Road traIIic accidents are generally considered as price oI material progress oI human beings. When the economic structure oI a country changes Irom predominantly agricultural to industrialised and service oriented. Income oI the population increases and expansion in modern amenities and consequent vehicular accidents and casualties are inevitable. This oIt-heard argument in the context oI discussions on the prevention and road saIty is detrimental to the eIIorts in controlling road
Road traIIic accidents are generally considered as price oI material progress oI human beings. When the economic structure oI a country changes Irom predominantly agricultural to industrialised and service oriented. Income oI the population increases and expansion in modern amenities and consequent vehicular accidents and casualties are inevitable. This oIt-heard argument in the context oI discussions on the prevention and road saIty is detrimental to the eIIorts in controlling road
Road traIIic accidents are generally considered as price oI material progress oI human beings. When the economic structure oI a country changes Irom predominantly agricultural to industrialised and service oriented. Income oI the population increases and expansion in modern amenities and consequent vehicular accidents and casualties are inevitable. This oIt-heard argument in the context oI discussions on the prevention and road saIty is detrimental to the eIIorts in controlling road
Presented by Godwin Sree Kulakkal, Student, Achutha Menon Centre for Health Sciences, Sree Chitra Tirunal nstitute for Medical Sciences and Technology, ndia
1 November 2006 Presentation made at Forum 10, Cairo, Egypt, 29 October - 2 November 2006
2 Interlinking economic development and road traffic accidents: An inter-country analysis
Godwin SK 1
2
Background: Road traIIic accidents are generally considered as price oI material progress oI human beings. When the economic structure oI a country changes Irom predominantly agricultural to industrialised and service oriented. income oI the population increases and expansion in modern amenities and consequent vehicular accidents and casualties are inevitable. This oIt-heard argument in the context oI discussions on the prevention and road saIety is detrimental to the eIIorts in controlling road accidents.
Objective & Methods: Understanding the linkages between modernisation oI the economy and its linkages with road traIIic accidents. It also attempts to assess the diIIerential impact oI RTAs on diIIerent socio-economic groups. An analysis oI incidence oI road traIIic accidents was conducted across diIIerent countries (using oIIicial statistics) at various stages oI economic development with an added emphasis on Indian context.
Results: The interesting Iindings include: Firstly. countries and regions with predominant agricultural activities and less secondary and tertiary sectors have been Iound to have less RTAs. Though economic development is positively correlated with RTAs. the victims oI RTAs are manual labourers. vendors and low-income groups. Secondly. experience oI high-income countries or highly motorised countries shows that with concerted eIIorts the above relationship could be reversed. Thirdly. the notion that rich people in lower and middle-income countries bear the burden oI RTAs is at the best. a conspicuous myth.
1 PhD Candidate (Senior Research Fellow). Achutha Menon Centre Ior Health Science Studies. Sree Chitra Tirunal Institute Ior Medical Sciences and Technology. Trivandrum. Kerala- 695 011 INDIA. E-MAIL: godwin(sctimst.ac.in. godwinsk(yahoo.com
2 Lecturer in Economics. K.N.M Government College. Kaniiramkulam. Trivandrum. Kerala 695 524. INDIA. Presentation made at Forum 10, Cairo, Egypt, 29 October - 2 November 2006
3 Low educational levels. poorly paid occupations and income poverty are being Iound as important risk Iactors Ior RTIs. More results oI the detailed analysis would be presented during the seminar.
Discussion on Policy Implications: All countries undergoing structural transIormation (especially middle and low-income countries) would have to Iace a higher burden oI RTAs in Iuture and victims may predominantly be the breadwinners oI poor households. There is an urgent need Ior measures to protect against huge income shocks so as to protect the consumption and livelihood. lest it may lead to Iundamental inequalities (oI income and wealth). Any individualised health care Iinancing mechanism based on ability to pay wound tend to worsen the aIIected especially the poor. women and the elderly.
Paper presented at the 10 th Annual ConIerence oI Global Forum Ior Health Research (Forum 10) held between 29 th October 2 nd November 2006 in Cairo. Egypt.
Presentation made at Forum 10, Cairo, Egypt, 29 October - 2 November 2006
4 Interlinking economic development and road traffic accidents: An inter-country analysis
Godwin SK
Context
Human beings` material progress has attained unprecedented heights especially during the last century largely promoted by his/her increasing physical mobility. The change in pattern oI mobility is necessitated by a general transIormation in the economic structure oI a country Irom predominantly agrarian and Ieudal to industrialised/tertiary sector oriented. However. the mobility has not been costless and over the decades. the world has lost millions oI human lives. It is estimated that more than 30 million individuals lost their lives and the hopes oI the 30 million`s dependants perished on roads since the Iirst pedestrian casualty reported in 1898 (IFoRCaRC 1998). A lion`s share oI this wastage oI lives could have been avoided. indeed. It is also important to note that the distribution oI iniury burden is not uniIorm across countries and populations and severely against the low income countries and individuals Irom low social and economic structure. Even an untailored look at the global scenario oI road transport growth (mobility) and road place casualties would take one to conclude that there exists wide inequalities in the beneIits and costs oI mobility with inter and intra-country dimensions. It is seen Iurther that the beneIiciaries do not always carry the costs oI their actions and merely classiIying the costs as 'economic externalities would amount to oversimpliIication oI a complex issue.
Statistics point out that there is direct relationship between per capita income growth and road related casualties up to a certain limit and high-income countries have surpassed the stage and low and middle-income countries (LMICs) are passing through a dangerous phase oI Iast rising road casualties. Nearly 80 percent oI the global road accident related deaths occur in developing countries whose share in global vehicle Presentation made at Forum 10, Cairo, Egypt, 29 October - 2 November 2006
5 population is less than 75 percent implying that they bear a disproportionate burden oI deaths and disabilities due to RTAs in 2000. The Iatality rate is 70 per 10000 vehicles 25 times higher than Ior any developed country (Khan 1997) implying that lot more needs to be done in the reduction oI passenger saIety mechanisms in the vehicle as well as in the post-accident trauma care services in poor countries. The total number oI road traIIic Iatalities and iniuries is Iorecast to rise by some 65 between 2000 and 2020 (Murray & Lopez 1996; Koptis & Cropper 2003) and in low and middle income countries. deaths are expected to rise by about 80 . On the contrary. they are expected to come down by 30 percent in high-income countries (Peden et al 2004). According to the World Bank`s TraIIic Fatalities and Economic Growth (TFEG) proiect. between 2000 and 2020. South Asia is predicted to record a 144 increase in road traIIic Iatalities. II the LMICs Iollow the general trend oI rich industrialised countries. the Iormer`s Iatality rates will begin to Iall in the Iuture. but would cost immensely. As per the model`s predictions. India is anticipated to start its decline in road traIIic related Iatality rates aIter 2042. The broader message oI these predictions is that should current trends move on and new eIIective interventions are not undertaken. then more casualties will be experienced.
Table 1: Growth of road accidents in selected countries. 1990-1997
Number oI accidents during Country 1990 1997 Growth rate during 1990-97 Austria 46338 39695 -14.3 Belgium 62446 49007 -21.5 Bulgaria 6478 6018 -7.1 Canada 182294 158973 -12.8 France 162573 125200 -23.0 Germany 340043 380835 12.0 Hong Kong 15255 14776 -3.1 Hungary 27801 19004 -31.6 India 282602 290855 2.9 Japan 643097 780399 21.4 Netherlands 13247 11238 -15.2 Pakistan 13683 5905 -56.8 Poland 50532 66586 31.8 Singapore 6871 6943 1.1 Spain 101507 86607 -14.7 Sweden 13675 15752 15.2 Presentation made at Forum 10, Cairo, Egypt, 29 October - 2 November 2006
6 Switzerland 22956 22076 -3.8 USA 2540946 2222280 -12.5 Source: International Road Federation
Table 2: Road traffic injury mortality rates per annum (per 100 000 population) in WHO regions. 2002 WHO Region Low and middle-income countries High-income countries 1 AIrican region 28.3 --- 2 Region oI the Americas 16.2 14.8 3 South-East Asia region 18.6 --- 4 European region 17.4 11.0 5 Eastern Mediterranean region 26.4 19.0 6 Western PaciIic region 18.5 12.0 Source: Peden et al. 2004
The aIoresaid Iacts and Iigures raise some important and critical questions. How does one explain relationship between road traIIic accidents and Iatalities vis-a-vis economic growth across developing and developed societies? Is the trend natural and should we allow the trend to carry Iorward as a matter oI luck and destiny? Who are the beneIiciaries oI income growth and who are at the receiving end? What are the lessons we need to learn Irom the societies which reversed the so-called trend rather than allowing the countries to cost lives? How does one address the issue oI road related casualties in the context where societies are Iundamentally divided among economic lines? The present paper addresses a Iew oI these initial questions and especially discussing the relationship between economic growth (the positive and substance increase in the income oI a given population and government) and incidence oI road traIIic accidents especially oI road related Iatalities Iorms the maior agenda oI this paper. The issues would examine the conceptual arguments explaining the above questions Iorm the Iirst part. Secondly. the paper discusses Iindings oI the study in relation to the existing literature.
Conceptual hypotheses Presentation made at Forum 10, Cairo, Egypt, 29 October - 2 November 2006
7
Studies have recorded a biphasic relationship between the incidence oI road traIIic casualties and economic progress with casualties rising Ior the low-income countries and declining Ior the industrialised countries (van Beeck. Borsboom & Machenbach 2000). Why there exists an inverted U-shaped relationship between incidence oI road accidents and economic development has been a question oI perennial interest among researchers. The reasons are not Iar to seek: a number oI complementary and competing explanations are at work. In a primitive society agriculture is the mainstay oI livelihood Ior the maiority and most oI it is used Ior own-consumption (subsistence) and not much marketable surplus is generated. However. in the later stages. commercialisation oI agriculture (production oI agricultural goods Ior the market) necessitates mobility oI Iactor inputs and outputs requiring expansion oI roads and vehicles in a given society. Since modernisation oI agriculture requires industries to supply large number oI inputs like Iertilisers. equipments. etc and processing oI agri- goods. industrial sector also gains momentum leading to an enhanced pace oI growth oI motor vehicles and their paths. The tertiary sector (banking and Iinancial services. communication. insurance. computer soItware etc) acts as a lubricant in the process oI agricultural and industrial expansion and tertiary sector requires the Iast movement oI goods & services. II no eIIective measures are taken. casualties resulting Irom the movement oI traIIic would be the highest when industrial and service sector attains a very high rate oI growth. Now let us see what happens to the type oI motor vehicles on the roads. In the Iirst phase when agriculture was the mainstay oI the economy. individuals used to possess slow moving vehicles including vehicles requiring manual eIIort like cycles. cycle-rickshaws. bullock-carts. etc as they are cheaper with less priority Ior saIety measures. In the Iirst stage. road accidents and associated casualties would be the minimum which is primarily due to the low speed. With technological progress. the mobility gets enhanced by sophisticated vehicles and rate oI road casualties increases uninhibited.
The existing diIIerent strands oI literature trying to understand the history oI road accidents and economic development may be classiIied under Iour maior explanations. Presentation made at Forum 10, Cairo, Egypt, 29 October - 2 November 2006
8 Coase`s theorem constitutes the origin oI externalities argument in which any externalities problem could be eIIectively solved iI we are able to accurately assign the property right to create problems (road accidents) and then costlessly traded and he sincerely believed that a matured market economy is a Iine way to do that (Coase 1960). It is thus argued that regulation oI externalities and its IruitIul assignment oI liabilities are possible generally only at advanced stages oI economic development when the institutional arrangements attain maturity. The contributors oI externalities include the manuIacturers oI vehicles. insurance companies. enIorcement agencies etc and the absence oI an eIIective institutional Iramework means that the contributors oI accidents are not accounted Ior. Here. Vickrey (1968) stresses emphatically the speciIic role oI motor-insurance policies in risk-taking on roads.
The second theoretical stream emphasises the role oI low investment in road saIety in low-income countries. The low priority attached to prevention oI road saIety mechanisms is primarily based on the notion oI cost-eIIectiveness oI public health interventions and the belieI that road accident victims are not generally poor. The cost- eIIectiveness argument bases its arguments reasoning that resources be allocated in such a way that the marginal returns Irom spending on prevention or curation oI disease should be maximum Ior a given unit oI resource spent. With increased income Ior countries. they can earmark a greater proportion oI resources towards road saIety and passenger security. The political economy behind the increased allocation may be attributed to the increased wield that the upper and middle income groups they possess.
The so-called vehicle mix hypothesis points out that the eIIect oI economic growth on the changing mix oI vehicles on the road (Tay 2003) need not be always positive Irom the road accident`s point oI view. Individuals. with income growth. preIer convenience to mass transport means the Iormer are more vulnerable to road accidents. The vulnerability is more iI the personal vehicles are two wheelers whose probability oI meeting with an accident as well as Iatalities is many times higher than other maior category oI vehicles.
Presentation made at Forum 10, Cairo, Egypt, 29 October - 2 November 2006
9 The Iourth hypothesis on the relationship between road accidents and economic development elicits the role played by an eIIective pre-hospital emergency services and trauma care systems. Improved investments in trauma care and pre-hospital care are positively correlated with higher survival in a large number oI places (Adam et al 1994; Arreola-Risa et al 2000). Thus. it is observed that despite Iast increasing volume oI traIIic. road traIIic accidents decline at the pragmatically advanced phases oI economic development probably due to a combination oI Iactors including a higher preIerence towards quality on roads including better roads. the saIety oI travellers and vehicles. creation oI a suitable legal Iramework and an eIIective enIorcement oI road rules. etc. Bishal et al hypothesise that investment in harm reduction. improvements in emergency transport and timely and adequate medical treatment oI victims reduced Iatalities despite increased crashes and iniuries (Bishai et al 2006).
Methods
A number oI countries have been selected based on the stage oI economic development and occupational structure and incidence oI domestic road accidents. Data Irom National Crime Records Bureau. Road TraIIic research agencies were analyzed and a structured review oI existing published and unpublished documents was undertaken. The income data Ior the States have been taken Irom the Economic Survey oI Government oI India. Economic Reviews Irom concerned States etc.
Results
Firstly. countries and regions with predominant agricultural activities and less secondary and tertiary sectors have been Iound to have less RTAs. Though economic development is positively correlated with RTAs. the victims oI RTAs are manual labourers. vendors and low-income groups. Districts. regions as well as countries that have a lower share oI income deriving Irom agriculture. a lower share oI population dependant on agriculture tend to have lower incidence oI road accidents. This is primarily due to the lesser number oI vehicles rather than any concerted eIIort intended to prevent Presentation made at Forum 10, Cairo, Egypt, 29 October - 2 November 2006
10 the volume oI accidents and Iatalities. Since productivity is lower in agriculture. income per capita oI agriculture dependant population would also be low and hence have less amenities to wallow.
Secondly. experience oI high-income countries or highly motorised countries shows that with organised eIIorts. the above relationship could be reversed. Table highlights that low income countries do not have any respite Irom this modern scourge.
Table 3: Changes in road traffic fatality rates (deaths per 10 000 population). 1975- 1998 Country or Area Change () Canada -63.4 China Hong Kong SAR -61.7 Sweden -58.3 Israel -49.7 France -42.7 New Zealand -33.2 The USA -27.2 Japan -24.5 Malaysia 44.3 India 79.3 a Sri Lanka 84.5 Lesotho 192.8
Colombia 237.1 China 243 Botswana 383.8 b
SAR: Special Administrative Region a ReIers to the period 1980-1998 b ReIers to the period 1976-1998
Finally. the poor and vulnerable road users are at greater risk oI road accidents were supported by many studies Irom developing countries. In the process oI development and modernization. oIten the ones who suIIer death and disability are not the rich. but the lower income groups. OIten the latter constitute the vulnerable road users. Lower socio- economic status and individuals living in poorer areas is Iound to be a maior risk Iactor in RTAs and this risk is primarily not due to behavioural Iactors. but mostly to deviations in Presentation made at Forum 10, Cairo, Egypt, 29 October - 2 November 2006
11 exposure to risk (LaFlamme 1998). Foremost. a Pakistani hospital-based case-control iniury survey brought out that 71 percent oI the child victim households were having an annual household income oI less than Rs. 3000 (US$ 67) and children whose mother was not educated and houses with minimum Iacilities were at greater risk oI traIIic iniuries than their better-oII counterparts. A study Irom Kerala. India brings out more interesting but disturbing evidence that the vulnerable road users (pedestrians. pillion riders. cyclists etc) constitute 67 percent oI the RTA victims. More than 63 percent oI the victims were lower income groups having less than one USD (Rs.44) per day. By occupational groups. maiority (75 percent) were inIormal workers including manual labourers. selI-employed and dependents who do not have any Iormal means oI protection against such catastrophic events aIIecting their livelihoods. Seventy-three percent belonged to 20-60 age group which wipes out the already thin productive resource in the poor households (Government oI Kerala 2004; Godwin 2006). In Kenya. more than 75 oI road traIIic victims belong to economically productive young adults (Odero et al 2003). The choice oI transport oI the population is. as apparent. is dependant primarily on economic capacity and so. the low-income groups tend to travel by means having higher levels oI exposure to road accidents. In Kenya. a case in point is that 27 oI commuters had no Iormal education Iound to travel on Ioot. 55 utilised buses/minibuses while around 8 used private cars. On the contrary. 81 oI those with secondary education generally ply by private care (Nantulya & Reich 2002). Studies also point out that drivers with low status occupation and lower education levels. children oI manual labour etc have a higher iniury risk (LaFlamme 1998; Whitlock G et al 2003). By region. in south Asian countries maiority killed. iniured and disabled are pedestrians. cyclists. pillion and motorised two- wheelers |collectively called vulnerable road users| (Mohan 2002) which Iurther cements the Iact that the low-income groups are oIten not the beneIiciaries but victims oI income growth Ior some.
Discussion on findings
Presentation made at Forum 10, Cairo, Egypt, 29 October - 2 November 2006
12 The probability that road users Iall victims in road traIIic crashes is the lowest in the initial phases and attains very high momentum till it reaches a stage oI middle income country`s development status and starts diminishing at the higher end oI economic development. History says that in coniunction with increase in personal incomes and rise in vehicle population. many high-income countries experienced Iast increase in road accidents and Iatalities in the Iirst halI oI 20 th century and reduction in certain counts in the latter part (Peden et al 2004). However. the changes in the casualties are not unintentional and record oI those societies which reduced road traIIic casualties show that they have mainstreamed prevention oI road traIIic accidents in their public agenda.
Road traIIic accident victims have a higher case-Iatality rate and case-severity rate reIlected by the high incidence oI Iatalities associated with roads and length oI hospitalised treatment. For instance. a study in India Iinds that iniury had the longest duration oI hospitalisation aIter neoplasm (Gumber 1995). Accidents/iniuries account Ior 2 percent oI the entire outpatient cases in the country costing each episode 500 rupees (per case) (the highest among all diseases) and 4 percent oI ambulatory care spending. In case oI hospitalisation. accidents/iniuries take 16 percent oI all in-patient cases costing each treatment 9700 rupees and 19 percent oI all IP spending (aIter acute inIections. iniury/accidents. and second largest burden on household Iinancing). In Kerala. India the severity oI the accidents is comparatively high in the state as more than 60 percent oI the victims sustained serious iniuries and around 70 percent oI the victims had permanent disabilities (Government oI Kerala 2004. Godwin 2006) also pointing to the huge Iinancial burden oI treatment and disability imposed. In developing countries. the Iinancial burden oI prolonged medical care. Iuneral expenses. loss oI the household breadwinner. loss oI income due to disability can push Iamilies into poverty (Hiiar. Vazquez-Vela & Arreola-Risa 2003).
Implementation oI wide range oI road saIety measures. including helmet use. seat belt use. vehicle crash protection. traIIic calm interventions. accessible emergency trauma care and traIIic law enIorcement (Jacobs et al 2000; Lamm et al 1985) have been attributed to the reduction in road traIIic accidents and Iatalities in high-income countries. Presentation made at Forum 10, Cairo, Egypt, 29 October - 2 November 2006
13 Had road traIIic accidents been the price oI material progress the high-income countries should be having the highest incidence oI road casualties. However. this is not the case; rather there has been a sharp decline in the incidence in highly motorised countries particularly in road traIIic mortality primarily contributed by improved trauma care. eIIective enIorcement oI traIIic rules. better vehicles and higher quality roads etc.
Road accident is also a question oI inequality on roads. The complexity in the vehicle mix oI the developing countries is a reIlection oI widespread inequality existing in the society in which the victims are oIten the lower socio-economic groups. In other words. complexity oI traIIic enhances the risk oI accidents and more oIten the victims are vulnerable road users including two-wheeler riders. and pedestrians. From an economic point oI view. which population group constitutes the victims is an important question as their vulnerability to RTAs is very much inIluenced by the nature oI work. In societies with increasing inIormalisation oI the labour class especially in primary and tertiary sectors. the impact oI road casualties would be increasingly Ielt on the inIormal labour. More equity oriented issues cry Ior a debate here. For example. evidence Iorthcoming suggest that the improvements in road design and legislative measures undertaken in developing countries generally tend to ignore the vulnerable road users like pedestrians. cyclists. two-wheeler riders etc and as a consequence they bear a disproportionate burden oI casualties (Peden et al 2004). while the beneIits in the improvement are accumulated to car users and other advanced motorised vehicles. Any road policy needs to take into consideration the equity dimensions in the design oI roads. especially by respecting the rights oI slow-moving vehicles.
Assuming that maiority oI the accidents are avoidable. still a section oI accidents might continue to happen and then arises the question oI Iinancing health care oI the iniured. As widely known. uncertainty in incidence oI and recovery Irom iniury makes rational decision making diIIicult. Since curative medical expenditure by households Iorms one among the large number oI inputs contributing to the health status oI an individual. the opportunity cost oI such spending in terms oI Ioregone Iood consumption. savings. loss oI assets Ior livelihood. lost wages etc would be very high especially Ior Presentation made at Forum 10, Cairo, Egypt, 29 October - 2 November 2006
14 lower income groups. Emergency health services is a case where the wedge between ATP (ability to pay) and WTP (willingness to pay) becomes the maximum implying that the mainstream assumptions oI economic theory stand questioned. Providing care with minimum barriers (both price and non-price) to utilisation is iustiIied so that the equity and eIIiciency loss is minimised (Godwin SK 2006). Who will assume responsibility as to take care oI the iniured: whether government (state) or individuals themselves (market). II the latter is allowed to take charge oI the treatment costs. it is certain to worsen inequalities among the victims and general population. UnIortunately. in maiority oI the low-income countries. the latter is the norm though. government health Iacilities provide health care to a large maiority. For example. Ior iniuries more than 60 percent oI the victims sought hospitalised medical care Irom public health care institutions compared to less than 36 percent Ior IP care Ior general illnesses including iniuries (Gumber 1990) indicating the medico-legal issues involved and the Iinancial burden consequent upon iniuries. Individualistic Iinancing mechanisms are inadequate tools in many contexts especially so in poor and middle-income countries. Though there exists very inadequate number oI studies bringing about the economic impact oI road accidents at the household and individual levels. the disability Iorced withdrawal Irom labour Iorce. and treatment costs are too unbearable to many. Out-oI-pocket payments would be a brawny barrier in seeking treatment and Iollow-up.
Conclusion
The term 'accident implies an event that is unavoidable. unpredictable and inevitable (Peden et al 2004) and in reality maiority oI our road accidents are avoidable. predictable and escapable. iI the developed country experiences are any guide. Road related casualties as 'disease oI development views are not to be encouraged anymore. Developing country road accidents are a complex issue having not only multi-sectoral dimensions. but also intricate are the wide diIIerentials in the entitlements oI the population using roads. The Iormer can be changed with lesser eIIort by technological and behavioural interventions; however. the latter are intrinsic problems associated with Presentation made at Forum 10, Cairo, Egypt, 29 October - 2 November 2006
15 the risks held by the population. Since the latter`s behaviour and occupational risks are unambiguously related to the occupational Ieatures and living conditions and so on.
The paper Iinally raises some important questions on the appropriateness oI introduction and utilisation oI vehicles in a country. BeIore opening up oI domestic sector Ior Iree entry oI cars made in industrialised countries. it is also imperative to assess the possible eIIect such an action would have on the roads and other road users in the domestic sector. One oI the maior Iactors contributing to the widespread inequity in low- income country roads is the increasing use oI vehicles mostly driven in highly motorised country situations. There exist very limited length oI roads in low-income countries which suits the optimum speed oI highly sophisticated vehicles and in such a situation. the rate oI accidents is expected to go up Iaster and more oIten the losers are vulnerable road users`. In this context. it should be worthwhile to undertake studies examining the relationship between the proportion and impact oI new generation vehicles. among other things. in developing countries and road related casualties. However. in the era oI liberalising trade policies that back unbridled opening up oI domestic sector Ior Ioreign goods including vehicles. the extent oI consideration oI the issue oI appropriateness oI vehicle technology by policy planners is a billion dollar question.
The maior agenda Ior Iuture research need to be on equity on roads and road sides. Bearing the burden oI disease by any socio-economic groups is an undesirable situation. As Iar as road accidents are concerned. the situation is a double whammy Ior the ones in lower echelons oI social order. Here the beneIits go to the richer ones and oIten the victims are the slow movers in the road called vulnerable road users. travellers in mass transport etc. Also. undertaking studies on the issue oI equity on roads especially in low-income countries where the conventional techno-centric approaches may probably be Iated to Iail because oI the inability oI such an approach to incorporate the social space in which road accidents occur. It is high time we Iixed responsibilities Ior the individual actors involved Irom all including the governments. the private sector and the general public.
Presentation made at Forum 10, Cairo, Egypt, 29 October - 2 November 2006
16 The political leadership in developing countries need to be much more conscientious especially in picking decisions regarding the peripherally ideologically neutral questions. II analysed in-depth. the colour oI the decision would be clearer and give an idea as to who beneIits and who the losers are. In developing countries. lack oI strict implementation oI road rules is a reIlection oI inadequate government Iinances. widespread corruption and poor governance prevailing in these countries. As mentioned elsewhere. due to weak regulatory mechanisms and institutions to assign liability Ior the users. the vehicles which create a high degree oI negative externality need to be kept away Irom the domestic market or their use regulated stringently.
The author individually thanks the Global Forum Ior Health Research Ior providing generous Iinancial support to present the paper at the Forum 10 in Cairo. Egypt during 29 th October 2 nd November 2006.
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Presentation made at Forum 10, Cairo, Egypt, 29 October - 2 November 2006
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