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A11
Hong Kong will need to make major changes to survive a new world economic order, write Joseph Cheng and Anthony Cheung
Frank Ching
frank.ching@scmp.com
Think big
Smarter power
t the recent meeting of the Group of Seven finance leaders in Rome, Italys finance minister called for a new world economic order and argued that while this might seem rhetorical it is a true goal we should be aiming towards. In support of this call, US Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner agreed that we need to begin the process of comprehensive reform so the world never again faces a crisis this severe. At a Global Business Forum, held recently in Hong Kong, professional economists agreed that the global crisis will be severe, widespread, and unpredictable in its speed and shape. All this will lead to a protracted slowdown of economic activity worldwide, and a deep deterioration of confidence among investors, manufacturers and consumers. The emerging world economic order, and disorder in the interim, will be characterised by: much less independence for the financial sector worldwide; far greater government intervention and
Decision-makers need to set visionary and motivating goals that can lift the hearts and minds of the people
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oversight; tighter credit across all economic sectors; rising unemployment across all salary levels; further coupling of developed and emerging economies; increased protectionism; and a trend towards globally co-ordinated fiscal and monetary polices. Given these changes, can Hong Kong survive a new world economic order when it finally arrives? Traditionally, the citys economic prosperity has come from four major revenue sources: opportunistic property development; speculative stock market investment; entrepot cargo shipment; and, in recent years, financial services in support of mainland-related businesses. All this has been done within a macro environment, with the government expected to play a minimal role in economic affairs. Past wisdom and success no longer suffice to equip Hong Kong to meet the challenges ahead. Increased government involvement in economic planning and
oversight of financial institutions is somewhat alien to Hong Kong and will dampen opportunistic and speculative investment. The erosion of the citys position as both a trading platform of sourcing for mainland-made goods and a logistics hub for cargo shipments will further cut into its revenue base. Hong Kong people and businesses need to develop new capabilities to weather the storm and emerge as winners when the dust settles. Five major adjustments are necessary to facilitate fundamental changes and outof-the-box thinking. First, given such great uncertainties, companies need to be innovative; experience no longer applies. An innovation culture encourages people to be creative and rewards them when successful, but an experimentation culture goes one step further, by supporting and being committed to research-based creative endeavours, even if they fail. Hong Kong and many other Asian societies currently lack such a culture; taking risks that could end in failure are to be avoided. Second, as the worlds resources become increasingly constrained, coupled with the tightening of credit and increased oversight by regulatory bodies, future investment decisions will only be made after careful deliberation, not through speculation or opportunistic reasoning. A strong value-added commitment has to be instilled in Hong Kong business, with a dedication to value creation, rather than profits from transactions, as the primary means of securing returns. Third, we need to develop a cooperative competitive environment to replace the current self-centred, tribal mentality in the Hong Kong psyche. We should encourage partnerships with neighbouring cities and nations, to launch large joint projects that strengthen the regions global competitiveness. Fourth, we need new thinking about Hong Kong as a global city. Historically, it had benefited immensely from Chinas economic failure and subsequently its opening up and reform. Now, and in the future, prosperity has to come from mainland Chinas rise. Hong Kong must
not allow itself to be marginalised but should opt to integrate effectively with the mainland and play an active role in its modernisation. Hong Kongs international connectivity, and human and financial capital, make the city of great relevance to the mainland. The city should have global leadership aspirations, grounded in the richness of its human, capital and geographic resources. Finally, decision-makers, in both the private and public sectors, need to develop a proactive strategic mindset. Given its colonial history, Hong Kong has not been accustomed to thinking strategically. At a time of turbulent change, where there are no guidelines for what may come next, decision-makers need to set visionary
and motivating goals that can lift the hearts and minds of the people, as well as mobilise the necessary resources to create a better tomorrow. Otherwise, the new world order will arrive before we know it; and the opportunities will pass us by just as quickly, leaving Hong Kong lagging behind our competitors in the region, and the rest of the world.
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Joseph L. C. Cheng is professor of international business and director of the Illinois Global Business Initiative at the University of Illinois. Anthony Cheung Bing-leung is an executive councillor and president of the Hong Kong Institute of Education
uman rights groups criticised the way US Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton approached her first trip to China. But she was right and Amnesty International and others were wrong. Mrs Clinton said that world events have given us a full agenda and, while other issues, such as human rights, Tibet, religion and freedom of speech are part of the Sino-US dialogue, there is a need to focus on pressing problems important to future peace, progress and prosperity for both countries and for the world. For indicating that the human rights issue will not be paramount at least not on this trip she came under fire from groups such as Human Rights Watch. Amnesty International said it was shocked and extremely disappointed that human rights will not be a priority in [Mrs Clintons] diplomatic engagement with China. In fact, she did not say that. She made it clear that human rights would remain part of the agenda but that the issue cannot supersede the importance of others, such as the global economic crisis and climate change. That position must be right. The Sino-US relationship cannot be held hostage to a single issue, regardless of its importance. And, at a time when the global economy faces a devastating economic downturn, it is only right that the US and China should focus their minds on tackling this problem rather than attacking one anothers human rights record. The same is true of climate change. This is a problem that affects every country and it cannot be properly dealt with unless the United States and China two of the largest emitters of greenhouse gases work together rather than be at cross purposes. It is fair to say that the worlds future could be at stake. Mrs Clinton was criticised in particular for saying, even before she raised human rights issues with Chinese officials, that we already pretty much know what they are going to say. That is refreshing honesty. The US and China have conducted a human rights dialogue for years, and Chinas position has not shifted. Yet, she was pilloried for being honest. Presumably, her critics prefer her to act hypocritically and pretend that dialogue on human rights will produce improvements in China. Raising human rights issues with ...................................... China has become routine and often the gesture is largely pro forma, simply so that a US or European official can tell constituencies at home that he or she had raised the human rights issue. But, inevitably, Chinese who have to go along with this play acting understand the hypocrisy of such encounters. This cannot possibly cause them to give human rights a higher priority in their national agenda. Instead, it confirms their belief that these foreign officials are hypocrites. In fact, on this trip, Mrs Clinton not only discussed human rights issues with Chinese officials, she met Chinese women who are directly working to improve the situation on the ground. The secretary of state spent an hour with 23 women working in law, poverty, health care and the promotion of gender equality, including Gao Yaojie, an 82-year-old Aids activist. Several women whom she had met in 1995, during a United Nations womens conference in Beijing, told her that grass-roots organisations had grown rapidly and are having an increasing impact on Chinese society. It is more likely that human rights will be enhanced in China through the work of such non-governmental organisations than through sterile dialogue. It was good that, in addition to discussing human rights with her Chinese interlocutors, she showed that she took human rights seriously by meeting these representatives. Time spent with these women was probably more productive than talking to officials. In the end, it is important to put things in perspective. China and the US need to work together to tackle global issues. If this happens, the world will be a much safer place. If it doesnt happen, then no amount of criticising is going to help.
It is more likely that rights will be enhanced in China through the work of NGOs than sterile dialogue
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Frank Ching is a Hong Kong-based writer and commentator
Following the Caritas case, the public will expect similar treatment for senior civil servants who err
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will probably be improved to cover this scenario. But this is not enough. Hospital Authority chief executive Shane Solomon was right to emphasise that staff should move from a rule-based culture to a service-based one. But public servants are so accustomed to following rules that it is more effective to promote a service culture by embodying it in the rules. For example, there should be a cardinal rule that can override other rules and regulations: in an emergency, particularly where human life is at risk, civil servants may take any action they consider most appropriate to help the citizen concerned. Conversely, they should not be held accountable even if their actions fail to achieve the intended purpose. Turning to the investigation
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Joseph Wong Wing-ping, formerly secretary for the civil service, is an honorary professor at the University of Hong Kong Contact us Agree or disagree with the opinions on this page? Write to us at letters@scmp.com If you have an idea for an opinion article, e-mail it to oped@scmp.com
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Jeffrey Sachs is professor of economics and director of the Earth Institute at Columbia University. Copyright: Project Syndicate
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David Brooks is a New York Times columnist