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(information)(knowledge)

(business intelligence)
(intelligence)

iii

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(system approach)
(model)

(probability
function)(normal)(Poisson)(exponential)
(Bernoulli)(binomial)(uniform)
(discrete uniform)

iv

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(information)

(strategy)(decision)

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(record)

(decision process)

(system)
(degree of structuring)
(uncertainty)(randomness)

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(factor)(random
phenomenon)

(statistical method)

(probability)
80%1000
50%

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(characteristics)

(independence)

(modeling)(natural phenomenon)
(variation)

(raw data)

(random model)(estimation)(testing)

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(raw data)

1-1

1-1

Say Hello

(fact)

(measure)

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(symbol)

(property)

1-2

YVxKm2H5ap
489AK
&@*

56shw2Z
PF9Y0S
W 8 D J U ! *H 1 7 3 L 6 3 2
1-2

= .05

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(sample statistic)(probability distribution


function)(parameter)
(estimate)

(system)
(object)(entity)

1-1
1-2
1-1

(basic approach)
501200

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1-2

(random experiment)

(Bernonli trial)

1-3

(model)
(subsystem)

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1-3

(census)
(population)

(sampling
unit)(sampling frame)

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(subset)(sample)

1-3
1-5
1-3
(survey)

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1-3

1-4
(consumer price index)

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1-5
(intelligence quotient)

Pierre-Simon de Laplace, 1749-1827


Sir Francis Galton, 1822-1911
Karl Pearson, 1857-1936
Sir Ronald A. Fisher, 1890-1962

(collection)(summarization)
(presentation)
(random sample)

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(random variable)(sampling distribution)


(reject)
(hypothesis)

(descriptive statistics)

(statistical inference)

2007
(Sepat, 2007-8-15)

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0.35

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20

1-61-16

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1-6

1-7

(cause and
effect)

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020


1063394
(02)2705-5066
(02)2706-6100
01068953

http://www.wunan.com.tw
wunanwunan.com.tw

2011 7
350

. .
, 2011.7

ISBN 978-986-6098-10-9
1.2.
510

100006117

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