Risk Society, Uncertainty, and Democratising Science - futures for STS

STS
Prof. Brian Wynne

STS STS

STS 1970

John Major Tony Blair

democratic accountability

back-end consequences-end

front-end

STS

STS STS STS

comparative national
studies1
internationalizednation-state

STS
1

 STS

social theory of modernization

Ulrich Beck
Beck
Anthony Giddens
global relevance

risk society

accountable

STS

email

Beck Beck
Risk Society2 20 1980

Karl Marx

fundamental axiom principles

mercantile capitalindustrial capital
Beck

distributions of goods

distribution of bads
badsgoods

new qualities of risks

causal actant

1986 Risikogesellschaft1992 Sage


Beck

fundamentally new and qualitatively new forms of

risks
5-1

dynamics

inescapable and pervasive

18 19

Beck
irreversible

Beck

Beck incalculability
uninsurable
socially containable

man-madehuman-made
man-made

(immeasurable)
public trust

Beck

political legitimation

reflexive process Beck

NGO
citizens
groups

NGO
representative status

STS

Beck reflexive modernization of

politicspolitics

Beck

density Beck
non-knowledge
Beck

time scale

Beck

non-knowledge

uncertainty
STS
4
1950-60
(anti-ballistic missile)

deterministicconsequence
effectivenessoption

1960-70
probabilistic approach
probabilistic logics

Non-determinism

5-3
50

1980 90

ignorance
Beck non-knowledge knowledge

5
Jerry Ravetz Michael
Smithson6
7
5-45-5

uncertainty

non-deterministic

ignorance
Beck non-knowledge

GMO

50 Thalidomide

http://website.lineone.net/~jerry_ravetz/pages/contents.html#
http://www.anu.edu.au/psychology/staff/mike/Index_old.html
7
2001 Managing and Communicating
Scientific Uncertainty in Public Policy
6

known uncertainty

5 1.5

non-deterministic

5-5

risk uncertainty ignorance

indeterminacy indeterminacy
non-determinate

indeterminacy

laboratory testing

indeterminacy
OECDEU


indeterminacy indeterminacy
complexity

disagreement

ambiguity

exercised
GM

GM
GM
GM

terminated technology8

institutional behavior

fertility GM

ambiguity

conflict

scientifically ignorant

scientifically illiterate
public
conflict

AEBC9 Robin Grove-White10 ACRE11 Allen Gray

5-612
ACRE

known uncertainty

Beck

human predicament

Agricultural, Environment, and Biotech Commission 2000

http://www.aebc.gov.uk
10
Lancaster
Institute for Environment,
Philosophy and Public PolicyIEPPP
http://domino.lancs.ac.uk/ieppp/Home.nsf/
11
Advisory Committee for Releases to the Environment GM
http://www.defra.gov.uk/environment/acre/
12
2001

GM

GMO

GMO
round-up ready soya
terminated technology round-up GM
round-up ready soyaGM Monsanto

5-7

magnitude of risks

qualities of risks
1980-90

qualitiesquantities

fuel cycle
technology in-the- round

institutional failure to control the risks

institutional
mis-framing of issue

the construction of
public

elements

5-8
life cycle
R&D

loopre-circulate

accountable inclusive
legitimate
consequences loop,
risks loop

STS

[] Session 5-6
[Grove-White, GW] GM
unknown unknowns
[Chair]
[Grove-White, GW]
Wynne

Wynne
ThalidomideCFC
[Chair]

[GW]

[Chair]