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SIL Assessment & SIS design for non Functional Safety1 Experts
Revision : 0 April 2004 Author: Jan Wiegerinck

Functional Safety is the safety to be achieved by IPFs.

SIL Assessment & SIS design for non-functional safety experts

Shell Global Solutions

What everybody1 should know about IPF


Presenter:
Author: Jan Wiegerinck - Shell Global Solutions Int.

1)

Especially Process engineers and Operation superintendents

The title was intended to be IPF for Dummies. However . For Dummies is a registered trademark of Wiley Publishing Ltd, the well known U.S. publishing company. Therefore we could not use that title. This presentation and hand-outs are intended for process engineers, operational personnel and others that are involved in the process of IPF Classification and testing. It is made for those who need to know the basics and essentials of IPF classification without having to know all details, ifs and buts. This presentation aims to provide appreciation of the IPF method (e.g. why an IPF study needs to be done) as well as buy-into the conclusions and resulting IPF design and test effort. IPF means: Instrumented Protective Function, ie a protective function that is realised by instruments. So a Relief Valve (RV) is not an IPF, nor is a non-return valve (NRV). One could apply risk based design and maintenance techniques also to RVs and NRV. These methods however are still under development.

2004 Shell Global Solutions International BV

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SIL Assessment & SIS design for non-functional safety experts

All about Risk


Instrument Protective Functions (IPF) are used to reduce risk If there is no process risk, there is no need for an IPF. If the risk is high, the risk need to be reduced a lot, if small, the risk is only to be reduced a little. The IPFClass or Safety Integrity Level (SIL) is a measure for the amount of risk reduction required.

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IPFs are all about risks. IPFs are intended to reduce the risk using instrumentation. IEC 61511- the relevant international standard, refers to the risk reduction achieved by instrumentation as functional safety. IPF methodology is intended to allow the design and maintenance of tripsystems to be based on the risk to be reduced. The higher the risk, the more effort we have to do to keep the remaining risk acceptable. E.g. if a certain process hazard may occur every 10 year (e.g. the failure of a control loop in the dangerous direction) and the consequences are that a large compressor is exposed to liquid carry over from the inlet scrubber, we can assess the risk. E.g. if it happens we have to repair the compressor and the resulting cost of repair and lost revenue from downtime is 5 million $, we can estimate the risk at 500K$ per year. This is not acceptable and needs to be reduced. By installing a high level switch that trips the compressor, we can avoid the consequences (the hazardous event). This IPF should reduce the risk from 500K$ to say 5K$ per year. The IPF in the above example reduces the risk by a factor of at least 100. Instead of referring to the risk reduction to be achieved, we refer to the SIL as per IEC 61511

2004 Shell Global Solutions International BV

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SIL Assessment & SIS design for non-functional safety experts

What is Risk?

Risk is the likelihood of an event times the severity of the consequences. The likelihood is expressed as a frequency (e.g. 0.2 times per year) In Shell the severity of consequences are expressed in terms of consequences to people, environment and the business ($). For IPFs the risks are assessed for each hazardous event to be protected against. E.g. burner flame-out leads to furnace explosion. Flame out happens about once per 5 years, consequence will be 5M$ + possible casualties.
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Because an IPF is intended to reduce the risk , we first have to assess the risk to be reduced. What is risk? Risk in the process industry is commonly expressed as the frequency at which the problem may occur multiplies by the severity of the consequences if it is not stopped by any protective measure. The severity of the consequences is expressed as the consequences to people, environment and assets (repair costs and production losses). In the IPF method, only the risk is assessed that is associated with the specific hazardous situation that the IPF is protecting against. So the hazardous situations are taken one by one. The totalised risk of operating an LNG plant is not calculated. Where such total remaining risk is a concern, other techniques are applied (e.g. QRA). Only where the cumulative risk may be reduced by very obvious measures the IPF methodology recognises the situation and improves the trip system design, This is the so called adding rule which is not discussed in this presentation.

2004 Shell Global Solutions International BV

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SIL Assessment & SIS design for non-functional safety experts

What is Risk? (2)

Risk can be mapped on a graph


Increasing risk
Lines of equal risk

Likelihood

Severity of consequences

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As discussed, risk is expressed as the product of frequency of occurrence (the likelihood expressed as a frequency) and the severity of consequences. We can make a graph with the 2 parameters as axis and draw lines of equal product = lines with equal risk. Risk increases from the lower left corner to the upper right corner of the graph. One could now try to assess the risk by plotting the likelihood and the severity of consequences and establish the risk as a dot (the intersection) on the graph. However assessing the risk accurately is very difficult.

2004 Shell Global Solutions International BV

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SIL Assessment & SIS design for non-functional safety experts

Semi-quantified Risk assessment


Risk can be semi-quantified in a matrix This is handy because likelihood and consequence severity are difficult/impossible to assess accurately.
High Risk Likelihood Low Risk Consequence
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It would be much easier if we only needed to assess in which category the likelihood and consequence severity falls. E.g. I do not know the likelihood but it is between once per year and once per 10 years. I do not know about the consequences but I do know that it is between 1 and 10 M$. By doing so I can relative quickly assess the risk category (e.g. High or medium high). This technique is the basis for the Shell Hazards and Effect Management Process (HEMP) matrix that is also used by all Shell OUs.

2004 Shell Global Solutions International BV

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SIL Assessment & SIS design for non-functional safety experts

Risk reduction
Preventive and Mitigating IPF effects Base Risk = Demand rate x consequence = DR x CQ1 End Risk = DR x PFDtarget x CQ1 End Risk = DR x PFDtarget x CQ2 Likelihood Mitigating IPF (F&G) High Risk

Low Risk CQ2 CQ1 Consequence


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Preventative (normal IPF)

As discussed, an IPF is intended to reduce risk, but we need to know how and how much. Normal IPFs prevent the hazardous situation to develop into an event with undesired consequences. Sometimes, the IPF may fail such that the undesired consequences occur after all. However the frequency at which these events occur are reduced dramatically. So normal IPFs move the risk downwards on the risk matrix. Some IPFs cannot reduce the frequency of occurrence of the event. E.g. a fire detector cannot reduce the frequency at which the fire occurs. However it can reduce the severity of consequences by e.g. initiating a sprinkler system.

2004 Shell Global Solutions International BV

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SIL Assessment & SIS design for non-functional safety experts

Tolerable and Acceptable risks


risk SIL at least required to make the risk tolerable; the minimum solution, e.g. SIL 1

intolerable

tolerable

SIL required to make the risk more tolerable; an intermediate solution, e.g.SIL 2

SIL required to make the risk acceptable; the normal solution (if ALARP), e.g. SIL 3 broadly acceptable

IPF classification aims to reduce the risk to broadly acceptable


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According the Shell group HEMP risks should be reduced to a level where the are either as low as reasonably practicably (ALARP) or so low that there is no longer a need to demonstrate that the risk is ALARP. However in all cases we should strive towards further risk (especially personal and environmental risk) reduction as soon as suitable techniques become available and the society acceptance of risks change. Some risks are so high that HEMP classifies them as intollerable. No matter what it takes, we have to do something about it. In the ALARP region we would need to demonstrate that either the risk can be reduced further (e.g. with IPFs) or that the efforts (and money) required to reduce the risk further would be disproportioned compared to the risk reduction gained. If that is the case the risk is ALARP. E.g. if a risk is $50,000 per year and further reduction would also take $50,000 per year, the risk does not need to be reduced further and is ALARP. Normally IPFs are not that expensive and using the normal IPF risk graph (see slide 12 14) will result in a remaining risk level that Shell considers broadly acceptable, I.e. there is no need to demonstrate ALARP. Only in cases where IPF testing needs to be waived, ALARP considerations may be used to justify a waiver.

2004 Shell Global Solutions International BV

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SIL Assessment & SIS design for non-functional safety experts

SIL Classes
IPF Class SIL I II III IV V VI N/A a1 a2 1 2 3 3 4 PFD No requirements No requirements < 0.1 <0.01 <0.001 <0.001 <0.0001 Risk Reduction No minimum No minimum >10 >100 >1000 >1000 >10000
Typical Implementation (alarm only) (DCS action) Trip separate from DCS Trip separate from DCS Redundant trip separate from DCS Redundant/diverse trip separate from DCS Dual Redundant trip separate from DCS
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As discussed IPF Classes are used as categories of IPFs that achieve a certain risk reduction. Below IPF Class III (PFD < 0.1) there are no requirements with regards to the risk reduction to be achieved however there may still be a requirement/opportunity to reduce the risk further by having an alarm or an automated DCS action. For SIL 4 IPFs there is no equivalent IPFClass. Indeed a risk reduction better than 10,000 is very difficult to achieve and seeking alternative risk reducing measures is often a better option. A High Integrity Pressure Protection System (HIPPS) is the only practical example of SIL 4 IPFs known. E.g. PDOs Main Oil Line has a few.

2004 Shell Global Solutions International BV

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SIL Assessment & SIS design for non-functional safety experts

Risk Reduction with IPF/SIFs


Broadly acceptable risks Tollerable risk Intollerable risks

Initial risk

Likelihood (y-1)

1 1-1 1-2
Consequence

High Risk Risk Reduction of a factor >100 => SIL 2

Low Risk

Remaining Risk

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When the initial risk has been mapped on the risk graph/matrix, and the areas of tolerable and acceptable risks are known, one can determine how much risk reduction is needed. In the example above, the risk reduction required is 100 to get into the broadly acceptable risk. This kind of considerations form the basis of the calibration of a risk matrix that yields the required SIL directly.

2004 Shell Global Solutions International BV

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SIL Assessment & SIS design for non-functional safety experts

A Risk Assessment Matrix (RAM; example only)


Broadly acceptable risks Tollerable risk Intollerable risks

The required SIL (to make the risk broadly acceptable) can directly be entered in the cell that represents the initial risk. 2 1 a a 3 2 1 a 4 3 2 1 High Risk

Likelihood (y-1)

1 10-1 10-2

1 a a -

Low Risk

Consequence
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As seen in the previous slide, each cell of the risk matrix requires a certain risk reduction to achieve broadly acceptable risks. So we can immediately put the required SIL in each cell such that after the implementation of the IPF the risk becomes broadly acceptable. This has been done in the risk graph above. Please note that the above example is just an example and should not be used for any risk or IPF study!

2004 Shell Global Solutions International BV

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SIL Assessment & SIS design for non-functional safety experts

RAM calibration

For every RAM, the calibration is extremely important as it embeds acceptable remaining risk criteria Assumptions and guidelines for use are critical e.g.:

Average consequences or potential consequences? Credit for post top event mitigation layers built in or not? (RRM RAM does include, SOPUS and SIC RAM does not) How to assess likelihood? Include which non-IPF protection layers? Etc.

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For those of you with special interest in risk assessment and differences in graphs used in and outside Shell: For those of you that might have been exposed to different risk graphs and matrices, please note that the road to a calibrated risk matrix is full with pitfalls and assumptions that should be clarified and enforced when it is used. E.g. some matrices (like the RRM-IPF RAM and the 1996 IPF DEP risk graph) assume potential credible consequences where others assume avarage consequences. The RRM-IPF RAM as well as the 1996 IPF DEP risk graph take credit for other post top event (see slide 16) mitigation layers such that the user does not need to specifically take them into account. This makes the matrix/graph easy to use but create seemingly high remaining risks, especially for personnel safety. E.g. if an hazardous situation occurs every 10 years and a casualty may result, both the RRM-IPF RAM and the 1996 IPF DEP risk graph require an IPFClass IV / SIL 2 (risk reduction of 100). This means that the casualty is now experienced once per 1000 years. This is too much as per common corporate acceptable risk criteria (less than once per 10,000 years per hazardous situation). However if the embedded credit for other post top event (see slide 16) mitigation layers is taken into account, the remaining risk becomes better than once per 10,000 years. Further discussion of this subject would be way beyond the scope of this hand-out!

2004 Shell Global Solutions International BV

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SIL Assessment & SIS design for non-functional safety experts

Risk Reduction- the effect of over/under engineering


Risk
SIFpro optimizes the design into this area

LOPA

ALARP
Over-engineering

Under-engineering

Trip system complexity

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Every advantage has its disadvantage 2 also apply to installing SIFs in a process plant. By installing a SIF a new situation is created that may create new hazardous situations. If the instruments fail spuriously economic losses are incurred and the event often results in flaring (environmental consequences). So the risks associated with the original hazardous situations are reduced and new ones created such that at some stage the total risks again increase. At this point the plant becomes over engineered. Therefore, to arrive at a fit for purpose SIS, also the risks associated with spurious trips (safe failures of instruments) need to be studied. Tools such as Layer of Protection analysis (LOPA) and ALARP evaluation help to prevent over and under engineering. LOPA helps to estimate the unmitigated event frequency (the hazardous event frequency if the SIF were not realised) more accurately. An ALARP evaluation also considers the new risk created by the various SIF designs planned. Therefore SIFpro includes both tools to help to arrive at a design that is fit for purpose.

Johan Cruyff

2004 Shell Global Solutions International BV

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SIL Assessment & SIS design for non-functional safety experts

Fundamentals of IEC 61508 / 61511


Know your hazardous situations Evaluate the acceptability of the risks of those hazardous situations. Classify the required Safety Integrity of the protective measures (establish the Safety Integrity Level, SIL) Implementation and testing to be based on SIL Implement and maintain a Safety Management System Documentation Auditing (assessment and verification) Procedures & Planning Control of Human Factors
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The Fundamentals of Safety are at the heart of the IEC 61508 and 61511. It concentrates on:When designing and planning your process, you have to evaluate all your potential hazards. This may be done using HAZOP or any other method that arrives at a similar result. Of each hazard, one should establish if the hazard is acceptable without additional measures or if safeguards maybe required. These maybe procedural, changes in the design, mechanical (RVs etc..) or by instruments. For instruments, you have to classify the safety functions into safety integrity levels (SIL) that essential give a measure of the degree of risk reduction these functions should offer. This risk reduction is expressed as probability of failure on demand. Of course the instruments should be able to bring the process to a safe state! Following the establishing of the SIL, one should design and maintain the instruments to ensure that the requirements of the SIL are met. Moreover these design, construction, testing, commissioning and maintenance activities shall be planned and auditable (documentation).

2004 Shell Global Solutions International BV

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SIL Assessment & SIS design for non-functional safety experts

Process under control Process deviation or disturbance Process out of control

Chain of events

Demand scenario

Hazardous situation

Design intent: prevent <released hazard>

IPF

Released Hazard

Consequences of failure on demand

Hazardous event

Consequences

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Considering a situation where the process is perfectly under control up to a situation that a hazardous event has taken place with serious consequences, the stages as depicted above can be distinguished. Obviously, the intention of all kinds of safeguarding measures is to prevent or mitigate the impact and consequences of a hazardous event. Of essential importance is that these safeguarding measures indeed realize their goal and altogether lead to an acceptable safe operating process installation. Therefore, these safeguarding measures need to function properly and need to be reliable enough. Adequate definition of safeguarding measures can only be achieved if a full understanding of their design-intent is known. An Instrumented Protective Function (IPF) is defined as a function implemented by means of instruments, and intended to achieve or maintain a safe state for the process or mitigate consequences, in respect of a specific hazardous event. The slide above also illustrates the terms demand scenario, design intent and Consequences of Failure on Demand.

2004 Shell Global Solutions International BV

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SIL Assessment & SIS design for non-functional safety experts

Layers of Protection (the onion model)

Mitigative IPFs Alarms Preventive IPFs the bowtie threats

barriers (independant)

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The risk of a scenario is reduced by applying multiple, diverse safeguarding layers. This has often been referred to as the onion model (Guidelines for Safe Automation of Chemical Processes, CCPS 1993). We have often illustrated the same principle by the bow-tie. At the left hand of the bow-tie the protection layers are shown that reduce the frequency of the top event (e.g. loss of containment). Because the likelihood decreases after each protection layer, the height of the triangle reduces. At the right hand side the top event, the protection layers are shown that try to mitigate (reduce) the extend of the consequences. However each time a mitigative layer fails, the severity of the consequences increase, hence the height of the triangle increases. IPFs form part of the overall protection system and when doing an IPF study, the presence and effectiveness of the other layers is taken into account when establishing the SIL.

2004 Shell Global Solutions International BV

consequences

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SIL Assessment & SIS design for non-functional safety experts

IPF: Criticality analysis RAM


Demand rate (how often is the IPF/SIF required; what is the frequency of the hazard situation to be protected against) Criticality

Consequences of failure on demand (of the hazard)


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This is the RAM used in SIFpro. Either by direct selection or by doing a LOPA analysis the unmitigated event frequency is established. The unmitigated event frequency is often referred to as the demand rate although this term is essentially misleading. The risk to be reduced by the SIF is also depending on other protection layers that would act in case the SIF fails on demand I.e. act after the SIF had its chance (e.g. a non return valve as part of a backflow protection system). This means that the frequency at which the hazardous event will occur (e.g. actual backflow) does not necessarily occur at the same frequency bat which the SIF is demanded to work. Next consequence severity is established depending on the consequence category, different questionnaires are available to help assessing the severity. The highest consequence severity and the demand rate establish the initial risk or criticaliy. SIFpro allows the RAM to be calibrated and therefore rates the initial risk (using letters like L,M,H, etc.) and the SIL is mapped against each cell in the RAM.

2004 Shell Global Solutions International BV

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SIL Assessment & SIS design for non-functional safety experts

Design of an IPF

The SIL is a measure of the risk reduction expected to be delivered by the IPF. Two requirements for each IPF:1. 2.

The IPF shall meet the required degree of fault tolerance The IPF shall meet the required PFD

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In order to comply with IEC 61508 and IEC 61511 the IPF methodology requires the design of an IPF to comply with both the following requirements: The deterministic requirements (minimum degree of fault tolerance). E.g. for an SIL 3, at least a 1oo2 voting architecture is required. Detailed rules etc. would be too much detail for this slide pack. This rule is intended to protect the designer against over optimistic probabilistic assumptions in cases of high risks (lies, damned lies and statistics) The probabilistic requirements (meet the maximum PFD of the SIL; see slide 8). E.g. for an SIL 3 the overall PFD should be better that 1E-3. See next slides for further details. Additionally the designer of the trip system shall ensure that:The IPF meets the performance requirements (response time, TSO, accuracy) The documentation etc. is in order.

2004 Shell Global Solutions International BV

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SIL Assessment & SIS design for non-functional safety experts

Meeting the PFD


PFDIPF = PFDinitiator + PFDlog ic __solver + PFD final __element IPF initiator log ic solver final element
If the same PFD is assigned to sensor and final element, the target PFD of the sensor or the final elements is calculated as follows:

PFDttarg et = PFD arg et =

(PFD PFD

SIL SIL

PFDlog ic __solver ) PFDlog ic solver 2 2

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The following slides aim to introduce the statistical calculations that should demonstrate that the probabilistic requirements for the SIL have been met. In general the PFD of the IPF is the sum of the PFD of all independent components like the initiators (the sensors), the logic solver (e.g. the safety PLC) and the final elements (the valves, etc.). Invariable the field devices (sensors and final elements) are the weakest part of the IPF. Many IPFs share initiators and final elements. If the test effort (see next slides) is optimised for one IPF, it will influence other IPFs as well. Optimising all test efforts of all components of the tripsystem is quite a calculations task! To simplify calculations, the PFD budget of an initiator or final element is often established by subtracting the PFD of the logic solver from the available PFD of the complete IPF and divide the remainder equally between the initiator and the final element. This is the approach taken by the RRM-IPF software. SIFpro on the other hand optimises the whole function and takes the complete available PFD into account to optimise initiator and final element testing.

2004 Shell Global Solutions International BV

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SIL Assessment & SIS design for non-functional safety experts

Instruments do fail sometimes!


frequency of failure (y -1)

Early life failures (infant mortality) Late life failures (ageing) Combined (the bath tub curve) time

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The calculation of the likelihood of failure of a safety related (IPF) instrument at the moment it is demanded to act (the probability of failure on demand or PFD) is based on the assumption that the failure behaviour of instruments is generally random. This assumption is illustrated above and on the next slide. Instruments are initially exposed to early life failures as caused by manufacturing defects, application and commissioning problems. The likelihood or frequency of occurrence decreases rapidly over time. (the green curve). On the other hand instruments, they are subjected to ageing as well as caused by corrosion, erosion, fatigue, effects of possible stressful environment (UV, RFI etc.), etc.. The effects of these age related failures tend to rise slowly over time until wearout sets in and the likelihood rises rapidly. This is shown with the red curve. E.g. for ESD valves used in refineries, statistics from Exxon suggest that this effect sets in after 10 years or so. The combination of both is the famous bath tube curve (from its shape) in blue.

2004 Shell Global Solutions International BV

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SIL Assessment & SIS design for non-functional safety experts

Instruments fail randomly..


frequency of failure (y -1) Failure rate is regarded constant Failure rate is regarded constant and random during mission time and random during mission time (e.g. du = 4E-2 per year) (e.g. du = 4E-2 per year)

Testing & commissioning

Mission time

time Replacement/ overhaul


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During the initial phase of the life of an instrument, it is not really used for its safety mission yet. The purpose of testing and commissioning is to find systematic (wiring, configuration, integration etc. problems) and early life failures. After commissioning the instrument is really used but before old age is taking its toll, it is either replaced or overhauled to re-instate the as new condition. In the mission time, the failure rate (the frequency at which a failure occurs) remains practically constant. The failure rate could be e.g. be 2E-2 per year. Obviously an instrument cannot fail for 2%. It fails or it doesnt. A failure rate of 2E-2 should be interpreted as 2 out of 100 instruments failure in one year. Which instrument and when in the year is taken as random.

2004 Shell Global Solutions International BV

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SIL Assessment & SIS design for non-functional safety experts

Probability of failure

Imagine a bucket with 95 black and 5 red balls Every year I take one ball and put it back if it is black. If it is red I keep it and stop sampling. A red ball indicates that the instrument failed dangerously but I do not know (unrevealed). What is the chance that I have a red ball after 1 year? (5%) What is the chance that I have a red ball after 2 years? (0.05+0.05*0.95=9.75%). Etc. The chance of having a red ball increases over time until it is 100%.
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The probability of failure on demand is the probability that I will find an instrument failed at the moment it is actually required to work properly as caused by a demand on the IPF. So we can compare it with an experiment with red and black balls in a bucket. The bucket contains 100 balls of which 5 are red. Each year I take one ball (blind folded) and check the colour. If it is black there is no failure and I put it back. If it is red, it symbolises a failed instrument. Once the instrument failed, it cannot really fail again and therefore I stop taking samples once the red ball is taken. After one year, I check the colour of the ball. What is the chance that it is red? 5% of course. What is the chance after 2 years that it is red? This is the probability that it is red after 1 year + the probability that I take a red ball the next year. For the 2nd year the chance is equal to the probability that it was black the 1st year (95%) times the chance that it is red the 2nd year (5%). If this experiment is done during many many years, the probability that there is a red ball becomes 100%. The probability over the years is shown in the next slide.

2004 Shell Global Solutions International BV

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SIL Assessment & SIS design for non-functional safety experts

Probability of failure as function of time


0.9

First few 0.8 PFDt is about linear: First fewyears PFDt is about linear: years PFDt ~ d **t t PFDt ~ 0.7
d

0.6 PFDt 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 0 10 20 Years 30 40 PFDt

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The first few years, the probability of failure on demand (PFD) rises almost linear with time. This is shown as the purple line on the slide above.

2004 Shell Global Solutions International BV

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SIL Assessment & SIS design for non-functional safety experts

IPF testing

Imagine After a while I check if I have a red ball. If I do, I put it back and start over again. In other words I check if the instrument failed dangerously and unrevealed. If it did, I will repair. The PFDt is now reset to zero after the test because:

I am sure it did not fail yet (PFD = zero) I repair if failed (PFD is zero again after the repair)

Suppose I test every 2 years

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Testing has the effect of putting the red ball back into the bucket if I verify if I have one or not. Suppose I test every 2 years if there is a red ball and I put it back if I have one.

2004 Shell Global Solutions International BV

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SIL Assessment & SIS design for non-functional safety experts

PFD as function of time with testing


0.12 0.1 0.08 PFDt 0.06 0.04 0.02 0 0 5 10 ye ar 15 20 25

Because a demand may occur any time we are Because a demand may occur any time we are interested in the average risk reduction, i.e. the PFDavg interested in the average risk reduction, i.e. the PFDavg

PFDavg PFDavg

PFDt

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The PFD over time is now reset to zero every 2 years. Because for real IPFs, the demand may come at any time, we are interested in the average PFD throughout the life of the IPF. This is the time average PFD or PFDavg.

2004 Shell Global Solutions International BV

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SIL Assessment & SIS design for non-functional safety experts

PFDavg of an instrument

As can be seen PFDavg ~ du T Where:


du is the random dangerous unrevealed failure rate T is the test interval.

This assumes perfect testing and no unavailability during test, no unavailability due to repairs etc. If test is not perfect there is a remnant PFD

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From the previous slide one can see that the PFDavg is about T Another way of imaging the effect of testing is the following: The instrument may fail at any moment. Some failures are noticed immediately because the plant trips, some are noticed because of diagnostics, some are not dangerous (e.g. instrument drift upwards for a h trip will cause the instrument to cause a trip too early), some are dangerous and will not be noticed. In IPF terminology these failures are called unrevealed dangerous. An unrevealed dangerous fault may occur any time in between tests. On average it would be half-way the test interval if it occurs at all. So the fraction of time the instrument failed dangerous and unrevealed is the frequency of failure X half the test interval. The fraction of time the instrument failed dangerous and unrevealed is also the probability that I will find it failed when there is a demand because the demand may occur at any time. So PFDavg = T

2004 Shell Global Solutions International BV

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SIL Assessment & SIS design for non-functional safety experts

PFD as function of time with imperfect testing


0.16 0.14 0.12 PFDt 0.1 0.08 0.06 0.04 0.02 0 0 5 10 ye ar 15 20 25 PFDt testable

PFDavg PFDavg

PFDt untestable PFDt

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If the test is not perfect (e.g. the probability that a dangerous fault, if it is there, will be found by the test, is not 100%), there is a remaining probability that there is a dangerous unrevealed failure left after the test. Every time the test is carried out, there is an aspect of the instrument that is not looked at by the test. The probability that this part of the instrument develops a dangerous problem increases of time. This is the purple line. The resulting overall PFDt rises over time and hence the PFDavg is higher as compared to the situation with perfect testing. This implies that the test coverage (how good is the test?) has an effect on the PFDavg.

2004 Shell Global Solutions International BV

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SIL Assessment & SIS design for non-functional safety experts

Factors that affect the PFDavg


Dangerous failure rate Diagnostic coverage (turning dangerous failures into detected dangerous failures) Test interval Test coverage (how good is the test) Test duration (if the device is tested on line and not available during test) Overall failure rate (revealed + unrevealed) in combination with .. Repair time (if the device is repaired on line and not available during repair)
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The above slide summaries the parameters that affect the PFDavg of an instrument. The list is self explanatory. Obviously diagnostics are very powerful because a dangerous failure that would otherwise be left unnoticed until the next test, will be detected and alarmed. Repairs are initiated immediately resulting in a much improved fractional dead time. The fraction of the time that the instrument has a dangerous failure is much reduced because we do not wait until a next test is carried out. MVC is widely used in Shell to do exactly that.

2004 Shell Global Solutions International BV

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SIL Assessment & SIS design for non-functional safety experts

What if PFD is not achieved..

Add unrevealed failure robustness


1oo2 voting: PFDavg ~ 1/3 du2 T2 2oo3 voting: PFDavg ~ du2 T2 Diagnostics reveal dangerous failures that would otherwise keep lurking in the dark until tested: du = d * DCF Diagnostic coverage factor (DCF): the higher the better Buy instruments and hook-ups with low failure rates Do PMs such that age related failures do not hurt (where applicable). Shell Global Solutions

Add/improve diagnostics

Improve du

If the instrument is used in redundant configurations, the overall PFD is different. Some simplified formulae are given above. If instruments (like valves) are used in severe service such that they are exposed to accelerated wear and tear, the age related failures will occur much earlier and the instrument no longer behaves with random failures. These age related failure modes (e.g. valves getting stuck because of excessive fouling) should be taken out of the equation by having PM tasks that prevent the failure mode to occur (e.g. clean out or move to valve regularly to prevent getting stuck). The remaining failure modes behave randomly again.

2004 Shell Global Solutions International BV

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SIL Assessment & SIS design for non-functional safety experts

Learning's(1)

IPF testing effectively reduces the time a dangerous undetected failure remains lurking in the dark: reduces PFD, reduces risk. IPF testing is dictated by the risk reduction (= PFDavg) to be achieved. (PFDavg ~ du T) Required risk reduction is dictated by the initial risk.

Shell Global Solutions

No additional notes. See relevant slides for explanation.

2004 Shell Global Solutions International BV

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SIL Assessment & SIS design for non-functional safety experts

Learning's(2)

Unrevealed Failure Robustness dramatically improves PFDavg Diagnostics dramatically reduces manual testing efforts. MVC is an effective way to diagnose transmitters Reducing the test interval by a factor 2 reduces the PFDavg by a factor 2 and thus increases the remaining risk with a factor 2. The initiator(s), logic solver and the final element(s) should all successfully work to avert the hazardous event. Hence:

PFDIPF = PFDinitiator + PFDlog ic __solver + PFD final __element IPF initiator log ic solver final element
Shell Global Solutions

No additional notes. See relevant slides for explanation.

2004 Shell Global Solutions International BV

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SIL Assessment & SIS design for non-functional safety experts

Quiz

What is risk? What are the Shell risk criteria? What is safety? Do we need an IPF if the initial risk is acceptable? What happens to a risk if an IPF is installed as classified using the corporate risk graph? What happens to the risk if tests are postponed or waived? Why does testing reduce the PFDavg? How can I improve the PFDavg of an instrument without testing more?
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What is risk? For the process industry (IEC 61511) it is defined as the product of the event frequency and severity of consequence. Unit is consequence per time (e.g. 0.1 casualty per year) What are the Shell risk criteria? Discussion.. What is safety? The absence of unacceptable risk (Class discussion..not discussed in this slide pack!). Do we need an IPF if the initial risk is acceptable? No. What happens to a risk if an IPF is installed as classified using the corporate risk graph? It becomes broadly acceptable. What happens to the risk if IPF tests are postponed or waived? The risk increases and will likely become tolerable. ALARP should be demonstrated (acc HEMP). It is not expected that the risk becomes intolerable because that would require the test interval to increase with more than a factor 10 (inferred from the HEMP). Why does testing reduce the PFDavg? Because it reduces the time an undetected dangerous failure may be present, I.e. it reduced the fractional dead time, the fraction of time the device is not available to carry out its safety mission. How can I improve the PFDavg of an instrument without testing more? Add unrevealed failure robustness, Improve diagnostics or improve the dangerous failure rate.

2004 Shell Global Solutions International BV

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SIL Assessment & SIS design for non-functional safety experts Contact details:

Shell Global Solutions


Jan A.M. Wiegerinck Senior consultant instrumentation & plant automation. E-mail: Jan.Wiegerinck@shell.com Tel: +31 70 3772083 Fax: +31 70 3771950

2004 Shell Global Solutions International BV

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