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ELSEVIER Research Policy 25 (1997) 1161-1188
pohcy

A catalytic and evolutionary approach to horizontal technology


policies (HTPs)
M o r r i s T e u b a l 1, 2
Industrial Development Policy Group (IDPG), The Jerusalem Institute For Israel Studies, Jerusalem, Israel
Final version received February 1996

Abstract

This paper presents an evolutionary framework for horizontal technology policies (HTPs) especially market-friendly ones
involving project-based incentives (e.g. R & D project based grants rather than tax-based incentives to yearly expenditures on
R&D). HTPs are a category of technological policies whose objective is to promote technological development per se, and
associated management and organizational routines, irrespective of industrial branch or technological area. They are being
increasingly adopted by both advanced countries and newly industrialized countries in response to the new opportunities and
threats opened up by the technological revolution and by the processes of liberalization and globalization; and they
complement the more specific and well-known selective and vertical policies aimed at individual sectors and technologies.
The analysis is conducted within a learning-to-innovate framework with emphasis on collective, organizational learning;
search; and market-building. The outcome is a technology policy cycle with distinct infant, growth, and mature phases.
Proactive 'generation" of a critical mass of projects for efficient learning and diffusion of innovation routines becomes the
aim of the infant phase; while the mature phase of the policy should focus on policy restructuring including drastic
reductions in the support of routine projects and enhanced support of more complex types of innovation. The paper also
emphasizes the importance of a neutrality component in incentives in the infant phase of increasing selectivity; and of
building policy capabilities for efficient policy design and implementation.

1. The need for and context surrounding the paradigm (Piore and Sabel, 1984; Freeman, 1987;
p r o p o s e d policy f r a m e w o r k Freeman and Perez, 1988; Willinger and Zuscovitch,
1988) and the redefinition o f the role o f the state in
The current technological revolution (including
the economy) is bound to induce profound changes
the emergence and gradual penetration of the new
in the institutional and policy framework associated
flexible manufacturing and information technology
with the promotion of technology and innovation.
The technological revolution is accompanied by a
This is a new version of the paper "The catalytic promotion process o f globalization, which enormously increases
of socially desirable activities (SDAS): a capabilities approach to the extent and scope both of variety (with respect to
industrial and technological policies." I appreciate the comments technologies, organizational forms, products, and op-
of two referees and the continued interactionwith N. Ben-Aharon, portunities) and of the competitive pressures facing
R. Galli, M. Justman, D. Kaufmann, S. Radosevic, K. Smith, E.
enterprises. Partly in response to this, search activi-
Steinmueller, B. Toren, and E. Zuscovitch, which has consider-
ably improved this draft. ties are becoming increasingly crucial for the growth
2 Also at STEP Group, Storgaten 1, N-0155 Oslo, Norway. and survival of enterprises. The search for 'technol-

0048-7333/97/$17.00 Copyright © 1997 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.


PII S0048-7333(96)00886-4
1162 M. Teubal / Research Policy 25 (1997) 1161-1188

ogy' includes: locating and identifying opportunities, and marketing. Identifying, producing, and market-
including potential opportunities for investment in ing these products would require access to a wide set
new technology; initial screening to assemble a sub- of technological, management, and other capabilities,
set of reasonably good technological alternatives; only some of which will be available in-house. Thus
and other activities that precede actual choice. As the infrastructure and networks supporting SMEs,
compared to the previous mass-production paradigm, and not only direct support of innovation or firm-
its enhanced importance is not only absolute, but based capabilities, may frequently assume important
also relative to 'choice' (see Lane, 1993a, Lane, roles in the overall focus of technological policies.
1993b; David and Foray, 1994; Teubal and Zuscov- Moreover, in accordance with the evolutionary view
itch, 1994). 3 Moreover, since competition is increas- of the firm as a collection of routines, the adoption
ingly based on technology, and enterprises must by firms of an ongoing, continual technological
continually restructure their activities in conditions change/innovation effort requires the adoption of
that frequently resemble those of fundamental uncer- appropriate management and organizational routines.
tainty, there seems to be less and less scope for the A second influence on technology policies is the
neoclassical assumptions of maximizing behavior. increased market orientation of economies, both ad-
Adaptive behavior rather then maximization, and the vanced and developing capitalist economies and
related need to adopt new routines associated with economies previously belonging to the Socialist Bloc.
search and continual technological innovation would This would call for adoption of more market-friendly
seem to fit better with the reality facing enterprises policies. In this paper I will use the term catalytic to
and other organizations today. 4 describe a market-friendly approach to a class of
Such an evolutionary perspective (see Nelson and such policies (see also Teubal, 1996). Finally, the
Winter, 1982) should also affect policy that promotes enhanced role of technology and of non-market coor-
economic change, particularly technological policy dination (Teece, 1992; Foray, 1993), driven by global
(Metcalfe, 1993 and, to some extent, Justman and competition, among other factors, creates the need
Teubal, 1986, 1995). The influence on policy also both for the restructuring of existing institutions and
derives from three other considerations. First, the for the creation of new ones. 5 While this consider-
ongoing restructuring needs of firms and other orga- ably widens the scope of technology policy by re-
nizations would enhance the desirability of a struc- quiring a shift from a simple market-failure perspec-
turalist perspective on economic growth and devel- tive, it also creates the need for a technology policy
opment (Justman and Teubal, 1990 Justman and framework (Smith and Teubal, 1994). Such a frame-
Teubal, 1991; Guerrieri, 1992), which could help work would incorporate basic principles of evolu-
give a structural-change content to growth-evolu- tionary theory (the respective roles of both market-
tionary processes. For example, the restructuring of based and non-market technology selection mecha-
small/medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) might in- nisms; and co-evolution of institutions and technol-
volve the continued introduction of new niche prod- ogy) and give concrete content to technology (and
ucts, tailored to the specific needs of well-defined industrial) policy formulation and implementation.
market segments (rather than of mass markets) and More specifically, the framework is supposed to give
involving a much larger component of design, R &D, concrete content to what may be termed the bureau-
cratic (policy) selection mechanism, which would
supplement the market selection mechanism in allo-
3 While the concept partially overlaps the notions of transaction
costs and absorption capabilities (Cohen and Levinthal, 1990) it is
important, in the context of this paper, to refer to it specifically
and separately. 5 For example, a successful technological infrastructure policy
4 The increased importance of search independently reduces the (TIP) requires the development of cooperation routines among
scope of the principle of optimization or maximization in the firms in the area of precompetitive research and development (at
behavior of economic agents. It also brings to the fore issues of least as far as advanced TI is concerned). These non-formal
codification of information, for example, Foray (1993) emphasizes behavioral traits may have to be supported by more formal
the implications of information codification on the feasibility of institutional adaptations, e.g. legal mechanisms for arbitrating
rapidly focusing the search and development efforts of firms. conflicts among partners.
M. Teubal / Research Policy 25 (1997) 1161-1188 1163

cating resources to technology and innovation. How section summarizes the policy implications of the
does the centrality of search, learning, and adoption analysis and, more specifically, the evolutionary na-
of new routines translate into the approach followed ture of the mechanisms of policy-making underlying
by government agencies involved in technology pol- 'good' HTPs.
icy?
This paper presents an evolutionary framework
for horizontal technology policies (HTPs), especially
market-friendly ones involving project-based incen- 2. The nature, focus, and objectives of HTPs
tives. HTPs are a category of technology policies
whose objective is to promote technological develop-
ment per se, irrespective of industrial branch or even 2.1. The limitations of simplistic market-failure anal-
technological area. While these policies, which could ysis
be visualized as being the intangible complements
(and even the successors) to the more conventional The accepted conceptual framework underlying
universal incentives to investment, have increasingly technological policy is based on Arrow's seminal
been adopted by advanced and developed countries, paper, which sets the basis for what may be termed
they have not yet been subjected to careful economic the 'pure' market-failure approach to justifying gov-
analysis. 6 They also complement more specific, ver- ernment intervention in promoting technical change
tical or even selective policies aimed at specific (see Arrow, 1962). Many economists have further
industrial branches and technological areas. Their developed and refined this approach, and there is a
importance derives from being central components broad consensus that it represents an intellectual
of government inducement of technology-based basis for such policy. In our context, market failure
structural change in a wide variety of conditions (for should indicate an "imperfection of market forces
newly industrialized countries (NICs), see Teubal, in supplying SDTAs whether or not markets exist."
1996), including situations with scant preexisting Thus market failure may exist even when certain
capacity to identify strategic economic branches or forms of a market exist, for example, in the context
strategic technologies. of a set of relatively isolated yet interacting bilateral
The paper begins with an analysis of the limita- transactions. It is certainly not only a result of a total
tions of simplistic market-failure analysis for tech- absence of markets.
nology policy design and implementation. We next There is a more fundamental sense in which the
introduce the notion of socially desirable technologi- absence of markets is not necessarily indicative of
cal activities (SDTAs) and of the objectives and market failure, because other, non-market mecha-
targets of HTPs aimed at promoting them (or the nisms of resource allocation or systems of gover-
associated routines). Section 3 is a partial analysis of nance could be more appropriate for a particular type
some of the conceptual building blocks for HTPs of technology-development activity (Nelson, 1987).
(for example, the importance of search and market- These could include networks, bureaucratic/profes-
building) followed, in Section 4, by the concept and sional mechanisms, and hierarchies. In fact, the fun-
analysis of the technology policy cycle with its damental critique of simplistic market-failure analy-
infant, growth, and mature phases. The concluding sis is its implicit assumption that the market has an
advantage over all other selection mechanisms when
it comes to allocating resources to innovation/tech-
nology development. Despite this critique, a realistic
evolutionary perspective must recognize that today
6 Despite studies of the economic impact of tax exemptions on market mechanism should play a crucial, although
R&D (see Metealfe's review in his 1993 survey Metcalfe (1993)), not necessarily exclusive, role for at least certain
there has been scant recognition and no analytical discussions of
horizontal technological policies from an evolutionary perspective.
types of technological development activities; e.g.
A discussion Israel's largely neutral, grants-based support for technology transfer and absorption, firm-based R & D,
industrial R&D can be found in Teubal (1983), Teubal (1993). etc. Hence this paper focuses both on market-failure
1164 M. Teubal / Research Policy 25 (1997) 1161-1188

analysis (though not one that requires the neoclassi- adjust their institutional frameworks to enable mar-
cal notions of equilibrium and maximizing behavior) ket forces to operate better in generating technologi-
and on other institutional and bureaucratic mecha- cal innovation. 10
nisms that complement the market mechanism in the Another reason why simple market-failure analy-
promotion of technological development. sis cannot by itself provide the framework for effec-
There is less awareness that an analysis of market tive technological policy is the need to generate an
failure is only one step in the design of policies for evolutionary (rather than a neoclassical) policy
supporting technological innovation (Nelson, 1983). 7 framework (Metcalfe, 1993). Such a framework,
Market-failure analysis, even when properly embed- which must combine R & D with learning and adop-
ded in a dynamic context, does not provide a suffi- tion of routines, should be used to analyze the evolu-
cient framework for policy, for at least two reasons. tion over time of externalities, policy capabilities,
First, it should be combined with an analysis of the and the policies themselves. Only then can one
institutional framework within which market forces justify and understand the policy restructuring that
operate. A major reason why market forces fail to frequently takes place (and more frequently should
provide the socially optimum amount or an inade- take place), in terms, for example, of the elimination
quate structure of innovation may lie in constraints of some externalities, the appearance of others, and
,L
due to an inappropriate protection of intellectual knowledge about these processes.
property rights, antitrust laws that block the free Neither the framework generated by Arrow nor
cooperation of competing firms in developing prec- the formal models of technological innovation in the
ompetitive technological capabilities, 8 rules at uni- neoclassical tradition (see Stoneman, 1983, and dis-
versities and government laboratories that limit the cussions of policy within that tradition, e.g. some
extent to which researchers may profitably engage in contributions within Dasgupta and Stoneman, 1987)
proprietary technological development with business are particularly helpful as underpinnings for the re-
firms, etc. 9 Not surprisingly, countries have tried to

~0 One implication of an institution-less market-failure analysis


is that policy prescriptions are formulated in terms of subsidies
7 Nelson (1983) points out that "'simple market failure cannot (or, more generally, incentives) rather than in terms of new
explain industry distribution of support" (in the United States) institutions, etc. Within such a framework of analysis there is no
and that it is necessary to make a distinction between 'diagnoses' discussion of the trade-offs between changes in institutions and
(where it may have a role) and 'prescription,' which should take the scope of subsidization. For example, in connection with the
into account both the existence of capabilities for finding high restructuring and 'privatization' of defense industries, different
priority projects and political factors. In his work he has also organizational configurations of the defense organizations will
pointed out a more specific objection even for diagnostic purposes lead to different levels of government subsidization. For example:
- the possible pervasiveness of externalities. This issue is ad- the creation of independent technological infrastructure organiza-
dressed here. tions, by introducing the market mechanism into the diffusion of
s For a brief discussion of anti-trust constraints on such activi- technology, may reduce the level of subsidies that have to be
ties and changes in legislation in the United States during the channeled into the new, restructured sector.
1980s, see Tassey (1991). l~ The partial restructuring of Israel's traditional subsidy to
9An excellent example from a NIC country is Argentina, R&D through the effective implementation of a royalty scheme
where, until the second half of the 1980s, almost no university has reduced the subsidy to incremental product and process
researcher or researcher in the agriculture or industrial network of improvements by large firms to below the traditional level of
laboratories could have incentives to perform work for industrial 50%. This common-sense development follows the presumed
firms (such work could not receive a financial reward and its reduction or elimination of market failure within the above cate-
results could be withheld from publication). The gradual creation gory of finns and innovations. Formally speaking, the policy has
of linking units to interface between the various institutions and thus become somewhat less neutral (Teubal, 1993). Another ex-
the private sector, starting with that of the National Institute of ample of policy restructuring concerns precompetitive, coopera-
Agriculture Technological (1NTA) followed by that of Buenos tive technological development programs in Europe. They have
Aires University (UBA), and their regulation by special legislation apparently become more selective and specific through time. (!
(Ley 23177, 1992) may gradually enable enterprises to undertake would like to thank Dan Kanfmann for this comment. See also
socially desirable, joint R&D projects with such institutions. Kaufrnann and Yinnon, 1995.)
M. Teubal / Research Policy 25 (1997) 1161-1188 1165

quired evolutionary policy framework. The descrip- to eventually configure a menu of policy choices that
tive, formal models of technical change used are more closely reflects 'needs,' i.e. that reflects the
based on simplistic views both of the economy and structure of the recipient population, its routines, and
of government. Their essentially static nature neces- the implications thereof for meeting policy objec-
sarily ignores the critical learning processes associ- tives. ~4 The upshot is a third evolutionary character-
ated with R&D, the nature and evolution of the istic of our policy framework, namely, that policy
institutional framework governing the activities of has a cycle, just as any radical product innovation
market forces, and the critical roles played by capa- has one.
bilities both in the private sector and in
government, t2 The effect is an overemphasis on
2.2. The focus of HTPs: promoting socially desirably
financial incentives instead of institutions and capa-
technological activities (SDTAs)
bilities for policy formulation and implementation,
and a total ignoring of the ongoing need to restruc-
ture policy in parallel with the restructuring of eco- Despite significant recent advances in conceptual-
nomic activities. izing evolutionary technological policy (see, for ex-
The simple market-failure conceptual framework ample, Metcalfe's survey), there still remain areas of
is not helpful in understanding the dynamics of confusion, especially with respect to the nature and
actual policy experience of the 1980s in Europe and role of horizontal technological policies (HTPs). The
the United States and in the successful countries of objective of these policies is the functional promo-
Asia. This includes both the restructuring of existing tion of socially desirable technological activities
policies and the emergence of new policy areas, such (SDTAs) and associated management and organiza-
as the stimulation of cooperative, generic R&D, tional routines within business enterprises. For our
policies for linking firms to academic institutions, purposes, SDTAs include firm-based R & D (or, more
etc. t3 While it is true that the gap between actual generally, innovation), technology transfer, adoption,
policies and the underlying conceptual and policy and diffusion, and technological infrastructure - both
framework reflects the fact that the strength, configu- its basic and advanced components (Justman and
ration, and loci of market failures change over time Teubal, 1995). The term 'horizontal' refers to the
(in part due to endogenous factors set in motion by basic fact that the policy objectives are not focused
earlier policies, including adaptations of institutions), on a particular economic sector, industrial branch, or
it is also a result of the fundamental uncertainty technological area. Instead, they are universal, as
associated with new technological policy initiatives. opposed to these traditional ways of classifying eco-
Actual configurations of new policies should be un- nomic activity (or technology). Alternatively, their
derstood in terms of an evolutionary process of focus is functional rather than sectorial, that is, the
finding 'reasonable' matches between resources and promotion of R & D as a function rather than of
objectives rather than simply 'maximizing' a well- technology within a sector.
defined objective function. Alternatively, we may The term SDTA should be further clarified by
say that policy in its early stages should be largely noting that it refers to technological development
regarded as a succession of experiments which the activities that (1) have a strategic value to the
responsible government agency undertakes in order economy and (2) are loci of market failures. I would
extend the term 'strategic' to include certain SDTAs
for countries at particular nodes or phases in their

12 The static nature of formal models of technical change does


not extend to the class of diffusion models that are inherently
more dynamic. Translation of the latter models into policy terms, ~4 This view is certainly consistent with Metcaife's characteriza-
however, is still far from complete. tion of 'evolutionary' technological policies (for a discussion of
~3 For a survey of the evolution of technology policies in more specific links between my analysis and Metcalfe's, see the
Europe, see Dodgeson and Rothwell (1992). concluding section of this paper).
1166 M. T e u b a l / R e s e a r c h Policy 25 (1997) 1 1 6 1 - 1 1 8 8

development. For example, widespread diffusion of firms (Justman and Teubal, 1990; Brodet et al.,
firm-based R & D (and probably other SDTAs as 1990). While recognizing the importance of provid-
well) may be of economy-wide strategic importance ing significant economic incentives to induce firms
for NICs undergoing rapid foreign-trade liberaliza- to undertake SDTAs, the ultimate target of evolu-
tion, since it may be a prerequisite for strengthening tionary policy is to promote enterprise endogeniza-
industrial capabilities and making the structural tion of the process, i.e. to get enterprises, after a
changes needed to compete in a global economy. In period of intense collective learning (and associated
other, probably more advanced-country contexts, an institutional change), to undertake an important
SDTA involves advanced technological infrastruc- share of these activities without or with very little
ture rather than finn based R&D/innovation (which government support.
has already been routinized in the economy). In such One example of SDTA-endogenization concerns
contexts, the objective of HTPs is to promote the 'basic' technological infrastructure policy (TIP) di-
adoption of collaborative routines for undertaking rected, for example, at SMEs in the mid- and iow-tech
technological infrastructure (TI) projects: this has sectors. Early catalytic support of initial cooperative
been viewed as such in Europe since the first flame- projects of this kind (which may or may not involve
work program. Finally, in an intermediate economy the creation of new intermediate institutions such as
like Israel, relevant SDTAs might include both fur- sectorial technological centers) may enormously en-
ther diffusion of R&D/innovation routines within hance awareness about the need for such projects
the mid/low-tech sector of the economy and the and reduce uncertainty about their feasibility and
promotion of TI and associated collaborative rou- profitability for firms in a particular industrial sector.
tines throughout the business sector (hi-tech consor- It may also clarify the critical role that interfirm
tia as well as the collective supply of technological cooperation plays in generating this kind of service-
and other sophisticated services to other sectors). ~5 providing infrastructure and the means for making
This paper presents a policy framework that is this cooperation effective. Industry associations may
quite general, inasmuch as it should be relevant to then undertake a large share of such SDTAs with
stimulate any SDTA within the class mentioned little or no government support (Justman and Teubal,
above. It emphasizes intangible accumulation and 1995). Similarly, in connection with the promotion
learning not only at the level of the firm but also at of R & D within firms, early catalytic support will
the level of government; and it is consistent with a eventually lead to the emergence of routine projects
market-oriented approach to industrial and techno- whose existence does not depend so heavily on
logical policy, one that requires significant caution in continued government support. Government support
the extension of permanent subsidies to business should then be restructured in the direction of more
complex projects (associated with clear, multidimen-
sional market failure) and other types of SDTAs
(Teubal, 1996).
The proposed framework may contribute to the
design of a more efficient sequence of SDTA-sup-
15 Absorption and diffusion of technology should be the main port policies, for example, by linking support for
SDTA supported by HTP during the catch-up phase of economic firm-based R &D with support of cooperative, generic
development. Note that including a 'national strategic' dimension
R & D. Effecting a successful transition from a policy
in the definition of SDTAs naturally leads to views about priori-
ties - not sectorial or technological, but associated with SDTAs.
emphasizing firm-based R & D to one emphasizing
In general, priorities depend on both external and internal factors. cooperative, generic R & D requires considering si-
For example, during a technological revolution it is critical to multaneously the infant stage of support of the latter
develop TI, perhaps in collaboration; however, these (at least together with mature restructuring (and even partial
so-called 'advanced TI') may require prior routinization and expe-
phase-out) of the former. In fact, for both substantive
rience in firm-based R&D. Advanced countries, which already
possess this experience, will find the former to be of strategic
and political/ideological reasons, the restructuring
importance. There seems to be no strictly linear sequence of and partial phase-out of the support for firm-based
SDTAs for a particular country. R & D may be critical for effective implementation of
M. Teubal / Research Policy 25 (1997) 1161-1188 1167

a new scheme supporting cooperative, generic R& be selective, that is, they must involve an unaccept-
D. ]6 able measure of government intervention. 19 Let it be
stated here that such policies have no direct implica-
2.2.1. Promoting SDTAs versus targeting tions favoring one sector over others (although sup-
Before we go any further, it is important to realize port of R&D, for example, may indirectly relatively
that support for SDTAs should not be confused with favor high-tech industry), since the focus is on sup-
the traditional policy of sectorial targeting followed porting functions rather than sectors. Thus in sup-
by countries like Japan, Korea, and Taiwan during porting SDTAs there is no inherent reason for not
subperiods after World War Two. 17 The two types adopting a more neutral approach to policy (see
of policy should be viewed as complementary, within Section 4 below). 20
the overall national systems of innovation. Support-
ing an SDTA is a 'horizontal' technology policy, 2.3. Objectives of HTPs
whereas 'targeting' would be an instance of vertical
I & T (industrial and technological) policies. In the It is useful to state the objectives of promoting
case of Japan, it is clear that both were simultane- SDTAs in terms of three categories of effects or
ously adopted. It may be that successful targeting, as impacts:
it occurred in these economies, did so precisely • Direct functional impacts in creating the SDTA;
because it rested on broader policies that encouraged • Creating a framework and the enabling conditions
SDTAs in these economies. 18 for endogenous generation of SDTAs within the
Targeting is justified because of indivisibilities economy; and
and static and dynamic increasing returns, in connec- • Economic impacts.
tion with a sector or a cluster (the cluster would This distinction is fundamental, since for a variety
involve the sector, its upstream suppliers, a n d / o r of reasons it is not appropriate to focus exclusively
downstream users). HTPs are justified by dynamic on economic impacts (and not only in the short
increasing returns within a functional SDTA cate- term). First, economic impacts are a consequence of
gory and across sectors. They are inherently less a variety of policies followed by governments, not
selective than traditional targeting. Both justifica- only of policies that support SDTAs. Thus a low
tions for government intervention may coexist during measured economic impact may result from the ab-
the catch-up phase of NICs and may reinforce each
other. By frequently associating industrial and tech-
nological policies with targeting while ignoring the ~9 The World Bank, in its study of the successful growth
role and importance of HTPs, many researchers and experience of countries in Asia, suggested that the less successful
policy makers have assumed that I & T policies must alternative industrial policy approach to (what the report terms)
the 'neoclassical' approach is fundamentally characterized by
extreme targeting or 'selectivity.' In my opinion this is a biased
and extreme view of the nature of growth-promoting I&T policies
t6 Countries' experiences differ in this respect. In some, like and of actual policies followed by successful countries of the area.
Israel, the shift from supporting finn-based R&D to supporting TI More specifically, it excludes HTPs, which, as we will see,
(or other programs) was until recently effected without a restruc- involve an important neutrality and market-friendly component to
turing of the former, in other countries, like Argentina, the incentives.
initiation of its first HTP for promoting firm-based technological 20 Horizontal support of SDTAs should not be confounded with
development has (until March 1995) been limited by a combina- other areas of I&T policy, such as privatization, deregulation of
tion of macroeconomic constrainst and lack of awareness of the specific sectors, and antitrust policies. All of these are important
catalytic nature of such programs (namely, that they need not be areas that have received their due attention from experts in
just one more program providing 'eternal' subsidies to business industrial organization, students of the postwar development of the
enterprises). economically successful Far Eastern countries, and more recently
J7 For Japan's targeting, during the 1950s and 1960s, see Komiya by observers of the transition of Eastern European countries to
et al. (1988). For Korea and Taiwan, see Kim (1993) and Hou and market economies. I would like to suggest that far less systematic
Gee (1993). attention has been given to the HTPs supporting sophisticated
is1 would like to thank a referee for raising this interesting SDTAs. Presumably this omission is due to a basic lack of
possibility. understanding of the nature and importance of these policies.
1168 M. Teubal / Research Policy 25 (1997) 1161-1188

sence of complementary policies; for example, a Reducing transactions costs and adapting the in-
successful policy of promoting firm-based R & D may stitutional framework;
fail to promote growth because of inadequate com- • Integrating the national production/innovation
plementary training and human-resource develop- system (for example, creating new university-in-
ment policies that would enable widespread applica- dustry interfaces, new committees and mecha-
tion of results to production and exports. Failure to nisms within government, a pool of consultants,
promote growth in this case may be the result of a and possibly technological centers);
lack of coordination among policies, rather than of a • Stimulating links between local firms and foreign
failure in the SDTA promotion scheme per se. A partners, and stimulating integration of the re-
second reason is the long lag between SDTA promo- gion/country with other regions and, more gener-
tion and economic growth (the promotion of ad- ally, with the global economy;
vanced technological infrastructure would be a good • Market-building, either in connection with the
example of this). The upshot is that it is doubly SDTA itself or with the services supporting the
imperative to set intermediate targets and criteria for activity, which would largely remain a firm-based
evaluating program efficiency. The quality and quan- activity.
tity of SDTAs and the generation of the framework We can illustrate the above by referring to techno-
or enabling conditions for endogenous SDTA accu- logical infrastructure policy (TIP). This should ini-
mulation are two relevant categories of such objec- tially focus on creating new industry-relevant capa-
tives. bilities on a wide front, and on generating the associ-
The impact of the promotion scheme on the quan- ated routines and enabling or facilitating factors. It
tity and quality of SDTAs is a relevant objective, could be very successful in this regard, as in Japan,
almost by definition, once it is clear that policy- where precompetitive, cooperative technological de-
makers have (1) identified the SDTA being pro- velopment among Japanese firms in information
moted as of critical importance for the national technology areas seems to have been reinforced after
economy and (2) realized that market forces by implementation of the well-known Ministry of Inter-
themselves will not lead to the required investments, national Trade and Industry (MITI)-sponsored Very
or at least will not initiate the process of (mainly Large Scale Integration (VLSI) program (Sigurdson,
intangible) accumulation associated with SDTAs. 21 1986). This is also acknowledged to be the result of
The second category of targets, namely, those European programs in information technology. 23
actions that help the private sector endogenously and It is worth noting the links among the various
steadily to invest in the relevant SDTA, follows from actions strengthening SDTA endogenization. Institu-
the desired catalytic nature of policy. This involves: tional change (such as changes in antitrust law) may
Stimulating firm-based learning on how to under- have a direct effect in inducing firms to invest in TI,
take SDTAs; but also an indirect effect in reducing transactions
• Diffusing new routines within firms, including costs - for example, a reduced need for legal advice
search routines and other routines associated with associated with a consortium-creation agreement.
the generation of SDTAs; 22 This in turn further stimulates TI. Moreover, both

2~ If the SDTA-promoting policy is justified, then a "strategic 23 Thus, the Esprit program could be considered a partial suc-
gap' in the activity exists (see Fig. l(a)). It follows that the direct cess, despite its failure to counteract the relative decline of Europe
impact of HTP on the relevant SDTA is one of the objectives of vis-h-vis the United States and Japan in the information technol-
policy and a measure of its success. The relevance of this direct ogy industry (Krieger-Mytelka, 1992). The economic or strategic
impact target is more problematic in cases where both the timing failure would be due to other factors and policies and not neces-
and the configuration of the SDTA-promotion scheme are inap- sarily to TIP itself, although insufficient coordination between
propriate. TIP and such policies may have been a significant contributory
22 The need for US firms to systematically undertake external factor. Moreover, the stated objectives of Espirit may have been
search has been voiced, among others, by Reich (1990). exaggerated.
M. Teubal/ Research Policy25 (1997) 1161-1188 1169

institutional change and reduced transactions costs have an important growth-promoting component) and
are fundamental factors in market-building, as is also the yearly target of such a policy, especially in the
the case with learning (see Section 3 below). early stage of policy implementation. An excellent
The relevance of SDTA endogenization also re- example is TIP. It might be that in the promotion of
lates to the requirements for success in a global other, innovation-related SDTAs (e.g. firm-based R
economy. In the case of TIP, this would imply, inter &D), direct economic impact should play a larger
alia, stimulating the creation of new capabilities that role, both in evaluating program success and in
could transform domestic firms into potential part- guiding and assessing year-to-year performance.
ners of foreign firms. These new capabilities, stimu- Even in these cases, however, it would be wrong to
lated by SDTA promotion, could be complementary focus exclusively on such an impact. The impact of
to those of potential foreign partners - a major factor policy on the quantity and quality of the SDTA, on
in alliances (Teece, 1992 and surveys of EEC coop- learning and acquisition of new routines, and on
erative programs), or could reflect the distinctive other facilitating factors is of no less importance,
advantages or competencies of the region, which especially in the initial, experimental stage of a
would help firms integrate into global innovation and policy.
production networks (see Gordon, 1994). 24

2.3.1. Summary
3. Conceptual building blocks: learning, search,
Success in policies for promoting SDTAs should
and market-building
in general not be measured exclusively in terms of
their direct economic impact (exports, output, or
employment). Moreover, it is extremely important to Further conceptual clarification is required prior
distinguish between the final objective of policy to a detailed discussion of the technological policy
(which should, with due reservations (see above), cycle, particularly of catalytic policies that should be
undertaken during the initial, infant phase of the
SDTA-promotion policy. Here I focus on the impli-
cations of the dynamics of learning, on the nature of
search and implications for policy, and on market-
24 An interesting related example is that of Vitro - a major building. Informal institutions, formal institutions,
Mexican conglomerate in the glass, containers, and domestic and non-enterprise organizations (e.g. technology
appliances area. In the early 1990s it entered into a joint venture
centers) will also be referred to (particularly in Sec-
with Whirlpool, a world leader in white goods. The agreement
occurred after Vitro purchased a publicly owned and publicly tion 3.3.2.
funded technological center in the metalworking area. While this
may not have been the critical factor in the alliance, it probably
played a contributory role. This example illustrates how TIP (an 3.1. Collective learning and the dynamics of external
example of SDTA-support policy) may be directed to stimulate effects
joint ventures with foreign companies, a factor that indirectly
helps endogenize domestic SDTA accumulation (by enhancing
access to world technology). A related example is an important The basic idea is that successful penetration and
Israeli firm in the metalworking area, which attempted to diversify diffusion of an SDTA in the economy or region is a
from its traditional military markets by penetrating the world process involving extensive collective learning
aircraft-components market. Prior defense procurement policies
('learning by doing and by others doing'), multidis-
that required significant investments in testing, analysis, and
materials-characterization capabilities facilitated its receiving au- ciplinary learning (technological, techno-economic,
thorized supplier status from Boeing. Thus a prior policy support- and managerial/organizational), and learning that is
ing technologicalinfrastracture facilitated the linkage with foreign cumulative over time. This is especially so during an
firms. It illustrates how a civilian-oriented SDTA-promotionpol- early ('infant') phase of the diffusion of this process
icy could be explicitly orienlexl to stimulate the forging of al-
throughout the economy. Collective learning follows
liances with foreign firms. The resulting success in world markets
would also help endogenize SDTA accumulation (while increas- from the centrality of managerial/organizational
ing domestic firms" access to the capabilities of foreign partners). learning during this early phase and from the associ-
1170 M. Teubal / Research Policy 25 (1997) 1161-1188

ated pervasive externalities that flow from SDTA whose implementation requires govemmental sup-
projects. 25 For a specialized foundry in a developing port. 26
country, managerial learning about innovation and The same learning process that generates infant-
the incorporation of new routines involved aspects stage pervasive externalities is also responsible for
such as: knowledge about conducting systematic ex- the subsequent partial elimination of market failure
periments with new combinations of casting materi- in connection with certain classes of projects. This
als; routines for effective utilization of external con- has at least three major dimensions. First, there is an
sultants and for searching for externally available overall reduction in the uncertainty facing en-
technology; experience in creating a team for devel- trepreneurs, in particular the transformation of un-
opment and experimentation, including the required certainty into risk for certain classes of projects
qualities of team leadership; etc. In the infant Israeli within the SDTA category being considered, espe-
biomedical electronic instrumentation sector, early cially those where experience has been intense. Thus
collective 'innovation management' and 'project se- many entrepreneurs who were not previously in-
lection' learning involved a greater capacity to eval- volved in SDTAs will be interested, after a period of
uate the marketing requirements of new products, collective learning, in investing in those activities.
particularly of very innovative products (most of Second, there is an increase in independent techno-
which failed due to market reasons - see Teubal et economic capabilities associated with the identifica-
al., 1976; Spiller and Teubal, 1977). The importance tion, screening, evaluation, and selection of SDTA
of these non-technological aspects of leaming also projects, particularly in connection with R & D and
implies that SDTA diffusion is (potentially)~subject innovation. This enhances the ability of the capital
to dynamic increasing returns to scale (Teubal, 1996). markets to finance certain classes of SDTAs without
The basic presumption is that a successful HTP government intervention. It also leads to the provi-
(in part due to a successful collective learning pro- sion of external advisory and consultancy services to
cess) will lead to significant endogenization of the entrepreneurs who perform SDTA projects in-house
process of executing the SDTAs, at least for an (see below on the effect of market-building) and
increasing group of important projects. We may call increases the capacity to generate new SDTA pro-
this a 'routine' category of 'improvement' SDTA jects.
projects. Underlying this is a gradual increase in the The third factor is 'exhaustion' of learning poten-
private profitability (or expected utility) of investing tial. A great deal of the general knowledge about
in such projects and a reduction in the gap between SDTA initiation and execution (i.e. knowledge rele-
private and social profitability. The outcome is a vant to all or broad categories of projects) is gener-
reduction in the share of total SDTA investments ated by early projects or is their spill-over; it eventu-
ally becomes common knowledge. Thus an impor-
tant component of collective learning will be ex-
hausted at that point, there being very little left to
spill over.
The upshot is that, to a larger extent than previ-
In the initial phase of SDTA diffusion, everyone potentially ously, the new knowledge and experience subse-
learns from everyone else - if not from a 'technological knowl- quently generated by SDTAs is largely specific to
edge' point of view, then certainly from a 'management of
individual projects or is proprietary knowledge with
innovation' perspective. Correspondingly, the wider notion of
'externalities' makes this phenomenon a potentially pervasive one, limited usefulness elsewhere (except for proprietary
at least initially (see Teubal, 1996). Note that the collective technological knowledge, which might be useful to
learning potential of the aggregate of individual experience with
new SDTAs derives also from the fact that much of the above-
mentioned management knowledge is not proprietary. The emerg-
ing group of entrepreneurs may quite willingly share it among 26 The stage is set for formalizing these statements, in particular
themselves, whereas the government agency responsible for the showing how a different outcome may result from a non-success-
policy should take steps both to codify and to diffuse this knowl- ful HTP (see below). Unfortunately this task goes beyond the
edge. scope of this paper.
M. Teubal / Research Policy 25 (1997) 1161-1188 1171

~)

x = SDTA Profitability
(S : Social, P : Private) I SDTA (t.)
t. = Ideal initiation time for HTP I
u = Beggining of maturity phase I
of HTP l

la: A Strategic GAPin the STDA (at to)

7t
t;)

Routine Complex
SDTA SDTA
\r r

~ n n*,(t:)

%(t:)

lb: Limited Market Failure


"Routine" Projects (at I2) lc: Extensive Market Failure for
"Complex" Projects (at tz)

* The schedules assume abscence of incentives.


Fig. 1. Dynamics of market failures in a SDTA (the schedules assume absence of incentives). This figure is a neoclassical representation of
a complex evolutionary phenomenon and therefore is imperfect and even misleading. It implicitly assumes a fixed set of potential projects; it
ignores search and assumes the absence of fundamental uncertainty. It is supposed to represent the effects of learning between tO and t2 on
the configuration of market failure present for both 'routine' and 'complex' projects.

competitors). A likely o u t c o m e is a f a r l o w e r ten- priability on average will increase, largely because


dency to spill o v e r than in the p r e v i o u s situation o f the nature and increased quantitative importance
(firms will also n o w m a k e specific efforts at appro- o f ' r o u t i n e projects.'
priation). 27 Thus, one likely scenario is that appro- Fig. 1 presents a s c h e m a t i c and i n c o m p l e t e repre-
sentation o f the effects o f the d y n a m i c changes
described above.
27 Their success will depend on the extent to which the institu-
tional framework has been adapted to enhance appropriability.
3.1.1. Generating a project taxonomy
This of course also depends on the industry and types of innova- T h e reduction in externalities (pecuniary, techno-
tion (see Teece, 1988). logical, and organizational) has b e e n assumed to be
1172 M. Teubal / Research Policy 25 (1997) 1161 - 1188

particularly strong in certain classes of projects that A group of strategic SDTA projects that govern-
we will term routine. This project category emerges ment, due to the learning associated with the
from experience with the relevant SDTA and is part above, can coordinate and orchestrate.
of a potentially wider learning process in govern- As far as government support of SDTA projects is
ment, one that leads to the generation of a policy- concerned, the resulting pattern may involve a reduc-
relevant project taxonomy. Such an outcome requires tion in average support, including discontinuation of
a capacity for conceptualization within government, support for routine SDTA projects. However, there
fed by the actual experience of the agency responsi- may still be combinations of projects and firms that
ble for the policy. deserve significant and even enhanced support. Thus
Part of the above involves the emergence of a a reduced government share in total SDTA invest-
new category of feasible and socially desirable SDTA ments may be consistent with a decline or increase in
projects, more complex than 'routine' projects, absolute financial support, depending on the follow-
probably associated with newer technology (at least ing:
from the point of view of firms and other organiza- The dynamics of the technological revolution (de-
tions concerned). Some of these will be character- termining the potential for new 'complex' SDTA
ized by weak appropriability - either strong Arrow- projects);
type, template externalities, or due to low access to The development of capabilities within firms and
complementary assets (Teece, 1988). other actors or agents (e.g. technology centers),
This category emerges as a result of the dynamics which will determine the scope of new and com-
of finn-based (and collective) learning associated plex, but also socially desirable and feasible,
with the SDTA. Due to the capabilities generated by SDTA projects;
and in the wake of early 'simple' projects, the Capabilities within government to identify, coor-
aforementioned set of 'complex' projects may be- dinate, and orchestrate strategic SDTA projects.
come feasible. Thus, a category of projects involving
significant additions to knowledge and substantially 3.2. Implications of the increased importance of
less appropriability will also be created in the move- ' search'
ment towards the mature stage of the SDTA diffu-
sion process (and, ideally, of the associated policy). I have already pointed out the increasing impor-
We may summarize by stating that the diffusion tance of the search function relative to what
path of SDTAs is associated with the emergence of economists would term 'choice' - and this applies to
three categories of projects: technology at both the business and the policy levels.
• A routine set of SDTA projects with high appro- The trend is a consequence of the enormous increase
priability, whose implementation has been sub- in technological options and associated business op-
stantially endogenized; portunities, which results from the technological rev-
• An emerging group of 'complex' projects involv- olution and from the process of globalization. An
ing significant additions to technical and techno- important routine of firms today, even more so of
economic knowledge (and therefore high poten- R&D-intensive firms, is the search for technological
tial for externalities - see Teubal, 1996); 28 inputs from external sources. 29 The new digital
technologies are also enhancing the capabilities for

2 s Our analysis framework emphasizes the relationship between


experience with certain categories of SDTA projects and private 29 A high official of Ansaido, an Italian conglomerate active in
approriability of social benefits. This contrasts with the emphasis areas such as power-generation equipment and mass-transit sys-
on technological area/industrial branch fround in the literature tems, mentioned that the new opportunities for external sourcing
(Levin et al., 1987; Teece, 1988). In fact, the taxonomy that will of technology have induced the firm to systemically search to an
emerge with the diffusion of SDTAs will be linked to both factors unprecedented extent before deciding on in-house R&D projects.
affecting appropriability: experience and technological area/in- The techniques for efficient search have also become an important
dustrial branch. Subsequent policies might therefore be less neu- source of competitive advantage for the firm (personal communi-
tral but will still be horizontal (see Section 4, growth phase). cation). See also David and Foray (1994).
M. Teubal / Research Policy 25 (1997) 1161-1188 1173

economically accessing and retrieving useful knowl- arrive at a research agenda agreed upon by all con-
edge and the possibilities for knowledge codification sortium members, the configuration of a standard
(David and Foray, 1994). This increased search effi- contract (whenever this is desirable), efficient pro-
ciency enables both greater breadth and faster focus- cedures and guidelines for the use of intellectual
ing into a 'choice set.' property within the consortium and beyond; etc. 3~
In my opinion, these trends further enhance the The proactive role of government also follows
relevance of the evolutionary framework for technol- from the observation that the effective bottleneck to
ogy policy relative to the equilibrium or neoclassical policy implementation ('infant stage') is likely to be
framework (Metcalfe, 1993) - and not just because the absence of good projects rather than budget
of the reduced relevance of equilibrium analysis and constraints. Since, by definition, an SDTA that is
optimizing behavior. This is because efficient search, being promoted should be one where undertaking
including what could be termed 'post-search project projects has not yet become routine, there is likely to
generation', is an important mechanism for generat- be a dearth of such projects. For the same reason, the
ing variety, itself a major aspect of economic evolu- methodology of generating such projects is relatively
tion. Aspects associated with 'search' must, there- unknown in the economy; or, alternatively, the capa-
fore, play an important role in technology policy, bility of generating such projects is, at this stage,
including HTP connected with the introduction and relatively underdeveloped. Thus the infant stage will
diffusion of SDTAs. be characterized by high (but declining) SDTA pro-
ject-generation costs. 32
3.2.1. Stimulating SDTA project generation (proac- The upshot is that HTPs may have to promote
tire policy) entrepreneurial-type functions directly; the govern-
The central point emerging from the above is that ment agency itself may have to be an entrepreneur of
policy formulation and implementation (infant stage) sorts, rather than being simply a funding source and
will be information-intensive and that 'search' will provider of incentives to existing projects. 'Project
play a paramount role, even relative to the actual generation" should be a target of H'I'Ps (infant
disbursement of material incentives. More specifi-
cally, a central focus of policy should help the
private sector not only to search, in general, but
also, and more specifically, to generate good pro-
jects in the SDTA area being promoted - whether
31 More generally, stimulating with project generation involves
R&D, cooperative TI, or technology transfer and financing background studies and mappings, initiatives to bring
absorption. firms together, modifications of the institutional framework (e.g.
With regard to advanced technological infrastruc- antitrust laws), creating forums for exchange of ideas among firms
ture, governments should explicitly promofe or di- and between them and academic instutitions, coordination among
rectly undertake a search for 'good' g~neric re- government departments interested in particular projects, and even,
in some cases, explicit action to generate a specific project with
search (or technological capability de?)elopment) strategic value for the economy as a whole (e.g. microelectronics).
projects that could be undertaken by a consortium or Creating functional committees representing loci of 'need-technol-
group of firms. 30 This would involve mapping exer- ogy' coupling capabilities could be a very important aspect of the
cises of various kinds: for example, identification of proaetive role of goverment. For examples in the biotechnology
area in the United Kingdom, see Sharp (1995).
capabilities within the country and of 'needs' that
32 The proactive function of government also means supporting
such capabilities should satisfy, etc. The search func- learning to search and the incorporation of appropriate search
tion also encompasses aspects of organization and routines within firms. For enterprise R&D, it includes learning to
management, for example, procedures to efficiently screen and identify possible projects, generate a project choice set,
evaluate a n d / o r rank them, and make a choice. As mentioned in
the introuduction to this paper, these functions partially overlap
activities included in 'transition costs,' so the implied learning
will also lead to a reduction in these costs. Project-generation
30 The following points rely extensively on conversations with costs include the transaction costs of consortium formation but go
D. Kaufmann and on Kaufmann and Yinnon (1995). beyond these costs.
1174 M. Teubal/ Research Policy25 (1997) 1161-1188

stage); its scope is one of the indicators of policy HTP depends, however, on selectivity both in
effectiveness and efficiency at this stage, search and in incentives.

3.2.2. Other HT policy implications 3.3. Market-building


t. The institutional structure and the infrastructure
that supports information-sharing and learning Successful implementation of HTPs not only re-
shouM also be the focus of government policy. quires diffusion of S D T A s but also some market-
It is clear that the proactive policy mentioned building, that is, the appearance of a group o f spe-
above should not limit itself exclusively to activi- cialized suppliers either for an S D T A itself or for
ties that directly promote project generation, but services or intangibles linked to an SDTA. Such
should also deal with other institutional and in- market-building may become an important element
frastructural elements whose function is to over- in the SDTA endogenization process. It may be
come market failures by reducing strategic uncer- useful to distinguish among a number o f instances:
tainties and information gaps. This entails taking • The building o f markets for certain S D T A sup-
account o f the grey area between government and port services, for example, advisory, financial,
firms, or what could be termed non-market mech- and technological services that support firm-based
anisms for market articulation, 33 which consists R & D or innovation;
o f business associations, bridging institutions like • The (inevitably imperfect) building o f markets for
innovation centers, semipublic or semiprivate in- certain types of S D T A , for example, certain types
stitutions such as technology centers, innovation of product or process technological development
networks, etc. A major effort should be made to in the chemical process area; 35
stimulate the development and promote the use of • The generation o f markets for certain 'outputs'
databases and information-supplying firms and flowing from SDTAs, like novel technological
consultants. Strong initial support may eventually services such as new measurement and material-
lead to bona-fide agents that operate in a market characterization services generated by basic TI.
or business environment (see market-building be- Learning, reductions in transactions costs, and
low). institutional adaptations that favorably affect the dif-
2. Policy experimentation and search are important fusion of S D T A s will also help in building markets
for correctly specifying or configuring the appro- (even though there are some SDTAs or SDTA-re-
priate SDTA-promotion policy tools. These should lated services and intangibles for which there are no
eventually produce a good match between a menu feasible markets - for example, generic research)
of policy tools and a taxonomy of firm and (see Justman and Teubal, 1995).
project types. In what follows I will more specifically analyze
3. There is an important distinction between selec-
tivity in search vs. selectivity in incentives.
For search to be efficient it must be focused. This
imparts a measure of selectivity in policy, even at
the infant stage where incentives may largely be 35 Both Freeman (1982) and Teece (1988) indicated this area as
neutral (see Section 4.2. 34 Overall selectivity in one where independentR&D organizations have historically played
an important role in innovation (e.g. that of United Oil Products
(UOP) in developing the catalytic cracking process during the
1930s). The last decade has seen the emergence of a fair number
of independent specialized finns or laboratories providing technol-
ogy to 'users' (in our context, producers of goods) in the electron-
33 1 would like to thank a referee for pointing out this aspect of ics and biotechnology areas. Although 1 am not aware of any
HTP. analysis of their partners of interaction with users; it is likely that
34 This feature is due to the nature of the search process rather key elements typical of a 'market' already exist. For a description
than to a bias in incentives. Hence selectivity in 'search' may of the increasingly important supply side of the 'R&D market' in
coexist with neutrality in incentives ( = "choice'). the United Kingdom, see Kenward (1995).
M. Teubal/ Research Policy25 (1997) 1161-1188 1175

the first and third instances and then look at some of supply for R & D and for the associated support
the implications for HTP. services. At some point a market may appear - a
collection of well-defined suppliers and demanders
3.3.1. Markets for services that support enterprise with sufficient interaction within and across individ-
R & D / innovation ual transactions, and with sufficient account taken in
When an HTP program is implemented, the SDTA any one transaction of the conditions pertaining in
promoted (e.g. R & D ) is presumably not widely dif- other transactions. 36 These 'Marshallian' externali-
fused. Moreover, there is bound to be a generalized ties will further reinforce R & D activity and con-
absence of capabilities associated with search, gener- tribute to its endogenization.
ation, and implementation of such projects. It is
likely that both a low 'demand' for R & D and an 3.3.1.1. A critical mass of SDTA projects. However,
even lower 'supply' of R & D by independent con- a self-sustained interlinked process of SDTA diffu-
tract R & D organizations characterizes the situation sion, endogenization, and market-building may re-
(in some cases there may be a supply of R & D by quire achieving some minimum level of the SDTA to
public laboratories, but we may assume that this is assure effective learning and capability building.
not yet coupled to local market needs). There will This may be conceived in terms of the requirements
also be a low level of supply of R&D/innovation for network creation (Teubal et al., 1991) or as a
support services by independent advisors, financial means of overcoming dynamic learning disec-
institutions (like venture capitalists), consultancies, onomies of small scale.
and technical-support laboratories. The greater the number of R & D performers at the
In this situation, most of the services needed are early stage of industrial R & D , the greater is the
provided in-house by enterprises that undertake R& amount of learning that takes place within the sys-
D, although some may be provided independently in tem. At this stage the phenomenon of 'network
the form of isolated bilateral transactions that, be- externalities' (which has been noted in connection
cause of their small number and heterogeneity, can- with the use of certain new technologies (such as
not be considered to be taking place within 'a mar- telecommunications and computers), - or the similar
ket.' We should emphasize that the absence of a phenomenon of 'collective learning' in user-pro-
market for such services means both a low level of ducer networks) is applicable to the set of R & D
(independent) supply and a relatively low level of performers in the economy. Almost everyone learns
demand. from everyone else, even when R & D projects are
An absence of R & D may coexist with a strong different. In certain conditions it may become un-
need for this activity and, indirectly, for R & D sup- profitable for a small number of R & D performers to
port services. There may be no demand because most operate in isolation, even when the social and private
'users' have not yet translated their strategic objec- profitability of jointly operating within a network is
tives into R & D terms; alternatively, firms have not positive. The system may remain stuck at a 'low-level
or do not have the capability for articulating their equilibrium trap' with little or no R & D being under-
'need for R & D . ' Such a situation may characterize taken.
NICs undergoing import liberalization, whose enter- In these conditions the role of policy is to support
prises are not aware yet of the need to make an the activity in such a way that the bottleneck is
in-house technological effort alongside the purchase cleared. This may mean assuring the minimum set of
of the most modern capital equipment. It may also 'users' required for creating a collective learning
characterize situations of scant diffusion of R&
D/innovation-relevant management and organiza-
tional routines. Moreover, firms may not yet have
sufficient experience in managing innovation, so their
36Lundvall's notion of an 'organized market,' with i m b e d d e d
effectiveness in this activity (and thereby their 'de- user-producer relationships, s e e m s to be a relevant concept for
mand') will be low. describing the nature of markets for R&D-support services (see
Learning generates an increase in the demand and Lundvall, 1985).
1176 M. Teubal/Research Policy 25 (1997) 1161-1188

network. 37 This in turn requires strong and flexible flowing from 'basic TI.' 39 It is well known that, for
incentives at the experimental stage of the policy as a variety of reasons (lack of awareness, pressure on
a condition for initiating a virtuous learning management time, cost), these routines frequently do
market-building cycle. 3s not exist within broad segments of such firms in
mid- and low-tech industry. A successful catalytic
3.3.2. Building markets for technological services for policy towards this type of technological activity
SMEs may require the following:
• Changes in institutions and in intermediate or
3.3.2.1. General nature and context of the HTP. bridging organizations;
SMEs are undergoing profound processes of restruc- • Investment in new service-provision capabilities
turing in response to changes in the environment within these organizations; and
(globalization, the new techno-economic paradigm, Adoption of a technological service market-build-
liberalization, etc.). These involve reorientation to ing policy.
new markets, incorporation of new management rou- The HTP will possess general components (all
tines, a modified product mix, testing and quality- technological services) and specific components for
control systems, etc. An important component under- each individual service or service type. Both compo-
lying such restructuring is the incorporation of new nents will possess infant and mature stages and may
technologies, such as new and more precise measure- serve firms belonging to several industries; the as-
ment and testing procedures and services, which sumption is that the collective learning process linked
assure a high-quality product for stringent export to the generation of new technological service rou-
markets. tines within SMEs encompasses firms from all sec-
Continued adoption by and diffusion of new tech- tors of the middle- and low-tech segments of indus-
nological services to SMEs may require that these try. 40 The mature stage for a particular service will
firms establish routines for accessing technology arrive once a full market develops for that particular
centers, for employing outside consultants, and, more service, with private consultants becoming the sup-
generally, for utilizing novel technological services ply agents. The technology centers will be active as
supply- and market-building (including demand)
agents during the early catalytic phase of transfer
from abroad and introduction of the new service into
the economy or region.
37 The government agency may have to play an entrepreneurial
role in creating this network during the infant phase of the R&D
At this 'mature' stage of the generic policy, ser-
diffusion process (see Section 4.2). vice-acquisition routines within enterprises are suffi-
3s In at least one Latin American country, such massive public ciently disseminated that the introduction of a new
support for R&D and technological development was not possible service is quickly endogenized - the infant phase of
initially, due to a general aversion to extending subsidies directly the service-specific policy is shorter and the required
to business finns - the result of a history of heavy government
intervention in the economy. A better understanding of the evolu-
catalytic incentives (and complementary policies) are
tionary nature of the policy proposed here would a great part of
problem, since 'massive' initial support is only a means for finns
to eventually perform SDTAs without government support. Thus,
the direct provision by government of financial and even techno-
economic services associated with R&D may, in certain circum- 39 Following Justman and Teubal (1995) "basic (opposed to
stances, be the best way to trigger the eventual provision of these 'advanced') TI" involves service-provision capabilities whose
services by the private sector (i.e. contribute to market-building). availability in the economy depends on the transfer and adoption
The eventual spin-off of personnel employed in government agen- of technology available. Advanced TI usually involves the cre-
cies may also help 'privatize' the provision of these services. An ation of consortia to execute a commonly agreed generic research
example is Ed Mlavsky, who engineered the Binational Industrial program. It has been pointed out that technology centers may be a
R&D (BIRD) Fund in Israel, which supports joint projects by major player in the transfer and diffusion of technology to SMEs
Israeli and US finns. After successfully managing the fund for (see Braunling, 1993; Goldman, 1994; and other works).
several years he joined a private venture-capital fund operating in 40 There might, however, be policy components for specific
the country. industries that involve different sectorial technological centers.
M. Teubal / Research Policy 25 (1997) 1161-1188 1177

weaker. Eventually HTP will lead to the continued experimental implementation of the service-provi-
adoption and diffusion of new technological services. sion or technology-transfer activities. These add
'technoeconomic' capabilities to the intangible
3.3.2.2. Initial SME conditions and level of demand. fund of the organization and assure a more auto-
The situation facing SMEs vis-h-vis new technology matic and demand-driven diffusion of technology
can be visualized as involving facts such as the at a later stage.
following:
• Needs are widespread, but there is scant articula- 3.3.2.4. Specific aspects of the HTP. The nature of
tion of these needs in terms of the new technol- the support is not supply-push but rather a combina-
ogy (this adds to the absence of the technological tion of supply-push with demand-pull. In fact, the
capabilities themselves); catalytic support focuses no less on articulating the
• Demand articulation ('need determination through needs of an initial class of users than on creating
interactive learning') is a collective learning pro- technological capabilities per se. There is an assump-
cess of users (the SMEs); tion of success in the collective process (undertaken
• Due to economies of scale, the supply of such by industry associations and government agent, for
technology requires a collective effort of invest- example) of identifying SME-relevant capabilities
ment in new capabilities; (this may not be so difficult, because of foreign
• Effective capabilities are not only 'technological' success in utilization of such technologies). The
but also 'technoeconomic,' that is, capabilities to outcome of (3) above will be the triggering of an
apply various configurations of the technology to automatic, demand-driven diffusion of the recently
different types of SMEs. Technoeconomic capa- absorbed technologies among the wider universe of
bilities are learned by doing, that is, by effec- SMEs. Government support, in line with the catalytic
tively providing the technological service or approach, may thereafter decline through time.
transferring the technology to users and by link- There are internal organizational aspects of the
ing particular configurations of services with spe- intermediate organizations and of their interactions
cific bundles of user characteristics. with outside experts or consultants. For example,
generalists at innovation centers will refer firms to
3.3.2.3. Roles of government. Government has the specific-area consultants who will in turn perform
following roles to play: the focused search activity that leads to a successful
1. Creating the institutional framework for the col- incorporation of the technology. 41 There are signifi-
lective supply of such capabilities and technolo- cant experience-codification roles to be played by
gies; for example, antitrust legislation, or a frame- the intermediary organization; for example, to enable
work similar to Romer's legislation for imposing a better matching of experts and type of services, on
a levy on firms of a sector to finance training and the one hand, and of types of firms/products/prob-
generic research (see Romer, 1993). In our case, lems, on the other. A critical element in the success
such a framework would set the legal basis for the of the policy (i.e. of diffusion) is the generation of
collective absorption of new service-providing techno-economic (coupling) capabilities, and this re-
technological capabilities; quires systematic codification of such experience.
2. Stimulating the emergence of formal intermediate Summary. Successful HTP associated with the
organizations like innovation centers (involved in provision of novel technological services to SMEs
soft activities such as diagnosis and referral to may involve two clearly defined stages - an initial,
experts) and technological centers (with both soft multipronged, catalytic support stage and a mature
and hard functions); stage with relatively well-functioning markets for
3. Catalytic support of initial capability generation
through incentives to finance transfer of the tech-
nology to, and its absorption by, the intermediate 4~ I would like to thank R. Galli for pointing out this, and also
organization and underwriting 'initial diffusion.' for the distinction between innovation centers and technological
In our context, initial diffusion means initial, centers.
1178 M. Teubal/Research Policy 25 (1997) 1161-1188

these services. Catalytic support may have to involve contracts,' when not all contingencies can be antici-
both creating an appropriate institutional framework pated (such as the future behavior of partners), and
for establishing an intermediate or bridging organiza- even more to situations where consortium benefits
tion and stimulating investment in initial technologi- require specific, complementary investments (Teece,
cal capabilities and in experience-based learning 1988). The formation of consortia is thus open to
about SME need articulation. Success at this stage opportunistic behavior, such as the refusal by a
will lead to market-building associated with these partner that has already benefited from technology
services and the possibility of significantly reduced transfer to fully share with others the technology it
government involvement in the future. has developed. The effectiveness of this institutional
Implication. A successful HTP associated with framework does not depend exclusively on the for-
novel technological services will contribute to a suc- mal features of the law (contrary to 'classical con-
cessful HTP in support of basic TI (the SDTA) from tract law': see Williamson, 1985), but also on the
which novel technological services flow. Industry existence of mechanisms that ensure flexibility in
associations and other collective organizations will implementation and on the emergence of a settle-
increasingly develop routines for investing in such ment machinery. The framework could be said to
SDTA and in the associated experience-based learn- function when potential partners feel confident in
ing. such a machinery, whose objective includes the pre-
dominance of arbitration over litigation in order to
3.3.3. Institutional adaptation and transactions costs assure continuity in implementation rather than the
It is important to note that market-building dissolution of an agreement.
(whether in connection with R & D or R&D-support The above mechanism takes time to develop. In
services, or in connection with other SDTA and the meantime, the enormous uncertainties associated
related services) is also affected by institutional with the first consortium imposes enormous transac-
change and by the institutional mechanisms that lead tions costs on participants. These decline as the
to reductions in transaction costs. The enhanced various elements of the institutional framework are
stimulus for unaided implementation of such SDTAs established in response to the increasing number of
(or related activities) that is triggered by a more consortia (actual and expected) established.
adapted institutional structure may also promote
market-building. One mechanism involves a reduc-
tion in the (high initial) transaction costs that help 4. The technology policy cycle
block the spontaneous emergence of some types of
SDTA. 4: 4.1. An overview
With regard to technological infrastructure, neo-
classical contract law would seem to be the most The evolutionary approach to HTP adopted here
suited of the various 'systems of governance' sug- parallels that used in the economics of innovation
gested by Williamson (1985) for dealing with the and in business schools to describe the evolution of a
initial formation and operation of consortia with new product, from inception, through consolidation
regard to generic, cooperative R & D . This institu- of a standardized basic design, to maturity. The term
tional framework is adapted both to 'incomplete technology policy cycle is meant to convey a sense
of evolution in the policy itself, similar to that
conveyed by the product or innovation cycle vis-h-vis
the product or innovation.
42 Both appropriability and transaction-cost considerations may
limit the scope of 'a market for R&D.' At best it will be restricted The basic statement concerns the existence of
to ~wecificsegments of technologicaldevelopment. The condition stages or phases in policy implementation. 43 Thus it
of low transaction costs in connection with R&D contracts (a
condition for the appearance of 'a market') has been linked by
Teece to the relative non-requirement of specific complementary 43 It also involves a significant overlap between a policy de-
assets for purchasers 0demand agents') to implement purchased sign/formulation stage and the initial phase of policy implementa-
R&D results (see Teece, 1988). tion.
M. Teubal/Research Policy 25 (1997) 1161-1188 1179

Table 1
Advanced TIP cycle: characteristics of the infant phase
Stage Objective Constraints Policy approach
Infant stage Promote routines of cooperation and facilitate Pervasive market failures Massive, flexible,
creation of consortia for TI generation and consistent support
Promote a learning process in generating TI Absence of a tradition of cooperation Important component of
( ~ achieving critical mass of projects) neutrality in incentives
Nail down the specifics of TIP High transaction costs Active support of project
generation (proactive
policies)
Develop TIP capabilities (Partially) inadequate institutional framework Adoption of a learning
(e.g. antitrust laws) approach to policy
Ignorance of the required policy approach and lnsitutional adaptation
absence of required policy capabilities
( ~ ) Lack of (good) projects Intensive staff work and
training of policy analysts

is critical to understand the existence of an early there must be a critical mass of projects (see Section
phase which is infant or experimental, with objec- 3.3.1 above). It also shows that it pays to understand
tives, targets, procedures, and so on that may differ the process of 'advanced TI project generation,'
radically from a later, mature phase of the policy. since it accelerates the drive to maturity and dimin-
Analogous to the early phase of the product cycle ishes the scope of government support required in
(which is characterized by intense interaction be- the future.
tween users and producers, target uncertainty, and More specifically, the above understanding may
significant product changes) the early phase is essen- contribute to: a reformulation of targets in the infant
tially an experimental phase with a clear predomi- phase of an HTP, with the reinforcement of project
nance of various kinds of search activities, devoted generation in mind; a reduction of bureaucratic pro-
to both enhanced understanding and generation of cedures; amplification of the menu of promotion
good SDTA projects. This search includes intensive choices (e.g. making the set of accepted consortium
interaction between policy-makers and the firms that configurations more flexible); and further stimulation
are being promoted. This interaction and learning of project generation through a systematic effort to
lead to a reduction in the 'target uncertainty' facing create functional committees. In the mature stage,
policy-makers, that is, to a clarification of the effec- the main challenge is restructuring policy to reduce
tive targets of policy. This is also accompanied by government support. 44 The result will be a less
clarification of the effective means for achieving universal (and probably somewhat less neutral) pat-
these targets. tem of project support. The projects supported in this
With regard to Israel's HTP for advanced TI, the stage will tend to be complex and highly uncertain -
responsible government committee (the Magnet probably involving cutting-edge technologies, entail-
Committee) discovered that generating cooperative, ing international cooperation in generic research,
precompetitive R & D projects and associated consor- requiring ministerial coordination, and so on. I be-
tia was extremely difficult; firms were unlikely to lieve that governments should start generating this
succeed in the required activities without proactive
government support. As a result, when HTP support
for advanced TI began in 1992, it immediately com-
44 We mentioned that in relation to TI we could predict that
missioned background studies and even partially un-
many sectorial activities (basic technological infrastructure) would
derwrote real transaction costs associated with the be undertaken in the future directly by industry associations, with
formation of consortia. This experience also shows much less goverment support than that required in the infant phase
that for learning to result in lower transaction costs of the policy.
1180 M. Teubal/Research Policy 25 (1997) 1161-1188

policy-restructuring capability already in the infant lective learning over a non-networked one directly
stage of policy implementation. influence both the rate of diffusion of the SDTA
(and associated routines) and market-building.
4.2. The infant stage: a 'learning" policy approach
4.2.2. Policy formulation
A summary of the nature and functions of the We still must deal with policy formulation as a
infant phase of advanced TIP can be found in Table phase distinct from policy implementation. A linear
1. It parallels a similar structure for the infant stage view of reality would tend to state that policy formu-
of support of enterprise R & D presented in Teubal lation is a necessary stage prior to policy implemen-
(1996). Most of the items have been discussed and tation, one that culminates in implementation. This is
analyzed above. I will now proceed to discuss an not true. Although aspects of policy formulation
aspect of the learning approach to be followed by the precede implementation (we may call this policy
government agency in this phase-creation of an N4 design), the formulation stage of policy necessarily
network (the policy experience network). Then I will overlaps with the infant//experimental stage of pol-
briefly discuss policy formulation. 45 icy implementation. Policy formulation is a gradual
process requiring actual experience in implementa-
4.2.1. The policy experience network tion (learning by doing), As with innovation, its
The main objective of the N4 network is to optimum characteristics cannot be planned initially
transform the aggregation of individual learning about but must be learned, in part, through interaction with
the SDTA being promoted (and about the effective- the real world. It is not clear when policy formula-
ness of the policy tools used) into a body of collec- tion 'ends,' given that it is aimed at a moving target
tive learning serving both the actual and potential (policy itself is continuously changing the nature of
enterprises and organizations involved in such activi- the economic units aimed at, and this in turn entails
ties. This will take place through active switching of further changes in policy). However, we may say
information and experience and the referral functions that the successful consolidation of the first round of
performed by the government agency responsible for policy formulation is largely completed by the end of
the policy, and by more generalized diffusion and a successful infant implementation phase. 46
codification of individual experiences. In addition,
an objective of N4 is to help determine the 'final' 4.2.3. Indicators of infant phase performance
configuration of the instruments and tools of promo- The performance indicators I propose below
tion. should also be related to the time elapsed since the
While the network configuration of interactions start of implementation. These indicators include the
has obvious advantages, it is not obvious that it will following:
appear spontaneously. Hence the task of the govern- • The scope of SDTA activity in general and, more
ment agency is to contribute to network creation and specifically, of project generation (in particular
development and to act as its central node (the whether the critical mass of projects for effective
Private Branch Exchange (PBX)) or network en- learning has already been assembled);
trepreneur function - see Teubal et al., 1991). The • The degree of success in creating an N4 network,
learning advantages of a networked process of col- and, associated with this (a separate although
related indicator), the extent to which a good set
of policy instruments has been consolidated;
45 Following Teubal et al. (1991) and Galli and Teubal (1995),
we represent the various kinds of networks with the letter N
followed by a digit. Thus N I and N2 are the component-assem-
bler and user-producer networks, respectively; N3 is the technol- 46 This is because of the intense learning, interaction, and search
ogy-services network (technology center-SMEs); and N4 is the processes that take place during this stage. There is an analogy
'incentives' recipients-goverment agency network associated with with the overlap of policy formulation with implementation con-
HTP. We call the last a policy experience rather than a policy cerns 'phase overlapping' in the innovation processes of firms.
network. See Imai et al. (1988).
M. Teubal / Research Policy 25 (1997) 1161-1188 1181

The relative extent of diffusion of SDTA (and of the phase, however, since the previously adequate
associated routines) in the universe of potential set of instruments loses efficiency due to endogenous
policy beneficiaries. Thus a HTP that involves changes in firms or projects that the policy itself has
few resources but achieves relatively limited dif- generated.
fusion should be considered a failure. This is
because, by definition, our HTP has been imple- 4.3.1. Efficient selection and steady growth
mented to redress a strategic deficiency in the A successful infant phase of an SDTA-support
SDTA supported; HTP allows a market-based ('natural') process of
• The extent of development of policy capabilities. selection of firms or SDTA projects to take place - a
process that indicates areas of potential competitive
4.3. The growth stage advantage. This could be the basis for steady growth
starting at tl and for endogenization at t2. The
Previous work has considered a two-phase HTP requirements for HTP success can be understood in
cycle with infant and mature phases (Teubal, 1996). terms of generating enough variety during the infant
The usefulness of an intermediate 'SDTA-growth phase and enabling an efficient process of market
phase' derives from a distinction between steady selection during this and the subsequent phase. The
SDTA growth, given the appropriate set of instru- outcome should be steady growth and significant
ments at roughly infant-phase levels of support, and endogenization of SDTA.
full SDTA endogenization (i.e. steady growth with Note that the selection process in itself need not
drastically reduced incentives for routine projects). I call for selective policies to support these areas,
propose that the growth phase starts (i.e. the infant because they would also be recognized by (and
phase ends) with the take-off of SDTAs at infant- involve incentives to) market agents. However, ma-
stage support levels ( t l ) and ends when continued terialization of the above advantages may be subject
growth of SDTAs is fully endogenous, that is, when to static and dynamic scale economies, both at the
a significant routine group of projects emerges that firm and the sector or technology level. Thus a
would be undertaken even without (or with drasti- greater measure of selectivity and coordination in
cally reduced) government support (t2). HTP may have to be applied later (during the growth
The definition of tl assumes that project genera- and mature stages). 47
tion has become endogenous, which means that
learning (and learning to search) has gone far enough, 4.4. The mature phase
as has the introduction of search routines within
firms. Moreover, the search process itself has been Full SDTA endogenization (routine projects) and
facilitated by new SDTA project opportunities spun new possibilities for more complex SDTA projects
off from the mass of projects already executed. At or for new SDTA areas, such as a shift from firm-
the beginning of the growth stage there is still a based R & D to cooperative technological infrastruc-
widespread need for incentives, due, for example, to ture, call for substantial restructuring of policy. This
externalities in innovation management or even to can be visualized as a second round of policy formu-
project search/generation. The definition of t2 im- lation, one that should involve both fixing new
plies that significant collective learning (and associ- strategic objectives and undertaking explicit
ated externalities) has been exhausted, at least for market-failure analysis.
routine projects. (Note that tl < t2, since endoge- This analysis would have to assess which types of
nization of SDTA with incentives should precede projects could be undertaken without support (thereby
self-sustained growth without incentives.)
A good fit between tools and needs should have
been achieved by tl; in the extreme case where
47 Given the importance and interactive nature of policy and,
successful learning depends on a very precise policy eventually, of selectivity, it may be more precise to characterize
configuration, tl might not have been reached other- the selection mechanisms taking place as mixed, i.e. involving
wise. A new disequilibrium emerges towards the end both market and non-market mechanisms.
1182 M. Teubal/Research Policy 25 (1997) 1161-1188

SDTA

/ " ~ G )

• t
Infant Growth h Mature
Phase tl Phase Phase

* The figure focuses on "routine" projects, i.e. it excludes situations involving emergence of new
important categories of complex projects and new types of SDTA. For other configurations see
Teubal (1995).
Fig. 2. Growth of a SDTA and of government support (G): a simple and ideal case. The figure focuses on 'routine' projects, i.e. it excludes
situations involving emergence of new important categories of complex projects and new types of SDTA. For other configurations see
Teubai (1996).

contradicting the necessary additionality criterion) 48 within government (including an absence of the re-
and which categories w o u l d continue to require sup- quired awareness of the need to change) or because
port and e v e n n e w configurations o f policy i n v o l v i n g of political factors. There exists less-than-ideal ma-
stronger support. A learning process within g o v e r n - ture stages in HTP, for example, when the govern-
ment, which by t2 has h o m e d o n t o a relevant pro- ment a g e n c y seeks to add n e w p r o g r a m s without
j e c t / f i r m typology, c o u l d significantly assist in the reductions in existing ones. 49
market-failure assessment. T o s u m m a r i z e , an adequate pattern o f restructur-
Unfortunately, policy restructuring has not always ing requires the following:
taken place, either because o f a lack o f capabilities • O b j e c t i v e e v a l u a t i o n routines within g o v e r n m e n t
(to identify the shifting loci of m a r k e t and other
failure);
Numerous sets of circumstances could lead to non-additional- • P o l i c y capabilities within g o v e r n m e n t (to partici-
ity in SDTA promotion; for example, when projects are critical to pate in or e f f e c t i v e l y c o m m i s s i o n the a b o v e - m e n -
a firm's gaining access to funds, or in association with 'routine'
projects where learning has largely been exhausted, or for large
chunks of the innovative activities of larger firms, especially those
with access to international capital markets. The last is the case 49 Israeli promotion of firrn-base~l R&D is an example of incom-
today for one or two dozen Israeli hi-toch firms that were still plete restructuring in two senses: (1) partial and presumably
small in the 1970s, when their innovative activity was extensively insufficient reduction of support for routine projects; (2) delayed
characterized by 'market failure.' For an empirical study of policy introduction (and insufficient scope) of TIP. This contrasts with its
additionality in the context of German support of the R&D clear success in the early, infant phase of the R&D policy (see
personnel of SMEs, see Meyer-Krahmer (1987). Teubal, 1993).
M. Teubal/ Research Policy 25 (1997) 1161-1188 1183

Table 2 cases, and countries that energetically initiated R & D


Share of business enterprise R&D financed by government a (%) promotion during that decade (such as Spain), a
1981 1985 1989 continuous reduction in this share is evident. The
Australia 8.4 6.9 3.0 industrial histories of Japan, Korea, Taiwan, and
Austria 7.4 7.9 8.0 Israel also support this trend (see, for example, Nel-
Belgium 8.3 8.4 6.0 son, 1993, Chapters 11, 12, and to some extent, 13),
Canada 10.7 12.0 10.2
Denmark 12.4 9.9 11.7 which is consistent with the ideal/simple case shown
Finland 4.2 3.2 3.1 in Fig. 2. The conceptual framework of this paper is,
France 24.6 23.4 19.3 however, also consistent with other time profiles, for
Germany 16.9 15.3 11.0 example, with rising absolute levels of government
Greece 4.6 14.7 9.5 support (Teubal, 1996). Here I will not essay a full
Iceland 38.3 15.8 10.9
Ireland 13.7 12.4 6.9 empirical test. The main point is that, in the ideal
Italy 8.8 16.9 16.3 policy configuration described in this paper, a major
Japan 1.9 1.6 1.2 force explaining the profile o f government incentives
Netherlands 7.5 12.6 10.6 over time is the gradual routinization of SDTA,
New Zealand 16.4 n/a 6.7 brought about by collective learning, institutional
Norway 25.3 18.8 19.6
Portugal 1.6 2.9 2.5 change, and market-building. 50
Spain 4.1 7.7 11.8
Sweden 13.6 11.6 11.5
Switzerland 1.3 1.8 0.8 5. Summary, conclusions and outstanding issues
Turkey n/a n/a n/a
United Kingdom 30.0 23.0 17.2
United States 31.6 32.3 30.9 5.1. Summary

a See OECD (1993). Horizontal technology policies (HTPs) are aimed


Source: OECD, STIID database, July 1992. at supporting various classes of socially desirable
technological activities (SDTAs), such as firm-based
R & D and innovation, technological infrastructure
(both 'basic' and 'advanced'), the transfer and adop-
tioned strategic prioritization and market-failure tion of new technologies, and so on. They are not
analyses and to implement the restructuring); specific to a particular sector or technological area
• The political power to shut down programs. (such policies would be 'vertical technological poli-
Fig. 2 presents a quantitative summary of the cies'); instead, they promote SDTAs across sectors
pattern of the HTP for a particular SDTA and of the and technologies. They also differ significantly from
corresponding pattern of support for an ideal and the traditional 'targeting' type of industrial policy.
simple case that focuses on routine projects. Between This paper has focused on HTPs that provide incen-
tl and t2 there can be continued growth in the tives to SDTA projects rather than to aggregate
activity even though the average rate of incentives enterprise R & D (as with tax incentive schemes) or
declines. The schedules are consistent with the 'state to R & D personnel (Meyer-Krahmer et al., 1983;
of market failure' descriptions of Fig. l(a) and (b). Meyer-Krahmer, 1987).
Beyond t2, continued growth is possible, albeit at a The justification of HTPs is based on a collective
reduced rate, with even more drastic reductions in
(or elimination of) incentives. The time may be ripe
for initiating an HTP for a more complex SDTA (not
shown in figure), although this depends on the eco-
nomic situation facing the country. Table 2 presents 5°A true empirical test would consider a set of independent
variables including features of HTPs and SDTAs, for example, the
data on the share of government-financed business- extent to which they involve mature phase restructuring. Note that
sector R & D in OECD countries in the 1980s. With the dependent variables should also include the rate of growth of
the exception of the Netherlands, some ambiguous SDTA (over and beyond G or G/SDTA).
1184 M. Teubal / Research Policy 25 (1997) 1161-1188

learning process that cuts across conventionally de- projects - either complex projects within the given
fined sectors and technologies and involves not only SDTA area or projects in a new SDTA area. 54
technology and marketing externalities but also ex- A number of countries have followed this policy.
ternalities derived from experience with project gen- In Israel, in connection with firm-based R&D, the
eration, management, and organization. The collec- mature phase has taken the form of a somewhat less
tive learning process is not automatic, though; it universal approach to subsidizing R&D (with a
should be promoted explicitly by government policy. moderate bias towards incentives favoring small firms
Beyond financial incentives, this requires adoption of and start-ups while retaining formal neutrality) and
an explicit learning approach of the infant phase of levying royalties on revenues from government-sup-
policy. 5~ The objective of these policies is to widely ported projects (Teubal, 1993). Other countries and
diffuse SDTA in the economy or within a particular the E C / E U have explicitly or implicitly effected a
segment or region thereof, to trigger what may even- shift in emphasis towards other SDTAs; for example,
tually become a self-sustained learning (and, when- from firm-based R&D support to the support of
ever possible, market-building) process; and to even- cooperative, generic R&D and TI, or from empha-
tually endogenize the implementation of significant sizing investment in targeted industries to functional
portions of the particular type of SDTA being pro- support of R&D. 55 Presumable the reduction in
moted. Thus the eventual introduction and diffusion targeting policies by several successful Asian coun-
of appropriate management and organizational rou- tries has been accompanied by increased emphasis
tines within enterprises and other organizations is an on technological policies, including HTP (Patrick,
important target of HTP. 52 These and other charac- 1986).
teristics of HTP, for example, the important (though
not exclusive) role played by neutral incentives, 5.2. Are the policy implications new?
permits their inclusion within the market-friendly
category of industrial and technological policies. 53 Given that even neoclassical economists would
Successful HTPs require imaginative, consistent, find the conclusions of this paper quite congenial,
and massive initial government support for projects what real contribution is made by the evolutionary
in the specified SDTA area. They must stimulate the conceptual framework for HTP adopted in this pa-
SDTA and also, as mentioned above, pave the way per? This is a legitimate question and deserves a
for the later implementation of an increasing portion considered answer. 56
of these activities ('routine projects') by unaided
market forces, thereby permitting a reduction in gov-
ernment support (at least for that particular SDTA
segmen0. Policy restructuring in the mature stage 54 The learning and policy restructuring processes associated
should also involve the promotion of new types of with our type of HTP do not extend automatically to incentive
mechanisms that are not project-based. An advantage of a
project-based mechanism is that the policy unit of reference (a
"project') can be made to roughly correspond with that used by
enterprises and other organizations involved in SDTA. Thus,
learning about project identification and management can be more
51 The non-automatic nature of learning could also imply that effective and more collective when incentives are based on such a
infant industry policies providing strong incentives and support to unit. On the other hand, the implementation of such policies
the acquisition of technological capabilities (e.g. in Korea: see requires much stronger capabilities and learning within govern-
Westphal et al., 1985) are more effective that those that provide ment than does implementing a conventional taxed-based support
general support to an industry or its output. program, for example. This view is consistent with (and further
52 HTPs should therefore be considered to be diffusion policies, develops) that found in OECD (1993, p. 108) (based on Meyer-
although of a special kind. Rather than promoting diffusion of a Krahmer, 1987), which lists the advantages and disadvantages of
technology or technique, they promote diffusion of SDTA rou- various mechanisms for supporting R&D and innovation.
tines. 5s See Dodgeson and Rothwell (1992) for trends in Europe (until
53 HTPs are more market-friendly than traditional infant-in- the second half of the 1980s) and Patrick (1986) for trends in
dustry targetting, since the latter policy is inherently selective (see Japan.
Pack and Westphal, 1986). 56 1 would like to thank a referee for raising this question.
M. Teubal/ ResearchPolicy25 (1997)1161-1188 1185

To begin with, note that I have not abandoned plete basis for what could be termed an integrated
'market-failure analysis,' although it is set in a wider 'evolutionary technology policy.' Moreover, a tech-
context that is dynamic and includes other critical nology policy framework is becoming more and
elements, such as institutional change and market- more important, because of the increasingly systemic
building. The outcome is a framework that is quite nature of national innovation systems and the corre-
different from the usual neoclassical framework; its sponding increased dependence of the impacts of any
conclusions, though in principle acceptable to neo- one policy on the nature and scope of other
classical economists, are also very different from the policies. 57
usual neoclassical prescriptions or those that directly An evolutionary technology policy framework
follow from standard 'market-failure analysis.' For should have a coordinated view of the set of policies
example, the targets of the infant policy stage are to be designed and implemented, their evolution and
formulated in terms of learning and acquisition of concatenation and relative weights over time, their
new routines rather than productivity growth, while horizontality or verticality and relative importance,
policy instruments go considerably beyond the sim- policy approaches (e.g. catalytic or not, neutral or
ple provision of monetary incentives. In addition, the selective), policy capabilities, and institutional un-
analysis provides the foundation for market-friendly derpinnings (Smith and Teubal, 1994). The notion of
technological policies that are a third alternative, a technology policy framework probably cannot ex-
lying between the obsolete interventionist mode of ist in the neoclassical tradition. It should, in my
the past and the complete laissez-faire approach that opinion, become an essential part of the evolutionary
many countries tend to adopt, often in the wake of economics tradition, since it bears on a central insti-
severe macroeconomic problems. I believe this paper tutional and organizational aspect of national sys-
may help legitimize such policies by conceptualizing tems of innovation.
both the need and the means for effective, 'lean,'
and market-friendly government intervention in the 5.4. Three evolutionary aspects of the HTP frame-
technology area. work

5.3. A policy framework as part of evolutionary 1. The policy framework proposed is based on the
technology policy existence of differences between firms (and firm
/SDTA project combinations). Moreover, policy
Although it possesses 'evolutionary components,' implementation generates such differences. More
the overall framework is not simply an application of specifically:
evolutionary theory; rather, it takes explicit account • The effective constraint on successful imple-
of the context in which the policies are being applied mentation in the infant phase of the policy is
and of the requirements for success, including some the existence or availability of good SDTA
conditions within government. It explicitly attempts projects; the target is achievement of a critical
to specify the actions that should be undertaken mass of such projects. This implies an inherent
throughout implementation, as well as capability-de- difference among the enterprises or organiza-
velopment issues. tions potentially benefiting from the policy -
I believe that the above points to the importance between those that have and those that have
of incorporating systemic 'policy framework' con- not generated such projects.
siderations when translating evolutionary theory into • Learning by government is in fact learning
policy terms. Nelson's statements (since 1967) that
market-failure analysis represents an incomplete ba-
sis for policy can be extended and applied in connec-
tion with evolutionary theory as well. More specifi- 57Although Metcalfe's analysis provides the general principles
of evolutionary technology policy (Metcalfe, 1993), this paper
cally, while it is important to emphasize the implica- suggests that additional elements are required to generate a com-
tions of variety, learning, institutions, and alternative prehensiveframework for such policy (one that might support
selection mechanisms for policy, this is an incom- actual policydesign in a numberof contexts).
1186 M. Teubal/Research Policy 25 (1997) 1161-1188

how to cope with p r o j e c t / u s e r differences by is characterized by high R & D expenditures but


setting up a reasonable menu of alternative few exports of high-tech products. 59 Neutrality
tools. 58 was supposed to enable a 'natural selection'
• The selection process in the early phases, mechanism of both products and e n t r e p r e n e u r s /
driven by a relatively neutral policy, results in firms, with regard to innovation and R & D . Con-
the emergence of f i r m / S D T A project combi- sistent, massive, and neutral government support
nations with a 'competitive advantage.' It is could favor the positive selection effects of the
thus itself a mechanism for the endogenous market mechanism.
creation of differences among firms. The issue that arises is whether neutrality is
2. The framework is evolutionary, even though 1 enough to support new technology or new types of
have not dispensed with 'market-failure analysis.' innovation. The answer is probably no, 60 given
This is because: that incumbent activities need not suffer from
• The discrepancy between the private and so- dynamic and static diseconomies of small-scale or
cial profitability of S D T A arises within a non- of non-materialized learning. Thus formal neutral-
equilibrium, non-optimizing framework, and ity may not be enough, but it still is an essential
its nature changes in response to collective part of the whole picture. This is despite the fact
learning. that some measure of prioritization of preferential
• It is explicitly recognized that a well-function- support may frequently be required to stimulate
ing market mechanism requires both an appro- socially desirable emerging technologies, new
priate institutional framework and, frequently, s e c t o r s , r e g i o n s , and new t e c h n o l o g i c a l
a successful process of market-building (that activities. 61
is, a particular kind of institutional develop-
ment).
• The need for policy that is much more than a References
financial instrument, and especially the in-
creased role of selective incentives through Arrow, K., 1962, Economic welfare and the allocation of re-
sources for invention, in: R. Nelson (Editor) The Rate and
time, is in itself a recognition of the impor-
tance of non-market selection. This is espe-
cially s o if one recognizes the importance of
generating the proper criteria for selection
59 Personal communication from Swedish researchers.
through a process of interactive learning that
60 I would like to thank J. Fagenberg for raising this point.
involves both program producers ('government 61 The issue is part of a wider one concerning the scope and
agency') and program users ('enterprises'). structure of both the institutional framework and the infrastructure
3. Neutrality in horizontal technology policy (infant required for the market mechanism to work (Nelson, 1987). In a
phase) is compatible with both the need to diffuse very real sense, ensuring resource allocation by the market accord-
ing to social profitability requires assuring a 'level playing field'
innovation and technology routines within the
for both incumbent and new activities. Gioen the variety in the
economy (as opposed to the diffusion of specific economy, some measure of selectivity would be required, such as
technologies) and the need to generate variety (an preferential support to projects involving emerging technologies
aspect of differences among firms). as against projects that involve existing technologies; peer review
Neutrality in the support o f R & D / i n n o v a t i o n is a of routine scientific projects as against mixed criteria involving
criteria other than excellence for scientific projects in new, emerg-
policy approach supportive of variety and of a
ing fields; a special fund for creating new institutes as against
more efficient market selection mechanism. The regular funding of existing institutes. The conclusion does not
former was apparently missing in Sweden, which eliminate the importance of HTP, since these policies are consis-
tent both with selectivity and with the implementation of other
'vertical' technology promotion programs. Moreover, a substra-
tum of neutral policies may help moderate the dynamic distortions
58 This includes a capacity to characterize the new reality cre- (associated with variety) that result from inappropriate or failed
ated in the business sector in response to the policy-induced, selectivity. They also may be the only alternative in conditions of
collective learning process. fundamental uncertainty.
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