Professional Documents
Culture Documents
The electronic version of this report allows access to a richer level of content from the
Annual Meeting including webcasts, weblogs, photographs and session summaries.
Other specific information on the Annual Meeting 2006 can be found at the following
links:
Preface 3
Foreword 4
Acknowledgements 25
1
World Economic Forum Annual Meeting 2006
Preface
The World Economic Forum Annual Meeting 2006 offered participants a great opportunity to
better understand those issues influencing society and business over the year ahead – and
beyond.
Starting from the premise that the world community is at a turning point given the pace of
change, the global nature of the challenges we face and the need for new responses, the
theme “The Creative Imperative” provided this Annual Meeting with a solutions-driven
impetus.
Participants discussed how the assumptions, tools and frameworks that business,
government and civil society leaders have employed to make decisions over the past decades
now appear inadequate. Be it to address income disparities, climate change, job creation or
to build design strategy in organizations, discussions centred on how leaders and their
institutions can adopt more collaborative approaches to resolving issues – and the need to
improve the capacity to adapt to a new emerging environment. Moreover, it was agreed that
to successfully meet the challenges we face will require greater emphasis on human
imagination, innovation and creativity.
Once again, the Meeting drew leaders from business, government, international institutions,
non-governmental organizations, universities and other communities. This year’s Meeting also
saw valuable and innovative contributions from a strong contingent of Young Global Leaders.
Together with our Members and Partners, we look forward to continuing to drive the Global
Agenda forward in a creative and constructive fashion, taking up the findings from Davos in
our regional meetings, through Forum initiatives and industry activities over the coming year.
Klaus Schwab
Founder and Executive Chairman
The Forum would once again like to take this opportunity to thank the Annual Meeting
Co-Chairs, each of whom provided invaluable support to the proceedings, bringing a
distinguished background in business and public service to the discussions. They were:
3
World Economic Forum Annual Meeting 2006
Foreword – The Creative Imperative
“We need to remove obstacles. We have to open the windows; we have to breathe deeply the
fresh air. And we have to seize the opportunities.”
Angela Merkel, Federal Chancellor of Germany
The confluence of mood and world events, made discussions at this year’s Annual
Meeting even more focused than usual. With over 240 sessions covering eight sub-
themes and involving leaders from business, government, international
organizations and many other communities, participants sought to apply fresh
thinking to pressing global challenges.
The eight sub-themes of the Annual Meeting 2006 comprised five challenges and
three responses. The challenges include the Emergence of China and India, the
Challenging Economic Landscape, New Mindsets and Changing Attitudes, Creating
Future Jobs, and Regional Identities and Struggles. The responses include Building
Trust in Public and Private Institutions, Effective Leadership in Managing Global
Risks and Creativity, Design Strategy. In this foreword, we highlight key messages
emerging from participants on these eight sub-themes. Following this, we further
delve into each theme concerning each of the five challenges and then separately
consider the three responses.
“The story has moved “Two things move the world, and
beyond GDP growth rates… two things move economies: hope
the emergence of China and and fear. In the short run in financial
India gives the world an markets I fear that we have too
opportunity to experiment much hope and too little fear.”
and make sure that there is Lawrence H. Summers, President,
equitable wealth Harvard University
generation.”
Mukesh D. Ambani, Chairman Given US influence on the
and Managing Director, global economy, its current
Reliance Industries Limited account deficit of 5.7% of
GDP in 2004 or US$ 666
These two very billion, continues to concern
different, yet rapidly policy-makers in Washington DC and abroad.
growing countries face enormous challenges as China’s economy is still too small to counter a
they restructure and integrate their economies into possible US slowdown, and Europe and Japan,
the global system. For China to continue to grow it while perhaps improving, are currently too slow-
must expand domestic demand, reduce its reliance growing to drive the global economy forward.
on exports and foreign direct investment for growth Moreover, the major economies are struggling to
and further reform financial systems so consumers keep fiscal promises as their pension and healthcare
can spend some of their savings and privately held bills grow. Inequities in trade and increased
businesses can finance their growth. Consequently, competition for natural resources mean risk is rising
the government will need to find a balance between – especially to the environment. While the world
structural reforms, social equity and statist control. economy has proven resilient enough to absorb a
India continues to face poor infrastructure, sustained US$ 60 a barrel for oil, participants were
deregulation and bureaucratic corruption. It may be quick to agree, if prices rise further and stay high,
the “fastest growing free market democracy” the the effects will hurt.
world has ever known, but its leadership must
respond rapidly to create jobs and reduce income
disparities.
4
World Economic Forum Annual Meeting 2006
Foreword – The Creative Imperative
New Mindsets and Changing Attitudes The challenge for many countries is not only
what new jobs they create, but also how these
“I have been seeking to jobs translate into livelihoods. And with the total
change … the mindset global workforce having doubled over the last
that international five years, pressure on wages is likely to
relations are nothing continue. So where are the jobs of the future?
more than relations With fiscal budgets already stretched, they are
between states, and the unlikely to come from the public sector. But
United Nations is little policy-makers can play an important role in
more than a trade union providing the environment for the private sector
for governments.” to create jobs. More generally, both developed
Kofi Annan, Secretary- and developing countries will need to re-examine
General, United Nations education strategies to build the skills necessary
for the future.
The 21st century will
be about managing the implications of a
shrinking yet more fragmented and complex Regional Identities and Struggles
world. Individual states have less influence than
in the past and are subject to the wider interests “The challenge that has
of regional or economic groupings. Institutional dominated the headlines
frameworks designed to respond to cold war is … a minority group of
threats are not appropriate to deal with global extremist Muslims who
warming, international terrorism or poverty have taken upon
reduction. Leaders themselves will need to learn themselves to distort
or re-learn skills if they are to drive organizations Islam in order to justify
to innovate and adopt new ideas. For policy- violent action… And I
makers in the developed and developing world think this has led the
the challenge will be to create educational Muslim world to a very
curricula that will provide today’s youth with the critical crossroads of
tools they will need tomorrow. self-evaluation and self-
definition and to really
look at what it is that we stand for. And this has led to a
Creating Future Jobs reaffirmation of the basic principles of Islam.”
H.M. Queen Rania of the Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan
“Cities like Shanghai are
saying, ‘We need 20,000 Closing regional income gaps will require regional
experts right now and if cooperation, coordination and compromise.
you can find them abroad, Trade is key but targeted investment in
we’ll give them work infrastructure, education and easier access to
permits’. They are doing capital are also important concerns. But, without
the first – that I’ve seen geopolitical stability, regional cooperation efforts
worldwide – rigorous will be hampered. The Hamas election victory
forecasting of skill sparked reactions from many, though some saw
requirements and … this as a moment to trigger change. However,
channelling people into the Iran, whose absence from the meeting served to
right vocational skill lines accentuate the gravity of the current situation,
for future requirements.” drew most attention. Experts warned that,
David Arkless, Executive Board Member, Manpower whatever the outcome, the consequences for
the region and the international community will
be significant.
5
World Economic Forum Annual Meeting 2006
Foreword – The Creative Imperative
Zeng Peiyan
Vice-Premier of the People’s
Republic of China
China and India are at inflection points in their Participants went beyond conventional wisdom to
development requiring them to sustain economic consider long-term problems for China and India
development, in particular to manage natural that require innovative solutions, namely the quality
resource consumption and environmental and sustainability of growth models, creating jobs,
degradation. maintaining stability, eradicating corruption and
better integrating into the global system.
• China is focusing more on stimulating domestic
demand and reducing its reliance on exports These issues are closely connected. Better
and foreign direct investment to drive growth. integration with the rest of the world will enable
both to achieve more balanced, diversified growth
• India must deal with structural problems such as and transform them into more efficient economies,
poor infrastructure, deregulation and more inclusive societies, and more responsible
bureaucratic tangles that could hamper its and responsive members of the international
ambitions to achieve growth at par with China. community. Adopting sustainable development
policies to promote social equity, a cleaner
• Retail and manufacturing sectors are in need of environment and economic stability will naturally
attention. deepen their integration with the global economy.
“China cannot achieve development in isolation of
• Failure to address obstacles to sustainability, the rest of the world, and the world needs China
stability and global integration will not only set for development,” said China’s Vice-Premier Zeng
China and India back but will also aggravate Peiyan. His statement could equally apply to India.
global imbalances.
Comparing China and India, however, pits apples
against oranges. Yes, they have similarities, but
That China and India have emerged as drivers of there are even more crucial differences that are
global growth is nothing new. These economies widely recognized – the makeup of their
each with one-billion-plus populations are set to economies; depth of integration with global supply
grow by over 6% and 8% a year respectively for chains; share of global trade, notably exports (see
the near to medium term. China is already an Figure 1); and workforce skill levels, not to mention
integral part of the global supply chain; India has obvious and significant divergences in their political
become a dominant player in outsourcing services. system, rule of law, infrastructure and level of
development.
7
World Economic Forum Annual Meeting 2006
The Emergence of China and India
In China, domestic consumption must increase; The complacent and fearless may cling to one-
China must lower its reliance on exports and dimensional high-growth stories. But it is time to
foreign direct investment (FDI) to drive growth. take in the bigger picture. The tricky shifts that
Chinese officials including Vice-Premier Zeng China and India are trying to pull off as they
emphasized that the new five-year plan to be implement complex reforms will prove more
approved in March should set a “moderate” painful than anything they have so far achieved.
growth target of 8% to allow for greater focus on Turning an economy driven by exports and FDI
social programmes and initiatives for sustainable into a consumption-led one cannot be easy for a
development. society still nominally steeped in central planning.
Moreover, China must create a system of
India’s delegation delivered its own stark rationally allocating finance (i.e. reform the
message: While India has arrived on the world banking system) so long constrained by political
stage, it has a raft of urgent problems to tackle, interference. As Morgan Stanley Chief Economist
including poor infrastructure, widespread poverty Stephen Roach said, “switching from an
and widening income disparities particularly investment-led economy to a consumer-led one
between urban and rural areas, limited is more art than science. A consumer culture is
manufacturing capabilities and deficiencies in the DNA of market-based capitalism and this is
education. The self-styled “fastest growing free not in the experience set of China’s
market democracy in the world” is proving that macroeconomic managers.”
pluralism and growth are compatible. While China must balance bold structural
“Democracy is going to be a source of reforms with statist controls to avoid destabilizing
competitive advantage for us,” predicted Nandan social tensions, India inches forward gingerly, its
M. Nilekani, President, Chief Executive Officer revolutionary reform ambitions tempered by a
and Managing Director, Infosys Technologies. much admired, yet constraining devotion to
Indian Minister of Commerce and Industry Kamal democracy and social heritage. Bridging
Nath added: “As the world’s perception of India significant gaps of poverty, empowering women
changes, India’s perception of itself changes. through education and addressing infrastructure
The Indian electorate is realizing more and more deficiency are enormous tasks that lie ahead.
that a more liberalized economy is what is driving
growth.”
8
World Economic Forum Annual Meeting 2006
The Emergence of China and India
Kamal Nath
Minister of Commerce and
Industry of India
All this suggests that China and India could each rights including intellectual property protection
hit a wall, forcing them to scramble to generate through available legal channels, adhering to
new models of growth. And in the case of China, transparent and ethical conduct, and requiring
we need no reminders that not a single country the same of partners and contractors. The
in the post-World War II period has undertaken leaderships of both countries are struggling to
banking reform the likes of which China is stay far enough ahead on the reform curve to
attempting absent a significant financial crisis. prevent human resources and infrastructure
There are many plausible negative scenarios: constraints from damaging critical labour cost
rising protectionism stemming from advantages.
disillusionment with multilateral trade
negotiations, social tensions resulting from rising China and India’s developments are unparalleled
expectations and uneven development, disputes transitions with profound consequences and
with rivals over natural resources, diplomatic opportunities for the world at large. Conditions
friction over ties to potentially destabilizing change quickly; objectives once considered
regimes such as Iran, and falling FDI due to incongruent can swiftly turn into complements.
frustration with the shaky rule of law and thin Environmental protection and economic growth
profit margins in China or India’s infrastructure are a prime example. As US architect William
deficiencies and bureaucratic bottlenecks. McDonough, Chairman, William McDonough +
Partners Architecture and Community Design /
Business must consider the implications of the MBDC, who is designing cutting edge eco-
transformations underway and adopt risk friendly cities in China, concluded: “The Chinese
strategies accordingly. At the same time, have the ability to go to scale with velocity.”
Chinese companies are venturing overseas to While India may move more slowly, its impact on
acquire management expertise, technology and the global economy is likely to be as great as
brand-building savvy to apply them at home. China’s, particularly as life sciences and other
Boardrooms in Europe and the US are having to services are outsourced to India. As many
consider new potential emerging competition. participants put it, as go China and India, so
goes the world.
Chinese and, to a lesser extent, Indian firms are
building resource supply networks and strategic
business relationships in Africa, Latin America
and other emerging markets. Global companies
that source products from China and India are
beginning to apply environmental best practices
standards to suppliers. Companies are bolstering
the rule of law by asserting their commercial
9
World Economic Forum Annual Meeting 2006
The Changing Economic Landscape
• The global economy is beset with inefficiencies news for the penguins and, it turns out, for
and imbalances that threaten to derail growth humans too: thanks to overfishing in the world’s
and halt efforts to bring prosperity to the oceans, mankind has moved right down to the
world’s poorest corners. bottom of the food chain to harvest krill
alongside the seals.
• Massive US deficits and yawning Asian
surpluses, inequities in trade and the The same inefficiencies and imbalances that
increasingly heated race for natural resources economists say imperil trade and markets are
pose risks. hastening the depletion of natural resources and
environmental destruction. These imbalances
• The brunt of these imbalances, however, is have so far not derailed global economic growth,
being borne by the environment, which looms but the slow destruction of our own habitat
above all else as a risk to the well-being of the belies the conclusion that the situation is
planet. sustainable.
No one drills for oil or assembles iPods at the The most fundamental imbalance has long been
South Pole. But evidence that the global the disparity of wealth between developed
economy is dangerously out of kilter can be nations and undeveloped nations. This disparity
found swimming under the ice nearby. There in is being slowly reduced now in what some call
the frigid Antarctic seawater, tiny shrimp-like the most dramatic shift of wealth ever witnessed.
crustaceans – called krill – eke out an existence While erosion of Socialist orthodoxy catalysed
eating plankton and algae until they are eaten by the re-emergence of China and India, their
seabirds, whales and other animals. Global impact stems largely from their massive ranks of
warming is melting polar ice and reducing the young workers, which have helped double the
krill’s habitat, causing by some estimates a 90% global workforce since 1990. But discrimination
drop in krill populations in the past 20 years. Bad against women in both nations has helped give
10
World Economic Forum Annual Meeting 2006
The Changing Economic Landscape
11
World Economic Forum Annual Meeting 2006
The Changing Economic Landscape
This artificial support for US deficits fuels asset- With the dollar artificially overvalued and global
price inflation, particularly housing prices. US inflation kept low, the world is flush with cash.
housing prices and those around the globe have Interest rates paid by borrowers once
risen sharply, by 85% since 1997 (see Figure 3) considered relatively risky compared to
leading some commentators to believe this is the governments are historically low, making it
largest bubble in history. harder for investors to earn the kind of returns
needed to finance the world’s growing pension
Economists say rising home values are largely liabilities.
behind the illusion of wealth that inspires US
consumers to spend more than they earn. Many
predict that housing prices may stop rising soon,
which could chill US consumer demand for
Asian exports.
12
World Economic Forum Annual Meeting 2006
The Changing Economic Landscape
Growing trade imbalances also increase the risk Policy-makers need to take steps to redress
that politicians will grasp for protectionist these imbalances. In particular, prices for goods
solutions and halt efforts to make trade fairer and services should reflect their real cost, not
through the World Trade Organization. Tariffs only in terms of labour and capital, but also their
designed to protect agriculture in Europe and the impact on natural resources and the
US hinder the ability of developing nations to environment. “It’s actually an economic
export their way out of poverty. But not all such necessity,” said William J. Clinton, Founder,
barriers are from developed countries. “Consider William Jefferson Clinton Foundation; President
the dynamic that 73% of tariffs paid by of the United States (1993-2001). “If we’re going
developing countries are paid to other to have enough capacity on earth to give China
developing countries,” said Peter Mandelson, and India and other countries the growth which
Commissioner, Trade, European Commission, they rightfully claim is theirs, and revive the
Brussels. American economy, and provide an opportunity
for Europe to continue to grow and prosper, I
Aside from feeding extremism, such inequities in think we have to deal with [preserving the
global trade distort the cost of resources. Tariffs environment].”
and subsidies encourage the wasteful use of
land, water and oil.
13
World Economic Forum Annual Meeting 2006
New Mindsets and Changing Attitudes
functioning democracy, increasingly rely on blogs or Breaking down the barriers between governments,
online versions of print newspapers. Many in the NGOs and businesses holds the potential to foster
media expressed concern that such trends would cooperation and growth within and between
mean the erosion of responsible journalism, but nations. “My objective has been to persuade both
publishers such as Arthur Sulzberger Jr, Chairman the member states and my colleagues in the
and Publisher, The New York Times, USA, Secretariat that the United Nations needs to engage
expressed guarded optimism “that the need and not only with governments, but with people,” said
desire for quality, trustworthy journalism would keep Kofi Annan, Secretary-General, United Nations, New
the old media brands afloat.” But change is York.
undeniable. “The consumer has been empowered,”
said Frederick Kempe, Assistant Managing Editor How private-public engagements occur remains an
and Columnist, Wall Street Journal, USA, “the essential question. Generally, business is better than
Internet is a democratizing force.” government at changing the behaviour of
individuals. “Where there is opportunity for more
Privacy issues such as ID theft and government profit,” said Bill Owens, Governor of Colorado, USA,
intrusion loom large, and striking the right balance “companies are increasingly moving towards what is
between regulation and freedom will be a critical good for the public.” The role of government in
challenge in the next decade. But with new balancing business interests with those of the nation
problems also comes new opportunities. is a tendentious issue as was demonstrated by the
Technology, like education, is vital to the war on CNOOC Limited bid to acquire Unocal Corporation,
terror, as it can facilitate the collection and sharing and the American political climate which sunk the
of information among nations and international deal.
security organizations.
Christopher Murray, Director, Global Health Initiative, Harvard University; Jens Stoltenberg, Prime Minister of Norway; William H. Gates III,
Chairman and Chief Software Architect, Microsoft Corporation; Gordon Brown, Chancellor of the Exchequer of the United Kingdom;
Olusegun Obasanjo, President of Nigeria; Fareed Zakaria, Editor, Newsweek International; Giulio Tremonti, Vice-President of the Council
of Ministers and Minister of Economy and Finance of Italy, during the session “Not Gone, but Almost Forgotten”
15
World Economic Forum Annual Meeting 2006
Creating Future Jobs
• Hundreds of millions of new jobs will be Business in the developed and developing world
needed over the next 20 years to avoid could not face more divergent labour markets.
massive increases in global unemployment. “In developed countries, the question is not
where the jobs will come from but where will the
• This requires new attitudes towards supporting workers come from,” said Donald J. Johnston,
innovation, entrepreneurship, risk taking and Secretary-General, Organisation for Economic
encouraging creativity. Co-operation and Development (OECD), Paris.
Min Zhu, Executive Assistant President, Bank of
• The ability to start a business will need to be China, People’s Republic of China, has no such
made much simpler, quicker and cheaper in problem: “We have to understand that labour is
many countries and the benefits of a resource not a burden. So it is labour-intensive
entrepreneurship widely publicized and taught manufacturing which makes China a
formally. powerhouse in the world with a 10% growth
rate.”
• Numerous educational systems will need to be
restructured if they are to meet future skill In developed countries with ageing populations
requirements and must include broad-based there will clearly be a boom in healthcare
skills so that future workers find it far easier to employment. Companies which understand the
switch between different occupations. added consequences, such as a sharp boost in
the number of people who are time rich and
cash poor, will be able to create further jobs.
A time bomb relating to work is ticking. “The implications of people getting older means
Registered world unemployment reached 187.7 a complete shift in consumerism as people will
million in 2004, according to the International buy differently,” insisted Sir Digby Jones,
Labour Organization. Over 80 million new jobs Director-General, Confederation of British
will be needed by 2020 to keep the Arab world Industry (CBI), United Kingdom. “Where they go,
alone at its current level of 16% unemployment. the need to heat their homes more, and they will
The entry of so many workers into the global want to pay lower prices.”
market economy will have a dramatic effect on
the worldwide ratio of labour to capital with a Businesses in the Middle East, however, will only
consequent downward pressure on wages. This be able to start creating the work needed by
situation can be expected to last for at least 25 tens of millions of Arab youths if, at the very
years and will require fresh, collaborative ideas to least, there is a far greater regional openness in
provide solutions. the trade of goods, services and labour. Ahmed
Mahmoud Nazif, Prime Minister of Egypt, for
16
World Economic Forum Annual Meeting 2006
Creating Future Jobs
example, needs to create 750,000 jobs a year to country’s regulations, the availability of funding,
keep unemployment at the same levels. “Part of employment, taxation, and the time and cost of
the answer is related to growth, particularly in starting a new business. Crucially policy-makers
tourism which is important to Egypt and creates should also emphasize the importance of
more jobs than industry.” changing mindsets in those countries where
entrepreneurial failure is considered
For much of commerce, the way to create new unacceptable and which effectively disqualify risk
jobs is globalization, although this is being takers from making further attempts.
restricted by skill shortages at the white collar
level. “In my 30 years experience I have never Educational systems in many countries need
seen such an incredible shortage of talented overhauling to overcome a fundamental
people – whether it is in Germany, Brazil, China, mismatch between the skills taught and the
India or Kansas,” said Samuel A. DiPiazza Jr, future skills needed. This disparity is increased in
Global Chief Executive Officer, developed countries by students’ perceptions of
PricewaterhouseCoopers, USA. “There is this what constitute worthwhile occupations. “We
war for talent and we are not just talking about have to persuade children that, in the future,
the top 5%. It is an issue even in countries with getting a vocational degree will be as important
good population growth and education.” as getting a university qualification,” insisted
David Arkless, Executive Board Member,
These skill shortages need to be tackled with Manpower, USA. “We need electricians,
increased efforts by business to release plumbers, infrastructure workers and higher-level
underutilized assets into the labour market production workers. We have to make these
through improved childcare services, wage sorts of jobs, which make cities work, look
equality and greater education opportunities. valuable and feel valuable.”
”We do not have enough urgency about
innovation,” declared Ben J. Verwaayen, Chief At the same time, educational systems will need
Executive Officer, BT, United Kingdom, “not in to become more broad-based so that people
the R&D sense, but in terms of job creation, find it easier to switch between jobs. “Trying to
getting women involved, getting minorities plan for specific shortages in the long term is not
involved.” The success of such initiatives can that useful,” declared Jagdish Bhagwati,
provide further new opportunities for Professor, Columbia University, USA.
employment as unpaid work becomes paid “Uncertainty comes in no matter how hard you
work. “In Scandinavia so many of the workforce try. You can only make broad statements like skill
are now in employment that a lot of housework shortages will happen.” This is also the view of
has effectively become paid work as others are Nandan M. Nilekani, President, Chief Executive
paid to do it,” said Neil Kearney, General Officer and Managing Director, Infosys
Secretary, International Textile, Garment and Technologies, India, who finds that college
Leather Workers’ Federation, Brussels. recruits do not have the right skills. “We have our
own finishing school to get them ready for our
Creating new jobs that are needed on the business. The focus is on training people to be
massive scale means that most will have to adaptable, flexible and able to change quickly
come from the private sector and will require a with the times, because it is impossible to
fundamental change in attitude to business and predict what we will need in the future.”
public sector support for innovation,
entrepreneurship and risk taking. Indices of Equally important is that educational systems
competitiveness, which look at the cost and recognize that 85% of job skills are not specific
difficulties of starting a business in various to a particular task but include work habits,
countries, should be expanded and used to project management, teamwork, communication,
praise the best and “name and shame” the time management and punctuality.
worst nations while examining in depth each
17
World Economic Forum Annual Meeting 2006
Regional Identities and Struggles
Jack Straw, Secretary of State for Foreign and Commonwealth Affairs of the United Kingdom; Barham Salih, Minister of Planning and Development
Cooperation of Iraq; Ahmed Chalabi, Deputy Prime Minister of Iraq; Robert B. Zoellick, US Deputy Secretary of State; Hajim Alhasani, President of the
Iraq National Assembly; John McCain, Senator from Arizona (Republican), USA; Sheikh Hamam Hammoudi, President, Constitutional Drafting Council,
Iraq; and Amre Moussa, Secretary-General, League of Arab States, during the session “What Is at Stake in Iraq?”
But the greatest will in the world to remove trade There is consensus that the response should be
barriers will fail if the global geopolitical “carrot-and-stick” diplomacy. However, the West
environment remains volatile. The West’s nuclear may have to make more generous offers –
stand-off with Iran bears the seeds of a grave including economic cooperation that involves
crisis affecting much of the world. If Tehran halts investment and trade – to persuade Tehran to
oil exports, or they are halted by Western military play ball. Richard N. Haass, President, Council
action, prices will likely soar well beyond their on Foreign Relations, USA, said: “I don’t see that
current highs and the repercussion on key there is enough on the (negotiating) table at the
Western economies, and global markets, will be moment.”
dramatic.
Certainly, there is little enthusiasm for an attack
The real aims of Iran’s nuclear programme are on Iran’s nuclear centres. A common view is that
unclear. One view is that serious economic this would spark a huge geopolitical crisis in the
problems and a rapidly growing population are region and far beyond, and only delay Iranian
pushing it towards diversifying its energy arms development while pushing the population
resources. Others think differently. “Right now, to more radical political positions.
no one knows if Iran is trying to cross the
weapons threshold,” said Kenneth M. Pollack, The electoral victory by Hamas, seen as linked to
Director of Research, Saban Center for Middle Iran and viewed officially as a terrorist
East Policy, The Brookings Institution, USA. “But organization by many Western governments,
it is prudent to believe that they are developing a adds a further complicating factor. Should the
nuclear weapons capacity,” said Jack Straw, reaction of the West be to isolate or engage?
Secretary of State for Foreign and “We all have a difficult time managing risk. We
Commonwealth Affairs of the United Kingdom. live in a polarized world in which the risks have
“There is no threat (to Iran) from anyone in that increased colossally,” said 2005 Nobel Peace
region,” argued Saxby Chambliss, Senator from Prize winner Mohamed M. ElBaradei, Director-
Georgia (Republican), USA. Motivation for any General, International Atomic Energy Agency,
weapon development could therefore only be Vienna. “If you fix the Middle East, North Korea
offensive. and South Asia, you would fix 90% of our
problems.”
19
World Economic Forum Annual Meeting 2006
Responding to Global Challenges
Responding to the five challenges that were the The Three Responses
focus of the Annual Meeting 2006 will require global
policy-makers and stakeholders to develop Describing the specific policies required to manage
solutions in three broad, interrelated areas: these forces of change is a task of almost hopeless
complexity. However, the agenda for this year’s
Annual Meeting reflected an assumption that global
Rebuilding trust in public and private leaders must articulate and implement policy
institutions: In virtually every region and responses in three broad areas:
country, opinion surveys reveal declining
public confidence in governments, • Rebuilding trust in public and private institutions:
corporations and multinational There is growing awareness among elites and
organizations. publics alike that the institutions of the post-World
War II order – national governments, multinational
corporations, international organizations – no
Effective leadership in managing longer function well. In the developing world,
global risks: New mechanisms need to corruption and inefficiency threaten to overwhelm
identify and – where possible – mitigate trust (and institutions) altogether. In the industrial
threats such as terrorism, environmental countries, economic change spurs fears of a
degradation, natural disaster and broken social contract. Unless these trends are
economic instability. reversed, global leaders face the prospect of a
political backlash that could wreck decades of
prosperity, integration and global accommodation.
Innovation, creativity and design
strategy: The obsolescence of many • Effective leadership in managing global risks:
20th century structures compels leaders Theory holds that as markets become more
to develop fresh concepts, new flexible and barriers reduce, economic systems
institutional models and more flexible gain stability. However, unwise policies or
processes for serving diverse incomplete adjustments can produce unexpected
populations. volatility. Likewise, modern infrastructures offer
unparalleled speed and convenience – but may be
While all three responses are crucial, the last one vulnerable to terrorism or natural disaster. Leaders
may hold the key to the first two. Numerous must improve early warning systems, and develop
sessions and workshops highlighted the need to better tools for defining, controlling and – not least
reward innovation, encourage unconventional – allocating risk.
thinking and promote cultural cross-fertilization in
every region and at every level of society. • Innovation, creativity and design strategy: In a
“flat” world – one approximating the textbook
Change – both sweeping and fundamental – definition of market efficiency – constant
appears to be the one constant as the world moves innovation is the only guarantee of competitive
deeper into the 21st century. Political, corporate advantage. This applies as much to institutional
and social leaders no longer have the option (if they cultures and structures as to new technologies
ever did) of relying on inertia and habit to carry them and products. But the sources of innovation are
through the currents of global integration. They not well understood and financial markets are
must respond – often in real time – to powerful often unprepared to reward long-term innovation
forces that cut not just across national borders, but strategies as opposed to short-term gain. This
across cultures, markets and technologies. position requires leaders to experiment boldly with
incentives and work life arrangements.
20
World Economic Forum Annual Meeting 2006
Responding to Global Challenges
21
World Economic Forum Annual Meeting 2006
Responding to Global Challenges
22
World Economic Forum Annual Meeting 2006
The Creative Imperative – Responses
Laura D. Tyson
Dean, London Business School
This year at the Annual Meeting 2006, of knowledge sharing through discussion helped
participants prioritized 11 questions during the launch new initiatives and expanded current
Big Debate. They continued to gather ones to continue addressing some of the world’s
knowledge, opinions and data during 240 most pressing issues and further will help shape
sessions, including the CEO series, and the agenda for the Forum’s regional and industry
culminated in a targeted workshop to consider events during 2006.
the priorities for the coming year. This vast array
23
World Economic Forum Annual Meeting 2006
The Creative Imperative – Responses
24
World Economic Forum Annual Meeting 2006
Acknowledgements
The World Economic Forum would like to thank its Partners for their valuable support of the World Economic Forum
Annual Meeting 2006
25
World Economic Forum Annual Meeting 2006
Contributors
Ged Davis is Managing Director, Annual Meeting Programme. Jonathan Schmidt is Director, Global
Agenda. Stephanie Janet is Associate Director, Annual Meeting Programme. Sheana Tambourgi is
Associate Director, Global Agenda.
Vidhi Tambiah is Associate Director, Business Insight, at the World Economic Forum. He worked with
Wayne Arnold, Robert Evans, Matthew May, William Montague, Alejandro Reyes and Benjamin Skinner
to produce this report.
The World Economic Forum would like to express its appreciation to the summary writers for their work
at the Annual Meeting 2006. Session summaries are available at:
www.weforum.org/annualmeeting/summaries2006
Design and Layout: Kamal Kimaoui, Associate Director, Production and Design
Photographs:
swiss-image.ch
Richard Kalvar / Magnum
28
World Economic Forum Annual Meeting 2006
The World Economic Forum is an independent
international organization committed to improving
the state of the world by engaging leaders in
partnerships to shape global, regional and
industry agendas.