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Hedge fund
stars toast
top January
STAR traders Crispin Odey and Pierre
Lagrange led a recovery for the belea-
guered hedge fund industry in
January as European bank stocks
soared 10 per cent.
The Odey European fund, which fell
20 per cent in 2011, is up 14 per cent so
far this year after taking a bullish
stance on banks and the media as well
as individual stocks such as Pendragon
and Sports Direct.
David Stewart, chief executive of
Odey, said: Our stock selection has
been good. It wasnt a stockpickers
year last year but we held our nerve.
And Lagrange made 4.7 per cent in
GLGs European long-short hedge fund
in January following a return of 7.2 per
cent last year.
GLG, part of Man Group, the worlds
largest listed hedge fund manager, also
saw gains of 4.2 per cent in John
Whites Alpha Select fund and 3.9 per
cent in its Emerging Markets fund.
During the month the Eurozones
blue-chip Euro STOXX 50 gained 4.3
per cent and the FTSE 100 rose two per
cent.
The figures mark a return to form
for the industry after last year, when
the average hedge fund lost around
five per cent. Funds gained 1.72 per
cent last month, according to Hedge
Fund Researchs HFRX index.
Equity funds were among the best
performers, gaining 2.07 per cent,
after the European Central Bank flood-
ed banks with 489bn (405bn) in
loans in December. More cash is
expected to follow later this month.
BY PETER EDWARDS
HEDGE FUNDS

Sir David Higgins has said he will forego his bonus Picture: REX
THE CHIEF executive of Network Rail
has caved in to political pressure and
waived his right to a six-figure bonus.
Sir David Higgins and five other
Network Rail directors yesterday
decided to forego any entitlement
to bonuses and will instead offer the
proceeds to safety improvements.
The announcement came after
transport secretary Justine Greening
threatened to exercise her right to
vote against the proposed 20m
bonus pool at Fridays annual general
meeting, even if her vote was not
enough to block the resolution being
passed.
Network Rails six board members
were entitled to receive up to 60 per
cent of their annual salary as a bonus
this year as well as longer-term bonus-
es of up to 500 per cent after five years
if certain targets were reached.
Sir David was eligible to collect a
336,000 payout in addition to his
560,000 basic salary.
In a statement yesterday, the com-
pany said the meeting would be
adjourned and its board will take
the opportunity to reflect further on
how to incentivise performance in
the company.
Sir David said: Even if this situa-
tion does arise this year, I and my
directors decided last week that we
would forego any entitlement and
BY KASMIRA JEFFORD
POLITICS

instead allocate the money to the


safety improvement fund for level
crossings.
Chairman Rick Haythornthwaite
insisted that Fridays planned meet-
ing was to not to approve a specific
annual bonus payment but to amend
a previously approved long term
incentive scheme to ensure addition-
al external scrutiny of performance.
The company which runs the rail-
way tracks and receives 4bn from
the taxpayer each year has faced
criticism over its safety record and
poor track conditions.
More than 30 Labour MPs signed a
House of Commons motion last week,
which cited major asset failures, con-
gested routes and poor management
of track condition as reasons for
poor performance of the UK rail net-
work in 2011.
Greening said Sir Davids decision
which comes in the wake of the ongo-
ing row over banker bonuses and
executive remuneration was sensi-
ble and welcome.
I have made it clear to Network
Rail at every stage that this proposed
package did not go far enough in
reflecting the need for restraint, she
said.
Institute of Directors boss Simon
Walker said the decision marked a
good day for owner activism and
called on the coalition to revisit
Network Rails governance structure.
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DOZENS OF GREAT
PRESENT IDEAS
VALENTINES DAY
GIFT GUIDEP29-32
BUSINESS WITH PERSONALITY
ADVISERS to Glencore and Xstrata
were last night trying to convince
investors that the proposed manage-
ment team will be able to work
together following the 50bn merger.
Under the terms of the proposed
deal, Xstrata chief executive Mick
Davis is expected to be appointed
chief executive of the combined
group, with Glencores Ivan
Glasenberg set to accept being
deputy chief executive.
This arrangement is what we
needed to do to get the deal done,
said one source close to Glencore.
Investors, however, most of whom
have been made insiders ahead of
the official announcement today,
are concerned that Glasenberg will
not be happy to be number two to
Davis for long. They worry that the
two men might have conflicting
strategies and find it difficult to
work together.
Glasenberg would be a major
shareholder in the merged group.
He has a 15 per cent stake in
Glencore, which floated in London
last year.
Some sources have talked about a
discussion about a Granita-style
agreement dubbed such after an
unenforced agreement between
Tony Blair and Gordon Brown for
Blair to step down at an agreed
time in which Davis might agree to
step down after a short period, hav-
ing received a multi-million pound
share-based retention deal.
Glencore shares fell 4.52 per cent
yesterday on fears that the commodi-
ties trader might offer more than
expected for miner Xstrata.
Glencore is under pressure from
some Xstrata shareholders, such as
Schroders Richard Buxton, to offer a
premium higher than an expected
eight per cent on Xstratas share
price in its all share offer.
One source said: Investors are
worried about who does what and
who gets what.
BY DAVID HELLIER
MINING

Issue 1,565 Tuesday 7 February 2012


ITS ALL CHANGE FOR
THE CITYS LAWYERS
PRIVATE EQUITY FIRM
INVESTS IN PARABISP8
NOW RAIL CHIEFS
SURRENDER BONUS
Investors fear mining giants Granita deal could end in tears
News
2 CITYA.M. 7 FEBRUARY 2012
Greek delays
anger Merkel
TIME is running short in the Greek
negotiations, and its politicians must
make up its mind fast, German leader
Angela Merkel said yesterday.
But instead of concluding talks last
night as planned, the latest meeting of
Greek politicians with technocratic
Prime Minister Lucas Papademos was
postponed until today.
I honestly cant understand how
additional days will help, Merkel said.
A lot is at stake for the Eurozone.
Papademos said on Sunday that
party leaders had accepted the need
for additional spending cuts worth 1.5
per cent of GDP in 2012, improving
competitiveness through cutting
wages and non-wage labour costs, and
the recapitalisation of banks.
However, details of reforms still
need to be finalised, and protracted
talks with private sector bondholders
are still not finished despite numer-
ous deadlines passing.
The debt and bailout talks all need
to be successfully concluded before 20
March when 14.5bn of debt repay-
ments are due, which the government
may not be able to pay.
Meanwhile European Council
President Herman van Rompuy told
Greece and other EU countries they
need to take greater responsibility for
their actions and consider their
impact on other members.
BY TIM WALLACE
EUROZONE

BAE CONSIDERS CUT TO TYPHOON


PRICE
BAE Systems, Europes largest defence
contractor, has signalled its willing-
ness to reduce the price of the
Eurofighter Typhoon to win back a
$20bn Indian tender from Frances
Dassault. Ian King, BAEs chief execu-
tive, told the Financial Times that
BAE needed to consult with its part-
ners in Germany, Italy and Spain, but
said all options were open.
FRESH BLOW TO TCI AS ANALYST
JOINS RIVAL
The Childrens Investment Fund has
lost another of its stars to rival hedge
fund Thlme Partners in a sign of
tensions among top managers at the
activist investor. Oscar Hattink, a
portfolio manager at the $6bn TCI
and a firm partner since 2008,
resigned last year, leaving the firm in
August. He has now surfaced as a
partner at Thlme, people familiar
with the matter told the Financial
Times.
VERIZON TIE-UP SET TO CHALLENGE
NETFLIX
Verizon and Coinstar, owner of the
Redbox DVD rental service, are team-
ing up to take on Netflix. The two
companies announced a joint ven-
ture yesterday that was thin on
details but telegraphed their ambi-
tion to compete in the booming mar-
ket for subscription video services.
TNT EXPRESS SHAREHOLDER FIGHT
GROWS
Dutch express mail company TNT
Express is engaging in an open feud
witgh a group of activist sharehold-
ers, rejecting their request to appoint
three new directors on the grounds
they had been paid directly by the
shareholders. In a letter of response,
the leader of the shareholder group
said TNT Expresss lack of good faith
and reasonableness was stunning.
COURT RULING OFFERS HOPE TO DRUG
COMPANIES OWED 6BN
British drugs companies owed mil-
lions by Spanish health authorities
may resort to the courts to get their
money back. According to the indus-
try lobby group Farmaindustria,
regional authorities owe 5.83bn
(4.87bn) to companies including
Astrazeneca, Shire and
GlaxoSmithKline.
FRENCH BUSINESSES READY TO PACK
BAGS FOR BRITAIN
Dozens of French businesses are con-
sidering crossing the Channel if
Franois Hollande defeats Frances
current President Nicolas Sarkozy in
the election this spring, as the opin-
ion polls predict, The Times has
learnt. His programme is also likely
to drive wealthy French families to
Britain, according to lawyers and
accountants.
3M RISKS TURBULENCE WITH $250M
DEAL TO REPLACE FIVE PRIVATE JETS
US industrial group 3M is to risk
antagonising shareholders by spend-
ing up to $250m (158m) replacing
its fleet of private jets. The company
is understood to be looking at plans
to update its five jets, including buy-
ing state of the art Gulfstream G550s.
FARMERS GUARDIAN IS SOLD AS UBM
SHIFTS FROM PRINT
UBM forged its reputation producing
trade magazines such as Property
Week and Famers Guardian, but has
now offloaded its medical and agri-
culture titles as part of its ongoing
shift away from print. The founders,
of Briefing Media, Neil Thackray and
Rory Brown, yesterday acquired the
portfolio of magazines, which also
trade publication Pulse, in a 10m
deal backed by GCP Capital Partners,
the private equity fund.
DISNEY AND UNIVISION IN TALKS TO
LAUNCH NEWS CHANNEL
Walt Disney and Univision
Communications are in talks to cre-
ate a new 24-hour cable-news chan-
nel, in an effort to keep pace with
changing demographics among US
Hispanics and reach a new audience
of English speakers, people familiar
with the negotiations said. The chan-
nel would plunge Disneys ABC News
more directly into the fractious cable-
news wars, competing alongside CNN
and Fox News.
HASBRO NET SLIPS ON HIGHER TAXES
Toy maker Hasbro said yesterday that
higher income taxes and choppy sales
weighed on its profit in the fourth
quarter, and business in the US and
Canada last year was weaker than
expected. The maker of the
Transformers and Nerfs said sales in
the US and Canada slid two per cent.
WHAT THE OTHER PAPERS SAY THIS MORNING
Britains rail industry is a giant mess
ONE of the problems with Britains rail
industry is its nightmarish, confusing
structure. It is part private, part gov-
ernment owned; part financed by
users and part by state subsidies; and
few people understand the real costs of
the railway services they use, or who is
really in charge. When it comes to rail
travel, politics has trumped economic
rationality for many decades and
continues to do so today.
The industry was grossly misman-
aged and under-invested during the
1970s and 1980s, when it was in full
public ownership; its artificial break-
up on functional rather than geo-
graphic lines in 1994 was flawed; the
semi-privatisation of 1996 (massive
subsidies remained) was doomed from
the start, even though services
improved and passenger numbers
rocketed. The privatised firms inherit-
ed a dilapidated infrastructure which
triggered human tragedy, financial
catastrophe and partial renationalisa-
tion. The set-up today is one giant, cor-
poratist mess which satisfies nobody.
Subsidies are huge, fares are increas-
ingly steep, resources are misallocated
and services are not good enough.
Network Rail isnt owned by any-
body: it does not have shareholders,
but 78 members, who can appoint and
remove directors. The department for
transport which subsidises it to the
tune of 4bn a year is a special mem-
ber. This weird structure emerged
from one of the murkier affairs of the
Labour years: the dubious way
Railtrack the previous private infra-
structure operator was forced into
bankruptcy in 2001-02 by a govern-
ment that wanted to renationalise it
but didnt have the guts to say so, and
then shoved its successor into a struc-
ture designed purely to maintain its
massive liabilities off the public sec-
tors books. Yet its 20bn debt capital
markets programme is underwritten
by the government, which would pock-
et any proceeds if the company were
sold. The Strategic Rail Authority holds
reserve powers. Network Rail is a
creature of off balance sheet account-
ing, an incoherent hybrid in desperate
need of reform.
Yesterdays bonus climbdown con-
firms the government controls the
organisation; its status must reflect
this. Directors bonuses will be paid
into a safety fund to signal contrition
for accidents in 2005 and 2007, for
which the company faces prosecution
(though Sir David Higgins, the CEO,
has only just joined the firm). Talk
about PR being elevated over sub-
stance: either Network Rail is spending
enough on safety; or it isnt. If the lat-
ter, then this is a disgrace that needs to
be remedied immediately; 1m wont
make much difference. If it is the for-
mer, then why bother? By implying
pay is reducing spending on safety, the
directors will now face claims that any
money they are handed in future
would jeopardise passengers safety.
That said, I dont feel sorry for them.
I was angered at Stephen Hesters treat-
ment: he was hired on the assumption
that RBS would be treated like a pri-
vate firm, with private levels of pay, to
turn the bank around; he was sold a
pup. The Network Rail situation is dif-
ferent; a radical shake-up of contracts
and structures is required. But there
are dangers: first, that nobody of talent
or ambition will ever again want to
join public sector firms; and second
that the war on wealth will move from
public to private sector, and that even
successful, unsubsidised individuals
who are creating profits and jobs are
going to be demonised. I hope the
coalition knows what it has unleashed.
allister.heath@cityam.com
Follow me on Twitter: @allisterheath
NATIONAL Australia Bank, the owner
of the Yorkshire and Clydesdale
banks, has put its troubled UK opera-
tions up for strategic review as it
reported a 7.7 per cent rise in first-
quarter profit across the group.
NAB chief executive Cameron
Clyne said it was forced into a review
since it now expected the UK econo-
my to experience a much longer peri-
od of subdued growth due to the
governments austerity programme
and the ongoing sovereign debt crisis
in the Eurozone.
[NAB] will work with UK manage-
ment to appropriately reposition its
business mix and structure for the
changed economic environment and
improve returns, he said, with the
review due to be completed in May.
Tough market conditions also
forced Australian bank Macquarie
Group to last night issue a dramatic
profit downgrade, warning its 2012
earnings will fall by 25 per cent.
BY KASMIRA JEFFORD
BANKING

Clydesdale up for review


Cameron Clyne, chief executive of National Australia Bank, has put Clydesdale on review
NEWS | IN BRIEF
Britain decries Syria bloodshed
Britain yesterday recalled its ambassador
from Damascus and the US closed its
embassy in Syria in a bid to force
President Bashar al-Assad to leave power
and halt the fast-growing death toll. As
Syrian troops targeted the city of Homs,
Foreign secretary William Hague hit out
at Russia and Chinas veto of a recent UN
Security Council resolution on Syria and
said the government would redouble
efforts to stop the violence.
BofA case wins class-action status
Shareholders suing Bank of America
have won class-action status for their
lawsuit, which accuses the bank and
various executives of fraudulently mis-
leading them about the 2008 takeover
of Merrill Lynch and the size of Merrills
losses and bonus payouts.
Ferragamo pays record UK rent
Italian luxury shoemaker Salvatore
Ferragamo has agreed a deal to pay a
record UK rent at its Bond Street store
that will break the 1,000 per square
foot mark for the first time. The retailer
will extend the lease of its store at 24
Old Bond with landlord NFU Mutual.
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Greek PM Papademos
failed to conclude talks
with political leaders,
delaying their meeting
until today
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Email: news@cityam.com www.cityam.com
Editorial
Editor Allister Heath
Deputy Editor David Hellier
News Editor David Crow
Acting Night Editor Marion Dakers
Business Features Editor Marc Sidwell
Lifestyle Editor Zoe Strimpel
Sports Editor Frank Dalleres
Art Director Gavin Billenness
Pictures Alice Hepple
Commercial
Sales Director Jeremy Slattery
Commercial Director Harry Owen
Head of Distribution Nick Owen
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SHARES in EFG-Hermes, the London-
listed Arab bank, dropped four per
cent yesterday after Egyptian authori-
ties banned its co-chief executive from
leaving the country.
Yasser el-Mallawany (pictured) was
prevented from catching a flight to
the United Arab Emirates on Sunday
night amid allegations of links to last
weeks football riot in which 74 people
were killed. EFG-Hermes strongly
denies any link to the Port Said
tragedy.
The firms stock fell
4.51 per cent to LE11.01
(Egyptian pounds) on
the Egyptian
Exchange yesterday
and its Global
Depository Receipt list-
ing was down 4.24 per
cent to 3.73p in London.
El-Mallawany, one of
two EFG chief executives, is
one of several
business leaders who have been
banned from foreign travel by the pub-
lic prosecutor in the period since the
overthrow of president Hosni
Mubarak last year.
EFG has come under the spotlight
for its association with Mubaraks
younger son Gamal, who owns 18 per
cent of the investment banks sub-
sidiary EFG-Hermes Private Equity. Last
night EFG said neither the bank nor el-
Mallawany have been charged, adding:
The firm has been informed that the
ban was issued as a precautionary
measure.
EFG-Hermes Private Equity gener-
ates no more than seven per cent of
EFG Hermes Holdings total revenue.
EFG has said it does not manage
any funds or portfolios for Mubarak
or his family and did not receive
any special privileges from the gov-
ernment.
Mubarak, his two sons and
some former officials and minis-
ters are on
trial for cor-
ruption.
Arabian bank
falls in London
as boss held
LAZARD was pushed into the red in
its fourth-quarter of last year due to
a slowdown in trading and a deci-
sion not to defer bonus pay-outs, the
US investment bank revealed yester-
day.
It reported a pre-tax loss of $3.4m
(2.15m) in the fourth quarter, com-
pared to a profit of $134m during
the equivalent period in 2010.
But the bank said that its disci-
plined approach to accounting for
staff costs was partly to blame for the
loss.
Unlike many of its rivals, Lazard
opted not to defer more of its bonus
pay-outs to bankers this year in
response to the weak economic cli-
mate. Instead, it deferred 20 per
cent, the same as last year.
That meant that its expenses from
paying staff was roughly flat in the
quarter (up three per cent to $337m)
while revenues slumped 23 per cent
to $468.7m.
The investment bank was worst hit
in its capital markets advisory busi-
ness, which saw revenues fall by 59
per cent to $17.7m. Its M&A advisory
business also saw top line income
drop by over a third to $167m.
The restructuring division benefit-
ed from a rise in revenues, however,
growing 58 per cent to $75.7m.
Lazard bonus
payments wipe
out its profits
BY PETER EDWARDS
POLITICS

BY JULIET SAMUEL
BANKING

News
3 CITYA.M. 7 FEBRUARY 2012
THE QUEEN CELEBRATES DIAMOND JUBILEE
Sixty years after ascending the throne, Queen Elizabeth celebrated her reign with a royal
visit to see children in Kings Lynn, Norfolk. The Queen, 85, will enjoy four days of more
lavish events in July, including a 1,000-ship pageant on the River Thames and a concert
at Buckingham Palace. Yesterday she vowed to dedicate myself anew to your service.
CHANCELLOR George Osborne is creat-
ing a dangerous concentration of
power and information in the Bank of
England, according to opposition crit-
ics of his new financial regulation bill.
Shadow chancellor Ed Balls said
that it was a mistake to channel infor-
mation only through the BoE gover-
nor in the event of a crisis.
He complained that the
heads of the new statutory
bodies that will replace the
FSA will not be able to
air their views direct-
ly to Number 11.
The statutory
stakeholders are
kept out of the
room in his own
memorandum,
said Balls. The con-
centration of power
and access to the
chancellor in the
government is highly
unstable.
Balls was mocked, however, for his
prominent role in designing the previ-
ous regulatory regime that presided
over the crisis.
The new bill gives the Treasury
sweeping powers to direct the Bank in
the event of a crisis if the latter con-
siders there to be a material risk of cir-
cumstances arising in which public
funds would be at risk.
But the role assigned to the heads of
several new regulatory bodies in the
event of a crisis is not specified.
MPs also raised concerns that the
new regulator could prioritise the sta-
bility of the graveyard over growth.
George Mudie MP of the Treasury
Select Committee said the Bank
should have regard to growth and the
governments economic policies.
Balls warns
Osborne over
Bank powers
INVESTMENT banks are paying out
unequal pay packets on an unprece-
dented scale, according to industry
experts.
Recruiters who have been in the
business for decades say they have
never seen such a disparity between
those being amply rewarded to keep
them and those whose bonus has been
scrapped entirely often in an attempt
to persuade them to leave.
So far this year weve seen the
greatest polarisation between the
haves and have-nots. Weve also seen a
lot of zeroes, says Jonathan Eckman, a
partner at executive search firm
Aubreck Leung.
On average, many investment banks
have slashed pay by 30 per cent, but
the top-line figure disguises a mixed
pictures, say headhunters.
You cant just look at the headline
number, says Eckman. For instance if
someone was paid down 20 per cent
you might think, He did OK this year.
But if he was paid down 40 per cent
last year then the picture is a little less
rosy. Weve never seen this aggressive
polarisation in the pools before.
He added that many managing
directors took the pain in order to
keep up the amounts they can pay
more junior associates and vice presi-
dents so as to keep hold of top talent.
New extremes
for investment
bank bonuses
BY JULIET SAMUEL
REGULATION

BANKING

The Financial Services Bill, released a week


ago, reached its second reading yesterday.
It replaces the FSA with two new Bank of
England committees and one independent com-
mittee.
FAST FACTS | NEW FINANCIAL BILL
News
4 CITYA.M. 7 FEBRUARY 2012
FSA chief Hector Sants has sought to
reassure firms that the governments
new regulatory regime would not
produce duplication.
In a briefing to bankers, Sants said
the new bodies supervising financial
firms will be able to act independ-
ently as they will be pursuing differ-
ent goals but stressed that this
approach is one of independent but
coordinated decision making.
For example, he said that firms fill-
ing in their ARROW risk-assessment
forms will only file one form. But
there will be two supervisory teams
assessing the risks against their new
objectives.
City lawyers expressed doubts over
the promise to coordinate, with one
calling it a One Man Two Guvnors
style of regulation.
Sants also revealed that the FSA
will begin operating on a twin
peaks model along similar lines to
the new system in April.
Sants: we will coordinate
legion of new regulators
FSA chief Hector Sants has promised not to duplicate procedures Picture: REUTERS
BY JULIET SAMUEL
REGULATION

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BORIS Johnson has made a bid to
control every rail service in London
as part of an ambitious plan to sim-
plify ticket structures and improve
reliability and service frequency.
Johnson said the current
Byzantine fares-setting policy will
be abolished and that his plan
could save up to 100m over 20
years by removing the need for pri-
vate franchisees to build risk pre-
miums into their ticket prices.
The Mayors proposal would see
control of franchises on suburban
lines in the capitals rail network
devolved from central government
to Transport for London (TfL).
TfL would have direct control
over the lines, setting standards
before hiring a third party to run
the service, following the model of
the existing London Overground
services.
Johnson has targeted parts of
the South Eastern (pictured)
and Greater Anglian network
as priorities for devolution
when the existing franchises
come up for renewal in 2014.
This would see TfL control-
ling services outside London
to Sevenoaks, Dartford and
Hertford.
Boris wants to control
every railway in London
Boris could control trains to Sevenoaks and Dartford
ANALYSIS l Southeast London routes proposed for devolution
Westminster
Charing
Cross
Victoria
Brixton
West
Dulwich
Catford
Bridge
Elmers End
WoolwichArsenal
Hays
Eltham
Dartford
Slade Green
Sidcup
Knockholt
Sevenoaks
Southwark
Lambeth
Lewisham
Bromley
Bexley
Greenwich
Merton
Sutton
Croydon
KEY
Devolved
stations
Other stations
BY JAMES WATERSON
TRANSPORT

THE UKS financial services sector is


deeply attractive to foreign investors, a
study by TheCityUK claimed yesterday.
Over a quarter of the 50,000 firms in
the sector are owned overseas, rising to
33 per cent for companies valued
between 25m and 100m, and 45 per
cent for businesses firms worth over
100m.
Of that investment, 45 per cent
comes from the US, 26 per cent from
Europe and 16 per cent from Asia.
Chris Cummings, chief executive of
TheCityUK, hopes the governments
strategy of commercial diplomacy will
help boost those shares and increase
economic growth.
Foreign cash
flows to City
BY TIM WALLACE
FINANCIAL SERVICES

News
5 CITYA.M. 7 FEBRUARY 2012
HEDGE fund tycoon Michael Farmer
has been appointed as the
Conservative Partys co-treasurer, after
Lord Stanley Fink said he would step
down from the role in March to focus
on business interests and philan-
thropic work.
Farmer, a prominent Tory donor,
has more than 40 years trading expe-
rience on the London Metals
Exchange and founded RK Capital
Management in 2004. The firms com-
modities fund Red Kite is a big
investor in copper and other metals.
CMC Markets founder Peter
Cruddas will take Finks place on the
Conservative Party board.
Tories pick a
co-treasurer
BY MARION DAKERS
POLITICS

MOST plans put forward by European


banks to improve the industrys
resilience are in line with what was
asked of them, their regulator said on
Monday, as some banks made last-
ditch efforts to meet the demand to
lift capital.
Italys Banco Popolare unveiled a
plan to raise hundreds of millions of
euros by buying back hybrid bonds,
as one of 31 banks told to fill a 115bn
hole in their balance sheets by
the end of June.
Intesa Sanpaolo also said
it will boost capital by buy-
ing back debt, even though
it has not been ordered to
do so.
The aim is to ensure the
industry is strong enough to
withstand an economic slow-
down and the
Eurozones sovereign
debt crisis.
The European
Banking Authority (EBA), chaired by
Andrea Enria (pictured), meets
tomorrow and on Thursday to assess
each banks plan.
The overwhelming majority of
measures outlined in the plans
appear to be, in aggregate, in line
with the spirit and the letter of the
EBAs recommendation, the EBA said
in a statement yesterday, saying
reports suggesting otherwise were
inaccurate and misleading.
The watchdog said it was still
reviewing the plans but it had been
impressed with the banks willing-
ness to undertake all appropri-
ate measures to meet their
needs.
Banks have several options
to find the capital required.
They can retain earnings,
shrink loans to customers,
convert hybrid debt into
equity, buy back their
own bonds, sell
assets, and
cut dividends
or staff pay.
EU body says
bank capital
plan on track
European state debts worsen
GOVERNMENT debts in Europe have
grown even bigger, official data
revealed yesterday.
Average state debt in the
European Union rose to the equiva-
lent of 82.2 per cent of GDP in the
third quarter of last year up from
81.7 per cent at the end of the sec-
ond quarter.
In the troubled Eurozone area,
burdened by an ongoing debt crisis,
debts are even higher. Average euro
area state debt is the equivalent of
87.4 per cent of GDP, down slightly
from 87.7 per cent.
Its nice for EU policymakers to
say that things arent as bad as the
US, but Washington still has market
confidence and that cannot be said
for all of Europe, said INGs Carsten
Brzeski.
Yet there was better news for the
continent in a separate report
reflecting investor confidence.
The Sentix index of sentiment
among investors in the Eurozone
eased to a score of minus 11.1 this
month, from minus 21.1 in January.
And the expectations element of
the index improved by an even
stronger degree, coming in at minus
6.3, up from minus 23.5 in January.
Meanwhile, private sector produc-
tivity in the EU has improved for the
first time in six months, data from
Markit showed.
The purchasing managers index
(PMI) crept into positive territory,
moving from 48.8 in December to
50.2 in January, showing that out-
put per worker is now slightly grow-
ing.
BY HARRY BANKS
BANKING

BY JULIAN HARRIS
EUROPEAN ECONOMY

THE CHINESE arm of Citigroup


announced yesterday that it has won
regulatory approval to issue credit
cards in mainland China, becoming
the first non-Asian bank to receive
permission.
Citi, which has branches in 13
cities, said it would likely launch
credit card operations this year.
This approval represents a signifi-
cant milestone in the continued
expansion of Citis business in China,
a priority market for Citi, said Citi
Asia Pacific chief executive Stephen
Bird.
Citi had about 16m cards in Asia at
the end of 2011, according to compa-
ny figures. The move also comes after
the bank signed an agreement with
Shanghai-based Orient Securities in
June to launch a securities joint ven-
ture in the country.
Citigroup wins consent to
offer credit cards in China
BANKING

News
6 CITYA.M. 7 FEBRUARY 2012
CHINESE airlines have been banned
from paying the EUs carbon emis-
sions charges, the government in
Beijing announced yesterday, setting
the scene for a row over the enforce-
ability of international tax arrange-
ments.
Starting from next year, airlines
will be given permits covering 85 per
cent of their current carbon emis-
sions but will have to pay fines of up
to 100 (82.94) for each tonne of car-
bon dioxide they emit beyond their
permitted level. Persistent offenders
may be banned from flying.
Chinas Civil Aviation
Administration told airlines they are
not allowed to pay the charge or
raise fees in line with the charges,
unless the government allows them
to.
The carbon charging scheme for
flights in and out of EU airports
runs contrary to relevant principles
of the United Nations Framework
Convention on Climate Change and
the international civil aviation regu-
lations, the administration said.
Beijing had already denounced
the scheme as a trade barrier.
However, the UK department for
energy and climate change warned
It will be much more costly for any
airline not to comply than to do so.
Beijing refuses
to pay planned
flight CO2 tax
REGULATION

A FULL-BLOWN recessionary crisis


prompted by the Eurozone would
cause Chinas GDP growth to collapse
by half, the IMF warned yesterday.
The global bailout body urged
Chinese authorities to defer any
reduction in government spending,
and instead target a deficit of around
two per cent of GDP.
And in the event of a global reces-
sion China should respond with a
significant fiscal package, executed
through central and local govern-
ment budgets, the IMF said.
Taking the World Economic
Outlooks worst case scenario of a
1.75 percentage point global econom-
ic contraction, Chinas growth would
fall by around four percentage points,
the IMF expects.
Yet if shocks are avoided, the IMF
predicts Chinese growth slightly
above eight per cent.
Euro recession hit would
threaten eastern growth
Chinese GDP expansion could be halved by a global recession Picture: GETTY
BY JULIAN HARRIS
WORLD ECONOMY

DRESDNER Bank kept its staff working


hard by offering a minimim bonus
pool months before it confirmed indi-
vidual guarantees, a former executive
told the Commerzbank trial yesterday.
Stefan Jentzsch (pictured), previous-
ly head of Dresdners investment bank-
ing arm, defended the decision to
create a 400m (331.9m) bonus pool
for 2008 because of the need to pre-
vent staff defections and ensure
operational stability. At the
time the markets were dete-
riorating and Allianz, then
the parent company, was
considering selling or wind-
ing down the division. In an
extreme case, Jentzsch
said, bonuses should be
awarded to the best
staff even if their
department closed.
He admitted,
however, that the
guarantee of an individual bonus did
not become binding until bankers
received confirmation on letter day.
We wanted people to retain a cer-
tain amount of uncertainty about how
much they would be paid to make
them work hard.
A group of 104 former Dresdner
investment bankers are suing
Commerzbank for 50m and claim it
reneged on contractual promises
made to staff in internal meetings in
2008 as well as in letters. The German
bank said the switch became neces-
sary as markets slumped.
When Jentzsch was asked about
Allianzs statement on the future
of Dresdners investment bank,
he denied that staff had to be
wary of his blandishments but
accepted he had put a positive
spin on it.
You take joint deci-
sions and have joint
responsibility... You
have a duty.
The trial continues.
Ex-Dresdner
boss defends
bonus policy
NEDBANK, South Africas fourth-
largest lender, said its full-year earn-
ings rose by as much as 28 per cent,
boosted by higher non-interest rev-
enues and a better-performing retail
unit.
The bank, majority owned by insur-
er Old Mutual, said it expects to
report a 23 to 28 per cent increase in
diluted headline earnings per share
for the year to the end of December. It
will post full-year results this month.
SWISS private bank Julius Baer expects
to pay a fine to escape a growing US
crackdown on offshore accounts.
Boris Collardi, chief executive, said
he did not expect the bank to be indict-
ed, as smaller rival Wegelin was last
week, and that Baer had taken an
early, proactive approach with the
US authorities.
We expect we will probably have to
pay a fine, but have the resources to
satisfy a solution, Collardi said.
Baer said 2011 net profit fell 27 per
cent on the year to SwF258m (177m),
hurt by lacklustre client trading,
restructuring costs and other expenses
including a one-off payment to resolve
a tax dispute with Germany.
Baer cut its profit margin target and
raised its cost income ratio forecast as
a soaring Swiss franc kept the banks
mainly franc-based costs high but
capped foreign-currency revenues.
African dreams
for Nedbank as
earnings soar
Baer chief: US fine looms
but we wont be charged
Fingers crossed: Boris Collardi hopes Julius Baer will not be fined Picture: GETTY
BY PETER EDWARDS
BANKING

BANKING

News
CITYA.M. 7 FEBRUARY 2012
BY PETER EDWARDS
BANKING

7
PROFESSIONAL services company
Towers Watson posted better-than-
expected quarterly results yesterday,
helped by higher revenue from its
benefits segment, and forecast full-
year earnings above estimates.
Second-quarter net income rose to
$65.4m (41.3m), or 92 cents a share,
from $48.6m, or 65 cents a share, a
year ago. The firms revenue rose 11
per cent to $880m.
Towers Watson
beats forecasts
with its results
BANKING

PRIVATE EQUITY firm Duke Street


has become the first investment
house to take a stake in the UKs legal
sector, buying a majority stake in
Parabis Group the parent company
of two insurance litigation firms.
Duke Streets investment, which
means it owns just over 50 per cent of
Parabis, values the company at
150m-200m.
Parabis, which trades through com-
panies including Cogent Law and
Plexus Law, applied for alternative
business structure (ABS) status when
investment in the legal sector was lib-
eralised through the Legal Services
Act 2007, which came into force last
year.
Duke Street has been widely
expected to make an investment in
the legal sector since the Act was first
proposed.
The private equity houses operat-
ing partner, Paul Lester, will become
chairman of the Parabis Group on
completion of the deal, which is
expected to be approved by the
Solicitors Regulatory Authority (SRA)
by the end of March.
He will be joined on the board by
ex-Aviva chief executive Bob Scott,
another Duke Street operating part-
ner, with the current Parabis manage-
ment chief executive Tim Oliver and
commercial director Tim Roberts
remaining at the firm.
The 50m investment, which is
part funded by a consortium of banks
including RBS, Lloyds, Santander and
Ares, will primarily be used for acqui-
sitions, the firms said yesterday.
The SRA revealed yesterday that
since it started accepting applications
for firms to register as ABS, it has
received more than 100 requests from
firms looking to be licensed.
The number of applications is very
interesting and encouraging, said
SRA chief executive Antony
Townsend. I was on record at the end
of last year as saying that we expected
much lower numbers of applica-
tions.
Duke Street
takes stake in
legal market
CITY law firm Pinsent Masons yes-
terday confirmed it will merge
with Edinburgh-based McGrigors,
in a legal tie-up to create a company
with a turnover of more than
300m.
The combined firm will employ
over 2,500 people in total including
more than 1,500 lawyers, with
around 500 based at Pinsents cur-
rent headquarters in the legal heart
of the City, close to Liverpool Street.
As well as existing offices in Asia
Pacific and the Gulf region,
Pinsents said yesterday the com-
bined entity will launch offices in
France and Germany before the end
of this year.
The new firm will operate under
the Pinsent Masons brand, with the
firms highlighting their expertise
in construction, energy and infra-
structure as key sectors where the
firms can complement each other.
Last November Pinsents, the larg-
er of the two companies, reported
half-year revenues of 105m, a six
per cent increase on the previous
year.
Pinsents made a profit per equity
partner (PEP) of 400,000 in 2010-11,
compared to 247,000 at McGrigors,
which is led by managing partner
Richard Masters.
Pinsent Masons
and McGrigors
confirm merger
BY LIZZIE FOURNIER
LEGAL SERVICES

LEGAL SERVICES

News
8 CITYA.M. 7 FEBRUARY 2012
Tim Oliver will remain at Parabis, where Duke Streets Paul Lester will become chairman
SJ Berwin private equity partner Tim
Wright is advising Duke Street on its
investment in Parabis Group, building on
a long-standing client relationship with
the investment house.
Wright has previously assisted Duke
Street on its leveraged buyout of
Burtons Food, its 76.9m offer for
British dentistry operator Oasis
Healthcare and its secondary buyout of
The Original Factory Shop.
He also advised Duke Street on its
sale of pension and employment bene-
fit group Xafinity to Advent
International in 2010.
The bank consortium that provided
funding for the deal was advised by
Stuart Brinkworth, an ex-SJ Berwin
partner who joined Hogan Lovells in
2010.
Brinkworth has previously advised
the banks in relation to Exponents
121m purchase of the BBC Magazine
business, including the acquisition of
the Radio Times.
MEET THE ADVISERS
TIM WRIGHT
SJ BERWIN
Schmidt from Mercedes-Benz, and
Vodafone Group chief Vittorio Colao.
Richemont brand Cartier designed the
nine 30cm-high, 2.5kg silver statuettes
given out on the night, while Bryan Ferry
provided the entertainment and Academy
Award-nominated actor Clive Owen was
the evenings host, helped by actress
Thandie Newton.
Tennis champion Novak Djokovic won
the overall Sportsman of the Year award as
he looks to win both the Olympic and
Wimbledon titles this summer, while
Paralympian Oscar Pistorius made the
journey from South Africa to collect the
Laureus World Sportsperson of the Year
with a Disability award after being nomi-
nated three times previously.
Sir Bobby Charlton, however,
was unable to collect his life-
time achievement award in
person after returning to
Manchester earlier in the day
to undergo minor surgery.
Making a rare public statement
on his behalf, Manchester
United manager Sir
Alex Ferguson said he would
take the statuette back
to Old Trafford in person.
He loves the work he does
for Laureus and I
know how delighted he
is to have received
this tribute, he said.
LAUREUS WORLD SPORTS
AWARDS FIRE THE GUN ON
LONDONS OLYMPIC YEAR
MOST SPORTSMEN keep their trophies in
cabinets or on the mantelpiece. Golfer
Darren Clarke uses his Open
Championship silverware to pour wine.
When I was serving the wine at
Christmas from The Claret Jug; I thought
this is the life, said Clarke on the
moment winning the Open on the twenti-
eth attempt aged 42 finally sunk in.
The golfers perseverance in the tourna-
ment its been a long road, said an
emotional Clarke was last night reward-
ed for a second time by the Comeback of
the Year statuette at the Laureus World
Sports Awards at Westminsters Central
Hall.
The annual sports industry awards,
held for the first time in London in its
Olympic year, are organised by Laureus,
the joint venture between Mercedes-Benz-
maker Daimler and luxury goods con-
glomerate Richemont, and this year
attended by model Bar Rafaeli (right),
and sporting stars including Boris
Becker, Daley Thompson and Arsene
Wenger.
The business world was repre-
sented by Richemonts chief
executive Johann Rupert,
alongside the heads of the
awards global sponsors:
Georges Kern, CEO of
watchmaker IWC
Schaffhausen, Daimler
board member Dr Joachim
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The Capitalist
10
Laureus World
Breakthrough of the Year
Rory McIlroy (right)
Laureus World
Comeback of the Year
Darren Clarke
The Laureus Sport for
Good Award
Ra Souza
Vieira de Oliveira
THE LAUREUS WORLD SPORTS AWARDS WINNERS
Laureus World
Sportsman of the Year
Novak Djokovic (right)
Laureus World
Sportswoman of the Year
Vivian Cheruiyot
Laureus World
Team of the Year
FC Barcelona
Laureus World Sportsperson
of the Year with a Disability
Oscar Pistorius
Laureus World Action
Sportsperson of the Year
Kelly Slater
The Laureus Lifetime
Achievement Award
Sir Bobby Charlton
Above left: Richemont CEO
Johann Rupert with his
wife Gaynor
Above (inset): Former hep-
tathlete champion Denise
Lewis
Above right: Ex-Formula 1
racing driver David
Coulthard with his wife
Karen Minier
Pictures: GETTY
EDITED BY
HARRIET DENNYS
Got A Story? Email
thecapitalist@cityam.com
Follow The Capitalist
on Twitter: @dennysharriet
11
Left: Golfer
Darren Clarke
and fiance
Alison Campbell
Above right:
Boris Becker and
his wife Lilly
Kerssenberg
Right: Actress
Thandie Newton
News
12 CITYA.M. 7 FEBRUARY 2012
TESCO Bank will not launch its
current account in 2012 as expect-
ed, hitting the governments
attempts to shake up the notori-
ously uncompetitive retail banking
market.
The supermarkets financial
services arm had planned to unveil
its flagship product this year but is
now set to launch at the end of
2013.
The delay will allow the firm to
take advantage of forthcoming
reforms designed to simplify the
process of switching accounts.
A spokesman said the bank is
progressing at the right pace in
its efforts to offer a full banking
service but that it will continue to
take a cautious approach to
launching new products.
The Payments Council, the
group responsible for the future of
financial transfers, promises that
by September 2013 it will be possi-
ble to redirect regular payments
from one bank account to the
other within a week, making it
substantially easier to switch
providers.
Clive Black, an analyst at Shore
Capital, said the launch date of
Tescos current account is towards
the end of both our and their
expectations but backed the
firms decision to delay the launch:
It is critical that Tesco Bank does
these things right first time.
The supermarket has quietly
built a bank from scratch, expand-
ing from 250 to 3,000 employees
during the last four years. It cur-
rently offers a basic range of sav-
ings products, personal loans and
credit cards.
Tesco delays launch
of current account
BY JAMES WATERSON
BANKING

NEWS | IN BRIEF
Smith & Nephew settles bribe case
Medical device maker Smith & Nephew yes-
terday agreed to pay $22.2m (14m) to set-
tle allegations that its subsidiaries paid
bribes to win business in Greece. The US
Justice Department and SEC said the firm
charged a Greek distributor full price for its
products, then paid to shell companies the
amount of discounts usually given. The
money sent to the shells was used to bribe
publicly employed Greek healthcare
providers, according to court papers.
News Int takes to the airwaves
The Sun and other News International titles
have partnered up with Global Radio brands
in a wide-ranging advertising deals. The
papers will sponsor such programmes as
the Capital Breakfast show, LBC 97.3 and
Classic FM.
MORE NEWS
ONLINE
www.cityam.com
@
@
@
Westerman goes east in Goldmans reshuffle
F
OLLOWING in the footsteps of
Richard Campbell-Breeden (Asia)
and Chris Barter (Moscow),
Goldman Sachs is moving
Matthew Westerman to Hong Kong
to become co-head of its investment
banking division for Asia outside of
Japan.
Westerman, whose recent deals
include the Prada IPO and the HSBC
rights issue, was recently global head
of equity capital markets in a year
when Goldman ended up number
one in every region. So he is certainly
leaving London on a high. He will be
co-head with Dan Dees, who was
head of the financing group in Asia
Pacific.
Goldman has a policy of offering
jobs around the globe and
Westermans move is being seen by
some as a tremendous opportunity.
But it is not clear whether
Westerman himself is totally enam-
oured by the move. He is part of a
dynamic investment banking couple:
his wife Sian is a managing director
at Rothschild in London.
One source close to Goldman said
he might try commuting in the way
the late Brian Keelan once did after
his days at UBS.
Westerman, who is currently based
in London, will start working in
Hong Kong on 1 April. He was out yes-
terday on a reconnaissance trip and
could not comment on his move.
With Westerman going, the top
equity capital markets job will trans-
fer to Stephen Pierce in New York,
which probably makes sense given
how quiet things are currently in
London and Europe.
REFLECTIONS ON TULLOW OIL
BarCaps winning of the corporate
brokership for FTSE 100 company
Tullow Oil is another feather in the
cap for the groups investment bank-
ing ambitions.
Coming as it did in the same week
as the banks US arm got on the ros-
ter for the Facebook IPO, there can be
no doubting that BarCap is fast
becoming a feared rival in most cor-
porate pitches where once it would
have been an also-ran.
Barclays chief executive Bob
Diamond laughs off suggestions that
he shows up to pitches for equity
mandates, though some say his grow-
ing relationship with Tullow Oil
chief exec Aidan Heavey played a part
in the banks latest broking victory.
Morgan Stanleys appointment as
joint broker was being attributed in
large part to Andrew Foster, who
used to be Tullows long-time broker
when he was at RBS Hoare Govett.
Hoare Govett did not even pitch this
time around, leaving the way clear
for Fosters new employees.
david.hellier@cityam.com
INSIDE TRACK
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EASYJET has seen its first decline in
passenger numbers since sales were
hit by the eruption of the volcanic
ash cloud in April 2010.
The budget airline said the num-
bers of passengers fell by 0.4 per
cent to 3.73m in January compared
to 3.74m in the same month last
year after economic headwinds
took their toll.
easyJet posted an 8.1 per cent rise
in passengers in final three months
of last year, helped by the absence of
winter disruption. However, it now
faces a more difficult February with
the possibility of more snow.
The group has kept its capacity
flat over the winter to reflect weak-
er consumer confidence. Despite
lower traffic figures, its load factor
has risen from 78.9 to 81.9 per cent.
EasyJet passenger
numbers take a hit
BY KASMIRA JEFFORD
TRANSPORT

News
14 CITYA.M. 7 FEBRUARY 2012
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www.cityam.com
ANALYSIS l Easyjet
p
3Feb 6Feb 31 Jan 1 Feb 2Feb
480
470
460
450
440
472.00
6 Feb
It is too early to say. The snow
has pretty much gone and luckily
it was over the weekend so travel-
ing into work wasnt affected.
This year there is a lot less snow, so you cant really argue whether London has coped any better or is
any better prepared than last year. But the snow did not affect my travelling this weekend.
TERRY JAMES | S3 GROUP
www.RateSetter.com Customer Phoneline: 08442490115
In association with RateSetter: A better way to Save and Borrow, Peer to Peer
CITY VIEWS: DO YOU THINK LONDON HAS LEARNED TO COPE WITH
SNOW? Interviews by Phoebe Torrance
GRAHAM WICKENS | LLOYDS OF LONDON
I think London has coped better,
but to be honest there hasnt been
very much. The trains have all
been punctual and the main roads
were all cleared quickly.
GURDEV LANDA | CITITEC
BRITISH
Airways is
expanding its
routes from
London City
Airport this
summer, with
plans to launch
new flights to
Menorca,
Angers and
Quimper in
late May.
Picture: GETTY
BRITISH AIRWAYS EXPANDS ITS CITY ROUTES
* These views are those of the individuals below and not necessarily those of their company
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PruHealth is a trading name of Prudential Health Limited, Prudential Health Insurance Limited and Prudential Health Services Limited. Registered numbers 05051253, 02123483 and 05933141 respectively. Prudential Health Limited and Prudential Health Insurance Limited provide
and manufacture benets under the PruHealth product. Prudential Health Services Limited distributes and services the PruHealth product and issues the documentation. Companies registered in England and Wales. Registered ofces at Laurence Pountney Hill, London EC4R 0HH.
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Occasional habit
getting out of
control?
* Based on a sample of all patients during 2010/11 with completed HoNOS data.
** Improvements as measured by The Health of the Nation Outcome Scales (HoNOS). HoNOS is the most
widely used routine clinical outcome measure used by English mental health services and is also used in
services around the world. It is a highly validated tool for the measurement of mental health and social
functioning and provides insight for patients and clinicians into their progress against planned goals.
Improvement is defined as a decrease in total HoNOS score over the course of an episode of care.
Health of the Nation Outcome Scales (HoNOS) Royal College of Psychiatrists 1996.
Tel: 0845 2 774679
Email: info@priorygroup.com
www.priorygroup.com/addictions
The Priory Hospital Roehampton
Priory Lane, Roehampton, London, SW15 5JJ
The Priory Hospital North London
Grovelands House, The Bourne, Southgate
London, N14 6RA
Contact The Priory today to speak to
an adviser or to arrange a confidential,
free addictions assessment.
Youve come this far, dont back out now.
Losing streak?
One too many?
Daily routine?
Scan with a QR reader for a
direct link to our website
When an occasional habit gets out of control it can quickly
become an addiction. It can wreck your life and the lives of
those around you but fortunately addictions can be
treated.
Addictions patients who completed The Priorys 28 day
programme had a 98%chance* of showing improvement
in their mental health and social
functioning.**
News
17 CITYA.M. 7 FEBRUARY 2012
TAIWANESE smartphone maker
HTC has yet to catch up with mar-
ket dominators Apple and
Samsung, posting expectations of
a weak quarter ahead despite
strong growth in fiscal 2011.
The worlds number five smart-
phone maker said it expects rev-
enues of 65bn Taiwanese dollars
(1.4bn) in the first three months
of this year, down from
T$101.42bn in the previous quar-
ter.
In fiscal 2011, HTC pocketed
profits of T$61.98bn up 57 per
cent year on year after a 67 per
cent jump in revenues to
T$465.79bn.
And profit margins at the
smartphone company continue to
decline, with operating margins
reaching just 12.7 per cent last
quarter and expected to hit 7.5 per
cent in the coming period.
HTC called this trend a tempo-
rary phenomenon and said the
margins will normalise when
product cycle transition is over.
HTC, whose smartphones oper-
ate on Android, is expected to
release four new handset models
later this month in a bid to catch
up with market rivals Apple,
which shipped 37m iPhones last
quarter, and Samsung, which fol-
lowed closely behind with its
Galaxy range.
By comparison, HTC yesterday
reported a 52.6 per cent drop in
January sales from a year earlier,
bringing in T$16.62bn.
Shares in the Taiwanese compa-
ny more than tripled in the year to
April 2011 before spending the
rest of the year in decline.
The stock dropped 5.2 per cent
to T$551 yesterday.
Phone maker HTC is
facing tough future
BY LAUREN DAVIDSON
TECHNOLOGY

NEWS | IN BRIEF
O2 extends rugby sponsorship
Telecoms giant O2 has renewed its
sponsorship agreement with the Rugby
Football Union, which has been in place
since rugby turned professional in 1995.
The deal which extends the partner-
ship until after the 2015 Rugby World
Cup gives O2 customers priority book-
ing for England matches at Twickenham
while the telecoms company supports
the RFUs various programmes.
Brits dominate UK album market
Brit music has returned to its Spice Girls
heyday, with British artists accounting
for 52.7 per cent of last years album
sales in the UK, according to Official
Charts Company data, pushing the US to
its lowest market share (32.7 per cent)
since 1999. But while Adele and
Coldplay increased Britains share of the
UK singles market to 42.6 per cent, the
US retained top spot with 43.8 per cent.
GlobeOp directors back TPG bid
The independent directors of takeover
target GlobeOp Financial Services have
re-stated their support for an offer from
US private equity giant TPG Partners
after the prospect of a rival bid
emerged. They said the 508m TPG bid
represents good value after US firm
SS&C Technologies, a rival to GlobeOp,
said it has been performing due dili-
gence. Connecticut based SS&C said
there is no certainty it will make a bid.
BT HAS spoken out against regula-
tions suggested to the European
Commission by media watchdog
Ofcom which would see the whole-
sale broadband providers prices fur-
ther capped.
This marks the third time Ofcom
has regulated rental costs for BT
Openreach, which dominates the
wholesale broadband line rental
market.
As they currently stand in draft
form, the changes would see the
price of wholesale line rental
through BT Openreach drop from an
annual 103.68 to 98.81, decreasing
further each year according to the
formula retail price index (RPI) less
7.3 per cent.
Wholesale rental of an entire line
to a property will cost 87.41 next
year, while the lease of part of a line
will be charged at 11.92, down from
91.50 and 14.70 respectively the
prices stated by Ofcoms last review
of BT Openreach.
These charges will also decrease
each year by a set formula until 31
March 2014.
However, BT said it disagrees with
several of Ofcoms underlying
assumptions, such as the weighted
cost of capital, level of efficiency sav-
ings and rate of inflation.
The British telecoms company said
it will consider an appeal if the
European Commission approves the
suggestions.
After consulting BT stakeholders,
customers and competitors last year,
Ofcom expects to publish a final
decision, with approval from
Brussels, in early March.
BT Openreach cost
could be capped
further by Ofcom
BY LAUREN DAVIDSON
TELECOMS

Swedish Kinnevik bids for


remaining chunk of Metro
SWEDISH investment firm Kinnevik
has made an all cash offer for the
half of Metro International it does
not already own, valuing the news-
paper group at around 1.15bn
Swedish krona (108m).
Kinnevik, which currently owns
46.6 per cent of Metro and controls
42.4 per cent of the votes, has offered
a premium of approximately 46 per
cent compared to Metros volume-
weighted average share price on
Nasdaq during the last three
months.
The Swedish company has pro-
posed a price of SEK0.9 for Class A
shares, SEK0.94 for B shares, SEK0.5
for warrants and SEK0.4 for deben-
tures.
Mia Brunell Livfors, chief execu-
tive and president of Kinnevik, said:
We have followed Metros develop-
ment with great interest since the
company was founded more than 15
years ago to its present position as a
unique and world leading player on
the free newspaper market.
Kinnevik is the largest stakeholder
in Metro, which distributes free
newspapers in over 100 cities.
The Swedish company also holds
stakes in Baltic broadcaster Modern
Times Group, telecoms company
Tele2 and discount website Groupon.
Metro shares jumped 19 per cent,
closing at SEK0.93.
MEDIA

Kinnevik, under chief Mia Brunell Livfors,


already owns 46.6 per cent of Metro shares
Taiwanese firm is caught in pincer
THE demise of Nokia happened in
slow motion. Apple released its
first iPhone in 2007 but it took
almost four years before Nokia
admitted it was standing on a
burning platform. Even now,
some believe Nokias new
Microsoft Windows smartphone,
the Lumia, could snatch the
Finnish handset maker from the
jaws of defeat (for the record, we
arent one of them).
The tale of HTCs fall from grace
couldnt be more different. Last
year, it was in bullish mood, hav-
ing chalked up impressive gains in
the US, where its 24 per cent share
of the smartphone market bested
even Apple (20 per cent). At the
end of October, the firm was say-
ing it expected to grow fourth
quarter revenues by a third.
In fact, they fell by 23 per cent
compared to the earlier quarter,
causing profit to drop for the first
time in two years. Now it expects
sales to fall a further 35.5 per cent
in the first three months of the
year. This car crash is happening at
breakneck speed.
Although it is still in fine fettle
compared to Nokia, the direction
and speed of travel is alarming
nonetheless.
So where did it all go wrong?
Firstly, HTCs strong sales had
more to do with the runaway suc-
cess of the Google Android soft-
ware that powered its phones; the
handsets themselves were pretty
unremarkable, especially when
pitted against iPhones and
Samsung Galaxys. Now there is a
greater choice of Android phones,
and customers arent choosing
HTC.
We always argued HTC would be
better placed focusing on the low-
end smartphone market that is
ripening up in emerging markets.
Even that looks unlikely now, with
ZTE and Huawei making strong
gains in the sub-$200 space.
So HTC finds itself caught in a
pincer movement, with luxury
titans Apple and Samsung on one
side, and budget players on the
other. We dont fancy its chances.
david.crow@cityam.com
BOTTOMLINE
Analysis by David Crow
ANALYSIS l HTC Corp
TWD
3Feb 6Feb 31 Jan 1 Feb 2Feb
600
575
550
525
500
551.00
6 Feb
RETAIL sales have remained sluggish
at the start of 2012, despite earlier
reports that weak consumer confi-
dence was turning a corner.
Like-for-like sales were down 0.3
per cent in January compared to the
same time last year, the British Retail
Consortium (BRC) said this morning.
Customers parked their worries
in December and spent, encouraged
by discounts, commented the BRCs
Stephen Robertson. Now, in the New
Year, reality has bitten again as con-
cerns about jobs, wages and house-
hold costs reassert themselves.
Tough comparisons hurt the fig-
ures. Last winter saw high levels of
deferred sales in the January, after
heavy snow prevented people from
hitting the shops in December 2010.
Separate figures from Visa showed
annualised sales down 2.2 per cent,
despite a 0.4 per cent rise in the value
of purchases between December and
January.
Yet the underlying trend remains
bleak, with the BRC revealing like-for-
like sales up by just 0.3 per cent on
the three month weighted average,
compared to a year earlier.
The value of total sales which
includes sales from new shops and
expanded shop-floors rose 2.1 per
cent in January and 2.4 per cent in
the three month measure, with both
figures significantly below current
levels of inflation.
Earlier in the month a survey of
consumer confidence hinted that
tumbling sentiment among UK shop-
pers could have bottomed out.
THE UKS largest companies face a
huge deficit in their defined benefit
pension funds which shows no sign of
being closed, Mercers pensions risk
survey revealed yesterday.
Combined deficits of FTSE 350 firms
stood at 83bn on 31 January, the
study showed, barely changed from
the 84bn deficit recorded at the end
of December.
Asset values did rise in the month,
from 478bn to 487bn, but liabilities
also rose from 562bn to 570bn due
to a small fall in corporate bond yields
which are used to discount liabilities.
The changes in January highlight a
number of factors at play driving the
overall funding level, said Ali Tayyebi,
senior partner and pension risk group
leader at Mercer.
Although the FTSE 100 increased
by around two per cent over the
month, pressure remained on the lia-
bility side with double-A corporate
bond yields reducing further over the
month.
The survey covers about half of pen-
sion scheme liabilities. The pensions
regulators data showed UK pension
schemes as a whole had a shortfall in
assets of 471bn in March 2011.
Company pension deficits show little
sign of being filled, warns risk survey
RESILIENT car sales have provided a
boost to the UKs outlook, economists
said yesterday.
New car registrations edged up by
0.03 per cent last month, compared
to January 2011, figures from the
Society of Motor Manufacturers and
Traders (SMMT) showed.
This is surprising because almost
200,000 cars were pre-registered by
the industry in December 2011 which
will have depressed January 2012 new
car registrations compared to January
2011, explained John Leach of KPMG.
Howard Archer of IHS Global
Insight added: Encouragingly, pri-
vate car sales rose 2.3 per cent year-on-
year in January, having been very
much a weak link in 2011 when they
fell by 14.1 per cent over the year.
Strong car registrations
boost outlook for the UK
UK ECONOMY

AUTOMOTIVE

RETIRED homeowners are losing out


from housing market volatility,
according to research published yester-
day by Key Retirement Solutions (KRS).
Over-65s own an estimated
749.45bn worth of property outright,
and lost 7.185bn in the last three
months as the housing market stalled
equivalent to 1,236 each.
The markets continuing poor per-
formance means pensioners are down
25bn since September 2010.
Those in London and the south east
have been worst hit, losing an average
of 5,937, while homeowners in Wales,
the north east and the west Midlands
have seen gains in property values.
Losses in the past three months
show the recovery is still a long way
off, said KRSs Dean Mirfin.
People are starting to realise that
waiting for recovery is not a viable
strategy when considering equity
release.
Retired homeowners are losing
billions in weak property market
UK ECONOMY

HOUSE prices rose in January,


defying the trend of recent
months, Halifax said yester-
day, as it warned that values
are set to stagnate this year.
Average prices increased 0.6
per cent to 160,907, though
they fell 0.9 per cent over the quarter
and are down 1.8 per cent since
January 2011.
Low interest rates have con-
tributed to mortgage pay-
ments falling to their
lowest level as a propor-
tion of disposable earn-
ings for a new
borrower for 14 years,
said Halifax econo-
mist Martin Ellis.
Mortgage pay-
ments for first-time
buyers and for
movers stood at 27 per
cent of disposable earn-
ings in the fourth quarter
of 2011, well below the 37 per cent
average recorded over the past 27
years and almost 50 per cent down on
the 48 per cent peak seen in 2007.
A recent improvement in employ-
ment trends may also have supported
demand, said Ellis, though other
economists point to the simultane-
ous rise in unemployment as a factor
pushing prices down.
Halifax expects prices will stagnate
throughout 2012, though if the
Eurozone crisis drags the UK into
recession, they may sink further.
House prices set to stagnate
BY TIM WALLACE
PROPERTY

Retail morale
is knocked by
sluggish sales
BY JULIAN HARRIS
RETAIL

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News
18 CITYA.M. 7 FEBRUARY 2012
TOP FED OFFICIAL HITS OUT AT LOW RATES
Years of ultra-low interest rates, which the Federal Reserve is advocating, distort and
damage the economy by hitting savers and paring back savers spending at a time when
consumers are increasingly reluctant to borrow, St Louis Fed president James Bullard
argued yesterday. As a result, current policies will fail, he said. Picture: REUTERS
NEWS | IN BRIEF
Warning of crisis over youth jobs
Youth unemployment is threatening to
become a crisis we cannot afford, said
a report published yesterday. Over
250,000 young people have been unem-
ployed for over a year according to
Labour MP David Miliband, who chaired
the commission, with a further 200,000
unemployed for over six months. Some
of the areas of the highest youth unem-
ployment have the lowest levels of immi-
gration, Miliband added, dismissing the
governments concern over foreign
workers. The commission suggested
doubling the number of wage subsidies
for the young unemployed. It also sug-
gested that every young person in
employment should mentor a jobless
young person.
German factory orders bounce up
Orders at German factories recovered
more than expected at the end of 2011,
due to strong demand from outside the
Eurozone. New orders were up 1.7 per
cent in December compared to
November, when they tumbled by
almost five per cent. A breakdown of
the data showed that non-Eurozone
orders bounced back by 12.3 per cent,
having dipped heavily in November.
German new orders have been on a
rollercoaster ride during the last couple
of months, with sharp monthly fluctua-
tions probably due to bulk orders, com-
mented INGs Carsten Brzeski. The high
volatility actually masks a trend of sta-
bilisation.
RANDGOLD Resources has seen its
profits surge by 259 per cent, allowing
it to double its dividend, it announced
yesterday.
The gold miner, whose main opera-
tions are in West Africa, attributed the
figures to the strong performance of
its Mali mines and rises in the price of
gold.
Randgold posted full-year profits for
2011 of $433.4m (274.6m) with output
rising 58 per cent to 696,023 ounces.
That was in line with guidance,
although the miner had already
trimmed that guidance twice after
operational problems.
The FTSE 100 company said its Mali
mines had offset weaknesses in pro-
duction in the Ivory Coast after poor
weather and other practical issues had
taken had taken their toll.
Production at the Tongon mine in
Ivory Coast fell by 40 per cent in the
fourth quarter, triggered by problems
attached to connecting the site to the
national grid in the country.
However, the project was unaffected
by political unrest in the country last
year. There were also some issues with
its Kibali project in the Democratic
Republic of Congo.
Chief executive Mark Bristow said:
Randgolds long-term strategy of
building sustainably profitable gold-
mining businesses through discovery
and development continues to pay
off.
The Jersey-registered company, with
stock market listings in London and
New York, proposed doubling its divi-
dend to $0.40 per share on the back of
a surge in earnings per share.
Randgold forecast that production
will rise to between 825,000 and
865,000 ounces in 2012.
Analysts are tipping growth to come
from the Loulo-Gounkoto mines on
Malis western border.
Production rocketed by 34 per cent
and profits from its mining operations
there by nearly 90 per cent. Randgold
added that it expected costs to remain
at around the same level for 2012,
before dropping over the next five
years.
Randgold in
dividend hike
as profit lifts
BY JOHN DUNNE
MINING

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OIL and gas company Afren yester-
day announced that it had started
drilling off the coast of Ghana.
Afren said that drilling began at
the Keta block with Eni Ghana.
Afren and Eni Italys largest
energy company each have 35 per
cent stakes in the block.
Japanese conglomerate Mitsui
and the Ghana National Petroleum
Corporation own interests worth 20
and 10 per cent, respectively.
The drilling is taking place at the
Volta River Basin near Eastern
Ghana.
Afren chief exec Omar
Shahenshah (pic-
tured) said: The
company is now
firmly engaged in
its most active
phase of explo-
ration activity
across its core assets
which are said to
have the potential to
ma t e r i a l l y
increase the
companys
discovered
reserves
base.
Yesterdays announcement fol-
lows Januarys discovery at the
Okoro East exploration well.
In addition to its African opera-
tions Afren has recently embarked
on projects in Kurdistan.
Last month Afren posted 2011
production figures and output fore-
casts for this year that missed ana-
lyst expectations. Problems
at the companys key
Ebok oil field in
Nigeria was part of
the reason for the
bleaker figures,
the firm said.
Afren starts drilling off the Ghana
coast in the hope of finding more oil
BY HARRY BANKS
ENERGY

Premier
plugs East
Fyne well
FTSE 250-listed Premier Oil said yes-
terday it would abandon an apprais-
al well in the North Sea as it would
not be commercially viable to con-
tinue.
The East Fyne appraisal well was
drilled to a depth of 5,020 feet. It
encountered 11 feet of gas bearing
sands and eight feet of oil bearing
sands at the low end of Premiers
estimates.
It said in a statement: The
results of the East Fyne Appraisal
well will be incorporated into the
Greater Fyne Area go forward plans
and a decision on whether a com-
mercial development is viable for
Premier is expected to be taken by
the end of the second quarter of
2012.
Meanwhile Premier said that in
Indonesia, the Anoa development
well on Natuna Sea Block had been
deepened to a total depth of 11,012
feet to investigate the potential of
the Lama Formation.
The next exploration well to be
drilled in the Natuna Sea Block A
will be at Biawak Besar which is
expected to spud in March 2012, the
company said in its update.
Shares in Premier Oil closed
down 1.1 per cent yesterday at
413.7p.
Antrim, Premiers partner in the
East Fyne well with a 35 per cent
stake, saw its Aim-listed shares
plunge 22.5 per cent to 70.5p follow-
ing the news.
BY JOHN DUNNE
ENERGY

NEWS | IN BRIEF
Greencore moves to sterling
Food group Greencore is planning to
change the denomination of its shares.
Subject to approval at the companys
annual general meeting on Thursday,
Ordinary Shares of 0.01 will be
changed to 0.01 at close of business
on 10 February. It said that for share
dealing purposes the effective date of
the change in share denomination is 13
February. In December, the reporting
currency of Greencore was changed to
sterling and dividends will also be
declared in the currency.
Compass acquires Dora Gastro
Compass Group, the worlds largest
caterer, said yesterday it had complet-
ed its acquisition of Dora Gastro in the
Czech Republic. The group announced
that it had agreed to acquire the food
services provider in December.
However, it required the green light
from the Office for the Protection of
Competition in the Czech Republic.
Compass, which snapped up a number
of small companies last year in a glut
of acquisitions, said the clearance had
now been given.
Red Rock sells Mount Ida slice
Red Rock Resources said yesterday it
had sold a 50 per cent stake in its
Mount Ida royalty for $14m. FTSE
250-listed Anglo Pacific is paying
$14m (8.8m) for the interest in the
iron ore project, which is based in
western Australia and is being devel-
oped by Jupiter mines. The acquisi-
tion will be paid for in three
instalments including some shares,
the firm said in a statement yester-
day. Red Rock shares rose 3.8 per
cent to 3p on the back of the news.
News
19 CITYA.M. 7 FEBRUARY 2012
West Africa
Mali
Burkina Faso
Ghana
Cote dIvoire
Senegal
Loulo Mine
Morila Mine
Tongon
Project
ANALYST VIEWS: CAN RANDGOLD CONTINUE
ON ITS GROWTH PATH? Interviews by John Dunne

ANDY DAVIDSON | NUMIS


Overall a positive operational and earnings update and a good hike in
the dividend which should keep everyone happy. As expected, lower production
from Tongon following the perfect storm of issues, offset by better ounces from
the Loulo- Gounkoto complex.

JOHN MCGLOIN | COLLINS STEWART


With a strong gold price we see upside in the stock, which should bene-
fit on these results. Kibali, which is expected to go into production in 2013, will be
the key growth driver for capital expenditure, including investments in the antici-
pated start-up of construction at Kibali, set to reach $660m this year.

KEITH BOWMAN | HARGREAVES LANSDOWN


Gold continues to be buoyed by concerns that central banks will simply
print more money, while shareholders have today been rewarded with a increase
in the dividend payment. In all, and with ongoing group investment balanced
against sizeable share price upside over the year, we say hold.

ANALYSIS l Randgold Resources


p
3Feb 6Feb 31 Jan 1 Feb 2Feb
7,800
7,700
7,600
7,500
7,400
7,300
7,200
7,100
7,565.00
6 Feb
Randgold chief executive
Mark Bristow (inset) has seen
growth in West Africa
Covington & Burling
Veteran litigator Casey Cooper is leav-
ing Baker Botts to join Covington &
Burling as a partner in the London
office, to focus on its global anti-cor-
ruption and white-collar practices. In
2008, Cooper was a member of the
Obama administrations transition
team, focusing on the justice depart-
ments policy and operations.
Maxwell Drummond
Oil and gas headhunter Maxwell
Drummond has appointed Andy
Baillie as chief executive of Talent
Reservoir, its upstream recruitment
process outsourcing start-up. Baillie
joins from Kenexa, where he was vice
president, alliances.
Bfinance
The independent consultant has
appointed Chris Jones, chief invest-
ment officer of hedge fund Key Asset
Management, as head of alternatives.
Jones has 18 years experience in
hedge funds and has authored a num-
ber of publications on trading and risk
management.
Amati Global Investors
David Stevenson has joined the invest-
ment team at the investment manage-
ment boutique. He joins from Cartesian
Capital, which he co-founded in 2005;
prior to that, he was assistant director
at SVM, where he managed a range of
UK equity products.
Cala Group
The housebuilder has appointed Mike
Pacitti as a non-executive director.
Pacitti spent the majority of his
career as a non-executive director and
chairman of 3is portfolio companies,
and his current non-executive direc-
torships include a seat on the board of
House of Fraser. Additionally, Ian
Percy, senior independent director
and chairman of CALAs audit, gover-
nance and remuneration committee,
will retire in March 2012.
DC Advisory Partners
Andrew Strudwick has been appoint-
ed as an executive director in the
European financial sponsors group,
led by Simon Tilley. Strudwick most
recently worked at 3i Group, where he
was an investment director and co-
founded 3is UK technology, media
and telecoms team.
CITY MOVES | WHOS SWITCHING JOBS Edited by Harriet Dennys
+44 (0)20 7092 0053
morganmckinley.com
To appear in CITYMOVES please email your career
updates and pictures to citymoves@cityam.com SPECIALISTS IN GLOBAL PROFESSIONAL RECRUITMENT
in association with
Corporate results
worries sink stocks
U
S stocks closed slightly lower
yesterday as lingering questions
about Europes debt crisis and
corporate earnings overshad-
owed growing optimism about eco-
nomic growth after a five-week rally.
The S&P has risen about seven per
cent so far this year, helped by a slew
of better-than-expected US economic
data, which was capped by Fridays
solid jobs report.
The magnitude and swiftness of
the gains, however, has kept some
investors on the sidelines. The S&P is
at levels not seen since July, and the
ongoing worries about Europe and
corporate results have some wonder-
ing if the market has more room to
rally.
Through yesterday morning, of the
290 companies in the S&P 500 that
had reported results so far for the
quarter, 60 per cent posted profits
that topped expectations, tracking
below recent quarters at this point of
the earnings season.
Companies arent surprising on
the upside like they have in previous
quarters, which could mean slow
going for stocks for a while, said
Tommy Huie, president and chief
investment officer at BMO Asset
Management in Milwaukee. That
said, I can see us near 1,400 on the
S&P by summer if we get decent news
out of Europe.
Another deadline lapsed in Athens
as political leaders failed to respond
to bailout terms from the European
Union and International Monetary
Fund. Greece needs the funds by
March in order to meet big debt
repayments and avoid a messy
default.
The Dow Jones industrial average
was down 17.10 points, or 0.13 per
cent, at 12,845.13. The Standard &
Poors 500 Index was down 0.57
points, or 0.04 per cent, at 1,344.33.
The Nasdaq Composite Index was
down 3.67 points, or 0.13 per cent, at
2,901.99.
Its not surprising for the market
to catch its breath after the very
strong start to the year that weve
seen, especially as there are still a lot
of concerns about what will happen
in Europe, said Bernie Schoenfeld,
senior investment strategist at BNY
Mellon Wealth Management in New
York. Were treading water in a fairly
calm market at this point, but some
retracement wouldnt be surprising.
Hasbro rose 2.2 per cent to $36.66
after the toymaker reported a fourth-
quarter profit just above analysts low-
ered expectations. Humana posted a
big rise in fourth-quarter profit, but
revenues came in below estimates,
sending shares down 5.4 per cent.
M
INERS dragged Britains top
share index lower yesterday,
after doubt surfaced about
Glencores potential merger
with Xstrata, while banks waned in
the absence of a debt deal for Greece.
The FTSE 100 index ended down
8.87 points, or 0.2 per cent, at
5,892.20, remaining near six-month
highs after strong US jobs data boost-
ed appetite for cyclical stocks. It had
risen four per cent over the previous
four trading days.
The bears have effectively had to
remove themselves from the field
after Fridays macro data and only a
retracement to 5,800 by the FTSE 100
would give them any real encourage-
ment, Silverwind Securities trader
Darren Sinden said.
Sinden said the prospect of a so-
called golden cross on the weekly
chart between the 20-day and 50-day
moving average lines, as the faster
moving line (20-day MA) closes in on
its slower moving peer from below,
will encourage the bulls longer term.
Having led the FTSE 100 higher so
far in 2012, miners were the top fall-
ers.
Glencore, which had risen 17 per-
cent over the previous three trading
days, fell 4.5 per cent as brokers said
the commodities trader might have
to pay a premium of up to 20 per cent
to satisfy shareholders in its proposed
$80+ billion merger with Xstrata.
UBS estimated synergies at around
$1bn between the two firms and said:
These are sufficient for Glencore to
pay around a 20 per cent premium on
the undisturbed price of Xstrata.
Xstrata, which had jumped 20 per
cent since news of the takeover talks,
fell 1.7 per cent after reports that
Glencore would offer 2.8 new shares
for each Xstrata share, an eight per
cent premium.
HB Markets downgraded Xstrata to
sell, saying: The premium is on the
light side, but we struggle to see that
Glencore would agree to any signifi-
cant upward revisions. And given
recent price action, most of the
upside is therefore priced in.
Banks, which have risen 18 per cent
this year, ebbed with doubts resurfac-
ing over Greeces ability to strike a
deal to avoid a chaotic default, which
could cripple the financial system.
German Chancellor Angela Merkel
told Greece yesterday to make up its
mind fast on accepting terms for a
new EU/IMF bailout. Greek political
leaders responded by delaying their
decision for another day.
It is easy to see where this caution
is coming from. The sovereign crisis
last year was, we reckon, quintessen-
tially a piece of hard to price macro
risk, analysts at BofA Merrill Lynch
said. It would be the sign of a die-
hard optimist of Bruce Willis-esque
proportions to be willing to rule out
similar macro angst this year.
Lloyds Banking Group, however,
bucked the weaker trend, up 2.6 per
cent with traders citing a positive
readacross from a Halifax report
which showed British house prices
rose 0.6 per cent in January.
Defensives dominated the risers list
as risk appetite waned with dividend
favourite Vodafone up 1.6 per cent
and Imperial Tobacco 0.8 percent
higher.
Oil major BP rose one per cent
ahead of results, while oil explorer
Cairn climbed as it commenced trad-
ing without rights to a 160p per share
cash distribution, and post comple-
tion of the 13-for-33 share consolida-
tion.
Randgold Resources rose 2.2 per
cent after saying profit in 2011 leapt
259 per cent to $433m and it would
double its dividend to 40 cents.
FTSE 100 falls on doubts over
deals for Greece and Glencore
THELONDON
REPORT
THENEW YORK
REPORT
BEST OF THE BROKERS
To appear in Best of the Brokers email your research to notes@cityam.com
ANALYSIS l Royal Dutch Shell Plc
2,400
2,300
2,200
2,100
Dec Jan Feb
p 2,257.00
6 Feb
ROYAL DUTCH SHELL
Credit Suisse downgrades the oil major from outperform to neutral and
cuts its target price from 2,750p to 2,600p after a key part of the brokers
positive investment case the long-awaited inflection point in free cash
flow in 2012 failed to materialise. Capex has been re-estimated to a high-
er figure of $32bn per year to drive growth, but Credit Suisse does not
expect a pay-off from this for several years.
ANALYSIS l French Connection Group PLC
70
60
50
40
Dec Jan Feb
p 51.00
6 Feb
FRENCH CONNECTION
Following another profit warning last Friday, Merchant Securities rates the
fashion retailer as a hold with a target price of 58p. The broker says a
strong balance sheet with net cash of 33m is encouraging, and supports
the current share price, but expects a downgrade of 2013 profits before
tax, which currently stand at 6.7m. The brokers sees the stock as fairly
priced at 6.3 times estimated 2013 earnings.
ANALYSIS l 888 Holdings PLC
55
50
45
40
35
Dec Jan Feb
p 57.25
6 Feb
888 HOLDINGS
Panmure Gordon rates the online gaming group as a buy with a target
price of 63p ahead of its fourth quarter statement due this morning. The
broker expects 888 to report $88.5m in total operating profit for the quar-
ter, driven largely by the companys poker and casino operations. Despite a
recent uplift in the share price on the extension of a US agreement with
Dragonfish, the broker sees the stock as inexpensive.
p
25Nov 7Nov 15Dec 9Jan 27Jan
6,000
5,400
5,600
5,200
5,800
ANALYSIS l FTSE
5,892.20
6 Feb
Deloitte
Mark Williams has been appointed as a partner
in Deloittes economic consulting practice.
Williams, who joins Deloitte from the World
Bank, will join a team of more than 30 in
Deloittes economic consulting practice, where he
will focus on telecoms clients. He worked at the
World Bank for five years, where he led the team
designing the banks strategy for African broad-
band infrastructure and published two books on
telecoms in Africa. Prior to that, he worked at
Frontier Economics for six years.
News
20 CITYA.M. 7 FEBRUARY 2012
LON GD ONCE FIX AM...........1717.00 -42.50
SILVER LDN FIX AM ..................33.62 -0.16
MAPLE LEAF 1 OZ ....................36.25 0.05
LON PLATINUM AM................1610.00 -21.00
LON PALLADIUM AM...............694.00 -16.00
ALUMINIUM CASH .................2158.00 -42.00
COPPER CASH ......................8315.00 -23.50
LEAD CASH...........................2146.50 24.50
NICKEL CASH......................20775.00 -37.00
TIN CASH.............................23975.00 -75.00
ZINC CASH ............................2087.50 -5.00
BRENT SPOT INDEX................113.24 1.39
SOYA .....................................1232.50 15.50
COCOA..................................2300.00 75.00
COFFEE...................................215.95 0.35
KRUG.....................................1785.20 -27.40
WHEAT ....................................168.12 1.62
AIR LIQUIDE........................................97.66 -0.31 100.65 80.90
ALLIANZ..............................................88.19 -0.33 108.85 56.16
ANHEUS-BUSCH INBEV ....................48.85 -0.09 49.00 33.85
ARCELORMITTAL...............................16.16 -0.39 28.55 10.47
AXA......................................................12.66 -0.07 16.16 7.88
BANCO SANTANDER...........................6.50 0.07 9.00 4.94
BASF SE..............................................61.35 0.03 70.22 42.19
BAYER.................................................55.25 0.16 59.44 35.36
BBVA......................................................7.22 0.03 9.17 4.94
BMW ....................................................70.76 0.78 73.85 43.49
BNP PARIBAS.....................................34.99 -0.21 59.93 22.72
CARREFOUR ......................................18.35 -0.04 31.64 14.66
CRH PLC .............................................15.62 -0.17 17.40 10.28
DAIMLER.............................................45.47 0.02 57.22 29.02
DANONE..............................................48.41 -0.22 53.16 41.92
DEU.BOERSE OFFRE ........................48.52 1.25 55.75 35.46
DEUTSCHE BANK..............................33.65 -0.39 48.70 20.79
DEUTSCHE TELEKOM.........................8.87 0.05 11.38 7.88
E.ON.....................................................17.11 0.01 25.00 12.50
ENEL......................................................3.09 0.01 4.86 2.78
ENI .......................................................17.18 -0.06 18.66 11.83
FRANCE TELECOM............................11.52 -0.02 16.65 11.09
GDF SUEZ ...........................................21.32 -0.25 30.05 17.65
GENERALI ASS...................................12.33 -0.03 17.05 10.34
IBERDROLA..........................................4.69 0.01 6.10 4.16
INDITEX ...............................................67.45 -0.78 69.40 50.92
ING GROEP CVA...................................7.31 -0.18 9.50 4.21
INTESA SANPAOLO.............................1.53 -0.04 2.47 0.85
KON.PHILIPS ELECTR.......................15.87 0.05 24.12 12.01
L'OREAL..............................................81.68 -0.38 91.24 68.83
LVMH..................................................128.65 -0.65 132.65 94.16
MUNICH RE.......................................105.40 -1.05 126.00 77.80
NOKIA....................................................3.81 -0.07 8.49 3.33
REPSOL YPF.......................................20.28 -0.87 24.90 17.31
RWE.....................................................32.41 0.82 53.86 21.15
SAINT-GOBAIN...................................35.63 -0.78 47.64 26.07
SANOFI ................................................55.80 -0.15 57.42 42.85
SAP......................................................48.09 -0.08 48.36 32.88
SCHNEIDER ELECTRIC.....................48.75 -1.08 61.83 35.00
SIEMENS .............................................75.79 -0.04 99.39 62.13
SOCIETE GENERALE.........................23.55 -0.70 52.70 14.32
TELECOM ITALIA..................................0.79 0.01 1.16 0.70
TELEFONICA ......................................13.42 -0.06 18.75 12.50
TOTAL..................................................40.91 -0.10 44.55 29.40
UNIBAIL-RODAMCO SE...................145.65 1.85 162.95 123.30
UNICREDIT............................................4.18 0.07 13.34 2.20
UNILEVER CVA...................................25.33 0.08 27.16 20.90
VINCI ....................................................36.97 -0.20 45.48 28.46
VIVENDI ...............................................16.17 -0.04 21.68 14.10
VOLKSWAGEN VORZ ......................143.45 1.25 152.20 86.40
Price Chg High Low
EUSHARES
WORLD INDICES
FTSE 100 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5892.20 -8.87 -0.15
FTSE 250 INDEX. . . . . . . . 11237.74 2.59 0.02
FTSE UK ALL SHARE . . . . 3043.62 -3.80 -0.12
FTSE AIMALL SH . . . . . . . . 784.62 3.19 0.41
DOWJONES INDUS 30 . . 12845.20 -17.03 -0.13
S&P 500 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1344.33 -0.57 -0.04
NASDAQ COMPOSITE . . . 2901.99 -3.67 -0.13
FTSEUROFIRST 300 . . . . . 1075.19 -1.51 -0.14
NIKKEI 225 . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8929.20 97.27 1.10
DAX 30 PERFORMANCE. . 6764.83 -1.84 -0.03
CAC 40 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3405.27 -22.65 -0.66
SHANGHAI SE INDEX . . . . 2331.14 0.73 0.03
HANG SENG. . . . . . . . . . . 20709.94 -47.04 -0.23
S&P/ASX 20 INDEX . . . . . . 2582.40 0.00 0.00
ASX ALL ORDINARIES . . . 4364.60 0.00 0.00
BOVESPA SAO PAOLO. . 65223.72 6.35 0.01
ISEQ OVERALL INDEX . . . 3139.26 3.94 0.13
STRAITS TIMES . . . . . . . . . 2904.76 -1.93 -0.07
IGBM. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 890.46 -0.94 -0.11
SWISS MARKET INDEX. . . 6147.03 -6.28 -0.10
Price Chg %chg
3M........................................................87.56 -0.17 98.19 68.63
ABBOTT LABS ...................................55.39 0.39 56.84 45.28
ALCOA ................................................10.74 -0.03 18.47 8.45
ALTRIA GROUP..................................28.64 -0.20 30.40 23.20
AMAZON.COM..................................183.14 -4.54 246.71 160.59
AMERICAN EXPRESS........................51.81 -0.44 53.80 41.30
AMGEN INC.........................................69.12 -0.16 70.00 47.66
APPLE...............................................463.97 4.29 464.98 310.50
AT&T....................................................29.97 0.02 31.94 27.27
BANK OF AMERICA.............................7.97 0.13 14.95 4.92
BERKSHIRE HATAW B.......................79.85 -0.15 87.65 65.35
BOEING CO.........................................75.46 -0.88 80.65 56.01
CATERPILLAR..................................113.78 -0.16 116.55 67.54
CHEVRON.........................................106.67 1.17 110.99 86.68
CISCO SYSTEMS................................20.19 0.10 22.34 13.30
CITIGROUP.........................................33.30 -0.24 49.60 21.40
COCA-COLA.......................................68.03 -0.05 71.77 61.29
COMCAST CLASS A..........................27.09 -0.06 27.18 19.19
CONOCOPHILLIPS.............................71.32 0.86 81.80 58.65
CVS/CAREMARK................................43.27 -0.24 43.98 31.30
DU PONT(EI) DE NMR........................51.78 -0.23 57.00 37.10
EXXON MOBIL....................................85.75 0.83 88.23 63.47
GENERAL ELECTRIC.........................19.05 0.03 21.65 14.02
GOLDMAN SACHS GRP ..................117.39 -0.14 169.90 84.27
GOOGLE A........................................609.09 12.76 670.25 473.02
HEWLETT PACKARD.........................28.76 -0.31 49.39 19.92
HOME DEPOT.....................................45.20 0.03 45.50 28.13
IBM.....................................................192.82 -0.82 194.90 151.71
INTEL CORP .......................................26.72 -0.02 27.00 19.16
J.P.MORGAN CHASE.........................38.14 -0.14 48.36 27.85
JOHNSON & JOHNSON.....................65.19 -0.45 68.05 55.76
KRAFT FOODS A................................38.70 -0.18 39.06 24.30
MC DONALD'S CORP ........................99.49 -0.52 102.22 72.89
MERCK AND CO. NEW......................38.40 0.03 39.43 29.47
MICROSOFT........................................30.20 -0.04 30.40 23.65
OCCID. PETROLEUM.......................104.00 1.37 117.89 66.36
ORACLE CORP...................................29.00 -0.11 36.50 24.72
PEPSICO.............................................66.52 -0.14 71.89 58.50
PFIZER ................................................20.95 -0.25 22.17 16.63
PHILIP MORRIS INTL .........................76.85 0.23 79.96 57.49
PROCTER AND GAMBLE ..................63.51 0.74 67.72 56.57
QUALCOMM INC ................................61.07 0.01 61.95 45.98
SCHLUMBERGER ..............................79.64 0.98 95.64 54.79
TRAVELERS CIES..............................59.33 -0.79 64.17 45.97
UNITED TECHNOLOGIE ....................80.57 -0.48 91.83 66.87
VERIZON COMMS ..............................38.14 0.30 40.48 32.28
VISA CL A..........................................107.36 0.33 108.27 70.45
WAL-MART STORES..........................61.88 -0.15 62.63 48.31
WALT DISNEY CO ..............................40.46 0.46 44.34 28.19
WELLS FARGO & CO.........................30.20 -0.43 34.25 22.58
COMMODITIES CREDIT & RATES
BoE IR Overnight ............................0.500 0.00
BoE IR 7 days.................................0.500 0.00
BoE IR 1 month ..............................0.500 0.00
BoE IR 3 months ............................0.500 0.00
BoE IR 6 months ............................0.500 0.00
LIBOR Euro - overnight ..................0.281 0.00
LIBOR Euro - 12 months ................1.700 0.00
LIBOR USD - overnight...................0.141 0.00
LIBOR USD - 12 months.................1.082 0.00
HaIifax mortgage rate .....................3.990 -0.02
Euro Base Rate ...............................1.500 0.00
Finance house base rate................1.500 0.00
US Fed funds...................................0.250 0.00
US Iong bond yieId .........................3.090 -0.01
European repo rate.........................0.230 0.00
Euro Euribor ....................................0.384 0.00
The vix index ...................................17.91 0.81
The baItic dry index ........................614.0 -33.0
Markit iBoxx...................................241.44 -0.61
Markit iTraxx..................................127.10 -5.98
Price Chg High Low
Price Chg %chg Price Chg %chg Price Chg %chg
USSHARES
BAE Systems . . . . . .317.9 -1.2 356.5 248.1
Chemring Group . . . .412.7 -12.3 736.5 368.8
Cobham . . . . . . . . . . .188.9 -2.6 236.5 165.9
Meggitt . . . . . . . . . . . .370.2 -2.5 397.6 304.9
QinetiQ Group . . . . . .136.0 1.0 137.4 101.5
RoIIs-Royce HoIdi . . .785.5 0.5 788.5 557.5
Senior . . . . . . . . . . . . .186.9 2.2 190.6 132.6
UItra EIectronics . . .1579.0 4.0 1830.0 1305.0
GKN . . . . . . . . . . . . . .224.6 -1.0 245.0 157.0
BarcIays . . . . . . . . . . .231.4 -6.1 333.6 138.9
HSBC HoIdings . . . . .557.5 -2.0 730.9 463.5
LIoyds Banking Gr . . .35.3 0.9 69.3 21.8
RoyaI Bank of Sco . . .28.8 0.1 49.0 17.3
Standard Chartere .1588.5 -15.5 1712.5 1169.5
AG Barr . . . . . . . . . .1261.0 1.0 1395.0 1031.0
Britvic . . . . . . . . . . . . .368.0 -1.7 449.2 289.9
Diageo . . . . . . . . . . .1474.0 13.0 1474.0 1112.0
SABMiIIer . . . . . . . . .2494.0 -32.5 2530.0 1979.0
AZ EIectronic Mat . . .314.0 2.6 338.1 206.1
Croda Internation . .1999.0 1.0 2081.0 1456.0
EIementis . . . . . . . . . .160.4 -1.5 187.4 107.5
Johnson Matthey . .2255.0 -15.0 2278.0 1523.0
Victrex . . . . . . . . . . .1402.0 22.0 1590.0 1025.0
YuIe Catto & Co . . . . .199.8 -0.7 253.0 148.0
C/$ 1.3118 0.0028
C/ 0.8293 0.0024
C/ 100.38 0.2213
/C 1.2058 0.0034
/$ 1.5816 0.0011
/ 121.04 0.6156
FTSE 100
5892.20
8.87
FTSE 250
11237.74
2.59
FTSE ALLSHARE
3043.62
3.80
DOW
12845.20
17.03
NASDAQ
2901.99
3.67
S&P 500
1344.33
0.57
Smith (DS) . . . . . . . . .163.0 4.3 266.2 157.0
Smiths Group . . . . .1000.0 -17.0 1429.0 869.5
Brown (N.) Group . . .244.8 1.2 304.5 227.0
Carpetright . . . . . . . . .602.0 18.5 770.5 375.0
Debenhams . . . . . . . . .71.4 0.7 74.8 51.2
Dignity . . . . . . . . . . . .786.0 0.0 854.5 648.5
Dixons RetaiI . . . . . . .14.8 0.4 22.3 9.4
DuneImGroup . . . . . .476.0 -0.2 524.5 383.9
HaIfords Group . . . . .327.4 0.5 411.4 268.6
Home RetaiI Group . .114.5 -2.6 235.0 72.5
Inchcape . . . . . . . . . .358.2 -3.0 425.4 268.1
JD Sports Fashion . .799.0 18.0 1030.0 570.0
Kesa EIectricaIs . . . . .74.0 -1.0 151.4 60.2
Kingfisher . . . . . . . . .271.9 -1.0 287.1 217.0
Marks & Spencer G . .345.8 4.7 402.2 301.8
Next . . . . . . . . . . . . .2768.0 -3.0 2810.0 1868.0
Sports Direct Int . . . .254.2 -2.5 266.2 159.0
WH Smith . . . . . . . . . .528.0 0.5 559.0 433.8
Smith & Nephew . . . .642.5 2.5 742.0 521.0
Synergy HeaIth . . . . .887.5 31.0 981.0 808.0
Barratt DeveIopme . .119.6 -0.3 121.0 67.5
BeIIway . . . . . . . . . . . .780.5 -11.5 800.0 540.5
BerkeIey Group Ho .1299.0 1.0 1360.0 934.5
BaIfour Beatty . . . . . .284.3 -3.5 357.3 214.6
CRH . . . . . . . . . . . . .1296.0 -14.0 1700.0 1053.0
GaIIiford Try . . . . . . . .493.9 9.9 530.0 321.0
Kier Group . . . . . . . .1416.0 18.0 1458.0 1097.0
Drax Group . . . . . . . .530.0 -10.5 581.5 371.9
SSE . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1247.0 -5.0 1423.0 1166.0
Domino Printing S . .619.5 22.0 705.0 434.3
HaIma . . . . . . . . . . . . .375.5 4.3 429.6 306.3
Laird . . . . . . . . . . . . . .170.0 0.6 207.0 127.9
Morgan CrucibIe C . .331.0 4.4 357.1 224.0
Oxford Instrument .1083.0 88.0 1083.0 600.5
Renishaw . . . . . . . . .1496.0 11.0 1886.0 800.0
Spectris . . . . . . . . . .1620.0 -4.0 1679.0 1039.0
Aberforth SmaIIer . . .600.0 4.0 714.0 494.0
AIIiance Trust . . . . . .363.7 -1.7 392.7 310.2
Bankers Inv Trust . . .404.9 -2.6 428.0 346.5
BH GIobaI Ltd. GB .1167.0 -12.0 1212.0 1058.0
BH GIobaI Ltd. US . . . .11.8 0.0 12.2 10.4
BH Macro Ltd. EUR . . .19.7 0.2 20.2 16.3
BH Macro Ltd. GBP 2028.0 7.0 2078.0 1661.0
BH Macro Ltd. USD . . .19.4 0.0 20.2 16.2
BIackRock WorId M .744.5 -2.5 815.5 574.5
BIueCrest AIIBIue . . .161.0 0.0 176.2 160.8
British Assets Tr . . . .126.5 1.0 139.5 109.0
British Empire Se . . .451.0 1.5 533.0 404.0
CaIedonia Investm .1503.0 0.0 1819.0 1337.0
City of London In . . .294.0 0.5 306.9 257.0
Dexion AbsoIute L . .139.7 0.1 151.0 130.0
Edinburgh Dragon . .242.2 0.2 252.0 201.4
Edinburgh Inv Tru . . .478.2 0.0 492.2 414.9
EIectra Private E . . .1548.0 1.0 1755.0 1287.0
F&C Inv Trust . . . . . .304.0 -0.3 327.9 261.5
FideIity China Sp . . . . .83.7 -0.8 114.3 70.0
FideIity European . .1087.0 2.0 1287.0 912.0
HeraId Inv Trust . . . . .503.5 5.8 545.5 419.0
HICL Infrastructu . . . .118.4 0.0 121.3 112.7
Impax Environment .100.0 0.0 125.4 88.5
John Laing Infras . . .109.7 0.2 109.7 103.4
JPMorgan American .919.0 -1.0 924.0 721.5
JPMorgan Asian In . .199.9 -0.1 244.0 170.1
JPMorgan Emerging .569.0 -1.0 610.5 480.1
JPMorgan European .718.0 10.5 983.5 624.0
JPMorgan Indian I . . .388.8 1.1 459.0 313.1
JPMorgan Russian .566.5 2.5 741.0 415.1
Law Debenture Cor . .366.6 6.0 385.0 321.0
MercantiIe Inv Tr . . . .973.5 3.5 1137.0 823.0
Merchants Trust . . . .380.5 3.4 431.8 341.5
Monks Inv Trust . . . .329.0 1.3 367.9 298.1
Murray Income Tru . .651.0 1.5 673.0 568.0
Murray Internatio . . .964.0 -3.0 991.5 818.5
PerpetuaI Income . . .264.0 0.0 276.0 236.5
PersonaI Assets T .34390.0 120.0 34390.030210.0
PoIar Cap TechnoI . .361.5 2.6 391.2 299.5
RIT CapitaI Partn . . .1238.0 5.0 1360.0 1173.0
Scottish Inv Trus . . . .479.9 2.0 524.0 417.0
Scottish Mortgage . .679.0 -4.0 781.0 565.0
SVG CapitaI . . . . . . . .235.0 4.7 279.8 165.1
TempIe Bar Inv Tr . . .909.0 -1.0 952.0 791.0
TempIeton Emergin .617.0 -5.0 684.5 497.0
TR Property Inv T . . .156.6 -1.4 206.1 136.2
TR Property Inv T . . . .66.7 1.6 94.0 59.8
Witan Inv Trust . . . . .483.6 0.5 533.0 401.5
3i Group . . . . . . . . . . .204.2 -1.0 319.4 166.9
3i Infrastructure . . . .121.9 0.3 124.0 113.4
Aberdeen Asset Ma .250.6 -2.0 252.6 167.8
Ashmore Group . . . .388.6 -1.4 420.0 301.5
Brewin DoIphin Ho . .152.9 1.2 185.4 113.7
CameIIia . . . . . . . . . .9730.5 -29.010950.0 8800.0
CharIes TayIor Co . . .127.0 3.5 165.0 115.6
City of London Gr . . . .66.0 0.0 93.6 61.3
City of London In . . .364.8 4.8 450.0 304.3
CIose Brothers Gr . . .708.0 -6.0 875.0 590.0
CoIIins Stewart H . . . .93.5 1.0 94.0 48.5
F&C Asset Managem .68.0 -0.6 91.0 56.1
Hargreaves Lansdo .441.0 -3.1 646.5 402.5
HeIphire Group . . . . . . .2.3 -0.0 17.4 1.4
Henderson Group . . .119.5 -0.6 173.1 95.1
Highway CapitaI . . . . .13.0 0.0 21.0 6.5
ICAP . . . . . . . . . . . . . .383.0 0.8 556.5 311.6
IG Group HoIdings . .500.5 5.8 502.5 393.6
Intermediate Capi . . .298.3 -5.6 354.7 197.9
InternationaI Per . . . .213.6 0.6 388.8 148.5
InternationaI Pub . . .121.1 0.0 121.5 108.6
Investec . . . . . . . . . . .396.8 -6.1 522.0 318.4
IP Group . . . . . . . . . . .102.0 0.5 102.0 33.9
Jupiter Fund Mana . .247.0 5.2 337.3 184.9
Liontrust Asset M . . . .91.1 -0.3 91.8 57.9
LMS CapitaI . . . . . . . . .56.5 -0.3 64.8 52.8
London Finance & . . .22.5 0.0 23.5 19.0
London Stock Exch .944.5 -2.5 1076.0 756.5
Lonrho . . . . . . . . . . . . .10.0 -0.5 19.8 8.9
Man Group . . . . . . . . .137.0 0.3 311.0 104.5
Paragon Group Of . .184.4 0.1 206.1 134.6
Provident Financi . . .985.0 1.0 1124.0 915.0
Rathbone Brothers .1199.0 2.0 1257.0 977.0
Record . . . . . . . . . . . . .11.6 0.0 35.5 11.4
RSM Tenon Group . . . .5.9 -0.2 57.0 5.8
Schroders . . . . . . . .1609.0 -20.0 1906.0 1183.0
Schroders (Non-Vo .1285.0 -16.0 1554.0 970.0
TuIIett Prebon . . . . . .314.1 -0.5 428.6 262.3
WaIker Crips Grou . . .40.0 0.0 51.5 40.0
BT Group . . . . . . . . . .216.0 2.0 217.0 161.0
CabIe & WireIess . . . .45.2 1.3 51.2 31.3
CabIe & WireIess . . . .21.4 -0.1 76.9 14.2
COLT Group SA . . . . .91.6 -0.6 156.2 84.1
KCOM Group . . . . . . . .75.0 1.8 84.0 57.5
TaIkTaIk TeIecom . . .118.9 -1.9 159.0 118.9
TeIecomPIus . . . . . . .654.5 -21.0 802.0 440.0
Booker Group . . . . . . .75.1 -0.7 80.0 54.5
Greggs . . . . . . . . . . . .525.5 3.5 550.5 445.0
Morrison (Wm) Sup .295.0 -0.2 328.0 268.5
Ocado Group . . . . . . .103.5 -4.8 285.0 52.9
Sainsbury (J) . . . . . . .295.1 0.0 391.2 263.5
Tesco . . . . . . . . . . . . .324.8 -1.9 420.1 312.4
Associated Britis . . .1175.0 -7.0 1189.0 940.0
Cranswick . . . . . . . . .810.5 -7.5 862.0 588.5
Dairy Crest Group . . .327.7 2.7 409.7 311.0
Devro . . . . . . . . . . . . .280.0 4.9 296.9 228.0
Tate & LyIe . . . . . . . . .687.5 7.0 720.5 520.0
UniIever . . . . . . . . . .2021.0 -8.0 2189.0 1793.0
Mondi . . . . . . . . . . . . .534.5 -1.0 664.0 413.5
Centrica . . . . . . . . . . .300.4 -0.5 345.8 278.8
InternationaI Pow . . .341.7 -2.1 427.0 279.4
NationaI Grid . . . . . . .637.0 -4.5 649.5 543.5
Pennon Group . . . . . .694.0 -5.0 737.5 584.5
Severn Trent . . . . . .1514.0 -20.0 1600.0 1375.0
United UtiIities . . . . .601.0 -8.0 637.0 551.0
Cookson Group . . . . .604.0 8.0 724.5 395.8
Rexam . . . . . . . . . . . .381.1 -2.6 400.0 299.8
RPC Group . . . . . . . .393.2 1.9 395.4 231.5
Price Chg High Low
Bovis Homes Group .495.8 6.1 499.6 326.5
Persimmon . . . . . . . .550.0 1.5 551.0 374.0
Reckitt Benckiser . .3411.0 -76.0 3578.0 3015.0
Redrow . . . . . . . . . . . .129.5 -2.5 136.2 103.5
TayIor Wimpey . . . . . . .44.8 -0.0 44.9 28.7
Bodycote . . . . . . . . . .335.2 3.1 397.7 225.6
Fenner . . . . . . . . . . . .464.2 5.1 466.9 280.0
IMI . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .919.5 6.5 1119.0 636.5
MeIrose . . . . . . . . . . .388.0 1.7 391.1 268.0
Northgate . . . . . . . . . .245.8 -3.4 346.7 190.9
Rotork . . . . . . . . . . .1943.0 -1.0 1979.0 1501.0
Spirax-Sarco Engi . .2089.0 7.0 2099.0 1649.0
Weir Group . . . . . . .2047.0 -15.0 2218.0 1375.0
Evraz . . . . . . . . . . . . .455.0 -5.5 464.9 315.0
Ferrexpo . . . . . . . . . . .366.3 7.3 499.0 238.7
TaIvivaara Mining . . .346.7 11.6 622.0 195.2
BBAAviation . . . . . . .185.4 -3.4 240.8 156.0
Stobart Group Ltd . . .129.0 1.3 163.6 112.0
AdmiraI Group . . . . . .998.5 -39.5 1754.0 787.0
AmIin . . . . . . . . . . . . .337.4 -0.5 427.0 270.6
BeazIey . . . . . . . . . . . .144.0 -0.5 145.0 109.6
Informa . . . . . . . . . . . .413.2 2.5 461.1 313.9
ITE Group . . . . . . . . . .230.3 4.0 258.2 157.7
ITV . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .77.7 -1.7 93.5 51.7
Johnston Press . . . . . . .6.1 -0.5 12.8 4.1
MecomGroup . . . . . .200.8 -3.3 310.0 134.5
Moneysupermarket. .123.2 3.7 123.3 84.8
Pearson . . . . . . . . . .1206.0 1.0 1255.0 1013.0
PerformGroup . . . . .255.0 5.0 257.7 150.0
Reed EIsevier . . . . . .528.0 -1.5 590.5 461.3
Rightmove . . . . . . . .1299.0 0.0 1408.0 851.5
STV Group . . . . . . . . . .92.5 1.5 168.0 76.3
Tarsus Group . . . . . .145.5 0.0 165.0 119.5
Trinity Mirror . . . . . . . .47.0 0.0 89.5 37.5
UBM . . . . . . . . . . . . . .582.0 2.0 725.0 416.0
UTV Media . . . . . . . . .112.0 2.0 150.0 92.5
WiImington Group . . .83.5 3.0 182.0 78.5
WPP . . . . . . . . . . . . . .776.0 -3.0 846.5 578.0
YeII Group . . . . . . . . . . .5.9 -0.0 11.0 3.4
African Barrick G . . .525.0 2.5 616.5 393.5
AIIied GoId Minin . . .142.5 -0.9 281.3 34.4
AngIo American . . .2887.0 -23.0 3437.0 2138.5
AngIo Pacific Gro . . .315.6 10.6 369.3 237.9
Antofagasta . . . . . . .1363.0 -36.0 1513.0 900.5
Aquarius PIatinum . .171.5 -2.0 419.0 149.0
BHP BiIIiton . . . . . . .2200.0 -6.5 2631.5 1667.0
CatIin Group Ltd. . . .421.3 -3.0 432.7 334.0
Hiscox Ltd. . . . . . . . . .400.0 7.2 424.7 340.5
Jardine LIoyd Tho . . .687.0 -3.5 764.5 576.0
Lancashire HoIdin . . .738.0 14.5 774.5 532.5
RSA Insurance Gro . .112.0 -0.7 143.5 99.6
Aviva . . . . . . . . . . . . . .374.2 -2.8 477.9 275.3
LegaI & GeneraI G . . .120.5 -0.9 123.8 89.8
OId MutuaI . . . . . . . . .154.7 -3.1 158.0 98.1
Phoenix Group HoI . .584.5 0.5 688.0 451.1
PrudentiaI . . . . . . . . .727.5 -4.5 777.0 509.0
ResoIution Ltd. . . . . .278.9 -1.7 316.1 229.5
St James's PIace . . . .365.9 -3.2 376.0 294.0
Standard Life . . . . . . .226.9 -2.4 244.7 172.0
4Imprint Group . . . . .259.0 3.5 295.0 200.0
Aegis Group . . . . . . .166.9 0.4 168.2 115.7
BIoomsbury PubIis . .113.5 0.5 138.0 91.3
British Sky Broad . . .689.0 -10.5 850.0 618.5
Centaur Media . . . . . . .36.8 0.3 73.0 32.5
Chime Communicati .226.0 5.0 298.5 163.0
Creston . . . . . . . . . . . .51.1 1.4 121.0 47.0
DaiIy MaiI and Ge . . .470.0 -3.7 594.5 343.4
Euromoney Institu . .730.0 15.0 736.0 522.5
Future . . . . . . . . . . . . . .12.6 -0.1 30.0 8.3
Haynes PubIishing . .200.0 -5.0 257.0 195.0
Huntsworth . . . . . . . . .41.0 -2.5 81.0 32.3
Bumi . . . . . . . . . . . . . .795.0 -6.47 855.0 727.0
Centamin (DI) . . . . . . . .96.6 -1.5 154.2 78.5
Eurasian NaturaI . . .721.5 -9.5 1051.0 522.0
FresniIIo . . . . . . . . . .1817.0 -33.0 2150.0 1302.0
GemDiamonds Ltd. .234.4 12.2 306.0 179.8
GIencore Internat . . .460.8 -21.8 531.1 348.0
HochschiId Mining . .528.0 -4.5 680.0 365.9
Kazakhmys . . . . . . .1190.0 -24.0 1631.0 730.0
Kenmare Resources . .50.0 0.7 59.9 31.0
Lonmin . . . . . . . . . . .1080.0 -23.0 1880.0 941.0
New WorId Resourc .540.0 33.0 1060.0 409.4
PetropavIovsk . . . . . .772.0 -36.5 1090.0 543.5
PoIymetaI Interna . .1175.0 10.0 1195.1 877.0
RandgoId Resource 7565.0 165.0 7720.0 4425.0
Rio Tinto . . . . . . . . .3946.0 -42.0 4712.0 2712.5
Vedanta Resources 1317.0 -42.0 2518.0 928.0
Xstrata . . . . . . . . . . .1261.5 -21.5 1550.0 764.0
Inmarsat . . . . . . . . . . .422.0 -0.6 719.5 389.3
Vodafone Group . . . .177.9 2.8 182.8 155.1
Genesis Emerging . .509.0 -4.0 548.5 424.0
Afren . . . . . . . . . . . . . .132.7 -1.3 171.2 73.6
BG Group . . . . . . . . .1430.0 5.0 1564.5 1144.0
BP . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .489.6 5.1 497.5 363.2
Cairn Energy . . . . . . .344.9 18.0 469.7 257.8
EnQuest . . . . . . . . . . .113.5 1.1 158.5 85.7
Essar Energy . . . . . .131.9 -2.0 533.5 120.0
ExiIIon Energy . . . . . .261.9 -1.9 469.7 184.2
Heritage OiI . . . . . . . .194.5 -1.0 332.2 160.0
Ophir Energy . . . . . . .324.0 6.5 325.6 184.5
Premier OiI . . . . . . . . .413.7 -4.5 535.0 310.0
RoyaI Dutch SheII . .2257.0 -4.0 2402.0 1883.5
RoyaI Dutch SheII . .2292.5 -2.0 2489.0 1890.5
SaIamander Energy .235.0 0.1 317.6 182.3
Soco Internationa . . .305.3 0.8 400.0 278.0
TuIIow OiI . . . . . . . . .1466.0 4.0 1493.0 945.5
Amec . . . . . . . . . . . .1063.0 8.0 1228.0 740.5
Hunting . . . . . . . . . . .844.5 2.5 850.2 530.0
Kentz Corporation . .479.1 -2.0 508.0 347.0
LampreII . . . . . . . . . . .330.3 2.3 395.2 220.7
Petrofac Ltd. . . . . . .1475.0 1.0 1603.0 1108.0
Wood Group (John) .679.5 7.5 715.8 469.9
Burberry Group . . . .1446.0 -15.0 1600.0 1092.0
PZ Cussons . . . . . . . .312.4 -3.4 387.9 285.0
Supergroup . . . . . . . .703.0 41.0 1820.0 435.2
AstraZeneca . . . . . .2997.0 -13.0 3194.0 2543.5
BTG . . . . . . . . . . . . . .344.0 4.5 347.5 210.1
Genus . . . . . . . . . . . .1068.0 30.0 1111.0 853.5
GIaxoSmithKIine . . .1419.5 3.5 1497.0 1138.5
Hikma Pharmaceuti .719.0 -10.0 869.0 555.5
Shire PIc . . . . . . . . . .2129.0 19.0 2243.0 1640.0
CapitaI & Countie . . .196.9 0.1 203.7 142.8
Daejan HoIdings . . .3030.0 80.0 3030.0 2282.0
F&C CommerciaI Pr .103.8 0.0 108.0 92.6
Grainger . . . . . . . . . . .105.0 1.5 133.2 77.3
London & Stamford .110.3 2.2 140.0 103.9
SaviIIs . . . . . . . . . . . . .355.7 1.3 427.1 256.2
UK CommerciaI Pro . .75.7 0.8 85.5 65.1
Unite Group . . . . . . . .189.1 5.2 224.1 152.9
Big YeIIow Group . . .295.0 1.0 344.4 218.0
British Land Co . . . . .505.5 2.5 629.5 444.0
CapitaI Shopping . . .340.3 1.2 408.6 288.7
Derwent London . . .1741.0 -5.0 1880.0 1400.0
Great PortIand Es . . .368.9 -3.1 445.0 312.9
Hammerson . . . . . . . .381.3 -1.5 490.9 345.2
Hansteen HoIdings . . .75.5 0.0 89.5 68.0
Land Securities G . . .687.5 0.0 885.0 612.0
SEGRO . . . . . . . . . . . .227.5 2.7 331.3 195.0
Shaftesbury . . . . . . . .519.0 1.0 539.0 441.2
Aveva Group . . . . . .1722.0 11.0 1799.0 1298.0
Computacenter . . . . .414.7 5.9 490.0 324.7
Fidessa Group . . . . .1676.0 16.0 2109.0 1444.0
Invensys . . . . . . . . . . .215.3 2.5 357.8 180.9
Logica . . . . . . . . . . . . .83.5 2.3 147.2 59.0
Micro Focus Inter . . .447.3 1.3 455.0 242.9
Misys . . . . . . . . . . . . .335.0 5.5 420.2 214.9
Sage Group . . . . . . . .303.2 -0.3 310.1 231.7
SDL . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .657.5 1.5 711.5 586.0
TeIecity Group . . . . . .666.5 4.5 667.5 450.5
Aggreko . . . . . . . . . .2159.0 -3.0 2165.0 1394.5
Ashtead Group . . . . .247.8 -4.5 252.5 99.4
Atkins (WS) . . . . . . . .724.0 -13.0 820.0 490.2
Babcock Internati . . .740.5 -5.5 758.0 542.0
Berendsen . . . . . . . . .468.5 3.8 568.0 402.7
BunzI . . . . . . . . . . . . .873.0 -6.0 906.5 676.5
Cape . . . . . . . . . . . . . .438.9 11.6 591.5 295.0
Capita . . . . . . . . . . . . .634.5 -4.0 786.5 611.5
CariIIion . . . . . . . . . . .309.5 -4.2 403.2 281.0
De La Rue . . . . . . . . .980.0 0.0 986.5 685.0
DipIoma . . . . . . . . . . .400.0 -1.6 425.5 263.5
EIectrocomponents .234.1 1.9 294.9 182.2
Experian . . . . . . . . . . .906.0 2.5 906.0 665.0
FiItrona PLC . . . . . . . .383.6 -1.7 404.5 287.1
G4S . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .274.6 0.6 291.0 219.9
Hays . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .82.9 -2.9 130.0 58.9
Homeserve . . . . . . . .284.9 -5.5 532.0 218.5
Howden Joinery Gr . .109.5 0.3 127.5 93.1
Interserve . . . . . . . . . .300.0 8.0 341.3 239.8
Intertek Group . . . . .2207.0 -7.0 2224.0 1738.0
MichaeI Page Inte . . .429.9 -0.1 567.0 323.0
Mitie Group . . . . . . . .261.8 1.8 271.0 195.9
PayPoint . . . . . . . . . . .573.0 -2.0 585.0 327.3
Premier FarneII . . . . .209.4 -0.6 308.8 144.5
Regus . . . . . . . . . . . . .106.5 -1.3 119.0 64.0
RentokiI InitiaI . . . . . . .77.3 -1.2 103.4 58.2
RPS Group . . . . . . . . .228.4 8.9 253.0 156.6
Serco Group . . . . . . .522.0 -2.0 618.5 458.0
Shanks Group . . . . . .105.1 -5.4 130.9 90.8
SIG . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .106.3 1.2 153.5 77.0
Travis Perkins . . . . . .939.5 -9.0 1090.0 715.0
WoIseIey . . . . . . . . .2288.0 -11.0 2302.0 1404.0
ARM HoIdings . . . . . .577.0 -11.0 651.0 464.0
CSR . . . . . . . . . . . . . .234.2 -4.8 447.0 154.1
Imagination Techn . .618.0 19.0 618.0 296.9
Spirent Communica .132.3 1.1 160.0 105.8
British American . .3069.0 26.0 3079.0 2300.0
ImperiaI Tobacco . .2408.0 19.0 2444.0 1878.0
Betfair Group . . . . . . .884.0 -2.5 1030.0 567.0
Bwin.party Digita . . .174.0 2.2 204.0 100.6
CarnivaI . . . . . . . . . .1992.0 1.0 2983.0 1742.0
Compass Group . . . .629.0 4.5 631.9 512.5
Domino's Pizza UK . .479.7 -4.0 547.0 377.0
easyJet . . . . . . . . . . . .472.0 -4.1 477.6 301.0
FirstGroup . . . . . . . . .306.1 -4.0 378.7 301.8
Go-Ahead Group . . .1282.0 -2.0 1598.0 1190.0
Greene King . . . . . . .517.5 -4.0 521.5 410.0
InterContinentaI . . .1367.0 -6.0 1435.0 955.0
InternationaI Con . . .186.4 -3.3 268.1 132.0
JD Wetherspoon . . . .418.1 4.9 468.3 380.5
Ladbrokes . . . . . . . . .146.3 -0.9 155.3 114.0
Marston's . . . . . . . . . . .98.7 0.2 112.0 84.6
MiIIennium& Copt . .470.0 2.0 600.5 371.2
MitcheIIs & ButIe . . . .268.5 -0.2 348.7 215.6
NationaI Express . . .225.0 -0.2 270.2 201.6
Rank Group . . . . . . . .140.0 5.1 153.7 109.5
Restaurant Group . . .305.9 3.5 335.0 254.9
Spirit Pub Compan . . .52.5 1.5 55.0 35.3
Stagecoach Group . .281.3 1.1 287.4 200.0
TUI TraveI . . . . . . . . . .206.5 -0.8 250.0 136.7
Whitbread . . . . . . . .1706.0 -10.0 1863.0 1409.0
WiIIiamHiII . . . . . . . . .230.0 -4.2 244.1 176.8
Abcam . . . . . . . . . . . .330.0 -4.0 460.0 320.0
Advanced MedicaI . . .89.0 -2.5 96.0 64.8
AIbemarIe & Bond . .348.5 -5.0 400.1 281.0
Amerisur Resource . .19.8 -0.8 29.0 9.5
Andor TechnoIogy . .530.0 -29.8 685.0 387.1
ArchipeIago Resou . . .70.0 0.0 79.0 55.5
ASOS . . . . . . . . . . . .1845.0 -20.0 2468.0 1142.0
AureIian OiI & Ga . . . .16.0 -0.5 92.0 16.0
Avanti Communicat .284.0 -1.5 628.0 248.5
BIinkx . . . . . . . . . . . . . .69.8 0.8 158.0 50.5
Borders & Souther . . .68.8 -1.0 73.3 43.5
BowLeven . . . . . . . . . .81.0 2.5 382.3 62.0
Brooks MacdonaId .1135.0 5.0 1372.5 940.0
Cove Energy . . . . . . .140.0 0.0 140.7 61.0
Daisy Group . . . . . . .103.0 -1.0 127.0 88.0
EMIS Group . . . . . . . .430.0 -10.0 580.0 397.5
Faroe PetroIeum . . . .165.8 -2.3 194.0 130.0
GuIfsands PetroIe . . .175.3 -2.8 342.0 142.5
GWPharmaceuticaI . .90.0 0.0 130.0 78.5
H&T Group . . . . . . . . .339.0 -7.5 395.0 277.0
Hargreaves Servic .1177.0 2.0 1185.0 855.0
HeaIthcare Locums . . . .3.6 -0.0 3.8 3.6
Immunodiagnostic . .384.3 -11.0 1218.0 288.8
ImpeIIamGroup . . . .243.0 0.0 387.5 210.0
Iomart Group . . . . . . .139.0 -0.5 145.0 85.5
James HaIstead . . . . .475.0 -2.0 495.0 410.0
KaIahari MineraIs . . .243.0 0.0 301.0 198.3
London Mining . . . . .294.0 0.3 436.5 257.5
Lupus CapitaI . . . . . .130.0 0.0 150.0 86.0
M. P. Evans Group . .450.0 7.5 475.0 371.0
Majestic Wine . . . . . .426.0 2.5 510.0 315.0
May Gurney Integr . .290.0 -9.0 302.0 234.0
Monitise . . . . . . . . . . . .32.3 2.8 40.0 20.5
MuIberry Group . . . .1844.0 -6.0 1920.0 1065.0
Nanoco Group . . . . . . .62.0 -1.5 93.3 38.0
NauticaI PetroIeu . . .323.3 -2.0 547.0 223.5
NichoIs . . . . . . . . . . . .596.3 -3.8 615.0 410.0
Numis Corporation . . .95.0 1.0 126.0 72.0
Pan African Resou . . .17.8 0.0 17.8 9.5
Patagonia GoId . . . . . .42.3 -0.3 70.0 37.3
Prezzo . . . . . . . . . . . . .66.5 0.5 71.5 53.5
Pursuit Dynamics . . . .98.0 -3.0 410.0 67.0
Rockhopper ExpIor .357.5 0.5 386.0 141.0
RWS HoIdings . . . . . .476.9 3.5 481.8 328.0
Secure Trust Bank .1005.0 0.0 1030.0 755.0
Songbird Estates . . .105.0 -0.1 160.3 103.0
VaIiant PetroIeum . . .417.8 -6.3 645.0 400.0
Young & Co's Brew . .631.0 -1.0 712.0 565.0
Oxford Instruments 1083.0 8.8
New WorId Resource 540.0 6.5
Supergroup . . . . . . . .703.0 6.2
Cairn Energy . . . . . . .344.9 5.5
Gem Diamonds Ltd. .234.4 5.5
RPS Group . . . . . . . . .228.4 4.1
Rank Group . . . . . . . .140.0 3.8
Domino Printing Sc .619.5 3.7
Synergy HeaIth . . . . .887.5 3.6
AngIo Pacific Grou . .315.6 3.5
Bumi . . . . . . . . . . . . . .795.0 -6.5
Shanks Group . . . . . .105.1 -4.9
GIencore Internati . . .460.8 -4.5
PetropavIovsk . . . . . .772.0 -4.5
Ocado Group . . . . . . .103.5 -4.4
AdmiraI Group . . . . . .998.5 -3.8
Hays . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .82.9 -3.3
TeIecom PIus . . . . . . .654.5 -3.1
Vedanta Resources .1317.0 -3.1
Chemring Group . . . .412.7 -2.9
Risers FaIIers
MAIN CHANGES UK 350
Price Chg High Low Price Chg High Low Price Chg High Low Price Chg High Low Price Chg High Low Price Chg High Low Price Chg High Low
Price Chg High Low Price Chg High Low
GILTS
AEROSPACE & DEFENCE
CONSTRUCTION & MATERIALS
ELECTRICITY
ELECTRONIC & ELECTRICAL EQ.
EQUITY INVESTMENT INSTRUM.
FINANCIAL SERVICES
FIXED LINE TELECOMS
FOOD & DRUG RETAILERS
FOOD PRODUCERS
FORESTRY & PAPER
GAS, WATER & MULTIUTILITIES
GENERAL RETAILERS
HEALTH CARE EQUIPMENT & S.
HHOLD GDS & HOME CONSTR.
INDUSTRIAL ENGINEERING
INDUSTRIAL TRANSPORTATION
MEDIA
LIFE INSURANCE
PERSONAL GOODS
PHARMACEUTICALS & BIOTECH
REAL ESTATE INVEST. & SERV.
SOFTWARE & COMPUTER SERV.
SUPPORT SERVICES
TECHNOLOGY HARDW. & EQUIP.
TOBACCO
TRAVEL & LEISURE
AIM 50
NON LIFE INSURANCE REAL ESTATE INVEST. TRUSTS
http://corporate.webfg.com
mailto:
globaltechsales@webfg.com
AUTOMOBILES & PARTS
BANKS
CHEMICALS
BEVERAGES
GENERAL INDUSTRIALS
MOBILE TELECOMS
OIL & GAS PRODUCERS
OIL EQUIPMENT & SERVICES
MINING
NONEQUITY INVESTM. COMM.
Tsy 9.000 12 . . . .103.75 -0.47 111.6 103.3
Tsy 5.000 12 . . . .100.33 -0.04 104.3 100.3
Tsy 5.250 12 . . . .101.61 -0.02 105.4 101.6
Tsy 4.500 13 . . . .104.39 -0.03 106.5 104.3
Tsy 2.500 13 . . . . .283.11 -0.04 287.7 279.2
Tsy 8.000 13 . . . . .112.35 -0.03 116.9 112.2
Tsy 5.000 14 . . . . .111.67 -0.05 112.9 109.2
Tsy 4.750 15 . . . . .114.44 -0.03 115.4 108.6
Tsy 8.000 15 . . . .127.53 -0.02 129.2 123.7
Tsy 7.750 15 . . . .100.00 0.00 106.3 99.4
Tsy 4.000 16 . . . . .113.55 -0.04 114.7 104.9
Tsy 2.500 16 . . . .341.83 -0.07 346.7 312.1
Tsy 12.000 17 . . .121.13 0.00 128.8 120.9
Tsy 8.750 17 . . . .140.27 -0.30 141.9 132.9
Tsy 1.250 17 . . . . .115.39 0.00 116.6 106.7
Tsy 5.000 18 . . . .121.25 0.01 122.5 109.7
Tsy 4.500 19 . . . . .119.38 0.04 120.7 105.4
Tsy 3.750 19 . . . . .114.18 0.03 115.6 99.4
Tsy 2.500 20 . . . .362.81 0.11 367.1 314.0
Tsy 4.750 20 . . . .121.77 0.12 123.5 106.6
Tsy 8.000 21 . . . .150.74 0.12 153.4 133.8
Tsy 1.875 22 . . . .126.32 0.15 129.1 111.3
Tsy 4.000 22 . . . . .115.94 0.14 118.2 99.0
Tsy 2.500 24 . . . .326.94 0.16 334.7 275.6
Tsy 5.000 25 . . . .127.61 0.16 130.6 107.4
Tsy 1.250 27 . . . .123.18 0.13 127.0 104.8
Tsy 4.250 27 . . . . .119.38 0.14 122.7 97.9
Tsy 6.000 28 . . . .144.05 0.15 148.0 119.5
Tsy 4.750 30 . . . .126.36 0.15 130.5 103.0
Tsy 4.125 30 . . . .314.33 0.06 322.8 262.9
Tsy 4.250 32 . . . . .118.91 0.14 123.1 96.0
Tsy 4.250 36 . . . . .119.14 0.13 123.9 95.0
Tsy 4.750 38 . . . .128.57 0.14 134.2 102.8
Tsy 4.500 42 . . . .125.04 0.16 130.8 98.9
% %
CITYA.M. 7 FEBRUARY 2012 21
Wealth Management | ISAs
T&Cs: Austin Reed branded suits & shirts only
FINAL DAYS OF SALE
"645*/3&&%$06,
READY TO WEAR SUITS
FROM
179
MADE TO MEASURE SUITS
FROM
299
SHIRTS
FROM
20
C
OUNTRIES receive the immigrants they
deserve. A migrant has 192 countries to
choose from. He or she will choose
according to his own preferences and
reasons. The possibility of economic better-
ment is the most important: nobody aspires to
end up on the breadline. What forms of eco-
nomic betterment are available will determine
what sorts of people a country attracts.
People can preserve or increase their income
in all sorts of ways and there are correspon-
ding countries for each option. People who
already earn a high income may move to
places like Switzerland and Monaco. People
who dont want to work too much, but want to
enjoy substantial social and health care protec-
tion, may move to France. People who want to
live in a booming, dynamic society will move
to Hong Kong or Singapore. People who want
to work hard, and earn a lot over a short peri-
od, may move to the Gulf States.
Who moves to Britain? As the political-eco-
nomic climate changed over the last decades it
is likely that the immigrants changed, too.
What attracted us yesterday will have changed
from what attracts people today. Of course,
immigrants come for all sorts of reasons. But
when the economic opportunities alter, it is
more likely that certain sorts of immigrants
will arrive, while others will go elsewhere.
When I came to the UK in 1994, it was a get-
on-yer-bike sort of country. If you worked hard,
you could make it. The state helped by staying
out of the way. Unemployment was far lower
than in my native Belgium. It was very easy to
set up your own business. Taxes were low.
You know what came next. The Labour Party
built up its client state with taxpayers money.
Tax credits helped welfare grow to extraordi-
nary levels. The state bloated while the private
sector shrank. Stealth taxes fooled the middle
classes into believing that it was business as
usual. Greedy politicians funded their pet proj-
ects by mortgaging our childrens future.
At the same time, they threw the doors wide
open. Millions came. What attracted this
recent batch of immigrants? Its different for
every individual. Though when one sees that
visas were granted to one-legged roofers, one
has to wonder. Welfare and housing continued
to be distributed on a last-come, first-served
basis. Were we advertising a land of opportuni-
ty or an easy ride?
Today its even worse. The zeitgeist is to
attack capitalism, high salaries and wealth. He
who makes it is subjected to suspicion and hos-
tility. Under the guise of social justice, Peter is
robbed to pay Paul. What does this say to aspir-
ing migrants apart from those who want to
better themselves through their own efforts
need not apply? Wannabe entrepreneurs
would be quite mad to move to Britain today.
There is nothing wrong with immigration.
It has always existed to some extent; Churchill
famously called the Anglo-Saxons a mongrel
race. Today, the phenomenon of cross-border
migration is unstoppable indeed, trying to
stop it is like King Canute commanding the
waves. Think of the huge numbers of gap year
students, living abroad. Look at our pensioners
in France and Spain.
All you can do is try to influence the sort of
people who end up on your shores. For this,
our coalition government favours an immigra-
tion cap. Only those needed in the economy
are to be welcomed. But this throws us back to
the delusional days of the planned economy.
How on earth is the state to know what sort of
people the economy needs? A free market
economy is about unpredictable trial and
error, not a civil servant with a clipboard
standing at Britains gate telling the hopeful:
Weve now accepted 27 engineers. Sorry,
were full up, we cannot accept 28. Capping
immigration this way is ludicrous. Especially
as some powerful business interests will
always be able to convince the government of
the day that their sort of labourers are just
what the economy needs. Crony capitalism
will never go away, but it flourishes under con-
ditions like these.
There is a far more satisfactory way to deal
with mass immigration. The reason why there
is a sudden outcry against immigration is that
money is short. When the economy shrinks,
the pie shrinks, and citizens are wary of hav-
ing to share it with ever-more strangers. The
solution lies in encouraging immigrants to
help grow the economy. Hong Kongs popula-
tion increased from 600,000 to 2.2m between
1945 and 1955. And yet it coped: in 1945, its
income per capita was a quarter of Britains. By
1997 it was equal even though Britain had
grown tremendously over that period, too.
The best way to deal with immigration is to
make Britain a land of opportunity. Reduce the
size of the state. Reduce taxes. Cap welfare pay-
ments. Cap housing benefit. Keep the safety
net, but bin the safety hammock. Just you
wait: an entirely different sort of hopefuls will
once again enrich our nation.
JP Floru is the author of What the Immigrant Saw,
published by Bretwalda Books 9.99.
22
The Forum
CITYA.M. 7 FEBRUARY 2012
Wannabe entrepreneurs
would be quite mad to
move to Britain today
Britain must become a land
of opportunity once more to
attract the worlds workers
cityam.com/forum
JP FLORU
Agree? Disagree? Got a sharp comment?
The Forum wants you to join the debate.
COMMENT NOW ON
Twitter: @cityamforum;
on the web: cityam.com/forum;
or by email: theforum@cityam.com.
Top responses will be reprinted in The Forum.
23
As the European
Parliament hopes
for its Tobin Tax,
one MEP says no
We must resist
a tax that isnt
FTT for purpose
A
S THE European Parliament held its
public hearing on the proposed finan-
cial transaction tax (FTT) on Monday,
the battle positions were clearly drawn.
For the Eurozone, an FTT represents a smallish
subsidy to repair damaged national balance
sheets; for the UK, the adoption of an FTT
would represent a massive drag on the coun-
trys economic performance.
It is obviously attractive to Germany to sup-
port an FTT because it would spare the EUs
largest economy the pain of having to bail out
its fellow Eurozone members. It is attractive to
France, Italy, Greece and others because they
would rather take money first from the UK
than ask Germany alone to pay for their bur-
geoning debts. And it is especially attractive to
French President Nicolas Sarkozy because
blaming the British in an election year might
help him get re-elected. In short, the Eurozone
wants an FTT for all the wrong reasons. It is a
brazen grab for the riches of this City to bail
out the rest of the continent.
The Global Financial Markets Association
believes that an FTT on foreign exchange trad-
ing would directly increase transaction costs
for all transactions by three to seven times and
by up to 18 times for the most traded part of
the market. This will have an immediate and
direct affect on liquidity, with much specula-
tive FX activity moving outside the EU, with
the result that it would raise far less revenue
than hoped for. It estimates that 70-75 per cent
of tax-eligible transactions would move out-
side of the EU tax jurisdiction.
The people who would be hit by the tax are
those in the real economy (pension funds,
asset managers, insurers and corporates) as
both direct and indirect costs are largely
passed onto end-users, who will be least able to
move transactions to jurisdictions not subject
to the tax. Those who defend the FTT say it is a
tiny amount being raised on each transaction.
But Avivas figures show the cumulative effect
over several decades could cost a typical pen-
sioner upwards of 15,000.
The European Commissions own impact
assessment estimates that European GDP will
be reduced by 1.5 per cent as a result of the tax,
which some have calculated to mean a loss of
half a million jobs across the EU. Other
research claims the reduction in GDP would be
larger. That matters little to those whom I
meet in the European Parliament, who are
clearly motivated more by avenging the appar-
ent sins of bankers than by practical considera-
tion of the consequences of their actions.
Brussels sees the City as a cash cow that it
wants to milk as hard as it can for as long as it
can. I hope Icap group chief executive Michael
Spencer is right that there is not a prayer in
Hades of the UK agreeing to the proposed
European Union financial transaction tax. But
I fear David Cameron will have to use his veto
again and again.
If there is no let up in the barrage of new
taxes and regulations being planned by the EU
for our financial services industry, and espe-
cially while there remains no solution to the
Eurozone crisis, we may hear many more voic-
es in the City asking if it is worth remaining a
member of the European Union at all.
Syed Kamall is MEP for London and a member of
the European Parliaments Economic and Monetary
Affairs Committee (ECON).
Shrinking R&D
It is not correct to blame inten-
sified regulation for the phar-
maceutical industrys woes
[Regulation has pushed pharma
off a cliff-edge, yesterday]. The
statistics actually show that
per new drug application, the
FDAs record of approving new
drugs has stayed more or less
unchanged over the past
decade. The problem is that
research and development pro-
ductivity within large pharma-
ceutical compa-
nies has fallen over the same
period the number of new
drug applications has
decreased, and as a conse-
quence, approvals. That is why
larger companies are increas-
ingly outsourcing their medical
innovation to smaller, more
nimble biotechnology compa-
nies. Investors in these smaller
companies already know this
and are making good returns.
David Pinniger
investment manager
Speak your mind
The Forum is open for you to
take part. Got a sharp comment
on one of todays columns or
rapid response topics? Do you
have another subject relating to
business and the economy you
want to share your opinion on?
We want to hear your views.
Readers are invited to comment
on the web: cityam.com/forum;
by email: theforum@cityam.com;
and on Twitter: @cityamforum.
The best responses will be
reprinted in The Forum.
RAPID RESPONSES
SYED KAMALL
BY ANTHONY J. EVANS
CITYA.M. 7 FEBRUARY 2012
The Forum
I
T SHOULD be no
surprise that social-
ist economies give
the impression of
creating more output
than capitalist ones.
Under socialism you get
rewarded based on
what you produce
hence an incentive to overstate production. Under
capitalism you get taxed based on what you pro-
duce hence an incentive to understate production.
These are two rational responses to the rules of the
game, and demonstrate how the way we measure
economic activity is dependent on those rules.
But there is no clear distinction between social-
ism and capitalism in practice. To some extent the
Soviet Union was merely a market economy laden
with rent-seeking and riddled by bureaucracy. The
present banking system suffers from similar sorts
of corruption and inefficiency.
When economists talk about the efficiency of
the profit and loss system, we tend to take for
granted that the profit and loss we observe
matches with reality. But government interven-
tions are liable to disrupt these signals inefficient
taxes, arbitrary subsidies, and monetary debase-
ment all separate prices from the underlying con-
ditions of demand and supply. Another source of
noise is faulty accounting standards as Gordon
Kerr has pointed out in his fascinating new book
The Law of Opposites: Illusory profits and the
financial sector.
Published by the Adam Smith Institute and sup-
ported by the Cobden Centre, of which I am a sen-
ior founding fellow, it is a short, accessible, inside
account of how present accounting standards not
only permit but actually require wrong accounting.
With special emphasis on International Financial
Reporting Standards (IFRS) Kerr shows how
banks are able to game the system. It warrants
serious attention from those keen to understand
how the regulatory structure actually contributed
to the financial crisis.
According to Kerr, accounts should be the man-
agers and auditors honest statement of the
banks financial position but he points out that
executives have both the motive and means to
overstate profits. It would be naive to think that
independent auditing solves this problem, and we
should expect accounting errors as a fact of life.
But this is mitigated if companies that make
errors or indeed commit fraud can be rooted
out. The profit and loss mechanism is what
penalises financial wrongdoing.
The problem with regulation is that by its
nature it standardises accounting techniques.
Therefore if those techniques are faulty, they cre-
ate a systemic crisis. Kerr outlines this dynamic of
intervention, showing how the failure of one poli-
cy (such as the Basel II rules placing higher capital
charges on small businesses) leads to even worse
ones (such as subsidising credit). When bureau-
crats launch new interventions to correct the per-
verse effects of the old ones we are doomed.
Kerr was an adviser to the Private Members Bill
proposed by Steve Baker MP last year, which
attempts to oblige banks to file accounts based on
UK company law rather than IFRS. The banking
industry would be wise to consider its arguments.
Anthony J. Evans is associate professor of econom-
ics at Londons ESCP Europe Business School.
www.anthonyjevans.com
anthonyjevans@gmail.com
Its hard to account for
flaws in the rule-book
Email: theforum@cityam.com
Twitter: @cityamforum
In association with
A
NOTHER week has passed by
without a deal from Athens and
the currency markets are clearly
starting to suffer from headline
fatigue. While the risks are quite serious,
the markets continue to believe in an
11th hour deal which is why the fallout
in the euro has been relatively modest.
Yet the longer the saga continues the
more uncertainty it will invite. The situa-
tion will then enter into uncharted terri-
tory, as Greece will face the prospect of
hard default opening up the risk of mas-
sive counter party losses.
Away from the drama in Athens,
however, another theme is unfolding
that may have much stronger conse-
quences on currency trading as the year
progresses. Last Fridays Non-Farm
Payroll (NFP) report blew out all expec-
tations printing at nearly 50 per cent
more than the consensus estimate and
in the process may have changed the
terms of debate in the currency market.
US employment increased by 243,000
jobs versus 150,000 eyed, the unem-
ployment rate declined to 8.3 per cent
from 8.5 per cent forecast. Aside from
instantly raising the odds of President
Obamas reelection on the Intrade web-
site, the bullish NFP report also
markedly reduced the chances of addi-
tional quantitative easing (QE) by the
Fed.
Fridays much better than expected
labour data indicates that the Fed will
not engage in further QE as the need
for monetary stimulus has diminished.
That means, all things being equal, the
Feds balance sheet should remain rela-
tively stationary. Meanwhile both the
European Central Bank (ECB) and the
Bank of England (BoE) are expected to
continue easing aggressively as the
year progresses. The ECB will expand
its balance sheet through the LTRO
with most analysts expecting an uptake
of as much as 1 trillion (829bn) at
the next tender offer, while the BoE is
expected to increase its QE program by
50bn in order to support the recovery
in UK economy.
Although the Federal Reserve is hard-
ly a paragon of fiscal virtue, in FX
everything is relative. With G-3 interest
rates expected to remain near zero for
the foreseeable future, currency
investors may be starting to focus more
on balance sheet issues instead of risk
flows.
In short, if the currency market is
now in the process of changing its focus
from economic growth to balance sheet
integrity then the US dollar may
become the beneficiary of this new
dynamic.
This week the market will focus on
both ECB and BoE monthly meeting
announcements, both scheduled for
Thursday. Neither central bank is
expected to make any changes in inter-
est rate policy, but traders will no doubt
hang on every word of ECB President
Mario Draghi during his monthly press
conference at 1.30pm this Thursday. If
he indicates that the ECB is prepared to
maintain its LTRO facility for the fore-
seeable future, the euro could weaken
further as traders begin to price in the
massive balance sheet expansion.
Meanwhile Greece still remains a nag-
ging problem for the Eurozone and if
the deal comes undone it could prove to
be a perfect storm for the single cur-
rency as the week progresses.
For now the markets remain in con-
solidation mode with a $1.3000 level
continuing to hold. The currency pair
remains grossly oversold with the latest
COT data showing only modest reduc-
tion in shorts from 172,000 to 158,000
and this skew in positioning is one of
the primary reasons for its relative
strength. However, that factor alone
will not be enough to support the euro
if the currency market begins to consid-
er the balance sheet damage that a
Greek default would entail.
DIRECTOR OF CURRENCY RESEARCH, GFT
BORIS SCHLOSSBERG
A NEW THEME FOR THE EURO
DESPITE AN AILING ATHENS
facebook.com/fx360 twitter.com/fx360
fx360.com
The contents of this column are provided for general information purposes only. One should consider the appropriateness
of the information in light of their own objectives, financial situation or needs before trading. CD11UK.074.010612
A
S THE buzz continues about
the Facebook public offer-
ing later this year, IG
Markets is offering grey
market trading on the social net-
working sites market cap. The grey
market allows shares to be traded
on an unofficial market ahead of
the IPO expected in May.
When it filed with the Securities
and Exchange Commission on
Wednesday last week, Facebook
stated that it sought to raise $5bn,
however that number is only a
placeholder and the figure will
likely grow in the build up to the
hotly anticipated launch.
Based on Ocado and Betfair, our
grey market ended up being not a
million miles away from the actual
price on debut, says David Jones,
chief market strategist at IG
Markets. With Facebook talking
about a May start of trading, there
is still an awful lot of time left to go
and at the moment our clients
appear to be valuing it above the
top end of expectations.
The IG price started at $92bn last
Thursday and had steady buyers all
through the day. It peaked at
$123bn, but has seen some selling
since then (see chart, below right
for yesterdays trading.) The stock is
seen by many as being hugely over-
valued, but at this stage in the
game the grey market trading
price is being driven by excitement
and media hype over any real fun-
damentals, something that may
change as more detail about the
launch slips out into the public
domain. We have run this in the
past for the likes of Ocado and
Betfair and saw little interest from
clients says Jones. This time
round it has been different, pre-
sumably because
everyone knows Facebook and has
an opinion.
BETTING ON THE BELL
Elsewhere, bookmakers Paddy
Power are offering odds on who
will ring the New York Stock
Exchange opening bell on the day
of the Facebook flotation Mark
Zuckerberg is the clear favourite
at 1/100, with Sean Parker and Bill
Gates currently being offered at
25/1 and 50/1 respectively. U2 lead
singer Bono, who owns shares in
Facebook via his private equity
firm Elevation Partners, is a long
shot at 100/1.
Grey trading on the
Facebook IPO price
Though the public offering is not expected until May, you
can still take a position on the price, writes Craig Drake
I
NVESTORS in housing firm Bellway will be hoping
that the company wont be dropping any clangers
tomorrow when it releases its latest trading update,
but instead will be looking for signs that the future is
still relatively appealing. The last update back in
December 2011 was positively ringing with optimism,
with the company noting that visitor levels and reserva-
tions were still resilient. If tomorrows update is a similar
clarion call for an improving market then we could see
Bellway make yet more gains, building on the 10 per rise
seen in 2012 so far. IG Index offers a spread on Bellway
of 779p-785p.
Xstrata shares had the X-Factor last week as it
soared on news of the merger with Glencore. Its shares
climbed nearly 15 per cent following the news, but
topped out at the top trendline of a down channel it had
been in for just over 12 months around 1,275p. Eagle-
eyed chartists who spotted this and shorted Xstrata on
Friday were rewarded with a 2 per cent fall on profit-
taking this morning. Spread Co offers a spread on
Xstrata of 1,258.55p1,260.93p.
Vodafone is a very popular stock among clients and is
due to give a trading update on Thursday. Those divi-
dend hunters will keenly listen to hear whether there'll
be a dividend increase to the already high yielding stock.
Capital Spreads quotes a price of 175.8p-176.2p.
HMV has taken a terrible battering over the past few
years. The shares have fallen steadily since hitting a high
of over 280p back in 2005, and continued to slide even
as the broader equity market rallied off its March 2009
lows. HMV got a boost last month after reaching a deal
with its suppliers. But prices are drifting lower once
again as investors question the companys strategy and
the general outlook for high street retailers. GFT offers a
spread on HMV of 5.10p-5.25p.
Diageo posts half year numbers on Thursday. The
results will likely highlight the strength of demand in
North America for spirits. With volumes growing at
their highest levels in nearly 3 years, Diageo generates
40 per cent of its profits here. Despite the global down-
turn, the producer of the iconic Guinness brand has got a
head in the beverage sector and is aiming to generate
around half its revenue from the emerging markets by
2015. CMC Markets price for Diageo is 1,468.68p-
1,471.23p.
Craig Drake
THE TIPSTER
BELLWAY HOPING TO CHIME IN PROFITS
$bn
09:00 12:00 15:00 18:00 06Feb 11:00
118
114
113
116
115
112
117
ANALYSIS l Facebook IPO
$
Sep 2011 Oct Nov Dec 2012 Feb
1.44
1.36
1.34
1.32
1.30
1.28
1.40
1.38
1.42
ANALYSIS l Euro-dollar
Wealth Management | Trading
24 CITYA.M. 7 FEBRUARY 2012
ANALYST PICKS
STRATEGIST
JOEL KRUGER
My pick: Buy dollar-Canadian dollar on a daily close above Ca$1.0035
Expertise: Technical analysis
Average time frame of trades: 1 day to 1 week
Our constructive outlook remains, despite the interday pullback, with the
market largely still consolidating around parity ahead of what we believe
will be an eventual retest of the key October highs by Ca$1.0660. Look
for any interday pullbacks to be very well supported above Ca$0.9900,
while only a close below Ca$0.9900 would give reason for concern. A
close back above Ca$1.0035 should accelerate gains. Stops should be
placed on a close below Ca$0.9900 with a Ca$1.0600 objective.
STRATEGIST
ILYA SPIVAK
My pick: Short gold
Expertise: Global macro
Average time frame of trades: 1 week to 6 months
Gold dropped after Januarys US employment report showed the econo-
my added over 100,000 more jobs than expected, eroding demand for
the yellow metal. Rising Eurozone debt crisis stress should weigh as well
through boosting the dollar. Prices have now completed a bearish engulf-
ing candlestick pattern below resistance at $1,763.00, warning that fur-
ther losses are ahead. I will enter short from here, initially targeting
$1,680.40. A stop-loss will be activated on a daily close above $1,763.07.
STRATEGIST
JOHN KICKLIGHTER
My pick: Short S&P 500, long euro-Swissie, long dollar-yen
Expertise: Fundamental and technical analysis with risk management
Average time frame of trades: 1 day to 1 week
The prevailing risk appetite run that has guided the markets since the
beginning of the year ended last week with another thrust. There are a
number of appealing setups to accompany this move, but Im too scepti-
cal of fundamentals to take part. As such, Ill keep the standing order for
a S&P 500 trend collapse below 1,300, as well as the non-risk depend-
ent (but intervention-favourable) dollar-yen (long dollar-yen 76.50) and
euro-Swiss franc (long euro-Swissie from SFr1.2060) positions.
A
S CHINAS economic power
grows, its authorities are
increasingly willing to punch
their weight on the interna-
tional stage. The decision to direct
Chinese airlines to ignore the
European Unions carbon-emissions
system is a slap in the face. But can
China really afford to be sanguine?
The latest report from the
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
suggests not. China Economic Outlook
concludes that in the absence of a
domestic policy response, Chinas
growth could decline by as much as
four percentage points relative to the
baseline projections leading to broad-
based consumer and asset price defla-
tion. As the graph (right) shows, a
financial crisis switched the taps off
last year the fallout from the last
one saw global growth fall by around
6.5 per cent: In China, even after a
huge credit and fiscal stimulus
response, which boosted growth by at
least 6 percentage points, growth still
fell by 5 percentage points. It would
do so again.
PLAYING CHINA
Brenda Kelly of CMC Markets thinks
the possibility that China can com-
pensate for the global slowdown in
their domestic market remains ques-
tionable. She notes that when it
comes to commodities, what every
trader needs to know is that China is
the biggest buyer in fact, there is a
phrase, buy what China needs to buy,
which has served many investors well
(as producers of potash, oil, iron ore
and copper will attest to in the past
decade). This phrase would be turned
on its head if Europe buys less and
China builds less. The price of most
commodities will only go one way.
Chinese equities would also take a
tumble and there are plenty of ways to
get on the back of this besides taking
positions against individual compa-
nies. Angus Campbell of Capital
Spreads says clients can trade on the
HS Hong Kong index and China
Enterprises index. Will Hedden of IG
Markets notes many of its clients take
contracts for difference on the futures
index of China H-shares and the China
A50. And David Morrison of GFT says
the most direct way to take a view on
China is through trading the iShares
FTSE China 25 ETF.
China isnt reinventing the wheel;
its producing things cheaper than
almost anywhere else on earth and
flogging them to more developed mar-
kets. But as with people, the mistakes
of a growing nation are more easily
forgiven the report predicts that
despite increasing government spend-
ing, as a share of GDP it will decline in
baseline and contingent debt over the
coming years. It is keen to push China
to react to a Eurozone crisis with a fis-
cal stimulus aimed at boosting con-
sumer spending. Yet fiscal stimuli
only get a country so far higher
aggregate demand will show up in
higher prices and ultimately it only
displaces output.
A sharp and deep recession in the
Eurozone would hit China hard,
offering traders an opportunity to go
short. But as Campbell says: If that
were to happen then you could sell
just about anything.
If the way of the dragon leads the Chinese to hit a brick wall,
fiscal policy wont offer a route to safety, writes Philip Salter
Chinas fate tangled with Eurozone
What goes up... Picture: GETTY
Wealth Management | Trading
26 CITYA.M. 7 FEBRUARY 2012
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ANALYSIS l Export growth by region Source: IMF
2010-11 2008-09 2005-07 2002-04

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B
ATTLING the cold requires all
sorts of snuggly warm vest-
ments. The only bit of skin
left literally in the cold is
your face. The effect is dryness, red-
ness and lost luminosity. Panic not,
though, if a week at a Maldives spa
is not on the cards this Februrary.
There are two new facials in London
that are absolutely perfect for reju-
venating not just your face but your
whole body in the depths of winter.
Both practitioners use their own
massage routines, both of which
pay tribute to Chinese energy chan-
nels and both use all-natural
creams.
SU-MAN AT AWAY SPA, W HOTEL
Su-Mans debut at the W hotel spa is
very exciting. The former dancer
who normally practices in her light-
flooded Crouch End garden studio
gives an amazingly vigorous,
assured treatment of your face,
working you from head to toe. Its
no wonder that the porcelain-faced
Juliette Binoche swears by her
facials during filming in London
she has them every day.
Su-Man kicks off with a head
massage but a proper one, none of
your namby-pamby stroking. She
delves into the pressure channels all
over your cranium, and reaches
deep down your neck and back,
kneading and kneading. This, she
says, is to open up the [energy]
channels in your face. But before
the pleasure comes the pain, with
an agonising battle with blackheads
next. Dont have this treatment
before a date: the extraction left my
nose red for a good few hours after-
wards.
Following this, though, comes a
beautiful-smelling exfoliator, made
by Su-Man herself. She wont reveal
Two new facials
will breathe life
and glow into your
cold-battered skin,
says Zoe Strimpel
Lifestyle
28
Episode 46: a very private conversation
Is this where Im supposed to what?
just talk? I ask eventually.
I wouldnt say just talk, my interlocu-
tor replies. But yes,
talking, freely, about whatever strikes you
as interesting would be,
well, interesting.
Silence.Perhaps you could start by
exploring why youre here.
Ive just been to Perth. Well, a few hun-
dred miles east of Perth. Twenty-four
hours airborne to get there. Two days of
meetings. Twenty-four hours airborne to
get home. To spend the weekend jet-
lagged, incapable of interaction with my
family. Apart from the
meetings, Ive until now - hardly spoken
for, for almost a week. Just sat on planes.
Hardly slept. Didnt watch the movies.
Didnt read. Or drink. Just sat. Hour after
hour
This, our conversation, this is strictly
confidential, right? I mean, Im not asking
my medical insurance to pay. Im paying
myself. And Id be sunk if anyone knew.
Our conversation is confidential Mr.
Cashman.
Sorry. I know you have your profes-
sional ethics but, well
So, you were saying
Im under a lot of pressure. Work.
Family Life. Sometimes, I just
dont know why. Why? You know, a year
ago I resolved to spend more
time with my six-year old son. Just hasnt
happened. And then, whats
the worst thing you can do to a child? This
person you adore beyond
all measure? Bring another two children
into the world. And love them.
And expect him to love them. Must be a
catastrophe for him. Its like,
its worse than being unfaithful to him
My father, he used to sing
this Jim Reeves song to me. As a lullaby.
We just couldnt be close
though we tried. We both reached for
heavens but ours werent the
same.
Now I know what he meant. Lullaby?
Felt like a tragedy when he
sang it City Dad will continue next week.
For previous episodes, see cityam.com
CITY DAD
FIT IN
THE CITY
BY LAURA WILLIAMS
FITNESS & DIET EXPERT
Beat exercise
boredom
S
O apparently two-thirds of us have now
ditched our new health regimes. One of
the main reasons? Bordeom. Heres my
pick of the bunch for how best to mix it
up for the rest of the year.
For the daredevil: If the noveltys worn off
your bog standard 10K race, think about
training for Aprils Wolf Run. A 10K with a
difference, this Warwickshire-based race on
7 April involves not just running but climb-
ing, wading, swimming and crawling too. You
can either enter as a lone wolf, or if you
fancy a team bonding challenge this spring,
get your colleagues to sign on the dotted line
and enter as a pack. www.thewolfrun.com
For the Gaming Enthusiast: Last Friday
saw the release of SoulCalibur V, the latest
of Namcos Soul series of fighting games.
Cutting edge gym chain Gymbox has joined
forces with Soul Calibur and designed the
Soulcalibur V Swordsman Workout. Ive
seen this workout and it definitely beats gym
boredom. Its a fab, high octane way to get
your cardio quota at the same time as some
fabulous work for the upper body. For sure,
launching a sword at high speed without, a)
making contact with anything or anyone,
and b) without dropping it, puts Pilates in
the shade for a phenomenal core workout.
Running throughout Feb at Gymbox:
www.gymbox.com
For the Family Man: Thought you needed to
run a marathon to keep the cardiologist
happy? Not so, according to the University of
Copenhagen 5-a-side is your secret
weapon to a healthy heart. According to a
series of studies, football is better for your
health than pumping iron and running. When
two groups of men with high blood pressure
were divided into two exercise groups, foot-
ball and running, the footballers saw their
blood pressure fall by an average of twice of
those in the running group. Not sure where
to start? Lucozade Powerleague has just
launched its Fit For Fives campaign, a new
incentive supported by Spurs midfielder
Scott Parker. Go to www.powerleague.co.uk
to find your nearest football site.
@laurafitness; www.laurawilliamsonline.com
Give your face a winters
break with a super-facial
the recipe, but oats and orange are
clearly involved and she jokes its
her breakfast leftovers. Now comes
the crux of the treatment: the facial
massage that beats all bloat, infelici-
ties, and stagnation out of your face.
This is Su-Mans signature pummel-
ing, the face muscle workout that
she claims keeps you looking young:
she presses, chops, kneads and
smoothes rapidly, paying attention
to everything from your eye sockets
to your temples. Then its either an
in-depth foot or arm massage
(depending on what she thinks you
need), a facial coating in home-
made moisturizer and off you go,
enviably smooth-skinned, if a bit red
in the face. 200 for 60 mins. To book:
020 7758 1071 or go to
www.wlondon.co.uk/away-spa.
SKIN GYM AT TRIYOGA
Available at the new Chelsea centre
and in Primrose Hill, this facial is
pure bliss. Uninterrupted by the
pain of extraction, this is a combina-
tion of strong facial and back mas-
sage and rich, fruity and spicy
all-natural creams from Hungarian
skincare brand Eminence. Like Su-
Mans facial, Charlotte Colwells is
all about giving the face a workout:
pumping blood to the face and
working the muscles, along with
opening up energy channels. Hot
stones clinch the pleasure of this
soothing but active facial, and a
paprika mask, which burns rather
intensely, really wakes skin up.
Nettle, cinnamon and Hungarian
berry creams also give the senses a
delicious jolt. I left feeling deeply
relaxed and energized warm and
strong rather than freezing. Oh, and
my skin glowed happily.
70 for 60 minutes, triyoga.co.uk or call
020 7483 3344
LOSING YOUR HAIR?
IT CAN BE RESTORED!
THE WIMPOLE CLINIC
Ha nna h Hous e , 1 1 - 1 6 Ma nc he s t e r S t r e e t , L ond on W1 U 4 DJ
At The Wimpole Clinic, one
of the leading hair transplant
centres in Europe, Dr. Michael
May F.R.C. S. has pioneered
a permanent solution to
male pattern baldness using
advanced follicular unit
hair transplant techniques.
For your FREE consultation
with Dr May call today on:
020 7935 1861
www. wi mpol ec l i ni c. c om
A winter like the
one were having
really zaps your
face. Get thee to
a facial spa.
Picture: Getty
LET OUR GUIDE
HELP YOU PLAY
CUPID ON 14 FEB
SEE PAGE 29
V
alentines day can be a minefield
for the unprepared. Come home
on the day with a bunch of super-
market flowers and a box of
Quality Street and you may as well bed
in at the office and prepare for that big
meeting the next day.
The discerning partner expects far
more. Thankfully, we have done your
homework for you with this compre-
hensive luxury gift guide. Whether your
lucky Valentine is looking forwards to tra-
ditional flowers and chocolates or a
unique piece of signature jewelery, we
have the solution.
So, when the day comes next week, you
can concentrate on making sure the night
goes without a hitch, safe in the knowl-
edge your gift-buying prowess will have
been well and truly noted.
29
PRESTAT HEART
ASSORTMENT
15.67, prestat.co.uk
Quality confectionary
that wont break the
bank from chocolatier
Prestat.
WILLIAM CURLEY COUTURE
CHOCOLATE BOX
96, williamcurley.co.uk
For the discerning Valentine who knows
a quality chocolate from a pretender,
this luxury box of hand-made chocs is
perfect.
BREAKFAST IN BED
HAMPER FROM MOUNT
STREET DELI
45, 020 7499 6843,
mountstreetdeli.com
Get the morning off to a
great start with bellinis
and the finest spreads.
BILLECART SALMON
GIFT BOX SET: HALF
BOTTLE AND TWO
GLASSES
52, Harvey Nichols
The connoisseurs
favourite fizz.
LIMITED EDITION
ARMAND DE BRIGNAC
CHAMPAGNE TRUFFLES
Available until 18 Feb.
400, the-chocolate.com.
The ultimate luxe
Valentine, these choco-
lates come with a bottle
of the super elite fizz.
HOTEL CHOCOLATE
SEAL WITH A KISS
45, hotelchocolat.co.uk
An exquisitely colourful box of
the finest Valentines delights,
this is sure to be a hit with the
ladies.
Sweeten your
Valentines Day
with our gift guide
Lifestyle | Valentines Day Special
CORNISH YARG
HEART
25.95 for a 750g
heart (bigger hearts
are available),
Lynher Dairies,
Cheese, www.lynher-
dairies.co.uk
Cheese-fans and
there are many
will melt. Honestly.
LIBERTY WILD AT HEART FLOWERS
125, liberty.co.uk
These beautifully arranged blooms from the
shelves of alternative-chic department store
Liberty will bring a smile to anyones face this
Valentines day.
POILANE HEART
BISCUITS
2.65 per 100g.
www.poilane.fr
Heart-shaped but-
ter biscuits from
the French baker: a
perfect alternative
to chocolate for
those with a sweet
tooth.
Valentines Day Special | To Wear
30 CITYA.M. 7 FEBRUARY 2012
LYS MEDITERRANEE BY
EDOUARD FLECHER
90, lessenteurs.com
Heavenly scent of lilies pres-
ents an intensely romantic
bouquet. Orange flower,
water-lily and musk make this
a sensual icon.
AL JANA BY SO OUD
128, Avery Fine Perfumery
020 7692 1892
An immersion into green nat-
uralness: a translucent fra-
grance at whose heart is
ylang ylang, cypress and san-
dalwood.
RED ROSES BY JO MALONE
72, jomalone.co.uk
It doesnt get more romantic
than this: a blast of naked
rose from every womans
favourite luxury fragrance
brand. To go all out, buy the
scented candle to go with.
ROMANTINA BY JULIETTE
HAS A GUN
59 from Selfridges
A glorious combination of
orange blossom and jasmine
with a dash rose and
tuberose plus a warm bottom
of patchouli.
NINA FANTASY BY NINA RICCI
36.50, Superdrug and Debenhams
Special edition Ricci scent with
juicy aromas of bergamot, man-
darin and pear with delicate cherry
blossom, underpinned by romantic
nuances of rose.
VIRGIN ISLAND WATER BY
CREED
82 at Harvey Nichols
Intoxicating summer scents
of coconut, lime and hibiscus
evoking the scent of warm,
sun-kissed skin in the
Caribbeans.
BLACK TIGER PRINT STAY-
UPS BY WOLFORD
37 at Liberty London,
www.liberty.co.uk
These intensely cool, super-
sexy stockings can be worn at
work or at home, so theyre
also a practical gift.
TAUER L'AIR DESERT DU
MORROCAN
87, lessenteurs.com
A soft, dusky harmony of rock
rose, coriander and cumin
with a hint of bitter orange
and Moroccan jasmine.
Memories of Marrakesh.
DAENA BRA, SUSPENDER
AND BRIEF BY AGENT
PROVOCATEUR
Bra, 110; suspender 95;
brief, 65,
agentprovocateur.com
We think these are, quite sim-
ply, super pretty.
SO PRETTY IT HURTS CON-
TOUR BRA BY ELLE
MCPHERSON
45, houseoffraser.co.uk
Elle knows a thing or two
about looking hot. This range is
an easy way to spice things up.
BLUE SILK CHIFFON SET
'DIMANCHE MATIN'
BABYLOO BY FIFI CHACHNIL
156, www.fifichachnil.com
If this isnt a cute little play-
suit, we dont know what is.
Get ready to romp.
ZAIMA AND OLEYA
205 for bra, 125 for brief,
eresparis.com
Wonderfully delicate, luxuri-
ous pair from one of Europes
chicest brands. This, evidently,
is how the ladies get dressed
in Paris.
'POUPEE (DOLLY) BY FIFI
CHACHNIL
Bra, 120; brief with zip
detail, 90
fifichachnil.com
Playful, well-made set thats
sure to bring a big smile to
both of your evenings.
CANDACE BRA, SUSPENDER
AND BRIEF BY AGENT
PROVOCATEUR
Bra, 110; suspender 85;
brief, 75,
agentprovocateur.com
Pink and black lace suspender
set. Need we say more?
Thought not.
LA PERLA LACE AND MESH
BODYSUIT
299, netaporter.com
Darkly romantic, this deli-
cate yet strong piece looks
incredible on most shapes.
Well, the curvier the better,
really.
BALAAT AND EDJO BY ERES
245 for bra, 140 for brief,
eresparis.com
Another intriguingly elegant
design by Eres Paris. This bra
and underwear set are girly
but in an enigmatic, almost
industrial-chic way.
31 CITYA.M. 7 FEBRUARY 2012
To wear | Valentines Day Special
RUNNING FOX NECKLACE BY
WILD THING FOR ETSY
$35, etsy.com
Items sell out fast from this
Tel Aviv-based designer, so if
this ones not in stock, there
are plenty of other cool
pieces on the Etsy site.
SUNBURST NECKLACE BY
COACH
135, Coach New Bond Street
0203 141 8901
Coachs New Bond Street
store heralds the brands
arrival on these shores. This is
a great piece.
BRACCIALE INTRECCIO BY
FERRAGAMO JEWELS
ferragamojewels.com
Ferragamo has launched this
range just for Valentines Day.
Its exclusive, sexy and very
cool: the only way to wear a
silver heart, surely.
LOVE HEART RING BY
WILLIAM & SON
3,920, williamandson.com
An 18ct rose gold, 1.26ct pink
sapphire & 0.55ct diamond
ring that shows in no uncertain
terms what kind of romantic
stuff youre made of.
ETERNITY RING BY ERNEST
JONES
125, ernestjones.co.uk
This 9ct white gold cubic zir-
conia cross over eternity ring
is a great way to show your
feelings affordably,
LUNA RING BY MONICA
VINADER
80, monicavinader.com
Vinader jewelry is both fresh
and unique and fits virtually
every taste. This is a cute,
very safe bet.
ARTY OVAL RING BY YVES
ST LAURENT
165, matchesfashion.com
YSLs range of cocktail rings
are an ongoing hit, favoured
by most women with heaps
of style. A hip homage to V-
Day.
TWIN GOLD AND LEATHER
BRACELET BY BALENCIAGA
275, matchesfashion.co.uk
A blistering shock of chunky
black and gold, from every
fashionastas favourite brand.
An awesome gift.
DODO DIAMOND
HEARTS RING
EARRINGS AND
RING
Ring, 990 and ear-
rings, 950
Hailed as Italys
best-kept secret,
Dodo jewels are
sought by the likes of
the Queen of the
Netherlands.
Valentines Day | Going Out
32 CITYA.M. 7 FEBRUARY 2012
AWANA, 85 SLOANE AVENUE
Malaysian fine-dining restaurant
Awana is offering a three course
set menu taking diners on a jour-
ney through culinary Malaysia.
60 per person. For an additional 35
guests can order a bottle of Moutard
Rose. Available from 11-19 Feb.
awana.co.uk
Chocolates and
champagne are
one thing but
memories will last
longer. We pick out
some places at
home and a bit
further away
where you can
while away a
romantic evening
to remember
BRASSERIE JOEL, PARK PLAZA
The French bistro restaurant located
in the Park Plaza Westminster
Bridge London hotel will be serving
a Valentines Day sharing menu. They
are also teaming up with Park Plaza
hotel to offer overnight packages.
99 for two, overnight package including
champagne start at 109. Available from
10-19 Feb. brasseriejoel.co.uk
CINNAMON CLUB,
30-32 GREAT SMITH
STREET
Indulge in a five-
course Valentines Day
supper with an
emphasis on sharing.
75 per person
cinnamonclub.com
LAUNCESTON PLACE,
1A LAUNCESTON PLACE
A special, seasonal five
course menu. Ladies will
receive a Valentines rose
and a box of custom
made Launceston Place
chocolates.
75 per person. launceston-
place-restaurant.co.uk
BISHOPSTROW HOUSE, WARMINSTER
Treat your loved one this Valentines with
a special stay at Bishopstrow House,
relax and unwind in the halcyon spa or
catch up on some quality time over a
glass of bubbly in front of an open fire
From 265 per room per night
www.bishopstrow.co.uk
DINNER AND DANCE AT
THE RITZ, 150 PICCADILLY
The Romance and Dance
programme includes accom-
modation in a Louis XVI
inspired superior room,
flowers, fresh fruit, a bottle
of Champagne and an
evening of a dinner and
dancing hosted by the Ritz,
including a four course
meal.
From 455 per room per night.
Available from 10-18 Feb
FAIRMONT ST ANDREWS
RECIPE FOR ROMANCE
PACKAGE
Enjoy a five star romantic
break complete with flicker-
ing candles, sensuous choco-
late and chilled champagne.
The famous hotel has every-
thing to create the perfect
weekend.
From 239 per room per night.
www.fairmont.com/standrews
T
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DEATH UNEXPLAINED
BBC1, 10.35PM
Death comes to us all but if it is
unexplained, unexpected or the cause
unknown, it has to be investigated by
the Coroners Court.
THE BIGGEST LOSER
ITV1, 9PM
The contestants are flown to Florida,
where they are put through their
paces in an American football
challenge. Presented by Davina McCall.
GOKS TEENS: THE NAKED TRUTH
CHANNEL4, 8PM
Gok Wan offers advice on problems
faced by teenagers, beginning with
body dysmorphia, a preoccupation
with physical appearance.
BBC1
SKY SPORTS 1
7pmSky Sports News at Seven
7.30pmLive Johnstones Paint
Trophy Football 10pmFootballs
Greatest Managers 10.30pmTest
Cricket 12.30amJohnstones
Paint Trophy Football 1.30am
Copa Del Rey Football 3am
Footballs Greatest Managers
3.30amFootball Asia 4am-6am
Live International One-Day Cricket
SKY SPORTS 2
7pmFootballs Greatest Managers
7.30pmFootballs Greatest 8pm
Live Copa Del Rey Football 11pm
Poker 1amBadminton 4am-6am
Poker
SKY SPORTS 3
5.30pmBritish Basketball
7.30pmLive Greyhound Racing
10pmBadminton 1amSports
Unlimited 2amBritish Basketball
4amFIBA Basketball 4.30am
Kings of the Snow5am-6am
Sports Unlimited
BRITISH EUROSPORT
5.45pmWTA Tennis 7.45pm
Davis Cup Tennis 8.45pmCycling
9.45pmAlpine Skiing 10.50pm
Cycling 11.50pm-12.20am
Olympic Magazine
ESPN
7pmESPN Kicks: Serie A 7.15pm
ESPN Kicks: Premier League
7.30pmLive FA Cup Football
10pmEredivisie Review Show
11pmSerie A Rivals 11.30pm
Press Pass 2012 12amUFC 143:
Diaz v Condit 3amFIS Alpine Ski
World Cup Report 3.30amPlanet
Speed 4amBundesliga Review
Show5.15amESPN Kicks:
Premier League 5.30am-6am
Serie A Rivals
SKY LIVING
7pmCriminal Minds 8pmThe
Biggest Loser 9pmUnforgettable
10pmCriminal Minds 11pmBones
12amCSI: Crime Scene
Investigation 1.50amMaury
2.40amMy Wife and Kids
3.30amBones 4.20amNothing
to Declare 5.10am-6amJerry
Springer
BBC THREE
7pmWinter Wipeout 8pmDont
Tell the Bride 9pmJunior Doctors:
Your Life in Their Hands 10pm
EastEnders 10.30pmLittle Britain
11pmFamily Guy 11.45pm
American Dad! 12.30amJunior
Doctors: Your Life in Their Hands
1.30amDont Tell the Bride
2.30amLittle Britain 2.55am
Bizarre Crime 3.25amYoung
Tailor of the Year 4.25am-5.25am
Britains Gay Footballers
E4
7pmHollyoaks 7.30pmHow I Met
Your Mother 8pmDavid Blaines
Street Magic 9pm90210 10pm
Cleveland Show10.30pmBobs
Burgers 11pmSirens 12amThe
Big Bang Theory 12.55amScrubs
1.55amHow I Met Your Mother
2.20amRules of Engagement
2.40amGreek 3.25amWildfire
4.05am-6amSwitched
HISTORY
7pmMounted in Alaska 7.30pm
Pawn Stars 8pmIce Road
Truckers: Deadliest Roads 9pm
American Pickers 10pmSeeking
Salvage 11pmUFO Hunters 12am
Pawn Stars 12.30amMounted in
Alaska 1amSeeking Salvage 2am
UFO Hunters 3amOnly in America
4amDeep Sea Detectives
5am-6amAmerican Pickers
DISCOVERY
7pmBear Grylls: Born Survivor
8pmRory McGraths Best of
British Engineering 9pmSwords:
Life on the Line 10pmWorlds
Toughest Prisons 11pmDeadliest
Catch 12amBear Grylls:
Born Survivor 1amSwords:
Life on the Line 2amWorlds
Toughest Prisons 3amWheeler
Dealers 3.50amMythbusters
4.40amMark Williams on the
Rails 5.30am-6amDestroyed in
Seconds
DISCOVERY HOME &
HEALTH
7pmSupernanny US 8pmJon
and Kate Plus 8 9pmMystery
Diagnosis 10pmBaby ER 11pmI
Didnt Know I Was Pregnant
12amMystery Diagnosis 1am
Baby ER 2amI Didnt Know I Was
Pregnant 3amSupernanny US
4amA Baby Story 5am-6am
Bringing Home the Babies
SKY1
7.30pmGot to Dance: Semi-Finals
9pmAshley Banjos Secret Street
Crew10pmFILMRules of
Engagement 2000. 12.25am
35mm12.55amDog the Bounty
Hunter 1.25amSun, Sea and A&E
2.15amFringe 3.05amRoad
Wars 4.45amLion Man
5.10am-6amDont Forget the
Lyrics
BBC2 ITV1 CHANNEL4 CHANNEL5
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&
C
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TVPICK
6pmBBC News
6.30pmBBC London News
7pmThe One Show
7.30pmEastEnders: BBC News
8pmHolby City
9pmPrisoners Wives
10pmBBC News
10.25pmRegional News;
National Lottery Update
10.35pmCHOICE Death
Unexplained
11.20pmNeighbourhood Watched
12.05amFILM Protocol 1984.
1.35amWeatherview1.40am
Sign Zone: The Manor Reborn
2.40amInside Men 3.40am
Natures Miracle Babies
4.40am-6amBBC News
6pmEggheads
6.30pmBritains Heritage
Heroes
7pmRaymond Blanc: The Very
Hungry Frenchman
8pmAlex Polizzi: The Fixer
9pmHow to Grow a Planet:
New series. The ways in which
plants have changed Earth
throughout history.
10pmHave I Got Old News for
You
10.30pmNewsnight: Weather
11.20pmRubicon:
12.05amRubicon
12.50amBBC News
4am-6amBBC Learning Zone
6pmLondon Tonight
6.30pmITV News
7pmEmmerdale
7.30pmRiver Monsters
8pmThe Exit List: Game show,
hosted by Matt Allwright.
9pmCHOICE The Biggest
Loser.
10pmITV News at Ten
10.30pmLondon News
10.35pmBenidorm: A freak
storm hits the resort.
11.35pmThe Cube
12.30amThe Zone; ITV News
Headlines
3.05amCrossing Jordan
3.50am-5.30amITV Nightscreen
6pmThe Simpsons 6.30pm
Hollyoaks 6.55pm4thought.tv
7pmChannel 4 News 7.55pm
Channel 4 Presents 2012: Hannah
Cockroft Part Two
8pmCHOICE Goks Teens: The
Naked Truth
9pmKatie: The Science of
Seeing Again
10pmShameless 11.05pm
Desperate Housewives 12.05am
Random Acts 12.10amPoker
1.10amSailing: Americas Cup
Uncovered 1.35amKOTV
Boxing Weekly 2amVolleyball
2.50amLate Night Poker 3.45am
Best of British 4.40amThat
Paralympic Show5.10am-6.05am
Full Metal Challenge
6pmHome and Away
6.30pm5 News at 6.30
7pmPolice Interceptors:
5 News Update
8pmCowboy Builders:
5 News at 9
9pmBody of Proof
10pmCSI: Miami
10.55pmCSI: NY
11.50pmCSI: NY
12.45amForensic Files
1.15amSuperCasino: Live
interactive gaming. 4amHouse
Doctor 4.25amWildlife SOS
4.45amWildlife SOS 5.10am
Michaelas Wild Challenge
5.35am-6amMichaelas Wild
Challenge
1 2 3 4 5
6
7 8
9
10 11
12 13 14 15
16 17
18 19
20
21
22
8 10 4
10 38
30 9
15 17
22 17
17 13
10 14
13 34
7 11
39 14
14 24 8
12
21
17
29
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11
3
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9
28
6
10
37
28
7
23
15
Fill the grid so that each block
adds up to the total in the box
above or to the left of it.
You can only use the digits 1-9
and you must not use the
same digit twice in a block.
The same digit may occur
more than once in a row or
column, but it must be in a
separate block.
COFFEE BREAK
Copyright Puzzle Press Ltd, www.puzzlepress.co.uk
KAKURO
QUICK CROSSWORD
LAST ISSUES
SOLUTIONS
KAKURO
WORDWHEEL
Using only the letters in the Wordwheel, you have
ten minutes to nd as many words as possible,
none of which may be plurals, foreign words or
proper nouns. Each word must be of three letters
or more, all must contain the central letter and
letters can only be used once in every word. There
is at least one nine-letter word in the wheel.
SUDOKU
Place the numbers from 1 to 9 in each empty cell so that each
row, each column and each 3x3 block contains all the numbers
from 1 to 9 to solve this tricky Sudoku puzzle.
SUDOKU
QUICK CROSSWORD
ACROSS
1 Remain cheerful
in the face of
adversity (4,2)
6 Impart knowledge
to (6)
7 Drag the bottom
of a lake (6)
9 Umpire (7)
10 Norwegian composer
(1843-1907) (5)
12 Verbal defamation (7)
17 Give a speech (5)
18 Hearing distance (7)
20 Instruction to
go away (4,2)
21 Country which
borders Belize,
Guatemala and
the USA (6)
22 Work a way
into someones
afections (6)
DOWN
1 Hispanic shop selling
wine and groceries (6)
2 Joan Collins rle
in Dynasty, ___
Carrington (6)
3 Jetty (4)
4 Member of a
police force (7)
5 Groom with
elaborate care (5)
8 Lady whose real
name is Stefani
Joanne Angelina
Germanotta (4)
11 Stretchy fabric (7)
13 Show excessive
afection (4)
14 Babys plaything (6)
15 Alloy of tin and lead (6)
16 Smooth surface (as of
a cut gemstone) (5)
19 Double-reed woodwind
instrument (4)
E
L
E
I
P N
M
M
T
4

4




4
4
S P I C E U S U R P
K A H M A
E N A B L E E A R N
W L A I L E
E R O S R T W O
R F E A T H E R A
E T C L R A I L
D R U E C L
E A S E S U C K L E
B T S O G
T I M E S L Y C E E
2 3 1 2 3 1 4
4 7 2 1 6 5 3 8 9
7 9 2 8 9 7
9 8 4 9 6 5 9
3 9 7 6 2 8
3 7 1 2 2 5 1 3
9 8 2 5 8 9
7 9 8 7 8 5 9
2 4 5 1 1 7
1 2 4 7 9 3 5 6 8
7 9 6 8 1 2 6
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
WORDWHEEL
The nine-letter word was
ECONOMIST
Lifestyle | TV&Games
33 CITYA.M. 7 FEBRUARY 2012
Sport
34
THREE-TIME Tour de France runner-
up Andy Schleck looks set to be hand-
ed the 2010 title retrospectively after
multiple winner Alberto Contador
was yesterday banned for doping.
Contador, also Tour winner in 2007
and 2009, was stripped of all results
dating back to the 2010 race and
banned until August this year after
losing an 18-month legal battle.
The Court of Arbitration for Sport
said there was insufficient evidence
on a balance of probabilities to sup-
port the Spaniards claim that he
unwittingly ingested the stimulant
clenbuterol in contaminated meat.
Contador gets doping ban
CYCLING

WHITEWASHED and humiliated they


might have been following yesterdays
71-run defeat to Pakistan in Dubai,
but England skipper Andrew Strauss
has ruled out making wholesale
changes to the side ahead of next
months daunting tour of Sri Lanka.
Set 324 to win, England started the
fourth day on 36-0 but hopes of a suc-
cessful run chase were scuppered by
Saeed Ajmal, who took 4-67 and
ended the series with 24 wickets, and
seamer Umar Gul who returned fig-
ures of 4-61 as the tourists were dis-
missed for 252.
Alastair Cook (49) and Matt Prior
(49 not out) both offered token resist-
ance but with Englands confidence-
sapped middle order again failing to
contribute, their efforts were in vain
as Pakistan recorded a 3-0 win and
their first ever Test series clean sweep
against England.
Kevin Pietersen (right),
Eoin Morgan and Ian Bell
ended the series having
mustered fewer than 200
runs between them and
on the entire tour, those
three players failed to pass
40 in 29 innings.
Despite those worrying
figures Strauss indicated
he was likely to keep
faith with a trio that
have consistently strug-
gled against spin
bowling in condi-
tions that are likely
to be replicated in
Sri Lanka.
Its going to take a
little time for this to all
sink in, but we havent
been in the business of
panic changes and chopping and
changing the side too much and I
dont think well start now, said
Strauss, who himself has now gone 21
innings without a Test century. But
there was a consistent failure on our
part and we must learn the les-
sons.
Head coach Andy Flower
was less forthcoming in
his support for Englands
struggling batsmen and
admitted he would make
changes to the one-day
squad, announced today,
ahead of the upcoming
series against Pakistan,
with the likes of
Somersets Jos Buttler and
Yorkshires Jonny Bairstow
expected to be handed the
chance to stake their
claims for future Test
recognition.
BY JAMES GOLDMAN
CRICKET

Strauss: No need for change


despite being whitewashed
Results
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email sport@cityam.com
SPORT | IN BRIEF
Dickson has chance to face Italy
RUGBY UNION: England are hopeful
scrum-half Lee Dickson will have recov-
ered from a broken a bone in his left
hand in time to face Italy on Saturday.
Dickson suffered the injury in last week-
ends Six Nations win over Scotland and
was in line to be replaced by his brother
Karl, who played his first match for
Harlequins since November on Sunday.
Frimpong out for the season
FOOTBALL: Wolves midfielder Emmanuel
Frimpong, on loan from Arsenal, has been
ruled out for the rest of the season with
an anterior cruciate ligament injury.
Redknapp waits
on verdict as tax
evasion trial nears
conclusion at last
TOTTENHAM boss and England man-
ager elect Harry Redknapp could dis-
cover whether he has been found
guilty of alleged tax evasion as early as
today.
Jurors will be sent to deliberate on
their verdict after the judge delivers
his final summing up at Southwark
Crown Court this morning, following
more than two weeks of hearings.
Redknapp and co-accused Milan
Mandaric, the former Portsmouth
chairman, deny cheating the taxman in
relation to payments totalling
189,400 made to Redknapps
Monaco account.
The court heard yesterday that the
prosecutions case against Redknapp
was illogical.
Redknapps barrister John Kelsey-
Fry QC said in his closing argument
that the 64-year-olds volunteering of
information about his offshore account
showed he was not attempting to
dodge tax.
Mandaric and Redknapp argue that
the two disputed payments were
effectively loans with which the man-
ager, then at Portsmouth, was to
invest for his own gain. The prosecu-
tion claims the sums were bonus pay-
ments due to Redknapp for the sale of
striker Peter Crouch made in secret to
avoid income tax and National
Insurance contributions.
Mandarics counsel Lord MacDonald
QC said there was nothing even
slightly sinister about the payments.
In Milan Mandarics mind this was
not money for Crouch; this was Milan
Mandaric coming through on money
he had promised months before for a
portfolio, MacDonald added.
The trial continues.
Parker: We
want our
Harry back
TOTTENHAM midfielder Scott
Parker admits the absence of man-
ager Harry Redknapp is damaging
his sides push for the Premier
League title.
Redknapp was unable to be with
his team at Anfield last night after
spending the day at Southwark
Crown Court, where over the course
of the last fortnight he has been con-
testing two charges of cheating the
public revenue.
Technical issues with a plane that
was due to fly Redknapp up to
Liverpool forced the Spurs boss to
watch the match on TV.
Without him, the visitors relied
on a monumental performance
from Parker to ensure they left
Anfield with a point that just about
keeps them in contact with leaders
Manchester City.
Harry gives that extra bit of ener-
gy. Weve missed him the past cou-
ple of weeks, said Parker, whose
side remain in third place in the
Premier League table, seven points
behind City.
Well be absolutely delighted
when he comes back. It was a tough
night.
Parker was at the heart of
Tottenhams rearguard effort and
put his body on the line on more
than one occasion, most notably
when Luis Suarez, returning from
his lengthy suspension, connected
with the England midfielders
midriff with his right boot.
After soaking up so much pres-
sure, Spurs missed the best chance
of the night with four minutes
remaining when Gareth Bale broke
the offside trap but shot weakly at
Pepe Reina.
BY JAMES GOLDMAN
FOOTBALL

0
0
LIVERPOOL
TOTTENHAM
BY FRANK DALLERES
FOOTBALL

Man City 24 18 3 3 63 19 57
Man United 24 17 4 3 59 24 55
Tottenham 24 15 5 4 44 25 50
Chelsea 24 12 7 5 44 29 43
Newcastle 24 12 6 6 36 31 42
Arsenal 24 12 4 8 46 34 40
Liverpool 24 10 9 5 28 21 39
TOP SEVEN
TEAM PLD W D L F A PTS
Parkers Spurs
are seven points
behind Man City
Picture: REUTERS
35
ENGLAND manager Fabio Capello has
been accused of undermining the
future captain of the national side
before he has even begun the task of
determining a suitable replacement
for John Terry.
Capello is set for crisis talks with
the Football Association later this
week after he publically criticised the
governing bodys decision to relieve
Terry of the captaincy an outburst
which threatens to bring about a pre-
mature end to his four-year tenure.
The FA are understood to be exam-
ining if Capellos outburst means he is
in breach of contract, but should he
avoid the sack the Italian must
embark on the process of selecting
the fourth permanent captain of his
reign.
But former England manager
Graham Taylor believes whoever is
chosen cannot possibly feel comfort-
able in the role knowing Terry
remains Capellos preference.
Whoever he makes as captain
knows that he is not the managers
choice, said Taylor. That in itself
doesnt help the dressing room. I cant
see what Capellos agenda is. All it
does is disturb everything even more.
To come out in this public fashion
actually, in one respect, gives England
an even bigger problem for the selec-
tion and harmony of the squad for the
European Championships.
Capello reacted angrily after the FA
informed him of their decision to sack
Terry following last weeks announce-
ment that the Chelsea skippers crim-
inal trial, which sees him accused of
racially abusing QPRs Anton
Ferdinand a charge which he denies
has been adjourned until July, cru-
cially after the European
Championships.
The 65-year-old gave an indication
he was intent on remaining as
England manager by attending last
nights Premier League match
between Liverpool and Spurs.
Capello warned as FA
mull Italians future
BY JAMES GOLDMAN
FOOTBALL

ALL-CONQUERING Novak Djokovic


was named Laureus World
Sportsperson of the Year last night in
London and then vowed to lift more
silverware when he returns to the cap-
ital later this year.
The tennis world No1, who won his
fourth grand slam from five attempts
at last months Australian Open, is
desperate to defend his Wimbledon
title and win Olympic gold.
Both of those events are extremely
important. They are at the top of my
list next to Roland Garros and the US
Open. I will prioritise the Majors and
the Olympic Games, he said.
Djokovic beat an illustrious band of
nominees, including sprint star Usain
Bolt and Formula One king Sebastian
Vettel to the prestigious award at
Central Hall in Westminster.
Kenyan distance runner Vivian
Cheruiyot was named Laureus World
Sportswoman of the Year, while Lionel
Messis Barcelona beat Englands
cricketers to the Team award.
Northern Irish golf saw dual suc-
cess, with Rory McIlroy winning the
Breakthrough prize and Darren
Clarke the Comeback gong.
THE CAPITALIST: PAGE 10-11
Nov 11: Capello
picks Terry despite
FA and police probes
into allegations he
aimed racial abuse
at Anton Ferdinand
1 Feb: Terry trial is
adjourned until July,
raising likelihood of
him leading England
into this summers
Euro 2012 finals
3 Feb: FA chiefs
strip Terry of the
captaincy, insisting
it is not judgment of
guilt and that he is
still free to play
5 Feb: Capello
reveals he is at odds
with FA over Terry,
saying he absolutely
disagrees with cap-
taincy removal
6 Feb: Former FA
chief David Davies
says Capellos public
criticism of his pay-
masters could be
breach of contract
T
I
M
E
L
I
N
E
BY FRANK DALLERES
SPORT

Djokovic eyes capital gains


World No1 Djokovic
was named Laureus
World Sportsperson
of the Year
Picture: GETTY
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