Professional Documents
Culture Documents
PROJECT REPORT
SUBMITTED
BY
M. GANESH
Trichy
June (2009)
BONAFIDE CERTIFICATE
This is certified that the project report titled “A STUDY ON THE FACTORS
AFFECTING THE MARKET PRICE AND RETURNS OF SHARES OF SELECTED
COMPANIES FROM NIFTY “is a bonafide work of Mr.M.GANESH (81907501015)
who carried out the research under my supervision. Certified further, that to the best of
my knowledge the work reported here in does not form part of any other project or
dissertation on the basis of which a degree of award conferred on earlier occasion on
this or any other candidate.
Prof.P.KOTHANDARAMAN S.VENKATRAMAN
Valued on _____________
and the report has not formed the basis for the award of any degree or
fellowship or any other similar titles.
Station: M. GANESH
Date: Reg No:81907501015
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
“We bow our heads Thee, and we laud, And magnify thy name Almighty God! But
man is thy most awful instrument, In working out a pure intent.”
I express my thanks to almighty, the guiding light of our life. For granting me potency
and courage to complete the project successfully.
I express my sincere thanks and gratitude to all the faculty members of the
Department of Management Studies for giving their helping hands for the successful
completion of this Project.
CHAPTERISATION
CHAPTER CONTENTS PAGE NO
I INTRODUCTION
II REVIEW OF LITERATURE
III RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
IV ANALYSIS AND INTERPRETATION OF DATA
V FINDINGS, SUGGESTIONS AND CONCLUSION
APPENDIX
BIBILIOGRAPHY
ABSTRACT
The researcher is interested in carrying out the study in this area in order to find out
the various fundamental, non-fundamental & the technical factors that affect the share price
movements cum their returns.
The researcher is interested in finding out the critical variables that influence the share
price movements of the selected 5 stocks from NSE based on the Market Capitalisation.
The researcher carried out the study using the ex-post facto type of research design in
his study. The researcher used the secondary data collection method in his study.
The researcher used the convenient type of sampling method in his study. The sample
size is taken as 5 companies listed in the NSE based on the Market Capitalisation. The
companies are as follows. (i) Reliance Industries Limited (ii) Oil and Natural Gas
Corporation Limited (iii) Infosys Technologies Limited (iv) Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited
(v) Indian Oil Corporation Limited
(a) P/E ratio (b) Price/Book value ratio (c) Dividend yield
(g) Cash EPS (h) Interest coverage ratio (i) Return on net worth
Based on the analysis and interpretation the researcher arrived at the major findings in
his study and the suggestions are given by the researcher in such a way so that the market
price cum returns will not have a very high degree of volatility and thus the wealth
maximisation of the share holders has been safeguarded.
INTRODUCTION
Stock market indices are the barometers of the stock market. They mirror the stock
market behaviour and the broad trends in the market. There are large number of companies
listed on the National Stock Exchange (NSE) and Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) and it is
not possible to look at the prices of every stock to find out whether the market movement is
upward or downward.
The indices like BSE sensex (Sensitivity Index) and S&P CNX Nifty (NSE 50 Index)
give a broad outline of the market movement and represent the market. The main criteria for
selection of the scrips to be included in the indices are: Market capitalization, Liquidity,
and proper representation of all industries in the economy.
The main problem is to identify the major variables in the form of factors, which have
significant bearing on the movement of the sensex, which is the most comprehensive
representative of the Indian Stock Market.
There has been extensive research on the various fundamental, non-fundamental, and
technical factors affecting the share price movements and stock returns over a period of time.
The various research studies have clearly exhibited many contradictory results, with some
studies pointing out some critical variables greatly influencing the share prices while others
have found these same set of variables as minor elements having little impact on the share
prices. The studies pertaining to Indian stock markets vis-a-vis the other international stock
markets have also shown vast differences existing among these markets.
There can be many reasons for these behavioural differences which can be attributed
to factors, such as market efficiency, liquidity and transparency, volatility in the markets, the
participation and confidence of retail investors in the stock markets, in the regulatory
practices, standardization of accounting and auditing procedures, risk containment
mechanisms, and technological advancements. These and other factors greatly influence the
way these stock markets behave over a period of time.
The major fundamental variables such as Price – Earning ratio, Return on Capital
Employed, Return on net worth, Debt to Equity, Price to Book Value Ratio, Dividend Yield,
Cash EPS, Return on Equity, Total Return, Interest Coverage Ratio, Earnings per share &
Beta.
P-E ratio expresses the relationship between the market price of a company’s share and its
earning per share. It indicates the extent to which earnings of each share are covered by price.
The ratio helps an investor to make an appropriate calculation of time required to recover this
investment in a company’s share. The Price-Earning ratio has a positive relationship with
market price (Dixit, 1986 and Gupta 2000). It is calculated as follows:
The return on capital employed indicates the efficiency with which a company utilizes the
funds invested in it. This ratio reveals how well the resources of a firm are being used. The
higher the ratio, the better are the results. It is a measure of general management performance
in relation to capital invested in business. The interfirm comparison of this ratio determines
whether the investments are attractive or not as the investor would like to invest only where
the return is higher. It is also known as return on net assets. It generally has positive
relationship with the market price of share. (Sharma and Singh, 2006; and Malhotra and
Prakash, 2001). It is calculated as follows:
The return on networth indicates the profitability of equity funds invested in the firm. It is
regarded as a very important measure because it reflects the productivity of equity capital
invested in the firm. It is calculated as follows:
RONW = Profit after Tax / Paid Up Equity Capital + Reserves and Surplus.
Debt to Equity Ratio = (Long-term Debt + Short term debt) / Share holders Equity
It reflects that the price investors are willing to pay for every rupee of book value per share. It
is calculated as follows:
It represents the current cash return to the shareholder. It has positive relationship with share
price (Zahir and Yakesh, 1982). It can be calculated as follows:
Dividend Yield = (Dividend per share / Market price per share) * 100
Total Return/Total No. Of time periods. It has been found that in Indian stock market, there is
seasonality in the monthly return (Pandey, 2002) and distribution of monthly return follows
normal distribution (Obaidullah, 1991). The total return on an investment for a given period
is calculated as follows:
Total Return = (Cash Payment Received during the period + Price Change Over the Period) /
Price of the Investment at the Beginning.
1.1.8 BETA
It reflects the risk of a stock and measures how sensitive are the return on the stock to
variation in the market return. It can be calculated by CAPM model:
The equity shareholders are the sole claimants to the net earnings of the corporation after
making payment of dividend to the preference shareholders. The significance of this ratio
flows from the fact that higher earnings per share, the more is the scope for a higher rate of
dividend and also retained earnings, to build up the inner strength of the company. Therefore,
a higher EPS would increase the market price and vice versa. Several event based studies
established a direct relation between share price changes with earnings and dividend changes
(Ball and Brown, 1968; and Baskin, 1989). It is calculated as follows:
EPS = (Profit after Tax – Preference Dividend) / Total No. Of Equity Shares
This shows how many times the operating income covers the interest payment. The Interest
Coverage Ratio is calculated as follows:
The Return on assets and the return on equity will be identical, the company carries out all of
its operations with owners fund. The difference between the two ratios is caused by financial
leverage. When both the ratios are compared the Return on Equity is greater than Return on
Assets. It indicates that the company employed borrowed funds efficiently to lever the rate of
the return to the advantage of shareholders. The formula to compute the Rate of Return on
Equity is given by Return on Equity = Net Profit / Net Worth.
Backward vertical integration has been the cornerstone of the evolution and growth of
Reliance. Starting with textiles in the late seventies, Reliance pursued a strategy of backward
vertical integration – in polyester, fibre intermediates, plastics, petrochemicals, petroleum
refining and oil and gas exploration and production – to be fully integrated along the
materials and energy value chain.
The Group’s activities span exploration and production of oil and gas, petroleum
refining and marketing, petrochemicals (polyester, fibre intermediates, plastics and
chemicals), textiles, retail and special economic zones.
The Group exports products in excess of US$ 20 billion to 108 countries in the world.
Major Group companies are Reliance Industries Limited (Including main subsidiaries
Reliance Petroleum Limited and Reliance Retail Limited) and Reliance Industrial
Infrastructure Limited.
The liberalized economic policy, adopted by the Government of India in July 1991,
sought to deregulate and de-license the core sectors (including petroleum sector) with partial
disinvestment of government equity in Public Sector Undertakings and other measures. As a
consequent thereof, ONGC was re-organized as a limited Company under the Company’s
Act, 1956 in February 1994.
After the conversion of business of the erstwhile Oil and Natural Gas Commission to
that of Oil & Natural Gas Corporation Limited in 1993, the Government disinvested 2 per
cent of its shares through competitive bidding. Subsequently, ONGC expanded its equity by
another 2 per cent by offering shares to its employees.
During March 1999, ONGC, Indian Oil Corporation (IOC) – a downstream giant and
Authority of India Limited (GAIL) – the only gas marketing company, agreed to have cross
holding in each other’s stock. This paved the way for long-term strategic alliances both for
the domestic and overseas business opportunities in the energy value chain, amongst
themselves. Consequent to this the Government sold off 10 per cent of its share holding in
ONGC to IOC and 2.5 per cent to GAIL. With this, the Government holding in ONGC came
down to 84.11 per cent.
After Independence, the national Government realized the importance oil and gas for
rapid industrial development and its strategic role in defense. Consequently, while framing
the Industrial Policy Statement of 1948, the development of petroleum industry in the country
was considered to be of utmost necessity.
Infosys Technologies Ltd. (NASDAQ: INFY) was started in 1981 by seven people
with US$ 250. Today, we are a global leader in the “next generation” of IT and consulting
with revenues of over US$ 4 billion.
Infosys defines, designs and delivers technology-enabled business solutions that help
Global 2000 companies win a Flat World. Infosys also provides a complete range of services
by leveraging our domain and business expertise and strategic alliances with leading
technology providers.
Infosys pioneered the Global Delivery Model (GDM), which emerged as a disruptive
force in the industry leading to the rise of offshore outsourcing The GDM is based on the
principle of taking work to the location where the best talent is available, where it makes the
best economic sense, with the least amount of acceptable risk.
Infosys takes a pride in building strategic long-term client relationships. Over 97% of
our revenues come from existing countries.
BHEL manufactures over 180 products under 30 major product groups and caters to
core sectors of the Indian Economy viz., Power Generation & Transmission, Industry,
Transportation, Telecommunication, Renewable Energy, etc. The wide network of BHEL’s
14 manufacturing divisions, four Power Sector regional centers, over 100 project sites, eight
service centers and 18 regional offices, enables the Company to promptly serve its customers
and provide them with suitable products, systems and services efficiently and at competitive
prices. The high level of quality and reliability of its products is due to the emphasis on
design, engineering and manufacturing to international standards by acquiring and adapting
some of the best technologies from leading companies in the world, together with
technologies developed in its own R & D centers.
Indian Oil Corporation Limited is currently India’s largest company by sales with a
turnover of Rs. 247,479 crore (US $59.22 billion), and profit of Rs,6963 corers (US $
1.67billion) for fiscal 2007.
Indian Oil is also the highest ranked Indian company in the prestigious Fortune
‘Global 500’ listing, having moved up 19 places to the 116th position in 2008. It is also the
18th largest petroleum company in the world. Indian Oil’s Vision is driven by a group of
dynamic leaders who have made it a name to reckon with.
REVIEW OF LITERATURE
(2.1) Gupta (2000) has tracked the returns of Sensex from 1980 to 1999 and found
P/E ratios, rate of EPS, and the duration of holding periods of investment to be important
determinants of future equity returns.
(2.2) Controy et al. (2000) studied the pricing effects of dividend and earnings
announcements in Japan and found that share price reactions were significantly affected by
earning surprises. Dechow et al. (2000) have found that firms with low ratios of
fundamentals, such as earnings and book value to market value, were known to have
systematically lower future returns. The observation was consistent with short sellers using
information in these ratios to take position in these stocks with lower expected future returns.
Irfan and Nishat (2000) identified the joint effect of multiple factors in Karachi Stock
Exchange during 1981 - 2000. Out of the six fundamental factors, only four has impact on
share prices-payout ratio, size, yield, and leverage.
(2.3) Tuli Nishi and Mittal (2001) made an attempt to determine price-earning ratio
of 105 companies in India for the period 1989-93 and found variability in market price,
dividend payout ratio, and earning per share to be significant variables whereas size, debt
equity ratio, and growth were insignificant.
(2.4) Pandey (2002) analyzed the monthly return data of BSE from 1991 to 2002
and found the existence of seasonality in the monthly stock return in India. The analysis of
descriptive statistics showed the maximum average return (positive) occurred in February and
the lowest (negative) in March. The positive average returns arose for six months and
negative for the next six months. Malakar and Gupta (2002) tested data on determinants of
share price of eight major cement companies from 1968 to 1988 and found earnings per share
and investment expenditure to be significant determinants of share price.
(2.5) Sehgal (2003) observed that the Fama-French asset pricing model, which
considers the market size and book-to-market equity factors as major determinants in stock
returns, is very much applicable to the Indian Stock Market.
(2.6) Ahmad et al., (2005) found that after analysing the daily closing data of
Nasdaq in the US, the Nikkei in Japan and the BSE Sensex in India from 1999 to 2004 found
that there is no long - term relationship of the Indian equity market with the US and Japanese
equity market.
(2.7) Person and Harvey (1997) provided a global pricing perspective on the debate
over the relationship between predetermined attributes of common stocks, (viz., ratios of
price-to-book-value, cash-flow, and earnings) and other variables to the future returns.
(2.8) Vaidyanathan and Chava (1998) tested the role of high and low price to book
ratios on stock returns and found that low price to book ratios yielded higher returns than
higher to book ratios from 1990 to 1996. Chaturvedi (2000) used event study methodology to
analyze the ability of P/E ratio to discriminate under performing and over performing stocks.
(2.9) Lee (1998) identified various components of stock prices and examined the
response of stock prices to different type of stocks: permanent and temporary changes in
earnings and dividends, changes in discount factors, and non-fundamental factors. The
analysis was conducted on nonlinear structural VAR framework and concluded that half of
the yearly variations in prices are not related to either earnings or dividend changes.
(2.10) Jia and Lilian (1994) investigated whether size and book-to-Market values of
equity (BM) are proxying for macroeconomic risks found in Chen, Roll and Ross’s (CRR)
multifactor model or are measures of stock risk exposure to relative distress and found that
size and BM are related to relative distress and that relative distress can explain the size
effect, but only partially the effect of BM, on average stock returns.
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
The researcher is interested in finding out how the factors like market
efficiency, liquidity has an impact towards determining the market price
mechanism of the selected 5 shares from the NSE.
The researcher used Ex-posto- facto type of research design in his study.
(1) To study and to analyse the crucial variables that determine the market
price mechanism of the selected 5 scrips from the NSE.
(1) To study and to analyse the influence of P/E ratio on the market price
mechanism of the NSE.
(2) To study and to analyse the stock market returns and its reflection on the
share prices.
(3) To study and to analyse to what extent the stock market provides safety to
the investors.
(4) To study and to analyse the impact of critical factors towards determining
the market price mechanism of the selected 5 scrips from NSE .
(5) To study and to analyse the impact of cash EPS on the market price
mechanism of the selected 5 scrips from NSE .
The researcher used the secondary data collection method in his study and for
this purpose the researcher collected ample data from the web site of
www.nseindia.com of 5 companies being listed in the NSE . The data is
checked out for its reliability and validity before carrying out the study
(Balance Sheet, P & L, of 5 companies)
The study is confined only to the selected 5 companies being listed in the
NSE.
(g) Cash EPS (h) Interest coverage ratio (i) Return on net worth
(b) P/B = Market Price per share / Book Value per share
(c) Dividend Yield = (Dividend per share / Market price per share) * 100
(f) Debt-Equity = (Long-term Debt + Short term debt) / Share holders Equity
(g) Cash EPS = (Net Income + Depreciation) / No. Of shares Outstanding.
(i) RONW = Profit after Tax / Paid Up Equity Capital + Reserves and Surplus.
(j) ROCE = Profit before interest and Tax / Total Capital Employed
(k) Total Return = (Cash Payment Received during the period + Price Change
Over the Period) / Price of the Investment at the Beginning.
(i) The study is confined only to the selected 5 companies from NSE
(ii) The sample size is restricted to 5 due to the time constraint .
RELIANCE INDUSTRIES LIMITED
Table 4.1.1: Table showing the Price Earning Ratio for a period of Five years with special
reference to Reliance Industries Limited.
Inference: From the above table it is inferred that the Price Earning Ratio records the
maximum during the financial year 2007 - 08 & it records the minimum during the financial
year 2004 - 05 with special reference to Reliance Industries Limited.
Table 4.1.2: Table showing the Return on Capital Employed for a period of Five years with
special reference to Reliance Industries Limited.
Table 4.1.3: Table showing the Return On Net worth for a period of Five years with special
reference to Reliance Industries Limited.
Year Profit after Tax Total net worth Return on Net worth
Inference: From the above table it is inferred that the Return On Net Worth records the
maximum during the financial year 2007 - 08 & it records the minimum during the financial
year 2003 - 04 with special reference to Reliance Industries Limited.
Table 4.1. 4: Table showing the Debt to Equity for a period of Five years with special
reference to Reliance Industries Limited.
Inference: From the above table it is inferred that the Debt to Equity records the maximum
during the financial year 2003 - 04 & it records the minimum during the financial year
2007 - 08 with special reference to Reliance Industries Limited.
Table 4.1 5: Table showing the Price to Book Value Ratio for a period of Five years with
special reference to Reliance Industries Limited.
Inference: From the above table it is inferred that the Price to Book Value Ratio records the
maximum during the financial year 2007 - 08 & it records the minimum during the financial
year 2004 - 05 with special reference to Reliance Industries Limited.
Table 4.1.6: Table showing the Dividend Yield for a period of Five years with special
reference to Reliance Industries Limited.
Inference: From the above table it is inferred that the Dividend Yield records the maximum
during the financial year 2004 – 05 & it records the minimum during the financial year
2007 – 08 with special reference to Reliance Industries Limited.
Table 4.1.7: Table showing the Cash EPS for a period of Five years with special reference to
Reliance Industries Limited.
Inference: From the above table it is inferred that the Cash EPS records the maximum during
the financial year 2007 – 08 & it records the minimum during the financial year 2003 – 04
with special reference to Reliance Industries Limited.
Table 4.1.8: Table showing the Return On Equity for a period of Five years with special
reference to Reliance Industries Limited.
Inference: From the above table it is inferred that the Return of Equity records the maximum
during the financial year 2007 – 08 & it records the minimum during the financial year
2003 – 04 with special reference to Reliance Industries Limited.
Table 4.1.9: Table showing the Total Return for a period of Five years with special reference
to Reliance Industries Limited.
Inference: From the above table it is inferred that the Total Return records the maximum
during the financial year 2006 – 07 & it records the minimum during the financial year
2004 – 05 with special reference to Reliance Industries Limited.
Table 4.1.10: Table showing the Interest Coverage Ratio for a period of Five years with
special reference to Reliance Industries Limited.
Inference: From the above table it is inferred that the Interest Coverage Ratio records the
maximum during the financial year 2007 – 08 & it records the minimum during the financial
year 2003 – 04 with special reference to Reliance Industries Limited.
Table 4.1.11: Table showing the Earnings Per Share for a period of Five years with special
reference to Reliance Industries Limited.
Inference: From the above table it is inferred that the Earnings Per Share records the
maximum during the financial year 2007 – 08 & it records the minimum during the financial
year 2003 – 04 with special reference to Reliance Industries Limited.
Table 4.1.12: Table showing the Beta status for the period of Five years with special
reference to Reliance Industries Limited.
2007 – 08 -0.87854
Inference : From the above table it is inferred that the Beta records the maximum during the
financial year 2006 – 07 & minimum during the financial year 2007 – 08 with special
reference to Reliance Industries Limited.
OIL & NATURAL GAS CORPORATION LIMITED
Table 4.2.1: Table showing the Price Earning Ratio for a period of Five years with special
reference to Oil & natural gas corporation Limited.
Inference: From the above table it is inferred that the Price Earning Ratio records the
maximum during the financial year 2007 - 08 & it records the minimum during the financial
year 2004 - 05 with special reference to Oil & natural gas corporation Limited.
Table 4.2.2: Table showing the Return on Capital Employed for a period of Five years with
special reference to Oil & natural gas corporation Limited.
Inference: From the above table it is inferred that the Return On Capital Employed records
the maximum during the financial year 2005 - 06 & it records the minimum during the
financial year 2003 – 04 with special reference to Oil & natural gas corporation Limited.
Table 4.2.3: Table showing the Return On Net worth for a period of Five years with special
reference to Oil & natural gas corporation Limited.
Year Profit after Tax Total net worth Return on Net worth
Inference: From the above table it is inferred that the Return On Net Worth records the
maximum during the financial year 2004 - 05 & it records the minimum during the financial
year 2003 - 04 with special reference to Oil & natural gas corporation Limited.
Table 4.2.4: Table showing the Debt to Equity for a period of Five years with special
reference to Oil & natural gas corporation Limited.
Inference: From the above table it is inferred that the Debt to Equity records the maximum
during the financial year 2006 - 07 & it records the minimum during the financial year
2003 - 04 with special reference to Oil & natural gas corporation Limited.
Table 4.2.5: Table showing the Price to Book Value Ratio for a period of Five years with
special reference to Oil & natural gas corporation Limited.
Inference: From the above table it is inferred that the Price to Book Value Ratio records the
maximum during the financial year 2006 - 07 & it records the minimum during the financial
year 2003 - 04 with special reference to Oil & natural gas corporation Limited.
Table 4.2.6: Table showing the Dividend Yield for a period of Five years with special
reference to Oil & natural gas corporation Limited.
Inference: From the above table it is inferred that the Dividend Yield records the maximum
during the financial year 2004 – 05 & it records the minimum during the financial years
2006 – 07 & 2007 – 08 with special reference to Oil & natural gas corporation Limited.
Table 4.2.7: Table showing the Cash EPS for a period of Five years with special reference to
Oil & natural gas corporation Limited.
Inference: From the above table it is inferred that the Cash EPS records the maximum during
the financial year 2005 – 06 & it records the minimum during the financial year 2003 – 04
with special reference to Oil & natural gas corporation Limited.
Table 4.2.8: Table showing the Return on Equity for a period of Five years with special
reference to Oil & natural gas corporation Limited.
Inference: From the above table it is inferred that the Return of Equity records the maximum
during the financial year 2004 – 05 & it records the minimum during the financial year
2003 – 04 with special reference to Oil & natural gas corporation Limited.
Table 4.2.9: Table showing the Total Return for a period of Five years with special reference
to Oil & natural gas corporation Limited.
Inference: From the above table it is inferred that the Total Return records the maximum
during the financial year 2003 – 04 & it records the minimum during the financial year
2004 – 05 with special reference to Oil & natural gas corporation Limited.
Table 4.2.10: Table showing the Interest Coverage Ratio for a period of Five years with
special reference to Oil & natural gas corporation Limited.
Inference: From the above table it is inferred that the Interest Coverage Ratio records the
maximum during the financial year 2006 – 07 & it records the minimum during the financial
year 2003 – 04 with special reference to Oil & natural gas corporation Limited.
Table 4.2.11: Table showing the Earnings Per Share for a period of Five years with special
reference to Oil & natural gas corporation Limited.
Inference: From the above table it is inferred that the Earnings Per Share records the
maximum during the financial year 2005 – 06 & it records the minimum during the financial
year 2003 – 04 with special reference to Oil & natural gas corporation Limited.
Table 4.2.12: Table showing the Beta status for the period of Five years with special
reference to Oil & natural gas corporation Limited.
2007 – 08 -0.64255
Inference : From the above table it is inferred that the Beta records the maximum during the
financial year 2006 - 07 & minimum during the financial year 2007 - 08 with special
reference to Oil & natural gas corporation Limited.
INFOSYS TECHNOLOGIES LIMITED
Table 4.3.1: Table showing the Price Earning Ratio for a period of Five years with special
reference to Infosys Technologies Limited.
Inference: From the above table it is inferred that the Price Earning Ratio records the
maximum during the financial year 2004 - 05 & it records the minimum during the financial
year 2007 - 08 with special reference to Infosys Technologies Limited.
Table 4.3.2: Table showing the Return on Capital Employed for a period of Five years with
special reference to Infosys Technologies Limited.
Inference: From the above table it is inferred that the Return On Capital Employed records
the maximum during the financial year 2003 - 04 & it records the minimum during the
financial year 2006 – 07 with special reference to Infosys Technologies Limited.
Table 4.3.3: Table showing the Return On Net worth for a period of Five years with special
reference to Infosys Technologies Limited.
Year Profit after Tax Total net worth Return on Net worth
Inference: From the above table it is inferred that the Return On Net Worth records the
maximum during the financial year 2003 - 04 & it records the minimum during the financial
year 2007 - 08 with special reference to Infosys Technologies Limited.
Table 4.3.4: Table showing the Debt to Equity for a period of Five years with special
reference to Infosys Technologies Limited.
Inference: From the above table it is inferred that the Debt to Equity records the maximum
during the financial year 2003 - 04 & it records the minimum during the financial year
2006 - 07 with special reference to Infosys Technologies Limited.
Table 4.3.5: Table showing the Price to Book Value Ratio for a period of Five years with
special reference to Infosys Technologies Limited.
Inference: From the above table it is inferred that the Price to Book Value Ratio records the
maximum during the financial year 2004 - 05 & it records the minimum during the financial
year 2007 - 08 with special reference to Infosys Technologies Limited.
Table 4.3.6: Table showing the Dividend Yield for a period of Five years with special
reference to Infosys Technologies Limited.
Inference: From the above table it is inferred that the Dividend Yield records the maximum
during the financial year 2007 – 08 & it records the minimum during the financial year
2003 – 04 with special reference to Infosys Technologies Limited.
Table 4.3.7: Table showing the Cash EPS for a period of Five years with special reference to
Infosys Technologies Limited.
Inference: From the above table it is inferred that the Cash EPS records the maximum during
the financial year 2003 – 04 & it records the minimum during the financial year
2006 – 07 with special reference to Infosys Technologies Limited.
Table 4.3.8: Table showing the Return of Equity for a period of Five years with special
reference to Infosys Technologies Limited.
Inference: From the above table it is inferred that the Return of Equity records the maximum
during the financial year 2003 – 04 & it records the minimum during the financial year
2007 – 08 with special reference to Infosys Technologies Limited.
Table 4.3.9: Table showing the Total Return for a period of Five years with special reference
to Infosys Technologies Limited.
Inference: From the above table it is inferred that the Total Return records the maximum
during the financial year 2004 – 05 & it records the minimum during the financial year
2003 – 04 with special reference to Infosys Technologies Limited.
Table 4.3.10: Table showing the Interest Coverage Ratio for a period of Five years with
special reference to Infosys Technologies Limited.
Inference: From the above table it is inferred that the Interest Coverage Ratio records the
maximum during the financial year 2007 – 08 & it records the minimum during the financial
year 2003 – 04 with special reference to Infosys Technologies Limited.
Table 4.3.11: Table showing the Earnings Per Share for a period of Five years with special
reference to Infosys Technologies Limited.
Inference: From the above table it is inferred that the Earnings Per Share records the
maximum during the financial year 2003 – 04 & it records the minimum during the financial
year 2006 – 07 with special reference to Infosys Technologies Limited.
Table 4.3.12: Table showing the Beta status for a period of Five years with special reference
to Infosys Technologies Limited.
2007 – 08 -0.2229
Inference : From the above table it is inferred that the Beta records the maximum during the
financial year 2004 - 05 & minimum during the financial year 2007 - 08 with special
reference to Infosys Technologies Limited.
BHARAT HEAVY ELECTRICALS LIMITED
Table 4.4.1: Table showing the Price Earning Ratio for a period of Five years with special
reference to Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited.
Inference: From the above table it is inferred that the Price Earning Ratio records the
maximum during the financial year 2007 - 08 & it records the minimum during the financial
year 2003 - 04 with special reference to Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited.
Table 4.4.2: Table showing the Return on Capital Employed for a period of Five years with
special reference to Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited.
Inference: From the above table it is inferred that the Return On Capital Employed records
the maximum during the financial year 2006 - 07 & it records the minimum during the
financial year 2003 – 04 with special reference to Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited.
Table 4.4.3: Table showing the Return On Net worth for a period of Five years with special
reference to Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited.
Year Profit after Tax Total net worth Return on Net worth
Inference: From the above table it is inferred that the Return On Net Worth records the
maximum during the financial year 2006 - 7 & it records the minimum during the financial
year 2003 - 04 with special reference to Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited.
Table 4.4.4: Table showing the Debt to Equity for a period of Five years with special
reference to Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited.
Inference: From the above table it is inferred that the Debt to Equity records the maximum
during the financial year 2007 - 08 & it records the minimum during the financial year
2003 - 04 with special reference to Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited.
Table 4.4.5: Table showing the Price to Book Value Ratio for a period of Five years with
special reference to Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited.
Inference: From the above table it is inferred that the Price to Book Value Ratio records the
maximum during the financial year 2007 - 08 & it records the minimum during the financial
year 2003 - 04 with special reference to Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited.
Table 4.4.6: Table showing the Dividend Yield for a period of Five years with special
reference to Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited.
Inference: From the above table it is inferred that the Dividend Yield records the maximum
during the financial year 2003 – 04 & it records the minimum during the financial year
2007 – 08 with special reference to Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited.
Table 4.4.7: Table showing the Cash EPS for a period of Five years with special reference to
Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited.
Inference: From the above table it is inferred that the Cash EPS records the maximum during
the financial year 2006 – 07 & it records the minimum during the financial year 2003 – 04
with special reference to Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited.
Table 4.4.8: Table showing the Return on Equity for a period of Five years with special
reference to Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited.
Inference: From the above table it is inferred that the Return of Equity records the maximum
during the financial year 2006 – 07 & it records the minimum during the financial year
2003 – 04 with special reference to Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited.
Table 4.4.9: Table showing the Total Return for a period of Five years with special reference
to Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited.
Inference: From the above table it is inferred that the Total Return records the maximum
during the financial year 2005 – 06 & it records the minimum during the financial year
2006 – 07 with special reference to Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited.
Table 4.4.10: Table showing the Interest Coverage Ratio for a period of Five years with
special reference to Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited.
Inference: From the above table it is inferred that the Interest Coverage Ratio records the
maximum during the financial year 2007 – 08 & it records the minimum during the financial
year 2003 – 04 with special reference to Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited.
Table 4.4.11: Table showing the Earnings Per Share for a period of Five years with special
reference to Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited.
Year Earnings Per Share
2003 – 04 26.89
2004 – 05 38.95
2005 – 06 68.60
2006 – 07 98.66
2007 – 08 58.41
Inference: From the above table it is inferred that the Earnings Per Share records the
maximum during the financial year 2006 – 07 & it records the minimum during the financial
year 2003 – 04 with special reference to Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited.
Table 4.4.12: Table showing the Beta status for a period of Five years with special reference
to Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited
2007 – 08 -0.5206
.
Inference : From the above table it is inferred that the Beta records the maximum during the
financial year 2005 – 06 & minimum during the financial year 2007 - 08 with special
reference to Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited.
Inference: From the above table it is inferred that the Price Earning Ratio records the
maximum during the financial year 2004 - 05 & it records the minimum during the financial
year 2003 - 04 with special reference to Indian Oil Corporation Limited.
Table 4.5.2: Table showing the Return on Capital Employed for a period of Five years with
special reference to Indian Oil Corporation Limited.
Inference: From the above table it is inferred that the Return On Capital Employed records
the maximum during the financial year 2003 - 04 & it records the minimum during the
financial year 2005 – 06 with special reference to Indian Oil Corporation Limited.
Table 4.5.3: Table showing the Return On Net worth for a period of Five years with special
reference to Indian Oil Corporation Limited.
Year Profit after Tax Total net worth Return on Net worth
Inference: From the above table it is inferred that the Return On Net Worth records the
maximum during the financial year 2003 - 04 & it records the minimum during the financial
year 2005 - 06 with special reference to Indian Oil Corporation Limited.
Table 4.5.4: Table showing the Debt to Equity for a period of Five years with special
reference to Indian Oil Corporation Limited
Inference: From the above table it is inferred that the Debt to Equity records the maximum
during the financial year 2005 - 06 & it records the minimum during the financial year
2007 - 08 with special reference to Indian Oil Corporation Limited.
Table 4.5.5: Table showing the Price to Book Value Ratio for a period of Five years with
special reference to Indian Oil Corporation Limited.
Inference: From the above table it is inferred that the Price to Book Value Ratio records the
maximum during the financial year 2003 - 04 & it records the minimum during the financial
year 2007 - 08 with special reference to Indian Oil Corporation Limited.
Table 4.5.6: Table showing the Dividend Yield for a period of Five years with special
reference to Indian Oil Corporation Limited.
Inference: From the above table it is inferred that the Dividend Yield records the maximum
during the financial year 2003 – 04 & it records the minimum during the financial year
2007 – 08 with special reference to Indian Oil Corporation Limited.
Table 4.5.7: Table showing the Cash EPS for a period of Five years with special reference to
Indian Oil Corporation Limited.
Inference: From the above table it is inferred that the Cash EPS records the maximum during
the financial year 2006 – 07 & it records the minimum during the financial year 2004 – 05
with special reference to Indian Oil Corporation Limited.
Table 4.5.8: Table showing the Return on Equity for a period of Five years with special
reference to Indian Oil Corporation Limited.
Inference: From the above table it is inferred that the Return of Equity records the maximum
during the financial year 2003 – 04 & it records the minimum during the financial year
2005 – 06 with special reference to Indian Oil Corporation Limited.
Table 4.5.9: Table showing the Total Return for a period of Five years with special reference
to Indian Oil Corporation Limited.
Inference: From the above table it is inferred that the Total Return records the maximum
during the financial year 2003 – 04 & it records the minimum during the financial year
2007 – 08 with special reference to Indian Oil Corporation Limited.
Table 4.5.10: Table showing the Interest Coverage Ratio for a period of Five years with
special reference to Indian Oil Corporation Limited.
Inference: From the above table it is inferred that the Interest Coverage Ratio records the
maximum during the financial year 2003 – 04 & it records the minimum during the financial
year 2007 – 08 with special reference to Indian Oil Corporation Limited.
Table 4.5.11: Table showing the Earnings Per Share for a period of Five years with special
reference to Indian Oil Corporation Limited.
Year Earnings Per Share
2003 – 04 59.97
2004 – 05 41.88
2005 – 06 42.08
2006 – 07 64.21
2007 – 08 58.39
Inference: From the above table it is inferred that the Earnings Per Share records the
maximum during the financial year 2006 – 07 & it records the minimum during the financial
year 2004 – 05 with special reference to Indian Oil Corporation Limited.
Table 4.5.12: Table showing the Beta status for a period of Five years with special reference
to Indian Oil Corporation Limited.
2007 – 08 -0.76505
Inference : From the above table it is inferred that the Beta records the maximum during the
financial year 2006 - 07 & minimum during the financial year 2007 - 08 with special
reference to Indian Oil Corporation Limited.
TREND ANALYSIS FOR PRICE EARNING RATIO FOR A PERIOD OF FIVE
YEARS 2003-08 WITH SPECIAL REFERENCE TO RELIANCE INDUSTRIES
LIMITED.
X X - X = dx dx2 Y Y – Y = dy dxdy
3 0 0 11.05 -1.91 0
10 16
Y = a + bx
a = 12.96 b = 1.6
Inference : The Projected Price Earning Ratio is 22.56 for the year 2008 - 09.
The Projected Price Earning Ratio is 24.16 for the year 2009 - 10.
The Projected Price Earning Ratio is 25.76 for the year 2010 - 11.
TREND ANALYSIS FOR DIVIDEND YIELD FOR A PERIOD OF FIVE YEARS
2003-08 WITH SPECIAL REFERENCE TO RELIANCE INDUSTRIES LIMITED.
10 -1.08
X X - X = dx dx2 Y Y – Y = dy dxdy
3 0 0 1.59 0.5 0
Y = a + bx
a = 1.09 b = -0.108
Inference : The Projected Dividend Yield is 0.44 for the year 2008 - 09.
The Projected Dividend Yield is 0.78 for the year 2009 - 10.
The Projected Dividend Yield is 0.23 for the year 2010 - 11.
T-TEST FOR PRICE EARNING RATIO FOR A PERIOD OF FIVE YEARS 2003 – 08
WITH SPECIAL REFERENCE TO RELIANCE INDUSTRIES LIMITED.
Inference : As the Calculated value is less than the table value H0 is accepted and hence it is
concluded that the time period has no influence in the Price Earning Ratio.
T-TEST FOR CASH EPS FOR A PERIOD OF FIVE YEARS 2003-08 WITH
SPECIAL REFERENCE TO RELIANCE INDUSTRIES LIMITED.
σ / √n 41.36/√5 41.36/2.236
Inference : As the Calculated value is less than the table value H0 is accepted and hence it is
concluded that the time period has no influence in the Cash EPS.
T-TEST FOR DIVIDEND YIELD FOR A PERIOD OF FIVE YEARS 2003-08 WITH
SPECIAL REFERENCE TO RELIANCE INDUSTRIES LIMITED.
Inference : As the Calculated value is less than the table value H0 is accepted and hence it is
concluded that the time period has no influence in the Dividend Yield.
ONE WAY ANNOVA
H0: There lies no significant variation between the Price Earning Ratio and Cash EPS with
special reference to Reliance Industries Limited.
H1: There lies a significant variation between the Price Earning Ratio and Cash EPS with
special reference to Reliance Industries Limited.
Table 4.1.13 : Table showing the Quarterly Average Return for the period of five years with
a special reference to Reliance Industries Limited.
Quarters Returns for Returns for Returns for Returns for Returns for
03-04 04-05 05-06 06-07 07-08
1st -0.0475 0.0240 -0.0899 0.0263 -0.0755
2nd -0.2198 0.1812 0.3296 0.0776 -0.0184
3rd 0.1105 0.2205 0.1137 0.1069 -0.0221
4th 0.1191 0.1312 0.0819 0.0822 -0.1277
Inference : From the above table it is inferred that the Quarterly Average Return records the
maximum during the 4th Quarter & it records the minimum during the 2nd quarter for the
Financial year 2003 – 04 with special reference to Reliance Industries Limited.
Inference : From the above table it is inferred that the Quarterly Average Return records the
maximum during the 3rd Quarter & it records the minimum during the 1st quarter for the
Financial year 2004 – 05 with special reference to Reliance Industries Limited.
Inference : From the above table it is inferred that the Quarterly Average Return records the
maximum during the 2nd Quarter & it records the minimum during the 1st quarter for the
Financial year 2005 – 06 with special reference to Reliance Industries Limited.
Inference : From the above table it is inferred that the Quarterly Average Return records the
maximum during the 3rd Quarter & it records the minimum during the 1st quarter for the
Financial year 2006 – 07 with special reference to Reliance Industries Limited.
Inference : From the above table it is inferred that the Quarterly Average Return records a
negative trend on all the Quarter for the financial year 2007 – 08 with special reference to
Reliance Industries Limited.
TREND ANALYSIS FOR PRICE EARNING RATIO FOR A PERIOD OF FIVE
YEARS 2004-08 WITH SPECIAL REFERENCE TO OIL & NATURAL GAS
CORPORATION LIMITED.
X X - X = dx dx2 Y Y – Y = dy dxdy
3 0 0 10.34 -0.6 0
10 10.27
Y = a + bx
a = 10.94 b = 1.03
Inference : The Projected Price Earning Ratio is 17.12 for the year 2008 - 09.
The Projected Price Earning Ratio is 18.15for the year 2009 - 10.
The Projected Price Earning Ratio is 19.18 for the year 2010 - 11.
X X - X = dx dx2 Y Y – Y = dy dxdy
1 -2 4 0.039 0 0
3 0 0 0.042 0.003 0
10 0.011
Y = a + bx
a = 0.039 b = 0.0011
Inference : The Projected Dividend Yield is 0.105 for the year 2008 - 09.
The Projected Dividend Yield is 0.116 for the year 2009 - 10.
The Projected Dividend Yield is 0.127 for the year 2010 - 11.
T-TEST FOR PRICE EARNING RATIO FOR A PERIOD OF FIVE YEARS
2003 – 08 WITH SPECIAL REFERENCE TO OIL & NATURAL GAS
CORPORATION LIMITED.
Inference : As the Calculated value is less than the table value H0 is accepted and hence it is
concluded that the time period has no influence on the Price Earning Ratio.
T-TEST FOR CASH EPS FOR A PERIOD OF FIVE YEARS 2003-08 WITH
SPECIAL REFERENCE TO OIL & NATURAL GAS CORPORATION
LIMITED.
Inference : As the Calculated value is less than the table value H0 is accepted and hence it is
concluded that the time period has no influence on the Cash EPS.
T-TEST FOR DIVIDEND YIELD FOR A PERIOD OF FIVE YEARS 2003-08
WITH SPECIAL REFERENCE TO OIL & NATURAL GAS CORPORATION
LIMITED.
Inference : As the Calculated value is less than the table value H0 is accepted and hence it is
concluded that the time period has no influence on the Dividend Yield.
ONE WAY ANNOVA
H0: There lies no significant variation between the Price Earning Ratio and Cash EPS with
special reference to Oil & natural gas corporation Limited.
H1: There lies a significant variation between the Price Earning Ratio and Cash EPS with
special reference to Oil & natural gas corporation Limited.
RETURNS OF THE OIL & NATURAL GAS CORPORATION LIMITED FOR THE
PERIOD OF FIVE YEARS 2003 – 2008
Table 4.2.13 : Table showing the Quarterly Average Return for the period of five years with
a special reference to Oil & natural gas corporation Limited.
Quarters Returns for Returns for Returns for Returns for Returns for
03-04 04-05 05-06 06-07 07-08
1st 0.0676 0.0782 0.1261 0.0095 -0.0694
Inference : From the above table it is inferred that the Quarterly Average Return records the
maximum during the 3rd Quarter & it records the minimum during the 2nd quarter for the
financial year 2003 – 04 with special reference to Oil & natural gas corporation Limited.
Inference : From the above table it is inferred that the Quarterly Average Return records the
maximum during the 2nd Quarter & it records the minimum during the 3rd quarter for the
financial year 2004 – 05 with special reference to Oil & natural gas corporation Limited.
Inference : From the above table it is inferred that the Quarterly Average Return records the
maximum during the 1st Quarter & it records the minimum during the 4th quarter for the
financial year 2005 – 06 with special reference to Oil & natural gas corporation Limited.
Inference : From the above table it is inferred that the Quarterly Average Return records the
maximum during the 4th Quarter & it records the minimum during the 1st quarter for the
financial year 2006 – 07 with special reference to Oil & natural gas corporation Limited.
Inference : From the above table it is inferred that the Quarterly Average Return records the
maximum during the 3rd Quarter & it records the minimum during the 4th quarter for the
financial year 2007 – 08 with special reference to Oil & natural gas corporation Limited.
X X - X = dx dx2 Y Y – Y = dy dxdy
3 0 0 28.95 -0.79 0
5 2 4 22.74 -7 -14
10 -5.78
Y = a + bx
a = 29.74 b = -0.578
The Projected Price Earning Ratio is 25.69 for the year 2009 - 10.
The Projected Price Earning Ratio is 25.12 for the year 2010 - 11.
X X - X = dx dx2 Y Y – Y = dy dxdy
3 0 0 3.52 1.58 0
4 1 1 1 -0.94 -0.94
10 7.4
Y = a + bx
a = 1.94 b = 0.74
Inference : The Projected Dividend Yield is 6.38 for the year 2008 - 09.
The Projected Dividend Yield is 7.12 for the year 2009 - 10.
The Projected Dividend Yield is 7.86 for the year 2010 - 11.
T-TEST FOR PRICE EARNING RATIO FOR A PERIOD OF FIVE YEARS 2003 – 08
WITH SPECIAL REFERENCE TO INFOSYS TECHNOLOGIES LIMITED.
σ / √n 7.302/2.236 3.27
Inference : As the Calculated value is less than the table value H0 is accepted and hence it is
concluded that the time period has no influence in the Price Earning Ratio.
T-TEST FOR CASH EPS FOR A PERIOD OF FIVE YEARS 2003-08 WITH
SPECIAL REFERENCE TO INFOSYS TECHNOLOGIES LIMITED.
σ / √n 3754.65/√5 1679.18
T-TEST FOR DIVIDEND YIELD FOR A PERIOD OF FIVE YEARS 2003-08 WITH
SPECIAL REFERENCE TO INFOSYS TECHNOLOGIES LIMITED.
Inference : As the Calculated value is less than the table value H0 is accepted and hence it is
concluded that the time period has no influence in the Dividend Yield.
RETURNS OF THE INFOSYS TECHNOLOGIES LIMITED FOR THE PERIOD OF
FIVE YEARS 2003 – 2008
Table 4.3.13 : Table showing the Quarterly Average Return for a period of five years with a
special reference to Infosys technologies Limited.
Quarters Returns for Returns for Returns for Returns for Returns for
03-04 04-05 05-06 06-07 07-08
1st -0.1166 0.0795 -0.0028 0.1398 -0.0634
Inference : From the above table it is inferred that the Quarterly Average Return records the
maximum during the 4th Quarter & it records the minimum during the 3rd quarter for the
financial year 2003 – 04 with special reference to Infosys technologies Limited.
Inference : From the above table it is inferred that the Quarterly Average Return records the
maximum during the 4th Quarter & it records the minimum during the 3rd quarter for the
financial year 2004 – 05 with special reference to Infosys technologies Limited.
Inference : From the above table it is inferred that the Quarterly Average Return records the
maximum during the 4th Quarter & it records the minimum during the 3rd quarter for the
financial year 2005 – 06 with special reference to Infosys technologies Limited.
Inference : From the above table it is inferred that the Quarterly Average Return records the
maximum during the 2nd Quarter & it records the minimum during the 4th quarter for the
financial year 2006 – 07 with special reference to Infosys technologies Limited.
Inference : From the above table it is inferred that the Quarterly Average Return records the
maximum during the 2nd Quarter & it records the minimum during the 4th quarter for the
financial year 2007 – 08 with special reference to Infosys technologies Limited.
X X - X = dx dx2 Y Y – Y = dy dxdy
3 0 0 19.14 -2.79 0
10 48.61
Y = a + bx
a = 21.93 b = 4.86
Inference : The Projected Price Earning Ratio is 51.09 for the year 2008 - 09.
The Projected Price Earning Ratio is 55.95for the year 2009 - 10.
The Projected Price Earning Ratio is 60.81 for the year 2010 - 11.
X X - X = dx dx2 Y Y – Y = dy dxdy
3 0 0 1.10 -0.02 0
10 -1.66
Y = a + bx
a = 1.12 b = -0.166
Inference : The Projected Dividend Yield Ratio is 0.124 for the year 2008 - 09.
The Projected Dividend Yield Ratio is -0.042 for the year 2009 - 10.
The Projected Dividend Yield Ratio is -0.208 for the year 2010 - 11.
T-TEST FOR DIVIDEND YIELD RATIO FOR A PERIOD OF FIVE YEARS 2003 –
08 WITH SPECIAL REFERENCE TO BHARAT HEAVY ELECTRICALS
LIMITED.
Inference : As the Calculated value is less than the table value H0 is accepted and hence it is
concluded that the time period has no influence on the Dividend Yield Ratio.
T-TEST FOR CASH EPS FOR A PERIOD OF FIVE YEARS 2003-08 WITH
SPECIAL REFERENCE TO BHARAT HEAVY ELECTRICALS LIMITED.
Inference : As the Calculated value is less than the table value H0 is accepted and hence it is
concluded that the time period has no influence on the Cash EPS.
T-TEST FOR PRICE EARNING RATIO FOR A PERIOD OF FIVE YEARS 2003-08
WITH SPECIAL REFERENCE TO BHARAT HEAVY ELECTRICALS LIMITED.
Inference : As the Calculated value is less than the table value H0 is accepted and hence it is
concluded that the time period has no influence on the Price Earning Ratio.
RETURNS OF THE BHARAT HEAVY ELECTRICALS LIMITED FOR THE
PERIOD OF FIVE YEARS 2003 - 3008
Table 4.4.13: Table showing the Quarterly Average Return for the period of five years with a
special reference to Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited.
Quarters Returns for Returns for Returns for Returns for Returns for
03-04 04-05 05-06 06-07 07-08
1st 0.18832 0.01481 0.52402 -0.0005 -0.06436
Inference : From the above table it is inferred that the Quarterly Average Return records the
maximum during the 4th Quarter & it records the minimum during the 2nd quarter for the
financial year 2003 – 04 with special reference to Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited.
Inference : From the above table it is inferred that the Quarterly Average Return records the
maximum during the 3rd Quarter & it records the minimum during the 1st quarter for the
financial year 2004 – 05 with special reference to Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited.
Inference : From the above table it is inferred that the Quarterly Average Return records the
maximum during the 1st Quarter & it records the minimum during the 2nd quarter for the
financial year 2005 – 06 with special reference to Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited.
Inference : From the above table it is inferred that the Quarterly Average Return records the
maximum during the 3rd Quarter & it records the minimum during the 2nd quarter for the
financial year 2006 – 07 with special reference to Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited.
Inference : From the above table it is inferred that the Quarterly Average Return records the
maximum during the 3rd Quarter & it records the minimum during the 2nd quarter for the
financial year 2007 – 08 with special reference to Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited.
X X - X = dx dx2 Y Y – Y = dy dxdy
3 0 0 10.39 1.78 0
10 0.39
Y = a + bx
a = 8.61 b = 0.039
Inference : The Projected Price Earning Ratio is 8.84 for the year 2008 - 09.
The Projected Price Earning Ratio is 8.88 for the year 2009 - 10.
The Projected Price Earning Ratio is 8.92 for the year 2010 - 11.
X X - X = dx dx2 Y Y – Y = dy dxdy
2 -1 1 0.033 0 0
3 0 0 0.029 -0.004 0
10 0.076
Y = a + bx
a = 0.1244 b = 0.0076
Inference : The Projected Dividend Yield Ratio is 0.0056 for the year 2008 - 09.
The Projected Dividend Yield Ratio is 0.1776 for the year 2009 - 10.
The Projected Dividend Yield Ratio is 0.1852 for the year 2010 - 11.
T-TEST FOR DIVIDEND YIELD RATIO FOR A PERIOD OF FIVE YEARS 2003 –
08 WITH SPECIAL REFERENCE TO INDIAN OIL CORPORATION LIMITED.
Inference : As the Calculated value is less than the table value H0 is accepted and hence it is
concluded that the time period has no influence on the Dividend Yield Ratio.
T-TEST FOR CASH EPS FOR A PERIOD OF FIVE YEARS 2003-08 WITH
SPECIAL REFERENCE TO INDIAN OIL CORPORATION LIMITED.
Inference : As the Calculated value is less than the table value H0 is accepted and hence it is
concluded that the time period has no influence on the Cash EPS.
T-TEST FOR PRICE EARNING RATIO FOR A PERIOD OF FIVE YEARS 2003-08
WITH SPECIAL REFERENCE TO INDIAN OIL CORPORATION LIMITED.
Inference : As the Calculated value is less than the table value H0 is accepted and hence it is
concluded that the time period has no influence on the Price Earning Ratio.
ONE WAY ANNOVA
H0: There lies no significant variation between the Price Earning Ratio and Cash EPS with
special reference to Indian Oil Corporation Limited.
H1: There lies a significant variation between the Price Earning Ratio and Cash EPS with
special reference to Indian Oil Corporation Limited.
=∑ ( X1- 1)2 + ∑ ( X2- 2)2 + ∑ ( X3- 3)2 + ∑ ( X4- 4)2 + ∑ ( X5- 5)2 = 10689.44
Quarters Returns for Returns for Returns for Returns for Returns for
03-04 04-05 05-06 06-07 07-08
1st 0.08787 -0.14197 0.05668 -0.0005 -0.06436
Inference : From the above table it is inferred that the Quarterly Average Return records the
maximum during the 3rd Quarter & it records the minimum during the 2nd quarter for the
financial year 2003 – 04 with special reference to Indian Oil Corporation Limited.
Inference : From the above table it is inferred that the Quarterly Average Return records the
maximum during the 4th Quarter & it records the minimum during the 1st quarter for the
financial year 2004 – 05 with special reference to Indian Oil Corporation Limited.
Inference : From the above table it is inferred that the Quarterly Average Return records the
maximum during the 3rd Quarter & it records the minimum during the 2nd quarter for the
financial year 2005 – 06 with special reference to Indian Oil Corporation Limited.
Inference : From the above table it is inferred that the Quarterly Average Return records the
maximum during the 3rd Quarter & it records the minimum during the 2nd quarter for the
financial year 2006 – 07 with special reference to Indian Oil Corporation Limited.
Inference : From the above table it is inferred that the Quarterly Average Return records the
maximum during the 3rd Quarter & it records the minimum during the 2nd quarter for the
financial year 2007 – 08 with special reference to Indian Oil Corporation Limited.
FACTOR ANALYSIS
Component
1 2
Component
1 2 3
PRICE EARNING RATIO .997 .076 .015
RETURN ON CAPITAL EMPLOYED .284 .954 .098
RETURN ON NET WORTH -.113 .074 -.991
DEBT TO EQUITY -.737 -.578 .351
PRICE TO BOOK VALUE RATIO .986 .163 .017
DIVIDEND YIELD -.705 .341 .621
CASH EPS -.032 .986 -.165
RETURN ON EQUITY .797 .579 .171
TOTAL RETURN .992 .127 .015
INTEREST COVERAGE RATIO .991 .133 .002
EARNINGS PER SHARE .148 .986 .083
Inference : From the above analysis it is inferred that the following factors namely Price
Earning Ratio, Total Return, Interest Coverage Ratio, Return on Capital Employed, Cash
EPS, Earnings Per Share, Debt to Equity, Dividend Yield, and Return on Equity are the
dominant factors that determine the market price mechanism of the Equity shares.
FOR THE FINANCIAL YEAR 2005 – 06
Component
1 2 3
PRICE EARNING RATIO .993 .115 .032
RETURN ON CAPITAL EMPLOYED .227 .925 .304
RETURN ON NET WORTH -.040 .101 -.994
DEBT TO EQUITY -.664 -.567 .488
PRICE TO BOOK VALUE RATIO .972 .231 .051
DIVIDEND YIELD .173 .529 .831
CASH EPS .166 .984 -.064
RETURN ON EQUITY .785 .598 .162
TOTAL RETURN .939 .337 .067
INTEREST COVERAGE RATIO .991 .117 .065
EARNINGS PER SHARE .307 .952 -.019
Inference : From the above analysis it is inferred that the variable Return on Capital
Employed is a dominant factor while Price Earning Ratio, Price to Book Value Ratio, Interest
Coverage Ratio, Cash EPS, Earnings Per Share, Debt to Equity and Dividend Yield are the
supportive factors that drives the market price mechanism of the Equity shares.
FOR THE FINANCIAL YEAR 2006 – 07
Component
1 2
PRICE EARNING RATIO .998 .050
RETURN ON CAPITAL EMPLOYED -.126 -.740
RETURN ON NET WORTH .082 .997
DEBT TO EQUITY -.930 -.351
PRICE TO BOOK VALUE RATIO .993 -.119
DIVIDEND YIELD -.746 -.662
CASH EPS -.332 .939
RETURN ON EQUITY .862 -.493
TOTAL RETURN .971 .241
INTEREST COVERAGE RATIO .959 -.226
EARNINGS PER SHARE .002 .926
Inference : From the above factor analysis it is inferred that the variables namely
Price Earning Ratio, Price to Book Value Ratio, Return On Net worth, and Cash EPS are the
dominant variables in driving the market price mechanism of the Equity Shares.
FOR THE FINANCIAL YEAR 2007-08
Component
1 2 3
PRICE EARNING RATIO .911 .345 .226
RETURN ON CAPITAL EMPLOYED .202 -.053 .978
RETURN ON NET WORTH .069 .983 -.171
DEBT TO EQUITY -.763 -.474 -.440
PRICE TO BOOK VALUE RATIO .954 .211 .214
DIVIDEND YIELD .593 -.431 .680
CASH EPS -.005 .999 -.043
RETURN ON EQUITY .908 .188 .375
TOTAL RETURN .992 -.096 .085
INTEREST COVERAGE RATIO .975 -.220 .039
EARNINGS PER SHARE .163 .985 .050
Inference : From the above analysis it is inferred that the following factors namely
Price to Book Value Ratio, Total Return, Interest Coverage Ratio, Return on Net worth,
Cash EPS, Earnings Per Share, Return on Capital Employed, Dividend Yield & Return On
Equity are the crucial variables in driving the market price mechanism of the Equity Shares.
FOR FIVE YEARS 2003 – 2008
Component
1 2 3
PRICE EARNING RATIO .962 .131 -.169
RETURN ON CAPITAL EMPLOYED .220 .609 .647
RETURN ON NET WORTH -.079 .242 -.818
DEBT TO EQUITY -.646 -.251 .433
PRICE TO BOOK VALUE RATIO .965 .218 -.029
DIVIDEND YIELD -.289 -.060 .867
CASH EPS .054 .950 -.231
RETURN ON EQUITY .700 .539 .377
TOTAL RETURN .858 -.069 -.012
INTEREST COVERAGE RATIO .839 .096 .064
EARNINGS PER SHARE .171 .958 -.126
Inference : From the above analysis it is inferred that the variables namely
Price Earning Ratio, Price to Book Value Ratio, Total Return, Cash EPS, Earnings Per Share,
Return on Capital Employed, Debt Equity, and Dividend Yield are the dominant variables
that drive the market price mechanism of the Equity Shares.
FINDINGS
The Price Earnings Ratio records the highest during the financial year 2007 – 08.
The Return on capital employed records the highest during the financial year 2004 – 05.
The Return on Net worth records the maximum during the financial year 2007 – 08.
The Debt to Equity records the maximum during the financial year 2004 – 05.
The Price to Book value ratio records the highest during the financial year 2007 – 08.
The Dividend Yield records the maximum during the financial year 2004 – 05.
The Cash EPS records the maximum during the financial year 2007 – 08.
The Return on Equity records the maximum during the financial year 2007 – 08.
The Total Return records the highest during the financial year 2006 – 07.
The Interest Coverage Ratio records the highest during the financial year 2007 – 08.
The EPS records the maximum during the financial year 2007 – 08.
The Price Earnings Ratio records the highest during the financial year 2004 – 05.
The Return on capital employed records the highest during the financial year 2003 – 04.
The Return on Net worth records the maximum during the financial year 2003 – 04.
The Debt to Equity records the maximum during the financial year 2003 – 04.
The Price to Book value ratio records the highest during the financial year 2004 – 05.
The Dividend Yield records the maximum during the financial year 2007 – 08.
The Cash EPS records the maximum during the financial year 2007 – 08.
The Return on Equity records the maximum during the financial year 2007 – 08.
The Total Return records the highest during the financial year 2004 – 05.
The Interest Coverage Ratio records the highest during the financial year 2007 – 08.
The EPS records the maximum during the financial year 2003 – 04.
The Price Earnings Ratio records the highest during the financial year 2007 – 08.
The Return on capital employed records the highest during the financial year 2006 – 07.
The Return on Net worth records the maximum during the financial year 2006 – 07.
The Debt to Equity records the maximum during the financial year 2007 – 08.
The Price to Book value ratio records the highest during the financial year 2007 – 08.
The Dividend Yield records the maximum during the financial year 2003 – 04.
The Cash EPS records the maximum during the financial year 2006 – 07.
The Return on Equity records the maximum during the financial year 2006 – 07.
The Total Return records the highest during the financial year 2005 – 06.
The Interest Coverage Ratio records the highest during the financial year 2007 – 08.
The EPS records the maximum during the financial year 2006 – 07.
The Price Earnings Ratio records the highest during the financial year 2007 – 08.
The Return on capital employed records the highest during the financial year 2005 – 06.
The Return on Net worth records the maximum during the financial year 2004 – 05.
The Debt to Equity records the maximum during the financial year 2006 – 07.
The Price to Book value ratio records the highest during the financial year 2006 – 07.
The Dividend Yield records the maximum during the financial year 2004 – 05.
The Cash EPS records the maximum during the financial year 2005 – 06.
The Return on Equity records the maximum during the financial year 2004 – 05.
The Total Return records the highest during the financial year 2003 – 04.
The Interest Coverage Ratio records the highest during the financial year 2006 – 07.
The EPS records the maximum during the financial year 2005 – 06.
The Price Earnings Ratio records the highest during the financial year 2004 – 05.
The Return on capital employed records the highest during the financial year 2003 – 04.
The Return on Net worth records the maximum during the financial year 2003 – 04.
The Debt to Equity records the maximum during the financial year 2005 – 06.
The Price to Book value ratio records the highest during the financial year 2003 – 04.
The Dividend Yield records the maximum during the financial year 2003 – 04.
The Cash EPS records the maximum during the financial year 2006 – 07.
The Return on Equity records the maximum during the financial year 2003 – 04.
The Total Return records the highest during the financial year 2003 – 04.
The Interest Coverage Ratio records the highest during the financial year 2003 – 04.
The EPS records the maximum during the financial year 2006 – 07.
Major Findings from the Over all Factor Analysis results for the years 2003-2008 :
The companies include Reliance Industries, Oil and natural gas corporation, Infosys
Technologies, Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited and Indian Oil Corporation :
The study reveals that the variables namely P/E ratio, P/B ratio, Total Return, Cash EPS ,
EPS, Return on Capital employed , Debt –equity and Dividend yield are the dominant factors
in determining the market price mechanism of the equity shares for the years 2003-2008.
SUGGESTIONS
The Investor should study & assess the book value (Investment Per Share) before
deciding on the Investment proposal.
The Investor should assess the EPS of the Company before making an investment
proposal as it reflects significantly towards safeguarding the wealth maximisation of
the shareholders.
The Investor should assess the relationship of the PE ratio with the Market Price
before making an investment proposal and should ensure that the end result of this
analysis should be positive and thereby he will be in a position to ascertain, when he
can recover his investment.
The Investor should assess the Return on Net worth status before making an
investment proposal as it reflects the productivity of the equity capital invested
before.
The Investor should be in a position to ascertain the risk factor associated with his
investment proposal and he should be in a position to ascertain the sensitivity in term
of Index / Market return.
CONCLUSION
The researcher carried out the study with the objective of finding out the crucial factors that
determining the market price mechanism of the selected five stocks from NSE. The study
reveals that the factors namely Return on Capital Employed that drives the market price
mechanism of the selected stock. The study further reveals that Earnings Per Share, Cash
EPS, Price Earning Ratio, and Dividend Yield too plays a dominant role in determining the
market price mechanism of the selected stocks. Thus investors are advised to have a glimpse
on the variable namely Price Earning Ratio, Earnings Per Share, Dividend Yield, Cash EPS
before making an investment decision. Earning Power Factor represents the earning power of
the companies and therefore, termed as earning power factor. The factor consists of earning
per share, cash earning per share and book value per share. Return On Investment is termed
as Return on Investment factor. The factor consists of Price to Book Value, Return on Capital
Employed, and Return on Net Worth. Volatility Factor which consists of Beta, Average
Return and Market Capitalisation. Growth Factor which consists of Dividend Yield and
Price-Earning Ratio. Hence the prospective investors are guided towards determining on an
optimum investment portfolio by assessing the liquidity, return and market price before
making an investment decision. Thus ensuring that wealth maximisation of shareholders has
been accomplished.
BIBLIOGRAPHY
REFERENCES:
3) Kothari C.R., “Research Methodology”, New Delhi, New Age International (P)
Ltd, 2006.
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