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Contents
The Road Ahead Wealth Overview Market Round Up -Equity Model Portfolios Sector of the month Stock pick of the month Technical Market Outlook Derivative Market Outlook Mutual Fund round up Insurance Bond Market Outlook Currency Market Outlook Real Estate Opportunities Commodity round up Alternative Investment Ideas 1 2 3 4 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 12 13-14 15 16
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Wealth Overview
Real Estate: Really worth investing
I am feeling very happy to see a solid revival in the equity markets in the last week of June. It has provided a much required relief to the sagging portfolio of investors who were suffering from low to range bound markets since last 3-4 months. It again reinforces the importance of asset allocation as in this month; commodities & other precious metals could not give any significant returns. We have been regularly putting emphasis on having an asset allocation strategy based on one's risk return profile. Taking it further I would like to deal with an asset class which is really close to all of us. Yes you guessed it right. It's real estate. It's has become an important component in the portfolio of most of the HNIs. Real estate investing has been around for thousands of years. Although the rules are different than the stock market, real estate investing can make you wealthy if done with due proper due diligence. Real estate has outperformed, most of the times, any other class of asset, if you take a five year view. If you are patient, if you have the time on hand and if you are a long-term investor, there is nothing like real estate. There are short-term blips that you would be careful of and you have to pick up real estate at the real right time and Price. Wealth managers have been suggesting to the Indian investors to invest in stocks, bonds, gold, and fixed deposits, as their traditional investment instruments, now they are increasingly looking for real estate properties as an alternate investment avenue to increase returns on their portfolios. The rapid growth in the real estate market, as an asset class, has drawn the property investors from around the major Indian cities. In fact, India's residential sector has been the most resilient against the slump in prices, and recovering steadily, assisted by the high demand for housing. While the residential real estate property prices slumped in the first two quarters of 2009, prices recovered rapidly towards the end of 2009 and have been showing steady performance since then. Investors have made decent money across the country especially in Tier II cities like Baroda, Indore, Cochin and Jaipur. Here we have seen a rapid shift in population from rural to urban areas & hence giving boost to the real estate investments. I am sure you must be wondering how to take advantage of the potential of the real estate as an asset class. You may invest in two ways as given below: Direct: You may buy the property directly in the form of land/plot/commercial premises and residential apartments. But this may or may not be feasible for everyone. People normally face two limitations while investing directly in real estates. On the one hand, the ticket size of the properties and second access to the investible property itself. Further you may feel comfortable in investing in real estate in your city of residence only. So, if it's feasible, it's surely a good asset class to be in. Indirect: Thanks to financial innovation, there are multiple ways of participating in the real estate growth opportunities. You can subscribe to following products to your portfolio as a part of your real estate portfolio. Real Estate PMS Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) Stocks of Real Estate Companies PE products focused on Real Estate Looking into the possibility of generating excellent returns by this asset class, we would recommend enhancing your allocation to the real estate as an asset class positively. You may invest either directly or indirectly as suggested above. In the indirect segment, one such product available is a real estate fund by JM Financial which intend to generate returns by investing in rent yielding properties. It can be considered for participating in the high growth real estate sector. As a prudent investor, you are suggested to be in touch with your respective wealth manager for exploring many more opportunities in the real estate sector. Happy investing !!! Rajev B Sharma Country Head Wealth Management & Investment Banking Unicon Financial Intermediaries Pvt. Ltd
342.59 87.25
Global Markets
Index May-11 June-11 Change Change% High Low
(+4.85%), CD (+2.44%), Bankex (+2.22%), Power (+2.20%) ended positive. Realty ? (-7.26%), Oil&Gas (-4.02%), Metal (-2.27%) ended negative. Among other indices, BSE MidCap (-0.81%), SmallCap (? 0.96%) ended negative, while BSE100 (+0.85%) ended positive
Sectoral Indices
AUTO BANKEX CD CG FMCG
Dow Jones 12,569.79 12,414.34 -155.45 Nasdaq S&P 500 Nikkei CAC FTSE
1.6 1.4 1.2 1
-1.24% 12,569.34 11,821.96 -2.18% -1.83% 1.26% -0.62% -0.74% 2,834.05 1,345.20 9,849.69 4,015.85 5,995.20 2,599.86 1,258.07 9,318.62 3,742.31 5,644.40
REALTY TECk -2 0 2 4 6 8
PCR
Change (%)
Market News
FIIs ?were net buyers of `2662 cr (In May net sellers of 3705
40695 40696 40697 40700 40701 40702 40703 40704 40707 40708 40709 40710 40714 40715 40716 40717 40718 40721 40722 40723 40724 40711
cr). DIIs were net sellers of `100 cr (In May net buyers of `4093 cr) in cash market. IPOs ? open in June 2011: Rushil Dcor Ltd., Birla Pacific Medspa Ltd., Readymade Steel India Ltd. IPOs ? listed in June 2011: VMS Industries Ltd., Timbor Home Ltd. State-run Coal India Ltd (CIL), received 18 tenders from ? international companies for long-term thermal coal offtake agreements. The ?Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate in South Indian states, especially Tamil Nadu and Andhra Pradesh, slowed down considerably and fell below the national average of 8.7%. State-run NMDC agreed to team up with Australia's ? Minemakers Ltd to develop a phosphate mine in Wonarah in northern Australia. Advance tax payments made by 100 firms based in Mumbai, ? India's financial capital, rose by 14% for the three months ending June, signaling moderate growth in corporate profits amid fears of shrinking margins. The ? Tata Steel board sold its entire stake of 26.27% in Riversdale Mining for A$1.06 billion.
Turnover
(` crs.)
MoM
Change%
Highlights
Major ? global indices traded negative in the June month. In the ? US markets, Dow (-1.24%), Nasdaq (-2.18%), S&P500 (1.83%) ended negative. In major Asian Markets, Nikkei (+1.26%) ended positive. ? In the ? European markets CAC (-0.62%), FTSE (-0.74%) ended marginally negative inline with global peers. On the domestic front, Nifty gained 87.25 points (+1.57%) and ? Sensex gained 342.59 points (+1.85%) in the month of June. NSE ? Cash Turnover: `222,457 cr down 4.88% as compared to previous month (`233,876 cr) Total ? Derivative Turnover: `2,438,176 cr down 6.41% as compared to previous month (`2,605,138 cr). Turnover in index futures decreased by 13.27% over the ? previous month. Turnover in index options decreased by 5.72% over the ? previous month. Turnover in stock futures decreased by 4.16% over the previous ? month.
Model Portfolios
Indian Market surged 1.6% in the month of June after bottoming at 5250 (Nifty) level. Attractive valuation, expectation of normal monsoon and positive bias towards forthcoming results triggered robust inflows from the FII. Inflow of FII for June 2011 stood at ~`27bn while DII shied away from the markets. Indian economy is expected to face inflationary pressures in short run, especially after recent hike in fuel prices and lack of GoIs ability to address supply side constraints. We believe the markets would seek cues from the upcoming corporate earnings announcements. However, strong inflationary pressures with tight interest rate regime would affect company margins. Concerns over Greece debt crisis would also affect the sentiment of investor. Hence, considering various obstacles and challenges confronting Indian markets, we expect market (Nifty) to consolidate in the range of 5300-5900.
? We remain positive on the consumption story and maintain
Stock movement
Stock ? Entered
State Bank of India, Godrej Consumer Product, Punj Lloyd, S.Kumar National, KEC International
Stock ? Exited
IVRCL Infra, MSP Steel, Shree Cement, Navbharat Venture,
Growth Portfolio
Objective
High Capital appreciation with moderate capital safety.
Sr.
No
Stock Name
% Wtg
%return
BGR Energy.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
Union Bank 3.4% Yes Bank 6.1% State Bank of India 3.4% Crompton Greaves 5.2% HCC 2.7% Punj Lloyd 2.1% UTV software 7.8% Aurobindo Pharma 4.6% Apollo Tyre 4.7% Tata Motor 4.8% GAIL 5.5% Reliance Ind 4.9% KEC International 5.3% Deepak Fertliser 7.3% United Phosphorus 4.2% Jain Irrigation 4.1% Godrej Cons. Product 6.6% S.Kumar Nat. 4.0% Cash 13.4% Total 100.0%
Growth
326.75 270.50 2305.00 177.35 61.50 71.50 465.40 192.10 58.80 1113.00 356.25 973.00 79.50 162.00 135.80 188.40 406.00 51.93
292.80 311.90 2405.95 259.20 31.95 75.85 826.60 172.50 78.25 993.50 441.25 897.60 79.25 166.60 152.82 170.65 430.25 53.95
-10.4% 15.3% 4.4% 46.2% -48.0% 6.1% 77.6% -10.2% 33.1% -10.7% 23.9% -7.7% -0.3% 2.8% 12.6% -9.4% 6.0% 3.9% 13.2%
-7.9% 3.8% 4.4% -1.8% -1.1% 6.1% 27.7% -2.3% 13.7% -9.1% -0.9% -5.7% -0.3% -6.0% -5.7% 1.9% 6.0% 3.9% 0.8%
Wtg
Optimizer Portfolio
Objective
Moderate Capital appreciation with substantial capital safety. Skewed towards Growth, value and large caps.
Sr.
No
Stock Name
% Wtg
% return
%return
% Returns
Nifty
Top 5 Sectors
22.9% 1.6%
Media
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Performance Highlights
The ? portfolio has underperformed Nifty by 9.7% since inception and 0.8% in the month of June 2011. UTV ? Software, Apollo Tyres, Punj Lloyd and State Bank of India were the top gainers during the month. S. Kumar Nat., Tata Motors, Union Bank and Deepak ? Fertilisers were the laggards losing 5.7-9.1% in the month.
Hero Honda 4.3% Bank of Baroda 6.7% ICICI Bank 2.9% Syndicate Bank 0.6% Larsen & Toubro 4.1% Crompton Greaves 3.5% Castrol India 11.6% Oil India 7.5% Dabur India 8.9% TCS 11.7% Infosys Tech 3.1% HCL Tech 4.6% Glaxosmith Pharma 7.7% Aurobindo Pharma 5.2% Bharti Airtel 3.2% Cash 14.3% Total 100.0% Growth
1544.30 425.65 1205.00 156.00 1516.00 261.10 240.93 1140.55 70.65 532.95 2615.10 358.85 1454.40 191.76 405.35
1877.75 871.90 1093.10 117.45 1822.65 259.20 526.20 1301.65 114.05 1180.35 2907.40 493.45 2353.85 172.50 395.25
21.6% 104.8% -9.3% -24.7% 20.2% -0.7% 118.4% 14.1% 61.4% 121.5% 11.2% 37.5% 61.8% -10.0% -2.5% 51.2%
1.3% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4% 10.9% -1.8% 5.8% 1.2% -2.4% 1.9% 4.1% -4.1% 1.3% -2.3% 5.6% 1.3% Wtg
% Returns
Nifty
Top 5 Sectors
Since inception 51.2% Performance + 28.3% For month of Jun 1.3% Performance - 0.3%
22.9% 1.6%
Strategy
During the month, we have increased our exposure in FMCG ? and Banking Sectors; while maintaining our focus towards agricultural space.
Performance Highlights
? portfolio has outperformed Nifty by 28.3% since The
inception.
Model Portfolios
The ?portfolio has marginally underperformed Nifty by 0.3% on monthly basis. 73% ? of the stocks in the portfolios gave positive monthly return. For ? the month of June, Optimiser recorded robust performance backed by 11% return in L&T and 5% return in Castrol India. Dabur ? India, Aurobindo Pharma and HCL were laggards during the month, all losing more than 2%.
% Returns Growth Nifty Top 5 Sectors Wtg
Since inception 49.7% Performance +26.8% For month of Jun 3.0% Performance +1.4%
22.9% 1.6%
Performance Highlights
The ?portfolio has outperformed the Nifty Index by 26.8% since inception and 1.4% for the month. The ?outperformance during the month was led by Britannia, Gillette. L&T, NTPC and BHEL. However, Dr. Reddy and Reliance followed by Crompton remained laggards for the month
Strategy
The ? stocks in our portfolio represent the best possible picks in their respective sectors and we continue to believe that there is further potential upside from its current levels. High ? inflation has led the Reserve Bank of India to hike interest rates aggressively more than 8 times over 10 months. The ill effect of high interest rate and slower growth have already been largely factored in stock prices. The market has rallied for past two weeks which has helped to lift sentiment. However, any negative earnings surprise in the 1QFY12 coupled with global factors such as crude oil and Europe sovereign-debt crisis can affect the sustain ability. We will ? also continue to look out for value picks for the portfolio.
Strategy
Broadly, higher fund allocation in Budget 2012 for ? infrastructure and recent move to allow FII to invest more in Indian infrastructure via debt augurs well not only for the infrastructure sector but also to the overall economy of the country, as Infra spending has positive cascading effects on other sectors of the economy. Key ?catalysts to market performance over next quarter would be RBI policies to control inflation and Global market sentiments, as risk loom large over US and other Euro nations debt concern. Currently, market has come off from yearly lows and trading ? at reasonable valuations. The upcoming results and addressing of both the domestic and global concerns in next few weeks would give further direction to the market. We ?would continue to invest in stocks, depending on opportunity keeping fund's objective.
Stock movement
? Entered Stocks
No changes during the month ? Exited Stocks No changes during the month
Defensive Portfolio
Objective
Concentrating on stable large cap, blue-chip companies aimed at clients with moderate to low risk appetite.
Sr.
No
Stock Name
% return
%return
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Punjab National Bank Bank of Baroda ICICI Bank BHEL Crompton Greaves Dabur India Godrej Cons. Product Gillette India Britannia Ind Castrol India Larsen & Toubro Dr. Reddy's Lab Glaxosmith Pharma NTPC Oil India Reliance Industries Cash Total
2.3% 2.1% 0.9% 8.4% 2.0% 2.4% 8.6% 3.0% 1.9% 11.6% 6.6% 2.9% 7.5% 6.1% 7.6% 2.4% 23.9% 100.0%
678.45 425.65 950.00 2082.96 261.10 69.20 235.15 1414.25 440.00 240.93 1510.70 765.45 1454.40 205.55 1140.55 955.00
1089.60 871.90 1093.10 2046.55 259.20 114.05 430.25 2114.80 477.50 526.20 1822.65 1533.40 2353.85 186.85 1301.65 897.60
60.6% 104.8% 15.1% -1.7% -0.7% 64.8% 83.0% 49.5% 8.5% 118.4% 20.6% 100.3% 61.8% -9.1% 14.1% -6.0% 49.7%
-0.9% 1.0% 0.7% 5.3% -1.8% -2.4% 3.1% 13.4% 14.4% 5.8% 10.9% -5.1% 1.3% 10.6% 1.2% -5.7% 3.0%
Stock movement
? Entered Stocks
Stocks ? Exited
No portfolio changes during the month
Market share
Brokerage House India Infoline Motilal Oswal Edelweiss Religare Kotak FY11 4 2.5 3.9 3 3.4 FY10 3.8 2.8 4.5 3.4 4.1
Brokerage industry has started diversifying their revenue streams due to change in volume mix which has led to fall in equity broking ? revenues. In H2FY11 we have seen commodity, Investment banking, financing & lending business contributing more revenues in total revenue. The outbound transaction segment M&A deal values increased to $50 bn across 662 deals in CY10, as compared to $12 bn across 330 deals in CY09. A total of over $5 bn was raised by 45 companies via QIPs in FY11 & $9 bn were raised across 57 IPOs in FY11. Private equity deal value was $9 bn across over 300 transactions in FY11, much higher than the $5.5 bn across 276 transactions witnessed in FY10. Moreover, lower delivery volumes in the cash segment have impacted brokerage yields during FY11 which has seen a drop. However, cost ? effective distribution model franchisee and online trading through portals has helped the brokerage houses to keep a check on its operating costs.
Overview
As a ?percentage of the total population, the retail investor participation in capital market is just 1.3%, whereas in the US and China it is 27.7% and 10.5% respectively. Therefore, regulator along with stock broking companies should focus more on developing the retail business segment going ahead. The ?slower growth in US & other developed markets along with debt crisis in Europe to provide opportunity to emerging markets especially countries like India which has an edge due to strong economic growth going ahead. Other ? financial avenues like Investment banking, commodity markets, credit & financing business to open more growth opportunity for the broking industry. Brokerage industry diversification through inorganic growth route likely - acquisition of Anagram capital (well known retail brokerage ? house) by Edelweiss Capital (prominent institutional brokerage house and investment banker) is an initiation of consolidations in the industry. In contrast to this, Reliance capital, which has a well established retail broking arm Reliance money, has acquired an institutional investment advisory firm Quant capital. We expect the brokerage industry is ripe for consolidation in near future. Share ? prices of the top broking firms are trading near their 52-week low & valuations are attractive. Going forward, if the market conditions improve investors with high risk can accumulate large caps like India Infoline, Motilal Oswal, Edelweiss etc.
Tecpro Systems Ltd. (TSL) is an established material handling company with presence in the coal handling (19% market share) and ash handling (15% market share) for power, steel, cement and other sectors. TSL has recently forayed into BoP segment and has secured two orders worth `29.7bn (68% of its current order-book). We believe TSL would be key beneficiary, given its leadership position in material / ash handling business and strong growth in underlying industry. With revenue and profit expected to grow at CAGR of 25% and 18% respectively over FY13, recommend Buy on the stock for price target of `300 (+20%).
Manufacturing Locations
TSL manufactures stackers, reclaimers, crushers, screens, feeders and fabricated structures at its factory in Bawal, Haryana. TSL's plant at Bhiwadi, Rajasthan manufactures pulleys, idler & rollers, structures, feeders, screens, conveyor systems, conveyor components, crushers and screen parts. TSL also has a casting unit in Bhiwadi for both material handling and ash handling equipments. The third unit at Bhiwadi, Rajasthan only manufactures ash handling equipments.
Investment Rationale
Strong ? positive outlook for core infrastructure industry (Power, Steel Cement), directly linked, augurs well for the business prospects of TSL. Established player (executed highest orders for coal handling during eleventh five year plan) in ash and material handling segment and ? foray into BoP segment (synchronization and diversification) would lead to growth with diversification Having secured orders worth `2.24bn in Waste heat recovery (WHR) from Cement Industry, order intake momentum in this segment is ? likely continue. WHR is a new concept and is gaining momentum in the Indian cement industry. This module of alternative energy for cement plants can generate, depending on the capacity of the cement plant, ~ 2 to 15-18MW of power in cement plant Strong ? technical expertise (in-house and through collaborations) enables TSL to offer its product and services on turnkey basis within a stipulated time at competitive rates Clientele with strong base (like NTPC, BHEL, Steel Authority, Reliance Energy, Mecon, Lanco, Punj Lloyd, JSW Energy, Tata Power, ? Hindalco, and Shree Cement) mitigates risk of project deferment or cancellation Revenue visibility over FY13e on the back of strong order-book of `43.7bn (2.2x FY11 sales) ?
Key Risks
Key risks are a) non availability of long term project funding with higher debt cost could slow down growth in core sector which would have direct impact on the business and growth prospects of TSL and b) rise in working capital would lead to stress on cash flow and higher interest cost.
Financials
For Q4FY11, TSL's revenue was `9.6bn (+30% YoY) as compared to `7.4bn during same quarter last year. EBITDA for the quarter was ` 2bn (+32% YoY) compared to `1.5bn during corresponding quarter last year. PAT increased by 21% to `1.1bn. For full year FY11, TSL's revenues grew by 35% YoY to `19.7bn. Operating profit at `3.01bn was higher by 52% with operating profit margin of 15%. Over FY13e, we expect company's revenue and net profit after tax to grow @ CAGR of 25% and 18% respectively.
July 14 ? - Monthly Wholesale Prices YoY%, JUN, Prior 9.06% July 14 ? - Food Articles WPI YoY, Jul 02 July 14 ? - Fuel Power Light WPI YoY, Jul 02 July 14 ? - Primary Articles WPI YoY, Jul 02 July 21 ? - Food Articles WPI YoY, Jul 09 July 21 ? - Fuel Power Light WPI YoY, Jul 09 July 21 ? - Primary Articles WPI YoY, Jul 09 July 26 ? - India REPO Cutoff Yld, Jul 26, Prior 7.50% July 26 ? - Cash Reserve Ratio, Jul 26, Prior 6.00% July 26 ? - Reverse Repo Rate, Jul 26, Prior 6.50% July 28 ? - Food Articles WPI YoY, Jul 16 July 28 ? - Fuel Power Light WPI YoY, Jul 16 July 28 ? - Primary Articles WPI YoY, Jul 16
Source : Iris
CNXIT
MININIFTY
NIFTYMCAP50
-400000
0.4
0.3
1.5
0.2
0.1
0.5
0
Bank IT Power Realty Cement Chem&Fert Oil&Gas Pharma FMCG Media Sugar Hotel Auto Infra Misc Metal&Mining Logistics CapitalGoods Telecom Textiles
BANKNIFTY
Index
Roll Over
Change in GDQ
Change in OI
16,000,000 14,000,000
CE PE
20000000 18000000
14000000
Open Interest
16000000
6,000,000 4,000,000 2,000,000 5000 5100 5200 5300 5400 5500 5600 5700 5800 5900 6000 6100 6200 6300
Open Interest
Strike
Strike
Outlook
Nifty traded highly volatile in the June series. Series began with FII buying in the first week, but weak global markets and economic data forced investors to sell stocks. Nifty recovered in the last week on heavy FII inflows and gained 4.34% from May to June series. The cash market series opened at 5413.70, made a low at 5195.90, high at 5657.90 and closed at 5647.40. Short covering by call sellers also helped Nifty gain further. The July series is likely to see more upsides in midcap and smallcap sectors. Sugar, Fertilizer FMCG, Banking stocks look good for short term upside. Nifty is likely to consolidate in the 5400-5700 region before any breakout.
NIFTY
0.5
2.5
NAV 04-July-2011
15.26 74.48 12.09 43.15 25.89
NAV 04-July-2011
43.15 25.89 42.42 14.86 14.88
Return (%)
5.01 4.55 3.90 3.07 2.78
NAV 04-July-2011
211.13 4.82 23.80 30.52 19.6
Return (%)
-4.41 -3.62 -2.86 -2.65 -2.44
MF Activity
40 30 20
Billions
NIFTY
5700 5600
10 0
1-Jun 3-Jun 7-Jun 9-Jun 13-Jun 15-Jun 17-Jun 21-Jun 23-Jun 27-Jun
5500 5400
Equity
Debt
-500 -1000
5100 5000
FII
Nifty
29-Jun
10
Insurance
Kotak Capital Multiplier Plan
Key Features
The ?minimum age at entry is 18 years and maximum age at entry is 60 years. You ? have the option of paying premiums in quarterly, halfyearly or yearly installments. You ?have the benefit of a 15-day free look period. Section 80C, 10(10D) of Income Tax Act would apply. ? Premiums paid for Critical Illness Benefit qualify for benefits under Section 80D. These benefits are as per the currently prevailing tax regulations. You ?can choose to start making withdrawals from the vesting age, subject to a maximum of 65 yrs. Accumulate more through the bonuses declared regularly by ? the company Invest ? your surplus monies top-up premium
Death Benefit
During the build-up phase: - In the event of unfortunate death, your beneficiary would get the higher of basic sum assured (less premiums due but not paid) or Accumulation Account. In addition, 10% of the basic sum assured and the highest of all lump sum injections made and the Supplementary Accumulation Account will also be paid. During the withdrawal phase :- In the event of unfortunate death, your beneficiary would get 10% of the basic sum assured upto 75 years of life assured's age and the balance in the Accumulation Account (into which the Supplementary Accumulation Account is added).
Maturity Benefit
This is a participating plan and you are entitled to the higher of the basic sum assured or the Accumulation Account on maturity along with the balance in the Supplementary Accumulation Account.
Objective
The Kotak Capital Multiplier Plan is a participating plan that is built in such a way that it allows your money to multiply, and gives you the flexibility of using this money the way you need it, in regular withdrawals. This is an endowment plan, which is very flexible, and has a lot of other in-built benefits.
Top Up Premium
In case you have any surplus funds you may invest them at anytime in the policy. This facility of lump sum injections allows you to augment your savings in the build-up phase, in addition to the regular premiums. A Supplementary Accumulation Account is created to hold these lump sums. Funds in Top-Up Account continue to earn bonus at the same rate as that of the Accumulation Account.
Policy Terms
? Minimum - 5 yrs & Maximum - 30 yrs
Entry Age
Entry Age Maturity Age Minimum 18 yrs 23 yrs Maximum 60 yrs 65 yrs
Top Up Premium
Min - `10,000.Max - 25% of basic sum assured during policy year.
Premium Payment
Annual, Half-yearly, Quarterly or Monthly.
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Our Outlook
We continue to believe that the RBI will raise policy rates by another 25 bps as it does not expect inflation to taper off in the next 3-4 months. The RBI's move so far has been largely in line with the market expectations. Yields have started to rally as market participants look at nearing the top of an interest rate cycle. While it will be largely driven by future inflation numbers, it is quite possible that the RBI will pause after the next rate hike to see the impact of its previous action on the economy.
Investment Recommendations
? Reliance Mid term plan. ? Sunlife Dynamic bond fund. Birla
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Stilt + ? 14 Levels of Podium Parking + 1 Levels Club House+ 1 Level of e deck Wing ? A & C- 41 Residential Floors Wing ? B - 47 Residential Floors Easy ? access to both Central and Western suburbs 2-3 kms from the business districts of Worli,Prabhadevi and Lower ? Parel Nariman Point, Fort and BKC business districts within easy reach ? ITC ?Grand Central Sheraton - 1.5km < Parel Station - 2km Sewri ? Railway Station - 0.3km < Dadar Railway Station - 3km Schools ? and hospitals in close proximity Mahalaxmi Race course 5km ?
Exterior Amenities
Gymnasium ? Table ? tennis Billiards ? Badminton court ? Squash ? court Jacuzzi ? Steam ? Sauna ? Massage room ? Library ? cum study area Yoga ? &meditation room Cyber ? caf Banquet & party lounge ? Cafeteria ? Swimming pool ? Jogging ? track Multipurpose hall ?
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Commodity round up
Commodity market sentiment was significantly and negatively affected by macroeconomic data and concerns over Greece's access to funding at start of the June month. US' non-farm payrolls rose +54K in May, greatly missing market expectations of a +190K addition, after a downwardly revised +232K reading in April. Unemployment rate surprisingly rose to 9.1% in May from 9.0% in the prior month. The market had expected a dip to 8.9%. PMI data released sent a general perception that global manufacturing activities are slowing down. The US ISM manufacturing index surprisingly fell to 53.5 (consensus: 57.5) in May from 60.4 in April. In China, PMI slowed to 52, the lowest reading in 9 months, in May from 52.9 in the prior month. The reading is, nonetheless, higher than market expectations of a drop to 51.6. In the Euro zone, the final estimate of PMI was revised lower to 51.6 from preliminary reading of 54.8. In April, the reading was 58. UK's PMI slowed to 52.1 in May from 54.6 in April. Switzerland's PMI was a pleasant surprise, unexpectedly rising to 59.2 in May from 58.4 in the prior month. The US ISM manufacturing index surprisingly fell to 53.5 (consensus: 57.5) in May from 60.4 in April. The global economic uncertainty pulled up precious metal prices and economically sensitive commodities like base metals and crude were dumped by investors. Gold initially continued moving higher despite weakness in the euro as investors sought safe-haven investments amid worrisome growth outlook and lingering sovereign debt concerns in the European periphery. The initial driving force behind gold's prices was the Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke's speech on US growth and the ECB meeting. Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke said at a conference in Atlanta on June 7 that US economic recovery remained 'uneven' and 'frustratingly slow'. The ECB left the main refinancing rate unchanged at 1% and said 'strong vigilance' is warranted on price stability. The reference signals a rate hike is imminent in July. This triggered safe haven money into the yellow metal and the benchmark COMEX contract tried to break the previous high of $1577/Oz.The major news which was supporting gold was lingering sovereign debt concerns in the European periphery, in particular the fate of Greece. Additionally, fiscal situation in US was again under the spotlight after Moody's warned that it would put the country's debt under review. But after a stiff tussle between the bears and the bulls the yellow metal finally slid as approval of the Greek austerity bill averted an immediate default and hence reduced demand for safe-haven assets. The yellow metal plummeted to 6-week low of $1478.3/Oz. Silver followed gold and plunged to as low as $33.47/Oz. US Quantitative easing has ended without follow-through of more money pumping measures which is negative for gold as cheap money for gold investment evaporates. Support to the precious metals prices might come from physical demand after the seasonally weak 3Q and investment demand in the longer-term. According to the World Gold Council, there's a 'tidal wave of gold demand coming' mainly from emerging markets. Similar to India, gold has a special appeal to Chinese people as it represents luck and fortune. Apart from traditional beliefs, heightening inflation pressure in China has also increased gold's demand as a hedge against inflation. Headline inflation jumped to +5.5% y/y in May after moderating to +5.3% a month ago. Core inflation was also worrisome as it soared +2.9% y/y, accelerating from +2.7% in April. Oil traded choppily, being dominated by the key theme of OPEC's meeting on June 8. Uncertainties in this meeting increased after recent defection of the Libyan oil minister and firing of the Iranian minister. There have been speculations that the cartel will eventually raise production quota in the meeting, after leaving it unchanged for 7 meetings, as surging oil prices are damping global economic growth. But the member countries failed to reach a deal to boost output, quotas were announced to remain unchanged and this bolstered oil prices. The prices again slumped as Saudi Arabia said it would raise production to meet rising demand. The IEA's monthly report showed demand upgrades from both 2010 and 2011. However, without adequate supply in the pipeline, surging oil prices would risk a double-dip recession in the economy. The IEA reiterated that 'there is a clear need for OPEC to boost supply'. There are 'damaging implications' to global economy if Saudi Arabia and some other producers fail to do so. Concerning disruption in Libya, the IEA believed production can only recover gradually after the ongoing civil war but will not be able to return to pre-war level of around 1.6M bpd until 2014. Technically MCX Gold contract for August delivery broke the support of `21900 and is sustainably trading below the same. The bears required a close below `21900 to drag the prices down till `21000.Support is at `21600 from where the counter can give a slight bounce back but the trend remains weak and the next near term target is at `21600-21000 levels. Resistance now is at `22000 and then at `22350 which would be a trend reversal resistance. MCX Silver gave a false breakout above the 9 day MA of `54500 and fell steeply in past sessions. Break of `53500 took it straight down near to `50000 which was our earlier target. On monthly chart a very good support is pegged at `50380 break of which might take the counter down till `48000.Strong weekly resistance is at `52000.NYMEX WTI Crude oil has broken the 200 day EMA almost after 8 months which is a bearish indicator. Bounce back till $ 96 a barrel is possible after the steep sell off in the previous few sessions. But the overall trend remains weak and the strategy should be selling on rise. Support is pegged at $ 90 a barrel which if breaks on daily closing basis the downside target would be $85 a barrel. In MCX Strong support is at `4100, which if holds the counter might bounce back till `4300-4350.If prices close below `4100 on weekly basis then the next downside target would be `3750.
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INVESTMENT ADVISORS
in Single investment) Drawdown Hurdle Rate Target Return Carried Interest Focused Sector Focused Sector
? 1: Upfront Payment (Minimum `10 lakhs) Option ? 2: 40% upfront and balance in two installments of 30% Option
Management Fee
each (Minimum `15 lakhs) 12% (Pre Tax, Post Expenses) p.a. 22% (Pre Tax, Post Expenses) p.a. 15% Residential projects across Top 8 cities Structured / Mezzanine finance, Unique opportunity in medium term Structured real estate investments aimed at generating superior returns ? Management Fees : 1.5 % of Commitment Amount Annual ? One time setup Fees : 2% of commitment amount
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