Inherency: The vulnerability of US satellites increases the risk of conflict- Dependence on satellites increases the probability for war

and destabilizing arms races. Only through new defensive space strategies can we increase deterrence. MacDonald 09, former assistant director for national security at the White House [Bruce W., Testimony of Bruce W.
MacDonald, Council of Foreign Affairs, Before the Strategic Forces Subcommittee and House Armed Services Committee, March 18, http://www.cfr.org/china/space-security/p18862, Accessed July 12 2011]

Our space assets are exposed ...value to us as long as this is true. Satellite vulnerability is the key weakness our military depends on space assets Walsh 07 - Georgetown University Law Center [Frank M. Associate, Akin Gump Strauss Hauer & Feld, LLP Journal of Air Law and
Commerce forging a diplomatic shield for american satellites: the case for reevaluating the 2006 national space policy in light of a chinese anti-satellite system Fall, 7/12/11, Lexis]

Satellites serve as the foundation ..bring down a seemingly unstoppable warrior. The new space race is happening now-Russia, China, multiple countries developing their own space assets to counter the US LA Times 11(W.J. Hennigan and Ralph Vartabedian, Los Angeles Times, both are senior business writers for the Los Angeles
Times, July 22, 2011,http://www.latimes.com/business/la-fi-0722-space-race-20110722,0,2095991,full.story) As NASA retreatsfrom an ambitious uneasy and questioning how it happened."

US offensive abilities are increasing in the status quo-its the defensive measures that are being shelved Time News 11 (Militarization of Space Continues with Launch of Missile-Tracking Satellite, May 9, 2011,http://techland.time.com/2011/05/09/militarization-of-space-continues-with-launch-of-missiletracking-satellite/) What goes up and doesn't come downarms race with potentially calamitous consequences.

Miscalculation:
Chinese tests have sparked a global arms race. Our satellites are vulnerable to other countries-ASATs or cyber terrorists invite a preemptive strike Denmark 10 - Fellow with the Center for a New American Security [By Abraham M. and Dr. James Mulvenon
CNAS, Jan, Contested Commons: The Future of American Power in a Multipolar World http://www.cnas.org/files/documents/publications/CNAS%20Contested %20Commons%20Capstone_0.pdf Accessed Jun 21] In an environment where all the stray bulletsa kind of terrorism in zero gravity.

Space race inevitable - Chinese ASAT tests, weaponization and space debris all undermine crisis stability, threatening US forces MacDonald 8former assistant director for national security at the White House office of science and technology, Princeton University trained rocket scientist [Bruce W. MacDonald, September 2008, China, Space Weapons, and
U.S. Security, Council on Foreign Relations, Council Special Report No. 38, http://www.cfr.org/china/china-space-weapons-us-security/p16707, accessed 7-12-11] http://www.usip.org/experts/bruce-w-macdonald

With Chinas demonstration of an ASAT better understand Chinas evolving and ambiguous space doctrine.

Vulnerability of space assets invites a new space war this would destroy the global economy, US hegemony and increase the risk of miscalculation Myers, 2008[lexis Date Accessed: June 23, 2011March 10, 2008 Monday, The International Herald Tribune, Risk of
space war: Preparation outruns prevention Steven Lee Myers - The New York Times Media Group]

It does not take much imaginationwhich the Chinese say they want in spite of their 2007 test.

Miscalculation would lead to retaliatory strikes and extinction within half an hour The American Prospect 01 (Morton Mintz, February 26, 2001 http://prospect.org/cs/articles?article=two_minutes_to_launch) The bitter disputes overnational missile."It would be, basically, a nuclear war by checklist, by rote."
Chinese ASAT development will deter the US from protecting Taiwan by exploiting asymmetric

vulnerability The Straits Times 07 [China takes the arms race into space; It may be testing technology it has acquired but there is a political
price, Jonathan Eyal, Jan 22 Accessed on June 24, 2011 at lexisnexis.com] LONDON - WESTERN governments have known about Beijing'sspaceefforts for years. Asian stability.

military industries. But not for

China wont engage in negotiations when they can control out space assets via threats from ASATs. Dillon, 08 Naval Postgraduate School [Matthew Masters Candidate September 2008 http://oai.dtic.mil/oai/oai?
verb=getRecord&metadataPrefix=html&identifier=ADA488669 Implications of the Chinese Anti-Satellite Test for the United States Navy Surface Forces Accessed July 12, 2011] Offense dominance is the assessment that military victory can be easily achieved.ASAT

weapon, the situation quickly spirals

out of control. Taiwan is the most plausible scenario for Chinese ASAT attack MacDonald 08 Council on Foreign Relations [Bruce, Council Special Report No. 38 September China, Space
Weapons,date accessed : June 24th, 2011,http://www.cfr.org/china/china-space-weapons-us-security/p16707] War between China and the United States seems unlikely.of a more militarily competitive space domain.

China will take over Taiwan in 2012; leaked documents and renowned scholars prove Lin 09 (Hermia, Taiwan News Staff Reporter, 11/23/09, China to push Taiwan into unification by
2012, http://www.arnie.tw/2009/11/22/china-to-push-taiwan-into-unification-in-2012-says-dissident-writer/) The Chinese Communist Party could turn democratic..can they help fight against the upcoming disaster."

Taiwan war goes nuclear Solomone, 06

(Stacey, Ph.D. in Futures Studies at the University of Hawaii, China's Space Program: the great leap upward, Journal of Contemporary China, rmg) First, the PLA is suspected of making great strides that is at Chinas disposal.

Power Projection:
Protecting vulnerable space assets, is key if our satellites are vulnerable, we will not be able to deploy forward power projection Cynamon 9 Former Deputy Program Director, Space and Nuclear Network Group [Charles, "Defending America's
Interest In Space" February 12 2009, Acsessed July 13, 2011http://dodreports.com/pdf/ada539893.pdf] ]

Without a doubt the United States..US interests with the overall strategic environment discussion. Forward deployment is key to global hegemony and peace crisis escalation, reassuring allies, deterrence and demonstrating resolve Johnson, 09, Chief of Naval Operations [Admiral Jay L., & General Charles C. Krulak, Commandant of the Marine Corps, August 17,
Forward presence essential to American interests <http://www.navy.mil/navydata/navy_legacy_hr.asp?id=274> Web. Acc. 07/15/2011] Some

argue that the forward presence.ends the conflict. This is forward presence.

Hegemony solves global war it empirically prevents unstable multipolarity Khalilzad, 11 former director of planning at the Defense Department [Zalmay February 8, 2011 The Economy and
National Security Accessed July 29http://www.nationalreview.com/articles/259024/economy-and-national-security-zalmay-khalilzad?page=1 The National Review Online] If U.S. policymakers fail to act and other powers continue to grow.

facing Chinese hegemony and aggression.

Specifically, Russias leaders are gearing toward expansionist policies in the status quo Bugajski 10(Janusz, holder of the Lavrentis Lavrentiadis Chair and director of the New European
Democracies program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, Russias Pragmatic Reimperialization CRIA Vol. 4(1))AQB Russias leaders believe that thewhich deals with the Middle East peace process.

Russian expansionism escalates to nuclear exchange Knight 8 (Alex, Master's Degree in PoliSci, http://endofcapitalism.com/2008/08/26/imperialism

%E2%80%99s-chess-board-war-in-the-caucuses-and-the-fall-of-pax-americana/, AD: 7/4/10) jl Poland: a Nuclear War Flashpoint U.S. foreign policy strategists are..willing to risk provoking one.

US-Russia war is the only existential risk sheer magnitude of nuclear arsenals Bostrom 2 (Nick, Faculty of Philosophy, Oxford
University, http://www.nickbostrom.com/existential/risks.html, AD: 7/4/10) jl A much greater existential risk emerged with ..we will encounter in the 21st century.

Thats the scenario for extinction Engdahl 7 (F. William, has written on issues of energy, politics and economics for more than 30
years,http://www.engdahl.oilgeopolitics.net/Geopolitics___Eurasia/Putin/putin.html, AD: 7/5/10) jl Putin also did not have North Korea, Chinahuman civilization in the process.

Plan - The United States federal government should substantially increase its development of space satellite defenses beyond the Earth's mesosphere. Solvency:
Plan is necessary to solve satellite security even if deterrence fails, hardening and reconstitution are critical to defense Tellis 07 - senior associate at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace [specializing in international security,
defense, and Asian strategic issues. PhD from U of Chicago Ashley J. Tellis, August, 30 2007, published online on September, 1 2007, China's Military Space Strategy, Survivial, http://www.carnegieendowment.org/files/tellis_china_space1.pdf, accessed 7-14]

The United States must ..nullifying them or remedying their consequences. US commitment to forward deployment is necessary to dissuade Russia from expansionism Payne 9 (Keith, National institute for Public Policy President, Missouri State University Defense and Strategic Studies Professor,http://www.lanl.gov/conferences/sw/2009/docs/payne_livermore2.pdf, AD: 7/4/10)

Assurance involves allied perceptions taking unwanted deployment initiatives.