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Residential Sales Report

A RESEARCH TOOL PROVIDED BY THE AUSTIN BOARD OF REALTORS

August 2011
Despite some choppy waters in August, there have been noteworthy shifts on
both sides of the closing table. Nationally, buyer activity is moving back in line
with historical trends while sellers are making fewer concessions in order to sell
their homes. Falling supply and improving absorption rates in many regions also
suggest that market balance is realigning towards neutral. Locally, both sales
and prices posted positive movement over August 2010, but do the rest of the
numbers p
provide reason for optimism?
p
New Listings in the Austin region decreased 9.4 percent to 2,698. Pending
Sales were up 35.6 percent to 2,074. Inventory levels shrank 24.2 percent to
10,570 units, dampening any potential oversupply issues down the road.
Prices were fairly stable. The Median Sales Price increased 0.5 percent to
$195,000. Days on Market increased 5.5 percent to 76 days. Absorption rates
improved as Months Supply of Inventory was down 21.2 percent to 6.1 months.
The economy bobbed along just this side of positive in August. Consumer
confidence, which often affects housing demand, showed some slack even as
personal income and spending both increased modestly. Low interest rates,
declining supply and stabilizing prices are beacons of hope in the harbor, but
the recovery still needs wind in its sails.

Quick Facts
+ 18.7%

+ 0.5%

- 24.2%

Change in
Closed Sales

Change in
Median Sales Price

Change in
Inventory

Market Overview
New Listings
Pending Sales
Closed Sales
Days On Market Until Sale
Median Sales Price
Average Sales Price
Percent of List Price Received
Housing Affordability Index
Inventory of Homes for Sale
Months Supply of Inventory

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Data is refreshed regularly to capture changes in market activity so figures shown may be different than previously reported.Current as of September 9, 2011. All data from ABOR Multiple Listing Service. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing.

Market Overview
Key market metrics for the current month and year-to-date.

Key Metrics

Historical Sparklines

New Listings
8-2008

8-2009

8-2010

8-2009

8-2010

8-2009

8-2010

8-2009

8-2010

8-2009

8-2010

8-2009

8-2010

8-2009

8-2010

8-2009

8-2010

8-2009

8-2010

8-2009

8-2010

26,122

- 14.0%

1,529

2,074

+ 35.6%

14,849

15,927

+ 7.3%

1,686

2,001

+ 18.7%

14,378

14,480

+ 0.7%

72

76

+ 5.5%

69

80

+ 16.6%

$194,000

$195,000

+ 0.5%

$188,900

$190,000

+ 0.6%

$257,321

$253,705

- 1.4%

$245,281

$253,676

+ 3.4%

92.4%

93.1%

+ 0.8%

93.9%

93.1%

- 0.9%

157

171

+ 9.0%

160

175

+ 8.9%

13,952

10,570

- 24.2%

--

--

--

7.8

6.1

- 21.2%

--

--

--

8-2011

Months Supply
of Homes for Sale
8-2008

30,362

8-2011

Inventory of Homes for Sale


8-2008

- 9.4%

8-2011

Housing Affordability Index


8-2008

2,698

8-2011

Percent of Original
List Price Received
8-2008

2,978

8-2011

Average Sales Price


8-2008

+/

8-2011

Median Sales Price


8-2008

YTD 2010 YTD 2011

8-2011

Days on Market Until Sale


8-2008

+/

8-2011

Closed Sales
8-2008

8-2011

8-2011

Pending Sales
8-2008

8-2010

8-2011

All data comes from the ABOR Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the Austin Board of REALTORS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 2

New Listings
A count of the properties that have been newly listed on the market in a given month.

August

Year To Date

3,280
30,362

2,978
27,585

2,698

2009

-9.2%

-9.4%

2010

2011

2009

26,122

+10.1%

-14.0%

2010

2011

Month

Prior
Year

Current
Year

+/

September

3,015

2,683

-11.0%

October

3,015

2,543

-15.7%

November

2,483

2,083

-16.1%

December

1,969

1,795

-8.8%

January

3,318

2,784

-16.1%

February

3,493

2,668

-23.6%

March

4,679

3,968

-15.2%

April

4,960

3,753

-24.3%

May

3,464

3,542

+2.3%

June

3,796

3,549

-6.5%

July

3,674

3,160

-14.0%

August

2,978

2,698

-9.4%

12-Month Avg

3,404

2,936

-13.8%

Historical New Listing Activity


5,500
5,000
4,500
4,000
3,500
3,000
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
1-2004

1-2005

1-2006

1-2007

1-2008

1-2009

1-2010

1-2011

All data comes from the ABOR Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the Austin Board of REALTORS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 3

Pending Sales
A count of the properties on which contracts have been accepted in a given month.

August

Year To Date
2,074

2,045

15,009

15,927
14,849

1,529

2009

-25.2%

+35.6%

2010

2011

2009

-1.1%

+7.3%

2010

2011

Month

Prior
Year

Current
Year

+/

September

1,922

1,398

-27.3%

October

1,839

1,424

-22.6%

November

1,251

1,293

+3.4%

December

1,108

1,164

+5.1%

January

1,479

1,450

-2.0%

February

1,795

1,571

-12.5%

March

2,429

2,043

-15.9%

April

2,873

2,111

-26.5%

May

1,445

2,274

+57.4%

June

1,659

2,224

+34.1%

July

1,640

2,180

+32.9%

August

1,529

2,074

+35.6%

12-Month Avg

1,747

1,767

+1.1%

Historical Pending Sales Activity


3,500

3,000

2,500

2,000

1,500

1,000
1-2004

1-2005

1-2006

1-2007

1-2008

1-2009

1-2010

1-2011

All data comes from the ABOR Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the Austin Board of REALTORS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 4

Closed Sales
A count of the actual sales that have closed in a given month.

August

Year To Date
13,719

2,001

1,975

14,480

14,378

1,686

2009

-14.6%

+18.7%

2010

2011

2009

+4.8%

+0.7%

2010

2011

Month

Prior
Year

Current
Year

+/

September

1,959

1,425

-27.3%

October

1,969

1,346

-31.6%

November

1,745

1,340

-23.2%

December

1,519

1,573

+3.6%

January

993

1,059

+6.6%

February

1,264

1,225

-3.1%

March

2,011

1,781

-11.4%

April

2,252

1,856

-17.6%

May

2,307

2,080

-9.8%

June

2,211

2,341

+5.9%

July

1,654

2,137

+29.2%

August

1,686

2,001

+18.7%

12-Month Avg

1,798

1,680

-5.0%

Historical Closed Sales Activity


3,500

3,000

2,500

2,000

1,500

1,000

500
1-2004

1-2005

1-2006

1-2007

1-2008

1-2009

1-2010

1-2011

All data comes from the ABOR Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the Austin Board of REALTORS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 5

Days on Market Until Sale


Average number of days between when a property is listed and when an offer is accepted in a given month.

August
73

Year To Date
72

Current
Year

+/

September

69

77

+12.3%

October

72

88

+22.8%

November

75

86

+15.0%

December

79

92

+15.6%

January

79

88

+11.9%

February

72

93

+28.6%

March

69

92

+32.9%

April

66

81

+22.2%

May

62

76

+22.1%

June

67

72

+8.5%

July

70

74

+5.5%

August

72

76

+5.5%

12-Month Avg

70

82

+16.4%

76
80

77
69

2009

Prior
Year

Month

-1.5%

+5.5%

2010

2011

2009

-10.6%

+16.6%

2010

2011

Historical Days on Market Until Sale


100

90

80

70

60

50

40
1-2004

1-2005

1-2006

1-2007

1-2008

1-2009

1-2010

1-2011

All data comes from the ABOR Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the Austin Board of REALTORS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 6

Median Sales Price


Median price point for all closed sales, not accounting for seller concessions, in a given month.

August

Year To Date
$186,324

$185,000

2009

$194,000

$190,000

$188,900

$195,000

+4.9%

+0.5%

2010

2011

2009

Prior
Year

Current
Year

+/

September

$183,000

$188,731

+3.1%

October

$179,000

$190,000

+6.1%

November

$174,000

$179,500

+3.2%

December

$186,000

$189,000

+1.6%

January

$175,000

$184,500

+5.4%

February

$180,745

$185,000

+2.4%

March

$178,000

$182,000

+2.2%

April

$185,000

$189,900

+2.6%

May

$186,000

$192,000

+3.2%

June

$198,000

$198,000

0.0%

July

$211,555

$191,000

-9.7%

August

$194,000

$195,000

+0.5%

12-Mo. Median

$185,000

$190,000

+2.7%

Month

+1.4%

+0.6%

2010

2011

Historical Median Sales Price


$220,000
$210,000
$200,000
$190,000
$180,000
$170,000
$160,000
$150,000
$140,000
1-2004

1-2005

1-2006

1-2007

1-2008

1-2009

1-2010

1-2011

All data comes from the ABOR Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the Austin Board of REALTORS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 7

Average Sales Price


Average sales price for all closed sales, not accounting for seller concessions, in a given month.

August

Year To Date
$257,321

$253,705

$235,796

2009

$236,565

+ 9.1%

- 1.4%

2010

2011

2009

Prior
Year

Current
Year

+/

September

$234,565

$241,609

+3.0%

October

$232,209

$255,409

+10.0%

November

$231,094

$243,559

+5.4%

December

$248,772

$245,024

-1.5%

January

$233,052

$241,053

+3.4%

February

$233,103

$237,568

+1.9%

March

$230,812

$241,053

+4.4%

April

$228,668

$260,083

+13.7%

May

$236,487

$260,203

+10.0%

June

$265,235

$263,288

-0.7%

July

$275,446

$257,213

-6.6%

August

$257,321

$253,705

-1.4%

12-Month Avg

$242,213

$251,592

+3.9%

Month

$253,676

$245,281

+ 3.7%

+ 3.4%

2010

2011

Historical Average Sales Price


$280,000
$270,000
$260,000
$250,000
$240,000
$230,000
$220,000
$210,000
$200,000
$190,000
$180,000
1-2004

1-2005

1-2006

1-2007

1-2008

1-2009

1-2010

1-2011

All data comes from the ABOR Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the Austin Board of REALTORS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 8

Percent of Original List Price Received


Percentage found when dividing a propertys sales price by its original list price, then taking the average for all properties sold in a given month,
not accounting for seller concessions.

August
94.1%

2009

Year To Date
92.4%

93.2%

93.1%

-1.8%

+0.8%

2010

2011

2009

93.9%

93.1%

+0.8%

-0.9%

2010

2011

Month

Prior
Year

Current
Year

+/

September

94.0%

91.9%

-2.2%

October

93.8%

91.2%

-2.7%

November

93.9%

91.3%

-2.8%

December

93.1%

91.5%

-1.8%

January

93.1%

91.6%

-1.7%

February

93.5%

92.3%

-1.3%

March

94.4%

92.6%

-1.9%

April

94.8%

93.4%

-1.4%

May

94.8%

93.4%

-1.4%

June

94.1%

93.8%

-0.3%

July

93.1%

93.5%

+0.4%

August

92.4%

93.1%

+0.8%

12-Month Avg

93.9%

92.7%

-1.3%

Historical Percent of Original List Price Received


99.0%
98.0%
97.0%
96.0%
95.0%
94.0%
93.0%
92.0%
91.0%
1-2004

1-2005

1-2006

1-2007

1-2008

1-2009

1-2010

1-2011

All data comes from the ABOR Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the Austin Board of REALTORS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 9

Housing Affordability Index


This index measures housing affordability for the region. An index of 120 means the median household income was 120% of what is necessary
to qualify for the median-priced home under prevailing interest rates. A higher number means greater affordability.

August

Year To Date
171

153

175

157
152

+2 5%
+2.5%
2009

2010

+9 0%
+9.0%
2011

160

+5 4%
+5.4%
2009

Prior
Year

Current
Year

September

156

161

+3.2%

October

159

161

+1.3%

November

165

170

+2.7%

December

151

160

+6.2%

January

162

168

+4.1%

February

157

167

+6.3%

Month

+8 9%
+8.9%

2010

2011

+/

March

160

171

+7.1%

April

154

166

+7.7%

May

154

168

+8.9%

June

149

165

+10.4%

July

144

169

+17.7%

August

157

171

+9.0%

12-Month Avg

156

167

+7.1%

Historical Housing Affordability Index


180

170

160

150

140

130

120
1-2004

1-2005

1-2006

1-2007

1-2008

1-2009

1-2010

1-2011

All data comes from the ABOR Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the Austin Board of REALTORS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 10

Inventory of Homes for Sale


The number of properties available for sale in active status at the end of a given month.

August

Prior
Year

Current
Year

+/

September

11,526

13,232

+14.8%

October

11,162

12,397

+11.1%

November

10,869

11,327

+4.2%

December

9,870

9,995

+1.3%

January

10,509

10,076

-4.1%

February

11,170

10,260

-8.1%

March

12,198

11,150

-8.6%

April

13,094

11,812

-9.8%

May

13,772

11,994

-12.9%

June

14,337

12,014

-16.2%

July

14,634

11,617

-20.6%

August

13,952

10,570

-24.2%

12-Month Avg

12,258

11,370

-6.1%

Month

13,952
12,036
10,570

2009

+2.5%

-24.2%

2010

2011

Historical Inventory of Homes for Sale


15,000
14,000
13,000
12,000
11,000
10,000
9,000
8,000
1-2004

1-2005

1-2006

1-2007

1-2008

1-2009

1-2010

1-2011

All data comes from the ABOR Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the Austin Board of REALTORS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 11

Months Supply of Inventory


The inventory of homes for sale at the end of a given month, divided by the average monthly pending sales from the last 12 months.

August

Prior
Year

Current
Year

+/

September

6.9

7.6

+10.1%

October

6.5

7.3

+11.3%

November

6.2

6.8

+9.6%

December

5.6

6.0

+6.6%

January

6.0

6.0

+0.6%

February

6.3

6.1

-2.8%

March

6.8

6.7

-0.4%

April

7.1

7.3

+2.9%

May

7.1

7.7

+7.7%

June

7.7

7.4

-3.9%

July

8.0

6.9

-13.5%

August

7.8

6.1

-21.2%

12-Month Avg

6.8

6.8

-0.0%

Month

7.8
7.3
6.1

2009

+2.5%

-24.2%

2010

2011

Historical Months Supply of Inventory


9

3
1-2004

1-2005

1-2006

1-2007

1-2008

1-2009

1-2010

1-2011

All data comes from the ABOR Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the Austin Board of REALTORS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 12

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