Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Decision making
Alternatives Solution
Problem Solving
Concept
Planning
Organizing
Leading
Controlling
Decision
Situation
Anthony
Concept
Row Data Processing
For
Information
Decision-Making
H
M
L
1. 2.
5. 6.
3.
7.
4.
8.
1
PDF "pdfFactory"
www.pdffactory.com
04
Concept
H
Non-programming
Programming
NOTE1
NOTE2 CEO V.S. Executive Group
1.
12
3
2.
1
2
3
4 Dispersion of Responsibility
5
NOTE1 (Groupthink; Janis)
(Group Norms)
Social Pressure (Opinion Leader)
Conformity
NOTE2 Devils Advocate
3.
1 Brainstorming; Alex Osborn
Creativity of group
04
4 Free Rider
04
Concept Decision Making Problem Solving
Identify Problem
Identify Criteria
Allocate Weight
Develop Alternative
Evaluating Decision
Effectiveness
Implementing
Alternative
Selecting
Alternative
Analyzing Alternative
Rational Decision making
Max. (Utility)
U=f(x,y)
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
Criteria
Weight
Problem
Selecting
Alternative
Analyzing
Optimal Solution
Satisfying Solution
04
1.
2.
3.
4.
8.
7.
6.
5.
Dynamic Process
Organizational Model
Political Model
Negotiations Coalition
ConceptIdea Assumption
04
Facts
Inferences
Experience
Intuition
OR
Break even Point
TR;TC;R
TR
TC
TR=TC
Break even
P.Q=FC=VC.Q
Q*=FC/P-VC
FC
BEP Q*
Game Theory
1.Conflict Competition
2.
1 Zero-sum Game
Fixed Pie
2 Non-zero Game
3.
1
2
4.
1
2
3
4
CASE
PDF "pdfFactory"
www.pdffactory.com
04
Network Analysis
Program Evaluation Review Technique PERT& Critical Path Method CPM
1.
2.
E 17
F2
A5
B4
C3
H2
G3
D5
J1
I4
22
16
4 Critical PathPath1
Slack Time
a + 4b + c
6
a
b
c
Simulation
Monte Carlo Technique
Manipulate
Queuing Line
Linear Programming; LP
PDF "pdfFactory"
www.pdffactory.com
04
1.
2.
3.
4.
Robbins
1.
2.Magic 7
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.Sunk Cost
8. Escalation of Commitment
Concept
04
Certainty
1.
EXInventory Control
2.OR
Risk
1.
80%
20%
+800
-500
640
-100
540
60%
40%
+1000
-800
600
-320
280
2. Decision Tree
Uncertainty
1.
2. Payoff Matrix
A1
A2
A3
S1
5,000
3,000
1,000
S2
200,000
150,000
100,000
-20,000
20,000
60,000
A1
A2
A3
5,000
3,000
1,000
S1
S2
200,000
150,000
100,000
-20,000
20,000
60,000
9
PDF "pdfFactory"
www.pdffactory.com
A1
Maximax
04
2 Pessimism Criterion
A1
A2
A3
S1
S2
200,000
150,000
100,000
-20,000
20,000
60,000
5,000
3,000
1,000
A3
Maximin
A1=(200,000*0.5)+(-20,000*0.5)=90,000
A2=80,000
A3=80,000
A1 0.5
4 Realism Criterion Hurwitz Criterion
1-
0.7 1-0.3
A1=(200,000+0.7)+(-20,000)*0.3=134,000
A2=111,000
A3=88,000
A1
5 Opportunity Criterion
Pay off Matrix Opportunity Loss Table
A1
A2
A3
S1
S2
0
50,000
100,000
80,000
40,000
0
80,000
50,000
100,000
A2
Minimax
10
04
1. ,[the S][(+of)]2. (
)[C]3. ()[U]
1. 2. ; 3.
Alternative
n.
Dispersion
n.
Conformity
n.
Advocate
n.
1. ;[(+to/with)]
2. ;;[(+to/with)]
1. ;[(+of)]2. ;
Criteria
n.
(criterion )
Coalition
n.
Inferences
n.
Intuition
n.
Queue
vi.
1. ,[U]
2. ()[C]
1. ,[U]
2. ;()[C]
1. (),[U]2. ;
[C][+that]3. [U]
;
Escalation
n.
;[U][C]
Heuristic
n.
Optimism
n.
;[U]
Criterion
n.
(),,
Pessimism
n.
1. , 2. ,
11