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Disclaimer
This information provided in this presentation is provided only for your reference. Such information has not been independently verified and, as such, is not guaranteed to be accurate nor complete. Neither Cebu Air, Inc. (CEB or the Company) nor any of its affiliates, shareholders, directors, employees, agents or advisers makes expressed or implied representations or warranties as to the accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein and neither of them shall accept any responsibility or liability (including any third party liability) for any loss or damage, whether or not arising from any error or omission in compiling such information or as a result of any partys reliance or use of such information. The information and opinions in this presentation are subject to change without notice. EBITDAR, EBITDA, EBITDAR Margin, EBIT and core net income are not measures of performance under the Philippine Financial Reporting Standards (PFRS), and should not be considered in isolation or as alternatives to net income as an indicator of CEBs operating performance or to cash flow from operating, investing and financing activities as a measure of liquidity, or any other measures of performance under PFRS. Because there are various EBITDAR, EBITDA, EBITDAR Margin, EBIT and core net income calculation methods, CEBs presentation of these measures may not be comparable to similarly titled measures used by other companies. p This presentation also contains certain forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements include words or phrases such as CEB or its management believes, expects, anticipates, intends, plans, foresees, or other words or phrases of similar import. Similarly, statements that describe CEBs objectives, plans or goals are also forward-looking statements. All such forward-looking statements are subject to certain risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contemplated by the relevant forward-looking statement. Such forward looking statements are made based on managements current expectations or beliefs as well as assumptions made by, and information currently available to, management. There is no assurance that expected events will p p y, y , g p occur, that projections will be achieved, or that the Company and its managements assumptions are correct.
Quarter Highlights
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11.9% traffic growth 87.0% load factor
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43.1% domestic market share1
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Php13.7 billion cash3 1.0x adjusted net D-E ratio DE
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31.5% international passenger growth
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23.6% 23 6% EBITDAR margin 8.9% pre-tax core net income margin
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14.0 block hours/day2 7.8 turns/day 81% OTP
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4.5% reduction in cost ex-fuel per ASK
Note: All figures are for 1Q2011; growth figures are 1Q2011 year-on-year comparison 1 Based on CEB internal data (i.e., CEB-operated routes) as CAB data for 3Q10 is not yet available 2 Average utilization for Airbus fleet only 3 Includes financial assets at FVPL and available-for-sale investments
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37.1% increase in ancillary revenue per passenger
Whats In Store?
Business Updates
Financial Results
Outlook
1. Business Updates
CAGR: 24.4%
FY2010 Y-o-Y Growth Passengers Domestic International Seats Domestic International 19.5% 15.3% 37.9% 8.4% 7.2% 12.7%
0.5 2.0
1Q10
Domestic
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International
4,189
4,499
3,499
3,881
3,655
4,289
3,870
4,537
100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% %
1.0% 7.6%
1.4% 8.1%
1.3% 6.5%
0.7% 7.4%
1.5% 5.8%
0.8% 7.6%
1.4% 6.1%
0.8% 10.8%
40.4%
33.0%
40.9%
31.3% 31 3%
38.6%
28.3% 28 3%
26.0% 36.6% 26 0%
CEB remains the no.1 domestic carrier with a market share of 43.1% for 1Q2011 on routes it operates. Competitors have gained share after adding capacity at a faster rate.
3.1%
10.3%
1.9%
11.7%
2.4%
17.0%
4.9%
19.3%
47.9% 47.2%
49.5% 48.9%
51.7%
46.3%
51.0%
43.1%
2Q09
2Q10
CEB
3Q09
3Q10
PAL
4Q09
4Q10
Seair
1Q10
(2)
1Q11
(2)
AirPhil Express
Zest Air
Source: Civil Aeronautics Board, Company filings. (1) Passenger numbers include CEBs non-revenue passengers but excludes no-shows. (2) 1Q11 CAB data not available; based on Company data, for CEB-operated routes only
2,500
14,013
Cathay Pacific Airways, Airways 10%
2,000
1,500
31.5%
Others, 43%
Singapore Airlines, 5%
CEB grew its international segment by 31.5% YoY in 1Q11 as ASEAN and North Asia destinations continue to show robust demand. CAB has not released 1Q11 international passenger data. But in FY2010, CEB captured 15% international market share during which CEBs international passenger volume grew 37 8% while the market grew 13 7% share, CEB s 37.8% 13.7%.
7.002
7.520
Total revenues increased 7.4% YoY in 1Q2011. 1Q2011 Despite improved load factors, increased competition has put downward pressure on yields resulting in a 6 6% YoY drop in average fares in 6.6% 1Q2011.
7.4%
Cargo revenues down 3.2% YoY in 1Q2011 as 1Q2010 was exceptional due to the national elections. elections CEB has successfully improved take up of ancillary revenue per passenger which increased significantly by 37.1% YoY from Php196 in 1Q2010 to Php269 in 1Q2011.
2,405
2,246
196
269
34.01% 25.38%
40.61%
41.71% 22.21%
2010
Cebu Pacific Ticket Offices and Call Centers
1Q2011
Third Party Sales Agents
Sales made through the CEB website has g significantly increased. In 1Q11, the share of web bookings to total sales reached 47.92%. www.cebupacificair.com is the top travel site in the Philippines (Source: comScore Media Metrix) CEB is increasing on-line presence through Facebook, Twitter, and YouTube
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2. Financial Results
CEB posted p p profits despite 41.6% y p year-on-year increase in average j fuel p y g jet price to US$120.66/bbl (published MOPS) in 1Q2011 and 6.6% year-on-year decline in average fares. EBITDAR margin and pre-tax core net income margin were lower at 23.7% and 9.0%, respectively.
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Note: Converted based on average exchange rate for the period: 1Q2011 at Php43.79/US$, 1Q2010 at Php46.01/US$
Unit cost increased 6.3% YoY in 1Q2011 due to higher fuel prices but cost ex-fuel per ASK dropped 4.6% in the same period.
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As of Dec-31 2010 13,267 15,139 33,986 812 49,937 20,503 20 503 11,527 32,030 17,907 11,234 11 234 7,236 18,470 0.40 1.03 1 03 1.82 45.6%
As of Mar-31 2011 13,737 16,057 36,347 842 53,246 21,258 21 258 13,040 34,298 18,948 11,369 11 369 7,522 18,891 0.40 1.00 1 00 1.98 46.4%
Cash balance (including financial assets at FVPL) rose to Php13.7 billion as at end 1Q2011. Gearing ratio at 1.00x and debt service ability at 1.98x adjusted net debt/EBITDAR ratio allow CEB to tap aircraft financing
Total equity Capitalized lease (3) C it li d l Net debt Adjusted net debt Net debt-to-equity (x) Adjusted t debt-to-equity ( ) Adj t d net d bt t it (x) Adjusted net debt/EBITDAR (x) (4) Cash-to-sales ratio (5)
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5)
Cash balance includes financial assets held-for-trading (at fair value) as well as available for sale assets. Includes LT debt, current portion of LT debt, and ARO liability Capitalized lease for March 31 2011 is based on LTM aircraft and engine lease expense x7 31, EBITDAR for March 31, 2011 is based on LTM EBITDAR Sales for March 31, 2011 is based on LTM Revenues
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-90 -3 -94 94
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3. Outlook
Unbundled the f first bag beginning April 1, 2011 through Prepaid Bag Fees (Lite Fares) - Lite Fares now ( ) exclude the free 15 kilograms baggage allowance which used to be included in Go Fares. Now passengers have the option to pay Prepaid Bag Fees if they want to check in bags.
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Aggressive expansion plans announced by local competitors End 2010 CEB (A320/A319) PAL (A320/A319) AirPhil Express (A320) Zest Air (A320/A319) Seair (A319) AirAsia Philippines TOTAL Net additions from year ago
Notes: 1 E ti t based on i d t sources and press releases of l Estimates b d industry d l f local carriers l i
End 20111 29 16 (?) 9 (?) 8 to 10 (?) 2 to 4(?) 2 (?) 65 to 70 (?) +9 to +13 (?)
24 19 6 6 2 57
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Key Points
CEB will come out stronger from this challenging business environment CEB will remain the dominant LCC in the Philippines Measures taken to mitigate fuel price increase will take effect by 2Q2011 Ancillary revenue presents significant upside Strong balance will allow CEB to accelerate growth.
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Q&A
Appendix
47 5 8 34 2014
3.27 years
Notes: (1) As of 31 March 2011
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