. Second- and third-tier suppliers will normally develop specific capabilities. Other firms seeking to
be industrial firms. In principle, networking amplifies stay on the technological leading edge will have to do
the process of technology transfer through a process business with these firms. And where there are, e.g.
of ramified dissemination. No two networks are iden- crucial issues of intellectual property, the business
tical, however, and the impact of a particular supply will ultimately have to be internalised within some of
chain on the overall technological level of the host these firms.
economy will depend on a wide range of factors:
• the policies of the investing company towards tech-
3. FDI in the transition region
nology transfer outside the company (i.e. external-
isation of firm-specific advantages);
Over the past 8–9 years FDI has run at fairly high
• the extent to which sub-contractors are actually able
levels in the TCs, particularly in central-east Europe
to ‘raise their game’;
(CEE). Inflows of FDI into that sub-region in 1998
• whether first-tier suppliers are domestic firms, as
represented above 10% of fixed capital formation in
opposed to foreign firms or subsidiaries;
every country except Slovakia and Slovenia (EBRD,
• exactly how the relationships between the different
1999, p. 79; ECE, 1999, p. 105). And Hungary and
tiers of suppliers are set up.
Poland stand among the 30-odd countries in the world
Thus, while FDI-induced networking will always with FDI inflow running at around 20% of annual
have some knock-on effect, it may be difficult to fixed capital formation (Hunya, 1998, p. 6; EBRD,
maximise that effect. 1999, p. 79; ECE, 1999, p. 105). Although Poland
now consistently reports the highest annual volumes
2.4. Locational factors in FDI decisions of FDI (EBRD, 1999, p. 79), inflow has only picked
up in that country since 1996, and this is reflected in
Specific FDI decisions are based on the per- the comparatively low ratio of FDI stock to GDP for
ception and scope for internalisation, not only of Poland (10% in 1998; EBRD, 1999, p. 79 and 253)
firm-specific advantages, but also of location-specific In fact, of the CEE-7 (Poland, the Czech Republic,
advantages. So it is not enough for the investing firm Slovakia, Hungary, Slovenia, Romania and Bulgaria),
to have something special to offer. The prospective only Hungary reports a ratio of FDI stock to GDP
host country has to have something special as well. within the range normally regarded as high in global
Economists have traditionally viewed locational fac- terms (30–50%) (Hunya, 1998, pp. 5–6; EBRD, 1999,
tors in international economic relations in terms of p. 79 and 229), and this reflects the fact that FDI pen-
broadly defined factors of production. And since in etration into Hungary started much earlier than in the
the context of FDI the investing firm by definition other CEE countries. For that reason, Hungary is a
provides the capital, attention focuses on the other particularly good source of case material in the present
two main factors of production, labour and land context.
854 D.A. Dyker / Research Policy 30 (2001) 851–868

We can summarise the experience of CEE in relation have tended to be relegated to the position of
to FDI under the following headings: second- and third-tier suppliers, so that they have
not been involved in design activities, and have
1. FDI in CEE has hardly ever been driven by a tended to be treated as ‘commodity’ producers,
quest for cheap labour (OECD, 1994; Mutinelli with all that that implies in terms of pressure to cut
and Piscitello, 1996; Estrin et al., 1997). That does prices. In Poland, most of the foreign-owned car
not mean that wage costs, and indeed price factors plants have brought their own suppliers with them.
in general, have not been an important element 4. The experience in relation to the impact of FDI on
in decision-taking. It does mean that they have R&D as such is mixed. A statistical study of the
rarely represented a decisive factor, because it is activity of more than 100 FIEs spending money on
not wage costs as such, but rather the relationship R&D in Hungary 1992–1995 (Inzelt, 1999) found
between wages and productivity that will deter- that
mine how profitable a project in manufacturing is. 4.1. FIEs with above 75% foreign ownership tend
And it is the key importance of controlling that to spend substantially more on R&D in re-
relationship that pushes the prime mover in the lation to total sales than domestically-owned
direction of internalisation through FDI, and makes firms;
the transfer of managerial and organisational tech- 4.2. the higher the foreign ownership stake, the
nology, as an instrument of that control, absolutely higher do relative R&D expenditures tend to
essential. be;
2. There is a general correlation between levels of 4.3. as time went on, R&D expenditures per FIE
FDI and rates of growth of labour productivity, tended to rise;
levels of exports, and improvement in the structure 4.4. FIEs tended progressively to cut expenditure
of exports as measured by the share of the ma- on contract R&D;
chinery and engineering sectors in total exports. In 4.5. R&D within the framework of FDI tends to
Hungary, foreign investment enterprises (FIEs) ac- be ‘skin-deep’, in the sense that it is focused
counted for 77.5% of total exports in 1996, while on product development and adaptation rather
the share of machinery and engineering in total ex- than basic or applied research.
ports increased from 20% in 1990 to 52% in 1996 5. The record of government influence on these pat-
(Hunya, 1998, p. 12 and 18). This clearly under- terns is uneven. Governments of host countries
lines the tremendous importance of soft technol- have found it difficult to hold foreign companies
ogy transfer through FDI as a factor enabling FIEs to their commitments in relation to levels of in-
to raise their business game, but it also suggests vestment (e.g. Volkswagen/Škoda) and to prevent
substantial elements of transfer of hard technology. abuse of monopoly power. But they have been able
3. The experience of east Europe in relation to sup- to impose effective local-content requirements, and
ply networks has been mixed. There has been this has been a major factor in the development
substantial foreign investment in the car indus- of supply networks in the automotive industry. A
tries of Poland, the Czech Republic and Hun- scheme under which the Hungarian government
gary, and this yields a rich seam of case material offers grants to foreign firms setting up R&D lab-
(Havas, 1997, 1999; Ellingstad, 1997; Martin, oratories in Hungary has generated positive results
1998; Dyker, 1999). Generally, the Hungarian (Inzelt, 1999).
experience has been the most positive in terms
of the extent of supply networking out from the Overall, the experience of CEE demonstrates that
FIE, though development has been constrained by FDI can be a major factor of productivity enhance-
difficulties experienced by suppliers in meeting ment. It is less evident from the CEE material that it
quality requirements. The extent of supply net- will necessarily strengthen the indigenous science and
working out of the Volkswagen/Škoda plant in the technology base of the host country. In other words,
Czech Republic has been impressive, but local (as it is simply not clear whether FDI in TCs produces
opposed to foreign or foreign-owned) suppliers ‘shallow’ or ‘deep’ integration (Radosevic and Dyker,
D.A. Dyker / Research Policy 30 (2001) 851–868 855

1997). TC governments are not powerless in these deals in traditional sectors for the collaborating firm.
matters, but it would be unrealistic to imagine that the It does gain access, even if only indirect, to interna-
government of any transition government could ever tional markets and it can, with shrewd management,
have the ‘clout’ of the US government or the Euro- gain much more in the way of technology transfer than
pean Commission. Thus, CEE experience provides no the lead firm might consider minimally necessary.
blueprints for Russia or for any other country. But it But not all alliances involving TCs are low-tech.
does provide a useful checklist of key issues, which Over the period 1984–1994 Hungary, Poland,
will help us to structure our discussion of the Russian Czechoslovakia and the FSU (mainly Russia) reported
case. a very high incidence of strategic alliances in in-
formation technology (Vonortas and Safioles, 1996).
We have no systematic information on the content
4. Strategic and technological alliances in the of these alliances, and some of them may have been
transition region purely opportunistic, as insiders sought to circum-
vent restrictions on privatisation in the early years
As noted earlier, the distinction between an alliance of transition. But there is surely some indication of
and FDI based on a minority equity holding is an a breadth of opportunity for science and technology
artificial one. Nevertheless there are forms of alliance cooperation in an area where human capital resources
which have no equity content as such, but which may in the region are substantial. Case material from the
be particularly important for catch-up countries, in- software sector would tend to corroborate this latter
cluding TCs. Outward-processing agreements have thesis, with licensing and franchising agreements with
played a key role in the globalisation of the CEECs international companies furnishing software firms in
during the 1990s, and have been of particular impor- TCs with a springboard for technological dynamism.
tance in relation to German business involvement in The latter are then able to exploit this springboard
Poland, for example, where equity ownership raises as a basis for integrating back into the global system
political problems. Thus, German OPT with Poland which provided the licenses and franchises in the first
accounted for over 30% of total EU15 OPT with the place, ultimately generating a process of two-way
CEE-4 (Poland, Hungary, the Czech Republic and technology transfer (Dyker, 1996).
Slovakia) in 1996 (Pellegrin, 1999, p. 4). Even where the cross-border business relationship
The sectors involved are usually low-technology takes an OPT form, the content of the relationship
sectors, where R&D hardly comes into the question. may carry a significant technology element, depend-
Thus in 1996, textiles and clothing, footwear and ing on the sector involved. The one ‘middle-tech’
furniture together accounted for nearly 75% of total sector which figures significantly in OPT is electri-
OPT re-imports into the EU (Pellegrin, 1999, p. 6). cal machinery, which accounted for 13.6% of total
And here lead firms clearly believe that collaborating OPT re-imports into the EU in 1996 (Pellegrin, 1999,
firms can be trusted to organise their own production p. 6). And here case material demonstrates the possi-
lines, so that full internalisation of the operation is not bility of OPT-based trajectories which may take firms
required. That is not to say that outward processing re- a long-way beyond the basic OPT model.
lationships involve no transfer of soft technology from “The case of Vilati (Budapest) is illuminating in
lead firm to collaborating firm. But it does mean that this respect. Vilati is a small company producing con-
lead firms do not consider it necessary, in the context trol systems, printed circuit boards and other electrical
of relatively simple production technologies, to take and electronic components. Although it has several
control of the determinants of labour productivity. OPT partners, Vilati has a privileged relation with
Here, in contrast to the pattern with FDI, lead firms are Brunswick Bowling (US). It is integrated into the
indeed looking for cheap labour, confident that collab- production chain of its main OPT partner in a rather
orating firms can keep control of labour productivity flexible way, but it does not purport to recover inde-
and knowing that if they fail to do so, the financial pendence, nor does it count on integrating its partner’s
loss will be theirs, not the lead firm’s. None of this is production chain and upgrading its position within it.
to suggest that there is nothing in outward-processing In fact, if Vilati is more loosely associated to its foreign
856 D.A. Dyker / Research Policy 30 (2001) 851–868

partners than if it were full integrated, this is not to say are special factors contingent on the concentration of
that its relations are more fragile, or unstable. Its strat- the old Warsaw Pact’s military–industrial complex in
egy is indeed to establish its reputation as reliable and the Soviet Union, primarily in Russia. Russia is also
technologically updated supplier of component sys- unique among TCs in terms of the potential size of
tem(s) to Original Equipment Manufacturers. In this its domestic market, and we must expect this also to
case OPT is used as a vehicle for implementing meth- affect the pattern of inward investment. 2
ods of production in line with the new requirements The basic contours of the overall pattern of foreign
of international competition in terms of flexibility investment in Russia are laid out in Table 1. Three
and quality. OPT goes together with the automisation sets of figures are presented — the official Russian
and the decomposition of the production process into (Foreign Investment Promotion Centre) figures, and
stages which are more independent and ‘de-integrated’ the figures of the United Nations Economic Com-
from one another (Pellegrin, 1999, p. 16).” mission for Europe and the European Bank for
Taking alliances into consideration certainly broad- Reconstruction and Development. Despite the
ens out the picture of international business collabora- methodological difficulties involved in estimating FDI
tion as it affects TCs. Here we find relationships more flows, the three agencies manage a surprisingly high
reminiscent of those between metropolitan countries level of agreement on FDI flows, 1998, where the
and NICs than of those between different parts of FIPC report a much more modest drop than the two
Europe. But here also we find relationships nested international organisations, apart. It is in relation to
within highly dynamic, high-tech sectors, where the other categories of foreign investment that there
alliances seem to provide a necessary element of flex- are serious problems. The disagreements between the
ibility which equity-based relationships cannot match. two Western agencies are largely over the dividing
What alliances have not up to now been able to pro- line between portfolio and ‘other’ investment. But
vide is a basis for complex supply networking. It is the official Russian figures appear systematically to
surely inconceivable that the vehicle-manufacturing underestimate both portfolio and ‘other’ foreign in-
multinationals could have gone into CEE on the basis vestment. It is worth noting that Bzhilianskaya and
of outward processing. Yet the case of Vilati sug- Pripisnov (1999), working from official Russian data
gests that what has been inconceivable in the past bases, arrive at figures for 1995 and 1996 more sim-
may not be inconceivable in the future. Indeed when ilar to the ECE and EBRD figures than to the official
we look at the whole gamut of possible equity- and Russian figures.
non-equity-based relationships, we have to conclude Methodological problems apart, two things stand
that almost anything is possible, that almost anything out from Table 1. Firstly, the basic FDI trend is up-
can be to a degree mutually beneficial, while always wards. Aggregate levels of FDI grew rapidly till 1997
bearing in mind that in practice few international before dropping back sharply in the financial crisis
business collaborations have been as beneficial for year of 1998, but growth appears, on the basis of pro-
the TCs as they might have been. visional figures, 3 to have resumed in 1999. Secondly,
FDI has fallen sharply as a proportion of total inflow
from 67% in 1995 to 37% in 1997 and 22% in 1998
5. The pattern of foreign investment and on the official Russian figures, and by much more on
alliances in Russia the basis of the Western estimates. There is simply no
agreement among the different sources as to whether
It hardly needs saying that Russia is a unique coun- portfolio investment had emerged as a major category
try, even among TCs. It is the only TC to dispose of a of foreign investment by 1996 and 1997. There is,
raw material endowment rich enough significantly to
2 But note that access to the domestic market has tended to be
affect patterns of foreign trade and foreign investment.
It is the only TC where geographical and climatic a central motivation for FDI in CEE too — partly because firms
have tended to view market access in that part of the world in
factors have a major bearing on investment decisions. regional rather than purely national terms.
Russia shares with the other TCs a substantial en- 3 The EBRD projected net FDI of US$ 3.5 billion in the 1999

dowment in human capital. Even here, however, there Transition Report (p. 79).
D.A. Dyker / Research Policy 30 (2001) 851–868 857

Table 1
Net foreign investment in Russia by main category, 1995–1997 (US$ billion)a
1995 1996 1997 1998

FIPC ECE EBRD FIPC ECE EBRD FIPC ECE EBRD FIPC ECE EBRD

Direct 1.88 1.71 1.71 2.09 2.11 1.70 3.36 3.62 3.75 2.18 0.89b 1.2
Portfolio 0.03 0.88 – 0.05 7.85 1.00 0.19 15.70b 1.00 – – –
Other 0.89 1.20 – 4.37 1.09 15.00 8.22 13.83 31.00 – – –
Total 2.80 3.79 6.50 11.05 17.70 11.77 35.75 9.96
a Sources: Foreign Investment Promotion Centre (FIPC), Ministry of Economics of the Russian Federation, ECE (1998, p. 157, 159
and 162, 1999, p. 170) and EBRD (1998, pp. 80–81, 1999, p. 261).
b January–September.

however, a majority (official Russian and EBRD) in This basic pattern of foreign direct investment in
favour of the proposition that foreign investment into Russia comes out clearly from the figures on inflow
Russia was, in the period leading up to the financial and stock by branch, presented in Table 2. Fuel is an
crisis, increasingly dominated by the ‘other’ category, important target for FDI, as might be expected, given
i.e. by investment in bonds, banks, etc., and even the Russia’s natural endowments, but it is a much less
ECE attributes some 40% of total inflow to this cate- important target than the food industry, and even than
gory in 1997. The bulk of ‘other’ foreign investment in trade and public catering. Thus, over 30% of cumula-
this period almost certainly went mainly to finance the tive FDI has gone to assuage traditional Soviet/Russian
Russian budget deficit, so that it is doubtful whether weaknesses in the production and distribution of food
it should be counted as ‘investment’ at all. And in and in the distribution network at large, i.e. in sectors
the light of the depth of the 1998 financial crisis in where the main technologies being transferred are soft
Russia, serious questions should surely be asked about rather than hard. The 20% of total cumulative FDI that
the circumstances under which such a pattern of finan- has gone to telecommunications (note that the 1997
cial inflows came to develop. The ramifications of this inflow figure was much lower) has likewise aimed to
point go well beyond the scope of the present paper. fill a gap left by communism, though here the transfer
But we should certainly not lose sight of the funda- of hard technology has been much more important.
mental issues involved here. When non-ferrous metallurgy and timber and paper

Table 2
FDI inflow into Russia, 1997 and cumulative, by sectora
1997 Cumulative

US$ million % of total US$ million % of total

Total 3360.8 100.0 11768.9 100.0


Fuel 307.4 9.1 1262.0 10.7
General commercial activity 253.5 7.5 601.3 5.1
Finance and credit 66.2 2.0 – –
Trade and public catering 489.2 14.6 1276.3 10.8
Food industry 1192.0 35.5 2384.2 20.3
Non-ferrous metallurgy 58.4 1.7 366.6 3.1
Transport 128.6 3.8 – –
Forestry, pulp and paper 111.8 3.3 578.3 4.9
Communications 122.1 3.6 2213.0 18.8
Mechanical engineering and metal working – – 559.2 4.8
Chemicals and petrochemicals – – 268.1 2.3
a Source: IFPC.
858 D.A. Dyker / Research Policy 30 (2001) 851–868

Table 3
The internationalisation of Russian R&Da
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998
Number of wholly or partly foreign-owned R&D-performing organisations 2 – 25 43 43 61
As percentage of all R&D organisations 0.4 – 0.6 1.0 1.0 1.3
Number of joint ventures in R&D and related activities 305 510 800 813 608 306
Number of employees 9100 8900 9600 9000 5300 4900
Number of innovating industrial enterprises involving foreign ownership – – 17 21 25 67
a Source: Nauka Rossii v Tsifrakh (1997, p. 12, 14 and 85, 1998, p. 12, 14 and 85, 1999, p. 12, 14 and 113).

are added into fuel, the total share of cumulative FDI their staff, and that SEs working closely with foreign
going to raw-material-based sectors rises to nearly firms and foreign-owned firms tend to be more inno-
20%. The only branches of manufacturing that figure vative than other SEs, at least on the product-design
significantly within total cumulative FDI are mechan- and marketing sides, if less clearly so on the pro-
ical engineering and metal-working, which holds the duction technology side (Pripisnov, 1999). All this
main scope for networking and spillover effects, and suggests that small Russian enterprises have a big
chemicals and petrochemicals, and inflow into these potential role to play in the development of FDI in
two sectors fell to negligible proportions in 1997. Russia, but as elements in supply networks rather than
In the sections that follow reference is made to the as hosts of FDI as such.
specific FDI experience of a number of these sectors. In the absence of any comparable data on alliances,
In addition, detailed case studies of the hydrocarbon we can only guess at the pattern of non-equity rela-
industries, and of one key sector of the engineering tionships that has evolved over recent years. Alliances
industry, are laid out in a separate section. are probably mainly concentrated in the high-tech
What about the pattern of FDI by size of enterprise? and information technology sectors. Hagedoorn and
Investor companies have on the whole been big com- Sedaitis (1997) found a high correlation between
panies, though with a significant volume of investment non-equity relationships and the intensity of the R&D
coming from small and (in particular) medium-sized component in the strategic technology alliances and
enterprises from central Europe. As far as host enter- joint ventures they studied. For all these reasons,
prises are concerned, we have no official data, but we partners must surely come predominantly from the
do have sample-survey data. In interpreting this data, OECD countries. Hagedoorn and Sedaitis found that,
we have to bear in mind the peculiar size distribution within their sample, the pure alliance form (i.e. with
of firms in Russia. Gazprom apart, there are no really no equity element at all) tended to exhibit a relatively
big firms. And while there are a large number of small even balance of West → East and East → West tech-
firms (employing under 100 people), they account for nology transfer. More than that it is not possible to
only around 10% of official employment (rather more say at the general level with any confidence.
when allowance is made for the second economy). It Table 3 shows the extent to which Russian R&D
is only to be expected, therefore, that the great bulk of organisations and innovation-oriented enterprises 4
FDI should be in either existing medium–large firms or have become involved in alliances with foreign part-
greenfield developments. It is, nevertheless, surprising ners. The figures are not insignificant, and they grew
that a survey of 841 small enterprises carried out at the steadily up to 1996, but they are still not high, and they
beginning of 1997 discovered only five SEs actually experienced something of a collapse in 1997–1998
hosting FDI. What the survey also discovered, how- (though note that where foreign ownership is involved
ever, was that the intensity of business relations be- they continue to rise). They show that the reported
tween SEs and foreign firms and foreign-owned firms degree of internationalisation of R&D as such is, in
is greater in the high-tech sectors, that such relation- fact, a good deal lower than the reported degree of
ships afford significant advantages to the SEs involved
in terms of soft technology transfer and training for 4 It is not clear exactly how this category is defined.
D.A. Dyker / Research Policy 30 (2001) 851–868 859

internationalisation of, for example, the oil industry tertrade (Barz, 1999). Specific examples of this nature
(see case study 1). Outstanding cases like the Amer- apart, academic networks do increasingly overlap
ican branch of the Institute of Theoretical Physics of with business networks, so that even purely academic
the Russian Academy of Sciences apart, the incidence cooperation must have a significant impact on foreign
of formal international R&D collaboration has been business sector activity in Russia. More than that is
noticeably lower for Russia (and indeed for the for- impossible to say on the basis of existing information.
mer Soviet Union in general) than for the central-east
European countries (Mirskaya, 1997). There is, surely,
a substantial degree of underreporting here in the 6. The pattern of technology transfer through
Russian case (the incidence of underreporting may FDI and alliances in Russia
have increased since 1997), as R&D organisations
conceal their foreign partnerships to avoid cuts in How does the particular pattern of FDI in Russia
core funding, and groups within institutes do their affect the pattern of technology transfer? In relation to
own international deals with institute management soft technology, not at all. As noted earlier, transfer of
turning a blind eye as the price of keeping the insti- managerial and organisational technology is a sine qua
tute together. It is, of course, difficult to obtain more non of effective FDI. In Russia, where the essentially
than scattered, anecdotal evidence on this section of non-commercial management culture of the old sys-
the ‘grey’ economy. In studying the impact of R&D tem of central planning is peculiarly deep-seated, this
collaboration with foreign organisations within the is a fortiori the case. If the foreign investor is not able
framework of FDI and alliances, therefore, we have to impose the essential elements of his management
to focus on production enterprises rather than R&D system and culture the project is doomed to failure.
organisations. The situation with respect to hard technology is
Beyond FDI and formal alliances lies a largely much more complex. In many areas, for example that
uncharted area of informal contacts, alliances and ex- of fast food, there is virtually no hard technology to
changes. (Note that here ‘informal’ does not necessar- transfer — the organisational side is everything. There
ily mean ‘grey’ in the sense that that word was used in are broad areas of middle-tech engineering where the
the past paragraph.) To the extent that informality is levels of technology inherited from the Soviet Union
conducive to the transfer of tacit knowledge, these re- are competitive, if not absolutely leading-edge (Dyker
lationships must play a significant role in processes of and Radosevic, 1994), so that ‘brownfield’ invest-
technology transfer in both directions. Thus, a Russian ments in these sectors are again largely exercises in
scientist who works in the West for 5 years will return organisational rationalisation. There are areas of hard
to Russia with upgraded scientific capabilities and a technology, e.g. in the oil industry, where transfer has
grasp of how state-of-the-art laboratories are organ- been crucial in the past, but where the Russian side has
ised, and will probably have left a significant legacy to a great extent caught up in the course of the 1990s
of (Russian) scientific and technical knowledge with (C; see case study 1). But we should not downplay the
his hosts. He will, furthermore, take the network he role of hard technology transfer too much There are
has built up over the 5 years home with him. In some very specific areas of hard technology, e.g. nuclear
cases, Russian scientists have been able to build up safety, aeroengines and telecommunications, environ-
powerful international networks without ever spend- mental protection (see case study 1) where transfer of
ing long periods abroad. The bulk of this kind of co- process technology has been, and remains crucial. And
operation goes on within the public sector rather than when we switch our attention from process to prod-
the business sector (Mirskaya, 1997). But there are ex- uct technology, we see a different picture altogether.
ceptions, notably in the case of the British healthcare Thus, in food processing, for instance, the design of
consortium (Glaxo, Wellcome and Zeneca) operating products specifically for the Russian market, based
in the Urals, which brings Russian doctors over to the on thoroughgoing market research and taking into
UK for training within the framework of a commercial account all the special characteristics of the Russian
agreement that also involves sale of pharmaceuticals market, including the limited spending power of most
and medical equipment, and some elements of coun- families, has been of central importance (C). Thus,
860 D.A. Dyker / Research Policy 30 (2001) 851–868

inward transfer of hard technology is of central impor- out specific elements of development work to spe-
tance, but the degree of importance varies greatly from cialists from countries where, for one reason or
sector to sector, and even from operation to operation. another, wages are at a comparatively low level.
FDI in Russia has also served as a vehicle for 2. The priorities and capabilities of the military–
East → West technology transfer. The market for industrial complex resulted in the development of
East → West technology transfer is conditioned by a range of technological capabilities and specific,
three key features of the Soviet legacy. high-tech products, e.g. military aircraft, rocket
launchers (see case study 2), extra-hard metals, spe-
1. The ‘over-development’ of specific elements within cial alloys, etc. In some cases it has been possible to
the Russian human capital stock on account of key transform these directly into hard-currency export
weaknesses in the technology array of the Soviet industries. In others, that goal has been achieved
Union. Examples include software design, where indirectly, through the process of conversion, e.g.
the inadequacy of Soviet computers, in particular with the use of Soviet/Russian rocket-launching
their limited memory capacity, spawned a level technology to launch Western telecommunications
of ‘ingeniousness’ on the part of Soviet software satellites (see case study 2). This is an area where
specialists which would have been unnecessary in the hard technology transfer may be two-way, as,
a Western context, but which could be turned to for example, where Western engines have been in-
other, profitable, uses once the system was opened stalled in Russian aircraft, or only East → West, as
up to global influences (Katkalo, 1993). Some- with some areas of space launching (see case study
times this kind of thing resulted in the develop- 2). By the early–mid-1990s quite complex business
ment of a specific technology which subsequently structures had already been set up in some sectors
proved to be commercially viable in the transition to exploit the scope for East → West technology
context. An example is horizontal drilling for oil, transfer from the Russian military–industrial com-
which was developed in the USSR because So- plex. Thus, in 1993 the German metals company
viet steel was not good enough to make the bits Metallgesellschaft set up a 50:50 joint venture with
necessary for conventional, vertical drilling (C). 14 leading Russian research institutes from the
Beyond that, it tended to result in the development military sector, with the aim of marketing Russian
of specific capabilities. There is wide agreement, metals technologies in the West (Barz, 1999).
for example, that in the mid-1990s the best Rus- 3. The isolation of the Soviet Union sometimes
sian computer programmers were better than the resulted in the development of ‘marsupial’ tech-
best in the OECD area (Dyker, 1996; Barz, 1999). nologies — technologies which might never have
These elements of human capital have been been developed under the competitive pressures
successfully used as a basis for FDI in related sec- of a market system (just as the kangaroo would
tors. In software and integrated computer system never have survived if Australia had not been cut
development, biotechnology, medical technology, off from the rest of the world), but which may
opto-electronics, polymer-optical fibres and energy now contribute crucial elements of technological
technology, Western multinationals have been able diversity to a globalised technological system. An
to harness the related capabilities in the service example is the development of technologies for the
of global technological development programmes launching of rockets from ships and sea-platforms,
(Dyker, 1996; Barz, 1999; C). Such programmes submarines and heavy aircraft (see case study 2).
have involved a significant amount of West → Originally developed out of considerations of mil-
East technology transfer as well as East → West. itary security, these ‘alternative’ technologies offer
But, unique among major forms of FDI in Rus- multinational companies technological options
sia, they do seem to be critically dependent for which help them to respond flexibly to changing
their commercial success on the low wages which patterns of relative cost in their areas of investment.
the Russian specialists involved are prepared to
accept. This, then, is a ‘Bangalore’-type system The best illustrations of how these three elements
of FDI, whereby Western multinationals contract may come together in particular cases come from the
D.A. Dyker / Research Policy 30 (2001) 851–868 861

computer and software industries. Thus, the Moscow imported parts, but with local content rising to 35–40%
Centre for SPARC Technology (MCST), the creation by 2002 and 70% by 2004 (Dagayev, 1999, p. 8).
of Boris Babayan, the father of the Elbrus-2 super-
computer (widely used in the Soviet space and nuclear
programmes), has made significant contributions to 7. Problems of technology transfer through FDI
the development of workstation technology. MCST and alliances
is financed by Sun Microsystems. ParaGraph, a lead-
ing Russian software company, also with its roots The aggregate level of FDI in Russia is low in re-
in the military–industrial complex, was a pioneer of lation to the size of the country and the resources it
the technology of computer handwriting recognition. has to offer. Why so? Every organisation and com-
Again, ParaGraph had to do a deal with Apple Com- pany involved in FDI and alliances has a particular
puter to develop that technology commercially. Coop- experience and particular insights into these matters.
eration with Apple has now extended into the fields At the risk of oversimplifying, we have structured this
of compression, 3D graphics and virtual reality. Para- section in terms of the typical preoccupations of the
Graph has also worked together with Elsag-Bailey ‘Russian side’ and the ‘investor side’.
of Genoa on off-line recognition, and with the Sanc-
tuary Woods company on a multimedia project 7.1. From the Russian point of view
(Dyker, 1996).
We saw in the last section that the pattern of devel- 7.1.1. Fear of the ‘Maquiladora’ phenomenon
opment of small enterprises in Russia holds out some ‘Maquiladora’ factories, set up in northern Mexico
promise of the development of production and tech- on the basis of US FDI, are characterised by low
nology networks built around foreign-owned firms. In wages, low levels of investment in training, and weak
practice, the promise is yet to be fulfilled. Paradox- networking within the host region. It must be em-
ically, this state of affairs may be related to the very phasised that the Maquiladora phenomenon is not a
strength of existing networks of the traditional, Soviet wholly negative one. Its operation in Mexico has im-
type, especially in military-oriented sectors which are proved levels of technology and capability, increased
usually the main repositories of scientific and tech- productivity and created new jobs (Ellingstad, 1997).
nological capabilities. Case material shows that the But it is not calculated to maximise the impact of
style of networking inherited from the past tends to FDI on the Mexican economy as a whole, it fails to
be too hierarchical, too rigid on lines of authority, not transfer benefits on a large scale to workers, and it
rigid enough on observance of contracts, unable to tends to reinforce Mexico’s colonial status vis-à-vis
integrate where the Soviet system divided (e.g. design the USA.
and production) and unable to devolve effectively In practice, Russia does not need to worry too much
what was often centralised under the Soviet system about the Maquiladora phenomenon. As noted earlier,
(e.g. component supply) (Harter, 1998, pp. 144–148; cheap labour is rarely a key factor in FDI in Russia,
Richet and Bourassa, 1998). All of this represent a or indeed in the transition area as a whole. And it
challenge rather than an insurmountable obstacle for must be stressed that Maquiladora is a phenomenon
the foreign investor. But it is a challenge that has still of the Mexican border region with the US (similar
not been effectively taken up, notably by that most im- patterns can be found in China’s border region with
portant industrial networker, the motor-car industry. Hong Kong; Chan Oi, 1998), and it is difficult to
Current plans for foreign investment in the Russian imagine it developing outside that specific geograph-
automotive industry focus mainly on the setting-up ical context. Russia simply does not have any border
of screwdriver assembly inside Russia. There is, regions with advanced capitalist economies, Finland
however, some prospect that this will develop into and Japan excepted. If the political obstacles to ma-
genuine supply-network-building. Thus, the agree- jor investment inflows from Japan are ever removed,
ment between Opel and Avtovaz on joint product of Maquiladora-type investment (and outward process-
the Opel Astra T-3000 platform for the Russian mar- ing as a form of alliance) could certainly develop in
ket envisages initial assembly largely on the basis of the Russian far east.
862 D.A. Dyker / Research Policy 30 (2001) 851–868

7.1.2. Non-tariff barriers against Russian exports gested. 6 The Bangalore phenomenon often extends
Russia has suffered a good deal from anti-dumping a life line to individuals or small research groups,
duties and quotas and other forms of contingent pro- but generally has little to offer the big research insti-
tection over the past 10 years, and this has hampered tutes, and may even harm their interests to the extent
her in seeking to follow her comparative advantage, that it encourages ‘moonlighting’, with staff using
e.g. in relation to the export of non-ferrous met- institute equipment to fulfil what are in effect private
als, notably aluminium, and base chemicals. But contracts. There have also been cases where purport-
anti-dumping measures have generally had little con- edly scientific agreements have been used as a cover
nection either with FDI or with technology transfer. for the pirating of Russian technologies (C; Ivanova,
The aluminium case is a partial exception, in that 1998, p. 10). And as the Hungarian material cited
the complex of restrictions hammered out in 1993 by earlier shows, even where there is genuine investment
the European Commission and the various producer in the local S&T base, the cooperation may be only
interests themselves did involve promises of Western skin-deep and the implications for basic and even
investment in Russian aluminium and provision of applied research negative. Still, it has to be borne
Western technology to clean up Russian production in mind that skin-deep cooperation is better than no
facilities (Dyker, 1994, pp. 49–52). Much more im- cooperation at all. Most important of all, we should
portant in the present context has been the case of not blame globalisation for all the ills of the Russian
space-launching (see case study 2), where develop- S&T system. Those ills flow mainly from the So-
ment of substantial programmes of joint investment viet inheritance, from the fact that the Russian S&T
and joint marketing between Western and Russian system is oversized and distorted in its pattern of spe-
providers has gone on against the background of re- cialisation, and is structurally extremely ill-suited to
strictions imposed by the US government through the needs of a market economy. These problems have
successive Russian–US Trade Agreements on the been addressed but slowly, and it is this that poses the
sale of Russian space-launching services in the world real threat to the Russian S&T base. Foreign business
market. FDI and alliances effectively ease the trade involvement can do something to pump new funds
restrictions imposed on Russian producers, because into the sector and move it in the right structural di-
the output of joint ventures in this field do not count rection. In practice, as Table 3 indicates (and taking
as ‘Russian’. But even joint ventures can fall foul of into account the likely degree of underestimation in
US security restrictions. Thus, for instance, Boeing the figures contained in that table), the involvement of
was fined US$ 10 million by the US government for the foreign business sector in cooperation with R&D
breaching non-proliferation of rocket technologies organisations as such has been on a minor scale. It
regulations in connection with its involvement in the would be quite unrealistic to imagine that the fate of
SL project, and Pratt and Whitney was investigated Russian S&T lies in the hands of FDI and alliances.
with respect to their cooperation with Energomash
(see case study 2) (Ivanova, 2000, pp. 5–7). 5 7.1.4. Fears of restrictions on West → East
technology transfer in the context of FDI and
7.1.3. Fear of the destruction of the Russian S&T alliances
base These fears are widespread (Ivanova, 2000), and
There are widespread fears among the Russian receive a good deal of confirmation from Western
science and technology establishment that the impact sources. Within the framework of Bangalore-type
of globalisation on Russian S&T will be, at best, agreements, Western investors generally aim to give
large-scale ‘asset-stripping’, at worst liquidation of their Russian partners only the minimum amount of
Russia’s independent S&T base. These fears are by firm-specific technology they need to do the job (C;
no means groundless. Brain drain is a real problem, Sharp and Barz, 1997, pp. 107–108). More broadly,
though probably not as critical as sometimes sug-
6 The number of R&D workers emigrating annually from Russia
5 The Pratt and Whitney Energomash partnership was finally fell from 2300 in 1993 to 1900 in 1996 and 1200 in 1997 (Nauka
cleared by Congress in April 2000. Rossii v Tsifrakh, 1998, p. 40).
D.A. Dyker / Research Policy 30 (2001) 851–868 863

however, as east European experience shows, a lot drugs makes companies particularly sensitive to IPR
depends on the individual investing firm, and the con- risks; foreign companies also cite IPR problems as
duct of Suzuki in Hungary in this regard, for example, a reason why they are restrictive about the extent of
has been exemplary (Havas, 1997, pp. 224–249). West → East technology transfer within the frame-
Global experience indicates that, where there is gen- work of deals involving mainly technology transfer in
uine collaboration in the setting-up and management the opposite direction. For the oil industry, the lack of
of production lines, it will be difficult for investing a proper legal framework for production-sharing, the
companies to prevent the transfer of hard technology. most common basis for FDI from the oil multination-
As noted earlier, it is simply impossible for Western als elsewhere in the world, continues to symbolise the
partners to stop the transfer of soft technology in cases generally unsatisfactory state of the business environ-
where they need to impose control over the whole ment. Where disputes do arise, Western companies
operation. Restrictiveness in relation to technology find that taking action through Russian courts is very
transfer is, therefore, probably not a critical problem difficult, and that even when they secure a favourable
on big projects, though with some variation between judgement, the judgement may not be implemented.
firms. There is more of a problem with smaller deals, Opaque bankruptcy laws mean that it may in practice
within the framework of which investors transfer lim- be impossible for Western firms to seize assets as a
ited amounts of equipment and know-how, but leave way of recovering debts.
the organisation of the operation to local partners.
7.2.2. Fears of political instability
7.2. From the Western point of view This point is graphically illustrated by the reactions
of foreign companies already investing in Russia to
7.2.1. Unsatisfactory legal framework the rouble crisis of August–September 1998. While
This is one of the principal obstacles to the max- the breakdown in the banking system attendant on the
imisation of the volume of FDI in Russia. Tax is crisis caused cash-flow problems for all of them, pos-
a central element, with Western investors unhappy sible changes in the real exchange rate and therefore
about levels of tax and also the speed with which the the real dollar wage were in many cases viewed as
effective tax burden can change. Individual Western being of minor importance, either because the local
firms have produced charts based on time series of ef- wage bill was not an important element of costs, or
fective tax burdens which look like switchbacks (C). because staff were effectively paid in dollars. Firms
An additional complication affecting Western compa- primarily oriented to the domestic Russian market
nies operating in the regions of Russia is the penchant saw the crisis as an opportunity to reinforce the com-
for local political bosses to impose their own, arbi- petitive advantage they already had. So on strictly
trary charges on foreign companies. Such volatility economic grounds the crisis was seen by many in-
in the tax regime makes investment planning impos- vesting firms as being on a minor scale. But all
sible, especially for firms with long time horizons. investing firms were concerned about the generalised
The simple solution to that problem is, of course, not uncertainty the crisis had brought with it, with po-
to invest. Company law, intellectual property rights, litical uncertainty viewed as being more serious than
property law, bankruptcy law and legal recourse also economic uncertainty as such (C).
present a whole range of difficulties. There have been
many cases in Russia of foreign shareholders being 7.2.3. Firm-specific ‘technology culture’
prevented from exercising their shareholding rights in Western investors perceive major problems in im-
particular Russian companies through manipulation of posing their firm-specific ‘technology culture’ on
shareholders meetings, or the issue by management of Russian firms. Even where local managers are ea-
new blocks of shares without the knowledge of exist- ger to collaborate, they may have serious problems
ing shareholders. The intellectual property rights situ- in comprehending the key importance of ‘value
ation is unsatisfactory, and this has been a significant engineering’. Foreign companies still find it difficult
obstacle to investment in sectors like pharmaceuticals, to talk about the cost side of deals to potential suppli-
where the cost of investing in the development of new ers, often receiving the response ‘just tell us what you
864 D.A. Dyker / Research Policy 30 (2001) 851–868

want and we will make it’ (C). But some suppliers are sides to the solution of the problems addressed. Of
managing to make the transition to a set of attitudes course many Western companies do not want active
appropriate to a market economy, and the supposition and equal technological cooperation, preferring more
must be that as the younger generation moves up limited, perhaps less equal relationships. If Russian
into the top positions in industry, the problem will scientists and technologists want to encourage poten-
be largely solved. At the broader level of ‘business tial Western partners to change their ways of think-
culture’ as a whole, significant local peculiarities are ing, they must be prepared to change theirs, and that
likely to remain. But that is true of many countries means getting rid of their ‘off-the-shelf’ mentality.
in the world, and there is no reason why it should
present insuperable problems to investment in Russia.
8. Case studies
7.2.4. Trying to sell technologies ‘off the shelf ’ or
‘out of the store cupboard’ 8.1. The oil and gas industries
This problem stems from a misinterpretation of
At the end of 1994 there were around 140 oil and gas
technology as an artefact (a ‘thing made by human
joint ventures involving foreign participation in Rus-
workmanship’). This confusion may arise because
sia. The cumulative volume of actual investment up to
of the traditional dominance of military and space
that point was in the region of US$ 3 billion, more or
R&D in Russia where technologies and artefacts do,
less equally divided between oil and gas. By the be-
to a great extent, coincide (see case study 2). More
ginning of 1998 the number of projects had increased
generally, while a given technology may produce
substantially, now ranging from exploration and de-
artefacts, and may indeed use artefacts to produce
velopment/production and refurbishment/enhanced
other artefacts, the technology itself must be under-
recovery through to refining and processing and the
stood as a process, a body of knowledge. In Western
development of terminals, while the cumulative in-
technology management thinking, development of a
vestment to that point had reached around US$ 5.5
new technology always starts with the problem to be
billion. Hydrocarbons are seen by many executives as
solved and the potential market for the solution. Only
a flagship of FDI, showing other sectors the way, and
once those have been defined does ‘hard’ technology
also helping to build supplier networks within Russia
development work actually begin. So there are no
(C). For our purposes the sector serves to bring out
technologies ‘off the shelf’ in the West, except to
a number of special features of the FDI process apart
the extent that Western companies may use or sell
from the importance of raw material endowment:
obsolescent technologies in less developed parts of
the world. Western companies are prepared to buy • However important firm-specific and location-
Russian technologies off the shelf because they are specific advantages may be (and in the case of Rus-
generally interested in technological alternatives, as sian hydrocarbons both are clearly very important),
discussed under the heading of marsupial technology, firms will only proceed with a specific investment
above, and indeed some foreign engineering compa- if it fits in with their corporate strategy.
nies do good business translating and reformatting • In globalised industries, of which oil and gas are
Soviet/Russian patent and design documentation (C). the prime examples, that corporate strategy will, by
But few of these technological alternatives are ac- definition, be a global strategy. That means that in-
tually developed directly for commercial application vestments in Russia, or in any other potential host
(sea-based space launching is an exception: see case country, will be implemented to the extent that they
study 2). The bulk of them are simply used to broaden fit in with a set of priorities which will doubtless
and enrich the core technology files of the given include profitability, but which will also include se-
Western firm. The implication of this is that active curity of supply, market penetration and a host of
and equal technological cooperation between Russian other factors.
and foreign companies means working together on • Most of those other factors will be very long-term
a project from the conceptual phase onwards, and factors. Thus, a globalised industry is obliged to
applying all the technological capabilities of both work in terms of a long-term horizon of, say, 10–15
D.A. Dyker / Research Policy 30 (2001) 851–868 865

years, in making specific investment decisions. but did not involve any MNC taking a significant
Since it is impossible to predict the movement of new equity share in Lukoil (FT, 1999a; Radosevic,
key parameters like real wages and the price of oil 1999). 7 There are, therefore, real prospects that
over such a long time-span, the strategic planner hard technology transfer and FDI may be decoupled
in the globalised company is forced to depend on in the hydrocarbon sectors. Russian dependence on
alternative-scenario-building, risk analysis, etc., Western hard technology will continue in specific
rather than on straightforward estimates of present areas like gas compression and transmission into
value. the medium term. Environmental-impact minimi-
• By the same token short-term factors which may sation is another area where foreign involvement
be of key importance for other sectors and other is likely to remain crucial for some time, with,
firms will not figure prominently in the global for example, the US–Russian joint venture Polar
strategic planner’s deliberations, except to the ex- Lights leading the field with the development of
tent that those short-term factors actually change ice pad drilling technology (FT, 1999c; Petroleum
best guesses in relation to long-term factors. Economist, 1999). Where Western companies are
• While upstream oil and gas activity is not gener- likely to retain a firm-specific advantage into the
ally considered to have wide-ranging networking long term is in relation to project management and
potential, Western oil companies are sub-contracting the application of communications and informa-
within Russia, exploiting the improvements in per- tion technology, i.e. essentially the soft technology
formance which some supplier companies have of oil and gas exploration and development (C;
achieved, while putting pressure on those per- Ivanova, 1999; FT, 1999b; Khartukov, 1999).
forming less well to do better (C). This trend is
reinforced by the tendency for the big Russian oil 9. The space and aerospace industries
companies to hive off specialist service operations
to separate companies. These are sectors where Russia has large accu-
• The technology gap between the Western multi- mulations of human capital, substantial potential
nationals and the domestic Russian oil and gas competitive advantage, and a range of marsupial tech-
industries is closing. Just as Russian engineering nologies which have met with a good deal of interest
companies are figuring more and more as suppli- among potential Western collaborators. Major types
ers to the multinationals, so Russian oil and gas of collaboration in this field have included:
companies are increasingly sub-contracting their
technology work to international and domestic • Joint ventures aimed at remedying a specific weak-
technology service companies, thus lessening their ness in the capabilities of the Russian industry, e.g.
technological dependence on the MNCs. Gazprom, the agreement between GE Aviation and Rybinsk
the giant Russian gas producer, which is more than Motors to produce the CE Aviation CT7 aeroengine
90% Russian-owned, is the centre of a key technol- at the Rybinsk plant, for use in the new Sukhoi-80
ogy network developing aeroengine technology for executive jet, and also for export (Ivanova, 1998,
use in the pumping of gas. This network includes p. 15). A similar agreement has been concluded
Western MNCs like Pratt and Whitney and Rolls between Pratt and Whitney and Perm Motors in
Royce, and also a number of domestic Russian relation to the PS-90A engine (Ivanova, 2000,
aerospace firms (Ivanova, 1999). Lukoil, Russia’s pp. 15–16).
biggest oil-producer and also predominantly • Alliances designed to transfer specific pieces of
Russian-owned, implemented an ambitious pro- Russian hard technology to the Western partner,
gramme of investment during 1998 which allowed such as the agreement between Pratt and Whitney
the company to cut average extraction costs by and Energomash whereby the latter will initially
10% between 1997 and 1998. The investment pro- 7 Atlantic Richfield (Arco) took an 8% holding in Lukoil in
gramme was partly financed from foreign sources, 1995–1996. In 1996 Arco and Lukoil set up a joint venture,
and involved a wide range of cooperation agree- LukArco, which may have played a key role in the management
ments with both foreign and Russian companies, of the 1998 investment programme.
866 D.A. Dyker / Research Policy 30 (2001) 851–868

make the ‘low-cost and robust’ RD-180M engine The evidence from the space sector on the Westwards
for the Lockheed Martin Atlas IIAE space-launch transfer of marsupial technology confirms the opera-
vehicle, with production (under license) gradually tional importance of this kind of technology transfer,
moving to the USA over an 8-year period (Ivanova, but also confirms that, even here, technologies can-
2000, pp. 6–7). 8 not simply be taken off the shelf; they have to be
• Joint ventures designed to market a particular piece redeployed, and in some cases specific elements may
of Russian technology world-wide, e.g. the LKEI have to be newly developed from scratch. There are
(Lockheed–Khrunichev–Energiya International) elements of the Bangalore system in some of the case
joint venture, which has sole rights in relation to studies from the space and aerospace sectors, notably
the use of the Proton booster rocket, designed by in relation to Zhukovskii’s various partnerships, but
Khrunichev (Bzhilianskaya, 1999). these elements do not seem to be dominant.
• Joint ventures designed to develop a particular piece
of marsupial technology for the Western market,
like the Sea Launch (SL) joint venture, involving 10. Conclusions
Energiya, Yuzhnoe from Ukraine, Kvaerner (build-
ing the rig) and Boeing (doing the finance and mar- • Collaboration with the foreign business sector,
keting), dedicated to the launching of satellites from through FDI and the creation of formal and in-
platforms floating in the Pacific Ocean; 9 and Sea formal production and technological alliances, has
Launch Services (SLS), a joint venture between brought significant benefits to Russia, in terms of
the Russian association RAMCON and the US Sea inward and outward transfer of technology, but
Launch Investors, with a booster rocket specially has not had a critical impact on the level of per-
adapted for sea launches, the Priboi, being expressly formance of the Russian economy, at general or
designed by the Russian side (Bzhilianskaya, 1999). sectoral level. The specialised R&D sector is no
• Technological alliances like those between Boeing, exception in this regard.
Dassault, DASA and Airbus and the Zhukovskii • While outward technology transfer has been restric-
Central Aerohydrodynamics Institute relating to ted to the field of hard technology, inward technol-
specific research projects being carried out by ogy transfer has encompassed soft technology and
Zhukovskii for its Western partners (Ivanova, 2000). (more selectively) hard technology.
• As the hard technology gap has narrowed, so in-
A central theme in this varied picture is the recog-
ward transfer of soft technology has tended to come
nised value of Russian hard technology. A less
even more to the fore.
obvious but no less central theme is the essential role
• Business enterprises rather than R&D institutes
of Western soft technology, and also of Western fi-
have been the main vehicle for inwards and out-
nance, in bringing Russian technology to the global
wards technology transfer, though the role of R&D
market (Ivanova, 2000). That transfer of soft technol-
institutes is almost certainly understated by the
ogy is essentially a learning process is highlighted by
official statistics.
reports that Khrunichev may now be considering end-
• FDI remains the main specific channel of technol-
ing its partnership with Lockheed, on the grounds that
ogy transfer, but sectoral case studies suggest that
it has now learned enough to ‘go it alone’ (Ivanova,
its importance relative to other channels may now
2000, p. 5). This assessment is at odds with the evi-
be diminishing.
dence from the oil and gas industries to the effect that
• While the scope for involving small Russian enter-
Russian dependence on Western soft technology will
prises in international R&D-oriented collaboration
persist into the long term. There may be an important
is substantial, it remains unexploited. One of the
inter-sectoral difference here, but only time will tell.
main reasons for this is the continued failure of
8 The first test launch of an Atlas launch vehicle powered by an
Russian industry to develop contemporary patterns
RD-180M engine was successfully completed in May 2000.
of supply networking. More widespread foreign
9 SL ran into serious problems in March 2000 with a failed ownership across the range of industrial sectors
launch. The problem was almost certainly a software one. might do something to rectify this situation, but the
D.A. Dyker / Research Policy 30 (2001) 851–868 867

key initiatives will have to come from within the the most important kind of technology transfer
Russian business and government community. of all.
• While Russian scientific and industrial leaders still
tend to view foreign business with some suspicion,
foreign businessmen continue to view Russia as a References
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