Professional Documents
Culture Documents
JUNE 2010
DISCLAIMER
Certain statements in this presentation, including statements regarding future results and
performance, are forward‐looking statements within the meaning of securities legislation based on
current expectations. The accuracy of such statements is subject to a number of risks, uncertainties
and assumptions that may cause actual results to differ materially from those projected, including,
but not limited to, the effect of general economic conditions, decreases in demand for the
Company’s products, the prices and availability of raw materials, changes in the relative values of
certain currencies, fluctuations in selling prices and adverse changes in general market and industry
conditions. This presentation also includes price indices as well as variance and sensitivity analyses
that are intended to provide the reader with a better understanding of the trends related to our
business activities. These items are based on the best estimates available to the Company.
The financial information included in this presentation also contains certain data that are not
measures of performance under Canadian GAAP (“non‐GAAP measures”). For example, the
Company uses earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) because it is
the measure used by management to assess the operating and financial performance of the
Company’s operating segments. Such information is reconciled to the most directly comparable
financial measures, as set forth in the “Supplemental Information on Non‐GAAP Measures” section
of our Annual Report.
Specific items are defined as items such as charges for impairment of assets, for facility or machine
closures, debt restructuring charges, gains or losses on sales of business units, unrealized gains or
losses on derivative financial instruments that do not qualify for hedge accounting, foreign
exchange gains or losses on long‐term debt and other significant items of an unusual or non‐
recurring nature.
2
KEY INVESTMENT MERITS
Improving selling price – raw material cost spread
Attractive valuation
Favorable business conditions
Leader in green packaging & tissue
3
COMPANY OVERVIEW
4
BALANCED PACKAGING AND TISSUE PLAY
($ in millions)
Cascades
LTM Q1 2010 Sales: $3,849
LTM Q1 2010 EBITDA: $436
Packaging Tissue Papers
79% of Sales 21% of Sales
71% EBITDA 29% EBITDA
Leading North American packaging and tissue manufacturer with
substantial recycling capabilities
EBITDA excluding specific items. Breakdown of sales and EBITDA before eliminations.
5
BALANCED PACKAGING AND TISSUE PLAY
100+ business units
19 units
May be sent to
34 units
recycling centers
66 units
Evolving to a closed‐loop business model that offers a variety of green products
1Includes the 6 manufacturing/converting tissue papers units and 7 Reno de Medici’s units.
6
LEADING MARKET POSITIONS
One of two North American public companies in packaging & tissue
Leverage to 4 million tons (74 % recycled)
PACKAGING
• Global leader in coated recycled boxboard
• 2nd in Europe1
• 3rd in North America
• #1 North American Quick‐service‐restaurant carton and cup producer (Dopaco)
• #1 Canadian containerboard producer (Norampac)
• #1 Canadian recycled fine paper producer
• #1 Canadian recycled paper collector
TISSUE
• Co‐leader in Canada and 4th largest in North America
• #1 “green” tissue papers retail brand in Canada
Leading market positions complement our upstream recycling operations
1Includes the 6 manufacturing/converting tissue papers units and 7 Reno de Medici’s units.
7
MARKET REVIEW
8
NORTH AMERICAN BOXBOARD SECTOR
('000 s.t.) U.S. folding coated recycled boxboard industry
production and capacity utilization rate
190 105%
180 100%
170 95%
160 90%
150 85%
140 80%
130 75%
120 70%
Jan 08Apr 08July 08Oct 08Jan 09Apr 09July 09Oct 09 Jan 10Apr 10
Total Production Capacity utilization rate
Steady demand supporting recent price increase
Source: RISI.
Capacity utilization rate estimated by Cascades. 9
EUROPEAN BOXBOARD SECTOR
(m.t.) Coated virgin boxboard order inflow (FBB)1
(m.t.) Coated recycled boxboard order inflow (WLC)1
70 000 60 000
55 000
60 000 50 000
50 000 45 000
40 000
40 000 35 000
30 000 30 000
25 000
20 000 20 000
1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52
2008 2009 2010 (weeks) 2008 2009 2010 (weeks)
The European boxboard industry weathered the storm in 2009
and is now up to a sharp rebound in 2010
Source: CEPI Cartonboard.
¹ 5‐week weekly moving average 10
CONTAINERBOARD SECTOR
Strong demand and low inventories leading to selling price momentum
Source: Fibre Box Association and RISI.
11
TISSUE SECTOR
('000 U.S. tissue paper industry production (parent rolls) and
Retail U.S. tissue paper industry Away‐f‐home
s.t.) capacity utilization rate
700 98% ('000 s.t.) converted product shipments ('000 s.t.)
500 350
675 96% 475 325
650 94% 450 300
425 275
625 92%
400 250
600 90% 375 225
575 88% 350 200
325 175
550 86%
300 150
Jan 08 Apr 08 July 08 Oct 08 Jan 09 Apr 09 July 09 Oct 09 Jan 10
Jan 08 Apr 08 July 08 Oct 08 Jan 09 Apr 09 July 09 Oct 09 Jan 10
Total parent roll production Capacity utilization rate
For the retail market For the away‐from‐home market
Despite a competitive retail sector, tissue market remains balanced
Source: RISI.
12
UPWARD SELLING PRICES
Market Reference Prices
(US$/ton) (€/tonne)
1050
1550
1000
1350 950
900
1150
850
950 800
750
750 700
650
550
600
350 550
Jan 07 July 07 Jan 08 July 08 Jan 09 July 09 Jan 10
Linerboard C. recycled boxboard N.A.
C. virgin boxboard N.A. Kraft paper
Fine paper Recycled tissue p. (parent r.)
C. virgin boxboard Europe C. recycled boxboard Europe
Prices are now starting to move higher in all segments
Source: RISI and EUWID
13
RAW MATERIAL PRICES
($US/ton) North American Recycled fibre prices
(in $US)
(‘000 s.t.)
250 228
225 OCC (avrg. NY, Chicago)
SOP (avrg. NY, Chicago) 198
200
180
175
150
129
125
100
75
50
25
0
Mar 09
Mar 10
Apr 08
May 08
Apr 09
May 09
Apr 10
May 10
June 08
July 08
Aug 08
Sept 08
Oct 08
Nov 08
Dec 08
Jan 09
Feb 09
June 09
July 09
Aug 09
Sept 09
Oct 09
Nov 09
Dec 09
Jan 10
Feb 10
OCC prices have once again peaked in March;
OCC & SOP down 30‐50 US$ in the past 2 months
Source: RISI
OCC: Old corrugated containers. SOP: Sorted office papers. Average of NY and Chicago regions. 14
FINANCIAL SUMMARY
15
SUMMARY OF FINANCIAL RESULTS
2008 2009 2010
Q2 2008
Q3 2008
Q4 2008
Q1 2009
Q2 2009
Q3 2009
Q4 2009
Q1 2010
Q1 2008
Q2 2008
Q3 2008
Q4 2008
Q1 2009
Q2 2009
Q3 2009
Q4 2009
Q1 2010
EBITDA EBITDA/Sales
Cash flows (adjusted) from operations Cash flows/Sales
As expected, short‐term pressure on results in Q1
16
Q1 2010 – Q4 2009 EBITDA VARIANCE
(M$)
160
140
60
40
20
Q4 2009 Cost Shipments Energy costs Selling price & Variation of the Raw material Q1 2010
EBIT DA improvements mix CAN$ costs EBIT DA
& other items
Containerboard 30 5 0 1 0 2 (10) 28
Boxboard 33 3 2 (1) (2) (5) (7) 23
Specialty products 19 (1) 0 0 1 (2) 1 18
Tissue 35 2 (3) (2) (5) 0 (8) 19
Corporate (7) 0 0 0 0 (3) 0 (10)
Consolidated 110 9 (1) (2) (6) (8) (24) 78
Higher energy and raw material costs, stronger CAN$, unfavourable
sales mix and seasonality impacted our Q1 EBITDA
EBITDA excluding specific items
17
KEY PERFORMANCE INDICATORS (KPIs)
Total shipments & Manufacturing capacity
('000 s.t.)
utilization rate
1000 95%
900 93%
800 91%
700 364 386 89%
350 341
600 390 352 332 348 87%
360
500 85%
400 83%
300 511
502
81%
467 499 433 457 467
200 427 411 79%
100 77%
0 75%
Q1 2008
Q2 2008
Q3 2008
Q4 2008
Q1 2009
Q2 2009
Q3 2009
Q4 2009
Q1 2010
Converting shipments
Manufacturing shipments
Manufacturing capacity utilization rate
Steady pickup in manufacturing shipments;
Converting operations impacted by seasonality
18
BALANCE SHEET & KEY FINANCIAL RATIOS
2008 2009 2010
Year Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Year Q1
Q2 2008
Q3 2008
Q4 2008
Q1 2009
Q2 2009
Q3 2009
Q4 2009
Q1 2010
Q1 2008
Q2 2008
Q3 2008
Q4 2008
Q1 2009
Q2 2009
Q3 2009
Q4 2009
Q1 2010
Q1 2008
Q2 2008
Q3 2008
Q4 2008
Q1 2009
Q2 2009
Q3 2009
Q4 2009
Q1 2010
Improvement in all debt ratios relative to Q1 2009
* Includes $97 M of net debt from unrestricted subsidiaries and JVs in Q1 2010.
19
RECENT NOTES REFINANCING
(M CAN$) Long‐term debt repayment schedule
1 200
6.75% / 7.25%
1 000
800
600 7.75%
400
7.875%
7.75%
200
0
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Sept. 30, 2009 March 31, 2010
Improving debt profile by extending debt maturities
20
CONCLUDING REMARKS
21
SECOND QUARTER OUTLOOK
Business conditions are improving in all sectors
22
SECOND QUARTER OUTLOOK
Segment Capacity/leverage Announced effective date Announced Potential Increase
Boxboard North Recycled board 223,000 s.t. January 30 US$/s.t.
America April 45 US$/s.t.
Virgin board 159,000 s.t. April 50 US$/s.t.
Boxboard Recycled board 375,000 s.t. February 55 €/s.t.
Europe June 55 €/s.t.
Virgin board 223,000 s.t. February 83 €/s.t.
June 88 €/s.t.
Containerboard North America 1,115,000 s.t January 50 US$/s.t.
April 60 US$/s.t.
Europe 155,000 s.t. February 33 €/s.t.
April 33 €/s.t.
Specialty Fine papers 145,000 s.t. March 40 US$/s.t.
products Kraft papers 110,000 s.t. February 40 US$/s.t.
April 60 US$/s.t.
Uncoated board 103,000 s.t. February 30 US$/s.t.
May 20 US$/s.t.
Tissue papers Parent rolls 235,000 s.t. March 50 US$/s.t.
June 50 US$/s.t.
AfH Canada 110 M CAN$ June Up to 8%
AfH U.S. 225 M CAN$ June Up to 11%
700
1,500
EBITDA
$78 M
600
1,400
EBITDA
EBITDA EBITDA $110 M
500
$107 M EBITDA $127 M
1,300 $121 M
400
1,200
300
1,100 200
Q1 2008
Q2 2008
Q3 2008
Q4 2008
Q1 2009
Q2 2009
Q3 2009
Q4 2009
Q1 2010
Selling prices index (US$) Raw materials index (US$);
Cascades should benefit from an improved spread
24
STOCK VALUATION
LTM
EBITDA
400 436 475
EV/EBITDA 4.7 5.04 $ 6.78 $ 8.67 $
Multiple 5.0 6.27 $ 8.13 $ 10.14 $
5.4 7.92 $ 9.93 $ 12.10 $
5.8 9.57 $ 11.72 $ 14.06 $
6.2 11.22 $ 13.52 $ 16.01 $
Considering an investment value in Boralex of 1.20$/share,
Cascades is currently trading at only 4.7x EV/LTM EBITDA
As of June 1, 2010.
25
STOCK VALUATION
EV/12M Forward EBITDA
11
Cascades Average discount to peers: (1.0x)
10 Current: 4.9x Current discount to peers: (1.5x)
Average: 6.3x
9
4
CAS PKG RKT SON KMB PTV IP
3
May 05
May 06
May 07
May 08
May 09
May 10
July 05
Nov 05
Mar 06
July 06
Nov 06
Mar 07
July 07
Nov 07
Mar 08
July 08
Nov 08
Mar 09
July 09
Nov 09
Mar 10
Jan 06
Jan 07
Jan 08
Jan 09
Jan 10
Sept 05
Sept 06
Sept 07
Sept 08
Sept 09
Considering Boralex, Cascades is currently trading
at only 4.9x EV/12M Forward EBITDA, a 1.6x discount to peers
Source: Bloomberg, Thomson One and National Bank Financial.
26
VALUE CREATION THROUGH FOCUS ON ROA
*
Return on assets % of assets
(average
2008 2009 Q1 2010 assets
2009)
Continuous focus on ROA to reach 15% within 3 to 5 years
Return on assets is a non‐GAAP measure and is defined as: LTM EBITDA excluding specific items/ LTM Average of total quarterly assets.
27
APPENDICES
28
SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS
Shipments/Consumption ('000 tons, OIBD impact (in
'000 mm Btu for natural gas) CHANGE millions of CAN$)
1‐ SELLING PRICE NORTH AMERICA
BOXBOARD 499 25$ / ST 13
CONTAINERBOARD 1 062 25$ / ST 28
SPECIALTY (paper only) 444 25$ / ST 12
TISSUE 459 25$ / ST 12
EUROPE
BOXBOARD 525 25$ / ST 20
CONTAINERBOARD 153 25$ / ST 6
2‐ RAW MATERIALS NORTH AMERICA
RECYCLED PAPERS Brown grades (OCC and others) 1 208 15$ / ST (19)
Groundwood grades (ONP and others) 134 15$ / ST (2)
White grades (SOP and others) 650 15$ / ST (10)
EUROPE
Brown grades (OCC and others) 242 15€ / ST (5)
Groundwood grades (ONP and others) 118 15€ / ST (3)
White grades (SOP and others) 152 15€ / ST (3)
COMMERCIAL PULP NORTH AMERICA 184 30 $ / ST (6)
EUROPE 79 30 € / ST (4)
3‐ NATURAL GAS NORTH AMERICA 8 692 1,00 $ (9)
EUROPE 3 036 1,00 € (5)
As of December 31, 2009.
29
HEDGING PORTFOLIO
1. Cash flow USD, net exposure including interest:
• 2010 (8 months): US$ 56 M @ $1.21 (59% of exposure)
• 2011: US$ 47.5 M @ $1.15 (30% of exposure)
2. USD long‐term debt:
• 2013 forward contracts for $360 M (40%) @ $1.19
3. Natural gas:
• Canada:
• 2010: 63% at 6.31 CAN$/GJ
• 2011: 41% at 7.12 CAN$/GJ
• 2012: 32% at 7.02 CAN$/GJ
• U.S.:
• 2010: 56% at 6.89 US$/mmBtu
• 2011: 41% at 7.40 US$/mmBtu
• 2012: 23% at 7.88 US$/mmBtu
Lower business risk by managing financial risk
30
GEOGRAPHIC AND PRODUCT DIVERSITY
Capacity (in 000’s) 1
Boxboard
Mill 2 993 ST
Converting 289 ST
Containerboard
Mill 1,270 ST
Converting 12,996 MSF
Specialty Products
Industrial Packaging 387 MT or SQ FT
Consumer Packaging 44,000 KG
Specialty Paper 596 ST
Recovery and Recycling 1,500 ST
Tissue Paper
Mill 664 ST
Converting n/a
14% 15%
35%
Canada
46%
United States
Europe 39%
51%
1Theoretical capacity. Boxboard and containerboard converting capacity represents 2008 shipments. 2Including our share of Reno de Medici S.p.A.
2006: Implementation of several restructuring measures in our fine paper operations
Acquisition of Domtar’s 50% stake in Norampac
Acquisition of recycled boxboard assets (Simkins, Caraustar)
Sale of our fine papers distribution assets
Closure of our pulp mill and sawmill
2007: Sale of our interest in two boxboard converting joint ventures
Sale of Red Rock, Ontario containerboard mill and Thunder Bay, Ontario fine
papers mill
2008: Merger of our European recycled boxboard assets with Reno de Medici S.p.A
Closure of Toronto, Ontario recycled boxboard mill
Sale of our Greenfield, France deinked pulp mill
2009: Acquisition of Atlantic Packaging’s tissue paper assets
Acquisition of Yorkshire Paper Corporation and Sonoco’s Canadian
Recycling Operations
Proactively adjusting asset base to reduce costs, improve financial flexibility and
redeploy capital towards core segments
32
INVESTMENTS WITH STRONG POTENTIAL
Strong growth & turnaround stories currently worth +/‐ $1.55 per CAS share
* As of June 1, 2010.
33
RELATIVELY STABLE END MARKET EXPOSURE
U.S. Corrugated Box Shipments Industry Breakdown (2007) U.S. Folding Carton Industry Breakdown (2008)
Transportation Others
Durable goods Beverages
1% 14%
13% 20%
Durable goods
Other non 4%
durables
7% Other non
Food products durables
Chemicals, 44% 9%
rubber and
petroleum Health & Beauty Dry food
products Care 22%
11% 10%
Paper and
printing F ro ze n/ pe ris h
a ble f o o d
products 2 1%
24% U.S. Tissue Paper Products Shipments Industry Breakdown (2009)
Away‐from‐
home
31%
Retail (at home)
69%
Similar to industry, Cascades’ sales are mostly exposed to
less cyclical end‐use markets
Source: Fiber Box Association, Paper Packaging Council and RISI.
34
CONTAINERBOARD SECTOR
(M MSF) Canadian Corrugated box industry shipments
(s.t.) Canadian containerboard inventories at box plants and
3.00 15%
mills
2.80 10% 150,000
2.60 5% 140,000
0%
2.40 130,000
‐5%
2.20 ‐10% 120,000
2.00 ‐15% 110,000
1.80 ‐20% 100,000
Jan 08 Apr 08July 08Oct 08 Jan 09 Apr 09July 09Oct 09Jan 10 Jan Apr July Oct Jan Apr July Oct Jan
Shipments Annual change 08 08 08 08 09 09 09 09 10
Containerboard markets continue to improve
Source: Paper Packaging Canada
35
CANADIAN LEADER IN PAPER RECOVERY
• Major Regions: BC, Alberta, Ontario, Manitoba, Quebec, New York State
• Annual brokerage and processing capacity: around 1.8 million short tons
Proactively managing raw material supply
36
NORTH AMERICAN RECYCLED FIBRE SUPPLY
2008 2009
Converting Converting
plants Cascades Brokers plants Cascades
Brokers
4% Recuperation 13% 5% Recuperation
19%
& Metro & Metro
Waste Waste
31% 32%
Contractual Contractual
agreements agreements
46% 50%
Control over 87% of our fibre supply
37
PIONEER OF SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT
2.5 million short tons of recycled fibres (consumption)
Continuous reduction in energy consumption & GHG emissions
Relative Water Consumption1 Relative GHG Emissions1
(kg/metric (kg/metric
tonne) tonne)
11.0 300
286
10.5 268
260
10.0
10.0
9.7
220
189
9.0 180
2007 2008 2009 2007 2008 2009
12007 and 2008 data includes the two recycled boxboard mills that were transferred to Reno De Medici in March 2008. All the data excludes our
participation in Reno De Medici S.p.A. 38
LEADING MARKET POSITIONS
58 40 36 8%
60
7%
30 6%
40 36 6.1% 5%
20 16 5.0% 4%
10 3%
20 16
10 2%
2.9%
2.5%
1%
0 0 0%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2006 2007 2008 2009
Sales
Canadian retail market shares of Cascades
tissue paper brand (Bathroom tissue papers)
Right product offering to benefit from the “green” demand
Source: ACNielsen (MarketTrack).
39
RECENT RATING OUTLOOK UPGRADES
Moody’s Standard &
Poor’s
"This outlook revision reflects recent improvement in credit metrics and our expectations that Cascades'
profitability will improve in the next 12 months," Standard & Poor's credit analyst Jatinder Mall
“Cascades’ outlook revision reflects the company’s improved operating and financial performance, with
the expectation that the company’s performance will be sustained as economic conditions improve in the
next 12 months," Moody’s Vice President ‐ Senior Analyst Ed Sustar
S&P and Moody’s have recently upgraded Cascades’ rating outlook to stable
40
COGS BREAKDOWN
67%
While raw material price is a major factor,
efficiencies are being implemented in the remaining 67% of costs
Note: 2009 Yearly data
41
SEGMENTED EBITDA
(M CAN$) Boxboard (% of sales) Containerboard
(M CAN$) (% of sales)
33
35 32 12.0% 45 18.0%
26 41
30 10.0% 38
24 23 40 37
25 8.0% 36
15.0%
20 35 32
6.0% 30 31 30
15 10 11 30
9 4.0% 28
10 12.0%
3 2.0% 25
5
0 0.0% 20 9.0%
Q1 2008
Q2 2008
Q3 2008
Q4 2008
Q1 2009
Q2 2009
Q3 2009
Q4 2009
Q1 2010
Q1 2008
Q2 2008
Q3 2008
Q4 2008
Q1 2009
Q2 2009
Q3 2009
Q4 2009
Q1 2010
Specialty products (M CAN$) Tissue papers (% of sales)
(M CAN$) (% of sales) 42
25 21 22 22 12.0% 45 41 39 38 22.0%
20 19 18 40
35 19.0%
20 10.0% 35
15 30 16.0%
15 13 8.0% 25 22
9 19 13.0%
20 15
10 6.0%
15 12 10.0%
5 4.0% 10 7.0%
5
0 2.0% 0 4.0%
Q1 2008
Q2 2008
Q3 2008
Q4 2008
Q1 2009
Q2 2009
Q3 2009
Q4 2009
Q1 2010
Q1 2008
Q2 2008
Q3 2008
Q4 2008
Q1 2009
Q2 2009
Q3 2009
Q4 2009
Q1 2010
EBITDA excluding specific items. 42
KEY PERFORMANCE INDICATORS (KPIs)
Financial
LTM Return on assets (%) 7.8% 8.9% 10.4% 11.4% 11.9% 11.9% 11.4%
Working capital
In millions of $ 664 662 645 593 552 552 548
% LTM of sales 16.5% 16.4% 16.1% 15.0% 14.2% 14.2% 14.6%
Volumes up 3% vs. Q4 2009 and 12%* vs. Q1 2008
Capacity utilization rate reaching its best level since 2007
*Excluding the acquisition of Atlantic Packaging’s tissue assets
43
Q1 2010 – Q1 2009 EBITDA VARIANCE
(M$)
180
6 24
23
160
27 30
140
120
107 31
100
78
80
60
40
20
Q1 2009 Cost Shipments Energy costs Variation of the Raw material Selling price & Q1 2010
EBIT DA improvements CAN$ costs mix EBIT DA
& other items
Containerboard 36 10 10 3 (2) (15) (14) 28
Boxboard 24 15 4 3 (6) (9) (8) 23
Specialty products 13 3 4 1 (7) 6 (2) 18
Tissue 39 0 5 (1) (5) (12) (7) 19
Corporate (5) (1) 0 0 (4) 0 0 (10)
Consolidated 107 27 23 6 (24) (30) (31) 78
Y‐o‐Y, improved cost structure and volumes more than offset by
higher raw material costs & CAN$, lower average selling prices
EBITDA excluding specific items 44
CASH FLOW OVERVIEW
2008 2009 2010
(in millions of CAN$) Year Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Year Q1
Q1 2008
Q2 2008
Q3 2008
Q4 2008
Q1 2009
Q2 2009
Q3 2009
Q4 2009
Q1 2010
Q 1 2 0 0 8
Q 2 2 0 0 8
Q 3 2 0 0 8
Q 4 2 0 0 8
Q 1 2 0 0 9
Q 2 2 0 0 9
Q 3 2 0 0 9
Q 4 2 0 0 9
Q1 2010
Free cash flow Free cash flow yield
$122M of free cash flow generated over the last twelve months
Free cash flow yield is defined as LTM FCF per share / share price end of period
45
NET DEBT RECONCILIATION
(M$)
2,000
36 6 (21) (33)
1,750 185 (37)
(161)
1,533
1,508*
1,500
1,250
1,000
Net debt down $25 million in Q1 and current availability**
Current availability** of approximately $375 M on credit facilit
of approximately $350 M on credit facilities ies
* Includes $97 M of net debt from unrestricted subsidiaries and joint ventures.
** $435 M drawn from the credit facility and $24 M in letters of credit. Credit Agreement Borrowing Base amounts to $812M on a authorized amount of $850M. 46
PACKAGING ‐ BOXBOARD
Boxboard Cascades' average manufacturing selling price ‐ North
(% of sales) ($) (€)
(M CAN$) 33 America & Europe
35 12.0% 840 570
32 26
30 10.0% 800 560
24 23
25 8.0% 760 550
20
6.0% 720 540
15 9 10 11
10 4.0% 680 530
3
5 2.0% 640 520
0 0.0% 600 510
Q1 2008
Q2 2008
Q3 2008
Q4 2008
Q1 2009
Q2 2009
Q3 2009
Q4 2009
Q1 2010
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
2008 2008 2008 2008 2009 2009 2009 2009 2010
Average price N.A. (US$/s.t.)
Average price N.A. (CAN$/s.t.)
Total shipments & Manufacturing capacity Average price Europe (€/s.t.)
('000 s.t.) utilization rate
Cascades' converting price
500 100%
2800
95%
400 2600
90%
300 70 68 65 66 85%
74 73 67 67 2400
68 80%
200 75% 2200
253 268 280
233 240 249 255 252 70% 2000
100 201
65% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
0 60% 2008 2008 2008 2008 2009 2009 2009 2009 2010
2008
2008
2008
2008
2009
2009
2009
2009
2010
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
47
PACKAGING ‐ CONTAINERBOARD
(M CAN$) Containerboard (% of sales) Cascades' average manufacturing price
650
45 18.0%
41
38 600
40 37 36
15.0% 550
35 32
30 31 30
30 28 500
12.0%
25 450
Q2 2008
Q3 2008
Q4 2008
Q1 2009
Q2 2009
Q3 2009
Q4 2009
Q1 2010
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
2008 2008 2008 2008 2009 2009 2009 2009 2010
325 100% 80
3,4
90%
300 75
80% 3,1
275
70
70%
250 2,8
60% 65
225 50%
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2,5 60
2008 2008 2008 2008 2009 2009 2009 2009 2010 Q1 2008 Q2 2008 Q3 2008 Q4 2008 Q1 2009 Q2 2009 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010
Manufacturing shipments ('000 s.t.) Converting shipments (Billion sq.ft.) Average price (US$/s.t.)
Capacity utilization rate (%) Average price (CAN$/s.t.)
48
MARKET PRICE AND COST SUMMARY
Change Change
Q1 2010 Q1 2010 Q1 2010 Q1 2010
2008 2009 2010 Q1 2009 Q1 2009 Q4 2009 Q4 2009
These indexes should only be used as indicator of trends and Average Average Average Average Average Average Average
they be different than our actual selling prices or purchasing Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
costs. (unit) (%) (unit) (%)
Selling prices
Cascades North American US$ index
(index 2003 = 1,000) 1,500 1,487 1,427 1,412 1,417 1,436 1,496 9 1% 79 6%
PACKAGING
Boxboard
North America (US$/ton)
Recycled boxboard - 20pt. Clay coated news (transaction) 764 768 745 743 759 754 790 22 3% 31 4%
Europe (Euro/tonne)
Recycled white-lined chipboard (GD2) index 649 628 603 590 585 601 590 -38 -6% 5 1%
Virgin coated duplex boxboard (GC2) index 985 984 975 962 952 968 973 -11 -1% 21 2%
Containerboard (US$/ton)
Linerboard 42-lb. unbleached kraft, East US (transaction) 582 578 543 537 530 547 580 2 0% 50 9%
Corrugating medium 26-lb. Semichemical,
East U.S. (transaction) 561 548 513 507 500 517 550 2 0% 50 10%
Specialty products
(US$/ton, tonne for deinked pulp)
Recycled boxboard - 20pt. Bending chip (transaction) 601 600 555 548 555 565 575 -25 -4% 20 4%
Deinked pulp
(f.o.b; U.S. air-dried & wet-lap, post-consumer) 740 585 570 595 653 601 708 123 21% 55 8%
Unbleached kraft paper, Grocery bag 30-lb. 958 937 920 920 927 926 960 23 2% 33 4%
Uncoated white 50-lb. offset, rolls 914 897 845 822 855 855 868 -29 -3% 13 2%
TISSUE PAPERS
Cascades Tissue papers (index 1999 = 1,000) 1,581 1,615 1,628 1,605 1,628 1,617 1,617 2 0% -11 -1%
Raw materials
Cascades North American US$ index
(index 2003 = 300) 492 268 286 364 420 334 553 285 106% 133 32%
RECYCLED PAPER
North America (US$/ton)
Corrugated containers, no. 11
(OCC - Chicago & NY average) 98 27 45 77 75 56 149 122 452% 74 99%
Special news, no. 8 (ONP - Chicago & NY average) 115 32 45 65 83 56 90 58 181% 7 8%
Sorted office papers, no. 37 (SOP - Chicago & NY average) 188 90 90 125 174 120 225 135 150% 51 29%
Europe (Euro/tonne)
Recovered mixed paper & board sorted index 55 12 21 35 44 28 72 60 500% 28 64%
VIRGIN PULP (US$/tonne)
Bleached softwood kraft Northern, East U.S. 857 677 643 733 820 718 880 203 30% 60 7%
Bleached hardwood kraft Northern mixed,
East U.S. 788 595 532 603 706 609 776 181 30% 70 10%
WOODCHIPS – Conifer eastern Canada (US$/odmt) 132 111 118 124 131 121 125 14 13% -6 -5%
Source: RISI, Random Lengths and Cascades.
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NOTES
1. The Cascades North American selling prices index represents an approximation of Cascades’ manufacturing (excluding converted products)
selling prices in North America. It is weighted according to shipments. It takes into account some of the main Cascades products for which prices
are available in Pulp & Paper Week magazine and the Cascades Tissue Index. This index should only be used as a trend indicator as it may differ
from our actual selling prices and our product mix. The only non‐manufacturing prices taken into account in the index are the tissue prices. In
fact, the tissue pricing indicator, which is blended in the Cascades North American selling prices index, is the Cascades Tissue paper selling prices
index which represents a mix of primary and converted products.
2. The Cascades North American raw materials index represents the average weighted cost paid for some of our manufacturing raw materials
namely, recycled fiber, virgin pulp and woodchips in North America. It is weighted according to the volume of purchase (in tons). This index
should only be used as an a trend indicator and it may differ from our actual manufacturing purchasing costs and our purchase mix.
3. The capacity utilization rate is defined as: Shipments/Practical capacity. Paper manufacturing only.
4. Return on assets is a non‐GAAP measure and is defined as: LTM EBITDA excluding specific items/ LTM Average of total quarterly assets. It
includes discontinued operations.
5. Working capital includes accounts receivable plus inventories less accounts payable. It excludes an unpaid provision for closure and restructuring
costs. It also excludes the current portion of derivatives financial instruments and the current portion of future taxes liability.
6. The Cascades recycled white‐lined chipboard selling prices index represents an approximation of Cascades’ recycled grades selling prices in
Europe. It is weighted by country. For each country we use an average of PPI and EUWID prices for white‐lined chipboard. Historical prices were
revised by EUWID in August 2008.
7. The Cascades virgin coated duplex boxboard selling prices index represents an approximation of Cascades’ virgin grades selling prices in Europe.
It is weighted by country. For each country we use an average of PPI and EUWID prices for the coated duplex boxboard. Historical prices were
revised by EUWID in August 2008.
8. The Cascades Tissue paper selling prices index represents a mix of primary and converted products, and is based on the product mix at the end
of 2006.
9. The Cascades recovered mixed paper & board sorted prices index represents an approximation of Cascades’ recovered paper purchase prices in
Europe. It is weighted by country. For each country we use an average of PPI and EUWID prices for the recovered mixed paper & board. This
index should only be used as a trend indicator and it may differ from our actual purchasing costs and our purchase mix.
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For more information:
www.cascades.com/investors
Didier Filion
Director, Investor Relations
didier_filion@cascades.com
514‐282‐2697
CREDIT: IMAGE ECOterre 51