The World in 2029 World Tourism Forum Lucerne

Rohit Talwar CEO Fast Future April 23rd 2009

rohit@fastfuture.com Tel +44 (0)20 8830 0766 Mob +44 (0)7973 405145

What do they Have in Common?

They all started in an economic downturn

Demographic Destinies Over 2 billion more people in 40 years Demographics is Driving Economics
445 339 1998 769 572 965 4034 731 665 5266

2008

2050

Source: UN Source : United Nations

Changing European Ethnicity

Life Redefined Lifespans are Increasing

Food Up or Salty?

Politics gets Complex

Economic Power Shifts

The Top 20 in 2025?

Source: www.gs.com

How will the Downturn Develop?

US Bank Exposure to Default Risk Derivates as % of Risk Capital Q408

Prepare for Alternative Scenarios

8-10% GDP Growth India 6-7% and China Suspicious Minds Dancing in the Dark Love is in the Air

Road to Nowhere 1-2% Recession 0% 1-2% 2-3% GDP Growth Europe, the USA and Japan

Sustainability Hope Fulfilled?

http://media.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/photo/2008/06/16/PH2008061601786.jpg

Dont Break What you Cant Fix

For too long, environmentally-friendly technology and issues about the environment have been seen as a corporate social responsibility issue and not an opportunity to create new wealth in the future. Governments alone cannot solve the problems we face unless the capitalist world invests in a sustainable future. Sir Richard Branson. Virgin Atlantic
http://www.easier.com/view/News/Motoring/Saab/article-110953.html http://www.bizbuzzmedia.com/Admin/ImageGallery/BizBuzzMedia/Rob%20Coppinger/Virgin-low-res.jpg http://www.bizbuzzmedia.com/Admin/ImageGallery/BizBuzzMedia/jackiet/Silverjet%20plane%20taking%20off.jpg

Dont Make What you Dont Need

From requirement analysis through contract negotiation to implementation and demobilization in months Source: Siemens Industrial Solutions & Services - Airport Logistics

Masdar Tomorrows Energy Blueprint?

Masdar in Abu Dhabi completes in 2015 as one of the first planned eco-cities the solutions developed could be rolled out globally. Could you be part of that?
Image sources: http://www.outnext.com/on/2007/05/masdar_city_gre.html

Opening Up Education

Transforming Healthcare

Rethinking Infrastructure

Technology The World in your Hand?

Telephony

Connectivity

Voice Messaging SIM card Phonebook Ring Tones Security

Cellular Up to 14 bands WLAN/BT GPS NFC FM

Data/ Enterprise

Multimedia

100Mbps Email IMS Browsing VPN PIM Ecommerce Payments

Software

Protocols Middleware Applications User Interface Minimize fragmentation

Camera 8-16M Camcorder 24M Color Display Memory (160GB) Multiformat A/V HD Video/TV out Games (50-100M Tps) DRM

Leveraging the Networks

74% - Will use Networks to Research and Find Deals

Data Source: Fast Future Survey on the Future of Travel, Marketing and Events February - March 2009

64%

31%

3%

2%

Source: Fast Future Survey on the Future of Travel, Marketing and Events February - March 2009

Robots at Breakfast?

Blended Reality?

http://www.theapplecollection.com/design/pcproto/images/segavr.jpg

The Only Way to Fly?

Society me, we or all of us?

http://bloginitiative.typepad.com/photos/uncategorized/crowd.jpg

The Middle East Against the Wind?

US$ 4.1 Trillion investment by 2025 Over 1170 new hotels offering 820,000+ rooms by 2025 Capacity for 320 million extra passengers by 2012 1130 new aircraft by 2030 170 million Tourists by 2020

Airlines in Crisis

http://www.papermag.com/blogs/air-india-new-livery4.jpg

Airports - Endangered Species?

http://www.visitingdc.com/images/jfk-airport-address.jpg

Promise Fulfilled?

http://farm3.static.flickr.com/2005/1907769952_82c4b8d1fb_o.jpg

New Business Models?

http://www.climatechangefraud.com/content/blogcategory/15/224/7/14/

Innovations are Emerging e.g. Jumbo Hostel, Sweden

http://www.jumbohostel.com/DynPage.aspx?id=64673&mn1=5293&mn2=5302

Innovation - Ginger Hotels

Innovation - Mobile Hotels - Movil

Innovation - Rig Hotels

http://www.gizmag.com/from-oilrig-to-luxury-eco-resort-11156/11156/picture/70690/

Innovation - Hotelicopter

http://www.gizmag.com/worlds-first-flying-hotel-the-hotelicopter/11348/picture/73477/

Airship Hotels?

Source: Aeroscraft

Hello Hypersonic?

$20,000 Commercial Spaceflight?

Space Hotels?

http://www.bornrich.org/images/space-hotel_18.jpg

What does the timeline of developments look like for your key markets?

Conclusions - Designing the Future

Restricting entry will become the issue Eco-political risks rising Technology will transform experiences New business models must evolve Sustainability in question