PHP-USD

60

50

40

30
PHP-USD

20

1
0

10
0

200
200
200
200
200
201
567890

200
200
200
200
200
201
567890

PHP-SYP
1.2
1.2

0.8

0.8

0.6
PHP-SYP

0.4

0.6
0.4

0.2
0

0.2
200
200
200
200
200
201
567890

0
2005
2006
2007

PHP-CNY
1.2
1
0.8
0.6
PHP-CNY

0.4
0.2
0
200
200
200
200
200
201
567890

PHP-ECS

PHP-ECS

200
201

PHP-GEL

PHP-GEL

2006
2007
2008
2009
2010

Inflation rate (consumer prices) (%)

Country
Philippines
Syria
China
Ecuador
Georgia
Colombia
Brazil
Poland
Japan
Madagascar
Indonesia
India
Brunei
Argentina
USA
Mexico
Croatia

Source:

http://www.indexmundi.com/g/g.aspx?v=71&c=rp&l=en

2000
6.8
2.3
-1.3
59.9
19
9.2
5
8.4
-0.8
9.5
2
6.7
1
-2
2.2
15
4.4

2001
5
1.5
0.4
96
4.1
9
6
10.2
-0.7
10
9
5.4
1
-0.9
3.4
9
6

2002
6
0.3
-0.8
22
5.2
7.6
7.7
2.5
-0.9
7
11.5
5.4
1
4
2.8
6.5
4

2003
3.1
0.9
-0.8
12.5
5.2
6.2
8.3
1.9
-0.9
7.4
11.9
5.4
-2
41
1.6
6.4
2.2

2004
3.1
1.5
1.2
7.9
4.8
7.1
14.7
0.7
-0.3
8
6.6
3.8
-2
13.4
2.3
4.5
1.8

2005
5.5
2.1
4.1
2
5.5
5.9
7.6
3.4
-0.1
7.5
6.1
4.2
0.3
6.1
2.5
5.4
2.5

2006
7.6
5
1.8
2.1
8.2
5
6.9
2.2
-0.3
15
10.5
4.2
0.9
9.6
3.2
4
3.3

2007
6.2
8
1.5
3.4
10
4.3
3
1.3
0.3
12
13.2
5.3
1.1
9.8
2.5
3.4
3.4

2008
2.8
12.2
4.8
2.3
9.3
5.5
3.6
2.5
0.1
10.3
6.3
6.4
0.4
8.8
2.9
4
4.5

2009
9.3
15.4
5.9
8.3
10
7
5.7
4.2
1.4
9.2
9.9
8.3
0.3
8.6
3.8
5.1
6.1

2010
3.2
2.6
-0.7
4.3
1.7
4.2
4.9
3.5
-1.4
9
4.8
10.9
2.7
7.7
-0.3
3.6
2.4

2011
3.8
5.9
5
3.3
5.7
3.1
4.9
2.6
-0.7
8.1
5.1
11.7
2.7
22
1.4
4.1
1.3

Philippine
peso
PHP
2005

US dollar
USD

1
1
1
1
1

54.977
51.1501
45.9412

2006
2007
2008

44.277
47.4437
44.9437

2009
2010

Fee/intermodal trnsportation
(USD)
800

800
800
816
816
816

900
800
700
600
500
400
300
200
100
0
1

Series1
Series2

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R
0.091567105
R Square
0.008384535
Adjusted R Square
-0.046705213
Standard Error
0.143246228
Observations
20
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

MS
0.003123019
0.020519482

F
0.152197731

Coefficients
Standard Error
t Stat
0.159786937
0.140164483 1.139995905
-0.487543302
1.249709598 -0.390125276

P-value
0.269230884
0.701021949

1
18
19

Intercept
X Variable 1

SS
0.003123019
0.369350673
0.372473692

RESIDUAL OUTPUT

PROBABILITY OUTPUT

Observation
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20

Predicted Y
0.08249687
0.119335263
0.115243332
0.087768099
0.098440122
0.09175141
0.102585863
0.111908007
0.10273852
0.104288078
0.113367503
0.115160865
0.116426899
0.097081673
0.102492964
0.107057053
0.110052604
0.103970419
0.142050567
0.106827695

Residuals
0.326533287
-0.097570263
-0.092405962
-0.055341287
-0.037445604
-0.001572288
0.062618311
-0.031986281
-0.023394359
0.1292596
0.087774053
-0.054655729
-0.040899978
0.06672425
0.006613276
-0.01518586
-0.04801796
-0.342855934
0.265245471
-0.103436745

Percentile
2.5
7.5
12.5
17.5
22.5
27.5
32.5
37.5
42.5
47.5
52.5
57.5
62.5
67.5
72.5
77.5
82.5
87.5
92.5
97.5

Significance F
0.701021949

Lower 95%
Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%
-0.134687715 0.454261589 -0.134687715 0.454261589
-3.113085736 2.137999131 -3.113085736 2.137999131

Normal Probability Plot

0.6
0.4
0.2
Series1

0
-0.2 2.5 12.5 22.5 32.5 42.5 52.5 62.5 72.5 82.5 92.5
-0.4

Sample Percentile

X Variable 1 Line Fit Plot

0.60
0.40
0.20

Y
-0.40

X Variable 1

0.04

0.10

0.12

0.09

0.10

0.12

0.12

0.13

-0.20

0.09

0.00
0.16

Y
-0.238885515
0.003390951
0.021765
0.02283737
0.032426813
0.060505137
0.060994518
0.062034644
0.075526921
0.079344161
0.079921727
0.090179123
0.091871193
0.10910624
0.163805923
0.165204173
0.201141556
0.233547678
0.407296038
0.409030157

Predicted Y

Series1

Predicted Y

% CHANGE

1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010

1.35
0.88
0.16
0.08
0.09
0.15
0.13
0.14
0.12
0.10
0.12
0.11
0.10
0.09
0.09
0.13
0.12
0.11
0.10
0.11
0.04
0.11

0.50
0.40
0.30
At current rate

243749
571883
1077237
1248011
1351559
1475042
1692932
1905951
2171922
2426743
2665060
2976904
3315776
3631474
3963872
4316402
4871555
5444039
6032835
6648245
7409371
7678917
8513037

current
GDP
-

Transportation
and Storage
current
GVA
1.61
0.60
0.41
0.02
0.02
0.03
0.06
0.09
0.17
0.08
0.08
0.23
0.20
0.06
0.08
0.16
0.11
0.09
0.06
-0.24
0.41
0.00

0.20
0.10
0.00
-0.10
-0.20
-0.30

0.50

0.40

0.30
GVA of Transport and storage

Millions
Transportation
Philippines
and Storage
current
current
GVA
GDP
1980
9857
1985 25764
1990 41151
1991 57983
1992 59245
1993 60598
1994 62563
1995 66379
1996 72365
1997 84320
1998 91059
1999 98284
2000 121238
2001 145624
2002 154435
2003 166099
2004 193307
2005 214398
2006 234095
2007 248617
2008 189226
2009 266297
2010 267200

0.20

0.10

0.00

-0.10

-0.20

-0.30

GDP vs GVA of Transport and Storage

0.50

0.18

0.40

0.16
0.14

0.30

0.12

0.20

0.10

GDP

0.08

Linear (GVA)

0.10
0.00
1

9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20

-0.10

GVA

0.06

Linear (GDP)

0.04

-0.20

0.02

-0.30

0.00

0.50

0.40

GVA of Transport and storage

0.30

0.20

0.10

y = -0.4875x + 0.1598
R = 0.0084

0.00
0.00

0.02

0.04

0.06

0.08

0.10

-0.10

-0.20

-0.30

GDP

0.12

0.14

0.16

0.18

GVA & GDP

Linear (GVA & GDP)
Linear (GVA & GDP)

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R
0.324523572
R Square
0.105315549
Adjusted R Square
0.005906165
Standard Error
0.041128576
Observations
11
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

MS
0.00179206
0.00169156

F
1.059412554

Coefficients
Standard Error
t Stat
-0.015896003
0.055063585 -0.288684497
0.5495515
0.53391957 1.029277686

P-value
0.779361542
0.330215558

1
9
10

Intercept
X Variable 1

SS
0.00179206
0.015224038
0.017016098

RESIDUAL OUTPUT

PROBABILITY OUTPUT

Observation
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11

Predicted Y
0.046661478
0.036427287
0.034405835
0.032978781
0.05478443
0.048684904
0.043540331
0.040163791
0.047019538
0.004096167
0.043798859

Residuals
0.008964064
-0.013559555
0.047218724
0.008940258
-0.005836311
-0.068603719
-0.023244455
0.016120375
-0.023633795
-0.023743155
0.077377569

Percentile
4.545454545
13.63636364
22.72727273
31.81818182
40.90909091
50
59.09090909
68.18181818
77.27272727
86.36363636
95.45454545

X Variable 1 Line Fit Plot

0.15

Normal Probability Pl
0.15

0.05

-0.05

Significance F
0.330215558

Lower 95%
Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%
-0.140458487 0.10866648 -0.140458487
0.10866648
-0.658258478 1.757361478 -0.658258478 1.757361478

Y
-0.019918816
-0.019646988
0.020295876
0.022867731
0.023385743
0.041919039
0.048948119
0.055625541
0.056284166
0.081624559
0.121176429

X Variable 1

50 0.04

0.09
4.5454
0.13
13.636
0.12
22.727
0.11
31.818
0.10
40.9090.11

0.05

0.09

-0.05

0.1
0.10

0.00

0.11Y

0.10

Sample Percentile

Line Fit Plot

mal Probability Plot

Y

95.454

86.363

Sample Percentile

77.272

68.181

59.0900.11

50 0.04

Predicted Y
Series1

Years

GDP
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010

Container statistics

No. Of Containers (TEU)

2976904
3315776
3631474
3963872
4316402
4871555
5444039
6032835
6648245
7409371
7678917
8513037

2010
Grand total container traffic

2,965,688
3,130,656
3,202,247
3,463,629
3,608,821
3,785,466
3,710,064
3,785,363
3,998,419
4,091,925
4,011,531
4,497,634

Years
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010

Philippine CONTAINER TRAFFIC STA

2009
2008

1. No. of Containers (in TEU)

4,497,634

4,011,531

4,091,925

Domestic

1,639,859

1,593,039

1,567,370

Inbound

819,942

789,725

777,175

Empty

222,066

220,688

205,518

Loaded - FCL

569,314

535,407

547,124

Loaded - LCL

28,562

33,630

24,533

Outbound

819,917

803,314

790,195

Empty

211,259

181,145

163,887

Loaded - FCL

561,927

573,400

587,431

Loaded - LCL

46,731

48,769

38,877

Foreign

2,857,775

2,418,492

2,524,555

Import

1,443,501

1,221,914

1,253,272

Empty

135,538

108,212

94,887

Loaded - FCL

1,307,349

1,113,240

1,157,572

Loaded - LCL

614

462

813

Export

1,414,274

1,196,578

1,271,283

Empty

779,212

662,650

640,868

Loaded - FCL

634,130

532,230

629,133

Loaded - LCL

932

1,698

1,282

2. Containerized Cargo (in M.T.)

49,532,225

45,685,333

47,371,627

Domestic

22,860,501

24,004,486

23,936,852

Inbound

11,458,087

11,434,125

11,249,550

Outbound

11,402,414

12,570,361

12,687,302

Foreign

26,671,724

21,680,847

23,434,775

Import

18,249,794

14,487,607

14,972,935

Export

8,421,930

7,193,240

8,461,840

% changeGDP

0.11
0.10
0.09
0.09
0.13
0.12
0.11
0.10
0.11
0.04
0.11

% change
No. Of
containers
(TEU)

GDP vs Philippine TEU

0.14
0.12

0.06
0.02
0.08
0.04
0.05
-0.02
0.02
0.06
0.02
-0.02
0.12

ne CONTAINER TRAFFIC STATISTICS

2007
2006

0.10
0.08
0.06
0.04
0.02
0.00
-0.02

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

-0.04

2005

2004

2003

2002

2001

2000

1999

3,998,419

3,785,363

3,710,064

3,785,466

3,608,821

3,463,629

3,202,274

3,130,656

2,965,688

1,613,431

1,670,804

1,697,974

1,761,967

1,683,418

1,672,118

1,562,408

1,501,192

1,475,706

805,734

828,233

837,792

885,751

851,048

845,625

797,702

763,850

747,495

203,510

227,775

221,950

247,019

247,223

263,406

226,939

220,418

190,690

578,261

580,924

596,563

575,314

524,048

503,901

486,775

471,299

494,094

23,963

19,534

19,279

63,418

79,777

78,318

83,988

72,133

62,711

807,697

842,571

860,182

876,216

832,370

826,493

764,706

737,342

728,211

159,947

185,676

208,367

212,787

201,624

208,737

189,187

172,566

156,045

612,745

633,105

630,992

597,975

546,262

525,925

499,665

494,867

508,935

35,005

23,790

20,823

65,454

84,484

91,831

75,854

69,909

63,231

2,384,988

2,114,559

2,012,090

2,023,499

1,925,403

1,791,511

1,639,866

1,629,464

1,489,982

1,209,447

1,066,964

1,013,103

1,024,850

963,844

902,697

820,460

819,663

748,106

83,893

67,918

71,935

82,794

78,702

62,841

62,087

50,441

46,979

1,124,766

995,162

940,645

941,839

884,388

838,383

756,540

766,990

698,402

788

3,884

523

217

754

1,473

1,833

2,232

2,725

1,175,541

1,047,595

998,987

998,649

961,559

888,814

819,406

809,801

741,876

557,523

434,364

401,843

432,341

434,603

444,527

427,274

417,512

381,891

616,623

612,180

595,858

564,586

524,077

441,361

389,765

390,274

357,981

1,395

1,051

1,286

1,722

2,879

2,926

2,367

2,015

2,004

47,771,330

46,292,758

45,375,956

45,083,340

42,908,249

37,295,434

36,843,618

35,428,439

25,031,706

25,461,943

25,332,404

25,474,430

25,003,012

23,162,152

22,564,295

22,130,015

11,866,145

11,661,606

11,955,232

12,329,352

12,348,244

11,397,609

10,844,222

10,680,759

13,165,561

13,800,337

13,377,172

13,145,078

12,654,768

11,764,543

11,720,073

11,449,256

22,739,624

20,830,815

20,043,552

19,608,910

17,905,237

14,133,282

14,279,323

13,298,424

14,529,483

12,709,237

12,016,835

11,905,120

10,942,914

9,070,181

9,261,226

8,659,240

8,210,141

8,121,578

8,026,717

7,703,790

6,962,323

5,063,101

5,018,097

4,639,184

0.14
0.12
0.10
0.08

y = 0.5496x - 0.0159
R = 0.1053

0.06
GDP

0.04

TEU

0.02
0.00
-0.02
-0.04

0.00

0.02

0.04

0.06

0.08

0.10

0.12

y = 0.5496x - 0.0159
R = 0.1053

Series1
Linear (Series1)

0.12

0.14

Year
Philippines Prices Per TEU (export and Import) (USD)
ASIA
Philippines
Manila
Subic
Bauan
Davao
South Cotabato
Mindanao
Hongkong
Japan
Indonesia
Brunei
Total
AMERICA
Brazil
Ecuador
Portland
Columbia
Argentina
Mexico
Eaurope, middle east and Africa
Poland
Batumi,Georgia
Syria
Madagascar

2005
800

MICT
SBIT
BITP(CBU)
DIPS
SCIP
MICTsi
Total
YRDI
NICT
PTMT
NMCT
Total
TSSA
CGSA
ICTSI Oregon
SPIA
TPSA
CMSA
Total
BCT
BICT
TICT
MICTSL
Total

Total Operating transaction (TEU)

Philippines
Hongkong
Japan
Indonesia
Brunei
Brazil
Ecuador
Portland
Columbia
Argentina
Mexico
Batumi,Georgia
Poland
Syria

Madagascar
Total

2006
800

800
2010
1,608,569
32,380
44,819
359,561
143,875
180,700
2,369,904
186,358
85,228
140,885
93,230
505,701

N/ Oper
N/ Oper
N/ Oper

2007

2008

2009

2010

2008

816
2007

675
2006

816
2009

1,395,529
1,513,543
26,026
28,889
28,364
284,237
244,521
130,806
115,019
118,684
109,438
1,983,646
2,011,410
160,138
130,193
82,304
70,437
135,108
143,584
85,577 N/ Oper
463,127
344,214

203,601
115,855
N/ Oper
1,727,681
133,139
59,942
146,527
N/ Oper
339,608

340,396
251,417
294,383
708,575
624,783 N/ Oper
181,100 N/ Oper
N/ Oper
N/ Oper
N/ Oper
N/ Oper
N/ Oper
N/ Oper
N/ Oper
1,230,071
876,200
294,383

241,757
N/ Oper
N/ Oper
N/ Oper
N/ Oper
N/ Oper
241,757

281,142
16,318
62,722
141,093
501,275
4,606,951
51.44%
4.05%
1.85%
3.06%
2.02%
7.39%
15.38%
3.93%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.35%
6.10%
1.36%

226,742
8,813
62,299
132,278
430,132
3,753,105
52.85%
4.27%
2.19%
3.60%
2.28%
6.70%
16.65%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.23%
6.04%
1.66%

1,372,251 1,198,875
35,974
34,889

64,526
70,833

197,296

440,591
493,860
401,466
44,197 N/ Oper
N/ Oper
40,607 N/ Oper
N/ Oper
143,371
112,427
92,527
668,766
606,287
3,318,773 2,915,333
60.61%
59.26%
3.92%
4.57%
2.12%
2.06%
4.33%
5.03%
0.00%
0.00%
8.87%
8.29%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
1.33%
0.00%
13.28%
16.94%
1.22%
0.00%

3.06%
100.00%

3.52%
100.00%

4.32%
100.00%

3.86%
100.00%