Professional Documents
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SUBMITTED BY:
VIKASH KUMAR MBA-IB (2007-2009) Roll No. : A1802007E71
Vikash Kumar
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
I express my sincere gratitude to my industry guide Mr. Munish Sabharwal, ISC HEAD, SBI MUTUAL FUND Chandigarh, for his able guidance, continuous support and cooperation throughout my project, without which the present work would not have been possible. I would also like to thank the entire team of SBI MUTUAL FUND Chandigarh specially Ms. Prerna Kapoor, for the constant support and help in the successful completion of my project. Also, I am also thankful to my faculty guide Ms. Deepmala Soni of my institute, for her continued guidance and invaluable encouragement.
Vikash Kumar
Executive Summary
When the markets were booming the trade in the NATIONAL STOCK EXCHANGE used to be around 100000 crores on daily basis. Market trade has come down to 15000 crores a day due to this market crash and low market sentiments. The stock markets have been very volatile and many of the investors have a crunch that it will continue to happen and that is the reason they are apprehensive about the investing directly into the stock market. But still they want to avail the benefits of investing into the stock market. Many of the mutual funds are showing negative returns over the last six months. So in our study we have tried to find out that can it be possible in this Indian market with very high volatility to launch a fund which can provide returns even in this volatility. We as mutual funds are allowed to invest into Options for the purpose of hedging and are not allowed to use them to earn profits by using them in other ways. It means we can limit our risk through hedging but are not allowed to use them for earning which is done in USA. Over the last one year the Indian market has been into every kind of phases which are being volatile, bull phase and the bear phase. So on the daily closing values of NSE we have applied various market strategies of options and have calculated approximate returns and have found that a good yield can be achieved by using options. But applying option strategies is not easy for an investor himself as it requires expertise and hence we have proposed SBI MUTUAL FUNDS to launch an Equity Fund which will buy and sell options. The risk factor in such a fund would be limited as options are hedging instruments by default.
INTRODUCTION PART
Research Methodology
An effort has been made on my part to make the research in Options Mutual Fund as exhaustive as possible. The research has been done through the following steps: Research Design: The research approach is Quantitative. The research type is descriptive. It is also an Ad-hoc research at it is done at a particular point of time. Sample Design: I have used ordinal scale for the data. And I categorize my data according to very years and the data is in order of various years. So it is nominal or ordinal data. Type of Sample: I have taken the daily returns of the S&P CNX Nifty for the last 12 months and according to the market sentiments at that time I have applied various option strategies to calculate the returns. Hypothesis: Null Hypothesis: It is possible to get constant and less volatile returns by using options. Alternate Hypothesis: It is not possible to get constant and less volatile returns by using options.
Data collection: I have collected time series data for my research. I collected data from secondary resources from various sites. The information about market return has been collected from NSE website. Information has been sourced from many other secondary sources also namely, books, newspapers, trade journals, and white papers, industry portals, government agencies, trade associations, industry news and developments etc. Scope of the Study: Scope of the study is very wide. It provides an overview about the options, different types of options and focusing upon option strategies. It is a bit technical as it tried to find out the actual rate of return of the Options Fund uses model Black Scholes Model of Option Pricing which includes equation named as Geometric Brownian Motion which implies that the index returns will have lognormal distribution.
into the NSE so I have only been able to conduct the research using INDEX OPTIONS. 2. As the research is completely based on the data available on net so minor variations in the data may be possible. 3. Use of Black scholes formula to calculate the premium of the options but in the market it is also affected by the demand and supply mechanism. 4. As the returns calculated are only on the one year closings of S&P CNX Nifty so a variation in returns in past may be different from the same.
Industry Profile
During the period 1996-1999 both SEBI and AMFI launched Investor awareness programmes which were designed to educate investors about mutual funds. These days the industry is facing the spate of mergers and acquisitions. The Industry has been facing a problem due to market crash and the six months returns of almost all the equity schemes have gone negative. And the philosophy of the Indian Investor is to invest in a period of boom rather than opting for value investing. The Industry is only allowed to invest in Options for the purpose of hedging rather but is not allowed to use them for earning good returns. A Mutual Fund is allowed only to invest maximum of 20% of their Assets into Options and futures.
Major Companies
The major players of the Indian Mutual Fund Industry are:
Reliance Mutual Fund The sponsor of Reliance Mutual Fund is Reliance Capital Limited and Reliance Capital Trustee Co. Limited is the Trustee. It was registered on June 30, 1995 as Reliance Capital Mutual Fund which was changed on 11th March, 2004. Today reliance is the market leader in the mutual fund industry. The approach of the AMC is very aggressive. The AUM of Reliance MF is approximately Rs. 90,813 Crores. Unit Trust of India Mutual Fund UTI was the first Indian mutual fund industry and had the market monopoly for the period of 1963-87. The sponsors of UTI Mutual Fund are Bank of Baroda (BOB), Punjab National Bank (PNB), State Bank of India (SBI), and Life Insurance Corporation of India (LIC). The Current AUM of UTI MF is Rs.50770 crores. HDFC Mutual Fund: HDFC Mutual Fund was setup on June 30, 2000 with two sponsors namely Housing Development Finance Corporation Limited and Standard Life Investments Limited. The Current AUM of HDFC MF is Rs.52710 crores. Prudential ICICI Mutual Fund Prudential ICICI Mutual Fund was setup on 13th of October, 1993 with two sponsors, Prudential Plc. Who is one of the major players in USA and ICICI LTD.? This Mutual Fund has an AUM of Rs. 59475 Crores Birla Sun Life Mutual Fund: Birla Sun Life Mutual Fund is a Joint Venture between Aditya Birla Group and Sun Life Financial. This AMC uses conservative long term approach for investing and has an AUM of Rs. 41075 Crores.
State Bank of India Mutual Fund SBI Mutual Funds is India's largest bank sponsored mutual fund which is sponsored by the biggest bank of India (State Bank of India) with an investor base of over 3 million. SBI MF is a joint venture of State Bank of India & Societe Generale of France and is currently managing domestic assets of nearly 31000 crores.
AUM (Rs. Crores) 100000 90000 80000 70000 60000 50000 40000 30000 20000 10000 0
IM F M F M F F M F TI M D FC el ia nc LI F BI M S IC e E F
lI C
tia
en
ru d
Company
Reliance MF Prudential ICICI MF HDFC MF UTI MF BIRLA SUNLIFE MF SBI MF
IR
LA
SU
Indian households started investing more of the savings into the capital market after 1980s. Until 1992 the investors of the primary market were assured good return because the price of the new equity issues was controlled and was very low. In the year ending 1993 the Assets under Management were nearly Rs. 47,004 crores nearly 7 times of Rs. 6700 in 1988. In 1995 there were eleven private sector mutual funds existing into the economy. During the period 1996-1999 both SEBI and AMFI launched Investor awareness programmes which were designed to educate investors about mutual funds which made a positive effect on the Industry and since then it has grown very fast as we can see in the above mentioned chart.
Company Profile
ABOUT OPTIONS
An option gives the holder of the option the right to buy or sell an underlying asset at a pre-decided price at or before a specified date. The holder does not have to exercise his right to get this right he has to make some payment which is called premium of the options. The writer of the option gets the premium from the buyer and writes an obligation to buy or sell the underlying asset on the will of the holder. TERMINOLOGY OF OPTIONS 1. Index Options: These options have the index as the underlying asset. Some options are European while others are American. Option Contracts are cash settled. 2. Stock Option: Stock options are options on individual stocks. The stock option contract gives the holder the right to buy or sell shares at the specified price. 3. Buyer of an Option: The buyer of an option is the one who buy paying the option premium gets the rights but not the obligation to buy or sell the particular underlying asset. 4. Writer of An Option: The writer of an option is the one who receives option premium and is obliged to sell or buy the underlying asset if the buyer asks him to do so. 5. Types of the options : There are two basic types of options A. Call Option: A call option gives the holder the right but not the obligation to buy an asset by a certain date for a certain price. B. Put Option: A put option gives the holder the right but not the obligation to sell an asset but a certain date of a certain price. 6. Option Price: Option price is the price which is paid by the buyer of the option to the seller of the option it is also referred option premium. 7. Expiration Date: The date specified in the option contract is know as expiration date, the exercise date, the date of the maturity or the strike date.
INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS SCHOOL, NOIDA AMITY UNIVERSITY UTTAR PRADESH
8. American Options: The American Options are the options which can be exercised at any time up to the expiration date. Most of the Exchange traded options in India are American. 9. European Options: European options are the options which can be exercised only on the expiration date. European Options are easier to analyze then the American Options. 10.In-the-money option: In the money option is the one which would lead to a positive cash flow to the holder if it were exercised immediately. A call option on the index would be in the money if the current index price is higher then the strike price of the option and vice-versa. 11.At-the-money option: At the money option is the one which would lead to zero cash flow to the holder if it were exercised immediately. An option on the index is at the money will the current index price is equal to the strike price of the options. 12.Out-of-the-money option: Out of the money option is the one which would lead to a negative cash flow to the holder if it were exercised immediately. A call option on the index would be Out of the money if the current index price is lesser then the strike price of the option and vice-versa. 13.Intrinsic value of an option: It is the difference between the strike price and the spot price. The intrinsic value of a call option is the amount the option is in the money if it is ITM. The intrinsic value would be zero if the call is out of the money. 14.Time value of an option: The time value of an option is the difference between the premium and it is intrinsic value. Both calls and puts have time value. An option that is OTM or ATM has only time value. So it is clear that the longer the time to expiration the greater is the options time value or else it is equal. At the time of expiration an option should not have any time value.
Pricing Options
1. Pricing index options:
As per BlackScholes options pricing model, index options should be valued in the same way as ordinary options on common stock. It assumes that investors can cost lessly purchase the underlying stocks in the exact amount necessary to replicate the Index. Before using the BlackScholes formula for index options, we must however make adjustments for the dividend payments received on the index stocks. If the dividend payment is sufficiently smooth, this merely involves replacing the current index value S in the model with where q is the annual dividend yield and T is the time to expiration in years. I in this project have used the same theory to calculate the premium on options.
2. Pricing stock options:
Much of the things which apply on index options do also apply on stock options. But before having a look at the methodology we should first see the factors affecting the price of a stick option. a) b) c) d) e) f) The stock price The strike price The expiration time Market volatility The risk free interest rate Dividends
ATM ATM
JULY
AUGUST
SEPTEMBER
OCTOBER
NOVEMBER
DECEMBER
year 2008
Month JANUARY
FEBRUARY
MARCH
APRIL
MAY
Strategy Anticipating Volatility Bullish Bearish Anticipating Volatility Bullish Bearish Anticipating Volatility Bullish Bearish Anticipating Volatility Bullish Bearish Anticipating Volatility Bullish Bearish
Premiums Paid (Rs.) 336 188 148 291 163 128 270 151 119 259 145 114 286 160 126 6526
Return Generated (RS.) 909.05 -188 1097.05 354.65 3.65 351 179.9 -151 330.9 196.95 310.95 -114 106.9 -160 266.9 5990
JUNE 2007
Date NIFTY Date NIFTY
1-Jun-07 4-Jun-07 5-Jun-07 6-Jun-07 7-Jun-07 8-Jun-07 11-Jun-07 12-Jun-07 13-Jun-07 14-Jun-07
4297.05 4267.05 4284.65 4198.25 4179.5 4145 4145.6 4155.2 4113.05 4170
15-Jun-07 18-Jun-07 19-Jun-07 20-Jun-07 21-Jun-07 22-Jun-07 25-Jun-07 26-Jun-07 27-Jun-07 28-Jun-07 29-Jun-07
4171.45 4147.1 4214.3 4248.65 4267.4 4252.05 4259.4 4285.7 4263.95 4282 4318.3
NIFTY 4350
4300
4250
4200
4150
4100
4050
4000 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
Calculation of Profits
1.
Anticipating Volatility:
OPTION 1 OPTION 2 PREMIEUM 1 PREMIEUM 2 BUY CALL BUY PUT 131 103 STRIKE PRICE 4297.05 4297.05 PROFIT 21.25 184 Net Profit -28.75 If I am anticipating the market to make big movements then I would purchase one call and one put option .When the market goes up then I exercise the call option and when it is down I exercise the put option and I will sell and purchase the underlying at market prices at the time of exercise itself.
2. Bullish Index:
OPTION 1 OPTION 2 BUY CALL STRIKE PRICE 4297 PROFIT 21.25 NET PROFIT PREMIEUM 1 PREMIEUM 2 131
-109.75
If I am bullish about the index I will buy a call option and exercise at the point when the market is at its peak. But here the market has shown a downfall .So I will not exercise the call option and bear the loss of the premium on it.
3. Bearish Index:
OPTION 1 OPTION 2 PREMIEUM 1 PREMIEUM 2 BUY PUT 103 STRIKE PRICE 4297 PROFIT 184 NET PROFIT 81
And if I am bearish about the market I will buy a put option and will wait for the market to go down and will exercise it. I will purchase the underlying from the market and sell it at the option price.
JULY 2007
Date 2-Jul-07 3-Jul-07 4-Jul-07 5-Jul-07 6-Jul-07 9-Jul-07 10-Jul-07 11-Jul-07 12-Jul-07 13-Jul-07 16-Jul-07 NIFTY Date NIFTY 4313.75 17-Jul-07 4357.55 18-Jul-07 4359.3 19-Jul-07 4353.95 20-Jul-07 4384.85 23-Jul-07 4419.4 24-Jul-07 4406.05 25-Jul-07 4387.15 26-Jul-07 4446.15 27-Jul-07 4504.55 30-Jul-07 4512.15 31-Jul-07 4496.75 4499.55 4562.1 4566.05 4619.35 4620.75 4588.7 4619.8 4445.2 4440.05 4528.85
N IF T Y
4650 4600 4550 4500 4450 4400 4350 4300 4250 4200 4150 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
Calculation of Profits
1) Anticipating Volatility:
OPTION 1 OPTION 2 PREMIEUM 1 PREMIEUM 2 BUY CALL BUY PUT 132 STRIKE STRIKE 4313.75 4313.75 PROFIT 307 Not exercised
104
Net Profit
71
If I am anticipating the market to make big movements then I would purchase one call and one put option .When the market goes up then I exercise the call option and when it is down I exercise the put option and I will sell and purchase the underlying at market prices at the time of exercise
INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS SCHOOL, NOIDA AMITY UNIVERSITY UTTAR PRADESH - 29 -
itself. But the market did not show any downfall so I should only exercise the call option and bear the loss of premium on the Put Option.
2) Bullish Index:
OPTION 1 OPTION 2 BUY CALL STRIKE PRICE 4313.75 PROFIT 307 NET PROFIT PREMIEUM 1 PREMIEUM 2 132
175
If I am bullish about the Index I would buy a call option and when the index is at a high level I will exercise the option and sell the underlying at the market price which is higher than the exercise price.
3) Bearish Index:
OPTION 1 OPTION 2 PREMIEUM 1 BUY PUT STRIKE 4313.75 PROFIT Not exercised Net Profit -104 PREMIEUM 2 104
Here I was bearish about the Index but it has shown a growth. Now I should not exercise the option and have to bear the loss of the Premium.
August 2007
Date 1-Aug-07 2-Aug-07 3-Aug-07 6-Aug-07 7-Aug-07 8-Aug-07 9-Aug-07 10-Aug-07 13-Aug-07 14-Aug-07 16-Aug-07 NIFTY 4345.85 4356.35 4401.55 4339.5 4356.35 4462.1 4403.2 4333.35 4373.65 4370.2 4178.6 Date NIFTY 17-Aug-07 4108.05 20-Aug-07 4209.05 21-Aug-07 4074.9 22-Aug-07 4153.15 23-Aug-07 4114.95 24-Aug-07 4190.15 27-Aug-07 4302.6 28-Aug-07 4320.7 29-Aug-07 4359.3 30-Aug-07 4412.3 31-Aug-07 4464
NIFTY
4500 4400 4300 4200 4100 4000 3900 3800 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
Calculation of Profits
1. Anticipating Volatility:
OPTION 1 OPTION 2 PREMIEUM 1 PREMIEUM 2 BUY CALL BUY PUT 133 104 STRIKE PRICE 4345 4345 PROFIT 116.25 270.95 NET PROFIT 150.2 If I am anticipating the market to make big movements then I would purchase one call and one put option .When the market goes up then I exercise the call option and when it is down I exercise the put option and I
INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS SCHOOL, NOIDA AMITY UNIVERSITY UTTAR PRADESH - 32 -
will sell and purchase the underlying at market prices at the time of exercise itself.
2. Bullish Index:
OPTION 1 OPTION 2 BUY CALL STRIKE PRICE 4345 PROFIT 116.25 NET PROFIT PREMIEUM 1 PREMIEUM 2 133
-16.75
If I am bullish about the Index I would buy a call option and when the index is at a high level I will exercise the option and sell the underlying at the market price which is higher than the exercise price. But here the index has only shown a downfall so I should not exercise the option but bear the loss of premium.
3. Bearish Index:
OPTION 1 OPTION 2 PREMIEUM 1 PREMIEUM 2 BUY PUT 104 STRIKE PRICE 4345 PROFIT 270.95 NET PROFIT 166.95
And if I am bearish about the market I will buy a put option and will wait for the market to go down and will exercise it. I will purchase the underlying from the market and sell it at the option price.
September 2007
Date 3-Sep-07 4-Sep-07 5-Sep-07 6-Sep-07 7-Sep-07 10-Sep-07 11-Sep-07 12-Sep-07 13-Sep-07 14-Sep-07 NIFTY Date NIFTY 4474.75 17-Sep-07 4494.65 4479.25 18-Sep-07 4546.2 4475.85 19-Sep-07 4732.35 4518.6 20-Sep-07 4747.55 4509.5 21-Sep-07 4837.55 4507.85 24-Sep-07 4932.2 4497.05 25-Sep-07 4938.85 4496.85 26-Sep-07 4940.5 4528.95 27-Sep-07 5000.55 4518 28-Sep-07 5021.35
N IF T Y S E P T E M B E R
5100 5000 4900 4800 4700 4600 4500 4400 4300 4200 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Calculation of Profits
I. Anticipating Volatility:
OPTION 1 OPTION 2 PREMIEUM 1 PREMIEUM 2 BUY CALL BUY PUT 137 108 STRIKE PRICE 4474.75 4474.75 PROFIT 546.6 0 NET PROFIT 301.6
If I am anticipating the market to make big movements then I would purchase one call and one put option .When the market goes up then I exercise the call option and when it is down I exercise the put option and I will sell and purchase the underlying at market prices at the time of exercise itself. But the market did not show any downfall so I should only exercise the call option and bear the loss of premium on the Put Option.
409.6
If I am bullish about the Index I would buy a call option and when the index is at a high level I will exercise the option and sell the underlying at the market price which is higher than the exercise price.
Here I was bearish about the Index but it has shown a growth. Now I should not exercise the option and have to bear the loss of the Premium.
INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS SCHOOL, NOIDA AMITY UNIVERSITY UTTAR PRADESH - 36 -
October 2007
Date 1-Oct-07 3-Oct-07 4-Oct-07 5-Oct-07 8-Oct-07 9-Oct-07 10-Oct-07 NIFTY Date NIFTY 5068.95 17-Oct-07 5559.3 5210.8 18-Oct-07 5351 5208.65 19-Oct-07 5215.3 5185.85 22-Oct-07 5184 5085.1 23-Oct-07 5473.7 5327.25 24-Oct-07 5496.15 5441.45 25-Oct-07 5568.95
NIF TY
6000 5800 5600 5400 5200 5000 4800 4600 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
Calculation of Profits
1. Anticipating Volatility:
OPTION 1 OPTION 2 PREMIEUM 1 PREMIEUM 2 BUY CALL BUY PUT 155 122 STRIKE PRICE 5068.95 5068.95 PROFIT
INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS SCHOOL, NOIDA AMITY UNIVERSITY UTTAR PRADESH - 38 -
0 559.95
If I am anticipating the market to make big movements then I would purchase one call and one put option .When the market goes up then I exercise the call option and when it is down I exercise the put option and I will sell and purchase the underlying at market prices at the time of exercise itself. But the market did not show any downfall so I should only exercise the call option and bear the loss of premium on the Put Option.
2. Bullish Index:
OPTION 1 OPTION 2 BUY CALL STRIKE PRICE 5068.95 PROFIT 836.95 NET PROFIT PREMIEUM 1 PREMIEUM 2 155
681.95
If I am bullish about the Index I would buy a call option and when the index is at a high level I will exercise the option and sell the underlying at the market price which is higher than the exercise price.
3. Bearish Index:
OPTION 1 OPTION 2 PREMIEUM 1 PREMIEUM 2 BUY PUT 122 STRIKE PRICE 5068.95 PROFIT 0 NET PROFIT -122
INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS SCHOOL, NOIDA AMITY UNIVERSITY UTTAR PRADESH - 39 -
Here I was bearish about the Index but it has shown a growth. But the market has grown so now I should not exercise the option and have to bear the loss of the Premium.
November 2007
Date 1-Nov-07 2-Nov-07 5-Nov-07 6-Nov-07 NIFTY Date NIFTY 5866.45 16-Nov-07 5906.85 5932.4 19-Nov-07 5907.65 5847.3 20-Nov-07 5780.9 5786.5 21-Nov-07 5561.05
NIFTY November
6000
5900
5800
5700 5600
5500
5400
5300 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
Calculation of Profits
A. Anticipating Volatility:
OPTION 1 BUY CALL OPTION 2 BUY PUT PREMIEUM 1 PREMIEUM 2 180 141
STRIKE PRICE 5866.45 5866.45 PROFIT 71.45 347.1 NET PROFIT 97.55
If I am anticipating the market to make big movements then I would purchase one call and one put option .When the market goes up then I exercise the call option and when it is down I exercise the put option and I will sell and purchase the underlying at market prices at the time of exercise itself.
B. Bullish Index:
OPTION 1 OPTION 2 BUY CALL STRIKE PRICE 5866.45 PROFIT 71.45 NET PROFIT PREMIEUM 1 PREMIEUM 2 180
-108.55
If I am bullish about the Index I would buy a call option and when the index is at a high level I will exercise the option and sell the underlying at the market price which is higher than the exercise price.
C. Bearish Index:
OPTION 1 OPTION 2 BUY PUT STRIKE PRICE PREMIEUM 1 PREMIEUM 2 141
And if I am bearish about the market I will buy a put option and will wait for the market to go down and will exercise it. I will purchase the underlying from the market and sell it at the option price.
December 2007
Date 3-Dec-07 NIFTY Date NIFTY 5865 17-Dec-07 5777
N IF TY D ec em ber
6 20 0 6 10 0 6 00 0 5 90 0 5 80 0 5 70 0 5 60 0 5 50 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1 1 12 13 1 4 1 5 16 17 18 19
Calculation of Profits
1. Anticipating Volatility:
INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS SCHOOL, NOIDA AMITY UNIVERSITY UTTAR PRADESH - 44 -
OPTION 1 OPTION 2 PREMIEUM 1 PREMIEUM 2 BUY CALL BUY PUT 180 141 STRIKE PRICE 5865 5865 PROFIT 294.3 122.7 NET PROFIT 96 If I am anticipating the market to make big movements then I would purchase one call and one put option .When the market goes up then I exercise the call option and when it is down I exercise the put option and I will sell and purchase the underlying at market prices at the time of exercise itself.
2. Bullish Index:
OPTION 1 OPTION 2 BUY CALL STRIKE PRICE 5865 PROFIT 294.3 NET PROFIT PREMIEUM 1 PREMIEUM 2 180
114.3
If I am bullish about the Index I would buy a call option and when the index is at a high level I will exercise the option and sell the underlying at the market price which is higher than the exercise price. But here the index has only shown a downfall so I should not exercise the option but bear the loss of premium.
3. Bearish Index:
OPTION 1 OPTION 2 PREMIEUM 1 PREMIEUM 2 141
INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS SCHOOL, NOIDA AMITY UNIVERSITY UTTAR PRADESH - 45 -
STRIKE PRICE 5865 PROFIT 122.7 NET PROFIT -18.3 And if I am bearish about the market I will buy a put option and will wait for the market to go down and will exercise it. I will purchase the underlying from the market and sell it at the option price.
January 2008
Date NIFTY Date NIFTY
INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS SCHOOL, NOIDA AMITY UNIVERSITY UTTAR PRADESH - 46 -
1-Jan-08 2-Jan-08 3-Jan-08 4-Jan-08 7-Jan-08 8-Jan-08 9-Jan-08 10-Jan-08 11-Jan-08 14-Jan-08 15-Jan-08
6144.35 6179.4 6178.55 6274.3 6279.1 6287.85 6272 6156.95 6200.1 6206.8 6074.25
16-Jan-08 17-Jan-08 18-Jan-08 21-Jan-08 22-Jan-08 23-Jan-08 24-Jan-08 25-Jan-08 28-Jan-08 29-Jan-08 30-Jan-08 31-Jan-08
5935.75 5913.2 5705.3 5208.8 4899.3 5203.4 5033.45 5383.35 5274.1 5280.8 5167.6 5137.45
Value JANUARY
Case Number
Calculation of Profits
INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS SCHOOL, NOIDA AMITY UNIVERSITY UTTAR PRADESH - 47 -
1. Anticipating Volatility:
OPTION 1 OPTION 2 PREMIEUM 1 PREMIEUM 2 BUY CALL BUY PUT 188 148 STRIKE PRICE 6144.35 6144.35 PROFIT 0 1245.05 NET PROFIT 909.05 If I am anticipating the market to make big movements then I would purchase one call and one put option .When the market goes up then I exercise the call option and when it is down I exercise the put option and I will sell and purchase the underlying at market prices at the time of exercise itself. Here I would not exercise the call option as the marker has substantially come down and bear the loss of premium on it.
2. Bullish Index:
OPTION 1 OPTION 2 BUY CALL STRIKE PRICE 6144.35 PROFIT 0 NET PROFIT PREMIEUM 1 PREMIEUM 2 188
-188
If I am bullish about the index I will buy a call option and exercise at the point when the market is at its peak. But here the market has shown a downfall .So I will not exercise the call option and bear the loss of the premium on it.
3. Bearish Index:
INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS SCHOOL, NOIDA AMITY UNIVERSITY UTTAR PRADESH - 48 -
OPTION 1
OPTION 2 PREMIEUM 1 PREMIEUM 2 BUY PUT 148 STRIKE PRICE 6144.35 PROFIT 1245.05 NET PROFIT 1097.05
And if I am bearish about the market I will buy a put option and will wait for the market to go down and will exercise it. I will purchase the underlying from the market and sell it at the option price. As we can see here that the, market has came down a lot which has made the buyer of the option have a huge profit out of it.
February 2008
Date NIFTY Date NIFTY 1-Feb-08 5317.25 18-Feb-08 5276.9 4-Feb-08 5463.5 19-Feb-08 5280.8 5-Feb-08 5483.9 20-Feb-08 5154.45 6-Feb-08 5322.55 21-Feb-08 5191.8 7-Feb-08 5133.25 22-Feb-08 5110.75 8-Feb-08 5120.35 25-Feb-08 5200.7 11-Feb-08 4857 26-Feb-08 5270.05 12-Feb-08 4838.25 27-Feb-08 5268.4 13-Feb-08 4929.45 28-Feb-08 5285.1 14-Feb-08 5202 29-Feb-08 5223.5 15-Feb-08 5302.9
NIFTY FEBRUARY
5600
5400
5200
5000
4800
4600
4400 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
Calculation of Profits
A. Anticipating Volatility:
OPTION 1 OPTION 2 PREMIEUM 1 PREMIEUM 2 163 128
5317.25
PROFIT
166.65
NET PROFIT
If I am anticipating the market to make big movements then I would purchase one call and one put option .When the market goes up then I exercise the call option and when it is down I exercise the put option and I will sell and purchase the underlying at market prices at the time of exercise itself.
B.
Bullish Index:
OPTION 2 PREMIEUM 1 PREMIEUM 2
OPTION 1
163
5317.25
PROFIT
363.75
NET PROFIT
200.75
If I am bullish about the Index I would buy a call option and when the index is at a high level I will exercise the option and sell the underlying at the market price which is higher than the exercise price. But here the index has only shown a downfall so I should not exercise the option but bear the loss of premium.
C. Bearish Index:
OPTION 1 OPTION 2 PREMIEUM 1 PREMIEUM 2
128
5317.25
PROFIT
479
NET PROFIT
351
And if I am bearish about the market I will buy a put option and will wait for the market to go down and will exercise it. I will purchase the underlying from the market and sell it at the option price.
March 2008
Date 3-Mar-08 4-Mar-08 5-Mar-08 7-Mar-08 10-Mar-08 11-Mar-08 12-Mar-08 13-Mar-08 14-Mar-08 NIFTY 4953 4864.25 4921.4 4771.6 4800.4 4865.9 4872 4623.6 4745.8 Date NIFTY 17-Mar-08 4503.1 18-Mar-08 4533 19-Mar-08 4573.95 24-Mar-08 4609.85 25-Mar-08 4877.5 26-Mar-08 4828.85 27-Mar-08 4830.25 28-Mar-08 4942 31-Mar-08 4734.5
N IF T Y M a rc h
5000 4900 4800 4700 4600 4500 4400 4300 4200 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
Calculation of Profits
1. Anticipating Volatility:
OPTION 1 OPTION 2 PREMIEUM 1
151
PREMIEUM 2
119
4953
PROFIT
0
NET PROFIT
If I am anticipating the market to make big movements then I would purchase one call and one put option .When the market goes up then I
INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS SCHOOL, NOIDA AMITY UNIVERSITY UTTAR PRADESH - 54 -
exercise the call option and when it is down I exercise the put option and I will sell and purchase the underlying at market prices at the time of exercise itself. Here I would not exercise the call option as the marker has substantially come down and bear the loss of premium on it.
2. Bullish Index:
OPTION 1 OPTION 2 PREMIEUM 1
151
PREMIEUM 2
4953
PROFIT
0
NET PROFIT
-151
If I am bullish about the index I will buy a call option and exercise at the point when the market is at its peak. But here the market has shown a downfall .So I will not exercise the call option and bear the loss of the premium on it.
3. Bearish Index
OPTION 1 OPTION 2 PREMIEUM 1 PREMIEUM 2
119
4953
PROFIT
449.9
NET PROFIT
330.9
And if I am bearish about the market I will buy a put option and will wait for the market to go down and will exercise it. I will purchase the underlying from the market and sell it at the option price. As we can see here that the,
INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS SCHOOL, NOIDA AMITY UNIVERSITY UTTAR PRADESH - 55 -
market has came down a lot which has made the buyer of the option have a huge profit out of it.
April 2008
Date NIFTY Date NIFTY 1-Apr-08 4739.55 16-Apr-08 2-Apr-08 4754.2 17-Apr-08 3-Apr-08 4771.6 21-Apr-08 4-Apr-08 4647 22-Apr-08 7-Apr-08 4761.2 23-Apr-08 8-Apr-08 4709.65 24-Apr-08 9-Apr-08 4747.05 25-Apr-08 10-Apr-08 4733 28-Apr-08 11-Apr-08 4777.8 29-Apr-08
INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS SCHOOL, NOIDA AMITY UNIVERSITY UTTAR PRADESH - 56 -
15-Apr-08
4879.65
30-Apr-08
5165.9
N IF TY April
5300 5200 5100 5000 4900 4800 4700 4600 4500 4400 4300 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Calculation of Profits
1. Anticipating Volatility:
OPTION 1 OPTION 2 PREMIEUM 1
145
PREMIEUM 2
114
4739.55
PROFIT
455.95
NET PROFIT
If I am anticipating the market to make big movements then I would purchase one call and one put option .When the market goes up then I exercise the call option and when it is down I exercise the put option and I will sell and purchase the underlying at market prices at the time of exercise itself.
2. Bullish Index:
OPTION 1 OPTION 2 PREMIEUM 1
145
PREMIEUM 2
4739.55
PROFIT
402.5
NET PROFIT
257.5
If I am bullish about the Index I would buy a call option and when the index is at a high level I will exercise the option and sell the underlying at the market price which is higher than the exercise price. But here the index has only shown a downfall so I should not exercise the option but bear the loss of premium.
3. Bearish Index:
OPTION 1 OPTION 2 PREMIEUM 1 PREMIEUM 2
114
4739.55
PROFIT
0
NET PROFIT
-114
And if I am bearish about the market I will buy a put option and will wait for the market to go down and will exercise it. I will purchase the underlying from the market and sell it at the option price. But as we can see that the market has risen so we should not exercise the put option and have to bear loss of the premium.
May 2008
Date 2-May-08 5-May-08 6-May-08 7-May-08 8-May-08 NIFTY 5228.2 5192.25 5144.65 5135.5 5081.7 Date 16-May-08 20-May-08 21-May-08 22-May-08 23-May-08 NIFTY 5157.7 5104.95 5117.65 5025.45 4946.55
NIFTY MAY2008
5300 5200 5100 5000 4900 4800 4700 4600 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Calculation of Profits
1. Anticipating Volatility:
OPTION 1 OPTION 2 PREMIEUM 1
160
PREMIEUM 2
126
5228.2
5228.2
PROFIT
0
NET PROFIT
392.9 106.9
If I am anticipating the market to make big movements then I would purchase one call and one put option .When the market goes up then I exercise the call option and when it is down I exercise the put option and I will sell and purchase the underlying at market prices at the time of exercise itself. Here I would not exercise the call option as the marker has substantially come down and bear the loss of premium on it.
2.
Bullish Index:
OPTION 2 PREMIEUM 1
160
OPTION 1
PREMIEUM 2
5228.2
PROFIT
0
NET PROFIT
-160
If I am bullish about the index I will buy a call option and exercise at the point when the market is at its peak. But here the market has shown a downfall .So I will not exercise the call option and bear the loss of the premium on it.
3. Bearish Index:
OPTION 1 OPTION 2 PREMIEUM 1 PREMIEUM 2
126
5228.2
PROFIT
392.9
INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS SCHOOL, NOIDA AMITY UNIVERSITY UTTAR PRADESH - 61 -
NET PROFIT
266.9
And if I am bearish about the market I will buy a put option and will wait for the market to go down and will exercise it. I will purchase the underlying from the market and sell it at the option price. As we can see here that the, market has came down a lot which has made the buyer of the option have a huge profit out of it.
SYNOPSIS
Scope
Students Name: Vikash Tayal Industry Guide: Mr. Munish Sabharwal Faculty Guide: Ms. Deepmala Soni
Findings:
We as mutual funds are allowed to invest into Options for the purpose of hedging and are not allowed to use them to earn profits by using them in other ways. It means we can limit our risk through hedging but are not allowed to use them for
INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS SCHOOL, NOIDA AMITY UNIVERSITY UTTAR PRADESH - 63 -
earning which is done in USA. So on the daily closing values of NSE we have applied various market strategies of options and have calculated approximate returns and have found that a good yield can be achieved by using options. But applying option strategies is not easy for an investor himself as it requires expertise and hence we have proposed SBI MUTUAL FUNDS to launch an Equity Fund which will buy and sell options. The risk factor in such a fund would be limited as options are hedging instruments by default.
Conclusion:
It is possible to get constant returns by using options in the Indian Market. And there are may new types of funds which can provide good returns to the investors.