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® tel +1 609 945 4000
fax +1 609 945 4001
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4 Independence Way
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Jeffrey M. Finn
President &
Chief Executive Officer
January 2011
Although 2010 was another very challenging year for commercial real estate, we began to see clear signs that the global
economy and commercial real estate markets had stabilized and were beginning to improve. The sentiment at year-end 2010
is much better than it was a year ago. While the level of optimism varies from market to market, as economies in some parts
of the world still face significant challenges, the general belief is that the worst is behind us.
Corporations once again are moving forward on plans, releasing pent-up demand and in most cases taking advantage of a
tenants’ market worldwide to reduce their overall occupancy costs. While the massive wave of foreclosures we originally
expected never materialized as banks, absent pressure to foreclose, opted to extend or re-work troubled loans, we expect a
much more active market for buyers and sellers as conditions start to improve. With interest rates at an all-time low, we
expect institutional investors and private equity players to return to commercial real estate in 2011-2012 in pursuit of returns.
There is already a tremendous amount of capital amassed on the sidelines and a reported shortage of quality assets offered
for sale. We expect more assets to transact as pricing improves.
NAI Global is pleased to present its 2011 Global Market Report. Now in its 25th year, the Global Market Report provides
comprehensive market data and overviews on more than 200 property markets around the world. This year’s edition is our
most comprehensive report ever, with coverage of all primary markets and most secondary and tertiary markets worldwide.
Using both narrative market reports and statistical charts, we provide you with market highlights, trends, demographic and
business profiles, rental rates, vacancy rates and land prices. The 2011 Global Market Report puts a wealth of market intelli-
gence at your fingertips in a succinct and consistent market profile format.
Dr. Peter Linneman, NAI Global’s Chief Economist and Principal of Linneman Associates, the leading real estate economics
consulting firm, worked with us again this year to prepare the Global Outlook. Linneman Associates has added its expert
economic analysis and insights to the detailed local market information from NAI professionals worldwide to deliver the infor-
mation you need on commercial real estate costs and market conditions around the world. We are proud of our relationship
with Dr. Linneman and are pleased to be able to share his insights with you.
All of the market information in the 2011 Global Market Report is available online at www.naiglobal.com and major markets are
updated periodically throughout the year. For the latest in commercial real estate industry news and trends, Global Economic
Outlook briefings, market updates and much more, visit www.naiglobal.com.
Just as NAI Global provides you with in-depth knowledge and insight on markets around the world, our global managed
network can help you achieve your real estate objectives no matter how large or small, anywhere in the world. Our clients
come to us for our deep local knowledge, which leads to results that are tangible, measurable and visible on their bottom line.
We welcome the opportunity to serve you. If we can assist you with a current or future real estate requirement anywhere in the
world, please contact us at + 1 609 945 4000 or call your local NAI professional.
Sincerely,
Jeffrey M. Finn
President & Chief Executive Officer
Build on the power of our network.TM Over 350 offices worldwide. www.naiglobal.com
1
n n n Table of Contents
GENERAL INFORMATION Mexico Nebraska
NAI Global President's Letter ..........................................................1 Ciudad Juarez, Chihuahua.........................................................70 Lincoln .................................................................................108
Table of Contents ...........................................................................2 Guadalajara, Jalisco..................................................................71 Omaha .................................................................................108
Note from Dr. Peter Linneman.........................................................3 Guanajuato,..............................................................................71 Nevada
About The Global Market Report......................................................3 Matamoros, Tamaulipas ............................................................72 Las Vegas .............................................................................109
GLOBAL OUTLOOK Mexicali, Baja California ............................................................72 Reno ....................................................................................109
U.S. Year in Review ........................................................................4 Mexico City, Mexico ..................................................................73 New Hampshire
Monterrey, Nuevo Leon .............................................................73 Manchester...........................................................................110
REGIONAL HIGHLIGHTS Querétaro, Querétaro ................................................................74 Portsmouth ...........................................................................110
Northeast Highlights .....................................................................24 Reynosa, Tampaulipas...............................................................74 New Jersey
Southeast Highlights ....................................................................25 Saltillo, Coahuila .......................................................................75 Atlantic County......................................................................111
Midwest Highlights.......................................................................26 San Luis Potosi (SLP) ................................................................75 Middlesex/Somerset Counties ................................................111
Southwest Highlights....................................................................27 Tijuana, Baja California..............................................................76 Northern New Jersey .............................................................112
West Highlights............................................................................28 Torreon, Coahulia......................................................................76 Ocean/Monmouth Counties (“Shore Market”) ..........................112
ASIA PACIFIC Panama City, Republic of Panama .................................................77 Princeton/Mercer County .......................................................113
Adelaide, Australia .......................................................................30 Caracas, Venezuela ......................................................................77 Southern New Jersey.............................................................113
Brisbane, Australia .......................................................................30 New Mexico
UNITED STATES
Melbourne, Australia ....................................................................31 Alabama
Albuquerque .........................................................................114
Perth, Australia ............................................................................31 Birmingham ..............................................................................79 Las Cruces ...........................................................................114
Sydney, Australia..........................................................................32 New York
Huntsville/Decatur County ..........................................................79
China Mobile/Baldwin County ..............................................................80 Albany ..................................................................................115
Beijing .....................................................................................32 Arizona
Long Island ...........................................................................115
Hong Kong ...............................................................................33 Phoenix ....................................................................................80 New York City........................................................................116
Shanghai..................................................................................33 Arkansas
Westchester..........................................................................116
Guam..........................................................................................34 North Carolina
Jonesboro.................................................................................81
India Little Rock.................................................................................81 Asheville ...............................................................................117
Chennai ...................................................................................34 California
Charlotte...............................................................................117
Delhi, Gurgaon .........................................................................35 Bakersfield..............................................................................82 Greensboro/High Point/Winston-Salem ...................................118
Kolkata.....................................................................................35 Inland Empire (Riverside/San Bernardino)..................................82 Raleigh/Durham ....................................................................118
Pune, Maharashtra ...................................................................36 North Dakota
Los Angeles County .................................................................83
Punjab .....................................................................................36 Orange County ........................................................................83 Fargo....................................................................................119
Tokyo, Japan ...............................................................................37 Ohio
San Diego...............................................................................84
Kuala Lumpur Malaysia ................................................................37 San Francisco .........................................................................84 Akron ...................................................................................119
Auckland, New Zealand ................................................................38 Ventura County .......................................................................85 Canton .................................................................................120
Christchurch, New Zealand...........................................................38 Colorado
Cincinnati .............................................................................120
Wellington, New Zealand ..............................................................39 Colorado Springs.....................................................................85 Cleveland..............................................................................121
Singapore....................................................................................39 Denver....................................................................................86 Columbus .............................................................................121
Seoul, South Korea.......................................................................40 Delaware
Dayton..................................................................................122
Taipei, Taiwan ..............................................................................40 Oklahoma
Delaware & Cecil County Maryland...........................................86
District of Columbia
Oklahoma City.......................................................................122
CANADA Tulsa ....................................................................................123
Alberta Washington, DC ......................................................................87
Oregon
Calgary ....................................................................................42 Florida
Fort Lauderdale.......................................................................87 Portland................................................................................123
Edmonton ................................................................................42 Pennsylvania
British Columbia Ft. Myers/Naples/Port Charlotte/Bonita Springs .........................88
Jacksonville ............................................................................88 Allentown..............................................................................124
Vancouver................................................................................43 Berks County ........................................................................124
Victoria ....................................................................................43 Martin/ St. Lucie Counties........................................................89
Miami.....................................................................................89 Bucks County........................................................................125
Nova Scotia Harrisburg/York/Lebanon .......................................................125
Halifax .....................................................................................44 Orlando ..................................................................................90
Palm Beach County .................................................................90 Lancaster .............................................................................126
Ontario Philadelphia ..........................................................................126
Ottawa.....................................................................................44 Tampa Bay..............................................................................91
Georgia
Pittsburgh .............................................................................127
Toronto ....................................................................................45 Schuylkill County ...................................................................127
Montreal ..................................................................................45 Atlanta....................................................................................91
Savannah ...............................................................................92 Wilkes-Barre/Scranton/Hazleton .............................................128
Regina, Saskatchewan...............................................................46 South Carolina
Hawaii
EUROPE, MIDDLE EAST, AFRICA Honolulu .................................................................................92 Charleston ............................................................................122
Vienna, Austria.............................................................................48 Idaho
Columbia ..............................................................................129
The Baltics (Latvia/Estonia/Lithuania) ............................................48 Boise......................................................................................93 Greenville/Spatanburg/Anderson Counties ..............................129
Brussels, Belgium ........................................................................49 South Dakota
Southeast (Idaho Falls/Pocatello) ..............................................93
Sofia, Bulgaria .............................................................................49 Illinois
Sioux Falls ............................................................................130
Prague, Czech Republic................................................................50 Tennessee
Chicago .................................................................................94
Copenhagen, Denmark.................................................................50 Springfield ..............................................................................94 Chattanooga .........................................................................130
Helsinki, Finland...........................................................................51 Indiana
Clarksville .............................................................................131
Paris, France ...............................................................................51 Fort Wayne .............................................................................95 Knoxville ...............................................................................131
Frankfurt am Main, Germany ........................................................52 Indianapolis ............................................................................95 Memphis ..............................................................................132
Atehens, Greece ..........................................................................52 Texas
Iowa
Reykjavik, Iceland.........................................................................53 Cedar Rapids, Iowa City ...........................................................96 Austin...................................................................................132
Tel Aviv, Isreal ..............................................................................53 Davenport/Bettendorf, Iowa & Rock Island/Moline, Illinois...........96 Beaumont .............................................................................133
Almaty, Kazakhstan ......................................................................54 Des Moines.............................................................................97 Corpus Christi .......................................................................133
Kuwait.........................................................................................54 Sioux City ...............................................................................97 Dallas ...................................................................................134
Luxembourg City, Luxembourg ......................................................55 Kansas
El Paso .................................................................................134
Amsterdam, The Netherlands........................................................55 Wichita ...................................................................................98 Fort Worth.............................................................................135
Oslo, Norway ...............................................................................56 Kentucky
Houston................................................................................135
Warsaw, Poland ...........................................................................56 Lexington................................................................................98 Rio Grande Valley (McAllen/Mission/Brownsville/Harlingen) ......136
Doha, Qatar .................................................................................57 Louisville ................................................................................99 San Antonio ..........................................................................136
Bucharest, Romania .....................................................................57 Louisiana
Texarkana (Bowie County, Texas/Miller County, Arkansas) .........137
Moscow, Russia ...........................................................................58 Utah
Baton Rouge ...........................................................................99
St. Petersburg, Russia ..................................................................58 Monroe.................................................................................100 Salt Lake City........................................................................137
Belgrade, Serbia ..........................................................................59 New Orleans .........................................................................100 Washington County ...............................................................138
Johannesburg South, Africa ..........................................................59 Vermont
Maine
Madrid, Spain ..............................................................................60 Greater Portland/Southern Maine ...........................................101 Burlington .............................................................................138
Stockholm, Sweden......................................................................60 Virginia
Maryland
Geneva, Switzerland .....................................................................61 Baltimore ..............................................................................101 Northern Virginia ...................................................................139
Zurich, Switzerland.......................................................................61 Washington
Suburban Maryland ...............................................................102
Istanbul, Turkey............................................................................62 Massachusetts
Seattle/Puget Sound..............................................................139
Kiev (Kyiv), Ukraine.......................................................................62 Boston..................................................................................102 Spokane ...............................................................................140
London, England United Kingdom..................................................63 Greater Springfield(Western) .................................................103 Tri-Cities ...............................................................................140
Wisconsin
LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN Michigan
Detroit ..................................................................................103 Northeastern Wisconsin (Fox Valley/Green Bay) .......................141
Buenos Aires, Argentina................................................................65 Madison ...............................................................................141
Nassau, Bahamas ........................................................................65 Grand Rapids ........................................................................104
Lansing ................................................................................104 Milwaukee ............................................................................142
Brazil Wyoming
Campinas.................................................................................66 Minnesota
Minneapolis/St. Paul..............................................................105 Casper..................................................................................142
Curitiba ....................................................................................66 Jackson Hole ........................................................................143
Porto Alegre .............................................................................67 Missouri
Rio de Janeiro ..........................................................................67 Kansas City...........................................................................105 Glossary ....................................................................................144
Sao Paulo.................................................................................68 St. Louis ...............................................................................106
Santiago, Chile.............................................................................68 Montana
Bogotá, Colombia.........................................................................69 Billings .................................................................................106
San Jose, Costa Rica....................................................................69 Bozeman ..............................................................................107
Kingston, Jamaica........................................................................70 Missoula...............................................................................107 2011 Global Market Report n www.naiglobal.com 2
nA Note From n About The
n n
Dr. Peter Linneman Global Market Report
The 2011 Global Market Report is a unique tool that reviews
and summarizes the real estate activities of the past year on
more than 200 property markets worldwide. As a reference
Once again, Linneman Associates is pleased to join tool, it reviews values, economies, social factors and other
NAI Global in the production of the 2011 Global Market conditions that impact a market.
Report. For years, NAI Global has created this annual re-
port, the industry’s source for in-depth market-by-market Each analysis was completed by the NAI Global Member
data, at a level of detail unavailable from other resources. representing the given market. These local professionals are
Since our two organizations forged a strategic alliance expert at reviewing their markets, identifying trends and re-
in 2003, we have provided NAI professionals and clients porting market activity. The NAI Global Member making the
with comprehensive market analyses, customized reports analysis for each market is identified and may be contacted
and our perspective on macroeconomic indicators as they for additional information. Most of the data in the Global Mar-
pertain to real estate markets. ket Report was collected during the fourth quarter of 2010.
By combining NAI Global’s local market data with our real Rental rates for Class A and Class B office space, retail and
estate economics expertise and proprietary projections, new construction are expressed in gross costs per unit area,
we jointly provide the reader with unmatched insight into indicating the landlord pays all expenses, except for Europe,
the state of local, regional, national and international real where rental rates are reported as net. Industrial space rents
estate markets. Linneman Associates and NAI Global con- are quoted in terms of net rental rates, meaning the tenant
tinue to jointly offer customized real estate market analyses pays for most of the operating costs, such as utilities, mainte-
and reports. Enrich your business and investment efforts by nance, repairs and cleaning. On all charts, N/A means the in-
utilizing this combination of real estate expertise, including formation was not applicable or not available at press time.
the Linneman Associates and NAI market analyses and real
estate decision making tools. For more information, call For more information about this report, or to order your own
your local NAI office. copy for $695, please call 609 945 4000. Additional research
reports and whitepapers are available at www.naiglobal.com.
Dr. Linneman holds both Masters and Doctorate degrees
in economics from the University of Chicago and is the Visit the NAI Global blog for real time commentary on industry
Principal of Linneman Associates. For over 25 years he news and trends at blogs.naiglobal.com
has provided strategic and financial advice to leading
corporations. Dr. Linneman is the author of the leading real
estate finance textbook, Real Estate Finance and Invest-
ments: Risks and Opportunities. His teaching and research
focuses on real estate and investment strategies, mergers
and acquisitions and international markets. He has pub-
lished over 60 articles during his career. He is widely rec-
ognized as one of the leading strategic thinkers in the real
estate industry.
Dr. Linneman also serves as the Albert Sussman Professor The 2011 Global Market Report is a copyrighted publication
of Real Estate, Finance, Business and Public Policy at the of NAI Global, published in December 2010, and should not
Wharton School of Business, University of Pennsylvania. A be reproduced without full permission. Additional copies are
member of Wharton’s faculty since 1979, he served as the available from NAI Global.
founding chairman of Wharton’s Real Estate Department
and the Director of Wharton’s Zell-Lurie Real Estate Center
for 13 years. He is the founding co-editor of The Wharton
Real Estate Review.
3
2011 Global Market Report n www.naiglobal.com
Global Outlook
U.S. Year in Review National Average Rental Rates
After two years of heavy declines, commercial real estate markets 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
across the United States continued to struggle through the first half O ffice
Downtown-Class A $34.37 $36.02 $41.93 $47.31 $37.11 $32.51
of 2010 as rising unemployment and uncertainty about the strength Suburban-Class A $24.42 $24.49 $25.87 $26.32 $25.48 $25.45
non-existent pipeline of new supply. Rental rates also have stabilized R etail
in most major markets, although quoted rents today are as much as Downtown Retail $47.67 $47.70 $48.09 $51.28 $39.90 $39.79
Service Centers $20.47 $20.56 $20.53 $18.55 $17.50 $16.48
30% off the mid-2007 peak in some places. Power Centers $22.55 $22.33 $22.54 $20.77 $19.15 $18.53
Regional Malls $43.01 $44.97 $46.26 $36.66 $32.27 $30.15
Class A office space in the central business districts, especially hard
hit during the recession, saw leasing activity increase in 2010 as Source: NAI Global
13.8% in 2009 to 13.3% in 2010 after rising almost 35% the previous
$50.00
year. The national average rental rate for Class A space in the CBD
slipped 14.1%, from $37.11 in 2009 to $32.51 in 2010, after falling $40.00
The trends were similar in the suburbs, as the proverbial flight to quality $20.00
Meanwhile, the average rental rate for suburban Class A space held 2005 2006 2007
Downtown-Class A
2008 2009
Suburban-Class A
2010
Bulk Warehouse
steady at $25.45, down just pennies from $25.48 a year ago. Manufacturing
Service Centers
Hi-Tech/R&D
Power Centers
Downtown Retail
Regional Malls
After a disastrous 2008-2009, the nation’s retail markets also appear Industrial
Bulk Warehouse 9.5% 10.7% 9.1% 7.4% 10.9% 10.7%
to have stabilized. While some markets still struggle to fill big boxes Manufacturing 9.3% 8.7% 7.6% 7.8% 10.9% 10.9%
vacated by national chains, others have seen new entries and local Hi Tech/R&D 11.1% 11.9% 11.4% 11.2% 12.3% 12.2%
centers declined to 9.3% in 2010 after rising more than 30% the Source: NAI Global
previous year. Still, the national average rental rate for power center
space declined 3.3% to $18.53.
The nation’s industrial markets also appear to be on the mend. While National Average Vacancy Rates
demand for warehouse space continues to be weighed down by weak
consumer demand, the market has benefited from a diminishing 18.0%
pipeline of new construction. Vacancy rates for bulk warehouse space 16.0%
stood at 10.7% in 2010, down from 10.9% in 2009. Rentals rates 14.0%
10.0%
While the massive wave of foreclosures and REO sales we originally 8.0%
increased and cap rates compressed in virtually every property sector 4.0%
throughout the year. Real Capital Analytics estimates total sales trans- 2.0%
action volume will surpass $100 billion in 2010, roughly doubling the 0.0%
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
$54 billion in sales recorded in 2009. The momentum building at Downtown-Class A Suburban-Class A Bulk Warehouse
$ Trillions
10
recession ended around July 2009. And only a weak recovery will continue as long as 8
6
dollars are directed from the private to the public sector, and until the “rules of the 4
2
game” stabilize. 0
1984 1989 1994 1999 2004 2009
Real GDP has risen 3.5% since the second quarter of 2009, and is only 0.8% off of
the fourth-quarter 2007 peak. A robust job recovery to mediocrity is under way, with
613,000 jobs added from the December 2009 low point through September 2010,
according to the Payroll Survey, and nearly 1.6 million jobs added during that period, Real GDP Growth Rate
Year-Over-Year Percent Growth
according to the Household Survey. The Payroll Survey reported that 8.4 million jobs 10
8
were lost during the recession, and employment is still 7 million to 7.4 million jobs below 6
Percent
4
the December 2007 peak. 2
0
-2
Based on the Payroll Survey, total employment peaked in December 2007 at nearly -4
-6
138 million jobs, and bottomed two years later with 8.36 million fewer jobs. Since year-end 1984 1989 1994 1999 2004 2009
2009, we have gained back 613,000 jobs through September. In comparison, the House-
hold Survey, from which unemployment statistics are calculated, indicates that employment
peaked in November 2007 at just under 146.5 million jobs, bottomed in December 2009
Number of Persons Employed
almost 8.7 million lower, and has since grown by over 1.6 million. The “truth” is
160
somewhere in between. 140
Millions 120
The key for the real estate sector is job growth, as a recovery without jobs does not
100
fill much space. According to the June 2010 Job Openings and Labor Turnover 80
Survey, just 48% of industries are adding workers on a 12-month moving average basis, 60
1984 1989 1994 1999 2004 2009
versus the nine-year average of 50%. The good news is that all major industries have Payroll Survey Household Survey
registered employment gains from their respective troughs. Aside from the government
sector (64,000), the largest absolute job increases were in professional and business
services (365,000), leisure and hospitality (133,000), manufacturing (127,000) and trade,
transportation and utilities (104,000). On a percentage basis, the largest gains were U.S. Payroll Employment
Year-Over-Year Percent Change
made in mining and logging (10.8 %), professional and business services (2.2%), 6
4
manufacturing (1.1%) and leisure and hospitality (1%). 2
Percent
0
At 9.6%, the October 2010 unemployment rate reflects a 50 basis point decline -2
compared to the peak of 10.1% in October 2009, but has stayed flat for several months. -4
The median unemployment duration stands at 21.1 weeks, a significant decline from -6
1973 1979 1985 1991 1997 2003 2009
25.5 weeks just four months earlier. The percentage unemployed more than 27 weeks
declined in the last four months, and stood at 42% in October, significantly higher than
the low of 17.5% in December 2007, but below the 46% high in June 2010. At the
same time, short-term (five weeks or less) unemployment spells account for 18% of the
Percent of Industries Adding Workers
unemployed, compared to 36.5% at the beginning of the recession. Both metrics are (12-month moving average)
70
showing early signs of improvement. 60
50
Percent
Seasonally adjusted annual single-family home starts reached an all-time low of 360,000 40
30
homes in January 2009, compared to a 48-year (1960-2008) historical average of nearly 20
1.1 million. This annual rate stood at 452,000 new single-family home starts as of 10
0
September 2010. Similarly, multifamily (5+ units) starts averaged about 375,000 units 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
per year between 1964 and 2008, hitting a low annualized rate of 62,000 new units in
and an estimated 800,000 new renters will emerge. This is on top of the 2.3 million house- 10
holds that will form as the result of population growth of 6 million over the next two years. 8
Percent
6
Meanwhile, we anticipate that only 1.2 million to 1.3 million single-family and 400,000 4
multifamily home starts will occur over the next two years. The net result will be that we will 2
0
burn through the excess inventory. Low single-family inventory levels will create upward 1969 1974 1979 1984 1989 1994 1999 2004 2009
Percent
NAR indices grew by 3.5% and 1.5%, respectively, year-over-year. The broader FHFA 30
20
government home price index posted positive quarter-over-quarter growth (0.9%), but 10
negative year-over-year growth (-1.6%), albeit less negative than previous quarters. 0
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009
Consumer confidence has rebounded from its extreme cyclical low of 56.3 (February > 26 Weeks < 5 Weeks
2009), but has been on the decline for most of 2010 after gaining ground in 2009.
It reached a pre-recession peak of 96.9 in January of 2007, before plunging to a low of
56.3 in February 2009, and stood at 68.2 as of September 2010. We expect it to return
U.S. National Home Price Indices
to a normalized level of 90-95 in mid-2011. The improvement in consumer confidence is 280
260
mirrored in the business community, where the S&P 500 rose from a low of 676.5 in 240
Index Value 220
200
March 2009 to a high of 1,217 in late April 2010. It hovered around 1,100 for most of 180
160
2010, but broke the 1,200 mark again in November. 140
120
100
The rebound in corporate profits is the strongest driver of job growth. However, in the 1991 1994 1997 2000 2003 2006 2009
absence of predictable and stable rules of the game (at least until after the new Congress NAR (NSA) FHFA (SA) Case-Shiller (SA)
and Obama administration figure out how they will function together), profits will remain
undistributed and largely economically “inert.”
U.S. National Home Price Indices
The bottoming of private pricing (peaking of cap rates) occurred about 15 months after 280
260
240
REIT pricing bottomed in March 2009. Since peaking in the fourth quarter of 2009,
Index Value
220
200
total REIT implied cap rates have fallen by approximately 290 basis points from 9.2% 180
160
to 6.3%, representing an FFO multiple increase from 10.9x to 15.9x through mid- 140
120
September 2010. In fact, our analysis suggests that as of November 2010, REITs are 100
1991 1994 1997 2000 2003 2006 2009
approximately 18% over-valued relative to BBB bonds, and fairly-priced based on the NAR (NSA) FHFA (SA) Case-Shiller (SA)
market is right?” Rates have not been this low since 1954. Based upon the historical real 100
expected return of 200 basis points, this suggests an annual expected inflation rate 80
of just 0.5% over the next 10 years. The bond market is saying that it believes the U.S.
60
can sustain huge federal budget deficits and substantial liquidity injections from the
40
Fed without any inflation for the next decade. 1979 1984 1989 1994 1999 2004 2009
that the upcoming refinance wave will resolve itself. Specifically, huge chunks of land, 1,400
1,200
unfinished developments and broken condos will simply be written off and sold for $0.05- 1,000
$0.25 on the dollar. On the other hand, cash flow assets with good interest coverage will be 800
600
able to roll over maturing debt with a high degree of success, particularly with both long- 400
and short-term interest rates at historic lows. These low interest rates allow owners to 200
0
refinance to greater proceeds than otherwise possible, and also yield additional net of interest 1955 1961 1967 1973 1979 1985 1991 1997 2003 2009
payment cash flow with which to service tenant improvements and capital expenditure.
$ Billions
This puts U.S. office vacancy above its “natural rate” of roughly 10%. Severe job losses 300
200
have resulted in increasing shadow or sublease space, along with tenant inducements. 100
With employment growth back on the positive side, the worst is over, but it will be a long 0
-100
recovery back to mediocrity. We do not expect market conditions to be in general 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009
course in the third quarter of 2009, after a 12-year run-up. The supply of real estate 4.0
3.5
capital (the numerator) is proxied by the aggregate flow of commercial real estate debt, $ Billions 3.0
2.5
while the demand for space (the denominator) is proxied by nominal GDP. Excluding the 2.0
1.5
net real estate equity flows from the numerator slightly understates an oversupplied 1.0
0.5
market and overstates an undersupplied market. That is, this index tends to understate 0.0
capital oversupply situations. An index of 100 (base year = 1982) indicates that the supply 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009
of real estate capital is roughly justified by the current demand for commercial space.
In the second quarter of 2010, the LREI declined to 155, from its first-quarter level
of 159. This was also a year-over-year decrease from 169 in the second quarter of 2009. Public and Private Market Real Estate Values
(2001 = 100)
The current LREI level indicates that the balance of commercial mortgage debt in the 350
300
market exceeds demand for the space financed by that debt by 55%. 250
200
We have long said that property markets are over-leveraged on a national level. The index 150
100
has been increasing steadily since 1997, when it stood at 91. At that time, the market had 50
0
a capital shortage and vacancies were declining steadily. Previously, we indicated that the 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
LREI would fall in the face of the current credit crisis. In fact, commercial debt outstanding MSCI U.S. REIT Index (Public)
Moody's/REAL Commercial Property Price Index (Private)
has fallen precipitously, but given the weak economy, corresponding GDP has declined at
a faster rate. As a result, the LREI continued to increase through the second quarter of
2009, but then finally reversed as GDP strengthened. We expect the LREI to continue to
decline as the rebound in GDP growth outpaces commercial mortgage lending.
Monthly Historical Global CMBS Issuance
70
60
The Industrial Sector 50
$ Billions
40
The U.S. industrial vacancy rate, according to NCREIF (primarily representing institu- 30
20
tional-quality properties) dropped, from 12.4% in the first quarter of 2009 to 9.9% in 10
the second quarter of 2010. The NCREIF series trended sharply downward during 0
1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009
the recession, but changed course over the last three quarters, indicating that the Source: Commercial Mortgage Alert
institutional-grade properties in the NCREIF survey were not immune to the wide-reaching
economic downturn.
2011 Global Market Report n www.naiglobal.com 7
The Multifamily Sector
NCREIF U.S. Office Vacancy Rate
18
The Census Bureau’s quarterly Housing Vacancy Survey indicates that the U.S. multi- 16
14
family vacancy rate remained stable in the second quarter of 2010 at 10.6%. This series 12
Percent
10
has generally been hovering around 10% since late 2003. For NCREIF’s more institutional 8
6
properties, the national vacancy rate declined by 106 basis points, from 6.96% in the 4
2
first quarter to 5.9% in the second quarter of 2010. This discrepancy in vacancy rates is 0
1995 1998 2001 2004 2007 2010
due to the fact that the NCREIF properties are generally of higher quality than the Census
properties. Thus, better-quality properties are exhibiting notably stronger fundamentals.
During the recession, the Census vacancy rate has been relatively flat, but it increased
100 basis points in the second and third quarters of 2009. In contrast, the NCREIF series
U.S. Office Construction
exhibited a sharp increase from early 2006, as unsold high-end condos were converted 40
35
to rental units. The second-quarter decline indicated that the condo market overhang 30
25
$ Billions
may be subsiding. 20
15
10
Multifamily starts (5+ units) have declined significantly to 95,000 in the second quarter of 5
0
2010, versus 20- and 40-year averages of 395,000 and 429,000 units, respectively. This 1995 1998 2001 2004 2007 2010
reflects the confluence of weak recessionary demand (due to doubling up of households), Nominal Real 2008 $
of construction means that excess inventory is being absorbed. 1983 1988 1993 1998 2003 2008
Office Retail Apartment Industrial
Source: NCREIF
To a large degree, the sector’s high vacancy rates reflect the fact that as the economy
plunged, household formation rates also plunged. Simply stated, when jobs are lost,
young people double up either with families or friends, forestalling household formation.
In 2008 and 2009, household formations were 772,000 and 398,000, respectively, versus Linneman Real Estate Index
200 and NCREIF Vacancy Rates 20.0
a norm of 1.1 million to 1.2 million per annum. This pattern has continued through 2010,
150 15.0
resulting in pent-up demand of roughly 2 million households. Of this pent-up demand,
100 10.0
approximately one-third will flow into multifamily, two-thirds into single family housing.
50 5.0
As consumer confidence returns and job formation resumes, these people will form their 0 0.0
own households, leading to a surge in housing demand. As a result, we are bullish on 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008
LREI Industrial Office Multifamily
the long-term investment prospects for multifamily housing. In addition, given the sector’s
short-term leases, the multifamily sector will be able to best combat rising debt costs
should the economy experience a severe inflationary spike.
Through 2011, we expect aggregate demand growth to be about 810,000 units, with
Multifamily and Commercial Mortgages
no net increase in supply. Thus, the current excess vacancy of 1 million units will fall to Outstanding
about 200,000 units, leaving the multifamily vacancy rate at roughly 7.5% by mid-2012. 3,500
3,000
$ Billions
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
0
1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009
Multifamily Commercial
quarter, but was 26 basis points higher than one year earlier. The vacancy rate broke 6% 15
Percent
in the second quarter of 2008 for the first time since 1999. It is important to note that 10
much of this retail vacancy exists in centers built to service residential communities that 5
never materialized in the outer reaches of markets like Las Vegas and Phoenix. They 0
were built in anticipation of a soon-to-be thriving residential community, but as reality set 1990 1994 1998 2002 2006 2010
in and home building ceased these centers are now serving communities 60-90% smaller
than anticipated. This type of vacancy stands in contrast to rising vacancy in established
market areas, which is occurring to a lesser degree.
U.S. Industrial Construction
80
The University of Michigan consumer confidence index dropped to 67.8 in July 2010, 70
compared to its low of 55.3 in November 2008. The index had not seen the low of 2008 60
$ Billions
50
since 1980. Real retail sales peaked in November 2007 at $349 billion, and have since 40
declined to $323 billion through July 2010. Retail construction has been declining steadily 30
20
on a monthly annualized basis, and was recorded at $25 billion as of June 2010, down 1995 1998 2001 2004 2007 2010
from its October 2007 high of $62.6 billion. Nominal Real 2008 $
Multifamily Unit Construction Multifamily Construction and Vacancy Trends U.S. Multifamily Vacancy
80 12
350 11
70
Thousands of Units
10
Vacancy Percent
300 10
60
Thousands
250 9 Percent
8
50
200 8
40 6
150 7
30
100 6 4
20
10 50 5 2
0 0 4
0
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010Q1
1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008
Total in Bldgs w/ 5 or More Units (Thousands) Vacancy U.S. Census Bureau NCREIF
Built For Sale Built For Rent
Thousands Completed
1,200 100
Absorption Percent
10 80
1,000 80
Thousands
Percent
800 8 60
60
600 6 40 40
400 20 20
4
200 0 0
0 2
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009
1964 1969 1974 1979 1984 1989 1994 1999 2004 2009 0
90-Day Absorption Rate Completions, Trailing 4 Quarters
Starts Permits 1995 1998 2001 2004 2007 2010
U.S. Multifamily Construction U.S. Retail Construction Percentage of New Units Intended for Sale in
70
70 Multi-Unit Buildings
60 60 60
$ Billions
50 50 50
Percent
$ Billions
40 40 40
30 30 30
20
20 20
10
10 10
0
1995 1998 2001 2004 2007 2010 0
1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009
Nominal Real 2008 $ 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010
Nominal Real 2008 $
Asia Pacific
One year after the deepest recession in 40 years, Asia is leading the global recovery. As
with many developing markets, Asia rebounded swiftly in 2009 and into 2010. In the near
term, the region is expected to continue leading the global recovery. The global crisis
highlights the importance for Asia to ensure that private domestic consumption becomes
a more prominent engine of growth, versus the traditional export model associated with
China and much of Southeast Asia
According to the Asian Development Bank, Asian region real GDP is expected to grow
7.9% in 2010, driven by better than expected exports and strong private demand.
However, despite the economic recovery experienced in 2009-2010, downside risks
remain, which temper the enthusiasm. Areas of concern include the uncertain global
environment, the sustainability of domestic consumption and the challenge of managing
capital inflows and exchange rates. As such, GDP growth in the region for 2011 is
projected to be a low 7.3%.
We expect continued strong growth in the industrialized markets of East Asia, including
Hong Kong, Taiwan and South Korea. Improved investment, healthy consumer spending,
robust exports and industrial production will propel growth. Despite measures to cool
the China property market and slow credit growth, China grew at 11.1% (annualized)
in the first half of 2010 and is expected to grow at 10% for the year.
Argentina.
The economy showed healthy growth during 2010, which is expected to continue during
2011. Helping this is the weakened Argentine peso, which stands at about 4 ARS to the
U.S. dollar. This has helped the country maintain a stronger export base, particularly in
the agricultural sector. Global exports will continue to increase, primarily in the agricultural,
textile and service sectors. Inflation is expected to remain high during 2011, peaking at
10%. There continues to be a shortage of available Class A product in the office, industrial
and retail sectors. Office vacancy will remain below 4%. Industrial and downtown retail
vacancies are below 3%, and demand will continue to exceed supply. The speculative
construction pipeline of industrial space is insufficient to meet current demand.
The Bahamas.
Both the tourism and banking industries–key economic drivers–remain weak. European
and U.S. tourist travel to the islands only slightly recovered. Construction of new hotel,
resort and residential projects is almost non-existent. The projected recovery in
the U.S. and Europe in 2011 will provide some relief, but tourism is not expected to
increase significantly until late 2011. Downtown retail and office market absorption remains
slow, but the rate of decline has decreased. Due to abundant parking and better access,
suburban markets continue to be the most desirable submarkets for growth and expansion.
Demand has kept vacancy rates low and spurred rare build-to-suit opportunities. Demand
is expected to increase slightly during 2011, particularly for industrial space
and Class A product in the suburban submarket. Interest in residential development and
hotels is expected to revive.
Colombia.
Colombia shed the veil hiding its recent success, with numerous investment advisories
noting the country’s strong growth. Over the last 15 years, the country has steadily grown
and improved its democratic credentials. The Peso has been relatively stable, increasing
only slightly to 1,800 COP to the U.S. dollar. The expected approval of the Free
Trade Agreement with the U.S. will further benefit the economy. Real estate
development was strong during 2010, but demand exceeded supply. Prices for office,
retail, and industrial space increased slightly during the year. International investment
funds have yet to venture strongly into Colombia, but the domestic capital sources are
investing actively in greenfield projects. Given the lack of a transparent investment market
and a shortage of investment sales, cap rates are difficult to identify, but are estimated
to be 12% or greater.
Chile.
Chile continues to be a benchmark for emerging economies in the region, with the
Chilean economy recording another respectable year of growth. Inflation dropped, while
the 7% unemployment rate is among the lowest in Latin America. The recovering prices
for copper and other commodities, paired with an increase in global demand, aided the
Chilean economy. Additionally, its high capital reserves allowed Chile to avoid a financial
crisis, which could have resulted from the earthquake that hit the country in early 2010.
Its continued attempts to decrease its dependence on imports of natural gas—particularly
new hydroelectric projects in the Andes–is being hindered by ecological groups. Chile
is currently building its first Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) terminal to secure enough of a
supply for its existing and upcoming gas-fired thermal plants. In addition, it has engaged
in the construction of several new hydropower and coal-fired thermal plants. Chilean
companies, profiting from their strong domestic economy, have changed from a mode
Costa Rica.
Although the U.S.-Costa Rica Free Trade Agreement went into effect on January 1, 2009,
notable benefits have not yet been achieved. The opening up of the telecom sector in
2010 and the surge of insurance operators (from the 2009 sector opening) provided a
boost to the economy. However, the pace of investment remains slower than expected.
Real estate activity picked up during 2010, with resort, hotel and second home sectors
on the Pacific Coast awaiting a rebound. In the central area of San José, leasing and
sale activity saw a marked increase in the office and industrial sectors, while the retail
sector showed a stronger demand recovery. Rental rates stabilized in the office and in-
dustrial sectors, and retail rates started to experience slight upward pressure in the shop-
ping malls and High Street locations. For 2011, absorption in the commercial sectors is
expected to increase, with a stronger uptake in retail. Rental rates are expected to be
stable in 2011 for the office and industrial sectors, but experience a slight increase in
retail. Along the Pacific Coast, recovery and renewed investor interest should start by
mid-year 2011. Land prices are weak, as development activity is very low and some
owners are trying to cash out. Overall, cap rates are above 9%.
Mexico.
Mexico rebounded strongly during 2010, with a 4.5% growth rate. It has regained its sta-
tus as one of the region’s doyennes. All sectors of the economy began a healthy rebound
and the real estate market saw the completion and commencement of new projects in
the major markets. The exchange rate hovered at about 12 pesos to the U.S. dollar
throughout 2010. The demand for maquiladora product continued to increase in
response to increasing labor and transport costs from Asian operations, while some
Asian companies installed manufacturing operations in northern Mexico. Real estate
activity rebounded in major markets with Mexico City faring the best. The office and the
industrial sectors experienced positive and strengthening absorption, despite the negative
news drug trafficking violence. Leasing and sales demand is expected to increase sharply
in almost all asset classes. Lease rates in Mexico City for all product types have been
stable, but there will be slight upward pressure in 2011. Sale prices across the country
should be relatively stable as the recovery solidifies. Cap rates are expected to drop to
about 9% for quality product, with target IRRs in the 15-20% range.
Venezuela.
2010 proved to be yet another difficult year for Venezuela, as the Chavez administration’s
macro and microeconomic policies continued to punish markets. Additionally, declining
oil production and prices reduced government revenues from its most important and
profitable economic engine. We expect 2011 will be another difficult year, with shortages
expected in many sectors due to the administration’s nationalization of numerous
companies and its continued threats to strategic industries, such as food processing and
agriculture. Except for activity with political bedfellows such as Iran, China, Libya and
Russia, there is virtually no new foreign investment in Venezuela outside of the petroleum
industry. Unfortunately, the country’s administration and policy environment will cripple
any chance of a recovery. Vacancy rates are still near zero in the office, industrial,
and retail sectors, while rental rates are rising sharply in local currency terms (due to high
inflation rates and artificially low U.S. Dollar-to-Bolivar exchange rates. Although investors
and developers remain very cautious due to the lack of transparency and political risks,
there is some new development and investment in real estate.
Downtown Office
Massachusetts Washington, DC New York City-Midtown $ 55.60 $ 74.00 12.5%
Class A
New Hampshire Washington, DC $ 53.50 $ 80.00 12.8%
Boston, Massachusetts $ 42.00 $ 44.00 11.7%
New York City-Downtown $ 41.23 $ 49.00 12.5%
Wilmington, Delaware $ 26.00 $ 29.00 20.0%
Office
SuburbanOffice
Office Westchester, New York $ 32.34 $ 33.00 14.0%
ClassAA
Northern Virginia $ 55.00 $ 32.00 14.0%
Baltimore’s CBD continues to suffer with a vacancy rate slightly higher than it was in 2009. Among
Class
Suburban
Suburban Maryland/DC Suburbs $ 29.28 $ 50.50 16.0%
the market’s many challenges: nearly $2 billion of commercial properties that have been foreclosed
Northern New Jersey $ 29.00 $ 46.00 13.6%
or are carrying significant maturing debt, up from $1.8 billion in 2009.
Princeton/Mercer County, New Jersey $ 28.50 $ 32.00 13.0%
Downward velocity in the Boston office market appears to be slowing. Vacancy increased to 14.1% Bucks County, Pennsylvania $ 26.00 $ 30.00 16.0%
and Class A rents decreased to $32/SF in 2010, but the changes were less profound than in 2009.
The Manhattan office market was on an upward trend throughout 2010. The recovery to date has Leading Price Retail Markets
been atypical, as law firms, media and marketing industries take advantage of availabilities and
pricing in quality space. Financial institutions, which generally take the bulk of the space, are doing
Market Effective Avg. High Rent Vacancy
so on a lesser scale.
Office
New York City-Midtown $ 135.00 $2,000.00 4.1%
Downtown
Downtown
In Northern Virginia, vacancy rates fell across all building types and the market saw its first spec-
Retail
Washington, DC $ 55.00 $ 80.00 2.5%
A
Retail
Downtown
Class
ulative construction project in two years. With less new supply delivering, coupled with continued Westchester, New York $ 49.88 $ 75.00 15.0%
GSA leasing, vacancy rates are expected to drop further. Investment sales transaction volume is up Boston, Massachusetts $ 42.00 $ 54.00 3.6%
throughout the region, with total sales volume increasing more than 46% in 2010 vs. 2009. Philadelphia, Pennsylvania $ 35.00 $ 75.00 10.0%
The nation's capital, Washington, DC, is also its strongest commercial real estate market.
It continues its track to recovery propelled by federal government activity in 2010. Vacancy rates Market Effective Avg. High Rent Vacancy
Centers
ClassCenters
Office
saw a small reduction after a decisive uptick in demand coincided with the continued thinning of Westchester, New York $ 35.63 $ 40.00 15.0%
Washington, DC $ 30.00 $ 45.00 3.0%
Retail
The Northern New Jersey industrial market was hit hard by the recession but is recovering and
Retail
has seen new absorption. Vacancies remain at historical highs, 8.5-9%, yet a continued demand
Power
drug and alternative energy companies seek labor, power, rail, port and economic incentives Market Effective Avg. High Rent Vacancy
RetailRetail
offered specifically within The Philadelphia Naval Yard and other industrial sites under the control Long Island, New York $ 90.00 $ 120.00 5.0%
Regional
of the Philadelphia Industrial Development Corporation. Westchester, New York $ 78.38 $ 90.00 10.0%
Regional
The industrial market in Westchester is flat. Prices have dropped, but the amount of vacant space Washington, DC $ 62.00 $ 90.00 4.0%
continues to rise and there do not appear to be many tenants looking. Wilmington, Delaware $ 55.00 $ 75.00 6.0%
Middlesex/Somerset Counties, New Jersey $ 50.00 $ 60.00 16.0%
Retail
The Baltimore retail market did not experience much change in market conditions from 2009 to Leading Price Industrial Markets
2010. A total of 1.2 million SF of retail was under construction at the end of Q3 2010.
Warehouse
The retail sector in Northern New Jersey has been most impacted by the economic crisis. Tenants
Market Effective Avg. High Rent Vacancy
Industrial
Warehouse
seek to restructure leases while landlords manage each situation independently. Vacancy rates have
Washington, DC $ 9.00 $ 16.50 12.8%
Industrial
leveled off yet remain high at 8-9%. The larger malls remain leased and are doing well.
Northern Virginia $ 8.50 $ 18.00 9.7%
BulkBulk
The retail market in Northern Virginia has held its own, but rents generally remain flat to declining. Westchester, New York $ 8.00 $ 14.00 10.7%
One of the largest sale transactions in 2010 was Plaza America in Reston. This 222,692 SF retail Suburban Maryland/DC Suburbs $ 7.11 $ 22.00 13.0%
center sold for $49 million, or $220.03/SF. Northern New Jersey $ 6.25 $ 7.00 10.0%
Philadelphia retail activity was a mixed bag in 2010. The Sugar House Casino opened in
Manufacturing
Industrial
September and retail demand continues at a fair pace for well-located opportunities, but rental Market Effective Avg. High Rent Vacancy
Manufacturing
rates continue to decline throughout the market and tenant concessions remain the catalyst for Westchester, New York $ 8.00 $ 12.00 10.7%
Industrial
The biggest change in the Westchester retail market has been the increased amount of retail Market Effective Avg. High Rent Vacancy
High Tech/R&D
space available for lease. While there has been substantial absorption, this is due primarily to Princeton/Mercer County, New Jersey $ 24.00 $ 30.00 15.0%
Industrial
several supermarkets (ShopRite, Fairway, Stop & Shop) and Walgreen's taking some of the bigger Washington, DC $ 14.50 $ 16.00 11.6%
spaces. Smaller "mom & pop' shops continue to struggle Wilmington, Delaware $ 14.00 $ 20.00 18.0%
Northern Virginia $ 12.00 $ 25.00 14.2%
Westchester, New York $ 11.30 $ 27.00 15.0%
Downtown Office
Mississippi Miami, Florida $ 36.59 $ 44.82 21.8%
Class A
Palm Beach County, Florida $ 28.50 $ 45.00 24.0%
Tampa Bay, Florida $ 28.00 $ 32.00 15.0%
Charlotte, North Carolina $ 26.00 $ 28.00 12.5%
Office Charleston, South Carolina $ 24.50 27.00 9.3%
Atlanta’s office market has begun to gradually rebound from the recession. Leasing activity has
increased, but this activity is dominated by consolidation and downsizing, so the activity does not Market Effective Avg. High Rent Vacancy
Suburban Office
translate to lower vacancy. Vacancy rates are averaging 20.3% and tenants are benefiting from Palm Beach County, Florida $ 32.00 $ 47.00 22.0%
Class A
aggressive concession packages and reduced rental rates. Miami, Florida $ 28.73 $ 44.00 20.2%
Tampa Bay, Florida $ 28.00 $ 32.00 15.0%
The Birmingham office market racked up 490,044 SF of negative absorption in 2010. The overall
Memphis, Tennessee $ 23.44 $ 27.50 11.0%
occupancy fell 3% to 90.5%.
Asheville, North Carolina $ 23.40 $ 26.00 20.0%
Over the last 18 months, four new buildings totaling 2.85 million SF were delivered in the
Charlotte CBD. Despite fear that vacancies would rise with the new deliveries, the overall vacancy
rate of 12.1% is near a historic low.
Leading Price Retail Markets
A number of Jacksonville’s major office tenants relocated to the suburbs in 2010, leaving abundant
space available in the city’s urban core. However, aided by the resurgence in suburban leasing activity,
Market Effective Avg. High Rent Vacancy
2010 overall office vacancy rates declined to 15.5%.
Miami, Florida $ 37.30 $ 47.50 5.5%
Downtown
The office sector in Miami is divergent. The CBD, Brickell and other submarkets are witnessing
Retail
Charleston, South Carolina $ 36.00 $ 44.00 11.0%
vacancy rates of 20% or more. Most large tenants have relocated or renegotiated favorable terms Orlando, Florida $ 28.00 $ 32.00 14.4%
in premier buildings. Rental rates in weakened submarkets will continue to fall at a mitigating Charlotte, North Carolina $ 27.25 $ 35.00 16.1%
pace, while healthy submarkets should stabilize. Palm Beach County, Florida $ 25.00 $ 40.00 15.0%
The number of sale transactions in Orlando has increased, but the average price per SF has
declined and cap rates have averaged 8.8%. Market Effective Avg. High Rent Vacancy
Service Centers Miami, Florida $ 21.32 $ 59.95 8.7%
Industrial Palm Beach County, Florida $ 20.00 $ 33.00 13.0%
Retail
Jacksonville is the second-busiest port for automobiles in the nation, and just fewer than 519,000 Miami, Florida $ 24.73 $ 49.18 6.6%
Retail
automobile units went through Jacksonville in 2010, which represented a 24% year-over-year increase. Chattanooga, Tennessee $ 24.00 $ 30.00 10.0%
Charlotte, North Carolina $ 21.48 $ 29.00 5.5%
The Memphis industrial market enjoyed a strong 2010. Large spaces have been filled through Louisville, Kentucky $ 21.35 $ 28.00 10.4%
leasing activity, principally in the Southeast Memphis and DeSoto County submarkets. Palm Beach County, Florida $ 20.50 $ 25.00 14.0%
Miami’s industrial markets are improving with large blocks absorbed, including a 342,000 SF
transaction. As global economies improve, so will local markets. Miami’s largest trading partner, Market Effective Avg. High Rent Vacancy
Regional Malls
The overall Orlando industrial vacancy rate stands at 12.8%. Net absorption has been positive Savannah, Georgia $ 35.00 $ 50.00 2.5%
and vacant sublease space continues to decrease as well. However, lease rates have yet to recover Columbia, South Carolina $ 35.00 $ 45.00 17.1%
and are down from 2009. Greenville/Spartanburg/Anderson Counties, $ 35.00 $ 40.00 2.0%
The Tampa industrial market suffers from an abundance of functionally obsolete product with low South Carolina
ceilings and fixed interior components. New flex space in the I-4 corridor is the hot new market
with several large facilities currently under construction.
Leading Price Industrial Markets
The Atlanta retail market will continue to adjust itself with some vacant centers that were ill-
Palm Beach County, Florida $ 5.25 $ 7.00 10.8%
conceived. Vacancy rates are high in many areas (±15%) and rent adjustments downward
Tampa Bay, Florida $ 5.25 $ 6.50 30.0%
continue to press landlords. Tenant choices have never been better.
Orlando, Florida $ 4.50 $ 6.50 13.5%
In Charlotte, several grocery-anchored centers traded at impressive levels as investors sought Jacksonville, Florida $ 4.32 $ 6.05 10.2%
core assets with stable returns. There was a substantial increase in single-tenant deals, banks,
auto and drug stores. Market Effective Avg. High Rent Vacancy
Manufacturing
The retail sector in Knoxville has been depressed with high vacancy rates and tenants seeking Palm Beach County, Florida $ 6.00 $ 7.50 11.3%
Industrial
rent reductions. Prime locations continue to lease but with free rent and increased tenant Tampa Bay, Florida $ 5.50 $ 7.50 25.0%
improvement contributions from the landlord. National credit tenants are being replaced in many Birmingham, Alabama $ 4.50 $ 6.50 15.0%
instances by local tenants as a temporary relief from existing vacancy. Asheville, North Carolina $ 4.50 $ 6.00 15.0%
Retail demand is rebounding in Miami as consumer spending picks up. Despite store closings, Savannah, Georgia $ 4.50 $ 4.50
supply is in balance because of barriers to entry. REITs are purchasing quality retail assets now
priced at higher cap rates. Market Effective Avg. High Rent Vacancy
High Tech/R&D
Retail vacancies are expected to improve in Orlando as the wave of store and restaurant closings Orlando, Florida $ 30.00 $ 30.00 5.2%
Industrial
subsides. New restaurant chains are entering the market and dollar stores continue to thrive and Mobile, Alabama $ 17.50 $ 20.00 10.0%
expand. Quoted lease rates are trending lower in the near-term. Knoxville, Tennessee $ 15.00 $ 21.00 6.0%
Miami, Florida $ 11.61 $ 20.10 8.8%
Birmingham, Alabama $ 10.20 $ 12.50 8.0%
Downtown Office
Minnesota Wisconsin Miami, Florida $ 36.59 $ 44.82 21.8%
Class A
Missouri Palm Beach County, Florida $ 28.50 $ 45.00 24.0%
Tampa Bay, Florida $ 28.00 $ 32.00 15.0%
Charlotte, North Carolina $ 26.00 $ 28.00 12.5%
Office Charleston, South Carolina $ 24.50 $ 27.00 9.3%
The downtown Chicago office vacancy rate has been on the rise for the past two years, but finally
leveled off around 17% during the second half of 2010. Downtown construction has ground to a Market Effective Avg. High Rent Vacancy
Suburban Office
halt in 2010, following the delivery of 3.6 million SF in 2009. Suburban vacancy rates, typically Palm Beach County, Florida $ 32.00 $ 47.00 22.0%
Class A
higher and more volatile than that downtown, continued to climb through 2010, and neared 24% Miami, Florida $ 28.73 $ 44.00 20.2%
at year’s end. Tampa Bay, Florida $ 28.00 $ 32.00 15.0%
Total office vacancy in Cleveland was about 20%, with vacancy in Class A space around 11%. Memphis, Tennessee $ 23.44 $ 27.50 11.0%
The next few years will be critical as two highly anticipated public/private developments in the Asheville, North Carolina $ 23.40 $ 26.00 20.0%
CBD move off the drawing board: a medical mart and convention center, expected to be completed
in 2012; and a new casino, expected to be completed in 2013.
The Kansas City office market improved modestly during 2010 with overall vacancy decreasing
Leading Price Retail Markets
1% to 18.8% and Class A vacancy decreasing 3.5% to 17%. Competitive rates and incentive
packages spurred many tenants to seek higher quality projects. Private employment levels need Market Effective Avg. High Rent Vacancy
to increase for sustained improvement. Miami, Florida $ 37.30 $ 47.50 5.5%
Downtown
Retail
The Twin Cities of Minneapolis and St. Paul have one of the most diverse economies in the U.S., Charleston, South Carolina $ 36.00 $ 44.00 11.0%
Orlando, Florida $ 28.00 $ 32.00 14.4%
with more than 90% of all major industries represented and more Fortune 500 headquarters
Charlotte, North Carolina $ 27.25 $ 35.00 16.1%
than any other state. Rental rates held steady in 2010 with vacancy rates stable at 10%.
Palm Beach County, Florida $25.00 $ 40.00 15.0%
The St. Louis office market experienced moderate growth with significant gains reported by year’s
end. Rental rates are on the decline as tenants continue to seek and gain landlord concessions. Market Effective Avg. High Rent Vacancy
Service Centers Miami, Florida $ 21.32 $ 59.95 8.7%
Industrial Palm Beach County, Florida $ 20.00 $ 33.00 13.0%
Retail
The second largest industrial market and the most important transportation hub in the U.S., Mobile/Baldwin Counties, Alabama $ 18.75 $ 27.50 10.0%
Chicago continued to be challenged during 2010 by limited demand and an uncertain economy. Chattanooga, Tennessee $ 18.00 $ 20.00 10.0%
Greensboro/High Point/Winston-Salem, North Carolina $ 18.00 $ 20.00 20.0%
Vacancy rates peaked above 12%, but improved for the first time in two years during the second
half of the year.
Cleveland industrial stabilized with static vacancy, firming rents and a positive leasing velocity. Market Effective Avg. High Rent Vacancy
Power Centers
These factors were well balanced by a lack of new development, due to an overall tentativeness Miami, Florida $ 24.73 $ 49.18 6.6%
Retail
among businesses coupled with a continued lack of liquidity within the lending market. Chattanooga, Tennessee $ 24.00 $ 30.00 10.0%
Charlotte, North Carolina $ 21.48 $ 29.00 5.5%
For the first time since the beginning of 2008, Detroit’s industrial market has shown positive
Louisville, Kentucky $ 21.35 $ 28.00 10.4%
net absorption (1 million SF), furthering the case that stability has returned. Large investments
Palm Beach County, Florida $ 20.50 $ 25.00 14.0%
in alternative energy and “green” engineering have recently shown increased velocity with the
signing of A123 Systems, the largest lithium ion battery plant in the world.
Market Effective Avg. High Rent Vacancy
Regional Malls
St. Louis recorded modest gains in net absorption at the end of 2010 after neutral results earlier Chattanooga, Tennessee $ 37.00 $ 50.00 10.0%
in the year. This was aided by historically low deliveries. Several large leases were signed, Charleston, South Carolina $ 36.00 $ 46.00 4.0%
Retail
although the main activity tended to center around lease renewals rather than new tenants. Savannah, Georgia $ 35.00 $ 50.00 2.5%
Columbia, South Carolina $ 35.00 $ 45.00 17.1%
Retail Greenville/Spartanburg/Anderson Counties, $ 35.00 $ 40.00 2.0%
South Carolina
Cleveland’s retail segment remained behind the pace set by the industrial and office segments.
However, the string of retail tenant bankruptcies dramatically slowed as the segment began to
reposition towards a much-anticipated recovery. Leading Price Industrial Markets
Milwaukee has seen an up-tick in retail leasing. Lease rates have dropped since 2009 but have
leveled out as vacancy has decreased over the past 12 months. Retailers have shown optimism Market Effective Avg. High Rent Vacancy
Bulk Warehouse
Activity and new lease signings have increased across the board in the Twin Cities of Minneapolis/ Palm Beach County, Florida $ 5.25 $ 7.00 10.8%
St. Paul. Today there is less emphasis on cost and more focus on consumer demand. Gordman’s Tampa Bay, Florida $ 5.25 $ 6.50 30.0%
will be making its debut in the Twin Cities market with three locations, while Herberger’s, Aldi, Orlando, Florida $ 4.50 $ 6.50 13.5%
Staples, Wal-Mart, Big Lots, T-Mobile, Little Caesars Pizza, Jersey Mike’s and Baja Sol look to Jacksonville, Florida $ 4.32 $ 6.05 10.2%
add additional locations.
Market Effective Avg. High Rent Vacancy
Omaha has seen an increase in retail activity, especially national tenants who specialize in the
Manufacturing
discount sector. However, there is very little activity with big box, anchor and junior anchor sites. Tampa Bay, Florida $ 5.50 $ 7.50 25.0%
Landlords are working hard to retain retail tenants at the end of lease terms. Birmingham, Alabama $ 4.50 $ 6.50 15.0%
Asheville, North Carolina $ 4.50 $ 6.00 15.0%
Savannah, Georgia $ 4.50 $ 4.50
Downtown Office
Houston, Texas $ 36.25 $ 42.96 8.0%
Class A
Austin, Texas $ 35.50 $ 46.00 17.0%
Office Fort Worth, Texas $ 23.00 $ 27.00 15.0%
For the first time since 2005, citywide occupancies fell below 84% in Baton Rouge in 2010, Baton Rouge, Louisiana $ 22.58 $ 23.00 12.0%
which is 4% lower than the prior year. A glut of sublease space and motivated landlords have San Antonio, Texas $ 22.00 $ 25.00 12.0%
made the office sector very tenant friendly, although a recent increase in medical office and
general office activity may show early signs of private sector growth. Market Effective Avg. High Rent Vacancy
Suburban Office
In Dallas/Ft. Worth, supply exceeds current demand, making it a “tenants’” market as we play Houston, Texas $ 27.64 $ 43.99 18.0%
Class A
“catch up” from flat or negative absorption in recent years. Office vacancy stands at 20%. We Austin, Texas $ 26.75 $ 33.00 29.0%
are seeing a marked increase in absorption and foresee occupancy rates rising significantly in New Orleans, Louisiana $ 22.33 $ 24.00 9.4%
2011 as companies make longer commitments and take advantage of the depressed rental rates. Dallas, Texas $ 22.00 $ 30.00 19.6%
San Antonio, Texas $ 22.00 $ 24.00 15.0%
Houston’s emphasis on international trade is expanding and is a prominent theme in the city’s
continued economic development. Houston’s office vacancy rate across all classes was 14.2%
in 2010 and a low 12.5% in the CBD.
Leading Price Retail Markets
The New Orleans office market remains resilient and stable, with downtown Class A office
occupancy near 89% at rates of $17-$20/SF. Occupancy in the suburban market is at 90.6%,
with rates of $22-24/SF. Market Effective Avg. High Rent Vacancy
Houston, Texas $ 36.20 $ 50.00 30.0%
Downtown
San Antonio office properties approached year-end 2010 with a vacancy rate of 18.6%, down
Retail
Austin, Texas $ 26.50 $ 41.00 5.0%
slightly from 2009. Likewise, rental rates remained relatively stable at $20.54/SF on a full-service
San Antonio, Texas $ 23.50 $ 25.00 18.0%
basis, up $0.13 from the same time a year earlier.
Fort Worth, Texas $ 18.75 $ 38.00 1.4%
New Orleans, Louisiana $ 16.86 $ 40.00 20.0%
Industrial
With overall vacancy still over 20%, there is still ample first-generation space available to in Market Effective Avg. High Rent Vacancy
Austin. Rental rates, which have fallen 30-35% from the high reached in late 2007, have begun Service Centers Dallas, Texas $ 32.50 $ 60.00 10.0%
McAllen/Mission, Texas $ 21.00 $ 27.00 2.0%
Retail
fill large vacancies. The restaurant market also remains active with expanding concepts as well
New Orleans, Louisiana $ 41.25 $ 65.00 5.0%
as new entries like Maggiano's Little Italy, Qdoba, Cafe Express and Los Cucos
Baton Rouge, Louisiana $ 35.00 $ 80.00 N/A
The Fort Worth retail market can expect to see a stabilized vacancy factor by Q1 2011 based on Jonesboro, Arkansas $ 25.00 $ 32.00 10.0%
leasing activity in the last two quarters of 2010. The retail market is showing signs of improvement,
although the viral effects of a national economic downturn hinder a breakout of positive rent
growth.
Leading Price Industrial Markets
Houston’s retail market experienced a decrease in vacancy to 7.6% overall. The average quoted
asking rent dropped 2.9% to $14.55/SF. However, sales prices have risen about $10/SF over the
Market Effective Avg. High Rent Vacancy
past 12 months. The Galleria, a landmark Houston retail property, sold in June 2010 for
Bulk Warehouse
Downtown Office
Hawaii Utah Honolulu, Hawaii $ 35.16 $ 35.52 12.0%
Class A
Idaho Washington Los Angeles County, California $ 32.31 $ 42.00 15.5%
Montana Wyoming Portland, Oregon $ 29.00 $ 35.00 8.2%
San Diego, California $ 29.00 $ 30.60 18.0%
San Francisco, California $ 28.36 $ 55.00 15.0%
Office
Supply and demand is generally in balance in Denver. The vacancy rate decreased slightly from Market Effective Avg. High Rent Vacancy
Suburban Office
14.8% in 2009 to 14.5% in 2010 and with four continuous quarters of positive absorption, more Los Angeles County, California $ 36.89 $ 71.40 17.3%
Class A
than 1.8 million SF was absorbed in the last year. San Francisco, California $ 32.11 $ 141.50 19.4%
San Diego, California $ 31.80 $ 46.80 18.0%
Vacancy rates for new office space in Los Angeles remain stubbornly high, above 30% county-
Ventura County, California $ 29.33 $ 38.22 19.6%
wide. Class A vacancy rates are about half that for new space but still high by historical standards.
Orange County, California $ 26.10 $ 54.00 20.5%
Rental rates are still declining as evidenced by the $2.00/SF decline for Class A space. Rental
rates for Class B space have fallen, but not by much.
Portland’s suburban office market struggled in 2010, with decreasing rental rates and increasing Leading Price Retail Markets
vacancy, but Central City remains fairly healthy, especially for Class A space.
Improved activity in the San Diego office market resulted in a decrease in the countywide vacancy
Market Effective Avg. High Rent Vacancy
rate to 15.3% in 2010. Average rents declined by 1.7% from 2009 to $25.99/SF.
Honolulu, Hawaii $ 115.98 $ 180.00 6.0%
Downtown
A growing tech sector helped offset losses in San Francisco’s banking, legal and financial sectors,
Retail
San Francisco, California $ 45.00 $ 189.00 5.1%
and the market was further aided by an empty pipeline of new construction. With tenants sensing Seattle/Puget Sound, Washington $ 40.00 $ 60.00 6.5%
a bottoming, several large lease signings took place in 2010 as major tenants moved to lock in Jackson Hole, Wyoming $ 32.00 $ 50.00 5.0%
rates that are about 30% below the 2007 peak. San Diego, California $ 31.80 $ 66.00 5.0%
Seattle continues to attract high tech, aerospace, international trade, manufacturing and other
companies on the cutting edge of innovation. Amazon is moving into 2.1 million SF of space and Market Effective Avg. High Rent Vacancy
the Gates Foundation is moving into its new 1.3 million SF headquarters. Service Centers Honolulu, Hawaii $ 41.16 $ 46.68 2.7%
Seattle/Puget Sound, Washington $ 26.00 $ 35.00 8.0%
Retail
Los Angeles industrial vacancy rates have fallen to approximately 8.6%. The R&D segment has Honolulu, Hawaii $ 49.02 $ 54.36 4.8%
the highest vacancy rates at 9.0%. Rental rates continue to soften across the board. Rental rates
Retail
availability in the industrial market declined to 7.83% in 2010 after reaching nearly 10% in 2009. Albuquerque, New Mexico $ 42.00 $ 50.00 21.1%
Honolulu, Hawaii $ 41.82 $ 51.48 8.5%
Retail
Industrial has been one of the strongest sectors and the aggregate square footage leased in
2010 will eclipse 2009 levels by more than 11%. San Francisco, California $ 40.00 $ 100.00 5.0%
Seattle/Puget Sound, Washington $ 38.00 $ 70.00 5.6%
Overall industrial vacancy in Seattle is 8.5%, high for the region, but comparatively strong
Phoenix, Arizona $ 32.50 $ 40.00 10.0%
nationally. This rate will drop as port traffic increases and Boeing begins hiring in 2011.
in the last year. Much of this positive movement was driven by a 14.8% reduction in quoted
Honolulu, Hawaii $ 11.27 $ 11.65 4.8%
Industrial
rental rates.
San Francisco, California $ 9.35 $ 13.81 5.8%
Hawaii’s hospitality and retail trade sectors are benefiting from the sharp declines in the value San Diego, California $ 8.04 $ 48.84 9.0%
of the U.S. dollar. New hospitality and retail related venues are being planned by national and Ventura County, California $ 7.12 $ 15.00 8.8%
international retailers such as Forever 21, Sephora, Victoria’s Secret, Tommy Bahama and Ross. Jackson Hole, Wyoming $ 7.00 $ 8.00 10.0%
Local retailers continue to be an important segment of Las Vegas’ recovery with tenants taking
advantage of the historically low rates. Positive net absorption of 47,200 SF through midyear Market Effective Avg. High Rent Vacancy
Manufacturing
2010 has been a positive indicator for retail. Honolulu, Hawaii $ 24.48 $ 12.60 6.5%
Industrial
announced new stores in Portland’s suburbs. San Diego, California $ 56.00 $ 42.00 17.0%
Industrial
Guam Singapore
SECTION CONTENTS
Calgary, Alberta, Canada
Edmonton, Alberta, Canada
Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
Victoria, British Columbia, Canada
Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada
Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
Toronto, Ontario, Canada
Montréal, Quebec, Canada
Regina, Saskatchewan, Canada
41
Calgary, Alberta, Canada Edmonton, Alberta, Canada
Calgary is the largest metropolitan city in the province of Edmonton is positioned as the Gateway to the North, the
Alberta, located in the south central part of the province. largest key metropolitan area to Canada’s oil industry. In 2010
Calgary is known as the gateway to the Rockies (the Rocky businesses and the media emphasized caution while in the
Mountains), which are located approximately one hour west background the interest and capital to be invested here was
of Calgary. The city’s dominant economic drivers are the reason for continued optimism. The Conference Board of
oil and gas/energy sector and related technology sectors. Canada predicts a continued rebound for Edmonton’s GDP
Calgary is home to more corporate headquarters per capita from a contraction of 5.1% in 2009 to growth of 3.8% in
than any other city in Canada. 2010 and projected 4.0% in 2011.
Over the past 10 years, Calgary has experienced a 46.2% It is hard to understand the realities and economic impact of
growth in the number of companies locating their headquarters a provincial total of $228.8 billion in major project investment
here. Approximately 114 Calgary-based companies are in the (recent and announced), where oil and gas make up 77.7%.
Fortune 500, 10 of which are the top 50 in Canada. Calgary is The commercial investment market has seen a flurry of
home to corporate headquarters including Encana, Suncor, activity in terms of large sales with minimal single investment
Petro Canada, Trans Canada Pipeline, Westjet, Forzani’s, sales. Smaller owners have been reluctant to sell their build-
etc. Calgary is also a distribution hub for western Canada ings as they have few alternatives to provide a more favorable
located on intersecting major Canadian Highways, including and secure return.
Contact the Trans Canada Highway. Calgary, the third largest Contact
metropolitan city in Canada, has a population approaching Office vacancies have increased from 6.45% in 2009
NAI Commercial Calgary NAI Commercial Edmonton
1.1 million people. to 7.13% through 2010. The large amount of sublease
+1 403 214 2344 +1 780 436 7410
vacancy, which could add 1.5% to the noted amount, and
Calgary’s office market is relatively large when compared new unimproved space that became available throughout
to the size of the city, boasting over 36 million SF of office 2010 caused the vacancy rates to increase from the steady
space in downtown Calgary and an additional 20 million SF decline in previous years. Rental rates in those areas adjusted
in the suburbs. Currently the vacancy rate for office space accordingly to compete with the sublease availabilities.
over the entire market is 14% with several large office building Edmonton’s retail vacancy continues to maintain its perform-
developments still coming to market over the next 12 to ance with a vacancy rate of 2.66% in 2010, versus 2.96%
18 months. in 2009.
The industrial market has been rapidly growing to try and The industrial market vacancy rate was 2.94% for 2010
Country Data meet demand. There has been no speculative construction, Country Data
versus 1.92% for 2009. However, in 2010 it was reported
although demand for large bulk warehouse has incremen-
there was an additional 1.75% of industrial vacancy by way
Area (Sq Mi) 3,855,100 tally increased in Calgary. The manufacturing sector has re- Area (Sq Mi) 3,855,100
of sublease or occupied space being marketed as available.
mained steady while the smaller, oil and gas related
There has been a significant slowdown in small bay activity
GDP Growth 3.1% technology sector, has increased. Landlords, tenants and GDP Growth 3.1%
with tenants being reluctant to commit in what they consider
investors are optimistic and expect this sector to remain
uncertain times. The number of large vacancies (10,000 SF+)
GDP 2010 (US$ B) $1,563.66 strong into 2011. GDP 2010 (US$ B) $1,563.66 has increased as well as the sublease availability. With
The retail market has not seen as wide ranging variations softening lease rates from previous years, many tenants still
GDP/Capita (USD) $45,887.74 in vacancy, absorption or construction activity and has GDP/Capita (USD) $45,887.74 continue to relocate or take advantage of the lowered activity.
remained much more stable than the aforementioned office Industrial land has also seen a small moderation in price.
Inflation Rate 1.8% market. Retail growth remains steady, and is beginning to Inflation Rate 1.8% A sampling of sales of parcels from 1-5 acres in 2010
gain momentum. New construction is expected to signifi- shows an average price of $512,820/acre versus $677,083
Unemployment 8.0%
cantly increase late in 2011. Unemployment 8.0% in 2009.
Rate The land market is going through a significant change with Rate
The Edmonton region has suffered less through the downturn
much of the leveraged land being foreclosed on and sold than other markets. Optimism is tempered with one eye
Interest Rate 1.0% at significantly discounted values, setting the stage for a Interest Rate 1.0%
focused on the continuing uncertainty worldwide and the
more balanced market going forward. Sales volume recent reminder of the difficulties created from an over-
Population (Millions) 34.076 and transaction counts are expected to remain below Population (Millions) 34.076 stimulated economy.
the historical average in 2010.
Calgary At A Glance Edmonton At A Glance
Conversion 1.01 CAD = 1 US$ NET RENT/SF/YR US$ NET RENT/SF/YR Conversion 1.01 CAD = 1 US$ NET RENT/SF/YR US$ NET RENT/SF/YR
Low High Low High Vacancy Low High Low High Vacancy
DOWNTOWN OFFICE DOWNTOWN OFFICE
New Construction (AAA) CAD 25.00 CAD 40.00 $ 24.75 $ 39.60 14.40% New Construction (AAA) CAD 26.00 CAD 35.00 $ 25.74 $ 34.65 7.10%
Class A (Prime) CAD 20.00 CAD 30.00 $ 19.80 $ 29.70 12.80% Class A (Prime) CAD 22.00 CAD 30.00 $ 21.78 $ 29.70 7.10%
Class B (Secondary) CAD 12.00 CAD 22.00 $ 11.88 $ 21.78 18.20% Class B (Secondary) CAD 13.00 CAD 22.00 $ 12.87 $ 21.78 7.10%
SUBURBAN OFFICE SUBURBAN OFFICE
New Construction (AAA) N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A New Construction (AAA) CAD 23.00 CAD 26.00 $ 22.77 $ 25.74 7.10%
Class A (Prime) CAD 14.00 CAD 25.00 $ 13.86 $ 24.75 14.00% Class A (Prime) CAD 18.00 CAD 22.00 $ 17.82 $ 21.78 7.10%
Class B (Secondary) CAD 10.00 CAD 16.00 $ 9.90 $ 15.84 12.20% Class B (Secondary) CAD 10.00 CAD 18.00 $ 9.90 $ 17.82 7.10%
INDUSTRIAL INDUSTRIAL
Bulk Warehouse CAD 4.00 CAD 8.00 $ 3.96 $ 7.92 N/A Bulk Warehouse CAD 5.00 CAD 9.75 $ 4.95 $ 9.65 2.90%
Manufacturing CAD 5.00 CAD 10.00 $ 4.95 $ 9.90 N/A Manufacturing CAD 5.00 CAD 11.00 $ 4.95 $ 10.89 2.90%
High Tech/R&D CAD 6.00 CAD 15.00 $ 5.94 $ 14.85 N/A High Tech/R&D CAD 5.00 CAD 11.00 $ 4.95 $ 10.89 2.90%
RETAIL RETAIL
Downtown CAD 20.00 CAD 100.00 $ 19.80 $ 99.01 N/A Downtown CAD 18.00 CAD 37.00 $ 17.82 $ 36.63 2.70%
Neighborhood Service Centers CAD 12.00 CAD 30.00 $ 11.88 $ 29.70 N/A Neighborhood Service Centers CAD 16.00 CAD 32.00 $ 15.84 $ 31.68 2.70%
Community Power Center CAD 12.00 CAD 25.00 $ 11.88 $ 24.75 N/A Community Power Center CAD 24.00 CAD 35.00 $ 23.76 $ 34.65 2.70%
Regional Malls CAD 25.00 CAD 140.00 $ 24.75 $ 138.61 N/A Regional Malls CAD 30.00 CAD 125.00 $ 29.70 $ 123.76 2.70%
Solus Food Stores N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Solus Food Stores N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
DEVELOPMENT LAND Low//Acre High/Acre Low/Acre High/Acre DEVELOPMENT LAND Low//Acre High/Acre Low/Acre High/Acre
Office in CBD CAD 4,000,000.00 CAD 13,000,000.00 $ 3,960,396.04 $ 12,871,287.13 Office in CBD N/A N/A N/A N/A
Land in Office Parks CAD 700,000.00 CAD 1,200,000.00 $ 693,069.31 $ 1,188,118.81 Land in Office Parks N/A N/A N/A N/A
Land in Industrial Parks CAD 250,000.00 CAD 600,000.00 $ 247,524.75 $ 594,059.41 Land in Industrial Parks CAD 200,000.00 CAD 550,000.00 $ 198,019.80 $ 544,554.46
Office/Industrial Land - Non-park N/A N/A N/A N/A Office/Industrial Land - Non-park CAD 250,000.00 CAD 650,000.00 $ 247,524.75 $ 643,564.36
Retail/Commercial Land CAD 600,000.00 CAD 1,200,000.00 $ 594,059.41 $ 1,188,118.81 Retail/Commercial Land CAD 300,000.00 CAD 1,000,000.00 $ 297,029.70 $ 990,099.01
Residential CAD 100,000.00 CAD 6,000,000.00 $ 99,009.90 $ 5,940,594.06 Residential CAD 65,000.00 CAD 850,000.00 $ 64,356.44 $ 841,584.16
that will shift the retail and will attract new and exciting
retailers to the city. Modest growth in the east and northwest
sectors will continue with all other areas maintaining both
rental and vacancy rates.
The Regina office market has enjoyed a historically low
Contact
vacancy rate, below 3% in most asset categories. The
construction of a new office tower will add 200,000 SF to the
market in 2012. Plans are also under way for an 80,000 SF
NAI Commercial
downtown office building. Rental rates continue to rise as the
(SASK)
difference between new construction and the existing, shrink-
+1 306 525 3344
ing supply becomes more apparent. Look for continued
strength into 2012.
The Regina industrial market is beginning a marked change
as a result of the investment in the intermodal project on
the city's west side. Westfair Foods is well under way with a
1 million SF facility, with over 300 to 400 new jobs being
created with this project alone. Industrial lease rates remain
Country Data strong with rates approaching $10.00/SF for warehouse
space and $12.00/SF for industrial office space.
Area (Sq Mi) 3,855,100 Land prices remain steady in the range of $225,000/acre
with ample supply. The investment market remains very
GDP Growth 3.1% strong with good quality investment properties in short supply.
The performance of the Saskatchewan market in light of the
recession has resulted in a steady demand for this type of
GDP 2010 (US$ B) $1,563.66
product. Cap rates that are sub 8% are not uncommon for
quality properties that are well located and well tenanted.
GDP/Capita (USD) $45,887.74
Rural market interest in agricultural land in Saskatchewan
has risen steadily for the past three years. Increasing
Inflation Rate 1.8% commodity prices have led to increased demand for rural
land. Look for values to increase as investors outside
Unemployment 8.0% Saskatchewan view the potential of this province. Worldwide
Rate
demand for agricultural products will foster continued growth
in 2011.
Interest Rate 1.0%
Regina At A Glance
Conversion 1.01 CAD = 1 US$ NET RENT/SF/YR
Low High
US$ NET RENT/SF/YR
Low High Vacancy
DOWNTOWN OFFICE
New Construction (AAA) CAD 37.00 CAD 40.00 $ 36.63 $ 39.60 N/A
Class A (Prime) CAD 19.00 CAD 22.00 $ 18.81 $ 21.78 1.00%
Class B (Secondary) CAD 14.00 CAD 16.00 $ 13.86 $ 15.84 2.42%
SUBURBAN OFFICE
New Construction (AAA) N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Class A (Prime) N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Class B (Secondary) N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
INDUSTRIAL
Bulk Warehouse CAD 7.00 CAD 9.00 $ 6.93 $ 8.91 N/A
Manufacturing N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
High Tech/R&D N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
RETAIL
Downtown CAD 22.00 CAD 27.00 $ 21.78 $ 26.73 N/A
Neighborhood Service Centers CAD 14.00 CAD 17.00 $ 13.86 $ 16.83 N/A
Community Power Center N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Regional Malls CAD 37.00 CAD 52.00 $ 36.63 $ 51.49 N/A
Solus Food Stores N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
DEVELOPMENT LAND Low//Acre High/Acre Low/Acre High/Acre
Office in CBD CAD 70.00 CAD 85.00 $ 69.31 $ 84.16
Land in Office Parks N/A N/A N/A N/A
Land in Industrial Parks CAD 5.00 CAD 7.00 $ 4.95 $ 6.93
Office/Industrial Land - Non-park N/A N/A N/A N/A
Retail/Commercial Land CAD 15.00 CAD 35.00 $ 14.85 $ 34.65
Residential N/A N/A N/A N/A
SECTION CONTENTS
Vienna, Austria
The Baltics (Latvia/Estonia/Lithuania)
Brussels, Belgium
Sofia, Bulgaria
Prague, Czech Republic
Copenhagen, Denmark
Helsinki, Finland
Paris - Ile de France (Paris Region), France
Frankfurt am Main, Germany
Athens, Greece
Reykjavik, Iceland
Tel Aviv, Israel
Almaty, Kazakhstan
Kuwait
Luxembourg City, Luxembourg
Amsterdam, The Netherlands
Oslo, Norway
Warsaw, Poland
Doha City, Qatar
Bucharest, Romania
Moscow, Russia
St. Petersburg, Russia
Belgrade, Serbia
Johannesburg, South Africa
Madrid, Spain
Stockholm, Sweden
Geneva, Switzerland
Zurich, Switzerland
Istanbul, Turkey
Kiev, Ukraine
London, England, United Kingdom
47 47
Vienna, Austria The Baltics (Latvia/Estonia/Lithuania)
Vienna is the capital of Austria and has a population of 1.7 Until recently, the Baltic States have been among the fastest
million. The city historically has been a center for commerce growing economies in Europe. However, the unbalanced
between the East and the West. Growth in the Austrian growth from 2005 to 2008, coupled with global economic
economy is estimated at 1.2% for 2010 with inflation at 1.8%. uncertainties, has resulted in the depth of the current crisis in
The unemployment rate was 4.9% in 2010, lower than the the Baltic countries. There was a total price decrease in 2010
9.6% average in the EMEA. for Estonia at -55%, Lithuania -41% and Latvia -70%. The
bottom seems to have been realized in these markets with the
An estimated 170,000 SM of new supply came on the office
lowest average prices recognized in August 2009 for Estonia,
market in 2010. A delayed reaction to the global economic
September 2009 for Latvia and March 2010 for Lithuania.
crisis continues, resulting in a continued decline in market
supply and demand. However, property searches by several The office market faced a severe seasonal slowdown with
large tenants who have already decided on their location, or vacancy rates continuing to decrease in September 2010.
Contact
are expected do so in the near future, are considered a Landlords offered discounted rentals to offset the imbalance
NAI Baltics
positive indicator in the rental market. While average rents in the short term. It is usual practice with the current financial
+371 6731 2396 circumstances to review lease terms on a yearly basis.
remained stable at approximately EUR 12.10/SM per month,
top rents have increased slightly in recent months and are Compared to 2009 the average rental rate decreased
Country Data - Estonia approximately 15% for Class B and 10% for Class A offices.
currently at EUR 24.50/SM per month. The vacancy rate Area (Sq Mi) 1,7462
Contact increased slightly and is expected to be about 6.0% by the Over the last few years there has been clear segmentation in
GDP Growth 1.8 %
NAI Austria end of 2010. Due to the limited supply on the market, office existing operational retail developments. The new, large-scale
GDP 2010 (US$ B) $19.22
+43 1 512 77 77 prime yields are currently at approximately 5.5%. Neverthe- retail developments have been temporarily postponed. Several
GDP/Capita (US$) $14,416.52 well-performing retailers moved to better locations or extended
less, top yields continue to remain below the peak values
from before the economic crisis and can also be attributed Inflation Rate 2.54% space. Some international companies have chosen to enter
to the limited group of investors. Unemployment Rate 17.55% the Latvian retail market under the new preferential conditions
Interest Rate although that was balanced with several who chose to leave
Trading and forwarding companies were the main turnover 7.5%
the market. There is an ongoing trend to consolidate car
generators for industrial and warehousing facilities in recent Population (Millions) 1.333
dealerships throughout the Baltic States.
months. Average rents are at about EUR 5.0 to 6.0/SM per
month. Owner-occupier is still a dominant feature in the Latvia New international companies entering the market are seeing
market. Area (Sq Mi) 175,015 the benefits of setting up manufacturing or logistics activities
Country Data GDP Growth 15.5%
in the Baltic States due to their strategic geographical location.
Top sector demand from domestic and German investors Rental rates for industrial/warehouse facilities have shown
Area (Sq Mi)
cannot be met in 2010. The 2010 investment volume to GDP 2010 (US$ B) $83.70
instability and witnessed a major decrease, although stabi-
32,383
date has primarily come from the office real estate market. GDP/Capita (US$) $11,900 lization is expected with Deslee Clama NV, Rahmqvist
Retail and logistics properties continue to play a subordinate Inflation Rate 2.5% AB and others entering the market. Bombardier may be
GDP Growth) 1.6%
role in the investment market. The purchase of the IZD Tower Unemployment Rate entering the market through a joint venture bid with local
14.7%
in Vienna’s 22nd district by SIGNA RECAP, together with train producer RVR to supply new trains for Pasazieru
GDP 2010 (US$ B) $366.26 Interest Rate 7.5%
German insurance company R&V Versicherung, was one of viliciens. Swiss train maker Stadler is also bidding on the deal.
the most significant transactions in the market. Credit Suisse Population (Millions) 7.0
GDP/Capita (US$) $43,723.38 expanded its investment activities in the Austrian market Some residential/multifamily projects are in the pipeline and
with the purchase of the first construction stage of Forum Lithuania scheduled to appear on the market in 2011. However, some
Inflation Rate 1.5% Schönbrunn in Vienna’s 12th district. Bank Austria Real Area (Sq Mi) 25,200 still lack financing for development.
Invest purchased the first component of the BOKU BioTech GDP Growth 1.3% In Q2 and Q3 2010, investment volumes were still diminished,
Unemployment 4.1% Center in the 19th district. GDP 2010 (US$ B) $35.73 mostly due to limitations on real estate financing imposed by
Rate
GDP/Capita (US$) $10,765.34 the Scandinavian banks, which play a leading role in the
Top office space completions in 2010 include: Rivergate
Interest Rate 1.0% Baltics. Only cash buyers are still active in the market. We also
at 1200 Vienna, Handelskai 92 with 40,000 SM; Company Inflation Rate 1.0%
expect to see a gap in buyers’ and sellers’ yield expectations
buildings 03 and 04 at TownTown, 1030 Vienna, Thomas- Unemployment Rate 18.0%
Population (Millions) 8.377 of up to 2-4%.
Klestil-Platz with 29,000 SM; and LX2 at 1100 Vienna, Interest Rate 7.5%
Laxenburger Strasse with 15,500 SM. Population (Millions) 3.319
In the office market, supply remains key as most demand
is from tenants seeking to upgrade from their existing
accommodation and to benefit from current market condi-
tions. This has led to a marked difference between the
markets for Class A and secondary space in the City and
West End. There is a general shortage of Class A space in
floors of over 10,000 SF leading to demand for develop-
Contact ments to be delivered between 2012 and 2014. Constraints
NAI Global on funding for such developments continue to restrict the mar-
+1 609 945 4000 ket leading to higher rental growth forecasts.
Industrial space availability rose throughout 2010. There
was also an increase in speculative development with one
small scheme started in Greater London and further devel-
opments expected to start in 2011. The level of enquiries
for space has increased steadily. Substantial incentives
remain the norm, but as supply becomes more restricted
these incentives will fall away.
Country Data The central London retail market, with significantly lower
vacancy rates, continues to outperform the rest of the country.
Area (KM2) 93,800
London always benefits from the increased demand from
tourists and the weaker pound has boosted this. Record rental
levels, triggered by strong demand from foreign retailers and
GDP Growth 1.7%
low vacancy, are being achieved in the prime locations such
as Regent Street, Oxford Street and New Bond Street. Concern
GDP 2008 (US$ B) 2,258.57
remains related to the increase in VAT in January 2011 and
the planned job cuts in the public sector.
GDP/Capita (US$) 36,298.39
In the investment market there is a divergence between
central London and the rest of the country. UK yields have
Inflation Rate 3.8%
been hardening since late 2009 and, whilst most markets saw
yields stabilizing in Q2, yield compression has continued in the
Unemployment 3.1%
prime West End market reflecting the resumption of rental
Rate
growth. The market remains somewhat fragile, however,
with concerns relating to the government spending cuts and
Interest Rate 0.5%
the unresolved debt/financing issues. London remains one
of the most attractive cities in the world for foreign investors
Population (Millions) 7.876 who have fuelled much of the recent activity.
London At A Glance
Conversion 0.62 GBP = 1 US$ RENT/SF/YR
Low High
RENT/SF/YR
Low High Vacancy
OFFICE WEST END
Mayfair N/A GBP 85.00 N/A $ 137.10 6.50%
Victoria N/A GBP 52.50 N/A $ 84.68 N/A
Midtown N/A GBP 45.00 N/A $ 72.58 6.50%
OFFICE CITY
Core N/A GBP 52.50 N/A $ 84.68 7.50%
Fringe N/A GBP 40.00 N/A $ 64.52 N/A
Docklands N/A GBP 37.50 N/A $ 60.48 8.00%
INDUSTRIAL SPACE
Greater London GBP 7.25 GBP 10.00 $ 11.69 $ 16.13 N/A
West London GBP 11.00 GBP 14.00 $ 17.74 $ 22.58 N/A
RETAIL SPACE (ZONE A)
Oxford Street (Zone A) N/A GBP 720.00 N/A $ 1,161.29 N/A
Bond Street (Zone A) N/A GBP 925.00 N/A $ 1,491.94 N/A
Sloane Street (Zone A) N/A GBP 550.00 N/A $ 887.10 N/A
City (Zone A) N/A GBP 220.00 N/A $ 354.84 N/A
DEVELOPMENT LAND Low/Acre High/Acre Low/Acre High/Acre
Office in CBD N/A N/A N/A N/A
Land in Office Parks N/A N/A N/A N/A
Land in Industrial Parks GBP 275,000.00 GBP 1,250,000.00 $ 443,548.39 $ 2,016,129.03
Office/Industrial Land - Non-park N/A N/A N/A N/A
Retail/Commercial Land N/A N/A N/A N/A
Residential N/A N/A N/A N/A
SECTION CONTENTS
Birmingham, AL Indianapolis, IN Middlesex/Somerset Counties, NJ Schuylkill County, PA
Huntsville, AL Cedar Rapids, Iowa City, IA Northern, NJ Wilkes-Barre, PA
Mobile, AL Davenport/Bettendorf, IA Ocean County, NJ Charleston, SC
Phoenix, AZ and Rock Island/Moline, IL Princeton, NJ Columbia, SC
Jonesboro, AR Des Moines, IA Southern NJ Greenville/Spartanburg/
Little Rock, AR Sioux City, IA Albuquerque, NM Anderson Counties, SC
Bakersfield, CA Wichita, KS Las Cruces, NM Sioux Falls, SD
Inland Empire, CA Lexington, KY Albany, NY Chattanooga, TN
Los Angeles, CA Louisville, KY Long Island, NY Clarksville, TN
Orange Couny, CA Baton Rouge, LA New York, NY Knoxville, TN
San Diego, CA Monroe, LA Westchester, NY Memphis, TN
San Francisco County, CA New Orleans, LA Asheville, NC Austin, TX
Ventura County, CA Greater Portland, ME Charlotte, NC Beaumont, TX
Colorado Springs, CO Baltimore, MD Greensboro/High Point/ Corpus Christi, TX
Denver, CO Suburban Maryland Winston-Salem, NC Dallas, TX
Delaware & Cecil County, MD Boston, MA Raleigh, NC El Paso, TX
Washington, DC Western (Greater Springfield), MA Fargo, ND Fort Worth, TX
Fort Lauderdale, FL Detroit, MI Akron, OH Houston, TX
Ft. Myers, FL Grand Rapids, MI Canton, OH Rio Grande Valley, TX
Jacksonville, FL Lansing, MI Cincinnati, OH San Antonio, TX
Martin & St. Lucie Counties, FL Minneapolis/St. Paul, MN Cleveland, OH Texarkana, TX
Miami, FL Kansas City, MO Columbus, OH Salt Lake City, UT
Orlando, FL St. Louis, MO Dayton, OH Washington County, UT
Palm Beach, FL Billings, MT Oklahoma City, OK Burlington, VT
Tampa Bay, FL Bozeman, MT Tulsa, OK Northern Virginia, VA
Atlanta, GA Missoula, MT Portland, OR Seattle/Puget Sound, WA
Savannah, GA Lincoln, NE Allentown, PA Spokane, WA
Honolulu, HI Omaha, NE Berks County, PA Tri-Cities, WA
Boise, ID Las Vegas, NV Bucks County, PA Madison, WI
Southeast Idaho (Idaho Falls/Pocatello) Reno, NV Harrisburg/York/Lebanaon, PA Milwaukee, WI
Chicago, IL Manchester, NH Lancaster, PA Northeastern (Fox Valley/Green Bay), WI
Springfield, IL Portsmouth, NH Philadelphia, PA Casper, WY
Fort Wayne, IN Atlantic County, NJ Pittsburgh, PA Jackson Hole, WY
Birmingham, Alabama Huntsville/Decatur County, Alabama
Birmingham’s market showed poor signals in 2010. The Huntsville is one of the best metropolitan area economic
office, industrial, and retail sectors all saw vacancy rates stories in America for 2010. Once again, Madison County was
rise across the board. The absorption rates continued to be one of the state's leaders in announced jobs for new and
negative with vast amounts of sublease space emerging into expanding employers. Huntsville/Madison County was second in
the market. As the population continues to push south of Alabama in announced jobs, marking 20 consecutive years that
Birmingham, the submarkets are seeing a steady rise in Madison County has been either first or second. The primary
vacancy as the Downtown market dwindles. However, there driver for growth continues to be the Base Realignment and
have recently been signs of a recovery in the near future. Closure (BRAC) process from 1995 and again in 2005.
The office market saw a negative absorption rate rise up to The Huntsville/Madison County real estate market has
negative 490,044 SF. The overall occupancy fell 3% to continued to remain stable throughout most of 2010 even
90.5%. With the sale of the Social Security Building in the though the local economy remains in recession along with the
Downtown market, the $147 million purchase made it one rest of the country. Defense related jobs continue to trickle
of the largest sale transactions in Birmingham’s history. in as a result from BRAC consolidation of 2005. The
The green-lit project to redevelop the Pizitz Building in the Huntsville/Madison County community continues to lead
Downtown market also shows the city’s drive to bring the Alabama again in both population growth and new jobs. All
population back into the market. Delivered into the market market segments have seen some growth in leasing but
Contact during Q1 2010, the Offices at the Summit post some of Contact absorption has slowed to a large degree.
NAI Chase Commercial the highest rental rates in the city. As the economy toils, the NAI Chase Commercial
Commercial property sales remain negligible on large projects
Realty, Inc. office market took a slight hit, but with new developments RE Services, Inc.
but some smaller projects have received financing and been
+1 888 539 1686 and redevelopments breaking ground, the future is bright. +1 888 539 1686
sold. New construction in office, industrial and retail continues
The Birmingham industrial sector continued on a downward to be stagnant due to financing restraints. However, the overall
trend. It too saw a nearly 3% drop in vacancy to about 80%. market continues to remain resilient, albeit much slower than
With the contraction of the construction industry, the industrial in the past. We anticipate more robust growth in mid-2011
market followed in its decline. With only one new multi- through 2012. The office sector received the biggest news
tenant industrial product added to the market, any upswing with approval of a new mixed-use development, Redstone
in the economy will surely be positively felt in the flailing Gateway, which will create an additional 4.6 million SF of first
industrial market. class commercial space over a 10-year period.
Metropolitan Area Metropolitan Area
Birmingham’s retail market surprisingly felt a positive Retail has been slower; however, several projects are under
Economic Overview Economic Overview
absorption. With an increase of almost 3% from the previous construction for retailers like Kroger, Target and several drug-
2010 year, optimism continues to rise. With new product along 200 stores. Manufacturing companies continue a hiring freeze but
Population 1,133,874 the Highway 280 corridor, Hoover area, and just east of the Population 407,958 we anticipate future growth due to BRAC-related demand
city, the outlook is optimistic. The new “Shops of Grand in 2011. The Huntsville market continues to out-pace the
2015 Estimated 2015 Estimated
Population
River” is a 330,000 SF Outlet Center that was delivered in Population 446,143 commercial markets in Alabama with some new build-to-suit
1,172,302
Q3 2010 and is situated just across from a new Bass Pro development occurring in Research Park and vacancy rates
Employment Shops store. Despite the setback of the recent economy, the Employment remaining relatively low to comparables cities.
Population 446,464 promising numbers predict a overall general improvement Population 188,335
Huntsville remains the shining star of the State of Alabama with
to the retail market. Household national recognition and rankings. The Huntsville/Madison
Household
Average Income $61,083 Average Income $63,119 County community continues to receive unprecedented rankings
and recognition for its job growth, technology creation and
Median Median
Household Income $45,636 Household Income $51,241 quality of life.
Median
market in 2011.
Median
Household Income $39,492 Household Income $60,724
Household
this rate put 3.5 years worth of buildable lots in inventory Household
Average Income $56,960 and over 25 years worth of paper lots in the pipeline. Average Income $66,603
Median Median
Household Income $44,458 Household Income $54,295
82 2010 Global Market Report n www.naiglobal.com 2010 Global Market Report n www.naiglobal.com 82
Los Angeles, California Orange County, California
Los Angeles County is home to one of the largest, most Orange County was the epicenter of failed mortgage com-
diversified economies in the United States. Sun, beaches, panies, as several national sub-prime lenders were head-
Hollywood and numerous other attractions draw tourists to quartered in the county. The demise of these and other
Los Angeles from around the world. companies, combined with robust construction, created a
The Port of Los Angeles is the nation’s leading container port glut of excess office space. Potential new tenants remained
and the Port of Long Beach is the nation’s second largest port scarce during the recession, and are only slowly becoming
by dollar volume. The entertainment and music industries are more plentiful.
headquartered in the County. Major universities such as USC, Still, Orange County has begun a slow recovery back to good
UCLA and CalTech employ and educate thousands of people health. For the first time since 2007, Orange County has
a year. seen net absorption in office, industrial and retail vacancy.
Despite its diversity and numerous strengths, Los Angeles Office vacancy rates remain stubbornly high. However, they
has felt the pain of the “Great Recession.” Unemployment are receding in all segments. Class A vacancy rates have
increased as wages fell. Median home prices fell as fore- declined 0.7 percentage points to 20.5%. Class B rates are
closures soared. Lease rates declined while vacancy rates approaching 16%. Persistent high unemployment and
increased. Vacancy rates for new office space remain a slow economic recovery will delay a robust recovery for
Contact stubbornly high, above 30% in the County. Class A vacancy office space, but the market is slowing improving.
NAI Capital (Encino) Contact
rates are about half that for new space but still high by Retail centers such as Fashion Island, South Coast Plaza
+1 818 905 2400 NAI Capital (Newport Beach)
historical standards. Rental rates are still declining as and the Irvine Spectrum have helped Orange County’s retail
NAI Capital (West Los Angeles) +1 949 854 6600
+1 310 440 8500 evidenced by the $2.00/SF decline for Class A space. Rental markets avoid the worst of the recession. Vacancy rates for
NAI Capital (South Bay) rates for Class B space have fallen but not by much. In the malls have fallen to 3.1%. Unfortunately, this is not true of
+1 310 532 9080 suburban areas Class B rental rates have fallen a mere other retail space. Neighborhood and community center
NAI Capital (Commerce) $.03/SF per year. vacancy rates have increased. Neighborhood centers have
+1 323 201 3600 fared the worst as lease rates have increased to 8.5% while
NAI Capital (Pasadena)
Industrial vacancy rates have fallen to approximately 8.6%. At
9.0% the R&D segment has the highest vacancy rates. Rental lease rates have fallen to $23.04/SF per year.
+1 626 564 4800
NAI Capital (Santa Clarita) rates continue to soften across the board. Rental rates for Industrial vacancy rates are still rising in most segments.
+1 661 705 3550 industrial space are in the low to mid $6.00/SF range. Vacancy rates for warehouse and manufacturing increased
Unlike the other markets, retail vacancy rates increased. On Metropolitan Area to 10% while rates for R&D space declined to 9.2%. Improv-
Metropolitan Area average, retail vacancy rates increased .04 percentage ing vacancy rates could not stop the fall in lease rates. Rental
Economic Overview
Economic Overview points from last year. On a positive note, rental rates have rates in all segments fell a little more than $1.00/SF.
2010
2010 increased for some retail products. Malls and community Construction activity came to a halt during the recession and
Population 3,090,761
Population 13,331,266 centers experienced a small but positive $.04/SF per year has showed very little signs of life since then. Excess
increase in rents. Retail discounters continue to open new 2015 Estimated capacity, stringent lending standards and lack of credit are
2015 Estimated stores. They along with quick-service restaurants are the Population 3,151,668 preventing construction from rebounding. To date, lenders
Population 13,600,330
most active in the market. Outlet malls have experienced have shown little willingness to loosen lending standards or
Employment
Employment strong tenant interest. Vacancy rates are very low and rental to increase credit. Even if lenders do change their stance,
Population 1,396,512
Population 5,359,491 rates are still very strong. Unfortunately, the same is not true excess capacity mitigates the need for new space.
for rents in downtown market or neighborhood centers Household
Household throughout the County. Average Income $101,916
Average Income $81,158
Median
Median Household Income $79,132
Household Income $59,881
Total Population
Total Population Median Age 35
33
Median Age
Total Population
service with both the BNSF and Union Pacific Railroads. Total Population
35 40
Median Age Median Age
Median Median
Household Income $56,016 Household Income $61,781
Cedar Rapids At A Glance Davenport/Bettendorf, Iowa and Rock Island/Moline, Illinois At A Glance
(Rent/SF/YR) Low High Effective Avg. Vacancy (Rent/SF/YR) Low High Effective Avg. Vacancy
DOWNTOWN OFFICE DOWNTOWN OFFICE
Premium (AAA) N/A N/A N/A N/A New Construction (AAA) N/A N/A N/A N/A
Class A (Prime) $ 13.00 $ 16.00 $ 14.50 6.00% Class A (Prime) $ 13.00 $ 18.00 $ 15.25 15.00%
Class B (Secondary) $ 10.00 $ 11.00 $ 10.50 18.00% Class B (Secondary) $ 7.00 $ 11.00 $ 9.50 20.00%
SUBURBAN OFFICE SUBURBAN OFFICE
New Construction (AAA) N/A N/A N/A N/A New Construction (AAA) $ 14.50 $ 21.00 $ 16.50 10.00%
Class A (Prime) $ 13.00 $ 16.00 $ 14.50 6.00% Class A (Prime) $ 13.00 $ 16.50 $ 14.75 12.00%
Class B (Secondary) $ 10.00 $ 11.00 $ 10.50 18.00% Class B (Secondary) $ 10.50 $ 13.00 $ 11.25 15.00%
INDUSTRIAL INDUSTRIAL
Bulk Warehouse $ 2.00 $ 4.50 $ 2.75 5.30% Bulk Warehouse $ 1.75 $ 3.50 $ 2.63 15.00%
Manufacturing $ 3.00 $ 5.50 $ 4.25 15.00% Manufacturing $ 2.00 $ 5.00 $ 3.50 5.00%
High Tech/R&D $ 14.00 $ 20.00 $ 16.50 3.00% High Tech/R&D $ 6.50 $ 8.50 $ 7.50 10.00%
RETAIL RETAIL
Downtown $ 6.00 $ 10.00 $ 7.00 30.00% Downtown $ 8.00 $ 12.00 $ 10.00 10.00%
Neighborhood Service Centers $ 10.50 $ 12.00 $ 11.00 15.00% Neighborhood Service Centers $ 10.00 $ 28.00 $ 15.00 7.00%
Sub Regional Centers $ 10.00 $ 22.00 $ 14.00 15.00% Community Power Center $ 4.00 $ 12.00 $ 6.00 10.00%
Regional Malls $ 12.00 $ 45.00 $ 30.00 2.00% Regional Malls N/A N/A N/A N/A
Median Median
Household Income $60,341 Household Income $50,045
Median Median
Household Income $70,095 Household Income $63,144
Median Median
Household Income $52,001 Household Income $38,161
Median Median
Household Income $52,885 Household Income $47,980
Metropolitan Area
quality buildings that meet current market requirements. Metropolitan Area
Retail vacancy rates stabilized, while leasing activity is up
Recent developments include a 400,000 SF distribution and rental rates are about 5% lower than last year as land-
Economic Overview center for Home Depot, a 200,000 SF Republic National Economic Overview lords are motivated to make deals. Notable new retailers
2010 Distribution Center and a 176,000 SF multitenant warehouse 2010 include BuyBuy Baby and Trader Joe’s. The 500,000 SF
Population 758,492 in the Lexington County Industrial Park. Population 1,122,322 Easley Town Center project is under way with Wal-Mart
Activity in 2010 has increased dramatically from 2009 scheduled to open in spring 2011.
2015 Estimated 2015 Estimated
Population 820,439 particularly for office leasing and sales of office buildings to Population 1,205,725 Investment deals are being done today that were not possible
end users. Retail leasing continues to be slow although retail last year. With fewer quality assets on the market and so
Employment sales have been on the rise, albeit slowly. Industrial leasing Employment much pent-up equity on the sidelines, cap rates have
Population 340,849 Population 473,616
and sales continue to be slow with a large inventory of ware- remained steady or declined slightly. Transaction volume for
Household house space available, particularly in lower quality buildings. Household single tenant NNN properties has improved dramatically over
Average Income $64,371 Average Income $59,899 last year. As the economy and lending environment improve,
larger investors will re-enter second tier markets.
Median Median
Household Income $52,348 Household Income $48,859
Median Median
Household Income $59,935 Household Income $48,378
Household
real estate scene. Household
Average Income $81,173 Average Income $74,924
Median Median
Household Income $63,064 Household Income $58,086
With a dynamic, young labor force, strategic bi-national The San Antonio market continues to move along the road to
location, low cost of living and development opportunities, recovery and is poised for a quicker upturn than many other
the Rio South Texas region is an ideal location for global major metro areas. The unemployment rate for the region
companies looking to expand or relocate. Two nations, one is among the lowest in the country and recent company
region, many choices is the focal point of the Rio Grande relocations and expansions will add more jobs to the area
Valley located in South Texas. over the next several months.
While commercial real estate activity continues to be down Citywide, office properties closed the third quarter with a
overall in the Rio Grande Valley, the market remains one of vacancy rate of 18.6% compared to the 18.7% recorded in
the strongest in the nation. According to the Milken Institute, Q3 2009. Likewise, quoted rental rates remained relatively
the McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, Texas regions ranked 4th in stable. The citywide average quoted full-service rental rate
the Best Performing Cities 2010: Where America’s Jobs Are increased to $20.54/SF on a full-service basis, up $0.08
Created and Sustained. The Metropolitan Policy Program from the previous quarter and $0.13 compared to the same
(MPP) at the Brookings Institution regularly lists the quarter last year for a modest annual increase of 0.6%.
20 strongest major metro areas in the U.S. It looks at In all, gross leasing activity retail properties generated
fundamental economic issues: economic activity, housing 103,212 SF of positive net absorption in Q3, which raised
and employment and the McAllen-Edinburg-Mission areas the year-to-date total net gain to 130,300 SF. That figures is
Contact Contact
earned a ranking in the top 20 Strongest Metro Areas list. comparatively small to historical amounts for this market but
NAI Rio Grande Valley NAI REOC Partners, Ltd.
Our local colleges and universities are also feeling the is positive nonetheless. Citywide vacancy decreased to
+1 956 994 8900 +1 210 524 4000
growth. More than 29,000 students enrolled in South Texas 13.4%, down 0.5% compared to the same quarter last year.
Colleges this year, a record high for the institutions and a At the same time, the average quoted NNN rental rate
7% gain from last year. increased by $.01 per square foot to $17.92/SF, but disci-
plined tenants with good financials continue to drive deals
Despite a slight decline in retail sales, leases to big box and have been able to demand significant concessions on
retailers are still entering the market. There are positive renewals and new leases.
signs that 2011 will begin to see big box users returning to
the market. Bass Pro Shop announced it was coming to In all, local industrial properties experienced a total of
Harlingen and should open in 2011. Rooms-To-Go and Pap- 230,548 SF of negative net absorption in the third quarter.
padeaux Seafood Kitchen both entered the market in 2010. Metropolitan Area As a result, the year-to-date total net gain was flattened to
Metropolitan Area 5,159 SF but remained in the black. The citywide vacancy
Economic Overview The office market is still dominated by healthcare and Economic Overview
rate increased to 13.9% compared to 13.1% last quarter but,
government agencies. 495 Commerce Center, a 110-acre 2010 despite American Standard’s move, vacancy is relatively
2010
master-planned business park, became home to its third Population 2,111,400 stable compared to 13.8% recorded last year at this time.
Population 1,169,105
GSA building (25,000+ SF) which opened in Q3 2010. The citywide average quoted triple net rental rate remained
2015 Estimated 2015 Estimated
With the opening of the newest international bridge in Population 2,309,596 flat at $5.57/SF and tenants are expected to remain in the
Population 1,280,877
January 2010, the industrial market continues to gain driver’s seat heading into 2011. Investment activity remains
Employment momentum. The presence of maquiladoras provides con- Employment mostly limited to user sales.
Population 383,537 siderable advantages to the economic environment along Population 860,723
the border by increasing trade, generating employment and Household
Household acquiring local resources.
Average Income $41,729 Average Income $62,458
Median Median
Household Income $31,300 Household Income $50,146
Median Median
Household Income $46,675 Household Income $62,274
managed. The remaining 3% consist of already developed
land and permanently deeded conservation easements,
leaving available land scarce. The headwaters of the Snake
River are located in Teton County. In addition to world class
fly fishing, the river offers stretches for adventurous white
water rafting as well as a relaxing, scenic float. The three
ski resorts in the county, Jackson Hole Mountain Resort,
Contact Grand Targhee Resort and Snow King Resort, delight visitors
NAI Jackson Hole and residents alike.
+1 307 734 8700
Wyoming public schools are well-funded and residents enjoy
excellent amenities. Wyoming’s tax structure is one of the
most business-friendly in the nation, with no personal
income tax, no corporate income tax, no gross receipts tax,
no chain store tax, no excise taxes and low property taxes.
Wyoming is a freeport state which allows for a relatively
uninhibited flow of goods through the state to destinations
across the U.S. and from Canada to Mexico. U.S. energy
Metropolitan Area independence relies heavily on western Wyoming. The area is
the focus of extensive exploration and oil field development
Economic Overview
and has one of the largest natural gas reserves in the world.
2010 The world's largest known supply of oil shale is the Green River
Population 31,229 deposit in Southwestern Wyoming. Wyoming also has the
nation's largest supply of coal, and is one of the top four states
2015 Estimated
Population 35,113 in green job growth, including wind technology.
Employment
Population 20,994
Household
Average Income $93,836
Median
Household Income $68,767
Total Population
Median Age 36
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