|1

|2

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Demos (People) kratos (R De Dem

Classical Democracy, Developmental Republicanism, Protective Republicanism, Protective Democracy, Legal Democracy, Developmental Democracy, Liberal Democracy, Direct Democracy, Participatory Democracy, Cosmopolitan Democracy, Competitive Elitist Democracy, Social D

|5
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People Power M

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(-

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Humanitarian I

Democratic Autonomous Develop

Consol

Long-T

Initial Transition

| 11

Political L

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Political L

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Civil Political L

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Political Liberalizati (Ease of R (Authoritarian E

Civil L

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Initial T Initial Transition Political Liberaliz

H Political L (End R Political L Liberalizatio A End R (Democratic C

Political L

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Political L

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Expansion of Public S Political

Political L

Political L () Political L Political Act

S R S

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M C Political Softl M Li R

Intra-Regime

F Intra-Military Factionalism Political L Political L Paradox of S Degradation of Military I

Political Liberalization

Paradox of S Political L

Political L

Political L

Dead E

Political R

| 17
Political L M Political Liberalization O D Political L Democratic Consolidatio O Political Public S

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Political L S Active Civil S

Civil

Buffer Z

Political L

Civil Society Civil S

International L Public S Civil S Political L

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O

"P "P

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Inherent Logic of Strong Civil S Civil Society Political Liberalizati

Political

Political L

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Liber Political

Macro-Economic A

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Political L Political L

Economic

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| 22
Supplier-Buyer R Liberalization of Internal Markets, Liberalization of External Markets, Privatization and Rest

Gradual Reform S

Political L

Positive Relationship Adverse E P L Economic L Negative Marginal E Economic G Political

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Political L

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Political L L

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() () Initial T () Political L Political L

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Autonomous M (Confrontational M R

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Review 81 (5), 1170-1188.

3. Anderson, Lisa. (1999). Transitions to Democracy. New York: Columbia University Press. 4. Avant, Deborah. (1994) Political Institutions and Military Change: Lessons from Peripheral Wars . Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press 5. Brownlee, Jason. (2007). Authoritarianism in an Age of Democratization. New York, NY: Cambridge University Press. 6. Barro, Robert J. (1996), Democracy and Growth, Journal of Economic Growth 1 (1), 1-27. 7. Campos, Nauro (1999),

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to

the

Future:

The

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EconomiesReconsidered, William Davidson Institute Working Paper No. 229, Ann Arbor, MI.
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10. Finer, Samuel. (1962). The Man on Horseback: The Role of the Military in Politics . New York, NY: Penguin Books. 11. Fitch, J. Samuel. (1998). The Armed Forces and Democracy in Latin America . Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press. 12. GALA, Amin A. (1995): Egypt's Economic Predicament: A Study in the Interaction of External Pressure, Political Folly and Social Tension in Egypt. 1960-1990. New York, E. J. Brill. 13. Heybey, Berta, and Peter Murrel (1999), The Relationship between Economic Growth and the Speed of Liberalization During Transition, Journal of Policy Reform 3 (2), 121-137. 14. Halpern, Manfred. 1963. The Politics of Social Change in the Middle East and North Africa . Princeton: Princeton University Press. 15. KRAMER, Gudrun (1996): The Integration of the Integrists, Ghassan Salame (ed.), Democracy without Democrats, London, New York, I.B. Tauris. 16. LINZ, Juan J. ve STEPAN, Alfred (1996): Problems of Democratic Transition and Consolidation, Southern Europe, South America, and Post-Communist Europe, Baltimore, The Johns Hopkins University Press. 17. Lipset, S.M. (1959), Some Social Requisites of Democracy: Economic Development and Political Legitimacy, American Political Science Review 53, 69-105. 18. Monshipouri, Mahmood. (1995) Democratization, Liberalization and Human Rights in the Third

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