Punjab University College of Information Technology, University of the Punjab

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Course Outline Title Code Credit Hours Probability and Statistics MT-205 3) Theory/week: Weight Contact Hours Lectures: Duration None To provide the students with the knowledge of elementary statistical methods (univariate and bivariate) and prepare them to be able to use statistics for summarizing, reducing and perform exploratory data analysis. To make students aware of the conditions underlying the applicability of the theoretical models that they use for statistical analysis. To make the students able to discuss the validity and the limits of each model, as well as the respective compatibility with the nature and meaning of the data presented for analysis. To enable students to participate actively in the discussion and interpretation of the results obtained. To provide the students with the background knowledge on statistical methods required by other disciplines taught later in the course, as a basis for understanding. To provide the students awareness of the difference between cause-effect relationships and statistical associations between variables. Students should understand that statistical analysis enable to limit, to reduce or control the uncertainty but, on its own, cannot prove anything. This course intends to introduce the student with the knowledge of Statistics required to help them in their research work, quality assurance and project management activities

3 Cr. Hrs. 3 Hrs. 2 1.5 Hrs.

Prerequisite Follow Up Category Aims and Objectives

Learning Outcomes

Punjab University College of Information Technology, University of the Punjab Syllabus

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Text Book/s Reference Material

Instructional Aids/Resources Assessment Criteria

Topics: Introduction to Statistics, Pure Probability, Random Variables (Discrete and Continuous, Joint Random Variables), Probability Distribution (Discrete and Continuous, Binomial, Hypergeometric, Poisson, Normal, Exponential, Beta distributions.), Sampling, Sampling Distributions (for mean large and small sample, difference between means for large and small samples, proportions, t distribution, chi square distribution), Estimation point and confidence interval estimation (mean for large and small sample, difference between mean for large and small samples, proportions), Hypothesis Testing (for mean, difference between mean, proportion, independence of variables), Regression and Correlation, Stochastic Process. A. R.E. Walpole, R.H. Myers and S.L Myers, Probability and Statistics for Engineers and Scientists, Prentice Hall; 7th edition (January 2002) R.E. Walpole, Introduction to Statistics, Prentice Hall; 3rd edition (February 1982) Sher Mohammed Ch./Dr.Shahid Kamal Introduction to Statistical Theory, Vol. I, II, ILMI KITAB KHANA SPSS statistical software package Multimedia Slides for each topic Photocopy Facility for Handouts/Case Studies/Quizzes Sessional 15% Mid Final 50% Total 35% 100% Quizzes and Test 6 Required: Required: Assignment and presentations 7 Class Participations 2 Paper Paper 50 35

Recommendations Framework Week Lecture

Topic

Source (Book-Chapter No. Section No.)

Recommendations for Learning Activities (Mention Assignments, Test, Quizzes, Practical, Case Study, Projects, Lab Work or Reading Assignments)

Punjab University College of Information Technology, University of the Punjab Introduction to Statistics. Descriptive & Inferential Stat. Population & Sample. Observation & Variable Qualitative and Quantitative Variables. Introduction to Statistics. Level of measurement Discrete & Continuous variable. Parameters & Statistics. Statistical Description of data. Data Description Classification and Tabulation Frequency Distribution A-Ch 1 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.5 1.6 A-Ch 1

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Assignment 1: Statistics in Computer Science

A-Ch 1 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 A-Ch 1

Assignment 3: Related Mean and Variance

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Statistical Description of data. Graphical Distribution. Types of Curves. Average. The Arithmetic Mean. Measure of Location. Median Mode. Quantiles.

A-Ch 1 A-Ch 2 2.3

Quiz Chapter 1

Assignment 4: Related Counting Sample Points

Punjab University College of Information Technology, University of the Punjab Variance and Standard Deviation. Properties of Variance and Standard Deviation. Relative Measure Coefficient of Variation Probability Introduction. Sets. Venn Diagrams Random Experiment. Sample Space Events and Symbolic Representation. Counting Sample Points Tree Diagram Probability Probability of an Event. Definitions of Probability. Probability Laws of Probability Probability Conditional Probability. Independent Events. Dependent Events. Bayesian Theorem Exercise A-Ch 2 2.4 2.5 2.5

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A-Ch2

Assignment 5: Related Probability of an Event, Conditional Probability and Bayesian Theorem

A-Ch2 A-Ch2 A-Ch2 A-Ch2 Assignment 6: Related Random Variable Assignment 6: Related to Bayesian Theorem Quiz2: Chapter 2

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Punjab University College of Information Technology, University of the Punjab Distribution of Random Variables A-Ch3 Concepts of Random Variables. Discrete Random Variable and its Probability Distribution. Distribution of Random Variables A-Ch3 Continuous Random Variable and its Probability Distribution. A-Ch3 Joint Probability Distribution. Exercises Revision MID TERM EXAM Distribution of Random Variables A-Ch4 Mathematical Expectation of Random Variables. Distribution of Random Variables Properties of Expected Values. Discrete Probability Distribution Introduction Binomial Probability Distribution Discrete Probability Distribution Mean and Variance of Binomial Distribution. Sampling Distribution-1 t distribution f Distribution A-Ch4

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A-Ch5

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A-Ch5 A-Ch8 A-Ch8 A-Ch8

Punjab University College of Information Technology, University of the Punjab Continuous Probability Distribution Normal Distribution. Area under Normal Curve. Continuous Probability Distribution Mean and Variance of Normal Distribution. Continuous Probability Distribution Application of Normal Distribution. Properties of Normal. A-Ch6 A-Ch6

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A-Ch6

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A-Ch6

Continuous Probability Distribution 27 14 28 Normal Approximation to Binomial Distribution

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Regression Scatter Diagram. Linear Regression. Regression Least Square Estimate in Simple Regression Standard Error of Estimate. Correlation Introduction. Correlation Co-efficient. Co-efficient of Determination

A-Ch11

A-Ch11

A-Ch11

Punjab University College of Information Technology, University of the Punjab Correlation Properties of Correlation Co-efficient Rank Correlation Revision A-Ch11

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