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Technical note
Predicting average energy conversion of
photovoltaic system in Malaysia using a
simplified method
T.M.I. Alamsyah ∗, K. Sopian, A. Shahrir
Department of Mechanical and Materials Engineering, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, 43600 Bangi,
Selangor, Malaysia
Abstract
This paper is about predicting the average conventional energy conversion by a photovoltaic
system in Malaysia. The calculation is based on average number of days in a month. Average
hourly energy flows are estimated based on knowledge of array test parameters, monthly aver-
age of hourly ambient temperature and monthly average of daily hemispherical radiation. The
monthly average of diffuse component of radiation can be predicted based on hemispherical
radiation, by using an appropriate empirical correlation related to the monthly average of
diffuse fraction to monthly average of clearness index. The values of hourly average radiation
are estimated based on a statistical model.
2003 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
1. Introduction
∗
Corresponding author. Tel.: +603-8925-1000; fax: +603-8929-6145.
E-mail address: ceklam@hotmail.com (T.M.I. Alamsyah).
0960-1481/$ - see front matter 2003 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
doi:10.1016/S0960-1481(03)00141-1
404 T.M.I. Alamsyah et al. / Renewable Energy 29 (2004) 403–411
Nomenclature
A area of photovoltaic system (m2)
C the concentration for flat-plate array (MJ/m2)
Iarray the radiation incident hourly on the array per unit area (MJ/m2)
Ib indirect irradiance at normal incidence (MJ/m2)
Id hourly diffuse irradiation
Ih hourly global irradiation on a horizontal plane(MJ/m2)
H̄ monthly average of daily extraterrestrial irradiation on a horizontal
plane (MJ/m2)
Hd monthly average of daily diffuse radiation
H̄h monthly average of daily ground reflected irradiation
K̄T monthly average of daily clearness index
rt factor for converting monthly average of daily diffuse irradiation on
a horizontal plane
rd factor for converting monthly of average daily global irradiation
UL thermal loss coefficient (W/m2C)
iarray monthly average of hourly irradiation on the array surface (MJ/m2)
Id monthly average of hourly diffuse irradiation
it monthly average of hourly global irradiation on a horizontal plane
n average number of days in a month
w hour angle measured from solar noon: +ve for afternoon (radians)
ws sunset hour angle (radians)
wrs sunset angle on an inclined plane (radians)
f latitude of location: +ve, north; ⫺ve, south (radians)
d the sun’s declination angle (radian)
qz angle of incidence of direct irradiance on the horizontal plane
(radians)
qarray angle of incidence of direct irradiance on array plane (radians)
s array title angle from the horizontal plane (radians)
he energetic efficiency of the auxiliary power utility
b temperature coefficient (C⫺1)
g radiation intensity coefficient
ta transmittance–absorbance product
photovoltaic array with local monthly mean temperature and a monthly mean clear-
ness index to yield a monthly average efficiency, which, when multiplied by monthly
array insulations, gives electrical energy output. On the other hand, Ref. [3] presents
a method for predicting the monthly average of conventional energy displaced by
photovoltaic system based upon a monthly average of meteorological data.
In this paper, another simplified method for predicting the long-term average con-
ventional energy conversion by a photovoltaic system is used to predict an average
performance of photovoltaic system in Malaysia.
Tc⫺Ta ⫽ 0.9 冉冊
ta
I
Ul array
(4)
冋
h ⫽ hr 1⫺0.9b
Iarray
(T ⫺T
Iarray,NOCT c,NOCT a,NOCT
)⫺b(Ta⫺Tr) 册 (6)
(Ih⫺Id)
Iba ⫽ (12)
cosθz
where qz is zenith angle. Eq. (8) can be written, after replacing the instantaneous or
hourly irradiation values, I, by the monthly average hourly irradiation, i, obtained
from Eqs. (10) and (11), as:
cosqarray
iarray ⫽ (it⫺id) ⫹ id (13)
cosqz
The other variable in Eq. (11) that still needs to be evaluated is cosqarray / cosqz. For
fixed-plate surface located at latitude, f with azimuth equal to zero and tilt angle s,
cosqarray / cosqz is given by the following equation [9]:
cosθarray cos(f⫺s)(cosw⫺cosws)
⫽ (14)
cosθz cosf(cosw⫺cosws)
The angle wps in Eq. (14) is given by:
cosws ⫽ ⫺tan(f⫺s)tand (15)
where d is the declination of the sun.
For an array with tilt, s, equal latitude, f, as assumed in this paper, Eq. (15) is
evaluated with cosws = 0.
Now, Eq. (13) can be evaluated using values of cosqarray / cosqz and calculated at
the middle of each hour for an average number of days in a month, to obtain monthly
average values of Iarray, which are entered into the array efficiency and energy as
seen in Eqs. (6) and (7) [8].
3. Simulation procedure
This section outlines the simulation procedure which can be adopted to determine
the average performance of the PV system in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia. As an
example, the average of the month of May is selected. The procedure is suitable for
hand calculations and the speed of calculation can be enhanced by using a spread-
sheet application, e.g. Microsoft Excel.
For each month, the average number of days, n, is used for the simulation as
recommended by Ref. [6]. Long-term monthly average meteorological data are used.
This is assumed for the average number of days. Day time hourly values of the
radiation available per unit array area, iarray, are calculated using location, radiation
data as given in the table for the month of May in Kuala Lumpur. In Table 4, w is
the hour angle, n is the average number of days for the month, d is the sun’s decli-
nation on the average number of days of the month, f is the latitude of the location
and ws is the sunset hour angle calculated based on f and d. it and id are the average
hourly diffuse and hemispherical radiation calculated from the monthly average radi-
ation, H and Hd, using Eqs. (10) and (11) with the appropriate conversion factors,
408 T.M.I. Alamsyah et al. / Renewable Energy 29 (2004) 403–411
Table 1
Radiation data in May for Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
Description Value
Table 2
Data ambient temperature (location: latitude Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia)
Time Temperature
6:00;7:00 23.7
7:00;8:00 24.1
8:00;9:00 25.6
9.00;10:00 27.5
10:00;11:00 27.7
11:00;12:00 27.8
12:00:13.00 26.7
13:00;14:00 31.2
14.00;15:00 29.6
15.00;16:00 31.3
16:00;17:00 28.8
17:00;18:00 29.9
Table 3
System array parameters
6.00⫺7.00 ⫺1.43 135 0.054 1.589 0.019 0.0137 0.166 0.2420 0.8244 0.2287 23.70 0.10 0.6722
7.00⫺8.00 ⫺1.17 135 0.054 1.589 0.082 0.0430 0.464 0.7611 0.934 0.7415 24.04 0.10 2.1800
8.00⫺9.00 ⫺0.92 135 0.054 1.589 0.106 0.0750 0.718 1.3280 0.958 1.3024 25.60 0.09 3.5164
9.00⫺10.00 ⫺0.65 135 0.054 1.589 0.123 0.1056 0.928 1.8690 0.967 1.8379 27.50 0.09 4.9625
10.00⫺11.00 ⫺0.39 135 0.054 1.589 0.132 0.1290 1.077 2.2830 0.972 2.2492 27.70 0.09 6.1404
11.00⫺12.00 ⫺0.13 135 0.054 1.589 0.132 0.1424 1.156 2.5200 0.974 2.4845 27.80 0.09 6.6337
12.00⫺13.00 0.13 135 0.054 1.589 0.123 0.1424 1.156 2.5200 0.974 2.4845 26.70 0.09 6.8573
13.00⫺14.00 0.39 135 0.054 1.589 0.106 0.1290 1.077 2.2830 0.972 2.2492 31.20 0.09 6.2754
14.00⫺15.00 0.65 135 0.054 1.589 0.106 0.1056 0.928 1.8690 0.967 1.8379 29.60 0.10 5.2933
15.00⫺16.00 0.92 135 0.054 1.589 0.082 0.0750 0.718 1.3280 0.958 1.3024 31.30 0.10 3.8290
16.00⫺17.00 1.17 135 0.054 1.589 0.053 0.0430 0.464 0.7611 0.934 0.7415 28.80 0.10 2.1800
17.00⫺18.00 1.43 135 0.054 1.589 0.019 0.0137 0.166 0.2420 0.8244 0.2287 29.90 0.10 0.6722
T.M.I. Alamsyah et al. / Renewable Energy 29 (2004) 403–411
409
410 T.M.I. Alamsyah et al. / Renewable Energy 29 (2004) 403–411
rt and rd, respectively, cosqarray / cosqz is obtained for Eq. (13) and iarray is obtained
from Eq. (12). Radiation data are given in Table 1. Now the hourly energy flow for
the system parameter is given in Table 3. The values of iarray obtained from Table
2 are tabulated in Table 3 and used together with temperature-dependent h of Eq.
(6). The efficiency of power conditioning array output, hcQe, is calculated from Eq.
(7). Temperature data are also obtained from Table 2. Then, this can be simulated
and the simulation result is tabulated in Table 4. The energy output from a photovol-
taic system is presented in Fig. 1.
4. Conclusion
Acknowledgements
The authors would like to thank the Ministry of Science, Technology and Environ-
ment for the financial support under IRPA Grant No. 02-02-02-0005-PR23/11-10.
T.M.I. Alamsyah et al. / Renewable Energy 29 (2004) 403–411 411
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