Professional Documents
Culture Documents
September, 2011
Disclaimer
The information contained in this presentation may include statements which constitute forwardlooking statements, within the meaning of Section 27A of the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the U.S. Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. Such forward-looking statements involve a certain degree of risk and uncertainty with respect to business, financial, trend, strategy and other forecasts, and are based on assumptions, data or methods that, although considered reasonable by the company at the time, may turn out to be incorrect or imprecise, or may not be possible to realize. The company gives no assurance that expectations disclosed in this presentation will be confirmed. Prospective investors are cautioned that any such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties, and that actual results may differ materially from those in the forwardlooking statements, due to a variety of factors, including, but not limited to, the risks of international business and other risks referred to in the companys filings with the CVM and SEC. The company does not undertake, and specifically disclaims any obligation to update any forwardlooking statements, which speak only for the date on which they are made.
The Company
Shareholder Structure
BNDESPar 30.42(1)
(1) (2)
Position as of August 31, 2011. BNDESPar has 21% linked to a Shareholders Agreement with Votorantim Industrial S.A. during the first 3 years and 10.9% during the following 2 years. Free Float 40.17% + Treasury 0.07%
Shareholders Meeting
Fiscal Council
Board of Directors
Executive Officers
A Winning Player
Superior Asset Combination Main Figures(1)
Port Terminal
Pulp Unit
Paper Unit
Source: Fibria (1) Last Twelve Months as of 2Q11. (2) As of June 30, 2011, including 50% of Veracel and excluding forest partnership areas (124 thousand ha). (3) Fibria has signed a term sheet granting exclusivity to OJI Paper Co., to negotiate the possible sale of the Piracicaba Paper Unit.
Fibrias Strategy
5,250
Bleached Softwood Kraft Pulp (BSKP) Bleached Hardwood Kraft Pulp (BHKP) Unbleached Kraft Pulp (UKP) Mechanical
Softwood/Other 22 million t
69%
Other Eucalyptus Pulp producers: 11 million t
(1) (2)
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
RISI and PPPC: considers 2010 demand Hawkins Wright January 2011
11%
22%
586 104
549 54
540 55
519 95
509 47
497 52
482
495
485
424
462
445
31%
10 million t
10
Real:116%
Inflation
Wood: cost of land and minimum wage growth above inflation Freight: low governmental investment in infra-structure (ports, roads, etc) and higher oil prices Chemicals / energy / water: global demand for commodities add pressure on main raw materials Labor: cost in Brazil in dollar terms is higher than in some developed countries 11
Global Presence
Fibrias Commercial Strategy
Differentiation: Customized pulp products to specific paper grades Sole supplier to key customers focused on eucalyptus pulp to the tissue market The top 10 customers represent, on average, 70% of sales Over 20 years of relationship with many of the main clients Global contracts
P&W 23% Tissue 58% Speciali ties 19%
End-Use 2Q11
46% 29%
N.America Europe
Nyon Miami
Csomd
14%
Asia
Hong Kong
11%
L.America
So Paulo
Fibria Offices
12
13
14
15
Forest Competitiveness
Fibria : Forest Competitiveness
45 14
30 - 40 years
11 10
25
25
25
15
15 - 25 years
10 - 12 years
12 - 15 years
8 5 6
Brazil (eucalyptus)
Indonesia
S.Africa
Chile
Portugal / Spain
USA / Canada
Finland / Sweden
70's
80's
90's
00's
Yield (m3/ha/year)
Source: ABRAF, STCP, Poyry and Fibria. Note: Pulp trees differ depending on the country: Indonesia acacia, S.Africa tropical and temperate eucalyptus, Chile temperate eucalyptus, Portugal/Spain temperate eucalyptus, USA/Canada aspen, Finland/Sweden betula.
16
1,500 Fibria (Trs Lagoas) Fibria (Jacare) Indonesia 1,000 Fibria (Veracel 50%)
Other Brazilian pulp mills 500 Russia 40 USA Japan 30 Portugal Finland Canada France/ Spain Sweden 20 Chile South Africa China 10
Source: PYRY
17
17
Trs Lagoas II
Veracel II
Social and environmental license granted on Aug 18th Forestry Base : - Total area: 230,000 ha - Planted area: 150,000 ha
Trs Lagoas I surplus: 30,000 ha of effective planting Leasing: 70,000 ha of effective planting Change on the forestry base model: leased areas increased to 70%
18
19
Industry Outlook
93% 92%
84% 82%
81%
Nov-09
Nov-10
Dec-10
Apr-10
Dec-09
Sep-09
Feb-10
Sep-10
Apr-11
Oct-09
Oct-10
Fev-11
Jan-10
Jun-10
Jan-11
Jun-11
Jul-09
Jul-10
Mar-10
May-10
Mar-11
May-11
Aug-09
Aug-10
Jul-11
Nov-09
Nov-10
Dec-09
Dec-10
Oct-09
Oct-10
Jan-10
Jun-09
Jun-10
Mar-11
Mar-10
May-10
Aug-09
Aug-10
Apr-10
Sep-09
days
days
39
30
25
20
Feb-10
Sep-10
Apr-11
Fev-11
19
Jan-07 Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11 Jul-06 Jul-07 Jul-08 Jul-09 Jul-10 Jul-11
15
Jun-11
Jul-09
Jul-10
Jan-11
Source: Utipulp
20
Industry Outlook
Market pulp: world demand growth (%)
7M2011 x 7M2010 30%
198 125
3%
153 100
US$920/t
550 450 350 250 Nov-08 Nov-09 May-09 May-10 Nov-10 May-11 Aug-08 Aug-09 Aug-10 Aug-11 Feb-09 Feb-10 Feb-11
CRB
Jan-09 Feb-09 Mar-09 Apr-09 May-09 Jun-09 Jul-09 Aug-09 Sep-09 Oct-09 Nov-09 Dec-09 Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11 Apr-11 May-11 Jun-11 Jul-11 Source: PPPC World 20 |
(1)
Latin America
Japan
China
21
% Annual growth
2009
23.5 '000 tons 21.4 91% 28.1 24.8 88% 17.0 15.9 93%
2010
23.8 22.3 93% 28.6 25.0 87% 17.6 15.9 90%
2011
25.0 23.0 92% 30.0 26.5 88% 18.8 17.1 91%
2012
25.3 23.3 92% 30.6 27.4 90% 19.6 18.3 94%
2010/2012
3.2% 2.1%
BSK
Demand Ratio
Supply
2.9% 4.7%
BHK
Demand Ratio
Supply
5.4% 7.4%
BEKP
Demand Ratio
22
Financial Highlights
23
2Q11 Performance
Key Indicators
2Q11 Pulp Production (000 t) Pulp Sales (000 t) Paper Production (000 t) Paper Sales (000 t) 1,271 1,230 31 31 1Q11 1,319 1,259 29 36 2Q10 1,164 1,214 31 29 2Q11 vs 1Q11 -4% -2% 9% -15% 2Q11 vs 2Q10 9% 1% 2% 5%
2Q10
11% 38% 24% 25%
1Q11
9% 14% 46%
2Q11
11% 46%
Net Revenue (R$ million) Pro Forma EBITDA (R$ million) EBITDA Margin (%) Financial Income (R$ million) Net Income (R$ million)
27% Europe
29%
Brazil/Others
448
446 490
2Q10
1Q11
2Q11
2Q10
1Q11
2Q11
24
Competitiveness Project
Action
2011
2012
2013
2011 Capex reduction of R$201 million New bleaching line of Plant A Aracruz Unit Higher operating stability Optimization of wood transportation by barges Aracruz Unit Energy Matrix Jacare Unit Global Sourcing
448
1,164
2Q10
2Q11
Rail Extension Trs Lagoas Unit Long-term international logistics contract (STX) Future Forestry Project
2Q10 2Q11
25
Capex
(R$ million)
2011E Current
68 243 311
Safety/Environment
75
Forestry Renewal Maintenance, IT, R&D and Modernization Subtotal Maintenance 50% Veracel/Conpacel Total Fibria
26
Debt
Debt Indicators
Short Term Debt (%)
(R$ million) Gross Debt Cash(1) Net Debt 2Q11 10,448 2,496 7,952 1Q11 10,256 2,297 7,959 2Q10 13,209 2,364 10,846 2Q11 vs 1Q11 2% 9% 0% 2Q11 vs 2Q10 -21% 6% -27% 2Q10
(1) Includes
1Q11
2Q11
(2) LTM
2Q10
1Q11
2Q11
5.1
16%
7% 4% 23%
Bonds Former Aracruz Shareholders NCE
6%
2011
2012
2013 Jun/10
2014
2015
Jun/2011
27
Liability Management
Promises delivered, now more ahead to go
4.7 3.9 10.8 3.6 3.2 10.2 2.9 9.9 7.9 7.9
Commitment to investment grade level
1Q09
2Q09
3Q09
4Q09
1Q10
2Q10
3Q10
4Q10
1Q11
2Q11
Sale of Conpacel/KSR R$1.5bn Fibria21 Bond Fibria21: US$ 750MM 6.75% 10NC5 US$ 500MM Revolving facility + US$ 300MM EPP Covenants: 4.0x YE2011 Tight cost and CAPEX control 2011 Capex reduced by R$201 million Piracicaba Unit: indicative price of US$ 313MM
Sale of Guaba US$ 1.4bn Fibria19 Bond: US$ 1.0bn 9.25% 10NC5 Export pre-payment facilities: US$ 1.175bn
Fibria20 Bond: US$ 750MM 7.5% 10NC5 Exchange Bond Fibria19: 94% to Fibria20 Operational cash generation Derivatives debt settlement: US$ 2.6bn Debt: lower cost longer tenor
28
Market Perception
Yield (%)
9,7 9,2 8,7 8,2 7,7 7,2 6,7 6,2 5,7 5,2 7 6,8 6,6 6,4 6,2 6 5,8 5,6 5,4 5,2 Fibria'2021
80bps
Fibria'2019
Fibria'2020
Fibria'2021
Historical Ratings
S&P
Aracruz VCP (2007-08) / Fibria (2009-10) Aracruz
Moodys
VCP (2007-08) / Fibria (2009-10)
2005
BBB-
N.A.
2005
Baa3
N.A.
2006
BBB-
N.A.
2006
Baa3
N.A.
2007
BBB-
BBB
2007
Baa2
Baa3
2008
BBB
BBB
2008
Baa2
Baa3
2009
BB
BB
2009
Ba2
Ba1
2010
N.A.
BB
2010
N.A.
Ba1
2011
N.A.
BB
2011
N.A.
Ba1
30
Fibria in Summary
Larger scale
Innovation
Growth
Sustainability
Investor Relations E-mail: ir@fibria.com.br Phone: +55 (11) 2138-4565 Website: www.fibria.com.br/ir
32
Backup
33
China
Chinas Hardwood Imports of BHKP by Country (1)
6,0
5,0
2010
6M 2011
(Million tons)
5,0 4,0 3,0 2,0 1,0 0,0 BHKP Total Latin America
3,1 2,3 1,1
Effective Date Jan 2011 Jul 2011 Apr 2011 Mar 2011 Ju 2011 Aug 2011 Q3 2011 Q4 2011 2011 Mar 2012 Sep 2012 Q1 2013 2013
'000 t 800 450 250 300 350 800 450 450 810 130 125 450 600 6,200
2012/2013 = 1.5mt 2011 = 4.7 mt
1,1 1,0
Zhumadian Baiyun Paper China Metalurgical Meili Paper Sun Paper Shandong Chenming
Others* Indonesia
USA
Canada
Western Europe
21% 17%
22% 26%
9%7%
11% 9%
17% 17%
2009 Total
2010
7M 2011
Eucaplyptus
(1) PPPC
34
Tissue Market
Per Capita Consumption of Tissue by Region, 2010(1)
Kg/capita
25 20
23,5
35 30 25
15,6
15 10
14,6 11,2
20 15 10
5 0
3,6
5
Africa
L. America
N&M East
Oceania
W. Europe
Japan
N. America
E. Europe
China
0
1991 N.America Japan 1996 W.Europe China 2001 E.Europe Asia FE 2006 2009 NME Africa 2010 L.America Oceania
(1)
RISI
35