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All of your work on this exam must be entirely your own. You may use a calculator and the formula sheet provided to you. Show your work, using the space allocated for each question. 1. Customers arrive at a grocery store the rate of 5 per hour. Among the customers frequenting the store, 60% are women. (a) (7 points) What is the probability that exactly 4 out of the next 7 customers are women?

(b) (6 points) What is the probability that exactly 7 customers arrive in the next two hours?

(c) (6 points) What is the probability that it will be between 30 minutes and one hour before the next customer enters the store?

2. Suppose the number of months that a light bulb lasts has density: f (x) = x/2, 0, if 0 < x < 2, otherwise.

(a) (7 points) What is the probability that the light bulb lasts at least 1.5 months?

(b) (7 points) What is the expected number of months that the light bulb lasts?

3. (10 points) In a 2005 survey of 734 UCSD alumni who graduated in 2003, 71 percent said that they were satised or very satised with their current employment. Find a 90 percent condence interval for the percentage of all UCSD alumni who graduated in 2003 who are satised or very satised with their current employment.

4. An airline company would like to conrm that its customer satisfaction rate is higher than 80%. The company gathers 107 voluntary surveys from its passengers spanning a number of its ights. Among these passengers, 92 rated their experience as satisfactory. (a) (5 points) Carefully state your hypotheses.

(b) (8 points) Calculate a p-value for your test.

(c) (5 points) Explain what the p-value means in this context.

(d) (5 points) Carefully write a conclusion in the context of the problem (use signicance level .05).

(e) (5 points) Do you have any concerns with with the way the survey was conducted?

5. Suppose that in a large community, the median value of a single family house is $210,000, with a mean of $260,000 and a standard deviation of $90,000. (a) (4 points) Suppose 10 single family houses chosen at random in that community, and their values are plotted on a histogram. Would you expect the histogram to look like a bell-shaped curve? Briey explain why or why not?

(b) (5 points) Suppose 10,000 single family houses are chosen at random in that community and their values are plotted on a histogram. Would you expect to see a bell-shaped curve? Briey explain why or why not?

(c) (5 points) Suppose 10,000 single family houses are chosen at random in that community, then grouped randomly into 200 groups of 50 houses. In each of the 200 groups, the average value of the 50 houses is calculated, and these 200 averages are plotted on a histogram. Would you expect a bell-shaped curve? Briey explain why or why not.

(d) (5 points) Would you expect the histogram in part (c) to be wider or narrower than those of (a) and (b)? Briey explain your answer.

6. (10 points) Suppose Alices bowling scores have approximately a normal distribution with mean 183 and standard deviation 22, while Bobs bowling scores have approximately a normal distribution with mean 175 and standard deviation 24. If Alice and Bob each bowl one game, and their scores are independent, what is the probability that Alices score is higher?

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