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Healthcare Market
Healthcare Market
Foreword
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Healthcare Market
Contents
Contents
Executive Summary 1. Market Overview 1 3
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Healthcare Market
Other Healthcare Services ..............................................................................................................13 Table 1.9: The Total UK Other Healthcare Services Market by Sector by Value (m), 2001-2005 .............................................................................................14
LEGISLATION .................................................................................................................................27
Scotland...........................................................................................................................................27
Healthcare Market
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2. PEST Analysis
33
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Healthcare Market
43
Healthcare Market
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Consulted NHS Direct .....................................................................................................................62 Table 3.7: Penetration of Consulting NHS Direct in the Last 12 Months (% of respondents), 2005 ..............................................................................................................63 Visited a Hospital Casualty Department .......................................................................................65 Table 3.8: Penetration of Visiting a Hospital Casualty Department in the Last 12 Months (% of respondents), 2005 .........................................................................66 Was Referred to a Specialist/Consultant .......................................................................................68 Table 3.9: Penetration of Being Referred to a Specialist/Consultant in the Last 12 Months (% of respondents), 2005 .........................................................................69 Used Over-the-Counter Medicines ................................................................................................ 71 Table 3.10: Penetration of Using Over-the-Counter Medicines in the Last 12 Months (% of respondents), 2005 .........................................................................72 Used Herbal/Alternative Remedies................................................................................................74 Table 3.11: Penetration of Using Herbal/Alternative Remedies in the Last 12 Months (% of respondents), 2005 .........................................................................75 Regularly Took Vitamins/Minerals/Supplements ..........................................................................77 Table 3.12: Penetration of Regularly Taking Vitamins/Minerals/Supplements in the Last 12 Months (% of respondents), 2005 .........................................................................78 Visited a Dentist..............................................................................................................................80 Table 3.13: Penetration of Visiting a Dentist in the Last 12 Months (% of respondents), 2005 ..............................................................................................................81 Had a Routine Eye Examination ....................................................................................................83 Table 3.14: Penetration of Having a Routine Eye Examination in the Last 12 Months (% of respondents), 2005 .........................................................................84 Consulted an Osteopath ................................................................................................................86 Table 3.15: Penetration of Consulting an Osteopath in the Last 12 Months (% of respondents), 2005 ..............................................................................................................87 Consulted a Chiropractor ...............................................................................................................89 Table 3.16: Penetration of Consulting a Chiropractor in the Last 12 Months (% of respondents), 2005 ..............................................................................................................90 Had Physiotherapy..........................................................................................................................92 Table 3.17: Penetration of Having Physiotherapy in the Last 12 Months (% of respondents), 2005 ..............................................................................................................93 None of the Above .........................................................................................................................95 Table 3.18: Penetration of None of the Above in the Last 12 Months (% of respondents), 2005 ..............................................................................................................95
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Healthcare Market
Cutting NHS Waiting Lists ............................................................................................................106 Table 3.22: Cutting NHS Waiting Lists (% of respondents), 2005 .............................................107 Increasing NHS Funding ...............................................................................................................109 Table 3.23: Increasing NHS Funding (% of respondents), 2005 ................................................110 Monitoring Hospital Performance...............................................................................................112 Table 3.24: Monitoring Hospital Performance (% of respondents), 2005 ...............................113 Improving Hospital Cleanliness....................................................................................................115 Table 3.25: Improving Hospital Cleanliness (% of respondents), 2005 ....................................116 Improving General Practitioner Out-of-Hours Services..............................................................118 Table 3.26: Improving General Practitioner Out-of-Hours Services (% of respondents), 2005 ............................................................................................................119 Increasing the Range and Availability of Over-the-Counter Medicines....................................121 Table 3.27: Increasing the Range and Availability of Over-the Counter Medicines (% of respondents), 2005 ............................................................................................................122 Encouraging Private Healthcare ..................................................................................................124 Table 3.28: Encouraging Private Healthcare (% of respondents), 2005 ...................................125 Changing Government Policy ......................................................................................................127 Table 3.29: Changing Government Policy (% of respondents), 2005 .......................................128 Educating the Public on Health Issues.........................................................................................130 Table 3.30: Educating the Public on Health Issues (% of respondents), 2005 .........................131
4. Competitive Structure
133
Healthcare Market
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143
FORECASTS ..................................................................................................................................151
Table 5.2: Forecast Total UK Expenditure on the National Health Service (m), 2006-2010 ...........................................................................................................................151 Figure 5.2: Forecast Total UK Expenditure on the National Health Service (m), 2006-2010 ...........................................................................................................................152
153
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FORECASTS ..................................................................................................................................159
Table 6.5: The Forecast Total UK Hospital and Community Health Services Market by Value (m), 2006-2010 ............................................................................................................159 Figure 6.2: The Forecast Total UK Hospital and Community Health Services Market by Value (m), 2006-2010 ............................................................................................................160
161
FORECASTS ..................................................................................................................................164
Table 7.2: The Forecast Total UK Family Health Services Market by Sector by Value (m), 2006-2010 ...........................................................................................164 Figure 7.2: The Forecast Total UK Family Health Services Market by Sector by Value (m), 2006-2010 ...........................................................................................165
Healthcare Market
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Prescription Volume and Charges ...............................................................................................166 Increased Generic Prescribing ......................................................................................................166 Consolidation of Pharmacy Outlets.............................................................................................167 Proposed Changes to the Pharmacy Contract ............................................................................167 Market Size ...................................................................................................................................167 Table 7.3: The Total UK Pharmaceuticals Services Market by Value (m), 2001-2005 ............................................................................................................168 Table 7.4: Number and Type of Prescriptions Dispensed in England by Diagnostic Group (million and %), Year Ending December 2004 .......................................168 Supply Structure ...........................................................................................................................169 Table 7.5: Number of Pharmacies Contracted to Health Authorities in England and Wales, 1999/2000-2003/2004 ............................................................................170 Figure 7.3: Number of Pharmacies Contracted to Health Authorities in England and Wales, 1999/2000-2003/2004 ............................................................................170 Major Players ................................................................................................................................171 Pharmaceutical Companies ..........................................................................................................171 AstraZeneca .................................................................................................................................171 Eli Lilly and Company Ltd ............................................................................................................171 GlaxoSmithKline ..........................................................................................................................171 Pfizer Ltd ......................................................................................................................................171 Shire Pharmaceuticals ..................................................................................................................171 Pharmacy Chains...........................................................................................................................172 Boots the Chemist ........................................................................................................................172 Lloyds Pharmacy ..........................................................................................................................172 Moss Pharmacy ............................................................................................................................172 Buying Behaviour .........................................................................................................................172 Advertising and Promotion..........................................................................................................173 Forecasts........................................................................................................................................173 Table 7.6: The Forecast Total UK Pharmaceutical Services Market by Value (m), 2006-2010 ............................................................................................................174
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Figure 7.5: Average Number of Patients per General Practitioner in the UK by Country, 2002 .........................................................................................................177 Buying Behaviour .........................................................................................................................178 Forecasts........................................................................................................................................178 Table 7.10: The Forecast Total UK General and Personal Medical Services Market by Value (m), 2006-2010 ............................................................................................................178
Healthcare Market
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Major Players ................................................................................................................................189 Boots Opticians Ltd.......................................................................................................................189 Dollond & Aitchison Ltd ...............................................................................................................189 Specsavers Optical Group.............................................................................................................189 Vision Express................................................................................................................................189 Advertising and Promotion..........................................................................................................190 Main Media Advertising Expenditure .........................................................................................190 Table 7.22: Main Media Advertising Expenditure on Prescription Frames and Contact Lenses (000), Year Ending March 2005 ...............................................................190 Buying Behaviour .........................................................................................................................191 Table 7.23: NHS-Paid Sight Tests by Patient Eligibility in England and Wales (% of sight tests), April-September 2004 ...................................................................................192 Table 7.24: Percentage of Spectacles/Appliances for Which Vouchers Were Reimbursed by the NHS by Patient Eligibility (%), April-September 2004 ..............................193 Forecasts........................................................................................................................................193 Table 7.25: The Forecast Total UK General Ophthalmic Services Market by Value (m), 2006-2010 ............................................................................................................193
8. Private Healthcare
195
FORECASTS ..................................................................................................................................197
Table 8.2: The Forecast Total UK Private Healthcare Market by Sector by Value (m), 2006-2010 ...........................................................................................197 Figure 8.2: The Forecast Total UK Private Healthcare Market by Value (m), 2006-2010 ............................................................................................................197
LONG-TERM CARE......................................................................................................................198
Key Trends.....................................................................................................................................198 Funding and Compliance .............................................................................................................198 Market Polarisation ......................................................................................................................198 Demographic Trends ....................................................................................................................198 Social Trends .................................................................................................................................199 Increasing Investment in the Long-Term Care Market...............................................................199 Market Specialisation and Added Value.....................................................................................199 Market Size ...................................................................................................................................199 Table 8.3: The Total UK Private Long-Term Care Sector by Subsector by Value (m), 2001-2005 .....................................................................................200 Supply Structure ...........................................................................................................................200 Table 8.4: Number of Long-Term Care Places by Subsector, April 2004 ..................................201 Legislation and Funding of Long-Term Care ..............................................................................202 National Minimum Standards .....................................................................................................202
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Major Players ................................................................................................................................202 Anchor Trust .................................................................................................................................203 BUPA Care Homes.........................................................................................................................203 Craegmoor Group Ltd ..................................................................................................................203 Four Seasons Health Care.............................................................................................................203 Highfield Care...............................................................................................................................203 Southern Cross Healthcare...........................................................................................................204 Westminster Senior Living ...........................................................................................................204 Advertising and Promotion..........................................................................................................204 Buying Behaviour .........................................................................................................................204 Forecasts........................................................................................................................................205 Table 8.5: The Forecast Total UK Private Long-Term Care Sector by Subsector by Value (m), 2006-2010 .....................................................................................205
ACUTE CARE................................................................................................................................207
Definition ......................................................................................................................................207 Key Trends.....................................................................................................................................207 Consolidation in the Marketplace ...............................................................................................207 Cosmetic Surgery ..........................................................................................................................207 Fertility Treatment........................................................................................................................207 Market Size ...................................................................................................................................207 Table 8.6: The Total UK Private Acute Care Sector by Value (m), 2001-2005 ........................208 Supply Structure ...........................................................................................................................208 Table 8.7: The Total UK Private Acute Care Sector by Number of Hospitals and Beds, 1999-2004 ....................................................................................................................208 Table 8.8: Ownership Status of Private Acute Care Providers (% of total beds), 1998 and 2004 ...............................................................................................209 Major Players ................................................................................................................................209 BMI Healthcare .............................................................................................................................209 Nuffield Hospitals .........................................................................................................................209 BUPA Hospitals Ltd .......................................................................................................................209 Capio Healthcare ..........................................................................................................................210 HCA International Ltd ..................................................................................................................210 Table 8.9: Leading UK Private Acute Care Providers by Number of Hospitals and Beds, 2004 ....................................................................................210 Private Care in the NHS ................................................................................................................211 Advertising and Promotion..........................................................................................................211 Buying Behaviour .........................................................................................................................211 Forecasts........................................................................................................................................212 Table 8.10: The Forecast Total UK Private Acute Care Sector by Value (m), 2006-2010 .......212
Healthcare Market
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Supply Structure ...........................................................................................................................214 Table 8.12: The Total UK Independent Acute Psychiatric Care Sector by Number of Beds (number and %), 2002 and 2004 ...............................................................214 Major Players ................................................................................................................................214 Table 8.13: Major Players in the UK Independent Acute Psychiatric Care Sector by Number of Hospitals and Beds, 2004 ....................................................................................215 Priory Healthcare Ltd....................................................................................................................215 Partnerships in Care Ltd ...............................................................................................................215 St Andrews Group of Hospitals...................................................................................................216 Care Principles...............................................................................................................................216 Cygnet Healthcare ........................................................................................................................216 Advertising and Promotion..........................................................................................................216 Buying Behaviour .........................................................................................................................216 Forecasts........................................................................................................................................217 Table 8.14: The Forecast Total UK Private Psychiatric Care Sector (m), 2006-2010 ...............217
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225
237
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MAJOR PLAYERS ........................................................................................................................243 ADVERTISING AND PROMOTION ............................................................................................243 BUYING BEHAVIOUR .................................................................................................................244 FORECASTS ..................................................................................................................................244
Table 10.3: The Forecast Total UK Complementary and Alternative Medicine Market by Value (m), 2006-2010 ..............................................................................................245 Figure 10.2: The Forecast Total UK Complementary and Alternative Medicine Market by Value (m), 2006-2010 ..............................................................................................245
247
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FORECASTS ..................................................................................................................................260
Table 11.8: The Forecast Total UK Palliative and Hospice Care Market by Value (m), 2006-2010 ............................................................................................................261 Figure 11.2: The Forecast Total UK Palliative and Hospice Care Market by Value (m), 2006-2010 ............................................................................................................262
263
OVERVIEW ...................................................................................................................................263
Table 12.1: Total Healthcare Expenditure as a Percentage of Gross Domestic Product by Country (%), 2003 ......................................................................263
269
INTRODUCTION ..........................................................................................................................269
The Economy.................................................................................................................................269 Table 13.1: Forecast UK Economic Trends (000, % and million), 2005-2009 ............................270 FORECASTS....................................................................................................................................270 Table 13.2: The Forecast Total UK Healthcare Market by Sector by Value (m), 2006-2010 ............................................................................................................271 Figure 13.1: The Forecast Total UK Healthcare Market by Value (m), 2006-2010 .................272
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275
Associations...................................................................................................................................275 General Sources ............................................................................................................................277 Government Publications.............................................................................................................277 Other Sources................................................................................................................................277 Bonnier Information Sources .......................................................................................................279
281 271
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Healthcare Market
Executive Summary
Executive Summary
This Key Note Market Review analyses the healthcare market in the UK, which can be divided broadly into public healthcare (the NHS, which comprises hospital and community health services [HCHS] and family health services [FHS]), private healthcare (and private medical insurance [PMI]), and other healthcare services (covering complementary and alternative medicine [CAM] and palliative and hospice care). Key Note estimates that, in 2005, the total UK healthcare market will be worth 111.42bn, an increase of 8.9% on 2004. Since its inception in 1948, the UK healthcare market has been dominated by the significant, comprehensive NHS. When the NHS was established with the remit to provide healthcare based on need rather than the ability to pay, there was no conception of how much costs would rise as the boundaries of healthcare expanded, along with the increasing number of elderly people in the population. In spite of the problems in funding and delivery, the British public remain fiercely protective of the NHS and politicians are aware that any significant erosion of the central principles of the NHS will have a huge political cost. At the same time, governments have had to grapple with the key issues of limited resources, prioritisation of care and, most importantly, how best to deliver healthcare in the most cost-effective and efficient way without compromising the principles of the NHS. Key Note estimates that, in 2005, the NHS will account for 80.7% of total UK expenditure on healthcare services. The NHS is organised into two main service delivery organisations: HCHS, which are responsible for hospital-based services; and FHS, which are responsible for frontline community-based primary care. HCHS account for the bulk of NHS expenditure. Within FHS, the highest proportion of expenditure is on pharmaceutical services (PHS). In the UK, the private healthcare sector has evolved in the shadow of the significant public sector, largely through supplying solutions to the problems in the NHS. As a result, much of the private-sector provision is traditionally for routine elective procedures, which are likely to have longer waiting lists on the NHS. The private sector has also developed niche markets, such as cosmetic surgery, abortion services and fertility treatment, which are either limited or unavailable on the NHS. More recently, the private sector and the NHS have been working in partnership, supplying services to reduce waiting lists for the NHS or running services for the NHS directly, such as long-term care, certain psychiatric care services and specialist diagnostic services. Primary care services, particularly occupational health, are also a relatively small, but emerging, market in the private healthcare sector. In 2005, Key Note estimates that private healthcare services (excluding PMI) accounted for 15.3% of healthcare expenditure in the UK. By far the largest private sector market was that of long-term care. PMI remains the principal source of funding for the private healthcare sector, although the NHS has become a significant commissioner of private-sector services and many private patients are opting for self-pay fixed-price schemes.
Executive Summary
Healthcare Market
CAM comprises a significantly diverse range of therapies and treatments, of which some, such as chiropractic and osteopathy, have achieved statutory recognition and regulation. Others have little or no regulation outside the voluntary self-regulation of a large number of different trade organisations. A number of the more popular complementary therapies, including osteopathy, chiropractic, acupuncture, reflexology and aromatherapy, are becoming increasingly integrated into mainstream care. Homeopathy is available in a number of NHS hospitals, in spite of the scepticism of many healthcare professionals. Palliative and hospice care, although a comparatively small sector of the market in terms of expenditure, is also hugely influential. Largely run by charities and voluntary organisations, the palliative and hospice care sector has had funding problems, coupled with increasing demand for services. However, there has been increasing recognition from the public sector in terms of funding and the development of more integrated partnerships in care with, or actually within, the NHS. In particular, the palliative care sector has been developing more flexible community-based services, with the emphasis on home and respite care. Healthcare services in the UK are under increasing pressure from a demographically ageing population. In addition, medicine is a technology-driven market, with new treatments and procedures continually expanding the scope of care. The Government has been trying to contain costs and improve efficiency in the public sector through significant increases in funding, coupled with the use of increasingly tough targets. In addition, the Government has recently been introducing reforms aimed at the decentralisation of decision making, and the reduction of bureaucracy and administrative costs. The private sector has responded to funding pressures and the drive for cost efficiency by adding value to services, which broadens the scope of these services. The result has been a significant rise in acquisition and merger activities within the private sector, creating large companies that operate across the continuum of healthcare, with greater flexibility and economies of scale. At the other end of the spectrum, conditions have become increasingly difficult for small, independent operators. Although the problems facing healthcare in the UK are complex, intractable and significant, there is immense political and public will for great improvements in the delivery of healthcare in the UK. The stakes are particularly high for a government that has been pouring unprecedented amounts of funding into the health sector, and for a public that are still looking for significant signs of improvement.
Healthcare Market
1. Market Overview
1. Market Overview
REPORT COVERAGE
The UK healthcare market is a comprehensive, highly complex mixture of interconnecting primary, secondary and tertiary services. This Key Note Market Review provides an overview of public, private, charitable, complementary and alternative healthcare services in the UK, and examines the market structure and segmentation within the various sectors. The report also examines key market issues, including the effects of government policy and other social, economic and environmental factors, as well as the impact of demographic trends and European legislation.
Public Healthcare
The National Health Service
Public healthcare provision in the UK is provided by the NHS, which is a comprehensive network of services that dominate and define the UK healthcare market. The NHS is organised into two main service supply structures, as follows:
1. Market Overview
Healthcare Market
The NHS, HCHS and FHS are considered separately in Chapters 5, 6 and 7 of this report.
Private Healthcare
In the UK, private healthcare is supplied by a combination of commercial and charitable providers of a variety of services, including the following:
long-term care residential and nursing home care acute care hospitals and specialist diagnostic services psychiatric care both hospital and community-based services primary care private GP practices and occupational health services.
Palliative and hospice care in the UK, palliative and hospice care is
provided by a combination of voluntary and public services. They are based either in charitable hospices and NHS hospitals, or they are community-based and supplied by teams of specialist healthcare professionals. This market also includes respite care and day care services, as well as home-based care. The markets for CAM and palliative and hospice care are considered separately in Chapters 10 and 11 of this report.
Healthcare Market
1. Market Overview
REPORT BACKGROUND
The UK healthcare system is highly complex in terms of the nature and type of services that it delivers. It is heavily influenced by trends and changes in the population that it serves. In addition, it is highly dependent on the state of the UK economy, as it relies on general taxation for the bulk of its funding. When the NHS was founded in 1948, at a time when the country was rebuilding in the post-war period, there was a general optimism that new treatments (particularly antibiotics), together with improvements in diet, sanitation and housing, would lead to improvements in the general health of the population, which would limit the costs of healthcare. Instead, an ageing population, along with rising levels of circulatory disease and cancer, as well as chronic conditions such as asthma, have resulted in significant increases in costs. Previous problems, such as malnutrition and infectious disease, have been replaced with rising levels of obesity and viral diseases such as acquired immune deficiency syndrome (AIDS). Increasing levels of antibiotic resistance have also begun to erode the advantages of antibiotics. Also adding to these costs are the advances in technologies that are expanding the scope and range of treatment possibilities. In an effort to contain and control costs, successive governments have introduced a variety of comprehensive reforms with the appropriate legislation. During 18 years in power, the previous Conservative Government introduced legislation that brought an internal market structure to the NHS, dividing it into service providers and service commissioners who bought services on behalf of consumers (patients). As part of the reforms, the Conservative Government introduced tendering of services to bidders inside and outside the NHS and, in an effort to obtain much-needed investment for the NHS infrastructure, it extended the Private Finance Initiative (PFI) into the NHS. As part of its legacy, the previous government attempted to develop a culture of cost awareness and cost effectiveness although, ultimately, it was criticised for the expanding centralisation and bureaucracy of services. Under the reforms, the Conservatives introduced Care in the Community and closed many psychiatric institutions. At the same time, the NHS began to withdraw from long-term residential care, relying increasingly on the private sector, and costs continued to rise. When the current Labour Government came to power, it did so with a clear commitment to improving the NHS, and has proceeded to invest unprecedented sums of money into the service. Although it abolished the internal market as such, the current Government has retained something of the infrastructure, and has continued to foster private public partnerships and the PFI with a streamlined approval process. The publication of the NHS Plan in 2000 set out its goals for reform, with a new system of healthcare delivery and specific commitments for improvement in key areas, such as reducing waiting lists and improving access to care.
1. Market Overview
Healthcare Market
With a commitment to preventative medicine and greater co-ordination of services, the Government introduced the national frameworks to target specific areas of health concern, such as cancer, as well as investing in primary care services. Perhaps the most controversial reform introduced to date has been the creation of foundation hospitals from high-performing trusts, which will be given powers of autonomy to be run by community and trust stakeholders. In an effort to improve the quality and consistency of service provision, the Government introduced a system of standards and target setting, and has established organisations such as the National Institute of Clinical Excellence (NICE) to oversee, promote and rationalise care provision. However, the costs of care are continuing to rise and there are still many challenges yet to be resolved, including staff shortages, bed blocking, the rationalisation of service provision, rising problems of antibiotic-resistant infection, and the problems in long-term care funding and provision.
ECONOMIC TRENDS
Population
Between 2000 and 2004, the UK population rose by an estimated 1.5% to 59.8 million people. More important is the ageing nature of the UK population, which has an effect on the healthcare market (see Key Trends section).
Healthcare Market
1. Market Overview
2004
Total
% change year-on-year
census year
Source: Monthly Digest, May 2005, National Statistics website/ Projections Database, Government Actuarys Department Crown copyright material is reproduced with the permission of the Controller of HMSO (and the Queens Printer for Scotland)
Table 1.2: UK Gross Domestic Product at Current and Annual Prices (m), 2000-2004
2000
Current prices % change year-on-year
2001
2002
2003
2004
950,561 -
Table continues...
1. Market Overview
Healthcare Market
Table 1.2: UK Gross Domestic Product at Current and Annual Prices (m), 2000-2004
...table continued 2000
Annual chain-linked GDP % change year-on-year
GDP gross domestic product
2001
2002
2003
2004
971,937 -
Source: National Accounts, Main Aggregates 1948-2004, National Statistics website Crown copyright material is reproduced with the permission of the Controller of HMSO (and the Queens Printer for Scotland)
Inflation
In 2000, the UK rate of inflation was 2.9%, before dropping to 1.8% in 2001 and a low of 1.6% in 2002. Since then, inflation has risen to reach 2.9% in 2003 and 3% in 2004. Higher levels of inflation give rise to higher wage bills and prices, both of which add to the burgeoning costs of healthcare.
2.9 -
Source: Monthly Digest, May 2005, National Statistics website Crown copyright material is reproduced with the permission of the Controller of HMSO (and the Queens Printer for Scotland)
Healthcare Market
1. Market Overview
Unemployment
The actual number of unemployed persons (claimants) in the UK fell steadily from 1.1 million in 2000 to 850,000 in 2004.
1.09 -
Source: Monthly Digest, May 2005, National Statistics website Crown copyright material is reproduced with the permission of the Controller of HMSO (and the Queens Printer for Scotland)
UK healthcare services are major employers in the UK, with the NHS employing around 1.4 million people directly, and many more in the various supply industries. However, the lack of suitably qualified healthcare professionals has resulted in a significant number of unfilled vacancies and the NHS has been actively recruiting abroad (see Key Trends in Chapter 5 The National Health Service).
11,162 -
Source: Economic Trends, June 2005, National Statistics website Crown copyright material is reproduced with the permission of the Controller of HMSO (and the Queens Printer for Scotland)
1. Market Overview
Healthcare Market
MARKET SIZE
Since the last edition of this report was published (February 2003), market size figures and source data have been subject to a number of revisions and, as a result, may differ from previous reports. Similarly, Key Note estimates from the last report have been revised into actual figures.
Table 1.6: The Total UK Healthcare Market by Sector by Value (m,) 2001-2005
2001
NHS Private healthcare Private medical insurance Complementary and alternative medicine Palliative and hospice care
e2004
e2005
Total
% change year-on-year
e Key Note estimates
Source: Annual Abstract of Statistics, National Statistics website Crown copyright material is reproduced with the permission of the Controller of HMSO (and the Queens Printer for Scotland)/Annex A2, Department of Health Annual Report 2005 Crown copyright/Laings Healthcare Market Review 2004-2005/trade sources/Key Note
10
Healthcare Market
1. Market Overview
120,000 110,000 100,000 90,000 80,000 70,000 60,000 50,000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Note: figures for 2004 and 2005 are Key Note estimates.
Source: Annual Abstract of Statistics, National Statistics website Crown copyright material is reproduced with the permission of the Controller of HMSO (and the Queens Printer for Scotland)/Annex A2, Department of Health Annual Report 2005 Crown copyright/Laings Healthcare Market Review 2004-2005/trade sources/Key Note
Table 1.7: Total UK Expenditure on the National Health Service by Sector by Value (m), 2001-2005
2001
Hospital and community health services
2002
2003
e2004
e2005
48,236
51,641
57,438
e63,280
e69,728
Table continues...
11
1. Market Overview
Healthcare Market
Table 1.7: Total UK Expenditure on the National Health Service by Sector by Value (m), 2001-2005
...table continued 2001 Family Health Services
Pharmaceutical services General and personal medical services Dental services General ophthalmic services
e2004
e2005
Source: Annual Abstract of Statistics, National Statistics website Crown copyright material is reproduced with the permission of the Controller of HMSO (and the Queens Printer for Scotland)/Annex A2, Department of Health Annual Report 2005 Crown copyright/Key Note
Private Healthcare
In the private healthcare market, long-term care is the largest market sector, worth an estimated 10.8bn in 2005, accounting for 63.5% of the private healthcare market. Acute care constitutes the second-largest sector, at an estimated 5.33bn in 2005.
12
Healthcare Market
1. Market Overview
Table 1.8: The Total UK Private Healthcare Market (Including Private Medical Insurance) by Sector by Value (m), 2001-2005
2001 Private Healthcare
Long-term care Acute care Psychiatric care Primary care
e2004
e2005
Total
% change year-on-year
e Key Note estimates
13
1. Market Overview
Healthcare Market
Table 1.9: The Total UK Other Healthcare Services Market by Sector by Value (m), 2001-2005
2001
Complementary and alternative healthcare Palliative and hospice care
2002
2003
e2004
e2005
Total
% change year-on-year
e Key Note estimates
MARKET SEGMENTATION
The National Health Service
The NHS was founded in the post-war period in 1948 with the remit to provide comprehensive healthcare services to all UK citizens as a service based on need rather than the ability to pay. It is funded, uniquely in the world, from general taxation and the NHS element of National Insurance (NI) contributions. The service was founded at an optimistic time, when it was generally believed that demand for care would naturally fall as public health improved and various diseases were eliminated. However, since then, the ageing population and diseases such as cancer and heart disease, together with the emergence of antibiotic resistance, asthma, allergies and other chronic intractable conditions, have increased demand significantly. At the same time, technology has expanded the opportunities for care and the demand for increasing amounts of care. As such, there has been a significant increase in healthcare expenditure, with demand outstripping the ability to provide. Since the 1970s, the NHS has been subjected to a significant amount of reorganisation and reform by successive governments. These reforms include the creation of an internal market of providers and purchasers introduced by the previous Conservative Government, and the introduction of the PFI and private partnerships and tendering mechanisms.
14
Healthcare Market
1. Market Overview
Although the current Labour Government abolished the internal market, it has maintained many elements of the previous reforms, including providers (NHS trusts) and commissioners (PCTs) of care, as well as private public partnerships and tendering processes. In addition, the current Government has added elements of its own, including foundation hospitals and a target-driven culture. Service provision in the NHS is divided into two major organisational arms, as follows:
General and personal medical services this sector supplies the core
primary care provision in the NHS via community-based GPs. General and personal medical services are the primary point of access to the NHS (both public and private).
Private Healthcare
The private healthcare market comprises both commercial and voluntary providers, and the commercial sector has become increasingly dominant in recent years. Although comparatively small to the NHS, it has been growing through a combination of public private partnerships, the development of niche markets and capitalising on the waiting lists and service provision problems of the NHS. Key Note estimates that, in 2005, the private healthcare market will be worth an estimated 17bn.
15
1. Market Overview
Healthcare Market
Long-term care long-term residential and nursing home care for the
elderly and disabled is dominated by the private sector, both commercial and charitable, as the public sector gradually withdraws from the provision of these services. The market has been significantly affected by funding issues and high barriers to entry for care providers. In 2005, long-term care is, by far, the largest sector in the private healthcare market.
Acute care there are around 206 private acute care hospitals in the UK
and commercial operators now dominate the marketplace. Most treatment in this sector is for routine elective surgery, but niche markets, such as cosmetic surgery and fertility treatment, are growing rapidly.
INDUSTRY STRUCTURE
Employment
The UK healthcare market is dominated by the public health service provider, the NHS, which is the largest employer in the UK. In 2003, the NHS employed 1.4 million people, compared with 1.2 million in 1999.
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Healthcare Market
1. Market Overview
24,250 44,839
69,089
25,067 45,872
70,939
26,106 47,100
73,206
27,951 50,073
78,024
29,566 52,728
82,294
581 1,235
1,816
580 1,201
1,781
578 1,238
1,816
610 1,334
1,944
664 1,317
1,981
303,644 112,142
309,682 114,055
320,685 116,732
335,313 120,048
349,701 124,562
Table continues...
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1. Market Overview
Healthcare Market
Administrative and clerical staff Professional and technical staff Healthcare assistants Ambulance staff Other non-medical/ nursing staff
Total non-medical/ nursing staff Total HCHS FHS 455,135 941,826 466,545 963,002 490,414 1,002,853 519,029 1,054,358 548,574 1,107,112
Personal social services staff GPs Dental practitioners Optometrists Ophthalmic medical practitioners
Total FHS Total
827
288,915 1,230,741
819
285,649 1,248,651
754
281,495 1,284,348
686
278,590 1,332,948
674
284,701 1,391,813
Table continues...
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Healthcare Market
1. Market Overview
Source: Annual Abstract of Statistics 2005 (Tables 9.4 and 9.5), National Statistics website Crown copyright material is reproduced with the permission of the Controller of HMSO (and the Queens Printer for Scotland) The decentralised and diverse nature of the private sector make it difficult to determine the number of people employed but, according to the Department of Health (DoH), there are around 9,000 full-time equivalent qualified nurses working in the private sector, with around 41,000 qualified nurses working in private residential nursing homes. Since there is a significant shortage of qualified nurses, the NHS has been recruiting from abroad for some years, with foreign recruits accounting for around a third of all new registrations. Most of these recruits are from the Philippines. In terms of private medical staff, most consultants (more than 85%) working in the private sector also have contracts with the NHS, and very few are exclusively private.
Distribution
The NHS was established with the remit to provide comprehensive care, free at the point of need and, as such, has a network of facilities throughout every part of the UK. GPs are the frontline for primary care services, which act as a conduit from the community to secondary care services based mostly in hospitals, and the corresponding tertiary care services. The private sector in the UK is comparatively small and is far less comprehensive in nature than the NHS. Services are provided in greatest concentration in large urban areas, in London in particular. Palliative and hospice care operate both within the NHS and in voluntary hospices and community-based services, whereas complementary care is provided mostly by private community-based therapists.
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1. Market Overview
Healthcare Market
MARKET POSITION
According to the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), in terms of total healthcare expenditure as a percentage of GDP, the UK was ranked 19th in the world, at 7.7% in 2003 (see Chapter 12 A Global Perspective).
KEY TRENDS
Demographics
Population
The UK population has increased by 6.9% since 1971 and is projected to reach 60.3 million by 2006. Population growth is projected to reach 64.9 million by 2026, an increase of 8.6% on 2004 (see Table 1.1). The UK population has been ageing steadily since 1971, with the proportion of those aged 18 years and under falling from 28.2% in 1971 to a projected 21.7% in 2006. In addition, the proportion of this age group is forecast to fall further and account for a projected 19.5% of the population by 2026. In contrast, the proportion of elderly people of pensionable age rose from 16.3% in 1971 to a projected 18.9% in 2006, and is forecast to reach 21.4% by 2026. The ageing population, with the accompanying health problems associated with getting older, is increasing pressure on NHS services.
Table 1.11: UK Resident Population Estimates and Projections (000 and %), Mid-Years 1971-2026
% Population Population
1971 1981 1991 2001 2002 2006 2011
% Population of Pensionable Age 16.3 17.8 18.4 18.3 18.4 18.9 19.8
Table continues...
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Healthcare Market
1. Market Overview
Table 1.11: UK Resident Population Estimates and Projections (000 and %), Mid-Years 1971-2026
...table continued % Population Under 18 Years 19.9 19.7 19.5 % Population of Pensionable Age 19.8 19.9 21.4
Population
2016 2021 2026
does not match the figure given in Table 1.1 due to rounding by source
Source: Annual Abstract of Statistics 2005 (Table 5.3), National Statistics website Crown copyright material is reproduced with the permission of the Controller of HMSO (and the Queens Printer for Scotland)
Figure 1.2: UK Resident Population Estimates and Projections for Those Aged Under 18 and of Pensionable Age (000), Mid-Years 2001-2026
14,500 14,000 13,500 13,000 12,500 12,000 11,500 11,000 10,500 10,000 2001 2002 2003 2006 2011 2016 2021 2026
Under 18 Pensionable age
Source: Annual Abstract of Statistics 2005 (Table 5.3), National Statistics website Crown copyright material is reproduced with the permission of the Controller of HMSO (and the Queens Printer for Scotland)
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1. Market Overview
Healthcare Market
According to the English Community Care Association (ECCA), 20% of all people aged over 85 years were admitted to care homes in England in 2003. The ECCA forecasts that 29% more beds will be required over the next 12 years to meet increasing demand.
Births
The birth rate has fallen steadily from 880,000 in 1970-1972, to a low of 672,000 in 2000-2002. In 2003, the latest figures available indicate a rise in the number of births to 696,000, an increase of 3.6% on 2000-2002. In 2003, the general fertility rate was 56.2. However, the still-birth rate rose from a low of 4.6 still births (born dead after 24 weeks) per 1,000 women in 1990-1992, to 5.7 still births per 1,000 women in 2003.
Birth Rate Fertility Rate 15.8 13.0 13.8 11.4 11.7 82.5 62.5 63.7 54.7 56.2
Source: Annual Abstract of Statistics 2005 (Table 5.15), National Statistics website Crown copyright material is reproduced with the permission of the Controller of HMSO (and the Queens Printer for Scotland)
Legal Abortions
Since 1986, the number of legal abortions rose from 147,619 to a peak of 177,871 in 1998, before falling to a low of 173,701 in 1999. Since then, the number of legal abortions has risen slightly and, in 2003, there were 181,582. The proportion of abortions performed on girls aged 15 years or under was at its highest in 1986, at 2.6%, before falling to 1.9% in 1992. Since then, it has remained at a steady 2.1% of all abortions until 2003, when it increased slightly to 2.2%. In contrast, the proportion of abortions by the over-45s has remained steady, at 0.3%. The greatest fluctuation was observed among 16 to 19 year-olds, ranging from 22.9% in 1986 to 17.2% in 1992. By 2003, the proportion of abortions in this age group was 18.9% of the total.
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Healthcare Market
1. Market Overview
Table 1.13: Actual Number of Legal Abortions in the UK (number and %), 1986-2003
% of Total All Ages
1986 1992 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
% of Total Aged 16-19 Years 22.9 17.2 18.7 18.9 18.9 19.0 18.7 18.9
% of Total Over 45 Years 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Aged 15 Years and Under 2.6 1.9 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.2
Source: Annual Abstract of Statistics 2005 (Table 5.18), National Statistics website Crown copyright material is reproduced with the permission of the Controller of HMSO (and the Queens Printer for Scotland)
Infant Mortality
Since the 1950s, infant mortality has fallen quite dramatically each decade. In 1950-1952, the mortality rate was 30 for every 1,000 live births, compared with 5 per 1,000 live births in 2000-2002. This is a strong indication of the successful development of antenatal and postnatal maternity services, combined with general improvements in public health.
Table 1.14: Infant Mortality Per 1,000 Live Births in the UK, 1950-2002
1950-1952 1960-1962 1970-1972 Table continues... 30 22 18
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1. Market Overview
Healthcare Market
Table 1.14: Infant Mortality Per 1,000 Live Births in the UK, 1950-2002
...table continued 1980-1982 1990-1992 2000-2002
under 1 year
12 7 5
Source: Annual Abstract of Statistics 2005 (Table 5.20), National Statistics website Crown copyright material is reproduced with the permission of the Controller of HMSO (and the Queens Printer for Scotland)
Public Health
Cause of Death
Heart and circulatory disease is the main cause of death in the UK and was responsible for 38.1% of all deaths in 2003. Cancer is the second major cause of death in the UK, constituting 26% of all deaths in 2003. However, between 2002 and 2003, the number of deaths caused by cancer decreased by 0.4%. Together, these two conditions were responsible for 64.1% of all deaths in the UK in 2003. The highest level of growth was observed for respiratory disease, with an increase of 7.7% between 2002 and 2003, although there were also significant increases during this period in genito-urinary disease (7.2%), and diseases of the central nervous system (CNS) and sense organs (5.6%).
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Healthcare Market
1. Market Overview
Table 1.15: Number of Deaths in the UK by Major Cause (number and %), 2002 and 2003
% Change 2002 Deaths From Natural Causes
Heart and circulatory disease Cancer Respiratory disease Digestive system disease Mental and behavioral disorders Diseases of CNS and sense organs Genito-urinary disease Endocrine, nutritional and metabolic diseases Other deaths from natural causes
2003 233,058 158,654 84,674 28,750 17,824 17,577 10,503 9,220 29,110 589,370 21,818 611,188
20022003 -2.0 -0.4 7.7 3.2 3.0 5.6 7.2 2.6 2.0 0.8 2.4 0.8
237,850 159,331 78,589 27,858 17,301 16,644 9,797 8,986 28,544 584,900 21,316 606,216
Total
CNS central nervous system
Source: Annual Abstract of Statistics 2005 (Table 9.5), National Statistics website Crown copyright material is reproduced with the permission of the Controller of HMSO (and the Queens Printer for Scotland)
Infectious Disease
In 2003, there was a 95.7% rise in the number of reported cases of mumps, compared with a 25.8% fall in notified cases of measles. Rubella cases also decreased by 23.8%. Following a rise in the incidence of measles in 2002, there has been a significant rise of mumps in 2003. These rises could have been facilitated by safety fears over the measles, mumps and rubella (MMR) vaccine, which has led to many parents failing to have their infants vaccinated and creating a potential pool for infection in the population. Reported cases of typhoid and paratyphoid fevers rose by 51.4% during this period, although whooping cough decreased by 51.6%.
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1. Market Overview
Healthcare Market
There was also a rise in the reported number of cases of scarlet fever (18.3%) and hepatitis (3.3%), although there were decreases in reported cases of malaria (5.3%), tuberculosis (5.2%), food poisoning (3.1%) and dysentery (2%).
Table 1.16: Notified Cases of Infectious Diseases in the UK (number and %), 2002 and 2003
% Change 2002-2003 -3.1 -5.2 3.3 95.7 18.3 -25.8 -23.8 -2.0 -5.3 -51.6 51.4
2002
Food poisoning Tuberculosis Hepatitis Mumps Scarlet fever Measles Rubella Dysentery Malaria Whooping cough Typhoid and paratyphoid fevers
2003 79,073 6,863 5,203 4,565 3,252 2,726 1,525 1,144 820 509 277
81,562 7,239 5,035 2,333 2,749 3,675 2,002 1,167 866 1,051 183
Source: Annual Abstract of Statistics 2005 (Table 9.6), National Statistics website Crown copyright material is reproduced with the permission of the Controller of HMSO (and the Queens Printer for Scotland)
Back Pain
Back pain has been identified by the DoH as being the leading cause of disability in the UK, affecting over 1.1 million people. The incidence of back pain has risen more rapidly than any other common disability. According to the DoH, around half of the UK adult population (49%) reported having suffered from lower back pain for at least 24 hours during 2000. Another series of surveys carried out for the DoH estimated that four out of five people will experience significant back pain at some stage in their life. In another survey, it was estimated that more than half of those with back pain had pain lasting for more than 4 weeks and that 2.5 million people had pain lasting throughout the year. There was little difference between men and women, but young people were more likely to have shorter acute episodes of pain and older people were prone to more chronic problems. Back pain has profound economic implications, with one in eight unemployed people claiming that back pain is the reason for their unemployment. At any one time, around 430,000 people are claiming social security payments as a result of this.
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Healthcare Market
1. Market Overview
LEGISLATION
NHS reforms in recent years have been underpinned by a large number of Acts and Bills, and by statutory instruments. Some of the most recent major reforms are as follows:
NHS Improvement Plan 2004 which sets out priorities for the NHS
until 2008
Health Protection Agency Bill 2004 this bill established the Health
Protection Agency as a UK-wide public body to tackle the problems of infectious disease, radiation and other hazards
Health and Social Care (Community Health and Standards) Act 2003
legislative machinery for the NHS Plan which includes reforms in the complaints procedure and the creation of foundation trusts
NHS Reform and Health Care Professions Act 2002 which created the
Strategic Health Authorities and other organisational and structural change
The NHS Plan 2000 outlining the reforms to the NHS and setting out
priorities for improvement and reform
Carers and Disabled Children Act 2000 setting out the rights and services
for carers
Health Act 1999 amending the law regarding the NHS involving
arrangements and payments between NHS service providers and local authorities
The Community Care Act 1990 which is aimed at helping people live in
the community wherever possible and imposed a duty of care on local authorities.
Scotland
NHS Reform Bill (Scotland) 2003 which covers the reform of the structure
of the NHS in Scotland, the abolition of NHS trusts and establishment Community Health Partnerships (CHPs)
Health Act 1999, Part II, The National Health Service, Scotland outlining
reform for the NHS in Scotland and the abolition of the internal market
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1. Market Overview
Healthcare Market
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Healthcare Market
1. Market Overview
29
1. Market Overview
Healthcare Market
Faculty of Homeopathy
The Faculty of Homeopathy has more than 1,400 members worldwide and promotes the academic and scientific development of homeopathy. The association works to promote high standards of practice and provides training and education in homeopathy. The Faculty was incorporated by an Act of Parliament in 1950.
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Healthcare Market
1. Market Overview
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1. Market Overview
Healthcare Market
32
Healthcare Market
2. PEST Analysis
2. PEST Analysis
POLITICAL FACTORS
Re-Election of the Labour Government
On 5th May 2005, a General Election re-elected the Labour Government with a substantial, although much-reduced, majority. Following a reshuffle, a new Health Secretary, Patricia Hewitt, was appointed. Since then, a raft of policy announcements have been made. However, the reduced Government majority may make it difficult for the government to push through some of its more radical and controversial plans in the face of back-bench opposition.
Key Targets
Acute Trusts
12-hour waits for emergency admission from accident and emergency (A&E)
departments after the decision to admit waits of more than 12 hours were considered unacceptable.
Outpatients and inpatients waiting longer than the standard the NHS
Plan target is that, by December 2005, the maximum wait for inpatient treatment should be 6 months, with urgent cases treated according to clinical need. By 2008, average waits should be 9 weeks from referral to treatment. This is also a target for primary care trusts (PCTs).
Total time in A&E, less than 4 hours the NHS target requires that, from
March 2005, patients should spend a maximum of 4 hours in A&E from arrival to admission, transfer or discharge. This is also a target for PCTs and ambulance trusts.
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2. PEST Analysis
Healthcare Market
Financial management to attain financial stability for NHS bodies. Improving working lives using modern employment practices to improve
the recruitment and retention of staff.
Treatment for drug misusers reducing drug misuse is a key priority and
PCTs have a key role. PCTs have been asked to increase participation of drug users in treatment programmes by 100% by 2008.
Quit smoking a target for 800,000 people to quit smoking at the 4-week
stage by 2006.
Outpatient and inpatients waiting longer than the standard the NHS
Plan target is that, by December 2005, the maximum wait for inpatient treatment should be 6 months, with urgent cases treated according to clinical need. By 2008, average waits should be 9 weeks from referral to treatment. This is also a target for NHS trusts.
Ambulance Trusts
Selected Others
Increase life expectancy at birth to 78.6 years for men and 82.5 years for
women by 2010.
A 20% reduction in death rates from cancer among people under the age
of 75 years by 2010.
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Healthcare Market
2. PEST Analysis
Improve life outcomes for adults and children with mental health problems
by ensuring access to crisis services by 2005, and a comprehensive Child and Adolescent Mental Health Service by 2006.
Influenza vaccinations the target uptake among those aged over 65 years
is 70%.
Halting the rise in obesity among children under 11 years by 2010. Immunisation to increase uptake and reduce fears over safety of the
measles, mumps and rubella (MMR) vaccine.
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2. PEST Analysis
Healthcare Market
Staff Shortages
Shortages of qualified healthcare professionals are threatening to derail improvements in the health service. In addition, according to the Royal College of Nursing (RCN), a significant proportion of nurses are nearing retirement age or planning to take early retirement. According to the Department of Health (DoH), as of March 2004, there were 7,520 vacancies (of more than 3 months) for qualified nurses, midwives and health visitors, compared with 1,670 medical and dental staff. In addition, there were vacancies for 1,260 consultants. The Government has expanded the number of medical school places, with around 5,300 new doctors emerging each year. However, other problems have arisen, with recent reports highlighting the shortage of training places for newly qualified doctors, leaving at least 2,000 of them without a post at a time when there are significant staff shortages. These training posts are necessary for doctors to take further specialist training to become consultants or GPs. There are currently around 49,000 junior doctors in the UK, as well as 5,300 first-year house officers, around 24,500 senior house officers and 19,200 registrars. Generally, house officers work under 6-month contracts.
Waiting Lists
The Government remains committed to reducing waiting lists in the NHS. Although the latest figures indicate that waiting lists are falling, opposition leaders claim that authorities are massaging the statistics. As at the end of May 2005, the number of patients in England waiting for more than 6 months for admission into NHS hospitals was 49,600, an increase of 9.3% on April 2005, but a fall of 42.2% on the same period in 2004. There were only 17 patients waiting for over 9 months at the end of May 2005, and no patients waiting over 12 months.
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Healthcare Market
2. PEST Analysis
ECONOMIC FACTORS
Funding Shortfalls and Budget Changes
The Labour Government committed itself to the decentralisation of public services during its third term in office. It has been claimed that the DoH is already implementing this by advancing a programme to reduce head office staff by 38%. The NHSs Chief Executive, Sir Nigel Crisp, has stated that, within the next 5 years, the majority (80%) of targets would be set locally and 20% nationally. Currently, around 80% of targets are set nationally. Recently, Sir Nigel Crisp contacted chief executives of NHS organisations and demanded 15% cuts in administration and management costs, with the aim of saving at least 250m a year. The Government has received criticisms that much of the extra funding allocated to the NHS is being swallowed up by increasing administration costs and expenditure on non-frontline staff. It has been reported that at least 25% of all trusts are failing to spend within budget constraints. The end result of the new reforms will mean a smaller number of PCTs and a reduction in the number of strategic health authorities, of which there are 18 at present. By the end of 2006, GPs will be able to commission services directly under budgets set up by trusts. In addition, it is anticipated that charities will play a much greater role in the new system. According to the National Institute of Economic and Social Researchs (NIESRs) National Institute Economic Review (July 2005, number 193), in order to balance public finances, the Chancellor will have to raise taxes by an extra 10bn a year. A deficit of 8bn is forecast in the current fiscal year, which will rise to 12bn by 2007/2008. The think-tank has called on the Chancellor to exercise fiscal prudence, and criticised the Chancellor for basing his so-called golden rule on a cycle that can be frequently defined. The golden rule states that the Government will only borrow to invest over the course of the economic cycle. In June 2005, government borrowing rose to 5.9bn, which is the highest June figure since records began. (The full version of the Review is available from www.niesr.ac.uk.)
37
2. PEST Analysis
Healthcare Market
NHS Funding
Unlike any other healthcare system, healthcare in the UK is funded from general taxation and, as such, is strongly linked to the performance of the economy.
Funding Crisis
According to the Health Inspectorate, around a third of trusts failed to balance their books in 2004 and nearly a quarter of primary care bodies showed large deficits in spite of significant increases in public spending.
SOCIAL FACTORS
Demographic Trends
The UK population is continuing to age demographically, with those of pensionable age projected to rise to 21.4% of the population by 2026, compared with 18.4% in 2002 (see Table 1.11 in Chapter 1 Market Overview). This will have far-reaching consequences for the health service and social services, as demand for treatment and support rises.
Obesity
According to the Health Survey for England, childhood obesity has risen significantly between 1995 and 2003 the prevalence of obesity among children aged between 2 and 10 years rose from 9.9% to 13.7%, while the proportion of children who were overweight rose from 22.7% to 27.7%. Levels of obesity were significantly higher in lower-income households and areas of deprivation. These findings have serious implications for the future health of the population, as obesity has been linked to many health problems, including diabetes and circulatory disease. Many obese children face a lifetime of ill health and a premature death.
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Healthcare Market
2. PEST Analysis
Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome, Bird Flu and the Risk of Travel
The recent outbreaks of severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) and Asian bird flu have demonstrated the speed that epidemics can move around the world, facilitated by social mobility and modern air travel. The World Health Organization (WHO) has reported that the world is long overdue for a major flu pandemic, following the pandemic in 1918, which killed more than 18 million people worldwide. There is concern that the Asian flu could easily mutate, giving rise to human-to-human transmission. With a reported mortality rate of 70%, a pandemic could be devastating. There has been widespread concern that the UK Government has been complacent about this possibility compared with other countries, which have laid in stocks of vaccine and anti-flu treatments. To date, the UK has only stockpiled treatments for use by key personnel.
Smoking Trends
The Government has claimed success for its initiatives after a rise in the number of people quitting smoking in 2004/2005 was announced DoH figures claim that 300,000 people (56%) were not smoking 4 weeks after announcing the decision to stop, compared with only 205,000 in the previous year, representing a 45% rise. Many of these had used nicotine-replacement therapies. The Government is currently trying to introduce a ban on smoking in public places, with the exception of public houses not serving food, which is receiving varying amounts of hostility from a number of interest groups.
39
2. PEST Analysis
Healthcare Market
Tuberculosis
According to the WHO, cases of tuberculosis (TB) in England have risen by 25% since 1994, prompting fears of its emergence within the general population. However, between 2002 and 2003, the number of reported cases of TB fell by 5.2% (see Table 1.16 in Chapter 1 Market Overview). Antibiotic resistance is also making TB far more difficult to treat effectively.
TECHNOLOGICAL FACTORS
Technological Advances in Medical Treatment
The healthcare market is a technology-driven one, with new treatments and procedures continually pushing forward the possibilities and boundaries of care. However, these new opportunities often come at an increased cost, applying further pressure on stretched health budgets. Conversely, certain technologies might actually reduce costs, with technologies such as keyhole surgery reducing patient recovery times and allowing for increased throughput of patients. Others can create ethical dilemmas, with significant controversy surrounding cloning technologies and stem-cell research.
Digital Technology
In spite of the digital revolution in technology, around 75% of hospital radiology departments still use X-ray equipment with 19th century photographic technology. The DoH has set a deadline for electronic X-rays to become available in all units, but many healthcare professionals have been resisting the call to move to digital technology. Costs could be significantly reduced, as the NHS has negotiated special deals for bulk provision of pictures archiving and communications systems (PACs) technology as part of the national programme for IT. However, only three hospitals have installed the new technology so far. Hospitals are reluctant to pay out the initial 5m startup costs, even though savings of 1m a year could be made. Clinicians are reluctant to remove technology that they are comfortable with.
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Healthcare Market
2. PEST Analysis
Drug Resistance
Health watchdogs have voiced concern that viruses are now becoming resistant to drugs in a similar way to bacteria. Research has shown that 27% of patients with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) become resistant to at least one or the triple cocktail of drugs that they receive within 5 years. Similarly, up to 20% of patients with hepatitis B are becoming resistant to standard treatments. The WHO is also monitoring anti-flu treatments, although resistance is reported to be under 1%.
41
2. PEST Analysis
Healthcare Market
42
Healthcare Market
CONSUMER PROFILE
Respondents were asked the following question: Thinking about the last 12 months, which, if any, of these statements apply to you?
took out/renewed private medical insurance (PMI) had NHS surgery had cosmetic surgery consulted a general practitioner (GP) (once/more than once) called a GP out of hours (once/more than once) consulted NHS Direct (once/more than once) visited a hospital casualty department was referred to a specialist/consultant used over-the-counter (OTC) medicines used herbal/alternative medicines regularly took vitamins/minerals/supplements visited a dentist had a routine eye examination consulted an osteopath consulted a chiropractor had physiotherapy none of the above.
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Healthcare Market
In terms of usage and access to healthcare services, 75% of respondents said that they consulted a GP at least once in the previous 12 months, indicating that the GP remains firmly in the front line and is a gateway to healthcare services. Significantly more women (81%) than men (69%) accessed GP services in the last 12 months, and they were also more likely (52%) than men (38%) to have consulted a GP more than once. The second most frequently used service was that of dentistry, with over half (53%) of respondents having visited a dentist in the last 12 months (this is interesting in light of the well-publicised problems in finding/accessing NHS dentists). Again, significantly more women (58%) than men (47%) visited a dentist in this period. Just over a third (34%) of respondents used OTC medicines in the last 12 months again, more women (38%) than men (29%) did so indicating that self-medication is a vital part of healthcare in the UK today. However, the frequency of GP visits would seem to indicate that OTC medicines complement GP-based care rather than replace it. Another third (33%) of respondents had a routine eye examination in the previous 12 months. In contrast to the 34% of respondents who used OTC medicines, 14% of respondents used herbal or alternative medicines, with women (at 19%) more than twice as likely as men (at 9%) to have used them. In terms of accessing secondary (hospital-based) care services, 10% of respondents had NHS surgery in the previous year, while 20% visited a hospital casualty department. Just over a fifth (22%) of respondents were referred to a consultant or specialist within the last 12 months. There was very little enthusiasm among respondents for cosmetic surgery, with only 1% of respondents intriguingly all men admitting to having had any procedures in the previous 12 months. Only 8% of respondents took out or renewed PMI. In terms of remedial care, most patients (8%) were referred to physiotherapists, with comparatively few consulting an osteopath or chiropractor (both 2%). This might be due partly to the comparatively wide availability of physiotherapy services that are also well integrated into the NHS, whereas osteopathy and chiropractic services are mostly based in the private sector. When examining the summary data, it is evident that women are more likely than men to use healthcare services, particularly in consulting GPs, having NHS surgery and in their use of OTC medicines, alternative/herbal medicines and in regularly taking vitamins, minerals and supplements. Women were also more likely than men to visit dentists and have eye examinations, consult NHS Direct, visit a casualty department and call a GP out of hours. This builds up the strong picture that women are significantly more active in promoting their own health, using self-medication and seeking medical attention for themselves as well as for their families.
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Healthcare Market
All
Took out/renewed private medical insurance Had NHS surgery Had cosmetic surgery
Male 8 9 1
Female 8 12 0
8 10 1
Consulted a GP
Once More than once Once or more
30 45 75
31 38 69
29 52 81
7 2 9
5 2 7
9 2 11
11 4 15 20 22 34 14 21 53 33
9 2 11 19 21 29 9 14 47 30
13 6 19 21 22 38 19 26 58 36
Table continues...
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Healthcare Market
All
Consulted an osteopath Consulted a chiropractor Had physiotherapy None of the above
OTC over-the-counter Weighted sample: 1,010
Male 1 1 7 10
Female 2 2 8 4
2 2 8 7
Thinking About the Last 12 Months, Which, if Any, of These Statements Apply to You?
Took Out/Renewed Private Medical Insurance
8% of all respondents took out or renewed PMI in the previous 12 months. Although there were no gender differences, there were marked variations between the different age groups. The lowest rates of uptake of PMI were seen in the younger age groups, particularly among 15 to 24 year-olds, at only 3%. Many people in this age group are still dependants of their parents, so are covered by any family policies. In addition, many younger people are still in full-time education or starting out on their career pathways. In any case, health concerns tend to be low in these age groups and among lower earners than those who are established in their careers and are less likely to have dependants. Uptake of PMI rose with the age of respondents, charting their changing priorities as they get older, becoming more established in their careers and increasing commitments with families. As people enter the middle age groups, uptake will increase as the pressures and costs of young families and new mortgages begin to ease. In addition, as people age, their concerns over their health and healthcare increase. The largest proportion of respondents (12%) took out or renewed PMI in the 55 to 64 year-old age group, before dropping slightly among the 65 and over age group to 10%. This might be because of the financial constraints of pensioners and the rising costs of medical insurance premiums in the elderly.
46
Healthcare Market
There were very marked differences between the different social grades, with by far the highest uptake (17%) seen in the higher-earning ABs, dropping to 7% and 6% among C1s and C2s, respectively, and being the lowest in the lower-earning Ds and Es, at 2%. Apart from the higher earnings in the ABs, these types of professionals tend to work for companies/organisations that are more likely to include PMI as a perk of employment and to have this benefit as part of their employment conditions. There were also regional differences in the uptake and renewal of PMI in the last 12 months, which might reflect the nature of employment in particular regions and possibly also the degree of concern or satisfaction over the quality and availability of healthcare services in those regions. The highest levels of uptake (12%) were seen in East Anglia and the North West, closely followed by Wales (at 11%). The lowest level of uptake/renewals in the last 12 months (at 1%) was observed in the North, which perhaps reflects the industrial nature of the area, levels of unemployment and the relative salary sizes in the region. There were also slight differences depending on the working status of respondents, with retired people having the highest levels of uptake of PMI, at 11%. This might reflect the older ages of this group of respondents and the likelihood that they have less in the way of commitments (e.g. mortgages and children). Lowest levels were seen among those not working (5%), possibly reflecting lower incomes (i.e. unemployed). The survey also indicated higher levels of uptake in two- or one-person households, at 10% and 9%, respectively. This might reflect higher levels of income in single- or two-earner households without dependants. Similarly, widowed respondents recorded a slightly higher level of uptake (at 11%), reflecting their older age profile and lack of dependants. In addition, separated respondents recorded a high level of uptake/renewals (also at 11%), perhaps partly reflecting the unresolved nature of this groups financial situation and commitments. Uptake/renewal of PMI in the last 12 months was also slightly higher in households without children (9%) with corresponding higher levels of disposable income and among respondents who are house owners (8% and 11%), who are more likely to have higher salaries. At 1%, uptake/renewal was lowest among respondents living in council properties.
47
Healthcare Market
Table 3.2: Penetration of Taking Out/Renewing Private Medical Insurance in the Last 12 Months (% of respondents), 2005
All adults Sex Male Female Age 15-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Social Grade AB C1 C2 D E Region London South East South West Wales East Anglia East Midlands West Midlands Yorkshire and Humberside North West North Scotland Working Status Full time Part time Not working Retired Table continues... 8 8 5 11 7 9 4 11 12 9 9 5 12 1 6 17 7 6 2 2 3 5 7 9 12 10 8 8 8
48
Healthcare Market
Table 3.2: Penetration of Taking Out/Renewing Private Medical Insurance in the Last 12 Months (% of respondents), 2005
...table continued Size of Household 1 2 3 4 5+ Marital Status Married Single Divorced Widowed Separated Presence of Children Aged 0-4 Aged 5-9 Aged 10-15 Any aged 0-15 None Tenure Owned with a mortgage/loan Owned outright Rented from the council Rented from someone else Rent-free from the council Rent-free from someone else
Weighted sample: 1,010
49
Healthcare Market
50
Healthcare Market
Table 3.3: Penetration of Having NHS Surgery in the Last 12 Months (% of respondents), 2005
All adults Sex Male Female Age 15-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Social Grade AB C1 C2 D E Region London South East South West Wales East Anglia East Midlands West Midlands Yorkshire and Humberside North West North Scotland Working Status Full time Part time Not working Retired Table continues... 7 11 13 13 6 10 10 16 17 11 10 12 13 13 6 11 8 12 13 12 12 11 6 8 11 15 9 12 10
51
Healthcare Market
Table 3.3: Penetration of Having NHS Surgery in the Last 12 Months (% of respondents), 2005
...table continued Size of Household 1 2 3 4 5+ Marital Status Married Single Divorced Widowed Separated Presence of Children Aged 0-4 Aged 5-9 Aged 10-15 Any aged 0-15 None Tenure Owned with mortgage/loan Owned outright Rented from the council Rented from someone else Rent-free from the council Rent-free from someone else
Weighted sample: 1,010
52
Healthcare Market
Table 3.4: Penetration of Having Cosmetic Surgery in the Last 12 Months (% of respondents), 2005
All adults Sex Male Female Age 15-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Social Grade AB C1 C2 D E Region London South East South West Wales East Anglia East Midlands West Midlands Yorkshire and Humberside North West North Scotland Table continues... 0 0 3 5 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 1
53
Healthcare Market
Table 3.4: Penetration of Having Cosmetic Surgery in the Last 12 Months (% of respondents), 2005
...table continued Working Status Full time Part time Not working Retired Size of Household 1 2 3 4 5+ Marital Status Married Single Divorced Widowed Separated Presence of Children Aged 0-4 Aged 5-9 Aged 10-15 Any aged 0-15 None Tenure Owned with mortgage/loan Owned outright Rented from the council Rented from someone else Rent-free from the council Rent-free from someone else
Weighted sample: 1,010
54
Healthcare Market
55
Healthcare Market
In terms of working status, the highest levels of response were seen among retired respondents, of whom 88% had consulted a GP at least once in the last 12 months and 56% had consulted a GP more than once. This is consistent with the elderly profile of this group. Part-time workers and those not working (excluding retired) gave higher results than those working full time. Full-time workers are most likely to be younger and in good general health. Many part-time workers are women, who are more likely to consult a GP, and those not working may not be doing so for reasons of health or may suffer health, mental and social problems as the result of unemployment. In terms of household size, one-person households were most likely to have consulted a GP at least once in the last 12 months (86%) and more than once (56%). This group is likely to contain a significant number of elderly people. Similarly, widowed respondents were also most likely to have consulted a GP, at 87%, and 64% of these had consulted a GP more than once. Respondents who owned their houses outright (who are likely to be elderly, having paid off a mortgage) were also more likely to have consulted a GP (at 82%) and half (50%) had consulted a GP more than once. Similarly, respondents living rent-free (not from the council) were most likely to have consulted a GP (84%) and 53% did so more than once.
Table 3.5: Penetration of Consulting a General Practitioner in the Last 12 Months (% of respondents), 2005
Not Consulted a GP 25 31 19 40 28 28 27 12 15
Once
All adults
At Least Once 75 69 81 60 72 72 73 88 85
30 31 29 27 28 34 31 31 28
Sex
Male Female
Age
15-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+
Table continues...
56
Healthcare Market
Table 3.5: Penetration of Consulting a General Practitioner in the Last 12 Months (% of respondents), 2005
...table continued Not Consulted a GP
At Least Once
35 33 29 26 19 33 32 23 38 24 25 31 32 35 10 34 31 33 25 32 30 32 29 32 23
46 44 41 40 64 30 48 54 42 52 45 47 53 36 52 48 35 45 53 56 56 48 43 38 37
81 77 70 66 83 63 80 77 80 76 70 78 85 71 62 82 66 78 78 88 86 80 72 70 60
19 23 30 34 17 37 20 23 20 24 30 22 15 29 38 18 34 22 22 12 14 20 28 30 40
Region
London South East South West Wales East Anglia East Midlands West Midlands Yorkshire and Humberside North West North Scotland
Working Status
Full time Part time Not working Retired
Size of Household
1 2 3 4 5+
Table continues...
57
Healthcare Market
Table 3.5: Penetration of Consulting a General Practitioner in the Last 12 Months (% of respondents), 2005
...table continued Not Consulted a GP
At Least Once
32 30 27 23 22 32 30 24 29 31
46 36 46 64 41 45 49 44 44 46
78 66 73 87 63 77 79 68 73 77
22 34 27 13 37 23 21 32 27 23
Presence of Children
Aged 0-4 Aged 5-9 Aged 10-15 Any aged 0-15 None
Tenure
Owned with mortgage/loan Owned outright Rented from the council Rented from someone else Rent-free from the council Rent-free from someone else
Weighted sample: 1,010
30 32 26 31 31
43 50 47 40 46 53
73 82 73 71 46 84
27 18 27 29 56 16
58
Healthcare Market
59
Healthcare Market
Table 3.6: Penetration of Calling a General Practitioner Out of Hours in the Last 12 Months (% of respondents), 2005
More Than Once All adults Sex Male Female Age 15-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Social Grade AB C1 C2 D E Region London South East South West Wales East Anglia East Midlands West Midlands Yorkshire and Humberside North West North Scotland Table continues... 4 7 13 14 9 5 5 8 5 8 4 1 1 1 5 5 4 5 5 5 8 14 19 14 9 5 13 5 8 9 6 6 9 7 5 1 2 1 3 5 7 8 10 10 10 6 11 8 4 5 7 4 1 3 1 3 1 10 12 11 5 8 8 5 9 2 2 7 11 7 Once 2 At Least Once 9
60
Healthcare Market
Table 3.6: Penetration of Calling a General Practitioner Out of Hours in the Last 12 Months (% of respondents), 2005
...table continued More Than Once At Least Once
Once Working Status Full time Part time Not working Retired Size of Household 1 2 3 4 5+ Marital Status Married Single Divorced Widowed Separated Presence of Children
Aged 0-4 Aged 5-9 Aged 10-15 Any aged 0-15 None
6 9 7 6 4 8 6 8 6 8 4 9 4 5 12 11 8 9 6 7 5 6 12 -
8 10 10 8 7 9 9 11 7 10 5 14 7 5 15 13 11 12 8 9 6 12 13 11 -
Tenure Owned with mortgage/loan Owned outright Rented from the council Rented from someone else Rent-free from the council Rent-free from someone else
Weighted sample: 1,010
61
Healthcare Market
62
Healthcare Market
Table 3.7: Penetration of Consulting NHS Direct in the Last 12 Months (% of respondents), 2005
More Than Once
All adults
At Least Once 15 11 19 17 24 19 13 15 7 14 19 14 14 13 14 16 22 15 15 13 16 11 17 20 13
Once 4 2 6 7 7 7 1 4 1 3 6 4 3 4 2 6 6 6 6 2 5 2 4 6 4
11 9 13 10 17 12 12 11 6 11 13 10 11 9 12 10 16 9 9 11 11 9 13 14 9
Sex
Male Female
Age
15-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+
Social Grade
AB C1 C2 D E
Region
London South East South West Wales East Anglia East Midlands West Midlands Yorkshire and Humberside North West North Scotland
Table continues...
63
Healthcare Market
Table 3.7: Penetration of Consulting NHS Direct in the Last 12 Months (% of respondents), 2005
...table continued More Than Once At Least Once
9 18 14 7 6 9 14 16 13 14 6 15 4 12 22 19 15 17 8 13 9 13 10 11 17
4 7 5 2 2 3 7 4 6 5 3 3 11 8 4 8 3 4 2 5 9 -
13 25 19 9 8 12 21 20 19 19 9 18 4 12 33 27 19 25 11 17 11 18 19 11 17
Size of Household
1 2 3 4 5+
Marital Status
Married Single Divorced Widowed Separated
Presence of Children
Aged 0-4 Aged 5-9 Aged 10-15 Any aged 0-15 None
Tenure
Owned with mortgage/loan Owned outright Rented from the council Rented from someone else Rent-free from the council Rent-free from someone else
Weighted sample: 1,010
64
Healthcare Market
65
Healthcare Market
Table 3.8: Penetration of Visiting a Hospital Casualty Department in the Last 12 Months (% of respondents), 2005
All adults Sex Male Female Age 15-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Social Grade AB C1 C2 D E Region London South East South West Wales East Anglia East Midlands West Midlands Yorkshire and Humberside North West North Scotland Working Status Full time Part time Not working Retired Table continues... 20 20 21 20 15 16 27 37 13 22 12 21 21 19 28 18 23 19 20 21 25 23 21 16 21 15 19 21 20
66
Healthcare Market
Table 3.8: Penetration of Visiting a Hospital Casualty Department in the Last 12 Months (% of respondents), 2005
...table continued Size of Household 1 2 3 4 5+ Marital Status Married Single Divorced Widowed Separated Presence of Children Aged 0-4 Aged 5-9 Aged 10-15 Any aged 0-15 None Tenure Owned with mortgage/loan Owned outright Rented from the council Rented from someone else Rent-free from the council Rent-free from someone else
Weighted sample: 1,010
17 19 21 26 17 22 17 14 21 29 26 24 23 24 18 25 15 19 20 16 17
Base: All adults aged 15+
67
Healthcare Market
68
Healthcare Market
Table 3.9: Penetration of Being Referred to a Specialist/ Consultant in the Last 12 Months (% of respondents), 2005
All adults Sex Male Female Age 15-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Social Grade AB C1 C2 D E Region London South East South West Wales East Anglia East Midlands West Midlands Yorkshire and Humberside North West North Scotland Working Status Full time Part time Not working Retired Table continues... 17 27 17 31 13 28 27 19 22 22 18 22 15 27 21 25 22 21 16 22 18 14 20 20 29 29 21 22 22
69
Healthcare Market
Table 3.9: Penetration of Being Referred to a Specialist/ Consultant in the Last 12 Months (% of respondents), 2005
...table continued Size of Household 1 2 3 4 5+ Marital Status Married Single Divorced Widowed Separated Presence of Children Aged 0-4 Aged 5-9 Aged 10-15 Any aged 0-15 None Tenure Owned with mortgage/loan Owned outright Rented from the council Rented from someone else Rent-free from the council Rent-free from someone else
Weighted sample: 1,010
23 26 21 20 11 23 17 18 28 22 16 16 21 18 23 21 25 23 14 19 15
Base: All adults aged 15+
70
Healthcare Market
71
Healthcare Market
Table 3.10: Penetration of Using Over-the-Counter Medicines in the Last 12 Months (% of respondents), 2005
All adults Sex Male Female Age 15-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Social Grade AB C1 C2 D E Region London South East South West Wales East Anglia East Midlands West Midlands Yorkshire and Humberside North West North Scotland Working Status Full time Part time Not working Retired Table continues... 32 48 31 30 18 39 43 39 48 43 25 25 24 44 40 42 34 29 28 28 15 39 40 34 40 32 29 38 34
72
Healthcare Market
Table 3.10: Penetration of Using Over-the-Counter Medicines in the Last 12 Months (% of respondents), 2005
...table continued Size of Household 1 2 3 4 5+ Marital Status Married Single Divorced Widowed Separated Presence of Children Aged 0-4 Aged 5-9 Aged 10-15 Any aged 0-15 None Tenure Owned with mortgage/loan Owned outright Rented from the council Rented from someone else Rent-free from the council Rent-free from someone else
Weighted sample: 1,010
34 36 35 33 24 37 23 50 31 34 40 41 33 38 31 39 33 24 29 49 21
Base: All adults aged 15+
73
Healthcare Market
74
Healthcare Market
Table 3.11: Penetration of Using Herbal/Alternative Remedies in the Last 12 Months (% of respondents), 2005
All adults Sex Male Female Age 15-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Social Grade AB C1 C2 D E Region London South East South West Wales East Anglia East Midlands West Midlands Yorkshire and Humberside North West North Scotland Working Status Full time Part time Not working Retired Table continues... 11 21 16 14 11 18 25 13 15 5 12 11 13 6 23 23 17 8 6 13 8 13 13 17 21 15 9 19 14
75
Healthcare Market
Table 3.11: Penetration of Using Herbal/Alternative Remedies in the Last 12 Months (% of respondents), 2005
...table continued Size of Household 1 2 3 4 5+ Marital Status Married Single Divorced Widowed Separated Presence of Children Aged 0-4 Aged 5-9 Aged 10-15 Any aged 0-15 None Tenure Owned with mortgage/loan Owned outright Rented from the council Rented from someone else Rent-free from the council Rent-free from someone else
Weighted sample: 1,010
76
Healthcare Market
77
Healthcare Market
Table 3.12: Penetration of Regularly Taking Vitamins/Minerals/ Supplements in the Last 12 Months (% of respondents), 2005
All adults Sex Male Female Age 15-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Social Grade AB C1 C2 D E Region London South East South West Wales East Anglia East Midlands West Midlands Yorkshire and Humberside North West North Scotland Working Status Full time Part time Not working Retired Table continues... 22 18 15 25 17 27 26 24 25 18 22 17 22 10 12 25 23 13 19 17 13 17 20 24 24 25 14 26 21
78
Healthcare Market
Table 3.12: Penetration of Regularly Taking Vitamins/Minerals/ Supplements in the Last 12 Months (% of respondents), 2005
...table continued Size of Household 1 2 3 4 5+ Marital Status Married Single Divorced Widowed Separated Presence of Children Aged 0-4 Aged 5-9 Aged 10-15 Any aged 0-15 None Tenure Owned with mortgage/loan Owned outright Rented from the council Rented from someone else Rent-free from the council Rent-free from someone else
Weighted sample: 1,010
27 23 21 17 10 21 13 36 25 23 16 15 19 19 21 21 24 15 16 22 8
Base: All adults aged 15+
79
Healthcare Market
Visited a Dentist
Over half (53%) of respondents visited a dentist in the last 12 months. There were some gender differences, with 58% of women having visited a dentist compared with 47% of men. There were also differences between the age groups, with the highest levels in the middle age groups, ranging from 61% to 67%, and the lowest levels in the youngest age group (15 to 24 year-olds, at 39%) and the oldest (those aged 65 and above, at 43%). The costs of dentistry are likely to significantly prevent many people from visiting dentists. In addition, there can be great difficulty in finding an NHS dentist, and both of these factors are likely to deter people on limited incomes. In keeping with this, the highest levels of dental visits were seen among the relatively affluent ABs (65%) and the lowest levels were observed in the E social grade (37%). There were also regional differences, with the highest levels of dental visits seen in the South West (65%) and Scotland (61%), and the lowest levels of visits seen in London (37%). These levels are likely to be dependent on the ease and accessibility of dental services, and shortages of dentists are particularly marked in the London area. In terms of working status, the highest levels of dental visits in the last 12 months were seen among part-time workers (68%) with high numbers of women and middle-aged people and the lowest levels were recorded among older retired respondents (46%) and those not working (47%), who are likely to have financial constraints. Separated and single respondents were far less likely than other groups to have visited a dentist in the last 12 months, at 25% and 38%, respectively. Separated respondents are likely to have financial constraints, while single respondents are likely to be young and move jobs and houses as they continue their education and establish their careers, leading to financial constraints and difficulties in finding an NHS dentist. Similarly, only 27% of those living rent-free from the council have visited a dentist in the last 12 months, probably through a combination of financial constraints and poor access to a dentist. In contrast, higher levels of visits were observed in the more established and affluent home owners with a mortgage (62%) and outright owners (55%).
80
Healthcare Market
Table 3.13: Penetration of Visiting a Dentist in the Last 12 Months (% of respondents), 2005
All adults Sex Male Female Age 15-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Social Grade AB C1 C2 D E Region London South East South West Wales East Anglia East Midlands West Midlands Yorkshire and Humberside North West North Scotland Working Status Full time Part time Not working Retired Table continues... 54 68 47 46 37 59 65 54 57 55 45 48 49 56 61 65 53 47 49 37 39 46 62 67 61 43 47 58 53
81
Healthcare Market
Table 3.13: Penetration of Visiting a Dentist in the Last 12 Months (% of respondents), 2005
...table continued Size of Household 1 2 3 4 5+ Marital Status Married Single Divorced Widowed Separated Presence of Children Aged 0-4 Aged 5-9 Aged 10-15 Any aged 0-15 None Tenure Owned with mortgage/loan Owned outright Rented from the council Rented from someone else Rent-free from the council Rent-free from someone else
Weighted sample: 1,010
43 55 52 59 50 61 38 50 40 25 54 58 63 59 50 62 55 35 36 27 44
Base: All adults aged 15+
82
Healthcare Market
83
Healthcare Market
Table 3.14: Penetration of Having a Routine Eye Examination in the Last 12 Months (% of respondents), 2005
All adults Sex Male Female Age 15-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Social Grade AB C1 C2 D E Region London South East South West Wales East Anglia East Midlands West Midlands Yorkshire and Humberside North West North Scotland Working Status Full time Part time Not working Retired Table continues... 26 38 28 48 22 40 44 25 36 34 37 35 32 29 24 47 32 26 25 32 22 22 24 35 53 44 30 36 33
84
Healthcare Market
Table 3.14: Penetration of Having a Routine Eye Examination in the Last 12 Months (% of respondents), 2005
...table continued Size of Household 1 2 3 4 5+ Marital Status Married Single Divorced Widowed Separated Presence of Children Aged 0-4 Aged 5-9 Aged 10-15 Any aged 0-15 None Tenure Owned with mortgage/loan Owned outright Rented from the council Rented from someone else Rent-free from the council Rent-free from someone else
Weighted sample: 1,010
35 41 30 28 22 36 21 46 45 23 25 27 23 26 37 30 44 28 22 8 41
Base: All adults aged 15+
85
Healthcare Market
Consulted an Osteopath
Only 2% of respondents consulted an osteopath over the last 12 months, and little of significance can be established with such a low response rate in this particular group. In terms of gender differences, 2% of women consulted an osteopath in the last 12 months, compared with 1% of men. There was a small amount of difference between the age groups, with 3% of both 15 to 24 year-olds and 45 to 54 year-olds having consulted an osteopath. This would make sense when taken in context of the more active lifestyles of the young age groups and the greater likelihood of sports-related injuries. Among the 45 to 54 year-olds, wear and tear injuries, such as osteoarthritis, are becoming more evident. Although it is possible to be referred to an osteopath on the NHS, this low response rate, particularly when taken in context of the 8% of respondents who had physiotherapy in the last 12 months (see Table 3.17), would indicate that it is not a very common practice. There were some regional differences observed in the survey, with the highest consultation levels observed in the South West and East Midlands (both 4%), although the differences are probably too slight to be truly significant. Factors involved in regional differences will include availability of and access to osteopath services in conjunction with awareness of the possible benefits of osteopathy. Financial considerations are also a factor, although a number of private healthcare policies allow for limited use of osteopathy and other complementary therapies. Slight differences were also observed according to marital status, with widowers recording a slightly higher response rate (4%), which is in keeping with the older age profile of this group and the higher concentration of women.
86
Healthcare Market
Table 3.15: Penetration of Consulting an Osteopath in the Last 12 Months (% of respondents), 2005
All adults Sex Male Female Age 15-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Social Grade AB C1 C2 D E Region London South East South West Wales East Anglia East Midlands West Midlands Yorkshire and Humberside North West North Scotland Working Status Full time Part time Not working Retired Table continues... 2 2 2 2 2 4 4 3 3 3 2 3 2 1 1 3 1 2 3 2 1 2 2
87
Healthcare Market
Table 3.15: Penetration of Consulting an Osteopath in the Last 12 Months (% of respondents), 2005
...table continued Size of Household 1 2 3 4 5+ Marital Status Married Single Divorced Widowed Separated Presence of Children Aged 0-4 Aged 5-9 Aged 10-15 Any aged 0-15 None Tenure Owned with mortgage/loan Owned outright Rented from the council Rented from someone else Rent-free from the council Rent-free from someone else
Weighted sample: 1,010
88
Healthcare Market
Consulted a Chiropractor
In a response very similar to that of osteopathy, only 2% of respondents had consulted a chiropractor in the last 12 months, including 2% of women and 1% of men. Slight (although probably not truly significant) differences can be observed in the age groups, with the lowest response seen among 15 to 24 year-olds and 35 to 44 year-olds (both 1%), and the highest among the 65s and over (3%). Similarly, there are slight regional variations, with the highest response rates seen in London, East Anglia, the West Midlands and the North West. Part-time workers were also slightly more likely to have consulted a chiropractor compared with other types of worker, possibly because of the higher number of female respondents in this particular working group. Widowed respondents were also slightly more likely to have consulted a chiropractor (3%), possibly because of the higher proportion of women and elderly people in this particular group. It is also of note that the largest group of respondents who had consulted chiropractors were those living rent-free in council accommodation (at 11%). This group contains a high proportion of people not working through disability. As they are unlikely to have paid for chiropractic services, it is likely they have been referred and paid for by the NHS. According to the Department of Health (DoH), the most common cause of disability from work is back injury and pain, with levels particularly high in those engaged in the more physical types of employment, such as manual labour.
89
Healthcare Market
Table 3.16: Penetration of Consulting a Chiropractor in the Last 12 Months (% of respondents), 2005
All adults Sex Male Female Age 15-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Social Grade AB C1 C2 D E Region London South East South West Wales East Anglia East Midlands West Midlands Yorkshire and Humberside North West North Scotland Working Status Full time Part time Not working Retired Table continues... 2 3 1 2 3 2 2 3 1 3 1 3 2 2 2 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 2 3 1 2 2
90
Healthcare Market
Table 3.16: Penetration of Consulting a Chiropractor in the Last 12 Months (% of respondents), 2005
...table continued Size of Household 1 2 3 4 5+ Marital Status Married Single Divorced Widowed Separated Presence of Children Aged 0-4 Aged 5-9 Aged 10-15 Any aged 0-15 None Tenure Owned with mortgage/loan Owned outright Rented from the council Rented from someone else Rent-free from the council Rent-free from someone else
Weighted sample: 1,010
2 2 3 2 2 1 3 1 1 2 1 2 2 2 0 0 11 0
Base: All adults aged 15+
91
Healthcare Market
Had Physiotherapy
According to the survey, 8% of respondents had undergone physiotherapy in the previous 12 months. There was little gender difference, with 8% of women having undergone physiotherapy, compared with 7% of men. There were significant differences between the different age groups, with 15% of 55 to 64 year-olds having undergone physiotherapy in the last 12 months, compared with levels of 6% to 8% for the other age groups. Higher levels for 55 to 64 year-olds are likely to be due to the high levels of wear and tear injuries seen in this age group and associated musculoskeletal procedures such as hip replacements. Physiotherapy was also more common in the AB social grade (10%), compared with the other social groups, at 6% to 8%. This is possibly for lifestyle reasons (i.e. leisure activities such as sport, skiing, etc.), as well as their greater assertiveness over healthcare issues. In addition, ABs are likely to be more able to afford private physiotherapy than the other social grades. There were also some regional differences, with the highest use of physiotherapy recorded in Wales (12%) and East Anglia (11%), and the lowest in London (5%). This variation might be due to a combination of different factors, including access to and availability of NHS services, relative incomes, and cultural and social reasons, particularly among ethnic minorities. Higher penetration of having physiotherapy in the last 12 months was observed among non-working respondents (10%) and retired respondents (9%). Many non-working respondents may have disabilities or chronic health problems that require regular treatments, while the older retired respondents may have musculoskeletal problems associated with ageing. Households of five or more people appeared to have lower levels of physiotherapy (4%), compared with other households (ranging between 7% and 9%). This might be because they contain higher numbers of younger respondents or it might be due to economic reasons. At 11%, separated respondents were slightly more likely than other groups to have had physiotherapy in the last 12 months, while widowed respondents (at 5%) were the least likely. There were significant differences between the types of tenure, with the highest levels of physiotherapy (19%) recorded among those living rent-free in council accommodation. The lowest levels were seen among respondents renting from the council (4%) and renting from someone else (5%), which are groups with younger age profiles.
92
Healthcare Market
Table 3.17: Penetration of Having Physiotherapy in the Last 12 Months (% of respondents), 2005
All adults Sex Male Female Age 15-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Social Grade AB C1 C2 D E Region London South East South West Wales East Anglia East Midlands West Midlands Yorkshire and Humberside North West North Scotland Working Status Full time Part time Not working Retired Table continues... 6 6 10 9 5 8 6 12 11 9 9 8 8 6 9 10 7 8 6 8 6 6 7 6 15 8 7 8 8
93
Healthcare Market
Table 3.17: Penetration of Having Physiotherapy in the Last 12 Months (% of respondents), 2005
...table continued Size of Household 1 2 3 4 5+ Marital Status Married Single Divorced Widowed Separated Presence of Children Aged 0-4 Aged 5-9 Aged 10-15 Any aged 0-15 None Tenure Owned with mortgage/loan Owned outright Rented from the council Rented from someone else Rent-free from the council Rent-free from someone else
Weighted sample: 1,010
94
Healthcare Market
Table 3.18: Penetration of None of the Above in the Last 12 Months (% of respondents), 2005
All adults Sex Male Female Age 15-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Social Grade AB C1 C2 D E Table continues... 3 6 11 11 4 16 9 6 6 3 2 10 4 7
95
Healthcare Market
Table 3.18: Penetration of None of the Above in the Last 12 Months (% of respondents), 2005
...table continued Region London South East South West Wales East Anglia East Midlands West Midlands Yorkshire and Humberside North West North Scotland Working Status Full time Part time Not working Retired Size of Household 1 2 3 4 5+ Marital Status Married Single Divorced Widowed Separated Table continues... 4 15 4 5 6 4 5 8 6 15 10 5 6 2 13 3 6 6 9 10 7 5 8 5 4
96
Healthcare Market
Table 3.18: Penetration of None of the Above in the Last 12 Months (% of respondents), 2005
...table continued Presence of Children Aged 0-4 Aged 5-9 Aged 10-15 Any aged 0-15 None Tenure Owned with mortgage/loan Owned outright Rented from the council Rented from someone else Rent-free from the council Rent-free from someone else
Weighted sample: 1,010
3 6 5 5 8 7 4 7 13 20 9
Base: All adults aged 15+
97
Healthcare Market
CONSUMER ATTITUDES
Respondents were also asked the following question: Which three of the following actions do you consider most necessary to improve the health service?
recruiting more healthcare professionals monitoring their performance cutting NHS waiting lists increasing NHS funding monitoring hospital performance improving hospital cleanliness improving GP out-of-hours services increasing the range and availability of OTC medicines encouraging private healthcare changing government policy educating the public on health issues.
The action that respondents felt was most necessary to improve the health service was improving hospital cleanliness, which was selected by 55% of respondents (61% of women). This would seem to indicate that recent publicity surrounding methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) and other super bugs, and standards of hospital cleanliness have had a very significant impact on public perception. Cutting NHS waiting lists was the second most important action, selected by 48% of respondents and almost half (49%) of women. This was closely followed by increasing NHS funding (47%). These results, together with the lack of enthusiasm for encouraging private healthcare (selected by only 6% of respondents), seem to indicate that the public remain steadfastly loyal to the NHS and the principles behind it, and are prepared to see more funding made available to it. However, it remains to be seen whether they would be prepared to pay higher taxes as a result. In any case, these results would seem to indicate that significantly changing or limiting the scope of the NHS would be an extremely perilous step for any government to take.
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Only 13% of respondents selected the option for changing government policy, indicating that there does not seem to be any particular hostility to current government policies, although there is certainly no great enthusiasm for performance monitoring of healthcare professionals (6%) or hospitals (15%), or for expanding the range and availability of OTC medicines (5%). However, it must be taken into account that a significant proportion of the population are exempt from prescription charges and would therefore have little incentive to pay for medication that they could obtain free of charge from the NHS. Significant numbers of respondents felt that recruiting more healthcare professionals was important (33%) particularly men, at 36% and educating the public on healthcare issues (29%).
All
Recruiting more healthcare professionals Monitoring their performance Cutting NHS waiting lists Increasing NHS funding Monitoring hospital performance Improving hospital cleanliness Improving GP out-of-hours services Increasing the range and availability of OTC medicines Encouraging private healthcare Changing government policy Educating the public on health issues
GP general practitioner OTC over-the-counter Weighted sample: 1,010
Male Female 36 7 46 45 15 48 16 4 9 17 31 30 6 49 49 14 61 23 5 3 10 28
33 6 48 47 15 55 20 5 6 13 29
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Which Three of the Following Actions Do You Consider Most Necessary to Improve the Health Service?
Recruiting More Healthcare Professionals
A third (33%) of respondents believed that recruiting more healthcare professionals was one of the three most important actions necessary to improve the health service. There were distinct gender differences, with more men (36%) than women (30%) selecting this action. There were also differences between the age groups, with the highest levels observed in the middle age groups, particularly among 35 to 44 year-olds (41%), and the lowest levels of response in the youngest age group 15 to 24 year-olds (25%) who may have a lower perception of health-service problems. There were also differences between the social grades, with the highest levels of response from ABs (42%) and the lowest from Es (24%). There could be a number of reasons for this, not least the greater awareness over healthcare issues generally, and the fact that the AB group contains many healthcare professionals. There were also regional differences, with the highest levels of response recorded in East Anglia (43%) and the lowest levels in the North (22%) and Wales (20%). Many factors could contribute to these differences, including local staff shortages, perceptions of problems in local healthcare services and media coverage highlighting particular problems, among others. At 25%, one-person households were least likely to select this action. There were also differences depending on marital status, with the highest levels among separated (38%) and married (37%) respondents and the lowest among widowers (24%), possibly because of the higher numbers of women in this last group (who were shown previously to be less likely to select this option) and the high numbers of pensioners. Respondents living in rented accommodation, both council and private, were less likely to have opted for this action, particularly respondents living in private rentals (26%), who are most likely to be younger, single people.
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25 37 31 37 30 37 26 30 24 38 29 32 38 34 33 38 32 29 26 32 33
Base: All adults aged 15+
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45 49 48 46 49 46 55 40 44 40 50 52 43 45 49 47 46 55 48 44 37
Base: All adults aged 15+
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45 43 52 54 43 47 49 40 45 60 54 50 52 52 44 49 40 54 53 11 51
Base: All adults aged 15+
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17 13 16 14 14 14 16 14 13 16 15 11 9 13 15 14 13 20 14 35 21
Base: All adults aged 15+
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53 60 56 51 49 59 46 40 63 38 51 60 54 52 57 54 63 48 50 50 30
Base: All adults aged 15+
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20 21 21 19 16 21 16 25 22 4 22 17 17 19 20 16 22 19 26 54 11
Base: All adults aged 15+
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Table 3.27: Increasing the Range and Availability of Over-the Counter Medicines (% of respondents), 2005
All adults Sex Male Female Age 15-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Social Grade AB C1 C2 D E Region London South East South West Wales East Anglia East Midlands West Midlands Yorkshire and Humberside North West North Scotland Working Status Full time Part time Not working Retired Table continues... 5 7 3 3 5 7 3 9 6 2 3 4 4 5 2 4 5 6 3 4 3 2 6 8 5 3 4 5 5
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Table 3.27: Increasing the Range and Availability of Over-the Counter Medicines (% of respondents), 2005
...table continued Size of Household 1 2 3 4 5+ Marital Status Married Single Divorced Widowed Separated Presence of Children Aged 0-4 Aged 5-9 Aged 10-15 Any aged 0-15 None Tenure Owned with mortgage/loan Owned outright Rented from the council Rented from someone else Rent-free from the council Rent-free from someone else
Weighted sample: 1,010
7 5 3 4 5 5 3 10 2 5 7 4 4 5 5 4 4 4 3
Base: All adults aged 15+
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5 7 4 2 13 6 8 4 1 5 5 8 6 6 6 6 6 4 8 9
Base: All adults aged 15+
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14 11 10 16 18 13 12 10 17 20 11 14 15 14 13 13 13 15 11 16 29
Base: All adults aged 15+
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21 28 27 36 36 29 29 33 22 50 33 30 30 34 27 32 27 24 27 30 45
Base: All adults aged 15+
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4. Competitive Structure
4. Competitive Structure
THE MARKETPLACE
The UK healthcare market encompasses a wide range of different services and supply markets, and the companies that operate within the marketplace reflect its diversity and broad-ranging nature. The market has become increasingly polarised, with significant levels of acquisition and merger activity over the past decade creating a relatively small number of leading players with increasingly diverse interests in the market. Healthcare has a complex supply structure and, with increasing pressures on funding, it has become extremely cost sensitive. In an effort to maximise profitability, the larger companies are increasingly developing their interests across the whole healthcare supply structure. As such, certain private medical insurers, such as BUPA, have also become major providers of care. Others are developing partnerships across the spectrum of care, tapping into healthcare supply networks. At the other end of the spectrum are a large number of small independent operators or practitioners, although they are finding it extremely difficult to compete cost-effectively with larger players. Some of them, most notably in the ophthalmic services industry, buy into franchised networks. These allow a degree of autonomy, but offer some protection against the economies of scale of the larger operators. In recent years, many small companies and niche market players have been swallowed up by larger players diversifying their interests and consolidating their market position.
MARKET LEADERS
Anchor Trust
Company Structure
The Anchor Trust, which is the largest non-profitmaking provider of housing support and care in England, is a registered charity. It provides a wide range of services for the elderly. Anchor was established in 1968 as Help the Aged (Oxford) Housing Association. Since then, it has grown to employ more than 10,000 people nationwide, providing housing and support services to around 50,000 people. Services include the following:
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Anchor Care provides home care services and support to the elderly and
disabled in their own homes and operates as a registered charity. According to Anchors website, Anchor Care has 5,800 clients and provides 33,000 hours of care every week.
Guardian Management Services offering retirement housing for sale. Anchor Staying Put which provides retirement housing with extra
support services, including housing adaptions.
Financial Results
In the year ending 31st March 2004, Anchor Trusts turnover was 205.9m, a rise of 7.1% on 2003. The company made a pre-tax profit (surplus) of 43.3m in 2004, compared with a pre-tax loss (deficit) of 7.4m in 2003.
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4. Competitive Structure
Health information services and consulting. Occupational health, health screening and employee assistance services,
which are conducted through its sister company, AXA PPP healthcare Occupational Health Services. AXA PPP has developed a national preferred provider network of selected private hospitals in order to cost-effectively treat policy holders.
Financial Results
AXA PPP healthcare pays out around 1.5m in claims on behalf of its customers every day. In the year ending 31st December 2003, AXA PPP healthcare Ltd recorded a turnover of 728.3m and a pre-tax profit of 71m, compared with a turnover of 692.5m and a pre-tax profit of 86m in 2002.
Care homes 24-hour nursing care at over 160 care homes Memory Lane Communities specialist care for dementia patients Care Villages and Close Care assisted living apartments and sheltered
accommodation
Life Designs Communities specialist services for adults of all ages with
impaired abilities
Barchester Homecare home care services Intermediate Care convalescent care and post-operative care facilities Respite care services and holiday breaks for carers Specialist Health Services for patients with degenerative central nervous
system (CNS) diseases, strokes and brain injuries.
Financial Results
In the year ending 31st December 2003, turnover for Barchester Healthcare Ltd was 59.7m, an increase of 57.2% on 2002. Pre-tax profit rose by 68.9% to 6.6m in 2003.
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BUPA Care Homes these provide specialist care for the elderly, mentally
ill, those with degenerative CNS disorders and young people with learning or physical disabilities. BUPA has the largest network of homes in the UK, with more than 245 homes caring for around 15,000 residents.
BUPA Childcare BUPA has 44 Teddies nurseries for the care of more than
2,000 children aged between 3 months and 5 years, as well as employee childcare packages.
Sanitas Sanitas is the Spanish BUPA business, with more than 1 million
subscribers who have access to 18,000 medical professionals and 450 medical centres.
Financial Results
In the year ending 31st December 2003, turnover for The British United Provident Association Ltd was 3.35bn, a rise of 19.5% on 2002. The company made a pre-tax profit (surplus) of 134.5m in 2003, compared with a pre-tax profit of 103.6m in 2002.
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4. Competitive Structure
FirstAssist
Company Structure
FirstAssist was established in 1998 through the combination of three companies. The Healthcare business was formed in 1997 under Royal & SunAlliance and it is now one of the market leaders in the provision of health and wellbeing products. The company employs more than 1,100 staff, including medical experts, counsellors and other services. It is owned by Barclays Private Equity. FirstAssist also has a long-term partnership with Munich Re. FirstAssist provides a variety of insurance services, including PMI and hospital cash plans. It also provides a range of rehabilitation services, sickness cover, absence management, counselling and physiotherapy.
Financial Results
At the time this report was published (September 2005), there were no financial results available for FirstAssist Group Ltd on the ICC Juniper database.
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Financial Results
At the time this report was published (September 2005), the most recent financial results relating to turnover available for Four Seasons Health Care Ltd on the ICC Juniper database were for 2002. In the year ending 31st August 2002, the companys turnover was 150.2m, an increase of 8.2% on 2001. Four Seasons recorded a pre-tax loss of 315,000 in the 70 weeks ending 21st December 2003, compared with a pre-tax profit of 1m in 2002.
BMI Healthcare this is the acute hospital division of the company, with 49
acute care hospitals throughout the country which treat over 250 inpatients and 750,000 outpatients a year. BMI hospitals are equipped for complex surgical and diagnostic procedures, and have intensive care or high-dependency units at each hospital. BMI also manages a number of private patient facilities (PPUs) for the NHS. In addition, BMI has developed the Patient Choice Programme with primary care trusts (PCTs), and has a number of small hospitals based on NHS sites. BMI has focused on the development of private/public partnerships with the NHS to reduce waiting times and provide complementary services. The division also provides cosmetic surgery, obesity treatment and fertility treatment services.
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4. Competitive Structure
Financial Results
In the year ending 31st December 2003, turnover for General Healthcare Group Ltd was 666.3m, an increase of 5.8% on 2002. The company made a pre-tax loss of 13.5m in 2003, compared with a pre-tax loss of 17.7m in 2002.
Financial Results
In the year ending 31st December 2003, HSA Group Ltds turnover decreased by 6.5% to 218.4m. The company made a pre-tax profit of 27.8m in 2003, compared with a pre-tax profit of 100,000 in 2002. Also in the year ending 31st December 2003, Bristol Contributory Welfare Association Ltd recorded a turnover of 64.5m, an increase of 2.1% on 2002. Pre-tax profit rose from 1.1m in 2002 to 2.7m in 2003. Following the merger with BCWA, the HSA Group has an anticipated turnover of 275m and will enter the top 40 of UK general insurers, holding around 3% of the PMI market.
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Financial Results
In the year ending 31st December 2003, Norwich Union Healthcare Ltds turnover was 82.8m, a decrease of 7.6% on 2002. The company made a pre-tax loss of 3.1m in 2003, compared with a pre-tax profit of 2.1m in 2002.
Nuffield Hospitals
Company Structure
Nuffield Hospitals which was called Nuffield Nursing Homes Trust until 1st September 2003 was established in 1957 and it is now the largest network of non-profitmaking independent acute care hospitals in the UK, with more than 43 hospitals in England and one in Scotland, employing more than 8,293 people. Nuffield is continuing to grow through acquisition and investment. As well as comprehensive acute care hospital facilities, Nuffield provides specialist diagnostic services, including imaging, computed tomography (CT), ultrasound, digital spot imaging and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). Nuffield also has specialist pathology laboratory services and has a number of specialist outpatient clinics providing in vitro fertilisation (IVF), asthma treatments and diabetes services. In addition, the company provides specialist preventative screening services.
Financial Results
In the year ending 12th December 2004, Nuffield Hospitals recorded a turnover of 455.9m, a rise of 11.3% on 2003. The company made a pre-tax profit of 13.3m in 2004, compared with a pre-tax profit of 3m in 2003.
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4. Competitive Structure
Financial Results
In the year ending 31st December 2004, Western Provident Association Ltds turnover was 101.1m, compared with 103.4m in 2003. Pre-tax profit (surplus) decreased by 8.7% to 15.1m in 2004.
Other Companies
There are a wide range of other companies that provide healthcare services, including the following:
Capio Healthcare UK Ltd The Capita Group PLC Care UK PLC Craegmoor Group Ltd Highfield Group Nestor Healthcare Group PLC.
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KEY TRENDS
NHS Funding and Investment
According to the Department of Health (DoH), it is estimated that, for 2005/2006, 94.1% of NHS financing in England will be met from a combination of general taxation and NI contributions. An estimated 73.9% will come from the Consolidated Fund (general taxation) and 20.2% from the NHS element of NI. The remaining finance will be derived from income generation schemes, charges and receipts from the NHS.
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general practitioner (GP) appointments within 24 hours by 2004 a 6-month maximum waiting time for hospital inpatient treatment and
3 months for outpatients by 2005
Staff Shortages
According to the General Practitioner Recruitment, Retention and Vacancy Survey 2004, which was prepared by the Government Statistical Service, there were 3,240 GP vacancies between 2003 and 2004. The average time taken to successfully fill a vacancy was 4.5 months, compared with 3.5 months in 2003, although the average number of applicants for each vacancy rose to 3.7 from 3.3. Around 13% of respondents claimed that the recruitment process was easier in 2004, compared with 9% of respondents in 2003. According to the DoH, as at March 2004, there were 7,520 vacancies (over 3 months) for qualified nurses, midwives and health visitors, compared with 1,670 medical and dental staff. In addition, there were vacancies for 1,260 consultants.
Waiting Lists
As at the end of May 2005, the number of patients in England waiting for over 6 months for admission into NHS hospitals was 49,600, an increase of 9.3% on April, but a fall of 42.2% on the same period in 2004. The total number of patients waiting for admission into hospitals in England was 826,000 at the end of May 2005, a fall of 0.1% on the end of April 2005, and a decrease of 7.6% on the previous year. There were only 17 patients waiting for more than 9 months at the end of May 2005, and no patients were waiting over 12 months.
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The number of people waiting more than 6 months for admission as an inpatient in England is down by 85% from March 2000 to March 2005. There has also been a significant drop in the number of people waiting more than 13 weeks for an appointment as an outpatient down by 92% over the same period. There have been improvements in outcomes of care and treatment for people who have coronary heart disease or cancer. Mortality rates for cancer have gradually decreased, even as the number of people being diagnosed with cancer has increased, and fewer people are dying from coronary heart disease. While recent figures from the Government show that performance in meeting the 48-hour target for booking appointments with GPs is being met, people in some areas are now finding it increasingly difficult to book appointments in advance or see a GP out of normal working hours. Many people also experience problems gaining access to NHS dentists, with 58% of dental practices not taking on new NHS patients (up 40% from 2001). In some areas, however, services still fall short of national standards, particularly in areas of healthcare which are not considered high priority or which are not subject to Government targets. In mental health, only two-thirds of community-based crisis resolution teams operate 24 hours a day and fewer than half of people who receive mental health services reported that they had access to crisis care. More than a quarter of people in urgent need of sexual health services wait more than 48 hours for an appointment, while a quarter of people with symptoms of sexual infection wait more than 2 weeks to be seen. The opening times of sexual health services was another cause for concern, with half of NHS clinics open for less than 21 hours a week. The Healthcare Commissions investigations have also uncovered significant problems in some maternity services, such as poor standards of cleanliness, overcrowding and inadequate support for women whose first language is not English. Although the majority of patients feel that they receive enough information about their care and treatment, there is worrying evidence on how they receive information, what information they receive and whether they are involved in decisions about their care. Around a third of patients said that they did not understand the results of their diagnostic tests and received conflicting information from different health professionals. Patients from some groups within the community are getting a worse deal from healthcare services than others. This was evident among seldom-heard groups, such as travellers, homeless people and people with learning difficulties, and people who live in poorer areas of the community. For example, more than a quarter of homeless people are not registered with a GP, compared with 3% of the population as a whole. The take-up and success of immunisation, screening and stop smoking services is also lower in poorer areas.
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This years State of Healthcare report highlights a number of lessons for providers of healthcare and regulatory bodies, such as the Healthcare Commission. In particular, the report identifies the need to:
improve how services are assessed provide better information about services involve patients in the design of services give people more control develop and spread good practice take action on wider inequalities of health.
Demographic Pressures
Between 1971 and 2004, the UK population increased by 6.9% and it is projected to reach 60.3 million by 2006 and 64.9 million by 2026. The population has also been ageing steadily, with those of pensionable age rising from 18.4% in 2002 to a projected 21.4% by 2026 (see Table 1.11 in Chapter 1 Market Overview). The increasing numbers of elderly people will add to the pressures on the NHS.
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MARKET SIZE
Key Note estimates that, in 2005, total UK expenditure on the NHS will reach 89.89bn, a rise of 9.7% on 2004. Between 2001 and 2005, expenditure increased by an estimated 43.8%.
Table 5.1: Total UK Expenditure on the National Health Service (m), 2001-2005
2001
Value (m)
% change year-on-year
e Key Note estimates Note: these figures apply to services only and do not contain government central administration costs. They may also contain elements not in the overall government budget.
e2004
e2005
62,509 -
81,935 9.8
89,890 9.7
Source: Annual Abstract of Statistics, National Statistics website Crown copyright material is reproduced with the permission of the Controller of HMSO (and the Queens Printer for Scotland)/Department of Health Annual Report 2005 Crown copyright/Key Note
Figure 5.1: Total UK Expenditure on the National Health Service (m), 2001-2005
90,000 85,000 80,000 75,000 70,000 65,000 60,000 55,000 50,000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Note: figures for 2004 and 2005 are Key Note estimates.
Source: Annual Abstract of Statistics, National Statistics website Crown copyright material is reproduced with the permission of the Controller of HMSO (and the Queens Printer for Scotland)/Department of Health Annual Report 2005 Crown copyright/Key Note
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SUPPLY STRUCTURE
Since its inception, the NHS has evolved considerably and successive governments have introduced a wide and often conflicting range of reforms. Perhaps the furthest-reaching reform was the attempt by the then Conservative Government to create an internal free market within the NHS by dividing it into purchasers (local authorities, national health boards and fundholder GPs) and providers (NHS trusts). The aim of creating the internal market was to introduce choice using market competition, with the aim of improving efficiency and reducing costs. The private sector was to add another dimension to this market by competing for NHS tenders and contracts. Involvement of the private sector was extended through the introduction of the PFI, which was intended to generate capital investment for much-needed new healthcare facilities to replace the ageing post-war infrastructure. When the current Labour Government took office in 1997, it immediately abolished all GP fundholders, as well as the internal market, although it retained many of the elements that formed it. The NHS was still organised along divisions in the commissioning of care and the provision of care, albeit in altered forms. Devolution in July 1999 created National Assemblies for Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland, all of which had varying degrees of autonomy in the setting, distribution and prioritisation of their NHS budgets.
NHS Trusts
NHS trusts (and health and social services trusts [HSSTs] in Northern Ireland) are autonomous bodies responsible for the provision of hospital and community services. (In Scotland, this role is taken by the Scottish health boards.) With the exception of Northern Ireland, these bodies can also commission research and professional education and training programmes. NHS trusts derive most of their income from PCTs. In England, there were 269 operational NHS trusts in 2004.
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core standards setting out minimum requirements for existing services developmental standards providing a framework for improvement standards for better health key performance requirements of all
healthcare organisations, which are designed to improve standards by identifying areas for improvement. The guidance of the national service frameworks (NSFs) and National Institute for Clinical Excellence (NICE) is an integral part of the standards-based system, and although the emphasis is on local targets, national targets will still be set as necessary. The national priorities for 2005/2006 and 2007/2008 are as follows:
access to services fair and equitable access to timely healthcare long-term conditions promotion of better self-care and communitybased care.
HCHS these are the so-called secondary and tertiary healthcare services.
They are run by NHS trusts and comprise the NHS network of hospitals and outpatient services, as well as specialist services, including diagnostic and screening services and blood donations. (See Chapter 6 Hospital and Community Health Services.)
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FORECASTS
The Government is continuing to invest heavily in healthcare, as it has done since taking office. As a result of this, and the various plans and initiatives that the Government has introduced, expenditure on NHS services is forecast to rise from 99.72bn in 2006 to an estimated 138.7bn by 2010, an increase of 39.1%.
Table 5.2: Forecast Total UK Expenditure on the National Health Service (m), 2006-2010
2006
Value (m)
% change year-on-year
2008
2009
2010
99,718 10.9
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Figure 5.2: Forecast Total UK Expenditure on the National Health Service (m), 2006-2010
150,000 140,000 130,000 120,000 110,000 100,000 90,000 80,000 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
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KEY TRENDS
Budget Priorities
Acute services take up around 55% of the HCHS budget, which reflects the demand for emergency treatment and the current focus on reducing waiting lists and times. Mental health services account for 13% of the budget, followed by community services, at 9%.
Patient Trends
In 2002/2003, people aged 65 years and older (although constituting only 16% of the population) accounted for around 47% of total HCHS expenditure. According to the Department of Health (DoH), this is primarily because high levels of acute care expenditure and significant levels of mental health expenditure were used on patients aged 65 years or older.
Waiting Lists
As at the end of May 2005, the number of patients in England waiting for over 6 months for admission into NHS hospitals was 49,600, an increase of 9.3% on April, but a fall of 42.2% on the same period in 2004. The total number of patients waiting for admission into hospitals in England was 826,000 at the end of May 2005, a fall of 0.1% from the end of April 2005 and a decrease of 7.6% on the same period in 2004. There were only 17 patients who were waiting for more than 9 months at the end of May 2005 and no patients were waiting for more than 12 months.
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MARKET SIZE
According to the DoH, expenditure on HCHS has been rising since 2001, fuelled by the unprecedented amounts of money injected into the health service. Expenditure is estimated to have risen from 48.24bn in 2001 to 69.73bn in 2005, an increase of 44.6%. Annual growth in 2005 is an estimated 10.2%.
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Table 6.1: The Total UK Hospital and Community Health Services Market by Value (m), 2001-2005
2001
Value (m)
% change year-on-year
e estimates
e2004
e2005
48,236 -
63,280 10.2
69,728 10.2
Source: Annex A2, Department of Health Annual Report 2005 Crown copyright
Figure 6.1: The Total UK Hospital and Community Health Services Market by Value (m), 2001-2005
75,000 70,000 65,000 60,000 55,000 50,000 45,000 40,000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
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In 2003/2004, there were 13.2 million finished consultant episodes, of which 51% had associated surgery. An episode refers to the average length of a patients treatment course, either surgical or medical. There were 9.4 million ordinary admissions between 2003 and 2004, of which 35.9% were associated with surgery. The number of day cases reached 3.8 million accounting for 28.5% of all finished consultant episodes of which the majority (88.6%) had an operation. 4.2 million admission episodes (35.5%) were emergency admissions. In the same period, 113,124 private patients were treated in NHS hospitals. In addition, there were 574,545 maternity deliveries and 266,330 deaths in NHS hospitals.
Table 6.2: Profile of Hospital Activity for England by Number of Episodes and Admissions, 2003/2004
Finished consultant episodes Ordinary admissions Day cases Private patients treated in NHS hospitals Deliveries (births) Total admissions Emergency admissions Discharges Deaths Waiting list (including booked) 13,174,480 9,417,004 3,757,476 113,124 574,545 11,699,163 4,158,734 11,757,022 266,330 4,227,180
SUPPLY STRUCTURE
HCHS are provided in a nationwide network of NHS hospitals, clinics and day centres. In recent years, many small cottage hospitals have closed, as care has devolved to larger centres of excellence.
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In addition to acute care services, HCHS are responsible for a number of community-based services, including the following:
district nurses health visitors community midwives school nurses physiotherapy chiropody family planning clinics occupational and speech therapies community dental services day care services.
There is a degree of overlap with family health services (FHS) and, where this occurs, the services are organised and managed by working groups of relevant staff.
BUYING BEHAVIOUR
In 2003/2004, the most commonly performed operations were those on the upper digestive tract, at 513,087. 68% of these procedures were dealt with as day surgery cases. Cataract operations were the second most commonly performed surgical procedure, but the vast majority of these (92%) were day surgery cases and the average waiting time for such an operation was relatively long, at 148 days. There were 64,228 heart operations performed over the same period, with only 3% of percutaneous transluminal operations on coronary arteries (PTCAs) carried out as day surgery cases. Waiting times for heart operations ranged from 93 to 108 days. There were 81,437 hip replacements performed in 2003/2004 and these had, by far, the longest waiting times of any surgical procedure, at an average of 221 days. There were 1,480 kidney transplants carried out in the same period and these had the shortest waiting times of an average of 23 days. In addition, the majority of surgery was performed on older patients, with the exception of kidney transplants, which had an average patient age of 42 years.
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Table 6.3: Hospital Operations in England by Type (number, days, years and %), 2003/2004
Average Average Finished Episodes Operation Type
Upper digestive tract Cataract Hip replacement Heart (PTCA) Heart (CABG) Kidney transplant
% of Day Cases 68 92 0 3 0 0
PTCA percutaneous transluminal operations on coronary artery CABG coronary artery bypass graft
In terms of the major diagnostic groups, the largest single group of patients were those suffering from cancer, which contained more than twice as many as the next largest primary diagnostic group, comprising respiratory diseases such as pneumonia and influenza. 14% of ischaemic heart disease was dealt with as day cases. The youngest patients were those being treated for head injuries, with an average age of 37 years.
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Table 6.4: Hospital Episodes in England by Primary Diagnostic Group (number, days, years and %), 2003/2004
Average Average Finished Episodes Primary Diagnostic Group
Cancer Influenza, pneumonia, etc. Ischaemic heart disease Hernia Head injuries
60 55 68 55 37
56 4 14 48 7
FORECASTS
In 2006, expenditure on HCHS is forecast to grow by 11.7% to 77.89bn. Between 2006 and 2010, expenditure is expected to rise by 40.8% to 109.67bn. Growth will be fostered by a combination of increasing funds, the expanding scope of the marketplace and demographic trends.
Table 6.5: The Forecast Total UK Hospital and Community Health Services Market by Value (m), 2006-2010
2006
Value (m)
% change year-on-year
f Key Note forecasts
f2008
f2009
f2010
77,892 11.7
92,310 9.0
Source: Annex 2, Department of Health Annual Report 2005 Crown copyright/Key Note
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Figure 6.2: The Forecast Total UK Hospital and Community Health Services Market by Value (m), 2006-2010
120,000 110,000 100,000 90,000 80,000 70,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Source: Annex 2, Department of Health Annual Report 2005 Crown copyright/Key Note
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pharmaceutical services (PHS) general and personal medical services dental services general ophthalmic services (GOS).
Many of the providers of these services are effectively independent professionals who contract their services out to the NHS.
KEY TRENDS
Improved Access
Many of the Governments NHS reforms are aimed at primary care, which is perceived as being crucial to implement government targets in improving public health and reducing levels of ill health and disease through proactive and preventative medicine. Many reforms have been designed to improve overall access to primary care services through improvements in service delivery.
Organisation
From October 2002, primary care trusts (PCTs) assumed responsibility for ophthalmic matters and performed a review of the practitioners and services.
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Healthcare Market
MARKET SIZE
Key Note estimates that total expenditure on the FHS market rose from 18.66bn in 2004 to 20.16bn in 2005, an increase of 8.1%. The highest levels of expenditure are in the PHS market, which accounts for an estimated 56.1% of all FHS expenditure in 2005.
Table 7.1: The Total UK Family Health Services Market by Sector by Value (m), 2001-2005
2001
Pharmaceutical services General personal and medical services Dental services
e2004
e2005
Table continues...
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Healthcare Market
Table 7.1: The Total UK Family Health Services Market by Sector by Value (m), 2001-2005
...table continued 2001
General ophthalmic services
e2004
e2005
362 14,273 -
Source: Annual Abstract of Statistics, National Statistics website Crown copyright material is reproduced with the permission of the Controller of HMSO (and the Queens Printer for Scotland)/Department of Health Annual Report 2005 Crown copyright/Key Note
Figure 7.1: The Total UK Family Health Services Market by Value (m), 2001-2005
25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Note: figures for 2004 and 2005 are Key Note estimates.
Source: Annual Abstract of Statistics, National Statistics website Crown copyright material is reproduced with the permission of the Controller of HMSO (and the Queens Printer for Scotland)/Department of Health Annual Report 2005 Crown copyright/Key Note
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FORECASTS
Key Note forecasts that, between 2006 and 2010, the total UK FHS market will grow by 33% to 29.03bn (see Table 7.2).
Table 7.2: The Forecast Total UK Family Health Services Market by Sector by Value (m), 2006-2010
2006
Pharmaceutical services General and personal medical services Dental services General ophthalmic services
Total
% change year-on-year
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Healthcare Market
Figure 7.2: The Forecast Total UK Family Health Services Market by Sector by Value (m), 2006-2010
30,000 28,000 26,000 24,000 22,000 20,000 18,000 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
PHARMACEUTICAL SERVICES
Definition
PHS are responsible for the provision and delivery of prescription medicines as prescribed by general medical services through the NHS. Delivery is carried out by registered pharmacists operating from licensed premises, who dispense medicines as prescribed by GPs. Licensed premises range from small independent community pharmacies and community pharmacy chains to large high-street retail chemists. Pharmacies also sell pharmacy-only, over-the-counter (OTC) medicines, as well as the more widely available general sales list medicines. In addition, these pharmacies sell a wide range of health and beauty products, toiletries, alternative medicines, vitamins, minerals and supplements, and certain nutritionals.
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Healthcare Market
Key Trends
The NHS Plan and the Expanding Role of Pharmacists
Integral to the NHS plan is the utilisation and expansion of the role of pharmacists in acting as key information providers to the public and the managers of prescription services. The Government is also committed to the promotion of electronic prescribing and has proposed the expansion of supplementary prescribing powers still further to include other groups of healthcare professionals, such as pharmacists, optometrists, chiropodists, radiographers and physiotherapists.
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Healthcare Market
any party willing to open for over 100 hours per week those in large shopping centres (more than 15,000 square metres) distant
from town centres
Market Size
Prescription pharmaceuticals are the single largest cost to FHS and these are continuing to rise. This increase in costs is driven by growing demand, partly due to demographic pressures and partly as a result of technology, driven by new developments in the pharmaceutical industry. Between 2001 and 2005, the total UK PHS market increased by 55% to an estimated 11.3bn. Annual growth peaked at 12.8% in 2002, before slowing slightly to 10.3% in 2005.
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Table 7.3: The Total UK Pharmaceuticals Services Market by Value (m), 2001-2005
2001
Value (m)
% change year-on-year
e Key Note estimates
e2004
e2005
7,293 -
10,249 11.7
11,304 10.3
Source: Annual Abstract of Statistics, National Statistics website Crown copyright material is reproduced with the permission of the Controller of HMSO (and the Queens Printer for Scotland)/Key Note
In the year ending December 2004, 675.6 million prescription items were dispensed in England and Wales, a rise of 5.6% on 2003. According to the Prescription Pricing Authority (PPA), cardiovascular prescriptions were the largest single group, with 200.3 million prescription items. This group also had the highest levels of growth in 2004, at 11.5%. Central nervous system (CNS) drugs constituted the second-largest therapeutic group of prescription items, at 119 million, but recorded a comparatively low growth in 2004 of 3.4%.
Table 7.4: Number and Type of Prescriptions Dispensed in England by Diagnostic Group (million and %), Year Ending December 2004
Number of Items (million) Diagnostic Group
Cardiovascular Central nervous system Endocrine system Gastrointestinal Respiratory
Table continues...
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Healthcare Market
Table 7.4: Number and Type of Prescriptions Dispensed in England by Diagnostic Group (million and %), Year Ending December 2004
...table continued Number of Items (million) Diagnostic Group
Infections Others
37.3 163.5
675.6
Total
does not sum due to rounding
Source: Key Note, adapted from data from the Prescription Pricing Authority/NHS Health & Social Care Information Centre
Supply Structure
According to the DoH, there were 10,462 community pharmacies contracted to PCTs in England and Wales, with an increase of ten pharmacies on 2003. In terms of ownership, 53% of pharmacies were owned by large pharmacy chains, an increase of 1% on the previous year. Certain supermarket chains, such as Tesco or Sainsburys, have in-store pharmacies. According to the Office of Fair Trading (OFT), there were around 12,250 community pharmacies throughout the UK in 2003/2004, with an estimated 5,000 people for every pharmacy in England, compared with 4,400 in Scotland, 4,100 in Wales and 3,300 in Northern Ireland. The position and placing of community pharmacies is highly regulated in order to ensure local access to populations, with local trusts or boards considering applications for contracts on the basis of need. According to the OFT, 79% of the population have a community pharmacy within 1 kilometre of their home, and 75% within 300 metres. Of these pharmacies, around 244 will have received payments under the essential small pharmacy scheme. (The report is available free from the OFT www.oft.gov.uk.)
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Healthcare Market
Table 7.5: Number of Pharmacies Contracted to Health Authorities in England and Wales, 1999/2000-2003/2004
1999/2000 2000/2001 2001/2002 2002/2003 2003/2004 10,474 10,471 10,463 10,452 10,462
Source: General Pharmaceutical Services for England and Wales, 1999/2000- 2003/2004, Department of Health Crown copyright
Figure 7.3: Number of Pharmacies Contracted to Health Authorities in England and Wales, 1999/2000-2003/2004
10,480 10,475 10,470 10,465 10,460 10,455 10,450 10,445 10,440 1999/2000 2000/2001 2001/2002 2002/2003 2003/2004
Source: General Pharmaceutical Services for England and Wales, 1999/2000- 2003/2004, Department of Health Crown copyright
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Healthcare Market
Major Players
Pharmaceutical Companies
AstraZeneca
AstraZeneca is a major international healthcare business engaged in the research, development, manufacture and marketing of prescription pharmaceuticals and the supply of healthcare services. It is one of the worlds leading pharmaceutical companies, with healthcare sales of more than $21.4bn and leading positions in sales of gastrointestinal, cardiovascular, respiratory, oncology and neuroscience products. AstraZeneca is listed in the Dow Jones Sustainability Index (Global) as well as the FTSE4Good Index.
GlaxoSmithKline
GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) is the second-largest pharmaceutical company in the world. It was formed through the merger of GlaxoWellcome and SmithKline Beecham in 2000, although it had to divest a significant number of drugs to gain regulatory approval. The company produces a huge range of more than 1,400 pharmaceutical brands and is a market leader in anti-infectives, CNS disorders, and respiratory and gastrointestinal/metabolic disease. GSKs top-selling product is the respiratory drug Seretide, with sales of almost 2.5bn in 2004. In 2004, GSK had sales of 20.3bn, of which 17bn were for prescription pharmaceuticals.
Pfizer Ltd
Following its acquisition of Pharmacia in 2003, Pfizer Ltd now claims to be the largest pharmaceutical company in the UK and the largest supplier of medicines to the NHS through Pfizer Global Pharmaceuticals. The company is US based, employing over 122,000 people worldwide, and has the blockbuster drug Lipitor.
Shire Pharmaceuticals
Shire Pharmaceuticals is a UK-based pharmaceutical company employing over 2,000 people, of whom 200 are UK based. The company develops drugs mainly for CNS disease, metabolic disease, cancer and gastroenterology. It has a number of major prescription pharmaceutical products, including Reminyl for Alzheimers disease.
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Healthcare Market
Pharmacy Chains
Retail and community pharmacy outlets in the UK are dominated by three major pharmacy chains: Boots the Chemist, Lloyds Pharmacy and Moss Pharmacy.
Lloyds Pharmacy
Lloyds Pharmacy owns 1,390 community pharmacies throughout the UK and is the largest community pharmacy operator in the UK. It is a wholly owned subsidiary of Celesio AG (previously GEHE), which is the largest pharmaceutical wholesaler in Europe. The company has expanded through multiple acquisition.
Moss Pharmacy
Moss is the UK retail pharmacy division of the major pharmaceutical wholesaler Alliance Unichem. The company recently announced that its Moss Pharmacy chain would be rebranded as Alliance Pharmacy, with newly branded stores with upgraded services opening from mid-March 2005. As of December 2004, the company had 878 pharmacy outlets in the UK.
Buying Behaviour
Prescription pharmaceuticals can only be obtained via an authorised prescription from a GP and then from a licensed pharmacy dispensed by a registered pharmacist. These pharmacies operate as small local community pharmacies, larger retail pharmacies situated in high streets or through hospital pharmacies and, under the terms of the new pharmacy contract, eventually Internet or mail-order pharmacies. Unless the patient is exempt, a prescription charge of 6.50 per item is levied. However, there are a number of patient groups and prescriptions exempt from charges, including the following:
individuals under 16 years old students in full-time education under the age of 19 years individuals aged 60 years or over expectant and nursing mothers
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Healthcare Market
NHS inpatients war-disabled people individuals (and their dependants) on income support, family credit or
disability working allowance
those with NHS charges certificates for full help bulk prescriptions for schools diagnostic test procedures contraceptives.
Although contraceptives are exempt, hormone replacement therapy (HRT) is not and, moreover, has a double charge applied, since it technically has two active ingredients, oestrogen and progesterone.
Forecasts
The need for PHS and pharmaceuticals is intrinsic and expanding as a result of increasing levels of ill health associated with an ageing population. In addition, the range and scope of treatments is continually expanding as a result of new drug development. Key Note estimates that the PHS market will grow significantly over the next 5 years (to 2010), with annual growth reaching 10.5% in 2006 before settling to 9% year on year until 2010, when the market is forecast to reach 17.63bn.
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Healthcare Market
Table 7.6: The Forecast Total UK Pharmaceutical Services Market by Value (m), 2006-2010
2006
Value (m)
% change year-on-year
12,490 10.5
Key Trends
There are over 300 million GP consultations in England each year.
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Healthcare Market
Market Size
General medical services expenditure increased from 4.66bn in 2000 to an estimated 6.15bn in 2005, a rise of 32%. There was a particularly high jump in funding available in 2003, as government funding was made available for the new GP contracts and out-of-hours provision.
Table 7.7: The Total UK General and Personal Medical Services Market by Value (m), 2001-2005
2001
Value (m)
% change year-on-year
e Key Note estimates
e2004
e2005
4,656 -
5,798 6.0
6,146 6.0
Source: Annual Abstract of Statistics, National Statistics website Crown copyright material is reproduced with the permission of the Controller of HMSO (and the Queens Printer for Scotland)/Department of Health Annual Report 2005 Crown copyright/Key Note
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Healthcare Market
Supply Structure
GPs are the core of primary care provision, operating as independent practitioners under contract to the NHS. GPs are the frontline of healthcare in the UK through the provision of diagnosis, treatment and referral of patients to specialist secondary and tertiary services. They work in partnership with teams of practice nurses, health visitors, district nurses and personal social services. In 2004, there were an estimated 39,777 GPs contracted to the NHS in the UK.
Table 7.8: Number of General Practitioners Contracted to the NHS in the UK, 2000-2004
2000
Number of general practitioners
% change year-on-year
e Key Note estimates
2001
2002
e2003
e2004
37,572 -
39,228 1.5
39,777 1.4
Source: Annual Abstract of Statistics, National Statistics website Crown copyright material is reproduced with the permission of the Controller of HMSO (and the Queens Printer for Scotland)/Key Note
Figure 7.4: Number of General Practitioners Contracted to the NHS in the UK, 2000-2004
40,000 39,500 39,000 38,500 38,000 37,500 37,000 36,500 36,000 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
Note: figures for 2003 and 2004 are Key Note estimates.
Source: Annual Abstract of Statistics, National Statistics website Crown copyright material is reproduced with the permission of the Controller of HMSO (and the Queens Printer for Scotland)/Key Note
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Healthcare Market
In 2002, England had the highest doctor-to-patient ratio, with an average of 1,838 patients per GP. In the same period, Scotland had the lowest ratio, with 1,392 patients per GP. The number of patients per GP has fallen steadily since the early 1990s.
Table 7.9: Average Number of Patients per General Practitioner in the UK by Country, 2002
England Wales Northern Ireland Scotland 1,838 1,704 1,632 1,392
Source: Annual Abstract of Statistics, National Statistics website Crown copyright material is reproduced with the permission of the Controller of HMSO (and the Queens Printer for Scotland)
Figure 7.5: Average Number of Patients per General Practitioner in the UK by Country, 2002
1,900 1,800 1,700 1,600 1,500 1,400 1,300 1,200 1,100 1,000
England Wales Northern Ireland Scotland
Source: Annual Abstract of Statistics, National Statistics website Crown copyright material is reproduced with the permission of the Controller of HMSO (and the Queens Printer for Scotland)
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Healthcare Market
Buying Behaviour
Every resident in the UK is entitled to register with an NHS GP to receive free primary medical care and to obtain prescriptions subject to prescription charges for prescribed medicines. According to the survey that was conducted by BMRB Access in April and May 2005 for this report (see Chapter 3 Key Note Primary Research), 75% of respondents consulted a GP at least once in the last 12 months. More women (81%) than men (69%) accessed GP services, and women were also more likely than men to have consulted a GP more than once.
Forecasts
Expenditure on general and personal medical services is forecast to grow by 6% in 2006 and 2007 to reach 6.91bn, with growth then settling down to a steady 5% per annum to reach an estimated 8bn by 2010.
Table 7.10: The Forecast Total UK General and Personal Medical Services Market by Value (m), 2006-2010
2006
Value (m)
% change year-on-year
6,515 6.0
DENTAL SERVICES
Definition
Dental services in the UK are supplied by a network of independent professionals working under contract to the NHS. Some dentists are exclusively NHS or private, whereas others provide both NHS and private treatments.
Key Trends
Preventative Dentistry
Dentists are focusing increasingly on preventative dentistry. Many now have a dental hygienist operating from their practices, who specialise in plaque removal and dental hygiene.
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Healthcare Market
New Contract
The maximum price for a course of NHS dental treatment will be reduced by half to 183 under new government reforms that were announced in July 2005. A 6-month check-up, which currently costs around 6 per visit for the basic check, will no longer be recommended. People with healthy teeth will be advised to have check-ups every 18 months to 2 years, and will pay around 15 for complete preventative dentistry services. Simple fillings or extractions will cost 41. More complex treatments will cost up to 183. This simplified system will replace the current complex banding system, which contains 400 different charges. The Government is also recruiting 1,000 more NHS dentists and the budget is being increased by 269m.
Market Size
Between 2000 and 2005, the total UK dental services market grew by an estimated 16.6%, to 2.29bn.
Table 7.11: The Total UK Dental Services Market by Value (m), 2001-2005
2001
Value (m)
% change year-on-year
e Key Note estimates
e2004
e2005
1,962 -
2,200 4.0
2,288 4.0
Source: Annual Abstract of Statistics, National Statistics website Crown copyright material is reproduced with the permission of the Controller of HMSO (and the Queens Printer for Scotland)
Supply Structure
As might be expected, England had the majority of dentists in the UK in 2002, at 82.4%, followed by Scotland, with 9.5%. In 2002, the total number of dentists in the UK was 22,194.
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Healthcare Market
Source: Key Note, adapted from Annual Abstract of Statistics, National Statistics website
England 82.4%
Source: Key Note, adapted from Annual Abstract of Statistics, National Statistics website
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Healthcare Market
According to the DoH, the number of adult courses of dental treatment in the UK has been falling gradually since 2001, to reach an estimated 29.8 million in 2004.
Table 7.13: Number of Adult Courses of Dental Treatment in the UK (000), 2000-2004
2000
Number of adult courses
% change year-on-year
e Key Note estimate
e2004
32,425 -
29,797 -0.5
Source: Annual Abstract of Statistics, National Statistics website Crown copyright material is reproduced with the permission of the Controller of HMSO (and the Queens Printer for Scotland)/Department of Health Annual Report 2005 Crown copyright/Key Note
The number of dental patients has continued to fall slightly since 2000, with 16.7 million new adult NHS patients and 6.7 million children accepted into capitation in 2002.
Table 7.14: Number of New Adult Dental Patients in England (000), 2000-2002
2000
New adult patients
% change year-on-year
16,813 6,845 -
Source: Annual Abstract of Statistics, National Statistics website Crown copyright material is reproduced with the permission of the Controller of HMSO (and the Queens Printer for Scotland)/Key Note
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Healthcare Market
children under 18 years of age students under 19 years old in full-time education pregnant women or women with a baby under 1 year-old recipients or partners of people on income support or family credit.
People who are not in any of the above groups are obliged to pay for 80% of charges up to 325.
Buying Behaviour
It is becoming increasingly difficult for new patients to find an NHS dentist who is willing to take them on, particularly in London and the South East. In addition, many dentists are leaving the NHS, disillusioned with the funding available for service provision. In 2002/2003, the highest proportion of costs in adult dental services in England was for fillings (at 18.3%), followed by periodontal treatment (17.2%) and inlays and crowns (15.8%). According to the DoH, the number of examinations and reports has remained relatively constant since 1998/1999. Any changes in types of treatment on the NHS might be reflected in the types of treatment people are now having privately.
Table 7.15: General Adult Dental Services in England by Type of Treatment (%), 2002/2003
Fillings Periodontal treatment Inlays and crowns Examinations and reports Dentures and repairs Root fillings Bridges Other Total 18.3 17.2 15.8 14.5 11.0 4.9 4.4 13.9 100.0
Source: Key Note, adapted from Table B2, Department of Health Performance Tables Crown copyright
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Healthcare Market
Figure 7.7: General Adult Dental Services in England by Type of Treatment (%), 2002/2003
O th er 13.9%
F illin g s 18.3%
Source: Key Note, adapted from Table B2, Department of Health Performance Tables Crown copyright
In the exclusive consumer survey that Key Note commissioned for this report, which was conducted by BMRB Access in April and May 2005 (see Chapter 3 Key Note Primary Research), more than half (53%) of respondents had visited a dentist in the last 12 months, despite the well-documented difficulties in accessing an NHS dentist. According to the survey, more women (58%) than men (47%) visited a dentist in the last 12 months.
Forecasts
Key Note forecasts that, between 2006 and 2010, the total UK dental care market will increase by 20.5% to 2.87bn.
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Healthcare Market
Table 7.16: The Forecast Total UK Dental Services Market by Value (m), 2006-2010
2006
Value (m)
% change year-on-year
2,380 4.0
Key Trends
The following trends are evident in the GOS market:
The retail market for spectacle frames and contact lenses is highly
competitive and designer frames are increasingly popular. Although retailers are continuing to differentiate and add value to their products, the market is becoming increasingly price sensitive.
Following extensive consultations, the NHS sight test fee rose to 17.82
from 4th April 2004.
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Healthcare Market
Market Size
The total UK market for GOS has shown variable levels of annual growth in the past 5 years (to 2005), ranging from a low of 2.2% in 2002 to a high of 6.2% in 2003. Since 2001, the market for GOS has increased by 17.1% to an estimated 424m in 2005.
Table 7.17: The Total UK General Ophthalmic Services Market by Value (m), 2001-2005
2001
Value (m)
% change year-on-year
e Key Note estimates
e2004
e2005
362 -
408 3.8
424 3.9
Source: Annual Abstract of Statistics, National Statistics website Crown copyright material is reproduced with the permission of the Controller of HMSO (and the Queens Printer for Scotland)/Department of Health Annual Report 2005 Crown copyright/Key Note
Supply Structure
In the UK, ophthalmic services are supplied by a number of independent registered practitioners operating under contract to the NHS. Professionals must be registered with the General Optical Council (GOC), which is the designated regulatory body in the UK. There are four main types of ophthalmic professionals:
Optometrists these are qualified to perform eye tests; prescribe, fit and
dispense spectacles, contact lenses and low-vision aids; and recognise eye abnormalities and refer them appropriately. Optometrists provide community eye care services and operate as independent practitioners contracted to the NHS.
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Healthcare Market
Table 7.18: The Actual Number of Ophthalmic Practitioners in England and Wales by Type, 1999-2003
1999
Optometrists Ophthalmic medical practitioners
Total
Source: Annual Abstract of Statistics, National Statistics website Crown copyright material is reproduced with the permission of the Controller of HMSO (and the Queens Printer for Scotland)
Patient details and any specific concerns that have led to the request of an
eye test are taken. In addition, the history of any relevant symptoms and relevant personal details are taken in conjunction with establishing the visual needs of the patient.
Ocular status is established for each eye, with the testing of vision
(aided and unaided), as well as ocular motility, assessment of binocular vision and pupil reflexes.
Testing for the presence of gross visual defects is conducted. Objective refractive and subjective refraction findings are recorded. Intra-ocular pressure is measured. The visual field is assessed. Other relevant vision tests, e.g. for colour blindness, etc., are conducted.
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Healthcare Market
Once the test has been completed, the patient is advised of any relevant findings and given a prescription as necessary, along with documentation of the test results. If abnormalities have been found, an optometrist might refer the patient to an ophthalmologist, or arrange to further monitor the situation. From 2000, ophthalmologists have been granted permission to use clinical judgement in referring their patients. Protocols for referring are determined by Local Optometric Committees (LOCs) and primary care services. The number of NHS sight tests performed showed a general (although variable) increase since 2000, rising by an estimated 7.1% to 12.2 million in 2004 (based on 6-monthly figures for that year). The annual increase since 2003 was an estimated 4.2%, the highest rise since 2000. The number of spectacles paid for under the NHS voucher scheme dipped in 2001 and 2002, before rising by 1.7% in 2003. In 2004, the number of spectacles redeemed increased by 5.1% to 4.7 million, which was the highest growth level over the 5-year period.
Table 7.19: Number of UK NHS Sight Tests and Spectacles Redeemed (000), 2000-2004
2000
NHS sight tests
% change year-on-year
e2004
11,381 -
12,192 4.2
4,502 -
4,485 -0.4
4,355 -2.9
4,428 1.7
4,654 5.1
Source: Annual Abstract of Statistics, National Statistics website Crown copyright material is reproduced with the permission of the Controller of HMSO (and the Queens Printer for Scotland)/General Ophthalmic Services: Activity Statistics for England and Wales, Department of Health, 2005 Crown copyright
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Healthcare Market
Between April and September 2004, the vast majority (97.1%) of sight tests in England and Wales were performed by optometrists, which is a strong indication of the central importance of optometrists in the delivery of frontline ophthalmology services in the NHS. Ophthalmic medical practitioners were responsible for only 2.9% of tests over the same period. This is a strong contrast to the manner of service delivery in Europe, which is generally carried out by medically qualified ophthalmologists and ophthalmic medical practitioners.
Table 7.20: NHS Sight Tests in England and Wales by Type of Practitioner (% of sight tests performed), April-September 2004
Optometrists Ophthalmic medical practitioners Total 97.1 2.9 100.0
Source: General Ophthalmic Services: Activity Statistics for England and Wales, Department of Health, 2005 Crown copyright
In terms of the number of premises, the number of NHS-contracted opticians (optometrists and ophthalmic medical practitioners) fell by 6.2% between 1999 and 2003 to 6,552.
Table 7.21: Health Authority-Contracted Opticians by Number of Premises in England and Wales, 1999-2003
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 6,984 6,868 6,878 6,544 6,552
Source: General Ophthalmic Services: Activity Statistics for England and Wales, Department of Health, 2005 Crown copyright
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Healthcare Market
Major Players
Although the GOS market still has a large number of small independent operators, large multiple chains dominate the high street in a highly competitive environment. There are four major companies in the UK Boots Opticians Ltd, Dollond & Aitchison Ltd, Specsavers Optical Group and Vision Express.
Dollond & Aitchison Professional Services Ltd (for customer services) Dollond & Aitchison Eyewear Ltd Dollond & Aitchison Contact Lenses Ltd.
The company owns almost 400 stores in the UK, including franchises, employing around 3,000 people. This figure includes 600 qualified opticians, 250 dispensing opticians and more than 350 optometrists. In 2001, the company sold its manufacturing business to BBGR.
Vision Express
Vision Express is part of the Grand Vision Group, which is a major optical photography business. The company has almost 200 stores in the UK, employing more than 3,500 people. The company has introduced its new store concept, the Optical Lab, which was developed by Sir Terence Conrans CD partnership.
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Healthcare Market
Table 7.22: Main Media Advertising Expenditure on Prescription Frames and Contact Lenses (000), Year Ending March 2005
Johnson & Johnson Acuvue Advance Acuvue lenses 1 day Acuvue Total Johnson & Johnson Transitions Comfort Lenses Boots Opticians Prescription sunglasses Spectacles range Total Boots Opticians Freshlook colour contact lenses Essilor Lenses range Varilux lenses Total Essilor Table continues... 207 93 300 172 440 612 543 2,328 1,008 265 3,601 2,207
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Healthcare Market
Table 7.22: Main Media Advertising Expenditure on Prescription Frames and Contact Lenses (000), Year Ending March 2005
...table continued Chanel glasses Ciba Vision Focus Dailies Contact Lenses Varilux varifocal lenses Other brands Total
Note: total does not sum due to rounding by source.
Buying Behaviour
By far, the largest number of sight tests (43%) in England and Wales were performed on older patients, aged 60 years or older. Many disorders of vision of the eye are age-related, such as short-sightedness, glaucoma, cataracts and age-related macular degeneration. Many of them are also successfully treatable if caught at an early stage. With the population of the UK continuing to age demographically, pressures on these services are likely to increase, along with costs. The next largest group undergoing NHS-funded sight tests in England and Wales was children aged between 0 and 15 years, at 21.6%, underlining the importance of catching many eye disorders, including conditions such as lazy eye and squinting or vision problems that can lead to educational problems, early on so that they can be successfully treated. Adults on income support are also a significant group undergoing NHS-funded eye tests, possibly because of the high proportion of elderly people on income support. One very important group of people undergoing eye tests are glaucoma sufferers and their relatives who are deemed to have some potential risk. Untreated glaucoma can result in irreversible blindness, although if it is caught early it can be treated before significant damage is done. Similarly, diabetics are at a high risk of developing eye problems and need to be carefully monitored.
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Healthcare Market
Table 7.23: NHS-Paid Sight Tests by Patient Eligibility in England and Wales (% of sight tests), April-September 2004
Adults aged 60 years and older Children aged 0-15 years Adults on income support Diabetics/glaucoma sufferers Adults receiving tax credits Close relatives of glaucoma sufferers aged 40 and over Students aged 16-18 years Adults receiving job seekers allowance Low income certificate holders (HC2) Patients who need complex lenses Registered blind/partially blind Total
Note: total does not sum due to rounding.
43.0 21.6 10.4 5.6 5.5 5.1 4.5 1.9 1.6 0.7 0.2 100.0
Source: General Ophthalmic Services: Activity Statistics for England and Wales, Department of Health, 2005 Crown copyright
In terms of the uptake of spectacles and appliances reimbursed on the NHS, the largest single group in 2004 comprised adults on income support (at 44%), followed by children aged between 0 and 15 years (26.9%). At 6.4%, students aged between 16 and 18 years also represented a significant group.
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Healthcare Market
Table 7.24: Percentage of Spectacles/Appliances for Which Vouchers Were Reimbursed by the NHS by Patient Eligibility (%), April-September 2004
Full Vouchers Adults receiving income support Children aged 0-15 years Adults receiving tax credits Students aged 16-18 years HC2 vouchers (full remission) Adults receiving job seekers allowance HC3 partial payment of vouchers Total full vouchers Complex appliance payment only HC3 complex appliance payment Total 44.0 26.9 12.3 6.4 4.5 3.5 1.4 99.0 1.0 0.0 100.0
Source: General Ophthalmic Services: Activity Statistics for England and Wales, Department of Health, 2005 Crown copyright
Forecasts
As the UK population continues to age and the incidence of age-related eye disorders continues to rise accordingly, there is added pressure on eye care services. The Government and the DoH are continuing to channel funding into primary care services and cost-effective preventative medicine. Key Note forecasts that, between 2006 and 2010, the total UK market for GOS will increase by 22.2% to 539m.
Table 7.25: The Forecast Total UK General Ophthalmic Services Market by Value (m), 2006-2010
2006
Value (m)
% change year-on-year
441 4.0
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Healthcare Market
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Healthcare Market
8. Private Healthcare
8. Private Healthcare
DEFINITION
Private healthcare in the UK has emerged and developed in the shadow of a significant and comprehensive NHS. Traditionally, rather than competing with the NHS, the private sector has evolved to complement it and provide niche market services, such as cosmetic surgery and fertility treatments, or to provide routine elective surgery for those wishing to avoid NHS waiting lists. More recently, the private sector has been developing specialist markets, frequently in partnership with the NHS and fostered by the Private Finance Initiative (PFI), along with its more traditional markets. The private sector is a key provider of psychiatric services, counselling, substance dependency clinics and, increasingly, specialist diagnostics such as drug screening. Unlike many other European countries, there is no statutory requirement for healthcare insurance and the NHS is funded directly from general taxation. These factors have effectively limited the private sector to individuals opting for private medical insurance (PMI) in addition to the NHS or to those willing and able to pay directly. The private healthcare market consists of the following major market sectors:
Acute care the vast majority of acute care services in the private sector
are for routine elective surgery, particularly for procedures that are likely to have significant waiting lists on the NHS. The private acute care sector has also focused on an increasing range of niche markets that are poorly (or not) catered for by the NHS, including fertility and abortion services, LASIK and the expanding market for cosmetic surgery. Increasingly, the private sector is providing services such as diagnostic imaging, intensive care and trauma care.
Primary care this is very much an emerging and evolving market. Apart
from a small number of private general practitioner (GP) practices or primary care facilities associated with private hospitals, much of this sector is involved in occupational health services.
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MARKET SIZE
Key Note estimates that, in 2005, the total UK private healthcare market will be worth almost 17bn, a rise of 5.8% on 2004. Long-term care accounts for the majority of the market, at an estimated 63.5% in 2005.
Table 8.1: The Total UK Private Healthcare Market by Sector by Value (m), 2001-2005
2001
Long-term care Acute care Psychiatric care Primary care
e2004
e2005
Total
% change year-on-year
e Key Note estimates
Figure 8.1: The Total UK Private Healthcare Market by Value (m), 2001-2005
18,000 17,000 16,000 15,000 14,000 13,000 12,000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Note: figures for 2004 and 2005 are Key Note estimates.
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FORECASTS
Key Note forecasts that, between 2006 and 2010, the total UK private healthcare market will grow by 34.9% to 24.41bn.
Table 8.2: The Forecast Total UK Private Healthcare Market by Sector by Value (m), 2006-2010
2006
Long-term care Acute care Psychiatric care Primary care
Total
% change year-on-year
Figure 8.2: The Forecast Total UK Private Healthcare Market by Value (m), 2006-2010
26,000 24,000 22,000 20,000 18,000 16,000 14,000 12,000 10,000 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
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LONG-TERM CARE
Key Trends
Funding and Compliance
There is chronic under-funding of long-term care by local authorities throughout the UK. Although the introduction of care-home standards through the Care Standards Act is being implemented and seen as necessary by many, compliance with and the monitoring of these standards have significantly added costs and bureaucracy to an already extremely costsensitive marketplace. In the government spending review in July 2004, the Chancellor of the Exchequer announced that, as part of government plans for healthcare, health and social care would work in close co-operation to enable old people to live in their communities whenever possible with suitable support, preventing bed blocking and reducing the need for expensive institutionalised care. However, although the Government has pledged billions in healthcare funding and local authorities have increased their fees to care-home operators, there are still significant shortfalls in funding and inequalities of long-term care provision throughout the UK. The lack of funding remains a key factor in limiting the scope, range and potential of the marketplace.
Market Polarisation
The long-term care market is increasingly dominated by large operators at the expense of small independent operators. Small operators are finding it increasingly difficult to compete with the economies of scale of the large providers or to provide a competitively comprehensive range of flexible services based on changing patient requirements. The introduction of the National Minimum Care Standards has hit small independent operators particularly hard.
Demographic Trends
The population of the UK is continuing to age demographically, with the number of very elderly people (85 years and older) expanding particularly significantly. These trends are continuing to increase the pressures on healthcare services through increased demand, and will inevitably boost demand for services associated with caring for the elderly. In 2001, the proportion of over-85s within institutionalised care was 21%, compared with 1% of 65 to 74 year-olds, according to Laing & Buisson.
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Social Trends
Traditionally, women have formed the backbone of carers within society. However, since the 1980s, a growing number of women are remaining in the workforce, even after having children, and this trend is being encouraged by a variety of government childcare initiatives. In addition, rising divorce rates, smaller family sizes and greater mobility as people move further afield and even overseas for jobs mean that traditional patterns of care are increasingly being eroded.
Market Size
Although demand for long-term care has risen over the past 5 years (since 2001), fuelled by demographic trends and medical advances, the lack of funding is significantly inhibiting market growth. This is in spite of the partial adoption of the recommendations of the 2002 Royal Commission. According to industry consultants Laing & Buisson, the commercial subsector has shown a steady, if slightly erratic, growth, peaking at 8.1% in 2001. Following this, growth in the subsector ranged between 5% and 7% per annum to reach 7.3bn in 2004 and an estimated 7.7bn in 2005, accounting for 71.7% of the long-term care sector. Between 2001 and 2005, the commercial sector increased by an estimated 25.2%.
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In contrast to the commercial subsector, the public subsector has shown a gradual, if slowing, decline since 2001 and fell by 6.2% over the 5-year period to an estimated 1.7bn in 2005, accounting for 16% of the total sector. The voluntary/non-profitmaking subsector initially demonstrated significant growth, rising by 14.1% between 2001 and 2003, before decreasing by an estimated 8.8% to 1.3bn in 2005. This subsector accounted for an estimated 12.3% of the total sector in 2005.
Table 8.3: The Total UK Private Long-Term Care Sector by Subsector by Value (m), 2001-2005
2001
Commercial
% change year-on-year
e2004
e2005
Public
% change year-on-year
Voluntary/non-profitmaking
% change year-on-year
Total
% change year-on-year
e Key Note estimates
Supply Structure
In 2004, there were 486,000 long-term care places in the UK, a fall of 1.9% on 2003. In terms of the number of places, the commercial subsector was by far the largest, with 346,700 places, of which just under half (47.4%) were nursing home places. The number of commercial places has risen by 0.2% since 2003. In the voluntary subsector, there were 64,700 places in 2004, a fall of 10% on 2003. Over the same period, the number of public sector places fell by 3.9% to 74,600 places.
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Source: Key Note, adapted from Laings Healthcare Market Review 2004-2005
In 2004, the commercial subsector accounted for 71.3% of the long-term care sector in terms of the number of care places, compared with 69.8% in 2003, clearly demonstrating the continuing expansion of the commercial private subsector. In contrast, the voluntary/non-profitmaking sector declined from 14.5% of the market in terms of residential places to 13.3%. Similarly, the public sector fell from 15.7% to 15.3% over the same period.
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Care Standards Act 2000 The Regulation of Care Act 2001 (Scotland) The Care Home Regulations 2001 Regulation of Care (Requirements as to Care Services), Scotland,
Regulations 2002
Major Players
There is increasing polarisation in the marketplace, as large companies continue to expand their presence and range of services through the acquisition of smaller groups and single operators. As a result, the market is increasingly dominated by a smaller number of larger players. Part of the impetus for this is the need to develop economies of scale in a highly cost-sensitive market subject to significant funding problems in a time of rising need. There is also a need to add value to existing services in a highly competitive marketplace.
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In between the two extremes in the market, there are a rising number of middle-sized operators (of up to 12 care homes), which are providing a volatile part of the marketplace through their own acquisition and merger activities, or through being acquired themselves.
Anchor Trust
The Anchor Trust is the leading non-profitmaking provider of care, sheltered housing and support services for elderly people in England. Anchor Homes care services include 104 registered care homes and 4,330 residential care places, of which 685 are nursing home places. Anchor employs more than 10,000 people, supporting 50,000 customers each week.
Highfield Care
Highfield Care has more than 200 homes throughout the UK, of which 37 are in Scotland and Northern Ireland. The company provides care ranging from residential and nursing home care, to dementia care and care for the physically disabled.
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Buying Behaviour
According to the most recent Government Actuarys Report (2002), the proportion of very elderly people is projected to increase for the foreseeable future. The number of very elderly the over-85s in particular is projected to rise to almost 1.2 million in 2002 and is forecast to increase to 3.3 million by 2056. Social changes are also playing a part in this, with people having smaller families. In addition, modern work patterns and mobility mean that families are more likely to be dispersed. Women, who traditionally acted as carers, are also more likely to be working. These factors are putting pressure on long-term care facilities, as well as on other healthcare companies. Care in the Community is still at the heart of government policy. It is perceived as being ideal to have patients being cared for and living in the community as far as possible, with increasing co-ordination of the various support services. The public sector is continuing to slowly withdraw from long-term care provision.
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According to Laing & Buisson, around 33% of payers in care homes were selfpayers, with around 6% of all residents being funded by the NHS; this figure rises to over 13% in nursing homes. In nursing homes, 34% of patients were self-payers. There were considerable regional variations in self-pay, with the Department of Healths (DoHs) 2002 census showing rates varying from 17% to 50% in Sussex and Surrey.
Forecasts
Over the next 5 years (to 2010), the highest growth is forecast for the commercial subsector, with continuing investment in the subsector and expansion through mergers and acquisition, fuelled by demographic changes. Growth in the commercial subsector is forecast to rise by 7% year on year from 2008 and continue at this level to 2010, the value of the subsector reaching 10.66bn. Limited growth is forecast for the voluntary/non-profitmaking subsector, which is expected to rise from 0.5% growth per annum in 2006 to 1.5% in 2010, with a market value of 1.39bn. Growth in this subsector will generally be offset by the refocusing of services into home-based care and other community-based support initiatives. In contrast to the other sectors, the public sector will continue to shrink gradually, as provision moves increasingly outside the NHS and initiatives to reduce bed-blocking and institutional care begin to take effect. The decline in the market is forecast to reach 2% in 2009 and the value of the subsector is expected to be 1.58bn in 2010. The overall market for long-term care in the UK is forecast to increase year on year to reach 13.63bn in 2010. The majority of this rise will be driven by demographics, although government proposals for extra funding could make a significant difference if they are fully implemented.
Table 8.5: The Forecast Total UK Private Long-Term Care Sector by Subsector by Value (m), 2006-2010
2006
Commercial
% change year-on-year
Public
% change year-on-year Table continues...
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Table 8.5: The Forecast Total UK Private Long-Term Care Sector by Subsector by Value (m), 2006-2010
...table continued
2006
Voluntary/non-profitmaking
% change year-on-year
Total
% change year-on-year
The marketplace is expanding from its traditional residential and nursing home sectors and will increasingly provide ranges of services that are more tailored towards individual patient needs. A variety of different market sectors will continue to emerge, ranging from round-the-clock care for the very infirm to a variety of assisted living and home-care schemes. However, adequate funding will be the crucible that determines the growth and extent of market expansion. Although there is widespread recognition of the problem and the need for action, there has not yet been any clear attempt to tackle the problem systematically, with successive governments wary about the enormous costs involved in residential care. Technological and medical care advances could have a highly significant effect on the residential long-term care market. At one end, advances in telemedicine and other monitoring will increasingly facilitate the long-range monitoring of patients and enable them to live a more independent lifestyle, confident of prompt and timely support. At the other end, advances in medical care may result in prolonging the life of many infirm patients, increasing the overall need for care. However, certain advances, such as effective treatments for Alzheimers disease and other neurological and nervous system disorders, could dramatically lower the need for residential care. Equally, effective rehabilitation treatments for trauma injuries, strokes, musculoskeletal diseases and other disorders could also significantly reduce the need for assisted care and enhance independent living. In addition, technological advances in diagnostics and rehabilitation equipment could improve the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of care.
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ACUTE CARE
Definition
The private acute care market encompasses routine and emergency surgical procedures, including niche markets such as cosmetic surgery, pregnancy terminations, fertility treatment and laser eye surgery, among others.
Key Trends
Consolidation in the Marketplace
The large hospital groups have continued to expand through mergers and acquisitions, which has led to consolidation in facilities and the number of overall beds. The continuing development of these large hospital networks, with their economies of scale and their superior purchasing power, has inevitably hit smaller networks and small independent providers very hard, resulting in a number of hospital closures with a reduction in overall bed capacity.
Cosmetic Surgery
The cosmetic surgery market has been growing rapidly. Cosmetic surgery is also gaining popularity among men, although women still form the largest demographic, with breast enhancement being the most popular surgical procedure. Non-surgical treatments such as botox are also becoming increasingly available and popular.
Fertility Treatment
According to Laing & Buisson, the private fertility treatment market was worth around 49m in 2003.
Market Size
In terms of hospital and bed numbers, there has been considerable consolidation in the private acute care market but, in value terms, the market has shown significant growth. Demand has been fuelled by demographic trends, increasing partnership with the NHS and technological advances that have increased the efficiency of care, resulting in shorter recovery times and more rapid patient turnover. Between 2001 and 2005, the UK market for private acute care grew by an estimated 48.9% to 5.33bn.
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Table 8.6: The Total UK Private Acute Care Sector by Value (m), 2001-2005
2001
Value (m)
% change year-on-year
e Key Note estimates
e2004
e2005
3,581 -
4,847 10.0
5,332 10.0
Supply Structure
Between 1999 and 2004, hospital numbers fell by 9.6%, from 228 to 206. Over the same period, bed numbers fell by 13.1% to 9,176. These trends show the continuing consolidation in the marketplace by the major hospital groups through acquisitions, resulting in a reduction in bed overcapacity. In addition, they reflect changing medical practices, with increasing levels of day surgery. In 2004, there were also 43 acute-care day surgery hospitals with no overnight beds, of which 18 specialised in pregnancy terminations.
Table 8.7: The Total UK Private Acute Care Sector by Number of Hospitals and Beds, 1999-2004
Number of Hospitals
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
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In spite of the considerable consolidation in the marketplace through merger and acquisition activity, and as the market generally continues to reduce overcapacity of beds, the commercial subsector is continuing to expand market share in terms of bed numbers, rising from 65.9% of the market in 1998 to reach 68% in 2004, an increase of 2.1 percentage points. The charitable subsector declined by the same amount, from 34.1% in 1998 to 32% in 2004.
Table 8.8: Ownership Status of Private Acute Care Providers (% of total beds), 1998 and 2004
1998
Commercial Charitable
65.9 34.1
Major Players
There are five major players in the private acute care sector and, together, they account for almost 78% of all private acute care beds.
BMI Healthcare
The largest private acute care operator is BMI Healthcare the private acute care division of the General Healthcare Group which has 2,267 beds, accounting for 24.7% of all private acute care beds.
Nuffield Hospitals
The second-largest operator in terms of bed numbers is Nuffield Hospitals, which is the UKs largest non-profitmaking independent hospital group. As well as expansion through acquisition, Nuffield has been building new hospitals to replace outdated facilities, and a new hospital in York opened at the end of 2004. In 2004, Nuffield won a 40m contract to provide NHS services.
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Capio Healthcare
Capio Healthcare, which is the fourth-largest provider of private acute care services, is a subsidiary of the Swedish healthcare company, Capio AB. It is a relative newcomer in the UK marketplace and became a major market force in private acute care through the acquisition of the Community Hospitals Group in May 2001. The company is continuing to expand in the market following the award of a number of large NHS contracts, particularly the 210m 5-year Independent Sector Treatment Centre (ISTC) contract for around 95,000 orthopaedic and general surgical procedures.
Table 8.9: Leading UK Private Acute Care Providers by Number of Hospitals and Beds, 2004
Number of Hospitals
General Healthcare Group (BMI) Nuffield Hospitals BUPA Hospitals Ltd Capio Healthcare Ltd HCA International Ltd
45 43 35 23 6 152 249
including two private patient units (PPUs) owned by BMI Healthcare, and excluding two hospitals managed by BMI Healthcare including one diagnostic centre with no overnight beds including one PPU owned by Capio Healthcare and one eye hospital with no overnight beds, and excluding one NHS PPU managed by Capio Healthcare
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Buying Behaviour
Most patients in the private sector are undergoing routine elective surgery, and going private enables them to avoid potential NHS waiting lists and to have their surgery at a time that is convenient to them. Patients also tend to use the private sector for provision that is unavailable on the NHS or available only in a limited way, including fertility treatments, cosmetic surgery and abortions. There is also a growing trend towards specialist surgery, such as endoscopy procedures and heart surgery. The majority of private acute care is financed through PMI although, according to Laing & Buisson, around 20% of patients are self-paying, a trend that is encouraged by the advent of fixed-price agreements with private providers, which are particularly promoted by the large hospital networks. Around 20% of self-payers are undergoing cosmetic surgery. These self-pay packages have expanded and evolved in recent years to encompass savings plans, deferred payment schemes, pay-as-you-go options and other flexible schemes, as well as long-term payment options. In recent years, self-pay brokers have emerged to assist patients in selecting the optimal self-pay schemes for their benefit.
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The vast majority of patients in the UK are UK based, with only 4.5% coming from overseas. However, these foreign patients typically have more complex and expensive treatments than the average patient, usually seeking treatment that is unavailable in their home country. Although data are hard to come by, an increasing amount of revenue in the private acute care sector is derived from NHS contracts; Laing & Buisson has estimated that it constituted around 9% of private acute care revenues in 2003.
Forecasts
The market for private acute care is forecast to grow steadily over the next 5 years to 2010, fuelled by the increasing healthcare demands of an ageing population, and increasing partnership and co-operation with the NHS, as well as the effects of advances in medical research and technology, expanding the range and nature of the healthcare market as a whole. Between 2006 and 2010, the market for private acute care is forecast to grow by 58.8% to 9.35bn. The annual rate of increase is forecast to reach 13.5% in 2010, as NHS partnerships begin to pay dividends.
Table 8.10: The Forecast Total UK Private Acute Care Sector by Value (m), 2006-2010
2006
Value (m)
% change year-on-year
5,892 10.5
PSYCHIATRIC CARE
Definition
Psychiatric care is a major specialist sector of the private healthcare market, encompassing acute psychiatric care and rehabilitation. It excludes long-term residential care, which is covered under long-term care.
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Key Trends
There is increasing demand for mental healthcare services and for an increasing range and scope of services. As the public become increasingly aware and educated about mental health issues, this is driving the demand for support and care. Rising levels of substance abuse are also fuelling demand for rehabilitation services. In the UK, the NHS is the major client to the sector for private psychiatric care. According to industry analysts Laing & Buisson, the public sector accounts for just over two-thirds of independent psychiatric hospital revenues and almost all medium-secure and mental rehabilitation services. As the traditional NHS psychiatric institutions were closed and Care in the Community was increasingly adopted, psychiatric services became increasingly outsourced under the then Conservative Governments NHS internal market. Even after the following Labour Government abolished much of the reform, outsourcing of psychiatric services continued. Care in the Community has been coming under sustained criticism following a number of high-profile failures, in which people suffering from mental illness have harmed or killed friends and family or even complete strangers. The DoH remains committed to community-based approaches where possible and these remain their top priority for resourcing.
Market Size
The UK private psychiatric care sector has been growing steadily since 2001, with an annual rise of between 10.4% and 11.6%. Between 2001 and 2005, the sector rose by an estimated 52% to 523m in 2005. Growth has been fuelled by increasing demand for psychiatric services, particularly for specialist markets such as substance abuse, eating disorders, behavioural disorders, specialist education services and counselling services.
Table 8.11: The Total UK Private Psychiatric Care Sector by Value (m), 2001-2005
2001
Value (m)
% change year-on-year
e Key Note estimates
e2004
e2005
344 -
469 10.6
523 11.5
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Supply Structure
According to Laing & Buisson, there were 6,365 beds in the UK independent acute psychiatric sector in 2004, an increase of 2,451 beds (62.6%) on 2002. This increase is an indication of the rate of expansion in this market. In 2002, 70% of beds belonged to commercial operators, compared with 76.1% in 2004. Over the same period, the number of charitable beds rose from 1,174 to 1,524, an increase of 29.8%.
Table 8.12: The Total UK Independent Acute Psychiatric Care Sector by Number of Beds (number and %), 2002 and 2004
2002 Number of Beds
Commercial Charitable
2004 % of Total 70.0 30.0 100.0 Number of Beds 4,841 1,524 6,365 % of Total 76.1 23.9 100.0
Total
Source: Key Note, adapted from Laings Healthcare Market Reviews 2002-2003 and 2004-2005
Major Players
The independent acute psychiatric care market is dominated by five major players, of which the largest is Priory Healthcare, with 21 psychiatric care facilities and hospitals and 936 beds, accounting for 14.7% of all beds in the sector. The second-largest operator is Partnerships in Care, with 16 psychiatric hospitals and care facilities and 843 beds (accounting for 13.2% of all beds). In comparison, St Andrews Group of Hospitals has only four hospitals, but these provide a total of 642 beds, which account for 10.1% of the total number of beds.
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Table 8.13: Major Players in the UK Independent Acute Psychiatric Care Sector by Number of Hospitals and Beds, 2004
Number of Hospitals/Facilities
Priory Healthcare Partnerships in Care St Andrews Group of Hospitals Care Principles Cygnet Healthcare
Total leading five
Number of Beds 936 843 642 292 248 2,961 3,404 6,365
21 16 4 5 6 52 123 175
Other providers
Total
Note: some organisations may have other hospitals and facilities outside this sector.
Source: Key Note, adapted from Laings Healthcare Market Review 2004-2005/company literature and annual reports
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Care Principles
Care Principles was founded in 1997 and provides a range of specialist medium-secure assessment and treatment services for adult learning disabilities and behavioural problems. Only patients referred and funded by the NHS are accepted.
Cygnet Healthcare
Cygnet has six acute psychiatric hospitals with 248 beds, as well as the joint-venture hospitals with St Andrews Group, and the company claims to have a major share of the London outsourced acute NHS psychiatric market. It also operates two nursing homes for the elderly. The company underwent an 82m MBO in November 2002 and, in June 2004, Barchester Healthcare acquired a 25% share in Cygnet for 30m. The company is continuing to expand, with at least two new hospitals in the pipeline.
Buying Behaviour
Psychiatric and behavioural disorders are reported to be rising and there has been an increase in alcohol and drug abuse, as well as eating disorders. Society as a whole has become increasingly aware of the effects of stress and trauma, with counselling becoming more routine. Levels of stress are perceived to be rising, fuelled by the pressures of modern living, and the UK reportedly has the longest working hours in Europe. Many more people are combining work with raising a family and, at the same time, many traditional support networks are eroding, with rising levels of divorce and greater mobility resulting in the dispersal of family units.
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Employers are becoming increasingly aware of the effects of stress on employee health and productivity and, as such, are becoming increasingly willing to provide certain levels of stress counselling and other similar supports.
Forecasts
The UK market for psychiatric care is forecast to continue to expand steadily for the foreseeable future on the back of an expanding range of specialist care, rehabilitation, educational and counselling services, and increasing involvement with the NHS in the form of partnerships with a growing trend towards longer-term agreements. Between 2006 and 2010, the sector is forecast to increase by 58.7% to 930m.
Table 8.14: The Forecast Total UK Private Psychiatric Care Sector (m), 2006-2010
2006
Value (m)
% change year-on-year
586 12.0
PRIMARY CARE
Definition
In the private sector, primary care encompasses both GP services and occupational health services. It does not include dental or ophthalmic services, or health screening and diagnostics.
Key Trends
The private primary care market sector is still emerging, with the General Household Survey indicating that only 3% of all GP consultations are private. Unlike consultants in hospitals, GPs in the UK are not permitted to treat their registered NHS patients privately. If they treat a patient privately, they are not permitted to provide them with an NHS prescription.
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In the UK, most private healthcare is paid for through PMI policies and, until quite recently, there was little provision in these policies for private primary healthcare. In general, the market for occupational health has been driven by health and safety legislation, as well as increasing awareness among organisations and employers, and increasing nervousness of potential litigation. In general, employers are providing these services as an employee benefit, as well as part of a drive to reduce absence due to illness and improve productivity. In October 2000, a comprehensive independent review of GP out-of-hours services was published on behalf of the NHS, which made a number of recommendations aimed at eliminating regional variations in out-of-hours provision and integrating it with NHS Direct. In addition, it recommended transferring management to primary care trusts (PCTs), ensuring that all out-of-hours service providers would be subject to the same checks and standards, the so-called Carson Standards set out by the review. The costs of meeting these standards were significant, particularly to GP co-operatives and the small commercial operators. Individual GP practices are exempt from the need for Carson-standard accreditation. Following the review and the introduction of the new GP contract in 2003, there was a radical transformation in out-of-hours GP service provision. The contract allows GPs to opt out of providing out-of-hours provision, with PCTs becoming responsible for organising the out-of-hours provision in their regions from 2005. The cost of opting out (6,000 per year per GP) is 6% of practice income. PCTs are able to choose between a number of options, including NHS Direct, NHS walk-in clinics, GP co-operatives or practices, community nursing teams and commercial providers, among others. Although the Government has made extra funding available for PCTs to fund their out of-hours provision, there appear to be major problems, with most GPs opting out of provision, but then hiring out their services at high rates. There has been such a shortage of provision for out-of-hours GP services in some instances that PCTs have used GPs from the continent, most notably Germany, to provide weekend cover. This is resulting in far higher costs than anticipated.
Market Size
The market for private GP services has grown by just over 5% year on year since 2001, rising to an estimated 6.5% increase in 2005. In 2005, the market for private GP services was worth an estimated 213m. The increase in the market is the expansion of private GP services in various market niches, including walk-in clinics and out-of-hours services. The estimated increase in 2005 is the result of more out-of hours GP cover being contracted out to the private sector. Key Note estimates that, in 2005, the total private primary care sector in the UK will be worth 342m, a rise of 6.2% on 2004.
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Table 8.15: The Total UK Private Primary Care Sector by Subsector by Value (m), 2001-2005
2001
General practitioner services
% change year-on-year
e2004
e2005
Total
% change year-on-year
e Key Note estimates
Private GP services is the largest subsector in the private primary care sector. In 2000, this subsector accounted for 61.9% of the private primary care sector, and this increased to an estimated 62.3% in 2005.
Figure 8.3: The Total UK Private Primary Care Sector by Subsector (%), 2005
GP services 62.3%
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Supply Structure
GP Services
In the UK, the acute primary care sector is dominated by the significant public sector. Although GPs are not permitted to treat their registered NHS patients privately, they can refer their patients to consultants in the private sector. Although many NHS patients have to pay a prescription charge for any treatments provided, NHS GPs are widely available and there is little delay for consultation. As a result, private GP services are comparatively limited and often specialised. The types of private services include:
private GP practices there are between 200 and 300 exclusively private
GP practices in the UK, mostly in London and particularly in Harley Street
private GP practices in private hospital sites private walk-in medical centres private capitation schemes associated with existing NHS general practices
these were piloted by AXA PPP for 5 years but, in March 2004, the pilots finished and AXA announced that it would not be carried forward
out-of-hours/24-hour visiting doctor services company-paid GP services for employees telephone helplines and online help these are run by many private
medical insurers, providing advice and access to GP or nurse consultations.
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Major Players
GP Services and Walk-In Clinics
The market for walk-in medical clinics has had a very chequered history, with a number of companies in the marketplace closing or selling out, unable to attract the custom necessary for viability. The concept of walk-in medical centres was originally pioneered by Sinclair Montrose Healthcare, which aimed to cater for time-poor young professionals wanting a more convenient option than the traditional GP surgery and NHS primary care services, or for employers paying for services for their employees. However, the concept largely failed, mainly because they could not compete with traditional NHS GP services; people simply did not find that NHS GPs were inconvenient, as most people manage to see their GP within a timeframe that generally suits them. NHS GPs also provide their services free of charge and people were unwilling to pay privately for the slight gains in convenience. In addition, people were reluctant to pay the additional costs of private prescriptions rather than the fixed NHS prescription charge. In addition, although NHS GPs can refer patients to private specialists, private GPs cannot refer patients to the NHS. More recently, private centres are also having to compete with nurse-run, NHS walk-in clinics, which offer much of the convenience without the charges. Since their inception, private walk-in centres have evolved to provide services for wealthy corporate clients in the financial institutions of the City of London, where there is little in the way of NHS primary care services or, increasingly, as walk-in centres attached to private hospitals. Certain private hospital groups now provide primary care as part of their range of services, including eight BUPA hospitals and six hospitals in the BMI group. A number of individual private hospitals also offer these services, including the Cromwell hospital and PPUs at some NHS hospitals. There is a small market for privately run company-based primary care services, rather than PMI. These are generally based in financial institutions in the City. Providers of these services include BUPA, General Medical Clinics, Medicentres and GP Plus, among others.
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BUPA Wellness
Following its acquisition of Barbican Healthcare in 1999, BUPA entered the private primary care market. Barbican was a provider of private primary care services in the City. BUPA Wellness now operates in more than 40 health centres throughout the country, providing health screening and assessments, as well as a number of other primary care services, including dentistry.
GP Plus
GP Plus, which is a provider of private GP services in Edinburgh and Glasgow, has been expanding rapidly as a provider for corporate clients and publicsector organisations. As well as GP services, the company provides occupational health services and programmes, health assessments, physiotherapy, specialist sports injury services and vaccinations. Other private occupational health providers include the following:
Atos Origin AON Occupational Health AXA PPP healthcare Occupational Health Services Grosvenor Health MTL Medical Services (Swiss Life) Medigold Nestor Healthcare Cheviot Artus.
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8. Private Healthcare
Buying Behaviour
The traditional image of private GP services is that of the prosperous Harley Street practitioner with a clientele of wealthy and privileged patients. Private practice in the UK is operating in the shadow of the huge comprehensive public sector. Access to medical treatment in the UK is channelled through the GP. Although there are well-documented shortages of GPs in some areas, and although there are problems with out-of-hours services, registered patients can obtain a relatively timely and convenient appointment. NHS GPs can also refer their patients privately, whereas private GPs cannot refer patients to the NHS. These factors limit the attractiveness of private GPs. A patient visiting an NHS GP has the option of taking either the public or private route, and any medications will be free except the statutory prescription charge, unless they are exempt even from that. Patients attending a private GP are locked into the private sector. In recent years, in an effort to rationalise services and improve access, the NHS has extended prescribing powers to other healthcare professionals, including nurses (in March 2001) and, in due course, pharmacists. The NHS has also introduced walk-in clinics and there is a 24-hour helpline and website with access to professional advice through NHS Direct. In spite of these factors, the market for private primary care services is growing, with initiatives by the major private healthcare providers setting up private clinics in order to channel patients into their private healthcare services in a more focused way. Occupational health services are increasingly being used by companies and organisations to monitor and oversee health problems and issues in their workforces, partly for health and safety reasons, as well as legislation. According to the most recent Health and Safety Executive (HSE) survey in 2002, around 44% of large organisations and 2% of small organisations had comprehensive occupational health services. A further 15% of organisations had limited occupational health services.
223
8. Private Healthcare
Healthcare Market
Forecasts
The future for private primary care is very much dependent on the effects of various government policies and initiatives and how they are applied. The Government is committed to walk-in centres, NHS Direct and the overall expansion of GP services, and it is far from clear what role private partnerships and provision will play in their development. Much of the growth in the market is due to expansion in GP out-of-hours services. Between 2006 and 2010, the market for GP services is forecast to grow by 40.7% to 325m. Demand for occupational health services is also increasing, as employers and organisations respond to health and safety requirements, and initiatives to improve productivity and reduce absenteeism. In the longer term, ageing population demographics and, in the future, possibly delayed retirement ages with older, ageing workforces could increase the need for occupational health services still further. In the near future, the market for private occupational health services is forecast to grow more slowly than private GP services. Between 2006 and 2010, occupational health services are forecast to rise by 21.3% to 165m. Over the same 5-year period, the total market for private primary care services is expected to grow by 33.5% to 490m.
Table 8.16: The Forecast Total UK Private Primary Care Sector by Subsector by Value (m), 2006-2010
2006
General practitioner services
% change year-on-year
Total
% change year-on-year
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KEY TRENDS
Although the NHS has been receiving unprecedented amounts of extra funding, services remain stretched and care is even being limited in certain areas. Waiting lists remain high in certain locations and although there is public loyalty towards the NHS, confidence in its ability to provide a good standard of care has been significantly dented. The vast majority of the population are not covered by PMI. According to exclusive consumer research conducted for this report by BMRB Access in April and May 2005 (see Chapter 3 Key Note Primary Research), only 8% of respondents had or intended to take out PMI in the last 12 months. In 2003, Laing & Buisson found that 11.2% of the population were covered by PMI, including dependants. There was also little enthusiasm in the BMRB Access survey for encouraging more private healthcare, with only 6% of respondents agreeing that this was an action most necessary to improve the health service.
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Market growth in terms of subscriber numbers has been relatively static since 2003; prior to that, the number of subscribers declined by up to 1% per annum. Growth in the corporate sector has been relatively stable in recent years, rising gradually in 2004 and 2005, with much of any decline occurring in the individual PMI market. Growth in the corporate sector has been driven by initiatives in the insurance sector, such as flexible policies and the increasing awareness of the effects of employee illness on profitability. Costs of claims incurred have been growing more slowly than subscription income, partly reflecting the increasing cost efficiency of medical treatments as a result of technological advances and changing medical practices, such as a drift away from inpatient and day surgery towards outpatient treatments. As well as reducing recovery times and increasing patient turnaround, hospital prices have remained relatively static in recent years as a result of increasing competition and the emergence of hospital networks. According to industry analysts Laing & Buisson, the incidence and complexity of claims have been rising in recent years.
MARKET SIZE
In terms of subscription income, growth has slowed significantly from 2001 as a result of a combination of factors, including lower premium rises as well as slowing growth in demand from both corporate and individual subscribers. The rate of growth fell from 8.4% in 2001 to 4.1% in 2003, before rising slightly in 2004 and 2005. In 2005, subscription income was estimated to be worth 3.26bn, a rise of 4.8% on 2004.
Table 9.1: The Total UK Private Medical Insurance Market by Subscription Income (m), 2001-2005
2001
Value (m)
% change year-on-year
e Key Note estimates
e2004
e2005
2,662 -
3,114 4.5
3,263 4.8
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Healthcare Market
Figure 9.1: The Total UK Private Medical Insurance Market by Subscription Income (m), 2001-2005
3,400 3,200 3,000 2,800 2,600 2,400 2,200 2,000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Note: figures for 2004 and 2005 are Key Note estimates.
SUPPLY STRUCTURE
In the UK, subscription to PMI is taken out either by private individuals or by employers on behalf of their employees. There are a variety of different types of policies and healthcare cover available on the market, including the following:
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Healthcare Market
Medical expenses plans these are not insurance policies, but the plan
pays out specific amounts of money for certain medical events and procedures. Some large companies have established these schemes for employees, paying medical expenses as needed. According to Laing & Buisson, around 70% of these schemes are administered by PMI companies, with the remainder administered by third-party authorities (TPAs).
Critical illness cover these policies pay out lump sums in the event of
serious illness or injury. They are frequently linked with other policies, such as life assurance or mortgage protection.
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Healthcare Market
Number of Subscribers
In terms of the number of subscribers, the market for PMI has been relatively static, with subscriber numbers showing a slight decline in 2002 and 2003, mirroring general market conditions, before stabilising and recovering slightly to reach an estimated growth of 0.9% in 2005 to reach 3.7 million subscribers. In contrast, the number of subscribers to non-insured medical expenses schemes demonstrated strong growth, particularly in 2001 and 2002, before stabilising at around 7% per annum to an estimated 553,000 subscribers in 2005.
Table 9.2: Total UK Private Healthcare Policies by Number of Subscribers to Private Medical Insurance and Medical Expenses Schemes (000), 2001-2005
2001
Number of private medical insurance subscribers
% change-year-on-year
e2004
e2005
3,722 -
3,690 0.5
3,724 0.9
401 4,123 -
Total
% change year-on year
e Key Note estimates
Source: Key Note, adapted from Laings Healthcare Market Review 2004-2005
Cost of Claims
The cost of claims incurred has grown more slowly than subscription income. Between 2001 and 2005, costs of claims rose by an estimated 18.3% to 2.45bn. The cost of claims as a percentage of subscriptions fell from 78% in 2001 to 75% in 2005.
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Table 9.3: The Total UK Private Medical Insurance Market by Cost of Claims (m and %), 2001-2005
2001
Cost of claims (m)
% change year-on-year
e2004
e2005
2,068 -
2,367 4.0
2,447 3.4
78
77
76
76
75
Source: Key Note, adapted from Laings Healthcare Market Review 2004-2005
MAJOR PLAYERS
According to industry analysts Laing & Buisson, as at July 2004, there has been little in the way of consolidation in the PMI market, with ten provident organisations and around 24 commercial companies actively engaged in selling PMI. In addition, there were 18 commercial underwriters. A number of new companies have entered the marketplace: Private Health Partnership (Skipton Group), HSBC, Sainsburys Bank, Freedom Healthnet, Goodhealth and the Prudential. In July 2004, the provident associations were as follows:
Bristol Contributory Welfare Association (BCWA) BUPA CS Healthcare Exeter Friendly Society Foresters Friendly Society HAS Simplyhealth Medicash Health Benefits National Deposit Friendly Society Provincial Hospital Services Association Western Provident Association.
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Healthcare Market
AIG Europe (UK) AXA PPP healthcare Cigna Healthcare & Group Clinicare Compass Underwriting Discovery FirstAssist GE Frankona Re General and Medical Great Lakes Reinsurance (UK) Groupama Insurance Group Hamilton Insurance Company Legal & General Healthcare Life Norwich Union Healthcare OBE International Insurance Standard Life Healthcare The St Paul at Lloyds United Life & Health Insurance Company.
BUPA was the clear market leader in 2003, with 39.9% of the market in terms of subscription income. The company appears to have consolidated its leading position in the face of strong competition from commercial insurers. The second-largest player was AXA PPP healthcare, with 22.5% of the market and, together with BUPA, these two players commanded 62.5% of the total market in terms of subscription income.
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Table 9.4: Leading Private Medical Insurers by Share of Subscription Income (%), 2003
BUPA AXA PPP healthcare Norwich Union Healthcare Standard Life Healthcare FirstAssist Others Total Source: Laings Healthcare Market Review 2004-2005/Key Note 39.9 22.5 9.0 6.5 4.0 18.0 100.0
Figure 9.2: Leading Private Medical Insurers by Share of Subscription Income (%), 2003
FirstAssist 4.0%
Others 18.0%
BUPA 39.9%
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Healthcare Market
FirstAssist
The healthcare business of FirstAssist, which was formed in 1997 under Royal & SunAlliance, is now one of the leading providers of health and wellbeing products. It is owned by Barclays Private Equity. FirstAssist also has a long-term partnership with Munich Re. The company provides a range of insurance services, including PMI and hospital cash plans, and offers a range of rehabilitation services, sickness cover, absence management, counselling and physiotherapy.
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Healthcare Market
BUYING BEHAVIOUR
According to Laing & Buisson, the highest levels of cover, as might be expected, were found in middle-aged professionals, employers and managers. The exclusive consumer survey that was commissioned for this report and conducted by BMRB Access in April and May 2005 (see Chapter 3 Key Note Primary Research) confirmed this, with 17% of respondents in social grade AB and 12% of those in the 55 to 64 year-old age group claiming to have taken out or renewed PMI in the last 12 months. The survey also found that 10% of respondents aged 65 years and older had either renewed or taken out PMI in the last 12 months, compared with 8% of all respondents. In addition, the survey revealed clear regional differences, with the highest levels of insurance cover in East Anglia and the North West (both 12%) and Wales (11%), compared with only 1% of respondents in the North. A significant number of people also avoid PMI and choose instead to self-pay. This option has become particularly popular for cosmetic surgery, which is not covered under PMI, and the use of self-pay has become increasingly common.
FORECASTS
Future growth in PMI will be largely dependent on the status of the NHS and the amount of expenditure on healthcare in general. Long waiting lists and increasing limitations on the type of care in a poorly funded healthcare system, together with concerns relating to the quality of NHS care, will only foster interest in PMI cover. Another factor for future growth in the PMI market will be the ability of insurers to contain the costs of claims. They are likely to be aided by the increasing awareness of healthcare providers for cost-effectiveness and cost benefits of care procedures. Key Note forecasts that, in 2006, income from subscriptions will grow by 5.4% to 3.44bn. In 2010, subscription income is expected to reach 4.41bn, as a result of slowly increasing subscriber numbers and rather more rapidly increasing subscription income.
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Healthcare Market
Table 9.5: The Forecast Total UK Private Medical Insurance Market by Subscription Income (m), 2006-2010
2006
Value (m)
% change year-on-year
3,439 5.4
Figure 9.3: The Forecast Total UK Private Medical Insurance Market by Subscription Income (m), 2006-2010
4,500 4,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
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acupuncture Alexander technique aromatherapy ayurvedic medicine Chinese traditional medicine chiropractic herbal medicine homeopathy iridology massage therapies naturopathy osteopathy psychotherapy (including hypnotherapy, counselling, biofeedback) spiritualism.
As a result of the decentralised and self-regulatory nature of most complementary therapies, accurate data are difficult to obtain. Apart from services provided by practitioners, there is also a very large retail market for supplements and alternative remedies. Only those medicines that are supplied by qualified practitioners are covered in this report. In this report, CAM is defined as those services and products supplied by CAM practitioners and therapists, and any products and equipment supplied and used by them. This includes essential oils, herbal medicines and homeopathic remedies. The definition also covers gross fees and costs of services. CAM in this report excludes herbal and natural supplements, aromatherapy oils and homeopathic remedies sold in retail outlets and not directly supplied by practitioners.
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KEY TRENDS
Until recently, the Government did not require manufacturers of vitamins,
minerals, supplements, herbal medicines or other remedies to rigorously test product claims as required by pharmaceutical companies for pharmaceuticals. However, new EU legislation will limit dosages of certain active ingredients, or in the case of some herbal preparations, will prevent their sale altogether.
Many private health insurance plans offer some sort of cover for
complementary therapy, although around 90% of complementary medicine is purchased privately.
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Healthcare Market
MARKET SIZE
The market for CAM services has been growing steadily since 2001, as complementary therapies have become increasingly integrated with conventional medicine. Between 2001 and 2005, the total UK market for CAMs increased by an estimated 32.9% to 775m.
Table 10.1: The Total UK Complementary and Alternative Medicine Market by Value (m), 2001-2005
2001
Value (m)
% change year-on-year
e Key Note estimate
e2004
e2005
583 -
721 7.5
775 7.5
Figure 10.1: The Total UK Complementary and Alternative Medicine Market by Value (m), 2001-2005
800 750 700 650 600 550 500 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Note: figures for 2004 and 2005 are Key Note estimates.
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Healthcare Market
SUPPLY STRUCTURE
Most practitioners operate as sole traders or small partnership businesses. They tend to operate either as freelance practitioners or are based in a dedicated complementary medicine clinic, or within an NHS or integrative practice. Some practitioners provide services directly to businesses or operate out of health clubs, hotels and spas. Complementary and alternative practitioners are subject to a range of statutory controls and regulations, including the Health and Safety at Work Act 1974, the Consumer Protection Act 1987 and the Food Safety Act 1990. Many CAM practitioners are also free to operate under Common Law, provided that they do not falsely claim to be a member of a regulated profession (e.g. osteopath or chiropractor), in which activities are tolerated unless expressly prohibited. In the UK, osteopaths and chiropractors are the only CAM practitioners that are regulated via specific regulation. The General Chiropractic Council and General Osteopathic Council were created through two acts of Parliament Osteopaths Act 1993 and Chiropractors Act 1994 making it a criminal offence to practice as an osteopath or chiropractor unless registered with the appropriate Council, both of which have statutory self-regulatory status. Only the practitioners rather than the modalities are regulated, i.e. other therapists may provide chiropractic and osteopathy, provided that they do not claim to be an osteopath or chiropractor. There are a number of professional organisations for herbalists, which are members of the umbrella body the British Herbal Practitioners Association, including the National Institute of Medicinal Herbalists (NIMH), the General Council and Register of Consultant Herbalists and the Register of Chinese Herbal Medicine. Although these self-regulatory organisations exist, many herbal remedies are available in retail outlets. Homeopathy, alone among complementary therapies, was recognised in the National Health Act of 1950 and there are around five hospitals in the UK with homeopathic services. However, the title of homeopath is not protected by statute and, in practice, anyone could set up as a homeopath regardless of training. Medical practitioners who provide homeopathic services can be members of the Faculty of Homeopathy, whereas for non-medically qualified homeopaths, the principal professional organisation is the Society of Homeopaths, which itself is a member of the European Council for Classical Homeopathy. In 2000, the House of Lords Select Committee on Science and Technology recommended that acupuncture and herbal medicine should have statutory regulation and suggested that non-medically qualified homeopaths should benefit from regulation. In the early part of 2002, the European Commission formally proposed a directive on the safety, efficacy and quality of over-the-counter (OTC) herbal remedies following serious safety concerns about some herbal remedies.
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Healthcare Market
Any products containing the Chinese herbal medicine aristolochia were banned from July 1999, following cases of serious kidney failure. In October 2002, the Committee for Safety of Medicines, alarmed by around 70 reported cases of liver damage as a result of taking the herbal supplement kava kava, banned its import into the UK from January 2003. The highly popular herbal Prozac, St Johns wort, has been shown to affect immunosuppressants in heart transplant operations, as well as oral contraceptives. Under the new Traditional Medicinal Products Directive, herbal remedies will only be licensed when safety criteria are met under the same regulatory procedures as for pharmaceuticals. There are a number of routes for obtaining CAM provision either on the NHS or privately, including the following:
Provision by general practitioners (GPs) who are trained in CAM therapies. Referral to an independent complementary health clinic or practitioner,
either NHS-funded or paid for by the patient.
NHS, particularly PCTs registered charities and charitable trusts self-pay by patient private medical insurance (PMI).
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Healthcare Market
The largest single group of CAM practitioners are reflexologists, with an estimated 13,000 practitioners. However, there are likely to be many more part-time therapists who have not joined any trade association. Reflexology is used in a very wide spectrum of settings, ranging from private practices, hospitals, long-term care homes, hotels, spas and leisure facilities, and is used to treat a wide range of conditions. There are around 8,500 full-time and fully trained aromatherapists in the UK and there are also likely to be many more part-time practitioners with varying levels of training and experience. Aromatherapy is highly popular, not just in the healthcare setting, but also in the leisure and beauty treatment industries. It is enjoyed for its own sake by many people without health problems. Acupuncture is an ancient, traditional form of Chinese healing and is still widely practised and respected in China where training is highly rigorous. There are around 8,000 acupuncturists in the UK, many of whom are also qualified medical practitioners. Herbal medicine, particularly Chinese herbal medicine, has become increasingly popular in recent years and there is concern over the number of high-street Chinese herbal clinics opening up with practitioners of varying levels of expertise and training. Chiropractic and osteopathy might be considered as some of the most established types of CAM in the UK, with their statutory regulations and protections. Homeopathy is also well established in the NHS, with five practising hospitals and significant numbers of practitioners with medical qualifications. There are a wide range of other CAM practitioners, many of whom have undergone significant training.
Table 10.2: Number of Complementary and Alternative Medicine Practitioners in the UK, 2005
Reflexologists Aromatherapists Acupuncturists Herbalists (including Chinese) Homeopaths Osteopaths Chiropractors Alexander technique teachers Other practitioners Total 13,000 8,500 8,000 5,000 4,000 3,300 1,545 1,130 35,000 79,475
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Healthcare Market
MAJOR PLAYERS
In the UK, CAM is provided by a number of means, including the following:
Registered CAM practitioners (non-medical). Non-registered CAM practitioners who may work on a paid or voluntary
basis.
Retail outlets most commonly pharmacies and health-food shops. Mail order and the Internet. Self-care many people study and use these therapies for themselves and
their families and friends. Most therapy providers tend to be highly specialised in a particular CAM, rather than providing a range of different therapies. However, some may operate from specialist clinics that provide a range of complementary therapies.
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Healthcare Market
BUYING BEHAVIOUR
Many studies have been carried out to examine the use of CAM in the UK and results have varied considerably, although there appears to be a consensus that CAM is significantly more popular among women than men. This is at least partly due to respondents perceptions of what constitutes CAM. Therapies such as osteopathy and chiropractic are so integrated into the NHS that some people do not regard them as CAMs, but as part of mainstream medicine. Others, such as aromatherapy, have become increasingly associated with the health and beauty market and are frequently provided in spas and leisure facilities. Reflexology comes somewhere in between. Surveys have indicated that most people using complementary medicine do so in conjunction with conventional medicine and most are seeking alleviation of chronic health problems rather than using it for ideological reasons. Often, they have had limited or unsatisfactory results from conventional medicine or have suffered adverse side effects of conventional treatments which they are seeking to alleviate. Certainly, according to Vos and Brennan, research has indicated that people with chronic debilitating conditions are more than twice as likely to use complementary medicine than those with short-term conditions. Various surveys also seem to indicate that even if the patients medical condition is not relieved by complementary medicine, most customers remain satisfied with its performance. Most complementary therapists provide a holistic patient-centred approach, with the average treatment time (usually between 30 and 60 minutes) being far longer than that provided by orthodox practitioners in the NHS, who are often rushed and have strictly limited time with their individual patients (the average length of time for a GP with a patient is limited to 7 minutes). Complementary therapists also tend to operate from comparatively luxurious accommodation, compared with NHS practitioners. Certain herbal medicines and supplements interact with other drugs, e.g. St Johns wort reduces the efficacy of the contraceptive pill.
FORECASTS
The market for CAM services in the UK is forecast to continue growing steadily, with increasing acceptance and integration into mainstream healthcare for a number of therapies. Between 2006 and 2010, the total UK CAM market is forecast to increase by 34.6% to 1.21bn.
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Healthcare Market
Table 10.3: The Forecast Total UK Complementary and Alternative Medicine Market by Value (m), 2006-2010
2006
Value (m)
% change year-on-year
833 7.5
Figure 10.2: The Forecast Total UK Complementary and Alternative Medicine Market by Value (m), 2006-2010
1200 1100 1000 900 800 700 600 500 400 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
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Healthcare Market
246
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Healthcare Market
provide pain and symptom relief integrate both the psychological and spiritual aspects of patient care provide a support system for both patients and their families to assist
patients in leading as full a life as possible and to help their family cope with the illness and bereavement
to apply palliative care throughout the course of the illness, along with
other therapies for the prolongation of life and conduct investigations to determine, understand and control any unpleasant symptoms and complications. Palliative care is patient-centred and is increasingly flexible and integrated with provision, often in partnership with voluntary organisations or the NHS. Services are based in hospices, hospitals, day-care centres and, increasingly, in the home. Palliative care teams are multidisciplinary, comprising specifically trained medical professionals and volunteers. The range of services include:
Social services these include a wide range of advice services and practical
help, including advocacy and legal advice, group help, family support services and community care provision.
Alternative and complementary therapies. Spiritual care this is central to the tenets of palliative care. Spiritual,
cultural and religious needs for patients and their families are assessed and addressed, including for those who have no faith.
Art therapy to provide an outlet for emotions and anxieties. Other including music therapy, beauty therapy, and creative and social
activities that enhance wellbeing.
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Healthcare Market
KEY TRENDS
Demographic Trends
As the population continues to age and the number of ageing people with chronic incurable illnesses rises, there is an increasing need for palliative care services and support services for patients and their carers.
Greater Integration
The principles and practices of palliative care are becoming increasingly integrated into mainstream practices, as hospices and their services work in increasing partnership with the NHS. Growing numbers of healthcare professionals have been educated and trained in palliative care. As well as an increasing network of support in the UK, there are increasing links and information exchanges with overseas hospice networks.
Availability
The vast majority of palliative care services are provided to cancer patients. Increasingly, there is a recognised need to provide palliative care services to all who need it, including other terminal/incurable illnesses. The House of Commons Health Committee Enquiry, which was published in July 2004, established that there was a need to ensure equal access and availability of palliative care services regardless of region. It addition, it recognised that services should be available to people with other incurable illnesses as well as cancer. Currently, around 95% of palliative care patients are cancer sufferers and the National Council has stated that palliative care should be available to up to 25% of non-cancer patients, including those with end-stage heart failure and other circulatory disorders, neurological disorders, acquired immuno deficiency syndrome (AIDS) and others.
NICE Guidance
In March 2004, the National Institute for Clinical Excellence (NICE) published guidance on palliative care for England and Wales, Improving Supportive and Palliative Care for Adults with Cancer. The guidance stipulated that all regions should be covered by a multidisciplinary team comprising, at a minimum, a consultant in palliative care medicine and a nurse, as well as input from other relevant professionals. It also stated that palliative care should be available in hospital-based, specialist inpatient units, as well as in patients homes. The guidance recognised that there was a need for co-ordination between the various services for health and social care in both the public and voluntary sectors, with the promotion of communication between patients, professionals and carers. Cancer networks are required to establish networks for the co-ordination and management of palliative and supportive services.
249
Healthcare Market
The guidance also proposed the need for day care services to be reviewed when more research has been performed. In addition, the NICE guidance outlined which services should be available to adult cancer patients and established a basis for national commissioning procedures for palliative care.
250
Healthcare Market
MARKET SIZE
According to Hospice Information, the majority (around 80%) of hospice care is provided by local, community-based charities, with funding obtained through fundraising activities. In England, around 35% of the running costs for adult hospices are derived from government funding, compared with 5% for childrens hospices. In Scotland, 37% of the running costs for adult hospices are provided by government funding. There is no doubt that, with the twin pressures of an ageing population and rising salary costs, the palliative care market has been rising steadily over the past 5 years. Between 2001 and 2004, the palliative and hospice care market grew by 30.2% to 453m. Key Note estimates that, in 2005, the market will increase by a further 10.2% to 499m.
Table 11.1: The Total UK Palliative and Hospice Care Market by Value (m), 2001-2005
2001
Value (m)
% change year-on-year
e estimates
e2004
e2005
348 -
453 10.0
499 10.2
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Healthcare Market
Figure 11.1: The Total UK Palliative and Hospice Care Market by Value (m), 2001-2005
500 450 400 350 300 250 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
SUPPLY STRUCTURE
In the UK, palliative care is provided in both the community and in specialised units. Specialised services include the following:
Independent hospices which are funded by charity. NHS palliative care units. Hospital support services/teams these comprise advisory palliative care
services and are based in hospitals and clinics. Hospital support services/teams monitor patients through the course of their disease.
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Healthcare Market
Table 11.2: Inpatient Palliative Care Provision in the UK by Number of Units and Beds, 2001-2005
2001 Adult Voluntary
Units Beds
2002
2003
2004
2005
152 2,480
152 2,433
152 2,433
153 2,522
156 2,489
Table continues...
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Healthcare Market
Table 11.2: Inpatient Palliative Care Provision in the UK by Number of Units and Beds, 2001-2005
...table continued 2001 Adult NHS
Units Beds
2002
2003
2004
2005
22 175
25 186
26 196
30 229
33 255
Total Units Beds 231 3,262 233 3,215 242 3,292 247 3,424 253 3,411
Source: Hospice and Palliative Care Facts and Figures 2005, Hospice Information Between 2001 and 2005, the number of community palliative care teams rose by 23 teams (6.9%) to 358. Over the same period, hospice-at-home services grew more rapidly by 46.5% to 104. Day care services increased by 8.7% to 263, while hospital support teams grew by 11.4% to 361 between 2001 and 2005.
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Healthcare Market
Table 11.3: Number of Palliative Care Support Services in the UK by Type, 2001-2005
2001
Community palliative services Hospice-at-home Day care Hospital-based support
Source: Hospice and Palliative Care Facts and Figures 2005, Hospice Information
Regional Variations
In January 2005, England accounted for the majority (82.3%) of all adult palliative care beds in the UK, followed by Scotland, with 11.1%. Wales had 4.5% of palliative bed provision, while Northern Ireland had the lowest number of beds, at 2.2%.
Table 11.4: Inpatient Adult Palliative Care Provision in the UK by Number of Units and Beds by Country (number and %), 2005
Northern Ireland 5 68 2.2
England
Hospices/units Beds % of total adult beds
Source: Key Note, adapted from Hospice and Palliative Care Facts and Figures 2005, Hospice Information
In terms of regional care for children, in January 2005, England accounted for 87.1% of total palliative bed provision, followed by Wales at 5.9%. Northern Ireland had 3.9% of palliative bed provision and, in contrast to its provision for adult palliative care, Scotland had the lowest levels of provision for children at 3.1%.
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Healthcare Market
Table 11.5: Inpatient Child Palliative Care Provision in the UK by Number of Units and Beds by Country (number and %), 2005
Northern Ireland 1 10 3.9
England
Hospices/units Beds % of total beds
Scotland 1 8 3.1
Wales 2 15 5.9
29 222 87.1
Source: Key Note, adapted from Hospice and Palliative Care Facts and Figures 2005, Hospice Information
In January 2005, England accounted for the majority (73.5%) of home care services, followed by Scotland at 14.8%. Wales had 9.2% of home care services and Northern Ireland accounted for 2.5%. For the more comprehensive hospice-at-home services, England had an even higher proportion at almost 81.7%, followed by Wales at 10.6%. Scotland accounted for only 4.8% of services, with Northern Ireland at 2.9%. Again, the majority (81%) of day care services are situated in England, compared with 9.5% in Scotland and 7.6% in Wales. Northern Ireland had the lowest proportion of day-care provision at 1.9%. England also accounted for 76.5% of hospital support nurses and almost 77.8% of hospital support teams. Scotland had the second-largest levels of provision, with 16.2% of hospital support nurses and 10.9% of hospital support teams. Northern Ireland accounted for the lowest levels, with only 1.5% of hospital support nurses and 4.1% of hospital support teams.
Table 11.6: Palliative Care Support Services in the UK by Type by Country (% and number), 2005
Northern Number of Ireland Services 2.5 2.9 1.9 358 104 263
England Scotland
Home care Hospice-at-home Day care
Table continues...
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Healthcare Market
Table 11.6: Palliative Care Support Services in the UK by Type by Country (% and number), 2005
...table continued Northern Number of Ireland Services
England Scotland
Hospital support nurses Hospital support teams
Wales
76.5 77.8
16.2 10.9
5.9 7.2
1.5 4.1
68 293
Source: Key Note, adapted from Hospice and Palliative Care Facts and Figures 2005, Hospice Information
MAJOR PLAYERS
MacMillan Cancer Relief
MacMillan Cancer Relief is a UK-based registered charity that was initially established as the Society for the Prevention and Relief of Cancer. The main aim of the charity is to help and support cancer patients and their families, as well as facilitate access to information and effective treatment. The charity is best known for its 2,500 MacMillan nurses, who specialise in cancer and palliative care, as well as providing information and support to patients and their families from the point of diagnosis throughout the course of the disease. They provide home-based services and are registered nurses with a minimum of 5 years experience, including at least 2 years in cancer or palliative care. For each patient, the charity funds these nurses for the initial 3 years, with the NHS then taking over the costs. In addition, MacMillan has ten primary care nurses in the UK working in GP practices. In addition to the nurses, there are over 300 MacMillan doctors operating via the NHS to provide specialist cancer care services, as well as advice and support to other healthcare professionals. MacMillan also funds a range of social and health professionals, such as dieticians, physiotherapists, speech and language therapists, geneticists, pharmacists, psychologists, benefit advisors and ethnic liaison officers, among others. As well as providing and training healthcare professionals, MacMillan has built over 100 specialist cancer care centres for the NHS and voluntary sector, usually in partnership with local primary care trusts. They also provide financial support in certain instances and, in 2004, gave 5.3m to help cancer patients facing financial difficulties. In 2003, the charitys total income was 89m.
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BUYING BEHAVIOUR
Profile of Use
Between 2003 and 2004, 41,000 new patients were admitted to inpatient units, with a total of 58,000 admissions every year for inpatient units and 30,000 inpatient deaths. Around 20,000 new patients attend day care each year, and there were 8,600 attendances at 263 day care centres each week in 2003/2004. Community care palliative nursing teams cared for 155,000 patients each year in home settings, with 110,000 new patients. Around 31,000 of these patients died at home in 2003/2004.
Table 11.7: Patient Usage of Palliative Care Facilities and Services (number of patients), 2003/2004
Number of Patients Inpatient Care Admissions New patients Deaths Community Care Services Total patients New patients Deaths (home) Day Care Average places per service per day Total places per week Attendances per week
excluding Scotland
15
13,700 8,600
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Patient Profile
In 2004, around 95% of all palliative care inpatients were suffering from cancer and 0.6% from AIDS. The majority (68%) of patients were aged 65 years or over, while around 9% of patients were very elderly (aged 85 years or older). There were few ethnic minorities among hospice patients, with 96% of patients being white. According to Hospice Information, the annual prevalence rate for children (aged between 0 and 19 years) with life-threatening conditions is a minimum of 12 per 10,000 people, and figures indicate that 60% of these do not have cancer. There are estimated to be around 18,000 children in the UK requiring palliative care.
FORECASTS
In its election manifesto, the Labour Government promised that in order to increase choices for patients with cancer, we will double the investment going into palliative care services, giving more people the choice to be treated at home. Assuming that the Government keeps its pledge to at least significantly increase NHS expenditure on palliative care, this should greatly expand the market for palliative care services. However, there are a number of other factors that will contribute to market expansion in the near future, as follows:
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Table 11.8: The Forecast Total UK Palliative and Hospice Care Market by Value (m), 2006-2010
2006
Value (m)
% change year-on-year
562 12.6
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Figure 11.2: The Forecast Total UK Palliative and Hospice Care Market by Value (m), 2006-2010
1100 1000 900 800 700 600 500 400 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
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Table 12.1: Total Healthcare Expenditure as a Percentage of Gross Domestic Product by Country (%), 2003
US Switzerland Germany Iceland Norway France Canada Greece Netherlands Portugal Belgium Australia Sweden Denmark Italy New Zealand Japan Hungary Table continues... 15.0 11.5 11.1 10.5 10.3 10.1 9.9 9.9 9.8 9.6 9.6 9.3 9.2 9.0 8.4 8.1 7.9 7.8
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Table 12.1: Total Healthcare Expenditure as a Percentage of Gross Domestic Product by Country (%), 2003
...table continued UK Spain Austria Czech Republic Finland Republic of Ireland Turkey Mexico Luxembourg Poland Slovak Republic Korea Source: OECD Health Data 2005, Copyright OECD, June 2005 7.7 7.7 7.6 7.5 7.4 7.3 6.6 6.2 6.1 6.0 5.9 5.6
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Germany
Healthcare in Germany is shaped by the federal nature of the government. Responsibility for healthcare is divided between the federal government, the Lander and the various representative organisations of healthcare providers, professionals and insurers. Healthcare is mostly funded through social health insurance contributions, with around 88% of the population covered by statutory health insurance and a further 9% covered by private health insurance. Around 2% of the population (mostly policemen, soldiers and those on welfare) are covered by free government health insurance, leaving less than 0.2% uninsured. Taxation only contributes around 8.4% of total expenditure on healthcare. In Germany, ambulatory care and hospitals have traditionally been separated, with almost no outpatient care provided in hospitals. Ambulatory care is provided by private office-based physicians, both GPs and specialists, who are paid on a fee-for-service basis. Hospital care is provided by a combination of public and private providers, and the public sector is significantly larger than the private sector.
Italy
Italy is a parliamentary republic and the Italian healthcare system has undergone some significant changes since the NHS model of care was established in 1978. Since then, the system has been progressively devolved to both the regions, and to lower-level purchaser and provider organisations. Public expenditure on health is around 68%, which is one of the lowest percentages in Europe.
Spain
The Spanish healthcare system has evolved dramatically since the new constitution was approved in 1978. Prior to this, the system was means tested and centralised, and was centred in a social security scheme. The new constitution gave all Spaniards the right to health protection and the system was reorganised into a regionally based one, as well as the creation of a National Health Institute (INSALUD) and the formation in 1981 of a separate organisation for healthcare within the social security system. Healthcare has effectively evolved from a social security system to a national health system, which is publicly financed via taxes. In addition, the provision of care is largely public. The system has been progressively decentralised into 17 regions, although only seven of these have full powers of control, covering 62% of the population. The INSALUD manages most services in other regions.
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The healthcare system in Spain is financed through general taxation and 94.6% of the population have obligatory affiliation to the social security system. 4.6% of the remaining population, who are mostly civil servants and their dependants, are covered by mutual funds. There is also a means-tested non-contributory scheme for the disadvantaged. Around 0.6% of the population, the most affluent, are not covered by the national health system. There are three types of private insurance in Spain: voluntary; civil servants mutual funds; and employer-purchased insurance schemes, which cover up to 19% of the population. Private insurance accounts for between 14% and 34% of total private healthcare expenditure. The primary care sector of the Spanish healthcare market is run by the public sector, although priority is given in Spain to the secondary care system. Most hospitals in the country are publicly owned. Since the 1990s, contracted programmes with private hospitals have increasingly been used in an effort to reduce waiting lists.
The US
According to Access to Healthcare, apart from South Africa, the US is the only country in the developed world that does not provide healthcare for all of its citizens. It is also the most expensive healthcare system in the world, partly because of its fragmented multiple payer system and partly because of the significantly high administration costs. Rather than a unified healthcare system, it has been described by some commentators as a mixture of competing systems and subsystems. The US healthcare market is dominated by the private sector, with 20% of the market belonging to the low-cost budget Health Maintenance Organisations (HMOs) and 50% to managed care options. The public provision is most generally carried out by Medicaid, which provides insurance for the poor and disabled, and Medicare, which provides cover for government insurance for the impoverished elderly. Although the US system of healthcare is based on private insurance, according to the Kaiser Foundation, around 44 million Americans (around 15.8% of the population) have no form of insurance at all. Around 60% of all healthcare comes from private sources. As with the UK, physicians act as gatekeepers and are usually reimbursed by a system of fees for services.
Japan
The Japanese universal healthcare system was established in 1958 and is financed by a number of insurance systems. The employees Health Insurance System is funded by compulsory contributions from employees (around 8% of wages), with the costs shared equally between employers and employees, and cover being provided to employees and their dependants. The National Insurance System provides for the self-employed, pensioners and healthcare employees, as well as their dependants. The system is administered by local government, which effectively acts as an insurer. Insurance premiums are calculated on the basis of individual income, assets and the number of dependants, and constitute 57% of health expenditure. Another 24% of expenditure is contributed by the federal government and another 9% by local government.
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In Japan, around 80% of hospitals and the majority (94%) of clinics are private. Patients are free to select their ambulatory care physicians and they are directly paid fees for services. These fees are regularly negotiated and uniformly applied, with the GPs income largely derived from their prescription revenues. In contrast, hospital physicians are paid fixed salaries.
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Inflation (%)
Percentage point change year-on-year
0.86 1.2
0.88 2.3
0.89 1.1
0.90 1.1
0.94 4.4
Source: Projections Database, Government Actuarys Department/Forecasts for the UK Economy, May 2005, Treasury Independent Average Crown copyright
FORECASTS
Fuelled by growth in all market sectors, the total UK market for healthcare is forecast to grow by 10.1% in 2006, to 122.64bn. Between 2006 and 2010, the market is forecast to rise by 38.3% to 169.63bn.
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Table 13.2: The Forecast Total UK Healthcare Market by Sector by Value (m), 2006-2010
2006 NHS
Private healthcare Private medical insurance Complementary and alternative medicine Palliative and hospice care
Total
% change year-on-year
122,639 132,651 143,856 156,132 169,630 10.1 8.2 8.4 8.5 8.6
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Figure 13.1: The Forecast Total UK Healthcare Market by Value (m), 2006-2010
180,000 170,000 160,000 150,000 140,000 130,000 120,000 110,000 100,000 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
FUTURE TRENDS
Demographics
The UK population has increased by 6% since 1971 and is projected to carry on growing to reach over 61 million in 2011, creating more overall demand for healthcare services. In particular, growth has been fuelled by the increasing migrant populations of the UK. In demographic terms, the population will also continue to age significantly, with the proportion of elderly people of pensionable age forecast to constitute 21.6% of the population by 2026, compared with only 18.4% in 2002. The increasing number of elderly people will significantly add to strains on the UK healthcare system.
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Staff Shortages
There are staff shortages in all areas of healthcare, particularly in nursing posts, although there are also significant shortages of medical professionals, particularly general practitioners (GPs). The NHS has tried a number of initiatives to recruit staff and has established recruitment programmes overseas to encourage medical professionals to work in the UK. The Government has come under significant criticism for poaching much-needed healthcare professionals from developing countries. In the future, it may be the case that the Government will attempt to increase the participation of the private sector in the training of professionals or at least contribute to the costs of training.
Technological Developments
Healthcare is a technology-driven marketplace. The development of new or improved techniques with faster recovery times will significantly cut care costs, as patients recuperate more rapidly. At the same time, new developments are also expanding the boundaries of care available, offering wider scope for treatments.
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General Dental Council 37 Wimpole Street London, W1G 8DQ Telephone: 020-7887 3800 Fax: 020-7224 3294 E-mail: information@gdc-uk.org http://www.gdc-uk.org General Medical Council Regents Place 350 Euston Road London, NW1 3JN Telephone: 0845-357 8001 E-mail: gmc@gmc-uk.org http://www.gmc-uk.org General Optical Council 41 Harley Street London, W1G 8DJ Telephone: 020-7580 3898 Fax: 020-7436 3525 E-mail: goc@optical.org http://www.optical.org General Osteopathic Council 176 Tower Bridge Road London, SE1 3LU Telephone: 020-7357 6655 Fax: 020-7357 0011 E-mail: info@osteopathy.org.uk http://www.osteopathy.org.uk Help the Hospices Hospice House 34-44 Britannia Street London, WC1X 9JG Telephone: 020-7520 8200 Fax: 020-7278 1021 http://www.helpthehospices.org.uk The National Council for Palliative Care The Fitzpatrick Building 188-194 York Way London, N7 9AS Telephone: 020-7697 1520 Fax: 020-7697 1530 E-mail: enquiries@ncpc.org.uk http://www.ncpc.org.uk
The data supplied by The National Council for Palliative Care (NCPC) can be found in its MDS full report for the year 2003/2004, which contains vital statistics from services across the UK. This is the ninth report from the NCPC since the introduction of the Minimum Data Sets Project in 1995. The report can be accessed by logging on to www.ncpc.org.uk and downloaded for free. National Pharmacy Association Mallinson House 38-42 St Peters Street St Albans Hertfordshire, AL1 3NP Telephone: 01727-832 161 Fax: 01727-840 858 Email: npa@npa.co.uk http://www.npa.co.uk Royal College of Nursing Copse Walk Cardiff Gate Business Park Cardiff, CF23 8XG Telephone: 0845-772 6100 http://www.rcn.org.uk Royal Pharmaceutical Society of Great Britain 1 Lambeth High Street London, SE1 7JN Telephone: 020-7735 9141 Fax: 020-7735 7629 E-mail: enquiries@rpsgb.org http://www.rpsgb.org.uk Scottish Partnership for Palliative Care 1A Cambridge Street Edinburgh, EH1 2DY Telephone: 0131-229 0538 Fax: 0131-228 2967 E-mail: office@ palliativecarescotland.org.uk http://www. palliativecarescotland.org.uk
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General Sources
BMRB International Hadley House 79-81 Uxbridge Road Ealing, W5 5SU Telephone: 020-8566 5000 Fax: 020-8579 9809 E-mail: mailbox@bmrb.co.uk http://www.bmrb.co.uk Nielsen Media Research 1st Floor Atrium Court Bracknell Berkshire, RG12 1BZ Telephone: 01344-469 100 Fax: 01344-469 102 E-mail: nmrcommunication@ nielsen.co.uk http://www.nielsenmedia.co.uk
Government Publications
National Statistics 1 Drummond Gate London, SW1V 2QQ Telephone: 020-7533 5888 Fax: 01633-812599 http://www.statistics.gov.uk Department of Health Richmond House 79 Whitehall London, SW1A 2NL Telephone: 020-7210 4850 E-mail: dhmail@dh.gsi.gov.uk http://www.dh.gov.uk
Other Sources
AstraZeneca PO Box 141 Mereside Alderley Park Cheshire, SK10 4TG Telephone: 01625-582 828 Fax: 01625-516 235 http://www.astra-zenica.com Eli Lilly Erl Wood Manor Sunninghill Road Windlesham Surrey, GU20 6PH Telephone: 01276-483 000 Fax: 01276-484 921 http://www.lilly.com
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GlaxoSmithKline 980 Great West Road Brentford Middlesex, TW8 9GS Telephone: 020-8047 5000 http://www.gsk.com Healthcare Commission Finsbury Tower 103-105 Bunhill Row London, EC1Y 8TG Telephone: 020-7448 9200 E-mail: feedback@ healthcarecommission.org.uk http://www. healthcarecommission.org.uk Hospice Information Help the Hospices Hospice House 34-44 Britannia Street London, WC1X 9JG Telephone: 0870-903 3 903 http://www.hospiceinformation.info
National Institute of Economic and Social Research 2 Dean Trench Street Smith Square London, SW1P 3HE Telephone: 020-7222 7665 Fax: 020-7654 1900 E-mail: enquiries@niesr.ac.uk http://www.niesr.ac.uk National Institute Economic Review July 2005, number 193 (the full version is available from www.niesr.ac.uk) Office of Fair Trading Fleetbank House 2-6 Salisbury Square London, EC4Y 8JX Telephone: 020-7211 8000 Fax: 020-7211 8800 E-mail: enquiries@oft.gsi.gov.uk http://www.oft.gov.uk Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development 2 rue Andr Pascal F-75775 Paris Cedex 16 France Telephone: 00-331 4524 8200 Fax: 00-331 4524 8500 E-mail: webmaster@oecd.org http://www.oecd.org
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Key Note Ltd Telephone: 020-8481 8750 Fax: 020-8783 0049 E-mail: sales@keynote.co.uk http://www.keynote.co.uk Market Reports Contraception Cosmetic Surgery Equipment for the Disabled Laboratory Equipment Medical Equipment Medical & Health Insurance Natural Products Ophthalmic Goods & Services OTC Pharmaceuticals Private Healthcare Retail Chemists & Drugstores 399 each Market Reviews Pharmaceutical Industry 649 Market Assessment Reports Alternative Healthcare Opticians and Optical Goods Vitamins and Supplements 799 each New Products Business Ratio Reports The Medical Equipment Industry Pharmaceutical Manufacturers and Developers Retail and Wholesale Chemists Book 295 PDF 310 + VAT
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Childrenswear Chilled Foods China & Earthenware Cigarettes & Tobacco Cinemas & Theatres Clothing Manufacturing Clothing Retailing Commercial Radio Commercial Vehicles Computer Hardware Computer Services Computer Software Confectionery Consumer Internet Usage Consumer Magazines Contraception Contract Catering & Foodservice Management Contract Cleaning Cooking Sauces & Food Seasonings Corporate Hospitality Cosmetics & Fragrances Cosmetic Surgery Courier & Express Services Credit & Other Finance Cards
D
5 12 22 19 9 12 5 8 12 6 7 6 23 4 13 2 17 18 1 4 18 4 13 12 3 13 3 9 3 2 16 4 10 13 5
2004 2004 2005 2004 2001 2000 2004 2004 2005 2005 2004 2005 2005 2000 2005 2002 2004 2004 2003 2004 2005 2004 2003 1999 2004 1999 2004 2002 2000 2003 2005 2003 2002 2003 2005
Access Control Accountancy Aerospace Agrochemicals & Fertilisers Air Freight Airlines Airports Animal Feedstuffs Arts & Media Sponsorship Automatic Vending Automotive Services Autoparts
B
7 9 12 3 2 15 9 11 1 19 3 16 12 1 17 12 17 12 20 12 24 13 2 14 8 11 12 7 10 3 13 14 15 8 7 2 10
2005 2005 2003 2002 2005 2004 2005 2001 2005 2005 2002 2002 2005 2001 2004 2005 2005 2004 2005 2004 2005 2001 2005 2004 2005 2003 2004 2003 2004 1999 2002 2005 2002 2005 2004 1999 2005
Baths & Sanitaryware Bearings Betting & Gaming Biscuits & Cakes Book Publishing Bookselling Bread & Bakery Products Breakfast Cereals Breweries & the Beer Market Bricks & Tiles Bridalwear Builders Merchants Building Contracting Building Materials Business Press Bus & Coach Operators
C
Dark Spirits & Liqueurs Debt Management & Factoring Debt Management (Commercial & Consumer) Defence Equipment Design Consultancies Digital TV Direct Marketing Discount Retailing Disposable Paper Products Domestic Heating Dry Cleaning & Laundry Services
E
Cable & Satellite TV Cameras & Camcorders Camping & Caravanning Canned Foods Carpets & Floorcoverings Catering Equipment CCTV CDs & Tapes The Chemical Industry
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Title
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Published
Title
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Published
Electrical Contracting Electrical Wholesale The Electricity Industry Electronic Component Distribution Electronic Component Manufacturing Electronic Games Employment Agencies (see Recruitment Agencies) Equipment for the Disabled Equipment Leasing Estate Agents Ethnic Foods Exhibitions & Conferences
F
7 3 4 12 11 4 14 3 12 15 12 7
2002 2004 2004 2002 2002 2003 1999 2001 2003 2005 2005 2004
Heating, Ventilating & Air Conditioning Home Furnishings Home Shopping Horticultural Retailing Hotels Housebuilding Household Appliances (Brown Goods) Household Appliances (White Goods) Household Furniture Household Detergents & Cleaners
I
9 15 10 15 19 16 10 15 17 14 10 8 5 8 11 8 7 10 20 5 9 14 6 10 1 17 15 4 19 6 3
2002 2002 2003 2002 2004 2003 2004 2004 2004 2004 2005 2001 2000 2001 2004 2005 2005 2005 2004 2004 2001 2002 2004 2003 2005 2005 2003 2004 2005 2005 1999
Ice Creams & Frozen Desserts Industrial Fasteners Industrial Pumps Industrial Valves Insurance Companies Internet Usage in Business IT Security IT Training
J
Factoring & Invoice Discounting Fast Food & Home Delivery Outlets The Film Industry Finance Houses Fire Protection Equipment Fish & Fish Products Fitted Kitchens Food Seasonings Football Clubs & Finance Footwear Franchising Free-To-Air TV Freight Forwarding Frozen Foods Fruit Juices & Health Drinks Fruit & Vegetables Further & Higher Education
G
2 21 4 11 7 12 10 1 3 14 9 8 14 20 10 18 5 11 3 14 12 21
2003 2005 2002 2000 2004 2004 2002 1999 2005 2004 2005 2004 2004 2004 2004 2004 2005 2004 2004 2005 2004 2005
Kitchenware
L
Management Consultants Market Forecasts Meat & Meat Products Medical Equipment Metal Recycling Milk & Dairy Products Mobile Phones Mortgage Finance
N
1 3 15 2
Hand Luggage & Leather Goods Health Clubs & Leisure Centres Health Foods
12 6 22
Nursing Care
O
Office Furniture
19
2004
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Title
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Published
Title
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Published
The Offshore Oil & Gas Industry Ophthalmic Goods & Services OTC Pharmaceuticals Own Brands
P
Sports Clothing & Footwear 3 14 11 10 12 12 13 14 14 2 11 14 12 10 2 4 6 10 17 5 21 6 8 5 5 1 20 13 19 8 1 9 12 4 8 10 16 15 2004 2004 2004 2003 2003 2003 2002 2003 2002 1998 2000 2005 2001 2003 2005 2005 2004 2005 2004 2004 2005 2005 2005 2005 2004 2003 2005 2003 2005 1999 1999 2005 2004 2001 2000 2005 2005 2004 Sports Equipment Sports Sponsorship Stationery (Personal & Office)
T
10 13 4 21 15 19 17 18 1 5 20 13 17 2 1 16 7 3 8
2005 2004 2005 2005 2004 2004 2003 2005 2005 2001 2005 2004 2004 2005
The Take Home Trade Telecommunications Timber & Joinery Toiletries Top Markets Tourist Attractions Toys & Games Training Travel Agents & Overseas Tour Operators The Tyre Industry
U
Packaging (Glass) Packaging (Metals & Aerosols) Packaging (Paper & Board) Packaging (Plastics) Paper & Board Manufacturing Pensions Personal Banking Photocopiers & Fax Machines Plant Hire Plastics Processing Poultry Power Tools Premium Lagers, Beers & Ciders Printing Private Healthcare Protective Clothing & Equipment Public Houses
R
Vehicle Leasing & Hire Vehicle Security Videoconferencing Video & DVD Retail & Hire
W
Wallcoverings & Ceramic Tiles Waste Management Water Industry Water Utilities Windows & Doors Wine Winter Holidays White Spirits
16 7 3 3 18 16 1 1
Rail Travel Ready Meals Recruitment Agencies (Permanent) Recruitment Agencies (Temporary & Contract) Renewable Energy Restaurants Retail Chemists Road Haulage Rubber Manufacturing & Processing Rugby Clubs & Finance
S
Market Reviews
Business Information in the UK Catering Market Clothing & Footwear Industry UK Computer Market UK Construction Industry Contracted-Out Services Defence Industry Distribution Industry DIY & Home Improvements Industry Drinks Market The Energy Industry 2 17 10 11 8 2 7 8 10 16 6 1998 2004 2005 2004 2001 2004 2003 2004 2005 2005 2005
Sauces & Spreads Shopfitting Short Break Holidays Slimming Market Small Domestic Electrical Appliances Snack Foods Soft Drinks (Carbonates & Concentrates)
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Title
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Published
Title
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Published
The Food Industry Healthcare Market Insurance Industry Leisure & Recreation Market Mechanical Handling Motor Industry The Office Equipment Market Packaging (Food & Drink) Industry Passenger Travel in the UK Pharmaceutical Industry Process Plant Industry The Publishing Industry Retailing in the UK The Security Industry Sports Market Travel & Tourism Market
16 10 8 14 1 10 7 1 4 5 1 10 7 10 1 11
2004 2005 2005 2004 2001 2005 2004 2003 2004 2005 2000 2004 1998 2004 2004 2004
Chilled and Frozen Desserts Clothing Retailers Coffee and Sandwich Shops Commercial Dynamics in Financial Services Commercial Insurance for Small Businesses Condiments and Sauces Confectionery Consumer Credit and Debt Contraception Cooking and Eating Cross-Border Shopping Customer Loyalty in Financial Services Customer Magazines & Contract Publishing Customer Relationship Management Customer Services in Financial Organisations The C2DE Consumer D
1998 2000 2004 2005 2002 2004 1999 2005 2002 2004 2000 2000 2004 2003 2003 2002 2004 2004 2004 2003 1999 2000 2005 1999 1999 1999 2004 2004 2000 1998 2003 2005 2002 2004 2002 2004 2005 2003 2005
Diet Foods The DINKY Market Direct Insurance Direct Mortgages Distance Learning The Quiet Revolution Domestic Lighting and Electrical Products Domestic Telecommunications Duty-Free Retailing E Eastern European Lifestyles Eastern European Travel E-Commerce: The Internet Grocery Market E-Commerce: The Internet Leisure & Entertainment Market Electronic Banking Empty Nesters EMU The Impact on the UK Financial Services Industry E-Recruitment E-Shopping Estate Agents and Services Ethnic Foods The European Electricity Industry The European Gas Industry European Long-Term Insurance The European Oil and Gas Industry
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Title
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Published
Title
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Published
European Pharmaceuticals Market The European Renewable Energy Industry European Short Breaks European Telecommunications European Tourist Attractions The European Water Industry Extended Financial Families F Financial Services Marketing to ABs Financial Services Marketing to ABC1s Financial Services Marketing to C1C2DEs Financial Services Marketing to Over 60s Financial Services Marketing to Start-Up Businesses and the Self-Employed Financial Services Marketing to the Retired and Elderly Financial Services on the Internet Financial Services Organisations on the Internet The Fish Industry Forecourt Retailing Fresh and Frozen Foods Functional Foods Funding in Higher Education G Garden Leisure and Equipment General Insurance Global Waste Management Green and Ethical Consumer The Grey Consumer H Haircare Healthy Eating Holiday Purchasing Patterns Home Entertainment Home Gym Equipment Hot Beverages Hotels I Ice Cream In-Car Entertainment Independent Financial Advisers Individual Savings Accounts Insurance Prospects Internet Advertising Internet Service Providers
1999 2005 2001 2002 2000 2005 2005 2004 2000 2004 2004
Issues and Challenges in the UK Life Assurance Market IT Recruitment L Lifestyle and Specialist Magazines Low-Fat & Low-Sugar Foods The Luggage Market M Marketing in the Digital Age Marketing to Children 4-11 Medical & Health Insurance Men and Womens Buying Habits Mens Toiletries & Fragrances Millennium Youth Motor Finance N Nutraceuticals
2002 2005 2004 2003 2000 2003 2003 2004 2004 2005 2002 2005 2005 2003 1999 1999 2002 2004 1999 2004 2003 2000 1999 2005 2004 2002 2004 2003 1999 2003 2003 2005 1998 2001 1999 2005 2001 1999 2005 2001
2003 2003 1998 2005 2001 2005 1999 2004 2002 1999 2005 2004 2005 2004 1999 2004 2004 2002 1998 2004 1998 1998 2000 2003 1999 2002 2004 2005
The Newspaper Industry Newspapers and Magazines Niche Marketing in the Financial Services Industry Non-Food Sales in Supermarkets O Off-Trade Spirits Off-Trade Wines Opticians and Optical Goods Organic Food OTC Pharmaceuticals Out-of-Town Shopping Over-40s Consumer P Pay TV Pension Extenders Pensions Personal Banking Personal Communications Personal Lines Insurance Personal Loans The Pet Market The Pink Pound Plastic Cards in Europe Plastic Cards Time to Get Smart Plus-Size Fashion Private Sector Opportunities in Education Promotions and Incentives The Public Relations Industry Public Transport
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Title
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Published
Title
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R The Railway Industry Ready Meals Recycling and the Environment Restaurants Retail Credit Retail Development S Savings and Investments Saving Trends in the Eurozone Singles Market The Slimming Market Shopping Centres Short Breaks Small Businesses & Banks Small Business Finance Small Kitchen Appliances Small Office Home Office Consumer Small Office Home Office Products The Soup Market Sponsorship Sports Footwear and Clothing Supermarket Own Labels Supermarket Services Sweet & Salty Snacks T Technology in Retail Distribution Teenage Fashionwear 1998 2000 2004 2002 2003 2002 2003 2004 2002 1999 1998 2001 2001 2001 2000 1999 2003 2003 2005 2004 2001 2000 1999 2000 2001
Teenage Magazines Telefinancial Services Teleworking Travel Foods Trends in Dry Cleaning Trends in Food Shopping Trends in Leisure Activities Tweenagers U UK Banking UK Beer Market The UK Heating Market The UK Overseas Package Holiday Market UK Tourism Urban Regeneration Utilities V Vegetarian Foods Vehicle Breakdown Services Vitamins and Supplements W Western European Lifestyles White Goods Women Over 45 Working Women
2005 1998 2003 1998 1998 2003 2003 2005 1999 1999 1998 1999 1999 1999 2004 2004 2003 2005 1999 2000 2003 2003
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