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Foreword ………………………………………………………………………………………02
The 2011 M&A Outlook report is a compilation of key M&A activity statistics from various perspectives. The report presents in-depth
data on deal-making activity across a broad array of deal types, regions, and industry sectors.
Historical data cited in the report represents M&A transactions that Bloomberg was made aware of between January 1, 2010 and
November 30, 2010. Aggregate M&A data is comprised of mergers, acquisitions, divestitures, spin-offs, debt-for-equity-swaps, joint
ventures, private placements of common equity and convertible securities, and the cash injection component of recapitalizations
according to Bloomberg standards. The announced total value represents the price paid, and not the value of individual companies
or their assets.
Bloomberg delivers real-time coverage of the M&A market around the world. We provide a global perspective and local insight into
unique deal structures in various markets through a network of over 800 financial and legal advisory firms, ensuring an accurate
reflection of key market trends. Our quarterly league table rankings are a leading benchmark for legal and financial advisory
performance, and our DealSpace and Brief newsletters provide daily and weekly summaries of M&A activity.
Visit NI BRIEF<GO> or NI DEALSPACE<GO> or NI LEAG CRL<GO> on the Bloomberg Professional to download copies of the report
and a full range of market-specific league tables. Visit MA <GO> and PE <GO> for related data and functionality.
Edited By: Uvarshanie Nandram, Mariana Trindade, Iyan Adewuya, and Carol Chuang
The BLOOMBERG PROFESSIONAL service and data products are owned and distributed by Bloomberg Finance L.P. and its subsidiaries (BFLP) except in Argentina, Bermuda, China, India, Japan and
Korea (where Bloomberg L.P. and its subsidiaries (BLP) distribute these products ). BLP provides BFLP with global marketing and operational support and service for these products. BFLP and BLP
believe the information herein came from reliable sources, but do not guarantee its accuracy. No information or opinion herein constitutes a solicitation of the purchase or sale of securities or
commodities.
Executive Summary
The results of the Bloomberg Global Poll of over 1,000 financial market professionals show a tempered optimism about a
continuing rebound of dealmaking activity in 2011.
Survey respondents expect attractive target valuations to be the primary driver that will present M&A opportunities in
2011. While domestic competition is perceived as another strong catalyst for M&A activity, respondents saw market volatility
as the most significant potential obstacle to global deal-making in 2011.
Asia Pacific companies are expected to be the most acquisitive buyers in 2011, while respondents expect the most
attractive targets to continue to be found among firms based in the North American region.
Global M&A activity witnessed a strong comeback with aggregate volume and deal count figures surpassing 2009 levels.
Through the end of November 2010, over 21,000 deals were announced with more than $1.9 trillion in total volume. This
represented a 12% increase from 2009 volume levels, and marked a sharp reversal in the two-year decline of dealmaking
activity that began in 2008.
Dealmaking opportunities are expanding beyond domestic borders, with over 8,100 cross border deals worth roughly
$945 billion announced in 2010, a 41% increase in volume compared to last year. On average, targets of cross border
transactions are receiving slightly higher premiums, 24% on average compared to the 22% for all deals. Roughly 52% of all
cross border volume is in the form of a company takeover, with 22% in asset sales, 14% in minority stake purchase, and 9% in
majority stake purchases. Tender offers comprise 8% of cross border deals in 2010.
Asia Pacific experienced a significant growth in M&A activity, reporting over 8,700 deals that involved an Asian company as
the target, seller, or buyer, eclipsing Europe as the second most active region, following North America. Fueling this growth is
acquisition opportunities in China, with approximately 2,500 deals worth $110 billion, a 29% increase in deal activity and 15%
increase in volume from 2009, and a staggering 108% increase in deal volume since 2005. China’s appetite for buying
opportunities is also increasing, with $145 billion worth of deals announced in 2010, a 453% increase from 2005 levels.
Brazil M&A is at a 10 year high, with over $130 billion in announced M&A activity. This includes deals such as the sale of
Brasilcel NV to Telefonica SA, and the sale of Repsol YPF Brasil to China Petroleum & Chemical company. Energy &
communications were the top industries undergoing consolidation in the country.
Lastly, Private Equity players are on the comeback, with more than 1,700 deals announced. The Carlyle Group in particular,
announced 33 deals year to date worth $16 billion in transactions, the highest number of deals since 2007. Top buyers and
targets remain in the U.S. and U.K., with Canada and Australia emerging as attractive countries for private equity dealmaking.
The majority of transactions are below $500 million, with 58 deals in the $1-5 billion range and 53 deals in the $500 million to
$1 billion range. Overall, while deal activity and deal volume has increased substantially from 2009 levels and is on track to
surpass 2008 levels, there is still quite a way to recovery.
Executive Summary * 3
2011
GLOBAL
M&A
OUTLOOK
M&A
M&A Sentiment
Sentiment
Overall, 2010 M&A activity turned out to be largely in-line with expectations expressed in the
2010 M&A sentiment survey conducted last year.
80% $4,500
60% $4,000
In 2009, 60% of survey $3,500
respondents expected a small 40%
$3,000
increase in global M&A volume, 20% $2,500
with the most optimistic group
0% $2,000
being on the buy-side. In fact,
global volume increased by 5%. 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 $1,500
-20%
$1,000
-40% $500
-60% $-
Volume % Growth
Compared to 2010, what do you expect to happen to the volume of mergers and
acquisitions in 2011?
70%
Of the different roles in the
financial industry, research 60%
20%
10%
0%
Large Increase Small Increase No Change Small Decrease Large Decrease
In your opinion, what will be the primary What do you think will be the most
drivers of M&A activity in 2011? significant obstacles to the global deal-
making in 2011?
Shareholder
Demand Slow Economic Growth
10% Financing
16%
Market Volatility
Domestic
Market
Competition
Stability Government Regulation
17%
11%
Unrealistic Valuations
Target Profile
Billion-dollar deals are expected to make a comeback in 2011, with roughly 35% of survey respondents
expecting to see deals within the $1-$5 billion range, compared to 25% of respondents last year. The
majority of deals are still expected to fall within the $250 million -$1 billon range. All eyes are still on
distressed companies as the most frequent target in 2011, followed by public mid-cap companies.
What ranges will most M&A deals fall within Which type of firm do you think will be the
in 2011? most frequent target in 2011?
90.0%
50.0%
80.0%
40.0% 70.0%
60.0%
30.0%
50.0%
20.0% 40.0%
30.0%
10.0% 20.0%
10.0%
0.0%
> 5bln 5bln-1bln 1 bln-250mln <250mln 0.0%
$500
$450 North America
Looking ahead, Asia Pacific companies are expected to be the most acquisitive buyers in 2011, followed
closely by North American firms. In terms of attractive buyout targets, the global respondents are looking
to North America & South and Central America in 2011, as opposed to Asia Pacific (projected target region
for 2010).
In which region do you expect the most In which regions do you think that the most
active buyers to be based in 2011? attractive acquisition targets will be based in
2011?
Asia Pacific Central Asia
45% 6%
North
Central Asia America
13% Asia Pacific
25%
23%
South &
Africa / North Central
America Africa / America
Middle East
22% Middle East 15%
3%
Western 7%
Europe South &
Central Western Eastern
7%
America Europe Europe
7% 18% 6%
Which industry sectors do you expect to Global M&A Volume By Top Industries
contain the most M&A activity in 2011?
Energy Financials Telecom Healthcare Materials Utilities
IT
2000 $146.67 $506.91 $526.11 $20.76 $118.69 $97.24
Consumer Discretionary 2001 $139.62 $408.24 $140.81 $17.37 $94.75 $108.89
2002 $74.26 $260.77 $91.15 $24.03 $50.50 $95.30
FIG
2003 $73.59 $347.89 $105.64 $52.29 $63.81 $47.01
Industrials 2004 $186.05 $522.14 $220.69 $55.03 $105.19 $68.43
2005 $215.18 $581.61 $269.44 $90.48 $149.37 $123.95
Utilities
2006 $252.45 $940.56 $281.37 $133.68 $283.92 $249.33
Health Care 2007 $279.54 $1,016.80 $205.93 $118.66 $296.35 $304.52
2008 $235.33 $724.34 $175.35 $63.53 $184.88 $121.10
Materials
2009 $223.14 $422.55 $98.40 $25.96 $81.73 $103.01
Telecom 2010 $300.10 $328.86 $162.71 $56.05 $134.42 $127.08
Consumer Staples
Energy
From 2009 to 2010, North America, Western Europe, and Asia Pacific experienced the most growth in
private equity deal volume. Next year, private equity players are expected to be the most active within
North America and Asia Pacific.
$500
$450 In which regions do you expect private
$400 equity/venture capital firms to be the most
$350
$300 active in 2011?
$250
$200 Central Asia
12%
$150 North
$100 America
$50 31%
$-
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
North America Asia Pacific
Western Europe 36%
South &
Asia Pacific Central
Latin America & Caribbean America
Eastern Europe 8%
Eastern
Middle East & Africa Africa / Western Europe
Middle East Europe 3%
1% 9%
$500
10%
0% $-
Cross
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 border
75%
Cross-border deals are also looking increasingly attractive,
with 75% of survey respondents favoring these deals over
domestic M&A.
Debt
27%
On average, firms paid a 27% premium for acquisition Target Multiples Deals Min - Max Median
targets with median enterprise value EBITDA of 9x. FFO 1 99.31 - 99.31 99.31
Free Cashflow 100 1.64 - 1925.25 28.77
Evidence of Private Equity firms chasing healthy returns Income B/F XO 103 1.91 - 619.56 21.58
overseas could be seen in the significant amount of cross Net Income 108 .46 - 619.56 21.47
border deals. Cross border transactions accounted for 40%
Net Income + Deprec 123 .46 - 1968.98 13.20
of total deal count and 50% of aggregate deal volume.
EBIT 117 1.62 - 148.82 12.77
The downstream effect of investors looking for higher Cashflow from Ops. 129 1.57 - 365.65 11.46
yields and banks nearly doubling leveraged loans sales was EBITDA 114 .81 - 2653.18 8.81
clearly felt with the announcement of 454 leveraged Stockholder Eqty 158 .00 - 224.93 2.56
buyouts having a total volume of $92 billion. Book Value 155 .01 - 224.93 2.55
Market Cap 136 .00 - 29.67 1.57
While some Private Equity firms sought to deploy Revenue 166 .01 - 70.81 1.37
significant amounts of “dry powder” in their funds, others
Enterprise Value 142 .00 - 11.39 1.28
desperate sought exits. This caused a significant amount of
secondary transactions with firms selling 14 portfolio
Total Assets 172 .00 - 1553.25 1.04
companies to each other with a total value of $6 billion.
Private Equity Announced Premiums
With 33 deals announced and an aggregate value of $16
billion, The Carlyle Group was this year’s most acquisitive Premiums Paid # Deals Volume %
Private Equity firm. >100% 21 2.42B 0.9
75.01-100% 20 1.69B 0.62
Carlyle, which oversees $98 billion, participated in a
diverse range of transactions ranging from its $3.8 billion 50.01-75% 36 11.38B 4.22
leveraged buyout of vitamin maker NBTY Inc, to its purchase 25.01-50% 99 54.77B 20.28
of a $200 million stake in Shandong Aneng Conveyor Rubber 10.01-25% 92 35.34B 13.09
Co. 0-10% 3,594 164.45B 60.89
Apr-10
Feb-09
Sep-09
Feb-10
Sep-10
Jun-09
Jun-10
Jul-09
Jul-10
Mar-09
Mar-10
Dec-09
Oct-09
Oct-10
Aug-09
Aug-10
Jan-09
Nov-09
Jan-10
Nov-10
May-09
May-10
Volume (Blns)
Asset sale 217 30.97B 14.66
$60
Minority purchase 618 33.2B 15.72
Real Estate 12 7.22B 3.42 $40
$27.22
Special Situations/Distressed 12 5.81B 2.75
$20
Venture Capital 270 4.18B 1.98
$2.72 $0.37
Co-Investment 30 3.47B 1.64 $-
Mezzanine 6 3.03B 1.43 North Europe Asia Pacific LatAm Middle East
*All Total Value figures in USD Billions. America
*Data is as of November 30, 2010.
PRIVATE EQUITY LOSES FUND COMMITMENTS AS MIDEAST PRIVATE EQUITY HAS ROOM TO
TONY JAMES WOOS OREGON RUN
(Aug. 26) -- A year after the financial crisis subsided, the (Dec. 7) -- Over the last decade, private equity in the
$2.5 trillion private-equity industry is finding the easy Middle East has gone from being virtually nonexistent to
money may be gone. Managers saddled with $1.6 trillion in become a booming prospect and then an industry facing
buyouts made during a three-year boom have marked at a shakeout. In 2004 the region was home to about 25
least 6 of the era’s 10 biggest deals at or below cost, funds with a total of around $3 billion under
according to data compiled by Bloomberg. About $470 management; as of this year, roughly 142 funds are
billion sits idle, according to London-based researcher managing more than $34.5 billion. The breakneck
Preqin Ltd. Announced purchases so far this year total less evolution of private equity has made it difficult for
than a fifth of their volume at the peak in 2007. Pensions, investors to obtain a clear picture of its fundamentals.
endowments and mutual funds cut new commitments to They have thus been understandably cautious about
buyout funds by more than 50 percent, according to Preqin, directing funds to regional PE firms. In fact, it is now
questioning whether firms led by Blackstone Group LP have becoming clear that the Middle Eastern region's heady
grown too large to generate the returns that made their growth over the last decade masked some critical
founders billionaires. weaknesses in the PE industry.
BUYOUT BETS WANE AS ECONOMY KEEPS LBOS FORTRESS’ $5 BILLION BUYOUT LOSS HAUNTS
IN CHECK EDENS AS BLACK HAS GAIN
(Dec. 7) -- Buyout speculation that sent credit derivatives on (Jun. 16) -- Fortress Investment Group LLC has $5
companies from Cardinal Health Inc. to Dell Inc. soaring two billion in unrealized losses from private-equity funds
months ago is waning as rising unemployment keeps the started since 2005, the beginning of a two-year buyout
takeover revival in check. The average cost of credit-default boom, more than its largest New York rivals combined.
swaps on 15 companies including the Dublin, Ohio-based Blackstone Group LP, the biggest private-equity firm, had
drug distributor and the computer maker founded by an unrealized loss of $861 million in the period and KKR
Michael Dell has declined 33 basis points to 148 basis points, & Co.’s buyout funds are down $708 million, according to
compared with a drop of 2.5 for a benchmark swaps index. regulatory filings in the past six weeks. Funds at Leon
Contracts on Cardinal Health have plunged to 60 basis points Black’s Apollo Global Management LLC posted a profit.
from 148.3 on Oct. 25. Bets on a surge in leveraged buyouts The numbers, some disclosed for the first time, show
are diminishing as the sluggish recovery limits private-equity how the largest buyout firms have navigated the damage
and bank deals. from investments made before the 2007 financial crisis
and allow clients to compare performance as managers
seek new money.
• The Americas region announced over $1.1 trillion in Oil Exploration &
transaction volume in 2010. This represented of 12% Production
Consumer Non-
increase from 2009. $99.84
Cyclical $224.65
North American and Latin American / Caribbean Target Multiples # Deals Min - Max Median
companies received the most capital from other North Free Cashflow 357 .01 - 1925.25 29.30
American firms, totaling $611 billion in transaction volume Income B/F XO 366 .00 - 2300.54 22.40
and 7,106 in deal count.
Net Income 374 .00 - 2300.54 22.34
North American acquirers targeted firms in Europe more EBIT 399 .00 - 983.92 13.51
than in any other region in 2010 while those in Latin Net Income + Deprec 452 .00 - 2300.54 13.43
America / Caribbean looked to North America for attractive Cashflow from Ops. 446 .00 - 1821.27 12.18
targets. EBITDA 405 .00 - 394.75 9.30
Book Value 639 .00 - 1391.42 2.23
Cash was the most prominent payment type, with more
Stockholder Eqty 645 .00 - 811.87 2.15
than 70% of deals being paid in either cash alone, or a mix
of cash and stock. Revenue 626 .00 - 2193.78 1.57
Market Cap 621 .00 - 824.00 1.36
The majority of premiums paid were below 10%, with 15% Enterprise Value 615 .00 - 62.52 1.26
of deals reporting announced premiums between 10-25% Total Assets 700 .00 - 1553.25 1.08
and nearly 30% of deals reporting premiums in the 25%-50%
range.
Americas Announced Premiums
Between 2000 and 2010, the oil & gas industry dominated.
Premiums Paid # Deals Volume %
Its resilience from the 2003 low ($26 billion) is apparent
with its total volume reaching $176 billion in 2010. The >100% 34 4.5B 0.79
second best performer is the telecommunications industry 75.01-100% 30 5.25B 0.92
reporting $87 billion in 2010 M&A activity. Commercial 50.01-75% 63 40.28B 7.09
services fell into third place with $47 billion worth of deals 25.01-50% 168 171.31B 30.14
announced. 10.01-25% 89 86.52B 15.22
0-10% 5,787 260.61B 45.84
$140
1,000
$120
Deal Volume ($ Blns)
$80 600
$60
400
$40
200
$20
$0 -
Apr-09
Apr-10
Feb-09
Sep-09
Feb-10
Sep-10
Jun-09
Jun-10
Jul-09
Jul-10
Mar-09
Mar-10
Dec-09
Oct-09
Oct-10
Aug-09
Aug-10
Jan-09
Nov-09
Jan-10
Nov-10
May-09
May-10
Volume (Blns)
$500
Private Equity 1,167 165.55B 14.6
$400
Additional Stake Purchase 542 143.03B 12.62
Tender Offer 147 125.18B 11.04 $300
$211.04
Minority purchase 907 106.32B 9.38 $200
$102.10
Leveraged Buyout 325 86.00B 7.59 $100 $66.89
Majority purchase 58.79B 5.19 $7.17
461 $-
Joint Venture 254 21.42B 1.89 North LatAm Europe Asia Pacific Middle East
*All Total Value figures in USD Billions. America
*Data is as of November 30, 2010.
BHP SAYS WON’T CHANGE ACQUISITION PLAN PETROBRAS TO PAY BRAZIL $42.5B IN STOCK
AWAY FROM LARGE TARGETS FOR OIL RESERVES
(Nov. 16) -- "Urbanisation and industrialisation are the key (Sept. 22) -- Petroleo Brasileiro SA, agreed to pay the
drivers that are transforming the lives of people in…fast Brazilian government $42.5 bln in new stock for the
developing countries including Indonesia, Mexico and right to develop 5 billion barrels of offshore oil reserves.
Turkey," Chief Executive Marius Kloppers said. BHP Petrobras will pay on average $8.51 a barrel for the oil.
abandoned its US$39 bln bid to take over Potash Corp. of The value set for the reserves will determine how much
Saskatchewan Inc. the world's largest miner of the new stock Petrobras must offer minority investors in a
commodity used mainly in fertiliser, after the deal was related public offering to raise funds for a $224 bln plan
blocked by Canada's government. Kloppers said the to develop offshore fields and boost refinery capacity.
Canada's minister for industry "would have required The price is “certainly at the high end” of what investors
undertakings that would have been adverse to our strategy and analysts were expecting, said Gianna Bern,
and counter to creating shareholder value…Now, the president of Brookshire Advisory & Research Inc., based
combination of this simple company structure, an near Chicago. “Market conditions right now are less
organisation of talented people focused on what is than desirable, but Petrobras has a good long-term
important, & portfolio’s shape, enables our growth.“ growth story.”
PIMCO SAID TO SEEK $1B TO BUY TROUBLES DYNEGY MAY SELL IN PIECES AFTER
ASSETS FROM BANKS BLACKSTONE BID FAILS
(Nov. 19) -- Pacific Investment Management Cois raising at (Nov. 24) -- Dynegy Inc. , the third-largest U.S.
least $1 bln for a private fund to buy troubled loans from independent power producer, may need to sell itself
banks divesting assets to meet new rules. Pimco plans to piece by piece after Blackstone Group LP’s $604.5 million
work with a loan servicer to renegotiate the terms of the offer to buy the whole company was rejected. yesterday
acquired debt directly with creditors. Financial institutions voted down the $5-a-share Blackstone bid. The company
are selling assets after the 27-nation Basel Committee on is seeking a new buyer and proposed immediate talks
Banking Supervision adopted standards in September that with Icahn and Seneca… and also said it would consider
will more the double the ratio of capital banks must hold in asset sales, cost cutting and debt restructuring to remain
relation to the amount of risk on their balance sheets. a standalone company. Dynegy may be worth $9 a share
Pimco’s institutional fund will target smaller lenders and if it’s broken apart, Fishman said. Selling off the
community banks, and won’t buy consumer debt such as company’s assets could take several years and provide
credit-card Pimco and auto loans. more value to shareholders.
The average deal size for transactions in the Asia Pacific for
2010 was $95 million, and buyers paid 8.22x EBITDA on Reasl Estate
average for publicly traded targets. Operations
$29.36
The financial industry experienced the highest M&A
Consumer Non-
activity, with acquirers paying over $150 billion to acquire
Cyclical $224.65
companies located in China, Australia, Japan, India, and the
United States.
Top Target Countries by Volume
The largest deal in the region was Bharti Airtel's purchase
of Zain Africa BV from Mobile Telecommunications for $10.7
billion. China
US Hong $110.31
Cross border deals represented 61% of all APAC M&A $37.21 Kong
volume, with over 3,600 deals worth $362 billion $35.12
announced. This is an increase from 2009 cross border M&A
activity, which took up 50% of overall M&A activity in the
Asia Pacific region. Japan
$65.57
The top M&A targets in the Asia Pacific region were
companies located in China, Australia, and Japan, Australia
$84.07
announcing an aggregate of $259.95 billion in transactions.
Asia Pacific targets received over 7,700 M&A offers with Target Multiples Deals Min - Max Median
average premiums of 15.12%. The most foreign investment
came from North America, in which buyers transacted over Net Income 507 .00 - 2705.55 18.72
$47 billion worth of M&A deals. Income B/F XO 506 .00 - 1812.96 18.38
Free Cashflow 434 .01 - 1104.57 13.13
Buyers in the Asia Pacific region have transacted over EBIT 514 .00 - 4520.64 12.93
7,800 deals from January to November 2010. On average, Net Income + Deprec 561 .00 - 1968.98 11.00
they paid 16.96% in premiums for deals. The average Cashflow from Ops. 578 .01 - 1115.75 9.24
disclosed size of deals is $89 million. There is a significant EBITDA 539 .00 - 2653.18 8.22
increase in volume compared to 2009, with $517 billion Book Value 886 .00 - 3609.59 1.59
worth of deals announced compared to $417 billion last Stockholder Eqty 889 .00 - 3609.59 1.54
year.
Market Cap 886 .00 - 135.46 1.22
The most acquisitive country was China, which announced Enterprise Value 860 .00 - 148.56 1.15
over $144.52 billion of deals. Japan and Australia followed, Revenue 849 .00 - 2193.78 0.99
with $85 billion and $58 billion worth of transactions Total Assets 931 .00 - 1553.25 0.72
respectively.
Top private equity deals within the region include the APAC Announced Premiums
buyout of Healthscope Ltd by TPG and Carlyle for A$2.5
Premiums Paid # Deals Volume %
billion. The most acquisitive buyer in this category is Sequoia
Capital, which announced 13 deals worth nearly $200 >100% 21 2.42B 0.9
million in M&A deals. 75.01-100% 20 1.69B 0.62
50.01-75% 36 11.38B 4.22
25.01-50% 99 54.77B 20.28
10.01-25% 92 35.34B 13.09
0-10% 3,594 164.45B 60.89
1000
$80
Deal Volume ($ Blns)
$20
200
$0 0
Apr-09
Apr-10
Feb-09
Sep-09
Feb-10
Sep-10
Jun-09
Jun-10
Jul-09
Jul-10
Mar-09
Mar-10
Dec-09
Oct-09
Oct-10
Aug-09
Aug-10
Jan-09
Nov-09
Jan-10
Nov-10
May-09
May-10
Volume (Blns)
$300
Asset sale 1,873 117.34B 19.83
$250
Majority purchase 1,217 92.47B 15.63
$200
Minority purchase 1,611 88.38B 14.94 $150
Private Placement 589 61.53B 10.4 $100
$49.93 $47.79
Tender Offer 240 55.62B 9.4 $50 $34.24 $22.02
Private Equity 346 32.86B 5.55 $-
Leveraged Buyout 47 14.84B 2.51 Asia Pacific North Europe LatAm Middle East
*All Total Value figures in USD Billions. America
*Data is as of November 30, 2010.
THAILAND’S TAKEOVER SPREE SPREADS AS BAHT CHARLES RIVER YO BUY WUXI PHARMATECH
GAINS FOR $1.6B
(Nov. 30) -- Thai companies have gone beyond their nation's (Apr. 26) -- Charles River Laboratories International Inc.
borders to buy assets at a faster pace than businesses agreed to buy WuXi PharmaTech (Cayman) Inc. for
elsewhere in Southeast Asia, spurred by the baht's surge to a about $1.6 billion to expand in China, where revenue
13-year high. "It's an unimaginable wave of overseas from drug-testing services is growing as much as 30% a
acquisitions," said Vana Bulbon, CEO at UOB Asset year. Charles River will pay $21.25 a share, comprising
Management (Thai) Co., "There will be more overseas $11.25 in cash and $10 in stock, for each WuXi American
acquisitions with rising cash-flows at Thai companies and the depositary share,. the deal would be the largest foreign
strengthening baht. Most companies were fighting to survive takeover of a Chinese company. It would give Charles
bankruptcy a decade ago, and now they are on a takeover River testing facilities in Shanghai, Suzhou & Tianjin in
spree." Acquisitions announced or completed by Thai China, where cheaper labor and laboratory costs are
companies have totaled $8.38 billion so far this year, luring the world's biggest drugmakers in search of new
compared with $1.29 billion for all of 2009, the data show. blockbuster medicines. "This is a vote of confidence that
PTT Exploration & Production Pcl this month agreed to buy China will be the main location for drug R&D
40 percent of Statoil ASA's oil sands project in Canada for outsourcing in the future,"said Jinsong Du, an analyst at
$2.28 billion, the biggest-ever Thai acquisition. Credit Suisse Group AG.
AIG MAY SELL JAPAN UNITS FOR $4.8B IN CASH INDIAN BILLIONAIRES SAID TO WEIGH BIDS
(Sept. 29) -- American International Group Inc. may reach a FOR EVONIK CARBON BLACK
deal as soon as today to sell two Japanese life insurance (Nov. 30) -- Companies controlled by Indian billionaires
units to Prudential Financial Inc. for about $4.8 billion in Kumar Mangalam Birla and Rama Prasad Goenka are
cash. An agreement would cap two years of intermittent considering making offers for the carbon black unit of
talks for Star Life Insurance Co. and AIG Edison Life Germany's Evonik Industries AG. Phillips Carbon Black
Insurance Co. between Prudential CEO John Strangfeld and Ltd., part of Goenka's RPG Group, and Aditya Birla Group
New York-based AIG, said the people who declined to be are among potential bidders for Evonik's carbon black
identified because the negotiations are private. The unit, which makes material used in tires and synthetic
transaction under discussion values the units at close to rubber. A deal would add to the record $26.9 billion of
their book value, a measure of assets minus liabilities. overseas acquisitions by Indian companies this year.
Prudential "is the most overcapitalized life insurance Evonik is selling the carbon black unit and its real estate
company that we cover"Randy Binner, an analyst said in the and energy businesses to concentrate on chemicals.
second quarter, "they're the classic acquirer.”
The European region kept most of its capital within the Target Multiples Deals Min - Max Median
region, paying $295 billion for other European targets in Free Cashflow 272 .01 - 1821.27 22.19
2010. The Middle East / Africa region acquired targets in
Net Income 352 .00 - 2749.56 17.74
North America for a total of $2 billion.
Income B/F XO 343 .00 - 2749.56 17.69
European targets were the second most pursued targets, EBIT 355 .00 - 2898.84 12.53
attracting $45 billion in 311 deals in 2010. Net Income + Deprec 395 .00 - 2300.54 11.33
Cashflow from Ops. 353 .00 - 1821.27 11.26
2009’s economic slump severely affected the M&A EBITDA 355 .00 - 2653.18 8.28
market. It totaled only $663 billion as compared to over $2 Book Value 513 .00 - 811.87 2.11
trillion in 2007. The 2010 exit from the global recession Stockholder Eqty 515 .00 - 811.87 2.06
positively affected the M&A market. Deal volume increased
Revenue 499 .00 - 3372.09 1.52
19.5%.
Market Cap 471 .00 - 154.47 1.20
2003 was the only other year between 2000 and 2010 that Enterprise Value 456 .00 - 74.19 1.13
matched the M&A low of 2009 ($731 billion). Total Assets 539 .00 - 154.83 0.87
700
$100
600
Deal Volume ($ Blns)
$60 400
300
$40
200
$20
100
$0 0
Apr-09
Apr-10
Feb-09
Sep-09
Feb-10
Sep-10
Jun-09
Jun-10
Jul-09
Jul-10
Mar-09
Mar-10
Dec-09
Oct-09
Oct-10
Aug-09
Aug-10
Jan-09
Nov-09
Jan-10
Nov-10
May-09
May-10
Volume (Blns)
Additional Stake Purchase 621 108.67B 13.91 $250
Minority purchase 886 104.93B 13.43 $200 $163.65
Tender Offer 169 93.73B 12 $150
Private Equity 699 92.42B 11.83 $100 $70.97 $67.11 $65.11
Majority purchase 649 70.67B 9.05 $50
Reverse Merger 28 29.91B 3.83 $-
Leveraged Buyout 171 27.92B 3.58 Europe North Middle East LatAm Asia Pacific
*All Total Value figures in USD Billions. America
*Data is as of November 30, 2010.
BARCLAYS SETPS UP IN HIRING RUSSIA IN ALBERTIS LOAN SHOWS BANK APPETITE FOR
LEADERSHIP BID MERGERS
(June 18) -- Barclays Plc, the U.K.'s third-largest lender, will (July 7) -- Banks committed as much as €7 billion ($8.8
hire dozens of bankers in Russia as it seeks to become the billion) in loans to fund the acquisition of Spain's Abertis
leading foreign investment bank in 2 to 3 years, local chief Infraestructuras SA as lenders boost financing for
Bob Foresman said. "We will need to have over 100 people takeovers and shrug off concern that a slowing economy
just in the broker-dealer,"Foresman. He is overseeing "very will weaken credit markets. Its two main shareholders &
aggressive strategy" in Russia. Barclays of London is CVC Capital Partners Ltd. are in talks with banks for the
stepping up hiring as the economy of the world's biggest biggest leveraged buyout financing commitment since
energy exporter rebounds from a record 7.9% contraction May, when Blackstone LP lined up $10 billion of debt to
last year, bolstered by higher oil and metals prices. back a failed takeover bid of Fidelity National
Barclays rival VTB Group is looking to recruit 250 bankers as Information Services Inc. The transaction may signal that
it merges its investment and corporate units, Yuri Soloviev, banks from around the world have diminished concern
CEO of the state-run bank's investment arm. “We have that Europe's fiscal crisis will slow the global economic
every intention to set up a sales, trading & research team on recovery or that stress tests on the region's financial
the equity side & build our own platform,” said Foresman. institutions will reveal inadequate capital.
SANOFI SID TO WEIGH HIGHER TAKEOVER BID BAIN CAPITAL SAID CLOSE TO PURCHASE
FOR GENZYME RBS’S PRIORY GROUP
(Sept. 29) -- Sanofi-Aventis SA is weighing whether to make (Nov. 30) -- Bain Capital LLC may be close to a deal to
a sweetened takeover offer for Genzyme Corp. as soon as acquire Priory Group Ltd., the U.K. operator of mental-
next week, said people with knowledge of the matter. health and addiction clinics being sold by RBS Group. RBS
France's largest drugmaker is leaning toward raising the went back to previous bidders including Advent
current $69/share offer by $1 or $2. Genzyme rejected International Corp. & Blackstone Group LP last week
Sanofi's Aug. 29 offer, which valued the U.S. biotechnology after Bain sought a lower purchase price. Priory attracted
company at $18.5 billion, as too low. Sanofi hasn't ruled out offers of less than £1 billion ($1.55 billion), and RBS had
making a hostile offer, though would prefer friendly been seeking about £1.1 billion pounds. RBS took over
negotiations with Cambridge. An increased bid would come Priory, from ABN Amro Holding NV when it bought the
after Sanofi CEO Chris Viehbacher held meetings in the past Dutch bank in 2007. RBS is selling assets including bank
month with Genzyme investors. Sanofi has the financing it branches and its credit card payment processing unit
needs for an offer. It lined up about $10 billion of loans from after taking £45.5 billion of U.K. government funding
JPMorgan Chase & Co., BNP Paribas SA, and Societe during the global financial crisis, more than any other
Generale SA. bank in the world.
Index Funds
How does the record look overall? Steven Kaplan, a
University of Chicago Business School professor, has been
studying private equity since the late 1980s. Kaplan’s
findings: some firms solidly beat the pack, though the
industry as a whole bests the stock market by only a modest
amount. And after fees, outside investors would do as well
or better with their money in an index fund that tracks the
Standard & Poor’s 500.
There is no doubt, Kaplan adds, that private-equity firms
add operational improvements. But the gains are given back
at the outset, in the premiums paid to acquire targets. And
as public-company managements have improved, the gap
between private and public efficiency has probably
narrowed.
In sum, private equity adds modest and probably only
temporary efficiencies. As a social good, this isn't exactly
curing cancer.
Which brings us to the issue of taxes. Whereas the feds
tax ordinary income at up to 35%, capital gains on
investments held for more than one year are taxed at only
15%, a rate designed to attract investment in capital
markets.
Undeserved Break
Managers of private-equity funds, and of other
investment partnerships, enjoy an undeserved exception.
The performance fee they charge investors, typically 20
percent of profits, is treated as a capital gain and taxed at
the lower rate. This makes no economic sense; an outside
investor has the same incentive to participate regardless of
the tax paid by the manager. It makes sense only if you are
Henry Kravis and prefer to pay less.
The House of Representatives has voted three times to
end this unwarranted privilege. After the financial crisis, the
Senate seemed likely to concur. Then, industry lobbyists
stormed Congress. The matter now rests with the Senate
Finance Committee. Since nothing is more arbitrary than the
proper rate at which to tax, the only sure principle is
consistency: what one party pays, so should the other.
No great industry is at stake -- private equity is hardly the
engine of job creation its flag-waving lobby maintains, and
the industry will survive at any rate. The only principle at
stake is fairness: billionaires should pay as much as
everyone else.
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