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1658 IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON POWER SYSTEMS, VOL. 19, NO.

3, AUGUST 2004

Congestion-Driven Transmission Expansion in


Competitive Power Markets
G. B. Shrestha, Senior Member, IEEE, and P. A. J. Fonseka, Student Member, IEEE

Abstract—A framework for transmission planning in a high price volatility. Transmission congestion or constraints
deregulated power market environment is discussed. The level will restrict flow of power from low cost nodes to high value
of congestion in the network is utilized as the driving signal
nodes creating supply–demand price imbalances. The presence
for the need of network expansion. A compromise between the
congestion cost and the investment cost is used to determine the of congestion on one circuit produces price differentials not
optimal expansion scheme. The long-term network expansion only across this circuit, but also across many other noncon-
problem is formed as the decoupled combination of: 1) the master gested circuits as well. In short, congestion means more trade
problem (minimization of investment costs subject to investment is desired than what can be supported by available transmission
constraints and the Benders cuts generated by the operational
problem (power pool) and 2) the operational problem, whose facilities. Congestion need not imply a serious reliability
solution provides congestion details and associated multipliers. A problem or a network-overload problem. It simply means that
proper power-pool model is developed and solved for congestion the particular line cannot support the particular trading pattern.
cost, congestion revenue, and transmission shadow prices. Linear Thus, in addition to the network operation criteria used in tra-
programming is utilized to solve the investment subproblem, while
the quadratic programming technique has been used to solve the ditional approaches to transmission planning, network conges-
operational problem. The algorithm has been developed for the tion becomes an important yardstick to evaluate the network ad-
complete planning process, which provides the expansion schemes equacy in competitive markets. Minimization of production cost
for the planning horizon. The technique has been applied to and the cost of loss of load in transmission planning models are
illustrate the network planning study for a modified IEEE 24-bus
test system. being challenged by the social cost minimization (i.e., produc-
tion cost-consumer benefit) and/or congestion-cost minimiza-
Index Terms—Locational marginal prices (LMP), network ex-
tion. In this regard, secondary information such as congestion
pansion planning, network congestion, power pool, social cost and
benefit, network investment. cost, congestion revenue, and transmission shadow prices gen-
erated from power-pool dispatch algorithms provide vital sig-
nals for network expansion algorithm.
I. INTRODUCTION Although a transmission network in a competitive market
may be managed by a nonprofit transmission administrator (TA)
I N DEREGULATED electricity markets, the transmission
network is the interface where buyers and sellers interact
with each other. Any form of transmission constraints or
or a for-profit transmission company (TransCo) or transmission
market, the network should be planned and expanded not to ex-
bottlenecks in the transmission network will prevent perfect ceed an “acceptable level” of congestion in the network over
competition between market participants. This ultimately gives the planning period. The “acceptable” or the “optimal” level
rise to market power and leads to price hikes above the marginal of congestion has to be based on the balance between the con-
costs. Therefore, effective transmission system operation and gestion-cost saving and the network expansion investment cost
planning becomes very important for proper operation of to alleviate such congestion. We propose a network-expansion
competitive power markets. In the United States, FERC has methodology based on this strategy for PoolCo power markets.
begun initiatives to create a few large regional transmission Formulation of power-pool operation with double-sided bid-
organizations (RTOs) and it has included “transmission plan- ding for both generation, as well as demand, is a prerequisite
ning” as one of the eight minimum functions of an RTO: “One for the development of the proposed approach; it is presented in
of the main missions of RTO is to modernize and expand the Section II of this paper. The issues of LMP, congestion details,
transmission system” [1]. and other important concepts relevant to power-pool operation
It is desirable that generation be placed as close as possible to and network expansions are also discussed.
the demand center. In practice, demand centers are physically The purpose of this paper is to present a framework for net-
located in urban areas where generation capacity additions are work expansion planning, taking in to consideration the conges-
difficult. This results in suboptimal placement of generation tion-cost saving and upper bound of congestion revenue, which
with possible transmission congestion and load pockets with are presented in Section III. This has been investigated using
two methods: 1) finding the optimum expansion schedule for
economic justification of network investment cost with conges-
Manuscript received February 2, 2004. tion-cost saving and 2) finding the optimum network expansion
The authors are with the Power Market Research Group, Nanyang Techno-
logical University, Singapore (e-mail: egovinda@ntu.edu.sg). schedule for maximum allowed congestion revenue (which is
Digital Object Identifier 10.1109/TPWRS.2004.831701 “hedgeable” limit with financial rights).
0885-8950/04$20.00 © 2004 IEEE
SHRESTHA AND FONSEKA: CONGESTION-DRIVEN TRANSMISSION EXPANSION IN COMPETITIVE POWER MARKETS 1659

The planning framework consists of different modules con-


sisting of investment cost minimization, network operation op-
timization, and modeling and forecasting of generation and de-
mand bids, which are all inter-related over the planning horizon.
Although some of these modules are presented by simple func-
tions in this paper, they can be easily extended to more elaborate
representations without affecting the proposed planning frame-
work. A simple network-planning example is presented in Sec-
tion IV to illustrate the proposed methodology. The Conclusions
are summarized in Section V. Fig. 1. Supply- and demand-side bid representation.

II. FORMULATION OF POWER-POOL OPERATION


The mathematical formulation of the pool operation in the
double-sided auction market is presented in this section. This 2) Demand Function: Similarly, the demand curve for a
becomes the operational problem of our investment-planning consumer is represented by its linear demand curve
problem. The independent system operator (ISO) and/or power
exchange (PX) perform this market-clearing process consid-
ering the bids submitted by GenCos, DistCos, and transmission
constraints. The purpose is to determine the market cleared gen- where
eration/demand quantities, spot prices (LMP), and congestion intercept (reservation price ) in $/MWh;
charges for the network, while minimizing the total social cost slope in $/MW h;
for one time period . price is willingness to pay in $/MWh;
We use the following terminology: demand in megawatts.
time-period index (in 1-h steps); The main attributes consumer’s surplus and con-
supplier index (total number of suppliers, ); sumer benefit of a particular consumer can be deduced
consumer index (total number of consumers, ); from Fig. 1, where
branch index (total number of branches, );
bus index (total number of bus nodes, ).
(2)
A. Generation and Demand Bids
In a PoolCo model, each market participant (GenCo and The active power flow in branch is represented as a linear
DistCo) submits an hourly price bid in the form of marginal function of supply and demand, . The supply,
cost or marginal benefit functions [dollars per megawatt hour demand. and line-flow limits have their maximum and minimum
($/MWh)]. In strategic bidding, suppliers and consumers may limits , and . In terms of line capacity.
not bid their true marginal cost or benefit functions. For the and .
purpose of planning, it is reasonable to assume that system
B. Objective Function
operator can estimate their average behavior, which reflects
their true cost or benefit functions. The supply (GenCo) bids Minimization of total social cost (total apparent production
are assumed to be linear with an upward slope and consumer cost minus total apparent consumer benefit) is set as the objec-
(Distco) bids are assumed to be linear with a downward slope, tive [2], [3], [5]. This is functionally equivalent to maximization
as shown in Fig. 1, [2], [4]. of social welfare
1) Supply Function: For a particular supplier , the price and
quantity supplied is represented as (3)

subject to the following constraints:


where power balance (ignoring network power losses)
intercept (reservation price ) in $/MWh;
slope in $/MW h; (3.a)
price at which is willing to supply in $/MWh;
supply in MW.
The supply bid of Fig. 1 illustrates the supplier’s surplus supply, demand, and line-flow limits
and apparent production cost at the oper-
ating point , where (3.b)
(3.c)
(1) (3.d)
1660 IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON POWER SYSTEMS, VOL. 19, NO. 3, AUGUST 2004

Equations (3) and (3.a)–(3.d) may be combined to form the [7]. Generally, this includes the cost of line losses and the “con-
Lagrange function using Lagrangian multipliers (which gestion revenue”. In a lossless model, the congestion revenue
are interpreted as dual prices or shadow prices) (TR) becomes

(7)

for hour .
This may be expressed in a simpler expression

(8)

where represents the branch transmission shadow price


(congestion price or path cost).
The congestion cost (TC), which is the loss of social ben-
efit due to congestion, can be expressed as the difference be-
tween net benefits under following two dispatch procedures: 1)
without considering line capacity limits and 2) considering line
capacity limits (9)
(4)

C. Locational Marginal Prices and Congestion Details


Karush–Kuhn–Tucker (KKT) first-order optimal conditions (9)
for the above Lagrangian function with respect to and
yield LMPs for suppliers and consumers , respec-
D. Economic Signals for Network Expansions
tively.
For suppliers, The difference between locational prices represents conges-
tion charges that generation at low-priced location pay to supply
power to customers at high priced locations [9]. However, the
spread of LMPs is not an exact measure of identifying the
system bottlenecks. Compared to LMP dispersion, transmission
shadow prices provide more basic signals for network upgrades.
The long-term variations of congestion revenue will indicate
(5)
the overall network performances. Excessive fluctuations of
congestion revenue will motivate network users to purchase
and for consumers, congestion rights to reduce the effect of network congestion
on their transactions. However, in LMP-based markets, the
redistribution of these network revenues remains an issue yet
to be adequately addressed [10]. On the other hand, it will not
always be possible to hedge the congestion completely with fi-
nancial rights. If there exists an “unhedgeable” component due
(6) to network inadequacy, there is no clear way of handling this
issue. The ultimate solution for persisting network congestion
is network expansion.
If is the branch-node sensitivity matrix [or power transfer If the Transco is government owned nonprofit utility or pri-
distribution factors (PTDFs)] for the transmission network, then vately owned profit-oriented entity (ITC), the revenue accumu-
lation caused by this excessive congestion can be used for net-
work expansion to alleviate the unhedgeable congestion. In this
regard, transmission shadow prices indicate the social benefit in-
where refers to the bus number to which the th supplier or the crement for unit increment of constrained capacity or how much
th consumer is connected. The spatial variations of LMPs are congestion cost can be avoided for unit capacity increment. Stoft
given by (5) and (6) with respect to suppliers and consumers. [11] shows a break-even analysis for congestion-cost saving and
The market settlement as per these LMPs will result in a marginal investment cost, with some practical congestion costs.
“merchandizing surplus” [8], which is termed in different cita- However, due to economy of scale and “lumpiness” of transmis-
tions “short-term transmission rent” or “network revenue” [6], sion investments, transmission shadow prices and marginal in-
SHRESTHA AND FONSEKA: CONGESTION-DRIVEN TRANSMISSION EXPANSION IN COMPETITIVE POWER MARKETS 1661

Fig. 2. Proposed framework for network expansion.

vestment costs alone will not result adequate capacity upgrades. where
Therefore, it is necessary to take into consideration the total number of circuits added for branch in year
congestion revenue and its fluctuations above the “hedgeable” ;
limits. In Section III, we present a framework for transmission investment Cost ($/circuit) of branch ;
expansion considering these two situations separately. hourly time domain;
1) Network expansion, where network investment cost is yearly time domain;
justified by the congestion-cost savings. expansion limits;
2) Network expansion, based on containing the maximum base year;
congestion revenue below an acceptable upper bound. discount rate;
planning horizon.
III. LONG-TERM NETWORK EXPANSION This is a hard mixed-integer nonlinear optimization problem,
which represents the long-term investment cost minimization
Long-term network planning involves a series of studies to with long-term congestion-cost saving. However, modeling of
determine the time and location of new transmission facility ad- the problem for future planning is a complex task and is vul-
ditions. This determines the expansion plan, which minimizes nerable to a huge amount of uncertainty. In competitive markets
network investment cost and system operational costs due to especially, hourly market settlements and their price details are
network inadequacy. In vertically integrated environments, the highly volatile, and accounting for these details in yearly invest-
system operational cost mainly stands for the out-of-merit gen- ment models is mathematically complex.
eration cost due to network bottlenecks. In competitive markets, Despite these difficulties, the literature in decomposition al-
this operational cost is the social cost (cost of congestion) or loss gorithms such as Bender’s Decomposition [12] have shown their
of social benefit due to network limitations. capabilities in handling these forms of formulations [13], [15].
The overall formulation of the long-term discounted network This requires decomposition of the formulation into master and
investment cost and congestion-cost minimization problem can operational problems (slave). We decompose network expan-
be written as sion scheduling problem and dispatch algorithm (power-pool
model) to form the master and operational problem, which share
the decisions and cuts toward an acceptable solution.
The long-term formulation in completely decoupled format is
shown in Fig. 2. This framework consists of the following three
(10) subproblems.

A. Expansion Scheduling Investment (Master) Problem


subject to constraints (3.a)–(3.d) and This determines the expansion schedule for each year
based on the investment criteria. Two network-expansion
(10.a) methodologies using two different criteria (i.e., congestion-cost
1662 IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON POWER SYSTEMS, VOL. 19, NO. 3, AUGUST 2004

minimization and congestion-revenue minimization) are devel- This is derived from the objective function of the dispatch algo-
oped using Bender’s Decomposition techniques. rithm (i.e., .
Thereafter, the network performance under two methods of
investment management are compared. In the first approach, the B. Power-Pool Operational (Slave) Problem
investment cost justified by the congestion-cost (TC) saving is This is the social-cost minimization problem (dispatch
implemented with feasibility cuts included in the Bender’s Algo- algorithm) for a network specified by the network expansion
rithm. In the second, network expansion to contain the conges- schedule and the inputs given for generation and demand
tion revenue (TR) within a specified ceiling is implemented with bids. The power-pool model formulated in Section II with
infeasibility cuts included in Bender’s Algorithm. The second double-sided auction is solved as the operational problem in
approach perhaps appears to be a more regulated option, but this order to obtain the auxiliary information required for network
avoids insufficient investment, which can result if the regulator expansion module.
adheres to strict economic criteria. The formulation is re-arranged in the format shown in (14)
The formulation of expansion scheduling problem based on and it is solved using a quadratic programming (QP) algorithm
these two expansion criteria are given by (11) and (12) respec-
tively. These are subproblems of the overall cost minimization
problem (10). It is optimized using the linear programming (LP)
model for the scheduling period using annuatized quantities, as
follows: (14)

The solution yields market-cleared generation & demand


quantities and LMPs. It also provides all the dual multipliers
(Lagrange multipliers) in (4). For network-planning studies,
the significant dual multipliers, congestion charges (TC), and
congestions revenue (TR) would be particularly useful to form
the Benders cuts to be used in the investment minimization
problem. This is performed number of runs representing load
variations as per LDC for congestion-cost approach. In the
congestion-revenue approach, single or a few worst cases
representing system peak conditions are simulated.

(11) C. Supply and Demand Bid Forecasting (Input)


For minimization of investment, it suffices to solve the invest-
where is the hours per year (i.e., 8760) or total subtime pe- ment or the expansion problem in yearly intervals. In traditional
riods analyzed per year, and Benders iteration index. The network expansion, even the operational problem needs to be
feasibility cut is determined by analyzing a set of scenarios rep- solved only in yearly intervals to ensure that the network satis-
resenting the annual load duration curve (LDC). This provides fies the required operating criteria under the peak load condi-
the annual expected congestion cost and the expected tions. However, the proposed framework requires calculation of
values of transmission shadow prices . This is com- the congestion details, which varies each hour with the supply
pared with annuatised investment costs and demand conditions. Therefore strictly speaking, the opera-
tional problem needs to be solved for each hour throughout the
year in order to calculate the expected values of congestion cost
and transmission shadow prices.
In addition to the computational problems, this requires the
representation of all supply and demand bids for each individual
hour. This is obviously a huge burden. This requirement may,
however, be softened by taking advantage of possible hourly and
seasonal patterns of the bids. For planning purposes, it may be
possible to use typical hours in a day (peak, off-peak), typical
(12) days (weekdays, weekend days), and a few seasons (summer,
winter) to substantially reduce this requirement, yet have rea-
where is the maximum allowed congestion level. sonable estimate of the required attributes over the whole year.
The infeasibility cut is formulated for worst-case scenarios In this preliminary study, we have adopted a constant bid-
representing higher congestion revenues (e.g., during system ding pattern from each bidder for a particular year to repre-
peak). The multiplier , which governs the congestion sent typical supply and demand bids by linear equations. The
revenue, can be defined as hourly variations of demand were simulated with the load dura-
tion curve (LDC), in order to estimate the expected congestion
cost and shadow prices . The bids for the
(13) subsequent years are forecasted simply by incremental changes
SHRESTHA AND FONSEKA: CONGESTION-DRIVEN TRANSMISSION EXPANSION IN COMPETITIVE POWER MARKETS 1663

in the constants of the linear bids. As the network expansion de-


pends on this representation, a network planner (RTO or ISO)
needs to foresee this bidding forecast with some accuracy in
order to arrive at realistic network expansion schedules.

D. Solution Algorithm
The above proposed network expansion procedures are
implemented using Bender’s Decomposition algorithm for the
two methodologies separately. The congestion-cost-saving ap-
proach carries the feasibility cut (representing average values)
and the congestion-revenue approach carries the infeasibility
cut (representing peak conditions).
In practice, the capacity upgrades are discrete in nature (by
circuits), then the master problem becomes an integer program-
ming (IP) problem, which should be handled with IP techniques.
For the purposes of this , the capacity upgrades were considered
for both continuous and discrete (line additions) situations. The
Bender’s Decomposition algorithm described below will solve
the master problem (LP) and operational problem (QP) with the
corresponding decisions and Bender cuts. The Benders cut is a
feasibility cut for congestion-cost criteria and an infeasibility cut Fig. 3. IEEE 24-bus RTS.
for the congestion-revenue approach depending on the choice of
the two approaches. TABLE I
INITIAL BIDDING DETAILS

1 Set time index


2 Set iteration index
3 Solve the investment subproblem for the period and obtain
the network solution
4 Solve the operational subproblem for the period with the
network solution .
Generate the relevant Benders cut to the master problem for
iteration level .
5 Solve the investment subproblem for time period again
with the Benders cut generated in step (4) and update .
6 Check for Convergence
a. Congestion-Cost Approach
The change in objective value of master problem is less
than the tolerance given for two consecutive iterations ,
if convergence satisfied go to step (7) else ,
go to step (4).
b. Congestion Revenue Approach
If no infeasibility cuts were generated or , then
go to step (7) else ,
go to step (4).
IV. ILLUSTRATIVE EXAMPLES
7 If go to step (8), else
go to step (2). The developed network expansion methodology was applied
8 Stop. to determine the optimal expansion schedule for the modified
IEEE 24-bus reliability test system (RTS) [16]. The network
diagram is shown in Fig. 3, which has 14 generating compa-
In the congestion-cost-saving method, the investment cost is nies (Gencos) and 17 distribution companies (Distcos). Initial
automatically justified in the formulation of the problem itself. bidding details corresponding to the peak hour of the base year
However, in the congestion-revenue hedging approach, the max- are shown in Table I. However, this is assumed to rep-
imum allowed congestion level is not strictly justified with resent the entire year for the network-expansion study.
the investment cost. This limit is fixed by the transmission or- Therefore, the bidding details should correspond to system peak
ganization and it is the maximum hedgeable congestion level. conditions for that particular year.
The choice of the proper level of congestion is not fully ad- As mentioned in Section III-C, forecasting of bidding details
dressed in this paper, and is a topic for further investigations. for the future years becomes quite involved and is extremely
1664 IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON POWER SYSTEMS, VOL. 19, NO. 3, AUGUST 2004

TABLE II
GROWTH RATES FOR BID PARAMETRS

Fig. 5. Capacity requirements—congestion-revenue method.

TABLE III
NETWORK ADDITION SCHEDULES (DISCRETE) (LINES ADDED IN
THE RESPECTIVE YEAR)

Fig. 4. Capacity upgrades—congestion-cost method.

sensitive. This aspect is not fully addressed in this paper. We


have adopted a simple model for the future supply and demand
bids in order to demonstrate the application of the proposed
algorithm. The planning horizon is taken as eight years. The
growth in bids are represented by annual growth rates for in-
tercepts and the maximum and minimum demand bids,
shown in Table II. An increase in the maximum generation limit
is introduced in discrete steps. For this test application, we are not possible. Under such discrete capacity-addition condi-
have assumed that the maximum generation capacity bid in- tions, it is found that one circuit is added in each of the lines
creases in the third and the sixth year by a factor of 1.5 and 23 and 28 in year 4 and year 6, respectively. The congestion
2.5, respectively. Elaborate models to represent the growths in level is expected to be quite significant prior to the circuit ad-
demand and generation bids can be easily included without af- ditions when the capacity additions are discrete. This problem
fecting the proposed methodology. may be alleviated in the congestion-revenue containing method
Network technical details are as given in the Appendix. discussed next.
The line costs were estimated with the specific cost $1000 per
MW-mile, line length, and the capacities given. The economic B. Network Expansion With Congestion-Revenue Method
life of transmission investments were assumed as 25 years. The The results of network capacity expansion exercise to keep
discount rate was taken as 10% for the eight-year network the congestion revenue within a certain value are shown in
planning study. Fig. 5. If it were possible to increase the line capacities in a
continuous scale, it was found that a steady increase in line
A. Network Expansion With Congestion-Cost Method capacities were necessary in lines 23, 28, and 7. The figure also
The results of the planning exercise where the capacity addi- shows that capacity addition requirements would be lower for
tion cost was balanced by the congestion-cost saving is shown higher levels of congestion revenue. Although the results of
in Fig. 4. If it were possible to increase the capacity of the line Figs. 4 and 5 show similar general trends, it should be noted that
in a continuous scale with the increase in the congestion cost, it congestion-revenue containment method cannot automatically
is found that three lines, namely lines 23, 28, and 7, would be balance the investment against the revenue.
upgraded over the years as indicated by the solid lines. Such ca- When the capacity upgrades are made discrete circuit addi-
pacity additions would reduce system congestion and therefore tions, the time-ordered line additions for a congestion revenue
the congestion cost. It should be noted that that network would of $1000/h are shown in Table III as Case B1. One circuit was
still have some congestion after these line upgrades such that added in lines 23 and 28 in years 1 and 3 and one circuit each in
the congestion costs balances the cost of these upgrades. lines 7, 19, and 30 in year 6.
However, line capacities can only be added in discrete steps It is found that additional circuits were needed in lines 19
(circuits) in practice and such gradual increase in line capacities and 30 compared to the continuous upgrades. This is because
SHRESTHA AND FONSEKA: CONGESTION-DRIVEN TRANSMISSION EXPANSION IN COMPETITIVE POWER MARKETS 1665

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seems plausible that a combination of the two criteria may be
combined for a more practical expansion strategy for an “op-
timal congestion”. This strategy is currently being investigated. G. B. Shrestha (S’88–M’90–SM’92) received the B.E. (Hons.) degree in
electrical engineering from Jadavpur University, Jadavpur, India, in 1975, the
It should be noted that the example presented is only for il- M.B.A. degree from the University of Hawaii in 1985, the M.S. degree in
lustrative purposes. Further studies are being conducted to in- electrical power engineering from Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute, Troy, NY,
corporate more detailed consideration of the generation and de- in 1986, and the Ph.D. degree in electrical engineering from Virginia Tech,
Blacksburg, in 1990.
mand bids, and the higher levels of uncertainties in their fore- Currently, he is an Associate Professor at Nanyang Technological University,
cast. More realistic data for congestion cost, investment cost, Singapore. His main area of interest is power-system operation and planning.
and other cost parameters is be required to conduct more real-
istic planning studies.

APPENDIX
NETWORK DATA P. A. J. Fonseka (S’03) received the B.Sc. degree in electrical engineering from
Network details are as per [16], except the MVA capacities the University of Moratuwa, Sri Lanka, in 1995 and the M.Eng. degree in electric
power systems management from the Asian Institute of Technology, Thailand,
of the lines, were reduced from the original values as given in in 2000. He is currently pursuing the Ph.D. degree in electrical engineering at
Table IV. Nangyang Technological University, Singapore.

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