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Hunger in Pakistan
In 1197 Pakistan population was 137.8 million. The incidence of poverty
in Pakistan is estimated between 30-35% of the population. The
poverty line is sent with reference to daily caloric intake of 2,550
calories per adult, as recommended by the Planning commission. The
incidence of poverty declined from 46.0% of the population in 1984-85
to 37.4% in 1987-88 and 34.0% in 1990-91. In 1990-91, the incidence of
poverty was higher in rural area (36.9%) then in urban area (28.0%).
Poverty line were set at Rs.296 (US$8.40) for monthly per capita
consumption expenditure in rural areas and Rs.334 (US$9.50) for
monthly per capita consumption expenditure in urban area, poverty
based on this method was 31.6% of population below the poverty line
1991. And poverty in rural areas was 33.5% then in urban area is 27.0%.
In Pakistan 65% population live in the rural areas their main profession
is agriculture or agricultural related work. In 1981, 26.2% of population
above 10 years was literate. While in 1981 literacy rate at the age group
15-24 for males was 54.6%. In urban area it was 35.8%, in rural area it
was 64.2%, while for female illiteracy rate was 75.1% for urban area it
was 51.9% in the rural area it was 87.9%.
In 2025 due to new technologies and new trade laws like GATT, WATO,
International Property Right, these International laws will change the
shape of Pakistan government policies.
By the next century we have transgenic crops with better yields and
more nutrition and would be able to grow under adverse condition.
This will definitely bring change in Pakistan agriculture and it will help in
reducing the poverty by creating more markets and jobs. It will provide
cheap food to everyone but since Pakistan population growing at the
rate of 2.8% paper year, by the year 2025 it will be 232.9 million, while
per capita the cropping area will be reduced to 0.7 hectare. The existing
land will also suffer due to shortage of water which will reduced from
3,833 cubic meters to 1,643 cubic meters, per capita as a result even
when the land is available, it cannot be put under agriculture due to
shortage of water. At the same time cropped land will further be
reduced, due to increase in salinity and water logging. IN 1993 the
extent of water logging and salinity in Pakistan at 0-5 feet or 0-152
comes water table depth was 4,923,000 hectares while in Sindh it was
3,633,000 hectares. In 1993 extent of water logging and salinity at 0-10
feet or 0-305 cms water table depth was 9,186,000 hectares while in
Sindh it was 5,054,000 hectares.
It means only small portion of land will be left suitable for agriculture
having proper irrigation even this cultivated land will further be forced
by CO2 emission which in 1992 was 0.6 metric tons and climatic change
and global warming also bring the change in cropping pattern.
Switching over to new cropping pattern in a slow process.
It means Pakistan depend upon import of food. If we see the global
picture, the average production of cereals in the World in 1990-91 was
1,925,044,000 metric tons. It changed only by 18% change since 1980-
82. In 1990-92 the average yield of cereals in the World was 2,757
kilograms per hectare, while it was only 22% change, since 1980-82. If
we see a World picture of cereal production and yields in the past ten
years, the change is only 18-22%. Global population is project6ed to
reach 10 billion by the year 2025, so global agricultural production must
expand 2.5 - 3.0 times to provide an adequate diet to the World people.
The World per capita food production has dropped due to increases in
agricultural labor, reduced area under cultivation and shortage of
irrigation water. Advanced technologies and mechanization, advance
crop breeding practices need more input of fertilizers and pesticides.
The World food producing does not grow as fast as population increase.
This picture shows that biotechnology alone cannot feed the World we
also need other methods of production simultaneously discussed this
issue with the top agriculturist in Pakistan and according to them in
year 2025 the scientist may develop high potency vitamin and
nutritional tablets to cover malnutrition but no one knows that a kind
of gene may be evolved which would produce crop without the help of
soil, or may be a kind of gene is evolved which results into a well-
balanced diet. We may then need other types of raw materials, other
than agriculture based.
About the Auther
By Farzana Panhwar (Mrs)
The Sindh Rural Women's Up-lift Group
157-C, Unit No.2, Latifabad, Hyderabad
(Sindh), Pakistan.
farzanapanhwar@hotmail.com
Fax: 9221-5830826 and 92221-862570
I am a bio-chemist working in the field of organic agriculture and effects of pollution and
environment of human and animal and plant health.