SOLUTION FOR EXERCISE QUESTION 1 A meteorologist study the number of death per years from tornadoes in the United

States. The number of death for a sample of 11 years is shown. Construct the possible confidence interval for 95% confidence interval for the population median. DEATH DUE SEVERE WEATHER 53 25 39 33 39 30 67 130 69 94 40

Step 1: Arrange the data in ordered array 25 30 33 39 39 40 53 67 69 94 130

Step 2: Determine the amount of sample n = 11 n<12 small sample size Step 3: Find the value of K
K 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Probabilities (from Table A.1) 0.0005 0.0054 0.0269 0.0806 0.1611 0.2256 0.2256 0.1611 0.0806 0.0269 0.0054 0.0005 Cumulative probabilities 0.0000 0.0002 0.0020 0.0105 0.0383 0.2639 0.2639 0.0383 0.0105 0.0020 0.0002 0.0000

Step 4: Find the confidence interval for Case 1 and Case 2

Case 1 : The wider interval and the higher confidence. Let =1 = 1, cumulative probability is 0.0059

When

Thus, 100[1-2(0.0059)] = 98.82% Case 2 : Narrow interval and lower confidence Let =2 = 2, cumulative probability is 0.0328

When

Thus, 100[1-2(0.0328)] = 93.44% Step 5 Determine the ( )th value in the ordered array as ML and ( value in the ordered array as MU for Case 1 and Case 2 Case 1 : Let ML MU Case 2 : Let = 2 ML MU Ran k Valu e 1 25 2 30 3 33 ; ML = 33 ; MU = 69 4 39 5 39 6 40 7 53 8 67 9 69 10 94 11 130 ; ML = 30 ; MU = 94 )th

Conclusion; Case 1: Hence, one can be 98.82% confidence that death due severe weather per years is between 30 and 94 person, based on sample 11 years. Case 2: Hence, one can be 93.44% confidence that death due severe weather per years is between 30 and 94 person, based on sample 11 years.

QUESTION 2 A game commissioner studies the number of hunting in counties in Western Pennsylvania. A sample of counties is selected and the numbers of hunting accident are shown. Construct the possible confidence interval for 95% confidence interval for the population median. HUNTING ACCIDENTS IN COUNTIES IN WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA 10 21 11 11 9 17 13 8 17 15

Step 1: Arrange the data in ordered array 8 9 10 11 11 13 15 17 17 21

Step 2: Determine the amount of sample n = 10 n<12 Small sample size Step 3: Find the value of K
K 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Probabilities (from Table A.1) 0.0010 0.0098 0.0439 0.1172 0.2051 0.2461 0.2051 0.1172 0.0439 0.0098 0.0010 Cumulative probabilities 0.0010 0.0108 0.0547 0.1719 0.3770 0.6231 0.3770 0.1719 0.0547 0.0108 0.0010

Step 4: Find the confidence interval for Case 1 and Case 2 Case 1 : The wider interval and the higher confidence.

Let

=1 = 1, cumulative probability is 0.011

When

Thus, 100[1-2(0.011)] = 97.84% Case 2 : Narrow interval and lower confidence Let =2 = 2, cumulative probability is 0.055

When

Thus, 100[1-2(0.0547)] = 89.06% Step 5 Determine the ( )th value in the ordered array as ML and ( value in the ordered array as MU for Case 1 and Case 2 Case 1 : Let ML MU Case 2 : Let = 2 ML MU Ran k Valu e 1 8 2 9 3 10 ; ML = 10 ; MU = 17 4 11 5 11 6 13 7 15 8 17 9 17 10 21 ; ML = 9 ; MU = 17 )th

Conclusion; Case 1: Hence, one can be 97.84%confidence that hunting accidents in counties in Western Pennsylvania is between 9 and 17. Case 2: Hence, one can be 89.06% confidence that hunting accidents in counties in Western Pennsylvania is between 10 and 17.

QUESTION 3 Abu Ayyash (E10) found that the median education of heads of household living in mobile homes in a certain area was 11.6 years. Suppose that a similar survey conducted in another area revealed the educational level of heads of household shown in table below. Find the point estimate, and construct the approximate 95% confidence interval for population median

Educational level(years of school complete) of heads of household residing in mobile homes 13 6 12 12 10 9 11 14 8 7 16 15 8 7 6

Step 1: Arrange the data in ordered array

Educational level(years of school complete) of heads of household residing in mobile homes 6 6 7 7 8 8 8 10 11 12 12 13 14 15 16

Step 2: Use large sample approximation Find K+1 Use the large-sample approximation; let us apply the normal approximation procedure of the data. For a confidence coefficient of 0.95

Ran k

1 6

2 6

3 7

4 7

5 8

6 8

7 8

8 10

9 11

10 12

11 12

12 13

13 14

14 15

15 16

Step 3: determine value for ML and MU ML = K+1 = rank 4 The fourth value in the ordered array is ML=7 Let,

MU =

The fourth value from the right is MU= 13 Step 4: Make the conclusion Hence, one can be 95% confident that the population median education level of household living in mobile homes in a certain area is between 7 and 13.

CONFIDENCE INTERVAL FOR MEDIAN BASED ON SIGN TEST Link video on youtube http://youtu.be/C4ZvkSWE25M