MENA-1 TUESDAY MORNING ROUND-UP EuroMoney is currently conducting its Middle East Research and Best Managed Companies Survey. To vote for EFG hermes, go to www.euromoney.com / MiddleEast2011.
MENA-1 TUESDAY MORNING ROUND-UP EuroMoney is currently conducting its Middle East Research and Best Managed Companies Survey. To vote for EFG hermes, go to www.euromoney.com / MiddleEast2011.
MENA-1 TUESDAY MORNING ROUND-UP EuroMoney is currently conducting its Middle East Research and Best Managed Companies Survey. To vote for EFG hermes, go to www.euromoney.com / MiddleEast2011.
EuroMoney
is
currently
conducting
its
Middle
East
Research
and
Best
Managed
Companies
Survey.
The
EuroMoney
Survey
runs
until
24
June
2011.
To
vote
for
EFG
Hermes,
go
to
www.euromoney.com/MiddleEast2011
Thank
you
for
your
support.
UAE
Abu
Dhabi
consumer
prices
increase
2%
Y-o-Y
in
April
2011
Etisalat
to
spend
AED3
billion
a
year
on
infrastructure
UAE
to
cut
royalty
charges
for
Etisalat
Emaar
Misr
signs
deals
worth
EGP180
million
for
local
projects
DFM
suspends
eight
non-compliant
firms
Kuwait
Jazeera
Airways
reports
1Q2011
full
details
-
ahead
of
our
estimates
28,500
Kuwaiti
citizens
with
KWD1.08
billion
in
debt
ask
for
government
assistance
National
Real
Estate
Company
has
no
current
plans
to
sell
Agility
stake
KIPCO
Asset
Management
to
increase
stake
in
Manafae
Qatar
Qatar
to
start
monthly
T-bill
auctions
from
June
-
a
deepening
in
liquidity
management
Qtel’s
subsidiary
to
pay
bondholders
interest
on
10
June
2011
Nakilat-Keppel
receives
first
QatarGas-chartered
vessel
for
dry
docking
Qatar
Exchange
completes
DVP
implementation
Fitch
assigns
QIIB
IDR
rating
of
A-,
outlook
stable
EFG
Hermes
Research
Emaar
Properties
-
Government
Takeover
of
Dubai
Bank
A
Positive,
Await
Amlak
Resolution;
Maintain
Buy
-
Flash
Note
-
16
May
2011
Agenda
Qatar
Wed
25
May
>>
Vodafone
Qatar
FY2010-‐2011
(March
year
end)
results
Wed
1
June
>>
Al
Khaliji
Commercial
Bank
BOD
meeting
UAE
News
Abu
Dhabi
consumer
prices
increase
2%
Y-o-Y
in
April
2011
Abu
Dhabi
consumer
prices
increased
2%
Y-‐o-‐Y
in
April
2011,
according
to
an
emailed
statement
by
the
Statistics
Centre
of
Abu
Dhabi.
Consumer
prices
fell
0.3%
M-‐o-‐M,
the
statement
said.
(Bloomberg)
Etisalat
to
spend
AED3
billion
a
year
on
infrastructure
Etisalat
(ETEL.AD)
plans
to
spend
around
AED3
billion
annually
for
the
next
five
years
to
develop
infrastructure,
acting
CEO
Naser
bin
Obood
said.
Etisalat
plans
to
sign
infrastructure
sharing
agreement
with
its
competitor
du
(DU.DU)
by
the
end
of
this
year,
he
added.
(Bloomberg)
du:
AED3.22,
Rating:
Buy,
FV:
AED3.66,
MCap:
USD4,011
million,
DU
UH
/
DU.DU
UAE
to
cut
royalty
charges
for
Etisalat
The
UAE
will
cut
royalty
charges
for
Etisalat
(ETEL.AD),
a
top
regulatory
official
said
on
16
May
2011.
No
timescale
was
offered
for
the
reduction
by
the
telecoms
regulator.
Etisalat
pays
half
of
its
profits
in
royalties
to
the
UAE
government.
(Reuters)
Emaar
Misr
signs
deals
worth
EGP180
million
for
local
projects
Emaar
Misr,
a
fully
owned
unit
of
Emaar
Properties
(EMAR.DU),
has
signed
contracts
worth
more
than
EGP180
million
under
which
Arabia
Construction
Co.
will
continue
to
implement
Emaar’s
Uptown
Cairo
project,
Al
Bayan
reported
on
16
May
2011.
(Zawya
Dow
Jones)
DFM
suspends
eight
non-compliant
firms
Dubai
Financial
Market
(DFM)
suspended
trading
in
the
shares
of
eight
foreign
companies
that
missed
the
deadline
to
provide
the
exchange
with
financial
statements
as
per
the
Securities
and
Commodities
Authority
(SCA)
and
DFM
requirements.
The
suspended
companies
are:
Grand
Real
Estate
Co.,
Al
Mazaya
Holding,
Al
Salam
Bank
Bahrain,
International
Financial
Advisors
-‐
IFA,
Agility,
National
Industries
Group,
Ekttitab
Holding
and
Al
Madina
for
Finance
&
Investment.
(Zawya
Dow
Jones)
Kuwait
News
Jazeera
Airways
reports
1Q2011
full
details
-
ahead
of
our
estimates
Jazeera
Airways
(JAZR.KW)
reported
its
1Q2011
full
financials,
with
revenues
of
KWD11.4
million
(up
23%
Y-‐o-‐ Y,
up
6%
Q-‐o-‐Q),
coming
in
ahead
of
our
forecast
of
KWD9.2
million.
We
believe
the
variance
between
the
actual
top
line
and
our
forecast
is
due
to
stronger-‐than-‐expected
yields
achieved
in
1Q2011.
The
carrier’s
yields
continued
to
show
strength,
coming
in
at
KWD35.90
for
1Q2011
(up
41%
Y-‐o-‐Y,
up
17%
Q-‐o-‐Q),
reflecting
the
company’s
success
in
passing
on
higher
fuel
costs
to
passenger
through
surcharges.
Cost
of
sales
of
KWD7.3
million
came
in
line
with
our
forecast
of
KWD7.2
million,
resulting
in
gross
margins
of
36%,
beating
our
forecast
of
22%
due
to
the
stronger
top
line.
EBITDA
of
KWD3.1
million
was
still
ahead
of
our
estimate
of
KWD1.1
million,
despite
SG&A
expenses
coming
in
6%
greater
than
expected.
This
strength
was
reflected
on
the
bottom
line,
which
showed
a
net
income
of
KWD1.03
million
compared
to
our
forecast
that
looked
for
a
net
loss
of
KWD1.5
million
in
1Q2011,
boosted
by
the
strong
top
line
and
lower-‐than-‐expected
finance
costs.
The
bottom
line
was
also
boosted
by
a
positive
FX
contribution
of
KWD0.7
million
during
the
quarter.
We
believe
this
is
an
overall
strong
set
of
results
that
demonstrates
the
success
of
the
carrier’s
restructuring
plan
and
its
ability
to
produce
a
profit
despite
some
challenging
market
conditions
(namely
the
political
events
in
the
region
and
the
high
oil
price
environment).
We
believe
the
carrier
is
likely
to
produce
a
net
profit
for
FY2011.
The
shares
have
had
a
strong
run
following
the
release
of
headline
results
on
3
May
2011,
and
we
think
investors
might
look
to
take
profits
at
these
levels.
(Jazeera
Airways,
Abid
Riaz,
Nadine
Hassouna)
28,500
Kuwaiti
citizens
with
KWD1.08
billion
in
debt
ask
for
government
assistance
According
to
the
Finance
Minister
Mustafa
Al
Shamali,
about
28,500
Kuwaiti
citizens
with
a
combined
debt
of
KWD1.08
billion
have
so
far
applied
for
financial
assistance
from
the
government.
So
far,
12,900
applications
have
been
approved,
while
3,400
applications
were
rejected
and
9,800
applications
were
documented
at
the
Ministry
of
Justice.
(Al
Watan)
National
Real
Estate
Company
has
no
current
plans
to
sell
Agility
stake
National
Real
Estate
Company
(NREC)
[NREK.KW]
said
that
it
has
no
current
plans
to
sell
its
stake
in
Agilility
(AGLTY.KW),
as
it
considers
it
one
of
the
most
important
strategic
investments
for
the
firm.
This
statement
came
in
response
to
a
newspaper
report
that
NREC,
which
owns
22.4%
of
Agility,
was
considering
a
stake
sale
and
had
hired
a
European
bank
to
study
the
matter.
(Al
Watan)
KIPCO
Asset
Management
to
increase
stake
in
Manafae
KIPCO
Asset
Management
Company
(KAMC.KW)
has
applied
to
the
Capital
Market
Authority
to
allow
it
to
raise
its
stake
in
Manafae
Investment
Company
to
100%
from
30.5%.
(Zawya
Dow
Jones)
Qatar
News
Qatar
to
start
monthly
T-bill
auctions
from
June
-
a
deepening
in
liquidity
management
Qatar
Central
Bank
(QCB)
has
said
that
it
will
start
selling
Treasury
bills
(T-‐bills)
from
June
and
plans
to
issue
QAR2
billion
(USD550
million)
each
month.
The
central
bank
will
sell
three-‐month
bills
in
June
and
July,
and
may
consider
different
maturities
in
future
auctions,
according
to
the
QCB
Governor
Sheikh
Abdullah
bin
Saud
Al
Thani.
Widening
monetary
tools;
short-‐term
focus
to
absorb
excess
liquidity:
We
see
the
monthly
issuance
of
T-‐bills
as
a
step
towards
a
deepening
monetary
policy
and
liquidity
management
tools.
In
the
short
term,
we
believe
that
the
focus
will
remain
on
absorbing
excess
liquidity
from
the
banking
sector,
which
has
been
a
trend
since
the
beginning
of
the
year.
Notably,
the
QCB
issued
QAR50
billion
worth
of
local
currency
bonds
to
domestic
banks
in
January.
Liquidity
in
the
banking
system
increased
after
the
Qatar
Investment
Authority
(QIA)
injected
capital
into
a
number
of
DSM-‐listed
banks
in
January
2011,
increasing
their
share
capital
by
10%.
This
was
a
part
of
a
total
20%
capital
injection
announced
in
October
2008,
following
the
global
economic
crisis
to
support
credit
growth
and
funding
the
investment
programme.
Furthermore,
deposit
growth
in
the
Qatari
banking
sector
has
been
well
above
loan
growth
since
the
beginning
of
the
year.
The
more
frequent
and
possibly
greater
issuance
of
T-‐bills
will
have,
in
our
view,
a
slight
positive
impact
on
Qatari
banks’
net
interest
margins,
as
banks
will
be
able
to
earn
higher
asset
yields
on
their
excess
liquidity.
This
is
especially
important
after
the
QCB
in
January
cut
to
0%
the
rate
that
it
pays
on
banks’
deposits
in
excess
of
the
reserve
requirement
as
a
way
to
encourage
a
reduction
in
deposit
rates
in
the
system
so
as
to
avoid
speculative
foreign
deposits.
The
monetary
policy
balancing
act
-‐
growth
and
liquidity:
We
believe
that
the
QCB’s
policy
will
look
to
balance:
1)
supporting
non-‐speculative
private
sector
credit
growth;
and
2)
liquidity
management.
Private
sector
credit
growth
has
started
to
gain
traction,
accelerating
to
10.0%
Y-‐o-‐Y
in
March,
supported
by
the
government-‐led
investment
programme.
The
QCB
reduced
both
benchmark
lending
and
deposit
rates
by
50
basis
points
in
April.
We,
however,
believe
that
the
lending
rate
still
remains
high
despite
the
recent
rate
cut
and
that
there
is
further
room
to
reduce
the
rate,
especially
given
the
benign
inflation
outlook.
Although
absorbing
liquidity,
we
believe
that
the
authorities
will
ensure
that
there
is
ample
liquidity
in
the
banking
system
for
economic
needs.
(Monica
Malik,
Elena
Sanchez)
Qtel’s
subsidiary
to
pay
bondholders
interest
on
10
June
2011
Qtel
International
Finance
Limited
(QIFL),
a
wholly
owned
subsidiary
of
Qatar
Telecom
(Qtel)
[QTEL.QA],
announced
that
it
will
pay
interest
to
bondholders
on
10
June
2011,
the
company
said
in
a
statement
to
the
Qatar
Exchange.
“Pursuant
to
the
terms
and
conditions
of
the
Notes
and
the
Final
Terms,
the
issuer
QIFL
will
pay
its
Global
Medium-‐Term
Note
(GMTN)
holders
interest
of
USD29,250,000
for
guaranteed
notes
due
2014,”
the
company
said
in
a
statement.
The
issuer
will
pay
interest
of
USD23,625,000
also
on
10
June
2011
for
notes
holders
due
2019.
(Qatar
Exchange,
Qatar
News
Agency)
Nakilat-Keppel
receives
first
QatarGas-chartered
vessel
for
dry
docking
Nakilat-‐Keppel
Offshore
&
Marine
(N-‐KOM)
announced
that
it
has
received
the
first
QatarGas-‐chartered
vessel
“Al
Wakrah”
to
dry
dock
at
the
Erhama
Bin
Jaber
Al
Jalahma
Shipyard,
Qatar’s
offshore
and
marine
hub
at
Ras
Laffan
Port.
“Al
Wakrah,
owned
by
Mitsui
OSK
Lines
(MOL)
and
managed
by
MOL
LNG
Transport
Company
(MOLLNG),
will
undergo
general
maintenance
works,
such
as
main
and
generator
turbine
inspections,
cargo
pump
overhauling,
main
switchboard
and
high
voltage
cargo
switchboard
maintenance,
electric
motor
overhauling,
main
boiler
cleaning,
and
hull
painting
at
the
Erhama
Bin
Jaber
Al
Jalahma
Shipyard”,
The
Gulf
Times
reported.
(The
Gulf
Times)
Qatar
Exchange
completes
DVP
implementation
Qatar
Exchange
(QE)
announced
that
it
has
successfully
completed
the
introduction
of
the
full
“delivery
versus
payment”
(DVP)
mechanism,
following
the
first
phase,
which
went
live
in
April
2011,
The
Gulf
Times
reported.
QE
is
the
first
bourse
in
the
region
to
offer
full
DVP.
The
DVP
mechanism
is
a
major
requirement
of
Morgan
Stanley
Capital
International
(MSCI)
to
upgrade
Qatar
to
an
emerging
market
status.
“The
implementation
of
DVP
at
Qatar
Exchange
is
a
major
milestone
in
the
development
of
the
Qatari
marketplace.
It
will
strengthen
the
confidence
of
international
investors
that
Qatar
is
a
safe
and
efficient
market
to
invest
in.
It
is
also
a
major
pre-‐ requisite
prior
to
the
launch
of
other
very
important
business
development
initiatives
in
the
new
products
and
post-‐trade
areas,”
QE’s
CEO,
Andre
Went,
was
quoted
as
saying.
(The
Gulf
Times)
Fitch
assigns
QIIB
IDR
rating
of
A-,
outlook
stable
Fitch
ratings
announced
that
it
has
assigned
Qatar
International
Islamic
Bank
(QIIB)
[QIIB.QA]
a
long-‐term
foreign
currency
Issuer
Default
Rating
(IDR)
of
A-‐,
with
a
stable
outlook.
(Zawya
Dow
Jones)
EFG
Hermes
Research
Emaar
Properties
-
Government
Takeover
of
Dubai
Bank
A
Positive,
Await
Amlak
Resolution;
Maintain
Buy
-
Flash
Note
-
16
May
2011
Non-‐Core
Operation
Off
Emaar’s
Books;
Maintain
Buy:
The
Government
of
Dubai
announced
that
it
has
taken
over
Dubai
Bank
through
a
dilutive
capital
injection
that
will
increase
its
control
to
100%
over
the
bank.
Dubai
Bank
is
30%
and
70%
owned
by
Emaar
Properties
and
Dubai
Holding,
respectively.
We
view
this
development
positively
and
in
line
with
Emaar’s
renewed
focus
on
its
core
property
business.
Emaar’s
financial
associates
have
been
the
source
of
continued
provisioning/impairments
over
previous
quarters.
Hence,
the
exclusion
of
Dubai
Bank
will
positively
impact
future
associate
income,
in
our
view.
We
maintain
our
Buy
rating,
as
our
fair
value
(FV)
of
AED5.15/share
implies
significant
upside
potential.
Insignificant
Impact
on
Valuation,
Some
Impact
on
Income
Statement:
While
we
currently
value
Emaar’s
stake
in
Dubai
Bank
at
AED173
million
(at
a
50%
discount
to
1H2010
book
value),
the
investment
was
subsequently
impaired
in
4Q2011,
taking
the
stated
book
value
of
the
30%
stake
to
AED172.4
million,
in
line
with
our
current
valuation.
Given
the
apparent
complete
dilution
of
both
Emaar’s
and
Dubai
Holdings’
stakes,
a
complete
write-‐ down
of
this
investment
would
decrease
our
FV
by
only
0.6%.
An
investment
write-‐off
of
AED172.4
million
could
be
expected
in
2Q2011.
Our
FY2011
earnings
forecast
would
decrease
to
AED3,355
million
from
the
net
impact
of
the
investment
write-‐off
and
decreased
associate
losses.
Amlak
Finance
Resolution:
A
More
Important
Event
to
Watch:
We
await
a
resolution
to
Amlak
Finance,
a
more
important
issue,
in
our
view,
given
its
AED795
million
and
AED690
million
in
equity
and
debt
exposure,
respectively.
We
will
look
for
more
colour
on
whether
this
transaction
may
be
a
precursor
for
a
resolution
on
Amlak.
We
exclude
Emaar’s
Amlak
exposure
from
our
valuation
and
note
potential
upside
risks
from
the
recovery
of
loans
extended
to
the
company.
While
equity
may
be
significantly
impaired,
loans
to
Amlak
were
paid
down
over
previous
quarters.
(Jad
Abbas)
[Note
–
EFG
Hermes
is
not
responsible
for
the
accuracy
of
news
items
taken
from
other
media.]
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Our
investment
recommendations
take
into
account
both
risk
and
expected
return.
We
base
our
fair
value
estimate
on
a
fundamental
analysis
of
the
company’s
future
prospects,
after
having
taken
perceived
risk
into
consideration.
We
have
conducted
extensive
research
to
arrive
at
our
investment
recommendations
and
fair
value
estimates
for
the
company
or
companies
mentioned
in
this
report.
Although
the
information
in
this
report
has
been
obtained
from
sources
that
EFG
Hermes
believes
to
be
reliable,
we
do
not
guarantee
its
accuracy,
and
such
information
may
be
condensed
or
incomplete.
Readers
should
understand
that
financial
projections,
fair
value
estimates
and
statements
regarding
future
prospects
may
not
be
realized.
All
opinions
and
estimates
included
in
this
report
constitute
our
judgment
as
of
this
date
and
are
subject
to
change
without
notice.
This
research
report
is
prepared
for
general
circulation
and
is
intended
for
general
information
purposes
only.
It
is
not
intended
as
an
offer
or
solicitation
with
respect
to
the
purchase
or
sale
of
any
security.
It
is
not
tailored
to
the
specific
investment
objectives,
financial
situation
or
needs
of
any
specific
person
that
may
receive
this
report.
We
strongly
advise
potential
investors
to
seek
financial
guidance
when
determining
whether
an
investment
is
appropriate
to
their
needs.
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part
of
this
document
may
be
reproduced
without
the
written
permission
of
EFG
Hermes.
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