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Piping Service Experience Related to Aging in OECD Pipe Failure Data Exchange (OPDE) Database
Oct. 6, 2005
Sun Yeong Choi*, Joon Eon Yang*, and Young Hwan Choi** *Korea Atomic Energy Research Institute (sychoi@kaeri.re.kr) **Korea Institute of Nuclear Safety
1 Korea Atomic Energy Research Institute
Backgrounds
r Aging PSA and Passive System Reliability Study in KAERI
u We
have performed
v Participation in OPDE Project to collect piping failure data v Development of DB for the number of weld of safety piping
are going to
v Investigate the OPDE database for the piping aging trend v Develop the estimation method for aging parameter
Purpose of Study
r Purpose of Study
u
analyses
r Methods
u u u
Understanding of Data Completeness in OPDE DB Selection of Data from OPDE DB for Aging Trend Analysis Various Aging Trend Analyses with the Selected Data
3 Korea Atomic Energy Research Institute
To develop a well structured, comprehensive database on pipe failure events To enable project member organizations to utilize the collected data for various application fields including PSA, Aging Management, or LBB
r OPDE Project
u u
r OPDE Database
u
Scope of OPDE DB
v Non-through Wall Defect v Through-Wall Defect without Active Leakage v Leak / Rupture / Severance
Structure of OPDE DB
Regulatory inspection reports Deviation Reports LERs / AOs / ROs / WOs RIISI Applications Isometric Drawings ISI Summary Reports ASME Section XI Relief Requests Plant Operating Records / Logs ISI Program Plans / ISI Database Piping Design Information
Population Data Plant A&E System Component Metallurgical data Installation data Event Date
Service History FAC Program Water Chemistry / H2-injection (BWR) IHSI Replacement
Data Retrieval & Validation Statistical Analysis Classification according to attributes and influences Identify degradation mechanism(s) Data Analysis Failure Modes
Piping Reliability Parameter dB Leak frequencies by Attributes & Influence Factors Conditional Rupture Probabilities by Attributes & Influence Factors
Characteristics of OPDE DB
r Data Source of OPDE DB
u Data
Countries)
u Data
after 1995
To use OPDE DB for piping aging trend analysis, understanding of data completeness is required
End of Base Date SKI-PIPE (12/31/04) '1990 '2000 '2008 First Rx-Criticality Cease of Data Collection Pipe Failure First Record in OPDE DB
'1970
Piping failures have been collected successively during both periods of the SKI-PIPE and OPDE DB
Data collection ceased at the end date of the SKI-PIPE Collection of pipe failures from 17 countries stopped after 1998
r Case (5)
u
There exists a long interval between the first operation date and the event occurrence date stored into the DB for the first time For some plants, there is no pipe failure record occurred during the period of the SKI PIPE project
Plant from OPDE Member Countries (Except for Canada) Plant Starting Operation after Jan. 1970 Total Plant Operation year: 4609.7 yr Data having Clear Failure Description
BE CH CZ 3 2 4 1 7 1 1 2 7 4 5 7 3 15 6 2 58 3 3 2 DE ES FI FR 4 22 32 JP 1 8 10 4 23 14 KR 5 6 3 2 1 3 SE US 1 23 31 20 75 14 73 95 30 212
(I) 125 Plants (819.7 yr) (II) 198 Plants (2583.7 yr) Plant Operation (III) 10 212 Plants (4609.7 yr)
Results of Method 1
Pipe Leak Trend
0.60 Occurrence Frequency (/yr) 0.50 0.40 0.30 0.20 0.10 0.00
1984
2004
1984
2004
11
in each group
Three groups are categorized by different total plant operation years (0~15, 15~25, 25~ 35) with Dec.31 2004 as the starting point
Plants in Group (3) are the oldest plants, while plants in Group (1) are the youngest plants Jan. 1, 1970 Jan. 1, 1980 Jan. 1, 1990 Dec. 31, 2004
u
Group (1) 28 Plants (284.6 yr) 0~15 years : Plant Operating Years
1990s (up to 2004) : Plant Operation Starting Date 13 Korea Atomic Energy Research Institute
Results of Method 2
Pipe Leak Trend
0.50 0.40 Occurrence Frequency (/yr) 0.30 0.20 0.10 0.00 0~15 15~25 Operation Year 25~35
Crack
0.04 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.00 0~15 15~25 Operation Year 25~35
Wall Tinning
Leak frequency of older plants is generally higher than that of younger plants. Ratio of Leak frequency and other frequencies is more than a factor of 10
14 Korea Atomic Energy Research Institute
the leak frequency of older plants is generally higher than that of younger plants, it does not express the aging effect.
v The leak frequency of older plants during the plant early
16
Results of Method 3
Pipe Leak Trend
0.35 0.3 Occurrence Frequency (/yr)
0.25 0.2
0.15 0.1
Crack Wall-thinning
u u u
Crack frequency increases progressively The trend of leak frequency shows typical bath-tub shape The leak frequency is relatively high in early operation period and decreases by 20-year operation and then the leak frequency increases
17
Leak data is categorized into three groups by plant operation years (0~15, 15~25, 25~35) And then Method 3 is applied in each group
The leak frequency of the oldest plants decreases as the plants ages and then increases slightly after 20-year operation In the case of plants whose operation years are ranged from 15 to 25, the leak frequency is almost constant as plants age
18 Korea Atomic Energy Research Institute
on the Method 3, the trend of leak frequency shows typical bath-tub shape as the plants age the plant operation year (0~15, 15~25, 25~35), the leak frequency of the oldest plants decreases by 20year operation and then increases slightly
u Considering
Conclusion
r In this Study
u
We apply three kinds of analysis methods to figure out piping aging trend from OPDE DB The aging effect can be extracted by using Method 3 based on the assumption of identical plant operation starting time
r Further Works
u u