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IIM-K Editorial Board Team
Front Row (L-R): Angad Keith, Kumar Vivek, Shilpa Lanka
Back Row (L-R): Soheib Ali, Burhan Hussain, Hrishikesh Kelkar
3 IIMK Newsletter
The equity risk premium is risk premium for India. significant difference be-
the aggregate return earned There are several tween the pre-reform and
in the stock market in excess other serious problems while post-reform period.
of that earned by default-free using the historical approach A Modified Historical Risk
securities. It is a vital compo- to risk premium estimation in Premium
nent in the Capital asset pric- the Indian context. Though Because of the problems
ing model which states that the BSE Sensex does go associated with the use of
the excess return earned by back till 1979, the index did historical data in emerging
a stock over the risk free rate not undergo significant revi- economies, Damodaran pre-
is equal to the equity risk pre- sion till 1996, implying that fers an alternative mode of
mium times the riskiness of by the mid nineties the index estimation which employs a
the stock as estimated by its was not representative of the base equity premium and
beta. Accurate estimation of Indian stock market. Also, country risk premium.
equity risk premium is impor- Interest rates in India were
tant as it has implications on Equity Risk Premium = Base
administered till the early
asset allocation decisions in Premium for a mature Equity
nineties. Varma (2002) esti-
portfolio management and market + Country Premium
mates the repression of in-
capital budgeting decisions in terest rates in India at 3% Generally the US
corporate finance. pre-deregulation. This distor- risk premium is used as the
tion has to be taken into ac- base premium for a mature
Estimating the premium
using historical data Time Pe- Geometric Mean
riod
The most prevalent method Risk free rate Market return Risk Premium
used to estimate equity risk
premium is by observing the Pre mid 91 12.02% 20.98% 8.96%
historical risk premium
earned by the stock market Post mid 91 9.47% 18.05% 8.58%
over long periods of time. Entire Pe- 10.53% 19.27% 8.74%
This approach has its limita- riod
tions especially in emerging
markets where the historical count while choosing the risk
equity market. The country
data is often limited and too -free rate with respect to
risk measure is a function of
noisy to yield a reliable esti- which the risk premium will
the sovereign rating and
mate. Though capital markets be calculated.
volatility of the country‟s eq-
in India have a history of 130 Varma and Barua uity market relative to the
years, the economy has un- (2006) overcome these prob- bond market. This approach
dergone many structural lems by constructing an al- estimates India‟s equity risk
changes over the period. In- ternative index comprising of premium at 9.23%
dia has moved onto a higher the most liquid stocks for the
growth path since 1980 ow- A Premium for bearing
period 1981-96 and estimat-
ing to key structural changes Risk?
ing risk free rates separately
in the economy around that for the pre-reform and post- It is evident that the rates of
time (Rodrick and Subrama- reform periods. They con- return on stocks in India
niam, 2004). Hence, we have clude that the equity risk pre- have been significantly
to confine ourselves to about mium in India, based on geo- higher than the rates of
25 years of stock market data metric mean of annual re- return on risk free assets.
while estimating the equity turns is about 8.75% with no
IIMK Newsletter 4
Mental make-up and aspi- outlook of Indian women. she can do it, why can‟t I?”
rations: After a lifetime of Nuclear family: Nuclear Higher confidence levels
household chores, many family is the cement and re- and ambition: There is a new
women showed little or no inforcement. In a nuclear found widespread need for
concern for things outside family the decision makers productivity. All the females
their domestic circle. The pre- are reduced to two. Also, it interviewed said that they
scribed path for them was increases the pressure on wanted to invest their time
considered a given and they the husband to perform and doing something which
were comfortable walking work harder as he is the only would make them feel satis-
along it. bread winner of the family. fied and content at the end of
Lack of a strong Media This in turn makes him very the day.
busy and conceding, making
Changes over the years Extent of change: It has
him rather grateful when his
been observed mainly in the
The Indian women, especially wife is able to manage the
women belonging to SEC A
in cities, have undergone a house.
and B. This could be be-
sea of change over the last
Influence of western culture cause the reasons cited for
few years in terms of attitude,
and media: It projects the the change apply only to
interest, activities and ambi-
horizon which they haven‟t these segments of society.
tion. The major reasons are: reached, but can. Edcation, modern ideas, me-
Indian landscape: At the dia, technology etc. still
Mental-make up: They are
macro level, the Indian soci- haven‟t reached towns and
seeking a perfect balance
ety is experiencing a gender villages.
between work and home,
role-reversal process. Frag- social life and family life. Another factor noticed was
mentation of family bonding, that this empowerment has
Power tussle: The power
fast paced life, long busy still not reached all sections
has always been more on
working hours, increased of the society.
the mans‟ side. But the
pressure to perform and
newly educated and empow- Marketing and advertising
stress, especially in the met-
ered women now want the changes
ros, are the building blocks of
power shifted towards them Shift in decision power:
change. The new generation
by making the more impor-
is more educated, exposed to “House managers, Chief pur-
tant decisions instead of the
western culture and open. chasing officers and family
„low level‟ jobs like regular
The outlook of the society has financial officers”
household chores.
undergone a tremendous
„The man makes the
change as they have ac- Jealousy: This was an un-
decision for any large pur-
cepted „bahus‟ in their new expected reason which came
chase whereas the woman is
roles. up during one of the inter-
given a budget to manage
views conducted. A finance
Education: Education is seen the house‟ days are gone.
post graduate recently mar-
as the biggest enabler in the This was the traditional
ried in a joint family said “If
360 degree change in the model on which the market
9 IIMK Newsletter
The surge in popularity of private conversations of old. ual. The familiar linear one-to
what is popularly known as Almost everyone -many model of traditional
social media has put the would have seen social me- media stretches, twists and
power of mass communica- dia in action – blogs, wikis, under relentless pressure
tion into the hands of the indi- chat forums, social commu- from the cacophony of a mil-
vidual. “Old media”, both print nities such as the white-hot lion voices, morphs into an
and television, have only just Facebook, social bookmark- almost chaotic many-to-
begun to wake up to this ing ala del.icio.us, virtual many network.
threat to their hegemony. worlds of the Second Life As tools like blogs
This article examines this kind, marketplaces pio- turn every opinionated mind
phenomenon in some detail neered by eBay, and col- with a keyboard and an inter-
as well as the threat to tradi- laborative tools like Google‟s net connection into a publish-
tional media empires before Online Office Suite. All these ing house, entry barriers are
projecting into the future – are characterized by the no- being razed to the ground.
what old media should and tion that each participant For old media the implica-
should not do to continue to tions are that public attention
survive and prosper in the will be drawn to sources over
new ecosystem. The inten- whom they have no control –
tion is not so much as to seek and that strikes at the heart
depth as to draw the reader‟s adds value to the product – of their revenue stream.
attention to the evolution of the more people use it, the What should old media
this new media economy. better it gets – unlike any do ?
What is social media ? media in the past. Most im-
The new media ecosystem
portantly, the individual can
The past dizzying decade throws open entirely new
communicate with an audi-
witnessed the obsolescence business models and yet,
ence potentially as vast as
of the phone and the simulta- retains some. Old media
the entire Internet.
neous rise of email and in- needs to realize that control
stant messaging as the Inter- Why is old media threat- of content is no longer possi-
net spread its tentacles into ened ? ble (or even necessary), that
every region of almost every Old media, the traditional value lies in ownership of the
nation in the world. However, media houses, have long platform for production and
in the past couple of years been able to control the mes- publishing of this content.
sage, because they also The most high-profile exam-
owned the channel. This ples are News Corp‟s pur-
gave them terrifying power chase of the networking web-
over people‟s opinions and site, MySpace, in 2005, and
therefore actions. Google‟s acquisition of You-
Tube in 2006.
New media, unfortu-
nately, disrupts every single Advertising still re-
stage of the media supply mains the chief source of
chain – from production to revenue for new media, but
even email has taken a back in a more evolved form –
programming to publishing to
seat to a new generation of highly targeted ads displayed
distribution. It seizes control
communication media, which by tracking individuals‟ be-
of every stage and thrusts it
resemble a noisy market-
into the hands of the individ- havior on the web.
place rather than the hushed,
11 IIMK Newsletter
For advertisers, it ture of the medium, encour- seems likely – text (news,
means a better conversion aging developers to write opinions, documents, email,
rate and higher return on in- extensions and freeing ac- Instant Messaging, book-
vestment; for the platform cess to users. Perhaps blas- marks etc.), video (custom
owner, it means higher vol- phemous for traditional me- channels and playlists) and
umes and (in spite of lower dia houses, but this is the audio (from chat transcripts
margins) larger revenues. An only religion new media to music); maps and location
example is YouTube‟s recent knows. -specific information, com-
move to overlay ads on its What should old media not merce (purchase, auction)
hosted videos. do ? and an almost infinite num-
ber of ways to merge media
In its foray into the Old media cannot
(a book recommendation by
Brave New World, old media look at new media as an ad-
a friend via email, a video of
needs to understand this de- ditional channel of communi-
an interview with the author,
coupling of the operational cation. It needs to recognize
several reviews and a map of
model and revenue model. In that new media, far from
bookstores with the best
the old online economy, complementing traditional
deals for that book).
money was spent on the pro- communication, is often in
Debates on network
neutrality will resurface,
gather more steam as ISPs
and carriers gain more clout.
Is a video service, for in-
stance, allowed to strike a
deal with an ISP for preferen-
tial treatment of traffic origi-
nating from its website? Will
old media be allowed to own
both the message and the
channel?
It is early days yet;
duction of content, and direct confrontation with it. A for most of the world‟s con-
money was made through its typical knee-jerk reaction is sumers, new media is a blip
sale. With new media, con- containment – creating so- on their attention horizon.
tent is free. Money needs to called walled gardens, to Yet, the sheer potential size
be made indirectly, though control both production and of the market means that old
ads or by charging for more viewership of content, as media empires cannot afford
rights to the platform (the Ya-most mobile providers in the to ignore it for most of that
hoo!-owned photo sharing US have done. This is simply market will be at the expense
website Flickr charging for transplanting old business of their existing streams of
additional hosting space and models into a new economy revenue. We are at the cusp
bandwidth, for instance), or and it rarely works. Switching of a historic shift in the bal-
otherwise. costs are far lower than in ance of power in global me-
Finally, in a complete the old world. dia. The winner, to para-
turnaround of the old produc- What does the future phrase Darwin‟s incredibly
tion model, companies need hold ? enduring tenet, will not be
to encourage greater external the largest or the strongest,
If current trends con-
involvement in their medium - but the most adaptable.
tinue, total personalization of
by opening up the architec- every form of existing media
IIMK Newsletter 12
How it works store the kits that are made distinguishing feature of dis-
in the main manufacturing tributed manufacturing.
Distinct from the concept of
unit. The size of the ware- Sales Office: This is the
mass manufacturing at a sin-
house terminal depends product‟s interface with the
gle location, distributive
upon the projected demand customers. Vendors keep
manufacturing aims to drive
on the particular region. only a few cars/products at
the concept of mass entre-
preneurship. Here, the main Assembly Plant: This facility the sales office. The actual
manufacturer builds the kits is used to assemble the kits demand data is processed
for the final product as per and only then is the final de-
livery made to the sales of-
fice.
Distributed manufacturing
seeks a proactive role of the
vendors, making them part-
ners in the manufacturing
process. Hence it also in-
volves an investment from
the vendors, which far ex-
ceeds that involved in tradi-
tional manufacturing.
Cost distribution
The concept of distrib-
uted manufacturing is visual-
ized by Tata Motors in India.
Hence the cost distribution is
of the vehicle at the main the demand of the custom- analyzed from Tata Motors
manufacturing facility; these ers. It is a sub-manufacturing viewpoint and an empirical
kits are transported to differ- system, wherein the last structure is sought.
ent vendor locations which stage of manufacturing is Empirically, in distributed
require assembling facilities. carried out. This concept of manufacturing the cost is
Thus as soon as the cus-
tomer places an order with
the vendor, a kit is assem-
bled at the warehouse. This
model resembles the furni-
ture business model, where
small packages of home fur-
nishings can be assembled at
home with little help from the
main manufacturer.
Requirement from vendors
The vendors in the distribu-
tive manufacturing system
need to maintain 3 facilities shared by all the partners in
bringing the last stage near the supply chain.
Warehouse: This is used to the customers‟ site is the
13 IIMK Newsletter
The share of the suppliers in the project, the timely a further refinement of the
and logistics provider in- availability of the compo- mass manufacturing concept
creases drastically to almost nents to the main manufac- with the same standardized
one-third of the investment turing sites is a challenge. product being made at multi-
made by the main manufac- ple locations near the clients‟
Distribution of kits to the
turer. Distributed manufactur- vendors: This logistics of site. Whereas in mass manu-
ing is a volume game and distribution has been out- facturing the product/car is
seeks profitability from the sourced. The logistics pro- manufactured at a particular
base of the pyramid. For this vider has to make invest- site and then transported to
to be successful, long term ments in buying adequate different vendors, distributive
investments and tie ups with number of trucks to transport manufacturing seeks to
the partners are essential. a million kits a year to differ- make kits of the product/car
This is achieved by making ent locations in the country. at a central location and
the suppliers and vendors these kits are transported to
Estimating the demand of the vendors. This requires
key stakeholders in the very
each region: Demand from
concept. estimation of demand at dif-
each region of the country
ferent regions, a characteris-
Vendors become has to be estimated to mini-
tic of the car industry and
remote entrepreneurs, man- mize the costs of transporta-
adequate training of vendors
aging their customers and tion
to assemble the product at
channelizing the manufactur-
Information flow from ven- their sites. Quality issues are
ing themselves. The concept
dors: Vendors being near to be resolved again through
of distributed manufacturing the customer sites can pro-
some controls over the final
takes jobs to all such sub vide the most valuable infor-
product made by the ven-
assemblies located near the mation about the demand
dors.
client sites.
trends and the quality as-
Supply Chain Challenges pects of the car.
Omega
The concept of a low cost Intra-vendor transship-
Omega, the Operations In-
car/product is successful ment of kits: This issue has
terest Group at IIMK, is re-
through low margins per car/ to be addressed about the
sponsible for conducting
product and high volumes intra-vendor transshipment
weekly sessions related to
sold. These high volumes of kits if the demand in a par-
pose unique challenges to Operations. Sessions con-
ticular region peaks.
the supply chain managers. ducted so far are,
Quality issues: These need
Some of the challenges in the Career opportunities in
to be addressed at the ven-
supply chain of the distrib- dor sites. Vendors, who are Operations with particu-
uted manufacturing that Tata lar focus on the consult-
new to the manufacturing
Motors will likely face are ing domain
process have to be trained
Forecasting of the actual over the process require- Basics of Supply Chain
demand: Tata Motors has ments and the quality as- Management concepts
estimated a sales of one mil- pects required thereof. This such as Bullwhip Effect
lion cars every year. Errors may require certain control etc
and deviations in this forecast structures to be put in place
Summer Internship ex-
can lead to the whole venture wherein the parent company
perience sharing by the
becoming unprofitable. can enforce the desired qual-
second year batch who
Supply of components: ity from the vendors.
interned in operations
With more than hundred Conclusion area
component suppliers locked Distributive Manufacturing is
IIMK Newsletter 14
The New Age Business Focus - The B2E concept Japneet Sachdeva
listed firms. PE backed firms firms make offers at the up- faced with asset stripping,
also added more jobs to the per end of their limit to avoid high interest debt and its
economy and even the a full-blown auction, further payout in their quest for such
wages at listed PE financed raising prices. It is reported high returns.
firms grew at around 32% as that there were multiple bids Another issue is the
compared to 6% for non-PE- for 29% of the private equity
lack of clarity in the current
backed firms. buyouts in 2006 as com- regulatory structure to pro-
pared to just 4% in 2005. Invide comprehensive guide-
Au Contraire!
the first six weeks of 2007 lines to deal with an evolving
The recent splurge in PE this figure has risen sharply,
private equity driven sce-
deals has raised certain con- with 70% of announced pri- nario. This event has accen-
cerns about the implications vate equity buyouts having tuated the need for the regu-
of the unchecked growth of multiple bids. lators to come up with more
PE in India. The RBI has ex-
The structure of PE detailed guidelines to ad-
pressed concern over the
funds, demands that PE fund dress private equity related
impact of higher leveraging
managers need to generate transactions.
by PEs on long term sustain-
ability.
A major concern is
the disproportionate rise in
the valuations of PE deals.
Conservatively, a deal at
EBITDA of 5-6.5 is consid-
ered modest with anything
above 7 considered high.
This is indicative of a broad
payback period of 5-6 years
through operating profits.
However, the race for acqui-
sitions has seen this number
Historically, it has
comfortably exceed 7. In around 30% returns on an been seen that the deal sizes
other words, PE companies annual basis to justify the and valuations rise towards
have increased the number high management fees they the end of the bull-run cycle.
of years to achieve payback charge. Industry observers There is a fear that PE funds,
from current operations. Thus reckon that PE funds charge both globally and in India
with valuation parameters around 1-1.5% of the asset may just be approaching that
climbing, the need to gener- size as management fee and stage. The real test is when
ate profits, that too in a an extra 20% on investment the PE companies try and
shorter time frame, in- gains. A study showed that take these companies public
creases. This may also lead on deducting huge manage- again or try and sell for cash-
to PE funds taking drastic ment fees, PE fund returns ing out. But if all companies
actions to increase profitabil- are actually lower than that try and sell out or take com-
ity. of the benchmark S&P 500 panies to the public market,
The increase in index, raising concerns the downward pressure may
valuations is also, in part, due about the extent to which kill the market.
to selling companies taking these funds will go to meet
advantage of a competitive these targets. PE funds may
scenario and encouraging see companies going under
multiple bids. The buyout when the companies are
IIMK Newsletter 18
BUZZ @ K An in-depth coverage of all the recent events and programs at IIMK
Committee News great enthusiasm from stu- also organized a formal non-
dents of both batches. credit course on entrepre-
Alumni Committee True to its tradition, the neurship for second year
The Alumni Committee man- Backwaters committee is students. The course was
ages the widespread alumni also responsible for organiz- taken by Prof. Sunil Handa –
network of the Indian Institute ing all celebrations on Kam- Professor of Entrepreneur-
of Management, Kozhikode. pus including Janamashtami, ship, IIM Ahmedabad.
This past summer witnessed Diwali, Holi, Navratri etc. SPIC MACAY
Sangam‟07, the annual Entrepreneurship Cell SPIC MACAY aims at intro-
alumni-fresher‟s meet, which
The eCell at IIM Kozhikode ducing traditional Indian cul-
was held across the six cities
has been fairly active this ture to the youth of this
of Delhi, Mumbai, Calcutta,
year, after a long hiatus. country with a hope that the
Chennai, Bangalore and Hy-
There have been two events beauty, grace and wisdom
derabad. With the best loca-
conducted till date, with 3 embodied in it will become
tions and a great turnout from
more in the immediate pipe- an integral part of their lives.
the alumni, Sangam'07 ex-
line. The SPIC MACAY
ceeded all expectations.
January would bring in Nostal- The eCell kicked off Sub chapter at IIM Kozhi-
gia'08, the annual alumni the year by organizing a kode has been an active
meet, held on the campus in seminar by an IIMK alumnus, member of this wonderful
Kozhikode. This meet would Mr. Nagesh Banchhor - foun- initiative and has played host
truly be nostalgic, with the der director of ProC Educa- to a number of events. Some
alumni coming back to cam- tion. He spoke about the of the eminent artists who
pus, meeting the faculty and challenges involved in start- have left an indelible impres-
getting a taste of Kerala ing a new venture and vari- sion among the students in
again. Clubbing it with Back- ous steps to make sure that the past include Padmab-
waters would increase student one remained focused on hushan Smt. N Rajam, Sri
-alumni interaction, as well as one‟s goals. Kadri Gopalnath, Smt.
allow the alumni to relive the Aswini Bhide Deshpande,
This was followed by
moments from the cultural Shri Shashank, Dr. L Subra-
a workshop on “Preparing a
festival of IIMK. maniam, Smt. Sujatha
Business Plan” by another
Mishra etc.
Backwaters Committee alumnus, Mr. Mohit Malik of
Anoova Consulting. Mr.Malik The targets set for
Apart from Backwaters, the
gave students insights on this year include continuing
committee also conducted two
different elements of making the recently launched news-
other major events on campus
a proper business plan. He letter „TW2‟, organizing cele-
to kick-start the year, namely
was accompanied by Mr. brations during festivals with
“Roobaroo” – an induction
Rishi Das of Careernet Con- the help of the Backwaters
programme held for the jun-
sulting, who, among other committee. These would
iors at the start of the aca-
things, also spoke about the include Ganesh Chaturthi,
demic year and “Konnect” –
people issues involved in a Navratri and Diwali. The
the inter-hostel cultural com-
growing company. SPIC MACAY Sub Chapter
petition. “Roobaroo 2007”,
at IIMK also plans to hold
organized around the theme The eCell is hosting
four concerts for this aca-
“Greek Mythology” was an an internal Business plan
demic year in addition to two
immediate success and a competition for the students
programs from artists within
great start to the year. This of IIMK which would be
the IIMK community.
was soon followed by judged by distinguished in-
“Konnect” which garnered dustrial leaders. eCell has
IIMK Newsletter 22
AIMS 2007
The technology conclave of IIMK, every year AIMS
identifies a topic that is of immediate interest to the Technol-
pus‟ and the academic excel-
ogy industry and proceeds to dissect it over two days of in-
lence of IIMK as reflected in
tense discussion. Its fifth edition this year, AIMS 2007 is shift-
its student community.
ing its focus to an Industry wide Technology Summit and the
theme this year is "The New Frontiers of Technology: Con- IIMKLIVE is a fea-
sumer Internet, Wireless and Mobile". ture rich website which inte-
grates a content manage-
ment system with a blog, a
forum and a photo gallery.
Also integrated with the site
is Google Apps Education
Edition Service which allows
registered users to utilize the
power and functionality of
Google Apps to collaborate
as an online community and
network with the alumni.
A panel discussion, the highlight of the first day, will The mission of
focus on "A Nation Online - How the Internet is changing our IIMKLIVE is to become the
Everyday Lives". In addition to attracting participants from most popular B-School stu-
over 40 B-schools and Tech colleges, AIMS broadens its dent website in the country.
scope by inviting top 10 IT companies as well.
24 IIMK Newsletter